Gold
Gold/USD: Bullish Climb to $4100?OANDA:XAUUSD is showing a bullish setup on the 1-hour chart , with an entry zone between $3,963-$3,985 near a key support level.
First target at $4,075 marks initial resistance, while the second at $4,100 offers a deeper upside potential. Set a stop loss on a close below $3,940 to manage risk effectively. 🌟
A break above $3,985 with strong volume could confirm this move, driven by safe-haven demand and USD dynamics. Watch economic data trends! 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: $3,963 – $3,985 (support area)
❌ Stop Loss: Daily close below $3,940
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $4,075 (initial resistance)
TP2: $4,100 (extended target)
Ready for this rally? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Global economic data faces disruptionThe trading week from October 11 to 17 is expected to be highly volatile as the U.S. government shutdown could delay the release of key economic data such as CPI and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to assess inflation trends ahead of its upcoming policy meeting. Throughout the week, investors will focus on major events including the IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings, the NATO Defense Summit, and the G20 press conference.
Central banks like the Fed, ECB, and RBA will continue to shape market sentiment through speeches and meeting minutes, while China, OPEC, and the Eurozone will release crucial data on trade, inflation, and energy—potentially triggering short-term volatility across global markets.
Three key risks will dominate this week: escalating geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East, central bank communications that could shift interest rate expectations, and the potential resurgence of trade wars dampening global risk appetite. In this environment, safe-haven assets such as gold, the U.S. dollar, and Treasury bonds are likely to attract capital inflows, while equities and commodities may face downward pressure.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Trend Overview
• After a short-term correction to around $3,950/oz, gold prices rebounded and closed above $4,000 – confirming the recovery momentum in the main uptrend.
• The main trend remains strong, supported by:
o The MA20 is clearly sloping up.
o RSI remains above 60, not yet giving an overbought signal.
o The uptrend channel is still maintained, the daily candle closed near the top – showing overwhelming buying power.
Key Technical Zones
• Nearest Resistance: $4,059 – this is the short-term top that needs to be overcome to extend the upside.
• Next Resistance:
o Fibonacci level 0.382 at $4,232,
o Level 0.5 at $4,320,
o And the 0.618 extension at $4,408 – potential targets if gold maintains the current momentum.
• Short-term Support:
o $4,000 (strong psychological zone – now turned from resistance to support).
o Deeper support at $3,896 – $3,871, coinciding with the confluence of MA20 + previous correction bottom.
Summary
• Gold is basically in an uptrend (Wave 3) with strong momentum and no RSI divergence signal yet.
• As long as the price holds above $3,950, the uptrend remains dominant.
• If there is a decisive breakout above $4,059, the next target will be the $4,230 – $4,320 zone in the short term.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4076 - 4074⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4080
→Take Profit 1 4068
↨
→Take Profit 2 4062
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4000 - 4002⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3996
→Take Profit 1 4008
↨
→Take Profit 2 4014
Gold Breakout Setup After Completing CorrectionGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to $3,963 , as I expected in my previous idea .
Gold is currently moving near the lower line of the ascending and the Resistance zone($4,012 – $3,991) . If Gold touches $4,003 , we can expect a break of the Resistance zone($4,012 – $3,991) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) of Gold in the form of wave 4 has been completed, and we can expect a rise in Gold in the coming hours after the break of the Resistance zone($4,012 – $3,991) .
I expect Gold to break the Resistance zone($4,012 – $3,991) in the coming hours and rise to at least $4,047(First Target) .
Second Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)
Stop Loss(SL): $3,918(Worst)
Support zone: $3,954 – $3,923
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Today, we’ll be watching two reports :
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations.
If we see a significant deviation from expectations, it could trigger noticeable volatility in Gold .
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Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSDXAUUSD If the price cannot break above 4077, it is expected that in the short term the price will likely go down. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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gold vs platinum ratio chart month scale gold strongly outperformed platinum on higher frame chart
Gold vs Platinum — A Tale of Two Precious Metals
Gold has always been the global store of value — a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical fear. Central banks hoard it, investors flock to it during crises. It’s less about industrial demand, more about trust.
Platinum, on the other hand, is the workhorse metal — crucial for automobile catalytic converters, hydrogen fuel cells, aerospace, and even medical implants. Unlike gold, its price is deeply tied to industrial cycles and EV transition trends.
