$GLD – Multiple Breakouts Converging: Flag + Trendline + Gap FilGold ( AMEX:GLD ) is triggering one of the cleanest breakout setups on the entire market right now. We're getting a flag breakout, a longer-term trendline break, and we’re pushing straight into a gap fill from October 20th — all at the same time.
This is the kind of confluence I dream about.
🔹 The Setup (Perfect Storm):
Flag breakout: Tight consolidation resolving to the upside.
Major trendline break: Longer-term resistance finally giving way.
Gap fill trigger: Entering the October 20th gap — once inside, price often accelerates.
Rising EMAs underneath = structural momentum.
This is big-time swing trade stuff.
🔹 Why This Chart Matters:
The entire precious metals complex is heating up.
Silver already broke out — gold often follows and trends harder.
Macro tailwinds (inflation whispers, deficits, dollar wobble) are fueling demand.
🔹 How I’m Trading It (Progressive Exposure):
1️⃣ Starter Position: Bought $400 GLD calls last week.
2️⃣ Futures Position: Long AMEX:MGC for premarket flexibility.
3️⃣ Pyramiding Plan: As the setup improves — more confirmation, more levels break — I add to the trade.
I don’t go full-size at entry.
I scale in as the trade proves itself.
This is the exact progressive exposure method I’ve used for 15+ years.
🔹 Risk:
Stop beneath the 9 EMA on the daily for my futures position.
GLD calls are defined-risk by nature.
This is the real deal — the type of breakout where gold can trend for weeks.
GLD
$NEM – Leading Gold Stock Nearing a Key Inflection BreakoutNewmont ( NYSE:NEM ) is one of the leaders in the gold sector, and it’s now pushing right into the 91.50–92 breakout zone — a level that has acted as major resistance for months. This is a high-stakes inflection point.
🔹 The Setup:
Price is tightening underneath 91.50–92, a clean horizontal resistance.
NYSE:NEM has been showing relative strength, tracking gold’s move nearly tick-for-tick.
Structure is clean: rising EMAs, bullish slope, and volume building underneath the trigger.
🔹 Why This Matters:
AMEX:GLD itself looks fantastic — tightening, trending, and primed for continuation.
When gold futures and GLD look this strong, leading miners like NYSE:NEM tend to run first.
This is exactly the kind of setup where institutional money steps in.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Add through a clean breakout over 92 with volume confirmation.
2️⃣ Stop: Under the 9 EMA — tight and mechanical.
3️⃣ Target: Trend continuation, first into prior pivot highs, then toward measured move extensions.
Why I Like This Setup:
Leader stock + leader sector = high probability.
Technicals and macro backdrop (rates, inflation tailwinds, dollar softness) all point the same way.
NYSE:NEM is often the “tell” for the entire gold complex — if this breaks, the whole sector could run.
A case for silver.Silver is currently under significant regulatory constraints, and its prevailing market price does not incentivize the allocation of capital toward ventures focused on increasing its supply. This creates a supply constraint for the asset.
Beyond its role as an inflation hedge, a characteristic shared by most commodities, silver possesses unique properties that are particularly valuable for industrial applications. As we stand on the brink of a new wave of industrial expansion, silver's conductivity and reflectivity make it indispensable in various technologies, such as solar panels (where China leads in production), antifreeze formulations, and numerous other applications.
Recently, President Putin announced that Russia will include silver in its strategic reserves. Meanwhile, China has been engaging in confidential agreements with miners and refiners to secure prices over extended periods. Due to China's relatively loose regulatory framework, these transactions are not publicly disclosed, and as a result, they are not reflected in silver's market price. This can be said for African, Latin-American, or other Asian countries with loose regulation for these kinds of markets. Silver pricing predominantly occurs on the futures market, which underscores cases where a disconnect arises between market prices and underlying realities, leading to potential distortions in valuation.
Case 1: JP Morgan commodities trading desk scandal.
" A federal jury in the Northern District of Illinois convicted a former trader at JPMorgan Chase and Credit Suisse today of fraud in connection with a spoofing scheme in the gold and silver futures markets.
