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Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal - 3749 Zone ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
The Great Convergence: End of the Everything BubbleThe Great Convergence: Why Q4 2025 May Mark the End of the Everything Bubble A Multi-Asset Analysis of Bitcoin, S&P 500, and Gold at Critical Junctures Hello Traders, After analyzing 25 years of market data across three major financial crises, I've identified a dangerous convergence of signals suggesting we're approaching a significant market inflection point. The simultaneous peaks in IG:BITCOIN (~$124K), SP:SPX (6,700), and TVC:GOLD ($3,790) combined with deteriorating macroeconomic indicators mirror patterns that preceded both the 2000 and 2008 crises. Key Thesis: We are potentially entering a liquidity crisis that could result in a 30-50% correction across risk assets by Q4 2026. Part I: The Bitcoin Halving Cycle - End of the Fourth Epoch Historical Pattern Recognition CRYPTO:BTCUSD price action has followed a remarkably consistent 4-year cycle tied to its halving events: 2012 Halving → 2013 Peak (1 year delay): +8,000% rise, -85% crash 2016 Halving → 2017 Peak (1.5 years delay): +2,800% rise, -84% crash 2020 Halving → 2021 Peak (1.5 years delay): +700% rise, -77% crash 2024 Halving → 2025 Peak (1.5 years delay): +450% rise, -75% crash projected Current Technical Indicators RSI Divergence: Weekly RSI showing lower highs while price makes higher highs - classic exhaustion signal present at 2013, 2021 previous cycle tops. Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent rallies indicates weakening conviction On-chain Metrics: Long-term holder distribution accelerating, similar to previous cycle tops Price Targets Current Level: $109,498 Proposed Peak: $124,000 (By halving cycle theory this was fulfilled last month August) Initial Support: $69,000 (previous cycle ATH) Crisis Target: $25,000-30,000 (75% drawdown from peak by Q6 2026) Part II: The Macro Crisis Trigger - SPX SP:SPX / Unemployment Rate ECONOMICS:USUR / Fed Rate Correlation ECONOMICS:USINTR The Historical Precedent Every major crisis follows a predictable sequence: 2000 Dot-Com Bubble: CBOE:SPX at ATH (1,550) ✓ Unemployment begins rising from 3.9% ✓ Fed initiates rate cuts ✓ → 49% crash over 2.5 years 2008 Financial Crisis: TVC:SPX at ATH (1,576) ✓ Unemployment rises from 4.4% ✓ Fed cuts rates aggressively ✓ → 57% crash over 1.5 years 2025 AI/Everything Bubble: TVC:SPX at ATH (6,700) ✓ Unemployment rising from 3.4% ✓ Fed just initiated cuts (Sept 2025) ✓ → Projected 35-45% correction over 1.5 years The Unemployment-Rate Cut Death Cross Since 1970, whenever the Fed has cut rates while unemployment is rising from cycle lows: 12/12 times resulted in recession within 12 months Average equity drawdown: 35% Average duration: 18 months Current Labor Market Dynamics - The AI Disruption Factor Unlike previous cycles, we face structural unemployment pressure from AI adoption: Customer service: 2M jobs at risk Software development: 500K jobs transitioning Logistics/Transport: 3M jobs being automated Administrative: 4M jobs under pressure This isn't temporary cyclical unemployment - it's structural displacement requiring economic reorganization. Part III: Gold's Crisis Pattern - The Liquidation Before the Flight Historical TVC:GOLD Behavior in Crisis Contrary to popular belief, FX:XAUUSD can and does suffer fast flushes during systemic liquidity panics despite its long-term hedge role; with gold near ATH, combined liquidity and profit-taking risk could produce a 15–25% correction ahead of any later safe-haven rally: 2000 Crisis: Pre-crisis peak: $326 Initial drop: -21% Bottom-to-recovery: +650% over 11 years 2008 Crisis: Pre-crisis peak: $1,033 Initial drop: -34% Bottom-to-recovery: +180% over 3 years Covid-19 Pandemic: Pre-pandemic peak: $1,696 Initial drop: -15% Bottom-to-recovery: +43% over 2 years and 160% over 5 years Some will point to 2020, when gold rallied during the COVID crash. But that was a unique exogenous shock: the selloff lasted only weeks before unprecedented stimulus and collapsing real yields drove gold to new highs. In contrast, financial‑system crises like 2000 and 2008 forced gold into a year‑long correction before its hedge role reasserted. The 2025 setup looks far closer to those financial crises than to 2020’s pandemic shock. 2025 Projection: Current peak: $3,790 Expected initial drop: -20 to -25% Target bottom: $3,000-$2,800 Long-term recovery target: $6,500+ by 2030 Why Gold Falls Initially During liquidity crises, investors sell everything to meet margin calls and raise cash - even safe havens. Only after the acute phase does gold fulfill its hedge role. Part IV: The Convergence - Why This Time Is Particularly Dangerous Unique Risk Factors in 2025 1. Unprecedented Valuations Across All Assets Total global asset values: $450 trillion (4.5x global GDP) Buffett Indicator: 195% (highest ever) Shiller CAPE: 38 (higher than 1929) 2. Leverage and Derivatives Total derivatives notional: $700 trillion Margin debt: $935 billion (record high) Corporate debt/GDP: 85% (record high) 3. Geopolitical Tensions Active conflicts affecting supply chains De-dollarization accelerating Energy market fragmentation 4. Cryptocurrency Systemic Risk $2.5 trillion COINBASE:BTCUSD and over $4T gross crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL asset class that didn't exist in 2008 Interconnected with traditional finance via ETFs Untested in true liquidity