GF Long — $GF is holding major prior resistance as fresh supportFeeder cattle (GF) is in a sharp higher-timeframe uptrend emerging from the early June lows, recently peaking near 377. Price has now pulled back into the 366–368 zone, a major level that acted as prior resistance and as a consolidation launchpad during the mid-June breakout. This prior ceiling is now acting as a clear structural support shelf for a higher low.
On the lower timeframe, selling momentum has decelerated upon testing the 366.30 mark, printing a mild rejection wick that indicates buyers are stepping in to defend the retest. A long entry at current pricing positions for a continuation of the primary trend. The stop is tucked below the 365 support shelf and the mid-June swing lows at 363.80, a level that would structurally invalidate the pullback thesis. The target is set at 375.50, securing a strong reward-to-risk ratio while capturing the bulk of the move back toward the recent highs.
The technical long setup is powerfully reinforced by fundamentally tightening supplies. USDA reports of multi-decade lows in cold storage reserves, historically low feedlot placements, and halted Mexican live cattle imports are severely constraining the supply chain. With cash trade firming alongside these deficits, the fundamental backdrop provides strong conviction for the upward price structure to resume.
📍 Entry: 367.250
🛑 Stop: 363.800
🎯 Target: 375.500
⚖️ R:R: 2.39
GF
GF Long — $GF feeder cattle Pullback long at 358.63 — reclaimed HTF (4h) structure: GF made a strong rally from the Feb low (~337) to an April peak near 379, establishing a clear uptrend (HH/HL sequence). Since May 1, price has corrected in a series of lower highs and lower lows, pulling back roughly 40 points to a June 4 low near 336 before recovering sharply. The current area (357–360) sits just below the prior consolidation shelf from late April (~357–362 zone) which has acted as both support and resistance multiple times; price is now retesting this zone from below after the June 4 reversal candle. LTF (1h): The recovery off the June 4 low has been constructive — price has printed HH/HL sequence from 336 to current 358.6. Today's bar (Jun 15, 07:30) opened at 358.6, tagged 360.5, and pulled back to 357.6 before closing at 358.6 — a modest inside/doji-type bar that represents a minor pause at the breakout zone rather than rejection. Entry near ask (358.63) represents buying the first pullback into the reclaimed 357–359 zone with a stop below the June 15 session low and the broken-range floor at 355.80 (~0.25× ATR buffer below 356 support), which is ~2.83 points of risk. Target 364.90 is just in front of the next defended supply shelf (May 12–14 congestion ~365), yielding a move of ~6.27 points. RR = 6.27/2.83 ≈ 2.22 — passes the 2.0 gate. Research context: USDA structural supply tightness (slaughter -48k head YoY, cold storage -2.6% YoY, record feeder steer price projections) and CFTC managed money re-adding length are constructive T1/T2 tailwinds aligned with the long bias. The May 21 sharp selloff and subsequent recovery confirm the 336–337 area as a structural low. No binary catalyst within the swing horizon. Regime is long_lean (+5). Scan hint agrees Pullback/LONG (+4). Base 63; hint +4; regime +5; research +5 (T1 supply tightness aligned) → 77, clamped to 72 given the LTF trigger is a doji-pause rather than a clean engulf.
📍 Entry: 358.625
🛑 Stop: 355.800
🎯 Target: 364.900
⚖️ R:R: 2.22
Hogs 112 resistance 224 next major resistanceSharing this chart so people can see my long term analysis on hogs. 112 is current resistance but as this trend squeezes prices higher eventually this is going to break to the upside and 224 is the high target for a great short opportunity. Until then I would highly recommend alerts on the trend line and buy when it hits for a sale of 112. Any breaks above 112 that check back into it could be bought for a move up to 224. Shorts at 224 are the optimal low risk high reward.
Lots of people have made a living just trading hog volatility. Right now short term 88 is the target for a short term buy trade.
Good luck!
Feeder Cattle Outperform Gold - Cyclical or Structural?Why Do Food Costs Keep Increasing? Could it be cyclical or structural?
Since Covid, most commodity prices reached their lows. From there, not only has gold climbed to an all-time high, but feeder cattle or beef prices have also broken record highs. Their percentage gains have even surpassed that of gold.
If the price increase is cyclical, it should eventually come back down with the cycle.
So, what are the structural elements that cause some commodities to break new highs, while others are still pending growth —and how can we manage them?
Feeder Cattle Futures & Options
Ticker: GF
Minimum fluctuation:
0.00025 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Why Cost of Living is Still a Concern?Why is the cost of living still a concern, even though inflation has declined to 2.6%?
In many elections over the past two years, voters have ranked inflation as their top concern.
As we can see, the prices of many commodities remain above pre-COVID levels, with gold and meat prices currently much higher than they were at the inflation peak in 2022.
Consciously or unconsciously, both investors and consumers seem to feel that the cost of living will remain elevated for a prolonged period. Moreover, there is always a risk that inflation might creep back up again.
Feeder Cattle Futures & Options
Ticker: GF
Minimum fluctuation:
0.00025 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Seasonal Cattle Spread Worked Out Great +$4000 PotentialBoy I must admit, I sure do miss dealing with these spread markets. Far less time effort and less stressful then intraday trading outrights, that is for sure.
Shout out to @NorthStarDayTrading for the awesome Auto Support Resistance Indicator. I love it!