According to court documents and evidence presented at trial, Christopher Jordan, 51, of Mountainside, New Jersey, was an executive director and trader on JPMorgan’s precious metals desk in New York from 2006 to 2009, and on Credit Suisse’s precious metals desk in New York in 2010. Between 2008 and 2010, Jordan placed thousands of spoof orders, i.e., orders that he intended to cancel before execution, to drive prices in a direction more favorable to orders he intended to execute on the opposite side of the market. Jordan engaged in this deceptive spoofing strategy while trading gold and silver futures contracts on the Commodity Exchange (COMEX), which is a commodities exchange operated by the CME Group. These deceptive orders were intended to inject false and misleading information about the genuine supply and demand for gold and silver futures contracts into the markets... Four other former JPMorgan precious metals traders were previously convicted in related cases. In August 2022, Gregg Smith and Michael Nowak... spoofing... In October 2018, John Edmonds pleaded guilty in the District of Connecticut... wire fraud, commodities fraud, price manipulation, and spoofing... In August 2019, Christian Trunz pleaded guilty in the Eastern District of New York to one count of conspiracy to engage in spoofing and one count of spoofing... "
This is the article if you'd like to read more: www.justice.gov
My thoughts; This type of practice is an example of how there always a disconnect with real life and markets. One must also remember how information travels and the infrastructure and systems in place that runs our financial system. I believe JP Morgan's swift settlement shows to me there was not much accountability addressed.
Case 2: Silver Thursday, Hunts Brothers, 1970s
" Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt — oil company executives, investors and brothers — first began purchasing silver in the early 1970s at a price of less than $2 per ounce. The Hunt brothers’ fervor for silver accelerated dramatically following the death of their father in 1974, a Texas oil tycoon known as H.L. Hunt. His passing released a $5 billion fortune to members of the Hunt family.
Fueled by an enormous amount of capital, the Hunt brothers continued stockpiling silver and purchasing silver futures contracts. By early 1979, the price of silver had risen to about $6 per ounce. The Hunt brothers acquired roughly 195 million ounces of silver, about a third of the world’s total supply. They facilitated their silver purchases in part by investing in futures contracts through several brokers, including Bache Halsey Stuart Shields, Prudential-Bache Securities, and Prudential Securities. By December 1979, the market price for silver fluctuated between $20 and $25 per ounce.
Silver had become exorbitantly expensive even for practical uses. Doctors struggled to afford X-ray film for patients, families melted down their heirloom silver flatware, silver burglaries skyrocketed, and Tiffany’s & Co. was forced to drastically raise its jewelry prices. Tiffany’s even took out a full-page ad in the New York Times criticizing the Hunt brothers, writing, “We think it is unconscionable for anyone to hoard several billion, yes billion, dollars’ worth of silver and thus drive the price up so high that others must pay artificially high prices for articles made of silver.”
Silver reached a record high of $48.70 per ounce on Jan. 18, 1980. By some estimates, the Hunt brothers’ entire silver fortune peaked at a value of $10 billion.
Thursday, March 27, 1980
Facing out-of-control silver prices, COMEX (Commodity Exchange, Inc.), a division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), acted against the Hunt brothers. On Jan. 7, 1980, COMEX introduced Silver Rule 7, which placed heavy restrictions on the purchase of commodities on the margin.
Following its peak price of $48.70 per ounce, silver began its decline and the Hunt family’s silver fortune began to shrink.
On March 27, 1980, known as Silver Thursday, the price of silver dropped 50% in a single day, from $21.62 to $10.80 per ounce. The Hunt brothers failed to meet several margin calls and about $7 billion in paper assets suddenly turned into a $1.7 billion debt.
The sudden price drop threatened to collapse several investment firms and banks. To prevent widespread financial chaos, multiple banks joined together to issue the Hunt brothers a $1.1 billion line of credit..."