🔎 Price Action Check (Gold/Platinum Ratio)
The chart shows the Gold-to-Platinum ratio stabilising after a steep fall, suggesting that platinum has been catching up after years of underperformance. Historically, whenever gold trades too far above platinum, it signals either platinum undervaluation... or gold over-enthusiasm.
With the renewable wave kicking in and auto demand reviving — is platinum gearing up for a comeback against gold?
XAU/USD Technical Outlook – October 13, 2025Gold continues to respect its ascending channel on the H1 timeframe. After retesting the 4,000 psychological level, price has regained momentum, forming a new short-term base around 4,035–4,045.
The structure remains bullish, supported by higher highs and higher lows, with dynamic support from the channel’s lower boundary. Traders are now watching the retest zone near 4,050—a potential launch point for the next impulsive wave toward 4,120–4,160.
Key levels to watch:
Support: 4,035 – 4,045 / 3,990
Resistance: 4,085 / 4,120 / 4,160
EMA alignment: Bullish across short and mid-term EMAs
RSI: Maintaining above the midline, confirming buying strength
Trading strategy:
If price holds above 4,035, consider buy setups on pullbacks toward the lower trendline or Fibonacci retracement 38.2–50% zones. A confirmed break above 4,085 may trigger strong continuation toward 4,120+.
However, failure to defend 4,035 could signal a temporary correction toward the 3,990 area before resuming the uptrend.
The bias stays bullish as long as structure and momentum remain intact within this channel.
Follow for more daily insights and advanced gold trading strategies.
$BTC / Global Liquidity Acceleration with Business Cycle Today’s PA confirmed an interesting theory I’ve had where liquidity reaches risk assets faster as the business cycle picks up.
I wrote about this in depth in my “Twin Peaks” cycle top thesis (pinned tweet).
We were charting Total Global Liquidity with a 12-week lead against CRYPTOCAP:BTC before the rate cut in September, and then we got a 1-point higher reading in the ISM PMI, which I believe accelerated the liquidity cycle by a couple weeks.
I think for every 25 bps rate cut, we will see TGL accelerate by 2-weeks.
The next rate cut is expected at the October 29th FOMC.
It will be interesting to track liquidity flows and the ISM PMI after the next rate cut to see how they adapt to markets.
The GOLD / BTC chart confirms this acceleration, as GOLD typically has a near 1:1 ratio with TGL.
I was one of the first analysts to point out this signal earlier in year before all your favorite large accounts ran with it (go figure).
This acceleration in TGL would mark our local bottom near perfectly.
If this theory is correct and liquidity does accelerate by another 2 weeks, based on TGL, we would have the cycle’s first top somewhere around November 11th.
Currently it’s the 25th with a 10-week lead.
That would coincide with my OG ₿itcoin cycle analysis that I put out over 1.5 years ago, where I said the cycle top would be between OCTOBER 6th, which was already a local top, and NOVEMBER 9th.
However, there is a discrepancy with the GOLD / BTC chart. The local top would be around December 3rd. It’s currently the 17th with a 10-week lead.
I think GOLD has overshot TGL simply based on bull market mechanics creating a parabola.
To sum it up, stay vigilant over these next few months, and take nothing for granted.
The first peak will for sure come sooner than you think.
Going to be fascinating to follow these liquidity flows, at the very least.
Gold’s outlook after Friday’s newsA question came in on TradingView about gold’s outlook after Friday’s news.
My analysis methodology is built on a holistic review of exchange data, where options flow plays a central role — something long-time followers of my posts are already familiar with.
So here’s what Friday’s options flow is quietly telling us:
🔸 The bearish put spread (on November option series ) targeting lower levels from October 8th onward is still intact — suggesting downside sentiment remains in play.
Now, let’s be realistic:
Sophisticated players can always flip this position mid-flight by adding futures to hedge — turning it into a neutral or even bullish setup if the rally continues.
After all, we’re dealing with pros with deep pockets — and they don’t like losing money.
They’ll adjust. They’ll hedge. They’ll exit clean.
🔸 Second, Friday’s CME activity leaned bearish (screen attached)— or at least, profit-taking (fixing).
We see call strikes above current price either being closed or re-sold.
Volume is present — but open interest is flat, declining, or even negative.
That tells a story:
No new conviction for higher prices.
Just closing old upside bets.
📌 Bottom line:
The flow doesn't scream "crash coming right now" — but it does whisper:
"Be careful with the longs."
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Smart Money Setup | Bullish Outlook Above 3985 Price is currently trading near a key FVG & Demand Zone (Fib 0.5–0.618), showing signs of potential bullish reversal.
