GBPUSD 1H Analysis: Bearish Pressure Builds After Break 📊 GBPUSD – 1 Hour Analysis (SELL)
Technical Outlook:
Bullish momentum is fading, and selling pressure is building after the recent break.
My trade plan is on the SELL side; target level: 1.33564 📉
Fundamental Analysis:
On the U.S. side, the strong dollar narrative and the Fed’s data‑driven stance continue to support USD strength.
Meanwhile, uncertainty around the U.K.’s growth/inflation balance and tighter financial conditions are weighing on GBP.
Together, these factors reinforce the downside bias in the pair.
🙏 Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Harmonic Patterns
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has seen a sharp and powerful rally over the past few weeks and continues to trade in a bullish structure.
From a fundamental perspective, there are still no major signs of weakness, as macro factors continue to support gold’s long-term uptrend.
However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term correction appears increasingly likely.
On the 4-hour chart, gold has recently broken its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
If price pulls back to retest the broken trendline and then breaks below the 4180 support level, we could see a deeper move toward the next support zone.
Volatility in gold has been extremely high in recent days, with sharp intraday swings.
It’s advisable to avoid aggressive entries at the moment and wait for clearer confirmation signals before taking new positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Main Watch - GBPCAD 20.10.25Good morning guys!!
As you know I am in Italy until Thursday, so my morning forecast videos will be paused until I return back home. I thought I would try and keep some consistency and post up my main pair I am watching for that day with a description of what I am looking for.
Main Watch - FX:GBPCAD
Euro will likely Continue its Decline to 1.1560 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has seen a significant shift in its structure, following a 'fake breakout' above the 1.1780 Resistance Level which led to a new ATH near 1.1920. This reversal initiated a new bearish phase, with the price action for EURUSD now being contained within a downward wedge. Currently, after finding support near the bottom of this formation, the asset is in a corrective rally, approaching the descending resistance line of the wedge. In my mind, this rally is a corrective move that will fail upon testing the wedge's resistance. I expect that the price will complete its small upward movement and be rejected from this dynamic resistance. I think this rejection will confirm that sellers remain in control and will trigger the next major decline. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 1.1560 level, targeting the major buyer zone at the bottom of the structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
GBPJPY – Recovery signals within the descending channelThe GBPJPY pair is showing clear signs of technical recovery after a strong downtrend. Recent fundamental developments are also supporting a short-term bullish outlook, mainly due to the weakening of the Japanese yen driven by political expectations and monetary policy stance in Japan.
1. Fundamental Outlook
The yen is under downward pressure as Sanae Takaichi, known for her pro-stimulus and dovish stance, is widely expected to become Japan’s next Prime Minister. In addition, BOJ Governor Ueda indicated that the central bank is not in a hurry to raise interest rates, which further reduces the appeal of holding JPY.
=>Impact: A weaker JPY, supporting an upside move in GBPJPY.
Meanwhile, in the UK, the British pound remains stable as recent fiscal reports show that the national budget remains under control, easing concerns about fiscal risk and giving GBP additional support.
2. Technical Perspective
On the 1-hour chart, GBPJPY continues to trade within a descending parallel channel, but the price has rebounded from the 201.5 support zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel.
The EMA34 and EMA89 are narrowing, indicating that the bearish momentum is fading.
The price could recover toward the 203.0 area, which coincides with the upper boundary of the channel. If buying pressure strengthens and price breaks above this level, the bullish extension toward 204.2 – 205.0 would become a realistic scenario.
TSLA – Sideways Accumulation Phase Ahead of Major NewsTesla’s stock is currently showing a stable sideways movement around the 430–445 USD range as the market awaits the company’s Q3 earnings report (on October 22).
Recent news reflects cautious investor sentiment , especially after ISS recommended rejecting Elon Musk’s massive compensation package and amid forecasts suggesting a slight decline in Q3 profits.
On the 4-hour chart, TSLA continues to maintain a medium-term uptrend, with prices oscillating around the EMA34 and EMA89, which act as equilibrium zones.
The 432 USD area remains the main support, while 493 USD stands as a key resistance level.
The chart indicates a high likelihood that the price will continue sideways within this range until the market reacts more clearly after the earnings release.
Summary
Currently, TSLA is in an accumulation phase , reflecting a tug-of-war between expectations of increased production and concerns over profit margin pressures.
In the short term, the trend is expected to remain sideways with a slight bullish bias, awaiting a potential breakout driven by the upcoming earnings announcement.