The original article: learn.apmex.com
My thoughts: Now you see that one entity can have huge influence on the market. Your once dusty silver mirror can become valuable enough for you to go and find it and clean it and sell it.
One actionable step you can take today is to capitalize on silver's current low valuation. There's clearly a lag between what's happening in the physical market and how that information gets reflected in exchange prices. Interestingly, we've seen noticeable price increases and premiums when buying physical silver, but there hasn’t been much movement in the more liquid instruments like the GLD or SLV ETFs—which, by the way, JPM vaults silver for. This disconnect exists because the market takes time to catch up to reality. What’s your take on this?
More articles:
marketsanity.com
www.justice.gov
www.reuters.com
www.investing.com
seekingalpha.com
investingnews.com
metalsedge.com
www.moneymetals.com
$XAG > $BTC? The 1980 "Curse" is Finally Broken.We just witnessed history. Stop scrolling and look at the chart.
For 45 years, the $50 level was the "Graveyard of Bulls."
1980: The Hunt Brothers cornered the market, peaked at $50, and crashed.
2011: The retail mania hit $49 and collapsed.
Today, that ceiling is gone. NASDAQ:XAG hasn't just "broken out"; it has shattered the most significant resistance level in modern financial history. We are trading at $58+, well into price discovery mode.
The "No-BS" Reality: While CRYPTOCAP:BTC is fighting for its life to hold support during this liquidity crunch, Silver has done what "Digital Gold" promised to do but couldn't.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Status: Flushing leverage, correlating with tech stocks, and failing to act as a hedge.
NASDAQ:XAG Status: Breaking a 45-year suppression cycle to become the #1 performing asset.
The Setup (The Cup & Handle of the Century): This is a 45-year technical structure. The "Cup" started in 1980. The "Handle" ended this month.
The Breakout: $50 is now the floor, not the ceiling.
The Target: The measured move from the 1980 peak targets $85.89 - $89.15.
My Outlook: The "Gold 2.0" narrative is being tested in real-time.
Long NASDAQ:XAG : I am riding this breakout to the $89 target.
The "Re-test" Buy: If we dip back to $50 (the 1980 High), that is a generational buying opportunity. Old resistance must become new support.
Verdict: The "relic" just outperformed the "future." The 1980 curse is dead.
👇 Discussion: Is CRYPTOCAP:BTC failing its "Gold 2.0" audition, or is this just a temporary rotation before Crypto catches up to AMEX:SLV & AMEX:GLD Sectors ? Let me know your targets below.
Gold Update 02DEC2025: Multiple Options Are PossibleThe price has been stuck in the range as expected for wave 4
Let’s navigate this chaos and build viable paths on the chart
Option 1: Ending Diagonal wave 5 — pink marks
This option is based on the idea that wave 4 looks disproportionately large compared to wave 2
It could already be over after the first large move down to the $3,900 area
The current ascending zigzag may be shaping an Ending Diagonal in wave 5 to retest the former top around $4,400
Option 2: Triangle — orange marks
I left this path on the chart last time for visualization and it still could play out
Waves A and B could be completed with waves C, D, E ahead
Option 3: Large sideways consolidation (range, box) — white marks
This scenario implies a flat correction within the established $4,400–$3,900 range
Which path do you think the price will take?
Share your thoughts in the comments below
Gold Continued Support Feasible - Next Target for $4500? I believe if the oscillators play out, we can have another trendline support, even with aroon down, it could be quite minimal and a retracement for $4500 support per oz is possible. Gold as an asset and commodity seems to be getting scarcer and the demand for Gold including even in electronics is something I expect will increase. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
GOLD (XAU-GC) BUY PLAN📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish. One of the key drivers is the aggressive accumulation by global central banks. Recession concerns and persistent inflation fears continue to position gold as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has completed the expected accumulation phase and broke out strongly from the accumulation range. This former range has now turned into a clear demand zone. Price has pulled back into this zone again and is currently testing the $4060 level.
📌 Game Plan
The $4060–$3900 zone is my primary buy zone. I will continue accumulating within this range.