If the structure holds above 3985–3970, buyers could target the Weekly High at 4059 after reclaiming the Previous Day High (4022).
Analysis Highlights:
HTF Bias: Bullish – Rejection from demand + liquidity sweep.
Key Levels:
Support: 3985 / 3970 / 3947
Resistance: 4022 / 4059
Trade Idea: Waiting for liquidity grab → bullish CHoCH → entry confirmation.
Target Zones: 4022 → 4059
Invalidation: Break and close below 3947 zone.
Gold’s Playbook Repeating in Silver?HI GUYS!
History doesn’t repeat, but in the markets, it often rhymes, and silver’s chart looks eerily familiar.
Gold’s long-term cup-and-handle pattern between 2013–2023 led to a massive breakout above $4,000. Now, silver appears to be tracing the same formation, just a few years behind.
Silver’s cup (2011–2024) has completed, and its handle (a descending channel) is forming right where gold’s did before it launched.
The measured target? Around $200+ USD, a level that would mark a historic revaluation of the metal.
With industrial demand rising and monetary uncertainty persisting, silver could soon follow gold’s lead, turning this technical Deja vu into a full-blown breakout.
History’s playbook is open. Silver might be next.
GOLD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD breaks above a key horizontal level, confirming bullish momentum as Smart Money drives price toward premium zones. The breakout suggests continuation to the 4,035$ target while respecting liquidity structure.
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Stop Loss: 3,993$
Take Profit: 4,035$
Entry: 4,016$
Time Frame: 1H
-------------------
Buy!
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish After Opening
Just a quick follow-up for my Friday's publication for Gold.
I do believe that we will see a bullish market opening with
a highly probable test of 4039 level.
Taking into consideration the latest news, the price may
establish a new ATH and continue rising.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
“Distribution? Maybe. Reversal? Nah. Just liquidity doing yoga.”Dear Goldies, ✨
Ten straight weeks — gold has climbed without looking back.
But every rally meets gravity, and this one now stands at the top of its own empire.
Above 4,000, price breathes thin air — a zone where profit-taking becomes a language, not a choice.
The macro trend remains bullish, yet momentum is stretched.
Price sits high above its 21–50 EMA band, RSI prints divergence — the signature of an overextended leg.
This isn’t weakness — it’s distribution inside strength. The first calm breath after a ten-week sprint.
🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Structural Outlook
Macro Bias: Bullish, corrective phase
Gold trades deep within the premium range (4,050–4,180) — a historical supply.
Above 4,180 → 4,280–4,380 expansion
Below 3,720 → 3,420–3,300 re-accumulation
⚖️ The battle zone sits between 4,050–3,720, where liquidity decides control.
Weekly View:
Control Zone: 3,980–3,900
Supply: 4,050–4,130
Demand: 3,740–3,640
Soft USD = possible fake-out toward 4,185–4,260 before cooling.
H4 View: Compression → Expansion
Above 3,900: bullish rotations → 4,025 → 4,125 → 4,180
Below 3,900: correction → 3,840–3,700
H1 Intraday:
Main Supply: 4,045–4,065
Flip Zone: 4,015–4,030
Demand OB: 3,965–3,975
Sweep Zone: 3,945–3,925
Final Defense: 3,875–3,895
🎯 Tactical Paths:
🔼 Reclaim 4,030 → 4,065 → 4,105
🔽 Lose 3,975 → 3,945 → 3,875
🧭 Summary
Gold’s macro remains structurally bullish, but price is testing the top of its own range.
Expect engineered sweeps before FOMC as liquidity builds both sides.
4,050–4,180 → premium supply
3,900–3,740 → tactical demand
🦅 Patience > Prediction.
Reaction reveals intention — expansion follows timing.
Disclaimer : For Educational Purposes Only
YALLA XAUMO — WEEKLY COMPREHENSIVE (Confluence Edition)YALLA XAUMO — WEEKLY COMPREHENSIVE (Confluence Edition)
Educational only — not financial advice. Timezone: Africa/Cairo.
1) Snapshot & Map
Spot (XAUUSD): ~4012.8
Distribution Gate: 4022–4029 → unlocks 4046 → 4059.2 → 4090
Uploading bands (supports): 3985 (≈VWAP) • 3970.65 (15m swing low) • 3944.2 (H1/H4 base)
Context: Uptrend intact; repeated probes of 4029 with liquidity building below.