crisis Part V: The Three-Stage Crisis Model Stage 1: The Warning Shot (Now - Q4 2025) Timeline: Next 1-3 months Characteristics: Deteriorating breadth (fewer stocks making highs) Defensive rotation begins TVC:VIX creeping higher First 10% correction dismissed as "healthy" Stage 2: The Liquidity Cascade (Q4 2025 - Q2 2026) Timeline: 6-9 months Characteristics: Multiple failed rallies "Buy the dip" mentality breaks Margin calls cascade All correlations go to 1 Targets: TVC:SPX : 5,000-5,500 CRYPTO:BTCUSD : $50,000-70,000 TVC:GOLD : $2,200-2,400 Stage 3: Capitulation and Reset (Q2 2026 - Q4 2026) Timeline: 6-12 months Characteristics: Forced selling exhaustion Government intervention Market clearing prices reached Final Targets: TVC:SPX : 3,700-4,500 CRYPTO:BTCUSD : $25,000-35,000 TVC:GOLD : Begins new bull market from $2,800 My Risk Management Framework Position Sizing Current Risk Asset Exposure: Reduce to 30% of portfolio Cash: 50% Precious Metals (Physical): 10% Strategic Shorts: 10% (via puts and/or inverse ETFs) Key Indicators to Monitor Weekly Unemployment Claims: ECONOMICS:USUR Sustained moves above 250K Credit Spreads: HYG/TLT ratio breaking below 4.5 Dollar Strength: TVC:DXY above 110 signals global stress IG:BITCOIN Dominance: Below 45% indicates alt-coin capitulation TVC:VIX Term Structure: Inversion signals immediate stress Invalidation Scenarios This bearish thesis would be invalidated if: Unemployment reverses below 4% Fed pivots to QE without crisis Fiscal stimulus exceeds $2 trillion AI productivity gains offset job losses faster than expected Conclusion: Probability-Weighted Scenarios Based on historical precedent and current conditions, I assign the following probabilities: 60% Probability: Significant correction (20-30% drawdown) beginning Q4 2025 25% Probability: Major crisis (40-50% drawdown) rivaling 2008 15% Probability: Continued melt-up through 2026 (Fed intervention success) The risk/reward severely favors defensive positioning. After a 15-year bull market across all assets, the convergence of deteriorating fundamentals, extreme valuations, and historical crisis patterns suggests we're approaching a critical inflection point. Remember: Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. This analysis presents probabilities , not certainties. Always manage risk appropriately and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions. Follow for updates as this thesis develops. Key milestones to watch: October NFP report November FOMC meeting Q4 earnings season Year-end positioning
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by niclaxfx
4
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the upper boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD hit resistance at 3819 within the ascending channel, showing rejection signals and forming a possible reversal pattern. ● The setup points to a short-term pullback toward 3805 and possibly 3768, while failure to reclaim highs strengthens the bearish case. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Rising U.S. yields and a stronger dollar weigh on gold, as recent Fed commentary signals a cautious stance on rate cuts. ✨ Summary Gold faces rejection at 3819 resistance, with downside risk toward 3805–3768. Bearish momentum dominates unless price reclaims the highs. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
2
XAUUSD targeting 3860 with the 1H MA50 supporting.Gold (XAUUSD) has entered a new Channel Up pattern by turning its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support. The last time it formed such a pattern after a -2.00% decline was during September 19 - 23. Both fractals are identical in structure both in 1H MA50 and Channel terms. The previous Channel Up eventually peaked a little above the 2.0 Fibonacci, which more than covers our 3860 Target. The pattern gets technically invalidated if the 1H MA50 breaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
XAU/USD | Gold Rally Continues – Can It Push Toward $4K?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching the $3,784 supply zone, the price faced selling pressure and corrected down to $3,754. But with the start of the new week, gold continued its rally, hitting a new high at $3,831. As I mentioned in previous analyses, gold isn’t far from the $4,000 mark . With the current momentum and no structural change in the market, we should assume the bullish trend will continue. The next upside targets are $3,840, $3,860, and $3,880 . Key demand zones are $3,804–$3,806, $3,799–$3,801, and $3,784–$3,791. Related analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum to ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish phase, confirmed by the establishment of a well-defined ascending channel. This uptrend was initiated after a breakout from lower levels and has shown significant strength by pushing through multiple prior resistance areas, including the 3470 DEMAND 2 and 3675 DEMAND levels, turning them into new support. Currently, the price action is continuing its ascent within the upper portion of this ascending channel, indicating that the bullish initiative remains firmly in control. The market is in a clear expansion phase, with very little sign of significant selling pressure, suggesting that any pullbacks are likely to be minor and short-lived. My scenario for the development of events is a direct continuation of the current bullish momentum. I believe that the price will only make a shallow correction from the current levels before the next impulsive wave higher begins. In my opinion, the underlying trend is strong enough to carry the price to a new high within the channel. The take-profit is therefore set at 3835 points, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