My first target is $4250, followed by $4400, which aligns with new all-time-high expectations.
If price closes below $3900 on the daily, this idea becomes invalid. Therefore, my stop is a daily close under $3900.
💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below.
For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
Gold or Silver?Right now: SILVER!
I know, I know! Crazy schitt! Don't look at me!
The chart’s telling the story — Silver hasn’t even really started its move yet. Don’t blame me, I’m just reading the data.
Silver is up 87% year-over-year and outperforming gold by 11%, which is still on the low end historically.
That suggests Silver either has room to run from here, or it’s simply the safer relative play versus gold on a risk-adjusted basis.
If you’ve got space in your portfolio, it’s a reasonable addition.
If it hits nose-bleed levels, we reassess.
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
GOLD vs SP500 Bullish!Gold is outperforming the S&P 500 by 38%+
It is currently in the process of what seems to be a nice and bullish old-fashioned cup and handle.
More data is needed, but keep an eye on it.
Ask yourself, why is so much money pouring into gold over the SP500??
Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
GLD long-term TAGold is having a healthy strong weekly uptrend and monthly as well for quite a while.. but will it grow further? sure it can but there's a small negative divergence and distribution ongoing on mid-term which is why gold stuck at these levels at the moment. As for the GLD on weekly and gold in general watch for support level (blue line) and upward moving SMA50 to hold the price in the event of correction.
As of now Gold continues its uptrend, GLD got through the $381 pivot on Daily and shows the sign for the support in current range between $360-380 but the distribution hasn't completed yet.
$GLD: Shiny metal shined too fast too high. Cloudy skies ahead.Gold has had a decent bull run in the recent months. The ETF AMEX:GLD has rallied past all the Fib retracement levels and above all the RSI levels 20-Day, 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day SMA. But recently the rally in the precious metal has come to a halt and a distribution pattern is forming in the daily and weekly chart. IN the daily chart below we see that the price is approaching the 20-Day SMA of 374 $. Back in April we predicted that AMEX:GLD will go past 325 and the TVC:DXY will hit 95.
Perfect trade setup: AMEX:GLD to 325; DXY to 95 for AMEX:GLD by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
We have certainly achieved our target in AMEX:GLD and TVC:DXY bottomed out at 96.
Now with a consolidation / distribution pattern forming in AMEX:GLD and TVC:DXY near 100, what holds for the shinny metal. I think there are more short-term clouds in the horizon. After having a great bull run AMEX:GLD can consolidate here. But during this bull market in AMEX:GLD it has always respected its 100Day SMA and never traded below it for considerable period. If the bull market in AMEX:GLD must continue, then the price must remain above 100-Day SMA. With TVC:DXY making new higher highs this is more probable than a few weeks ago.
Trade Set Up: Let AMEX:GLD consolidate. Buy zone between 330 $ – 340 $. AMEX:GLD should remain above 100-Day SMA for bull market continuation.
GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish, primarily driven by central bank accumulation. Since 2023, global central banks led by China have been purchasing gold aggressively, creating a durable demand base. With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, I think risk assets like GOLD could outperform as the USD (DXY) weakens. This macro setup continues to support a long term bullish narrative.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has been retracing since October 20, which I think was a healthy correction following a strong expansion. As mentioned in my previous GOLD outlook, price appeared to be retesting the Weekly Value Gap and accumulating within that zone. In my opinion, this accumulation phase seems to have ended, and the market looks ready to continue higher.
📌 Game Plan - Prediction
Price has broken out of the accumulation zone and started expanding upward. I plan to enter after a retest near the key zone around $4060. It may dip toward $4027, which I consider a discount zone. I intend to scale in between $4060 and $3950, with invalidation if the daily candle closes below $3900.
💬 Follow my Substack profile for detailed insights and extended analysis.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
HUI/GLD showing weekly exhaustionUnderstandable given the Euphoria in the Precious metals markets the past two weeks.
Is the Bull Run completely over?
I don't think so.