2) GC Futures Structure (COMEX)
GC1 (front): 4036.2
GC2 (next): 4054.4
Term spread: +0.45% → Contango (healthy carry)
Read: Spot marginally under GC1 → synced. Breakout quality improves if the spread flattens during a push.
Plain-English futures curve explainer (always included):
Contango → GC2 > GC1: a normal upward curve; storage/carry cost is priced in (not inherently bearish).
Backwardation → GC2 < GC1: often signals strong near-term demand or short supply.
Term spread (%) → % difference between GC2 and GC1 that shows whether the curve is rising or falling.
3) Fib-Kicker Volume Matrix
(Directional read; volumes summarized from your charts.)
Uploading = accumulation; Offloading = distribution at resistance.
4) Ichimoku Regime Table
15m: Price above cloud; Tenkan > Kijun; Chikou free above price → Bias +
1h: Touching/above Kijun; future cloud slightly up → Bias + (light)
4h: On/near cloud edge; needs a clean 4h close >4029 → Neutral → +
Daily: Well above cloud, stretched from Kijun → Bias ++
Weekly: Above cloud; major trend up → Bias ++
5) Schabacker Patterns (concise)
4h: Flag/rectangle build over 3985–4005.
Daily: Ongoing ascending structure; measured pushes toward 4046/4059.
Weekly: Extended uptrend; 4090 as decision/supply.
6) POC / VAL / VAH / VWAP Table
15m: POC ~4004 • VAL ~3996 • VAH ~4015 • VWAP ~4003
1h: POC ~4006 • VAL ~3992 • VAH ~4022 • VWAP ~4003
4h: POC ref ~3975.15 • value area rising toward ~4020 • VWAP wkly > 3995
Daily: POC 4012 • VAL 3995 • VAH 4029 • VWAP 4003
7) XAUMO Trend Map
15m: 62% Up — buy dips above VWAP 4003
1h: 58% Up — holding >4012 strengthens breakout odds
4h: 55% Neutral→Up — decision >4029
Daily: 68% Up — targets 4046/4059
Weekly: 72% Up — 4090 supply/trim zone
Composite bias: +61% Up — Prefer buy-the-dip; avoid chasing without RVOL & positive delta.
8) Kicker Improvement (Fib + Price Projections)
Gate: 4022–4029
Kickers: 4046 → 4059.2 → 4090
Below gate: Layered support 4003 → 3985/3971; 3944 break would invalidate the weekly bull case.
9) Trade Scenarios
A) Swing — Long (bias)
Type: Buy Limit on pullback into 3985–3971
Entry: 3988 ±
SL: 3961
TP1/TP2/TP3: 4029 / 4059 / 4090
Probability: 62% ↑
Confirmation: RVOL ≥ 1.1 + positive delta + 1H close above 4012/VWAP.
B) Reversal / Edge-Fade — Short (conditional)
Type: Sell Limit from 4046–4059 only on strong rejection
SL: 4066
TP1/TP2/TP3: 4029 / 4011 / 3995
Probability: 48% ↓
Confirmation: Negative delta + failure to close 1H above 4059 + RVOL rolls < 0.9.
Invalidation: 4H close >4066.
C) Scalping — Long (execution)
Type: Buy Stop >4022; add only after 15m/1h close >4029
SL: 4014
TP1/TP2: 4036 / 4046 (move SL to BE after TP1)
Probability: 58% ↑
Confirmation: RVOL ≥ 1.2, green delta, no sharp sell-off at 4046.
10) (Quick Kicker Reference)
4022 is ignition; sustained closes >4029 activate 4046 → 4059.2; 4090 is weekly decision/supply.
11) Macro Calendar — Week Ahead (Cairo)
Mon: Central-bank speaks / bill auctions.
Tue: Sentiment/Business surveys; secondary inflation prints.
Wed: Key inflation/central-bank minutes (if scheduled).
Thu: US jobless claims + activity gauges.
Fri: Consumer sentiment / inflation expectations.
Always re-check your platform calendar for exact times and adjust risk.
12) Arabic Quick Summary (one-liner)
Uptrend, buy dips 4003/3985, gate 4022–4029 → 4046/4059, fade 4046–4059 only with rejection & red delta, break 3944 kills weekly bull.
13) Quick Reference (levels)
Supports: 4003 • 3985 • 3970.65 • 3944.2
Gate: 4022–4029
Upside: 4046 → 4059.2 → 4090
Invalidation (Swing): Daily break <3944.
Disclaimer: Educational content only; not investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk.
🏆 Winners trade with XAUMO