16
Gold Forecast: Liquidity Rotation Shaping Price ActionGold Forecast: Liquidity Rotation Shaping Price Action Gold’s recent movement reflects shifting dynamics between liquidity capture and market rebalancing. The push above 3,800 was less about sustained trend extension and more about triggering stops and gathering liquidity before rotating lower. This type of move often indicates that large participants are managing positioning rather than chasing new highs. The current correction phase is part of that process. Price is being driven back into zones where imbalances remain, allowing institutional flow to realign. Instead of showing weakness, this return highlights how markets redistribute liquidity to prepare for the next decisive move. From a flow perspective, gold remains in an accumulation phase. Consolidation pockets reveal ongoing positioning, while the corrective dip reflects controlled market engineering rather than disorder. If this cycle continues, the next stage could see energy released in the form of a renewed expansion leg once sufficient liquidity has been absorbed. In essence, gold is navigating a liquidity-driven cycle: sweep → redistribute → prepare → expand. The underlying order flow still favors upward continuation once the current rebalancing phase completes.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
Gold Futures Weekly Outlook (MGCZ5)📍 Key Levels on Watch Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5 Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7 Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2 🧭 Technical Outlook Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move. Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point: If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6. If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in. Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails. 🌍 Macro Context De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term. Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand. US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold. Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary. 🎯 Scenarios to Watch Bullish Case: Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6. Bearish Case: Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735). Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG. 📌 My Plan Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop. BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries. Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
GOLD surpasses historical peak - waiting for boost from NFPNews of the past week: OANDA:XAUUSD approaches historical peak, benefits from US tariffs and geopolitical tensions • In the trading session on September 26, the spot gold price surpassed the $3,760/ounce mark and fluctuated around $3,780, just a short distance from the historical peak of $3,791 set earlier this week. This is also the sixth consecutive week of increase for the precious metal, thanks to increased demand for safe havens in the context of new US tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions. • The August personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation report contained few surprises: Core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month, in line with forecasts and below July's initial 0.3% reading (which was later revised down). Year-over-year, core PCE held steady at 2.9%, still above the Fed's 2% target. Total PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month, up from July's 0.2% reading; year-over-year, it edged up to 2.7% from 2.6%. • This inflationary trend has weakened the US dollar, providing additional support for gold prices. However, the Fed’s monetary policy picture remains cautious. After cutting interest rates by 25 basis points last week, many Fed officials have stressed that there is no need to rush to ease further as price pressures persist despite signs of a slowdown in the labor market. • Meanwhile, U.S. economic data released on Thursday, including stronger-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth and lower jobless claims, added to the Fed’s concerns, potentially complicating the path to rate cuts, while gold continues to benefit from haven demand and a fraught political and trade environment. This week: Global markets await US jobs data and signals from the Fed • From September 29 to October 4, global financial markets will be watching the speeches of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials after the September interest rate cut. The biggest highlight is the non-farm payroll (NFP) report released on Friday, a factor that could shape the interest rate path at the Fed's meeting in late October. • At the start of the week, the Eurozone will release a series of data on economic sentiment, consumer confidence and industrial climate, important indicators to check the possibility of escaping the risk of stagflation. On Tuesday, Australia decides on its benchmark interest rate, Japan publishes its policy summary, while China releases its manufacturing PMI. Germany also releases CPI and retail sales on the same day. In the US, Chicago PMI and JOLTs employment data will be released, along with a series of speeches from regional Fed presidents, where views on interest rate cuts are