#Silver has yet to Hit $95
and is merely testing it's own breakout level of its historical all time high's.
As this ratio is indicating the past few weeks it appears it wants to come back into previous resistance zones and also reset the RSI to around 50, so still in a bull market.
Would be a welcome correction.
ETH/USD (Ethereum vs US Dollar) ...ETH/USD (Ethereum vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, here's the analysis and target breakdown based on my setup:
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🔍 Chart Observation
Price is currently around $3,427.
The market is in a downtrend, but it looks like it has reached a support zone (highlighted in pink at the bottom).
My drawn an Ichimoku cloud, showing resistance above and potential reversal area below.
A bullish rebound is expected from the support area, targeting the next resistance zones.
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🎯 Target Points
1. First Target (Short-term) → $3,840 – $3,860
This aligns with the bottom edge of the Ichimoku cloud and your first “Target Point” label.
A possible resistance area if ETH starts to rebound.
2. Second Target (Mid-term) → $4,250 – $4,300
This is the upper “Target Point” zone you marked.
It’s near the top of the previous consolidation area, and a strong resistance if ETH continues bullish.
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🧭 Trading Plan Summary
Buy Zone (Support): $3,350 – $3,420
Target 1: $3,840 – $3,860
Target 2: $4,250 – $4,300
Stop Loss: Below $3,300 (to protect from deeper downside)
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⚠ Note
If price breaks below $3,300, bearish momentum could continue toward $3,150 – $3,200.
If it holds above $3,400 and breaks through $3,600, that confirms bullish reversal strength.
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Gold Update 04NOV2025: Wave 4 Dropped Into Target AreaGold futures dropped into the pink-box target area based on the Fibonacci retracement between $3,750 and $4,000.
As expected, the RSI has reached the 50 “waterline”, where it could find some support and start moving around that level.
Many traders lose money in fourth waves, as they can be “anything” and often last longer than one’s pocket. I’ve outlined a triangle shape in wave 4 just for visual context.
The range built through the peak of wave 3 around $4,400 and the bottom of recent panic selling near $3,900 will likely contain most of the volatility in wave 4.
It can take time… testing one’s patience.
Is the Gold Bull Market Over? Gold has had a double digit correction form the all time high.
Pulling back just over 11% is very healthy if the bull market trend is to resume.
On an intra day 4 hour time frame gold is still looking very weak.
However the weekly pattern was able to hold a key weekly bullish level.
Gold is at a very tricky inflection point so i would personally wait until you get some key breakout or breakdown signals.
Look towards your miners to see if they are gaining additional liquidity. They will often lead.
Buy the dip in GLD? Back above $400From a sentiment perspective, everyone is bearish GLD now that it's fallen so much over the last week. However, from the chart perspective, it looks like a great place to buy the dip.
If I turn on Bollinger bands, price is the furthest it's been outside of the bands to the downside from as far as I can see on the chart.
From an RSI standpoint, we're also still in extreme bullish areas on high timeframes. That makes me think that this is just a buy the dip scenario in a parabolic trend, and not the start of a larger selloff yet.
I think if we can hold these bottom support levels, the last leg higher will take us above $400. Likely to the first two resistance levels around the $420 area, but there's possibility that we can extend higher-- I've marked higher resistance levels off on the chart too. This should all play out before Nov 21st expiration.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming month or so.
Gold Market Update: Correction Mode 3750/3500 USD possible🟡 Where We Are Right now
After ripping to fresh records, gold snapped hard — WSJ logged the steepest one-day loss in years last week and a follow-through weekly drop as longs unwound.
Analysts across Kitco and others frame this as a technical/positioning correction after a parabolic run, with a fight around the $4k handle and scope to probe $3,750 → $3,500 if selling persists.
Sentiment/flows flipped: GLD and other gold ETFs saw notable outflows into the selloff after heavy YTD inflows. That flow reversal is consistent with a near-term correction phase.