XAUUSD-GOLD 1H Chart—SELL Setup with 3 Profit TargetsHello Guys,
Here’s my 1-hour XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you.
These are the exact SELL levels I’ll be watching:
🔵SELL level: 4285.9
🔴 Stop level:4335.3 (or adjust based on your own margin)
🟢 TP1: 4264.8
🟢 TP2: 4232.1
🟢 TP3: 4185.0
Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.05
If XAUUSD-GOLD reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a SELL position.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
BITCOIN Did the 1W MA50 save the Cycle again??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has now completed two straight weeks since the Friday 10 flash-crash of almost touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but managing to hold it and rebound. This is not the first time we see this pattern during this Cycle. In fact it is a frequent one that systemically fuels the 3-year Channel Up of this Bull Cycle.
As you can see, ever since the November 21 2022 bottom of the previous Bear Cycle, the current Bull Cycle has been trading within this Channel Up pattern, which after it broke above the 1W MA50 and in March 2023, turned it into its long-term Support.
More specifically, since that day, every time BTC broke and closed a weekly candle below its 1W MA20 (red trend-line), it dropped further to its 1W MA50 to find Support, priced the Channel Up Higher Low and rebounded.
This has happened so far 3 times (excluding now), in September 2023 it almost touched the 1W MA50 and rebounded but in August 05 2024 and April 07 2025, it marginally breached it and then rebounded. Based on this, BTC is currently at or very close to the new Higher Low (Support), hence a buy opportunity.
The only condition that hasn't been fulfilled, is the 1W RSI entering its 2-year Support Zone. If the 1W MA50 indeed holds and manages to keep closing the 1W candles above it, that would be an indication that the Bull Cycle is still in effect. The minimum rally a pull-back has given throughout the Cycle has been +92.44%, so as long as it holds, there are strong probabilities that BTC may reach a least $143000.
Do you share that model's optimism or you think the new Bear Cycle has already started? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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USDJPY H4 | Could We See A Reversal From Here?USD/JPY is reacting off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 151.08, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 152.49, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 149.17, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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XAUUSD (Bullish setup) 1 Hour time frame
Price is currently consolidating near support after a strong pullback. The chart suggests a potential bullish reversal setup — price may retest the lower zone around 4,205–4,170 before continuing upward toward the 4,360–4,400 resistance area.
Volume is decreasing, indicating seller exhaustion and possible buyer entry soon.
📈 Trade Idea: Wait for bullish confirmation near support for a potential long move toward the upper resistance zone.
🟢 Bias: Bullish reversal setup
⚠️ Invalidation: A clear break below 4,165 may shift structure bearish.
UMAUSDT Forming Falling WedgeUMAUSDT is showing a falling wedge pattern, which is widely recognized as a bullish reversal indicator in technical analysis. This pattern typically forms during a downtrend when price movements begin to narrow, suggesting that bearish momentum is losing strength and a potential breakout to the upside may be near. The good trading volume observed reinforces this outlook, indicating that accumulation may already be taking place as traders anticipate a strong upward push. If a breakout occurs above the resistance line, UMAUSDT could see impressive gains of 90% to 100%+ in the coming sessions.
From a chart perspective, the falling wedge formation often precedes major bullish rallies when confirmed by increasing volume and consistent higher lows. UMAUSDT’s current setup fits this narrative perfectly, with clear signs of consolidation before an expected surge. Technical traders often view such patterns as prime opportunities to enter ahead of a reversal, especially when supported by favorable market sentiment and growing investor interest.
The recent uptick in attention from market participants further supports the bullish potential of UMAUSDT. Investors appear to be positioning early, recognizing the value opportunity as the token approaches a critical technical breakout zone. This growing confidence could fuel a strong buying wave once confirmation is achieved, setting the stage for a sustained upward trend.
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✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
GOLD Is this a Super Cycle??XAUUSD (Gold) has been rising non-stop basically since the last time it made contact with (and bounced on) the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) two years ago (October 2023). Contrary to what many believe, a technical correction may not be coming soon as this long-term bullish trend resembles the Super Cycle that started in the early 2001.
So far Gold is within a Channel Up since 2018 and the next correction may take place well within 2026 and closer to the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. In any case, if this is indeed a new such Super Cycle, Gold represents a sound long-term investment up until at least $8000, which would be again a +660% rise from the Bear Cycle's bottom (as in the previous Cycle).
Do you think history will repeat itself?