clearly divided. • Wednesday will see the US ADP jobs report and the Eurozone harmonized CPI, which are key data for ECB policy. In addition, the final PMIs from the Eurozone, Germany, France and the UK will be released. The Fed continues its series of speeches, including from the Vice Chairman, which will further focus the market on the employment-inflation balance. • The climax comes on Friday when the US releases its September non-farm payrolls. If the data is weaker than expected, the chances of the Fed cutting interest rates by another 25 basis points in October will increase, weakening the USD and supporting gold prices. Conversely, strong data could reverse expectations and strengthen the greenback. On the same day, Japan releases its unemployment rate, adding to the currency market. • Overall, this week is a clash of economic data and policy guidance. NFP will be a key measure to break the Fed’s current balance, while European and Japanese data reflect global policy divergence. For investors, gold and the US dollar are likely to be volatile, while crude oil will be influenced by inventory data and Chinese PMIs. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Summary: Gold on the daily chart is running in a clear uptrend channel, buyers are still in control but need to pay attention to the accumulation phase and high RSI before entering orders. Technical perspective • Main trend: Strong increase — price is fluctuating in a clear uptrend channel, tops/cores/bottoms are all making lower and higher lows → bullish structure is intact. • Moving average (MA): Short-term MA is pointing up, price is above MA → confirms the uptrend and MA acts as dynamic support when there is a pullback. • Key support: ~3,720–3,738 USD/oz (near support/lower consolidation band); stronger support around 3,629–3,630 (previous bottom). • Technical resistance/target: immediate resistance ~3,791 USD (recent top). Fibonacci targets if broken: 3,825 (0.5) → 3,872 (0.618) → 3,938 (0.786) → extension to ~4,022 (extension). • RSI & momentum: RSI is in high territory but not yet giving strong reversal signals — momentum remains positive but warns of technical correction risk. Risk management tips & signals to watch • Split orders, don't go all-in; limit risk to 1–2% of account per order. • Monitor RSI: if you see a negative Divergence + a strong bearish candle closing below the lower channel boundary, postpone the Buy. • Macro news (PCE, NFP, Fed speech) can create a strong gap, it is best to use Stop Trading around those events. • If it breaks below 3,630 with high Volume, the Bullish Scenario is null, need to switch to capital preservation. Basic scenario: still prioritize long because of the bullish structure and MA support. However, smart Trades buy with a plan, have disciplined Stop, and don't forget: gold likes macro Drama, so keep a flexible mentality. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3813 - 3811⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3817 →Take Profit 1 3805 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3799 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3753 - 3755⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3749 →Take Profit 1 3761 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3767
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Sep 29 - Oct 03]This week, after opening at $3,683/oz, OANDA:XAUUSD prices jumped to $3,791/oz after NATO forces intercepted three Russian MiG-31 fighter jets when they violated Estonian airspace, causing investors to worry about an escalation of the NATO-Russia conflict. However, after that, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's cautious tone about further interest rate cuts, along with the US GDP data in the second quarter soaring to 3.8%, pushed gold prices down to $3,717/oz. Gold prices then recovered and closed the week at $3,760/oz. Next week, the US will announce the non-farm payroll (NFP) figures for September, which are expected to reach 51,000 jobs, much higher than the 22,000 jobs in August. The recovery in NFP figures compared to the previous period is also natural when the US economy still maintains its growth momentum. However, according to many experts, the September NFP may only be around the expected level, and it is unlikely to exceed the expected level of 51,000 jobs, because US businesses are still facing difficulties due to tariffs and have not expanded their recruitment activities this month. If the NFP is only below 51,000 jobs, this will still be a concern for the FED, forcing the agency to consider further interest rate cuts, supporting the gold price next week to move closer to 3,800 USD/oz, or even exceed this level. 📌In terms of technical analysis, the average price calculated for the D1 chart corresponds to 3,425-3,450 USD/oz. Since breaking through the peak of 3,500 USD/oz, the gold price has increased by approximately 300 USD. Technical indicators signal an overbought state, but the gold price has not shown any signs of a correction. The next resistance zones are based on round resistance levels such as 3,800-4,000 USD/oz. In the near future, if the gold price continues to increase, it may touch around 3,800-3,850 USD/oz. In case of a correction, the price will return to around 3,650 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. • Key support: ~3,720–3,738 USD/oz (near support/lower consolidation band); stronger support around 3,629–3,630 (previous bottom). • Technical resistance/target: immediate resistance ~3,791 USD (recent top). Fibonacci targets if broken: 3,825 (0.5) → 3,872 (0.618) → 3,938 (0.786) → extension to ~4,022 (extension). SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3824 - 3822⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3828 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3659 - 3661⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3655