🔻 Why the Market Is Correcting Now
1️⃣ Positioning & Froth Unwinds
The rally attracted outsized speculative length; once momentum cracked, forced de-risking kicked in. WSJ called out “long unwind” dynamics; Kitco says the correction could persist for months as near-term drivers fade.
2️⃣ $4k Failed on First Retest; Technical Break Triggered Stops
Kitco flagged a “fight for $4k” with downside risk if that shelf gives. Once sub-4k prints hit, systematic sellers likely accelerated.
3️⃣ Flow Flip in ETFs
After massive 2025 inflows, GLD posted a sharp daily outflow during the drop — classic late-cycle reversal behavior for a momentum move.
4️⃣ Macro Balance Less Supportive at the Margin
Even with long-term tailwinds (deficits/geopolitics), the recent leg higher ran ahead of fundamentals. Kitco and others note easing physical tightness and cooling central-bank buying pace compared with earlier in the year, removing a key prop for spot.
⚙️ Near-Term Levels That Matter (Tactical)
$4,000 → Battle zone. Regaining and holding above turns near-term tone neutral.
$3,750 → First meaningful downside target; aligns with multiple analysts’ “healthy pullback” zone.
$3,500 → Deeper correction magnet if flows/positioning continue to bleed; widely discussed as a plausible washout level.
🔮 4–8 Week Catalyst Map (What Can Push Price)
🏛️ Macro / Policy
Treasury Quarterly Refunding (Nov 5): Mix/size guidance can sway the long-end, USD, and real yields — key for gold. A heavier bill tilt (and steady coupons) is less threatening than a surprise coupon ramp.
Fed Communication Cadence: With the Oct 28–29 FOMC just occurred, watch minutes (Nov 19) + any guidance shifts. A less-dovish tone or firmer real yields = near-term headwind; growth scares or easing bias = support.
US Data Prints: CPI/PCE, NFP, ISM — anything that re-prices the path of real rates. (Direction of real yields remains the single most important macro input.)
💰 Flows & Positioning
ETF Flows (GLD/IAU): Continued outflows would confirm distribution; a turn back to net inflows often leads price inflections.
COT Positioning: If spec length compresses materially, downside fuel diminishes — setting up a cleaner base. (Track weekly CFTC updates.)
🪙 Physical / Seasonal
India Demand (festive/wedding season) and China retail demand can stabilize spot if discounts narrow and premiums re-emerge, but Kitco notes near-term tightness has eased versus the squeeze earlier in the rally.
📈 Base Case Outlook (Next 4–8 Weeks)
Trend: We’re in a bull-market correction — momentum currently with sellers — inside a bigger, intact secular uptrend. WSJ + Kitco both frame it as a technical consolidation after a near-vertical ascent.
Range Expectation: $3,500–$4,100 with whipsaws around $4k. The market likely tests $3,750 and could overshoot to $3,500 on negative macro surprises or persistent outflows before attempting a higher-low base.
Bull Re-acceleration Triggers:
(a) USD/real-yield rollover post-Refunding/Fed minutes
(b) A visible reversal in ETF flows
(c) Stabilization in Asia physical premiums
(d) Fresh geopolitical shocks
Bear Extension Risks:
(a) Firmer real yields / stronger USD
(b) Deeper ETF outflows and CTA/systematic supply
(c) Evidence of slower central-bank demand than H1
(d) Soft physical uptake into dips
⚔️ Trade / Hedge Tactics
If Underweight/Flat:
Stagger bids $3,760 → $3,520, scale size smaller into weakness; insist on confirmation (stops above prior day’s high) before adding.
If Long From Higher:
Respect $3,750 — below it, tighten or partially hedge (short miners, long USD vs. FX beta, or buy short-dated puts) targeting $3,500 as a potential flush.
If Momentum Trader:
Let $4,000 decide regime. Sustained reclaims with rising on-balance volume/ETF creations = green light for a bounce to $4,080–$4,150; failure = fade rallies into $3,950–$3,980.
🧭 What I’m Watching Day-to-Day
1️⃣ Treasury refunding headlines (Nov 5) and term-premium reaction.