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SELL AUDUSD NOW - Profitable trade opportunity!Based on our deep analysis we can see that AUDUSD will head to the downside. Great time to SELL - it is currently in a MAJOR downtrend and is struggling to break past resistance levels. The next target is the support level to the downside. This is a great low risk high reward trade. SELL NOW!
$ASTER (4-HOUR): LOW VOLUMES today, HIDDEN BEAR OBV divergenceMore of a fundamental SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER update, the volumes are NOT confirming the intent, and some bearish HIDDEN OBV divergence right under the GOLDEN POCKET.
Not many people pay attention to golden pockets once they fail as support/reversal zones. Big mistake, they usually end up being the strongest of resistance zones in case of a reversal.
So, SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER has actually been underperforming the wider crypto market under these resistances, great on-chain results, steady incomes, much lower than the numbers pre-DEFILLAMA-delisting on 5 OCT (attached #DeFiLlama graph for visuals).
Daily revenues from fees now between $2M and 3M, whereas before the 6th llama-drama, between $12M and $25M. You believe what you want to believe, the fees are still great, only the 2nd #Buyback is NOT going to be as big as the one we had.
No, the latest ape-ins are likely in for a disappointment short-term. Just my 2 cents but at the end of the day it's about the project's fundamentals in this case, growth in users, volumes is necessary for the price action to follow.
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NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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ANGLE ONE, start of new teji cycl. Elliot Wave studyWave Structure Breakdown
Impulse Phase (Wave 1 to 5)
Wave 1: Initial breakout from base zone, often driven by early accumulation or fundamental trigger.
Wave 2: Shallow pullback, typically retracing 38–50% of Wave 1, confirming support.
Wave 3: Strongest rally, marked by volume expansion and institutional participation.
Wave 4: Sideways or mild correction, often forming a triangle or flag.
Wave 5: Final push, often driven by retail euphoria or news-based momentum.
Verdict: The completion of Wave 5 signals exhaustion and prepares the chart for a corrective phase.
🔻 Corrective Phase (a-b-c)
Wave a: Sharp decline—first leg of correction, often triggered by profit booking or macro headwinds.
Wave b: Temporary bounce, usually weak and low-volume.
Wave c: Final leg down, forming a descending triangle in this case, indicating consolidation and seller fatigue.
Verdict: The descending triangle acts as a base-building structure, setting up for a breakout.
Breakout & New Cycle Initiation
The chart shows a clear breakout above the triangle resistance, labeled “Start of New Cycle.”
This breakout is supported by volume and structure reset, indicating the beginning of a fresh impulsive wave—potentially Wave 1 of the next cycle.
Verdict: Long-term bullish setup confirmed. Ideal for accumulation and strategic positioning.
BTCUSDT – Correction Pressure ReturnsHello traders,
After a weak rebound earlier this week, Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum as it continues to face rejection around the 110,000 USD zone. On the 4-hour chart, price action remains clearly within a descending channel, indicating that the short-term trend still favors the bearish side.
From a technical perspective, BTC is currently being capped by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, both acting as dynamic resistance levels. The recent bounce appears to be merely a technical pullback following the previous strong sell-off, but lacks the strength to establish new upward momentum. The price structure is forming a tight consolidation zone near the upper boundary of the channel — typically a signal of “a pause before continuation of the prior trend.”
On the news side – Policy and sentiment headwinds
This week, the FSB (G20) warned of “major gaps” in global crypto regulation — a negative sign for market confidence, especially after a massive mid-month liquidation shook investor sentiment.
At the same time, China’s tighter stance on stablecoins is raising concerns about slower Asian inflows, while institutional demand remains weak.
Together, these factors create a market environment of low buying pressure and rising risk , giving bears the upper hand in the short term.
Possible Scenario
At the moment, BTCUSDT is trading within the 106,000 – 110,000 USD range.
If the price fails to make a decisive breakout above 110,000 USD, a continuation of the correction toward the 100,000 USD area remains highly possible — aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a key psychological support zone.
SOLANA 1D MA200 is the only level holding it from falling apart.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a very structured Channel Up pattern since the April 07 bottom, which was priced exactly on its 1W MA200 (red trend-line). The recent pull-back though (Bearish Leg) has got the market testing another key Support level, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
So far this has held on 4 successive tests, technically pricing a new Higher Low on the bottom of the Channel Up. This is what separates the start of the new Bullish Leg towards at least $278.00 (representing a +63.00% rise, the minimum rally so far inside this pattern) from a complete collapse to $105.00 and the 1W MA200. SOL needs to keep closing its 1D candles above the 1D MA200 to maintain the bullish trend.
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