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD: Great Breakout Will Give Us A Close Buy TradeHere is My 2H Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3790.00, and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 2H Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
XAU/USD Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD Bullish Channel Setup (4H Timeframe) --- Chart Summary: Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 4H Exchange: OANDA Current Price: $3,759.85 EMA 50: $3,718.68 (short-term support) EMA 200: $3,576.42 (major support) --- Key Elements in Chart: 1. Ascending Channel Formation Price is moving inside a clear rising channel (higher highs & higher lows). Upper and lower boundaries are acting as dynamic resistance & support. 2. Support Levels (Yellow Zones) $3,720–3,740 zone: strong support with EMA 50 confluence. $3,600–3,620 zone: deeper support, aligned with EMA 200. 3. Breakout & Retest Price broke a short-term descending trendline, signaling bullish continuation. Retest of support level confirms buyers are active. 4. Bullish Projection Based on measured move (previous impulse), projection suggests a rally towards $3,877.07 (target point). Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion: The chart signals a bullish continuation inside the ascending channel. Bullish Scenario: Holding above the $3,720–3,740 support zone, price is expected to rally toward the $3,877 target. Invalidation: A 4H close below $3,718 (EMA 50) could open a deeper correction toward the $3,600 support (EMA 200). --- Pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3817.13 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 3826.1 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 3799.8 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
The opportunity for gold short position at 3780-3790 is hereThe gold market saw a slight rebound after opening today, indicating that bulls and bears are still in a game in the short term. Although prices have rebounded, the overall trend has not yet broken away from the previously formed range of fluctuations, indicating that market sentiment is relatively cautious. From a technical perspective, gold prices have recently attempted to rise many times but have failed to effectively break through the key resistance area, indicating that the selling pressure from above is still relatively obvious. Combining last week's trading performance, prices repeatedly encountered resistance and retreated within the 3775-3785 range, forming a relatively clear technical resistance zone and providing a valuable trading reference. In this context, today's trading strategy can continue last week's overall thinking and maintain a judgment framework based on range fluctuations. If the gold price rebounds to the 3780 to 3790 area during the session and then shows signs of pressure again, such as a long upper shadow or insufficient trading volume, investors may consider establishing short positions in batches within this range and set reasonable stop-loss levels to control risks. At the same time, it is important to closely monitor the market's reaction to key economic data or macroeconomic policy developments, particularly changes in the US dollar index and US Treasury yields, as these factors will directly influence gold's short-term trend. Furthermore, the market is currently at a critical stage of selecting a corrective direction. If prices effectively break through previous highs and stabilize above the range, this could trigger a surge in technical buying, necessitating timely adjustments to holding strategies. Conversely, if prices fall below the lower limit of the range, the downward trend could accelerate. Therefore, before a clear breakthrough signal appears, it is recommended to wait and see or adopt a high-selling and low-buying approach to avoid blindly chasing highs and selling lows. Overall, a cautious approach is recommended at this stage, combining technical indicators with market dynamics to respond flexibly and enhance trading discipline and success rates.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
1
GOLD Local Rebound Ahead! Buy! Hello, Traders! GOLD closed above the horizontal demand area, confirming bullish participation. Price will surge from the zone in alliance with Smart Money principles, seeking to mitigate inefficiency while clearing sell-side liquidity. Target sits higher. Time Frame 1H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
Gold Update 29SEP2025: Top Is Soon, Then PullbackGold Futures are following the projected path closely The first target at $3,900 is now just "miles" away This level could mark the top of wave (3) of ((5)) After that, we might see a pullback to around $3,660 in wave (4) of ((5)), which typically revisits the low of the smaller wave 4 On the 4-hour chart, RSI shows bearish divergence, as it fails to confirm the new high at $3,859 with a lower peak Despite this signal, the market could still reach the $3,900 level Once wave (4) of ((5)) completes, we can reassess and project wave (5) of ((5)) — which might form as a triangle or another complex correction.