2️⃣ Fed minutes (Nov 19) and any shift in balance-of-risks language.
3️⃣ GLD/IAU flow tape (creations/redemptions).
4️⃣ Kitco/WSJ desk color on physical tightness and dealer inventories.
GOLD Bull Market Over?Gold has fallen yet again today. Busting through some major technical support.
Gold is falling for 3 main reasons;
1. Trump / XI (USA vs China) meeting is expecting positive negotiations.
2. Mega Cap Tech Earnings: markets love to chase tech higher.
3. FOMC rate cut expectations.
We believe gold had a strong chance at retesting the daily 200 MA.
Picked up some GLD calls today.
Gold - Buy around 4065, target 4110-4165Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday's gold price essentially saw a range-bound correction after a sharp drop. The 4-hour chart saw back-and-forth fluctuations, forming a large range. Today's gold price is expected to continue to fluctuate within this range. Both the 4-hour and daily charts showed very long lower shadows, reducing the likelihood of a direct unilateral move. Gold has already fallen over 300 points in the two days before yesterday and yesterday, and technically, it needs a period of correction and consolidation. Today's gold trading strategy is both buying and selling. Look for patterns of volatility. Note that gold has been extremely volatile over the past two days, making it easy to lose money if you buy and sell based on technical analysis. Try to follow the 30-minute trend to chase orders. A small intraday move can reach 50 points. Don't be too concerned about the profit margin. Gold prices will continue to rise in the morning session. Let's first look at the minor support level of 4065. If this level stabilizes, it could reach a new one-hour high. Today's buying strategy must focus on 4161. If it breaks again, it could trigger a new buying trend. Let's look for buying opportunities in the Asian session.
Support is at 4065 and 4080, with strong support at 4000 and resistance at 4161. The market's strength-weakness dividing line is at 4065.
Fundamental Analysis:
The alarming crude oil inventory data is supporting crude oil buying prices. Furthermore, whether Federal Reserve officials have signaled further interest rate cuts will support gold buying.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold - Buy around 4065, target 4110-4165
GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️2weeks/candle price chart
▪️Gold Bull market in progress
▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1
▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2
▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3
▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD
▪️650% gains off the lows
▪️will hit in 2026/2027
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold
▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
Gold Update 22OCT2025: Wave 4 Correction is in Progress Sooner or later, both overbought conditions and bearish divergence tend to play out — and we’re seeing that now.
Gold just experienced a massive and surprising sell-off, with many stop-losses triggered.
The price dropped $300 in a single day, compared to its usual $50 range.
This likely marks the start of wave 4, as expected. Price briefly touched the bottom of the uptrend channel and bounced off quickly.
However, wave 4 is rarely straightforward.
It can take many corrective forms, such as a triangle or sideways consolidation.
It also tends to be larger than wave 2 and should become clearly visible on the chart.
The target range for wave 4 remains $3,750–$4,000. While $4,000 has already been touched, the corrective structure isn’t fully formed yet.
We should wait for wave 4 to fully develop before setting any expectations for wave 5.
S&P Stalls, Gold & Silver Reality Check, US vs China WatchGold and Silver finally correcting - and I'm dollar cost averaging into dips
US Indexes (S&P, Nasdaq, Dow, Russell) stalling just off of all-time highs
Sideways is a behavior and it might seem boring, but it's certainly better than
the market rolling over and falling hard for 5-10% corrections (TBD)
AI Narrative remains optimistic
-I like the utilities, energy, and physical goods side of AI over software and hype
Financials and CAPEX spending remains firm
-money continues to flow into this AI buildout
Trump vs China is likely noise and eventual concessions and agreements
are likely the outcome - but the market is waiting for proof for now
US CPI data hitting Friday (first real US news in weeks) - does the market react?
Watch for broadening pattern and fakeouts, but the big tell with this market
pushing for more upside is the massive drop in VIX last week and once again
flirting with all-time highs
Thanks for watching!!!
-Chris






