COMEX:GC1!
by aibek
Gold: Undervalued Safe-Haven Amid Macro Shifts?Gold: Undervalued Safe-Haven Amid Macro Shifts? $4,000 Target in Sight? 🚀 Gold at $3,817 (+1.28%), undervalued on central bank demand and inflation hedges amid trade barrier concerns—analysts forecast $4,000-$4,289 for 2025, average $4,000 implying 5% upside, asking if Fed cuts boost inflows. 📈 **Fundamental Analysis** Demand up with central bank buys and 1,271.7t investment in 2019; undervalued vs. historical inflation-adjusted highs, strong fundamentals from geopolitical risks, limited supply adding scarcity premium. - **Positive:** Inflation protector; ETF inflows rising. - **Negative:** No yield; opportunity cost with rates. **SWOT Analysis** **Strengths:** Dual monetary/industrial role; deficit outlook. **Weaknesses:** Price volatility; mining costs. **Opportunities:** Rate cut cycles; emerging demand. **Threats:** Strong dollar; crypto alternatives. **Technical Analysis** Chart in strong uptrend nearing records. Price: $3,817, VWAP $3,800. Key indicators: - RSI: 68 (bullish, approaching overbought). - MACD: 20 (positive crossover). - Moving Averages: Above 50-day $3,500, 200-day $3,200 (strong). Support/Resistance: $3,600/$3,900. Patterns/Momentum: Cup-and-handle targeting $4,200. 📈 Bullish. **Scenarios and Risk Management** - **Bullish:** Inflation data lifts to $4,000; DCA on pulls to $3,700. - **Bearish:** Rate hike fears drop to $3,500. - **Neutral:** Trades $3,800 on PMI data. Risk Tips: Stops at $3,600, max 5% exposure, diversify with bonds, DCA for fluctuations. ⚠️ **Conclusion/Outlook** Bullish pending Fed signals. Watch inflation reports. Fits macro theme with hedge upside. Take? Comment!
TVC:GOLD
by DCAChampion
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum ContinuesHello, traders! The prior price auction for XAUUSD was dominated by a wide consolidation range, from which the price broke out with significant bullish momentum. This breakout from the demand zone 2 established the current uptrend, which has since taken the form of a well-defined ascending channel, confirming that the market initiative is with the buyers. Currently, the price action continues to be guided by this ascending channel. After a successful breakout above the demand level, the price has reached the upper portion of the channel and is now in a corrective phase. This pullback is a normal part of a healthy uptrend and is bringing the price back towards an area of potential support. My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of the uptrend after this correction. I believe the price will find support, possibly after a brief dip, and then resume its rally within the channel. In my opinion, the underlying bullish momentum is strong enough to push for a new structural high. The take-profit is therefore set at 3785, targeting the upper resistance area of the channel. Manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
5
XAUUSD: Will the Strong Uptrend Continue?Hey everyone! If we take a closer look at XAUUSD, the price action is showing some promising signs. After breaking out from its previous trend and consolidating, we’re seeing the potential for a powerful continuation of the uptrend. The market is looking strong, and it’s possible we’re just getting started with a new leg up. My eyes are set on breaking above the 3,800 level, with the next target at 3,832. If this momentum holds, we could see even higher levels ahead! What do you think? Is XAUUSD ready to keep climbing, or are we about to see a pullback? Drop your thoughts and targets below - let’s analyze this together!
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabann
4