Harmonic Patterns
Gold operation strategy, firmly bullish and unwaveringCurrently, gold's technical indicators still show an overbought condition, given its recent sharp upward trend. Therefore, some correction is expected. Support remains at the low level of 3746-3754. If this level is broken, a new downward trend could emerge in the short term. Overall, the upward momentum hasn't yet dissipated, but consolidation at these high levels could lead to a potential reversal. After yesterday's attempt to break through 3791, the bullish momentum weakened, requiring a brief pullback. Gold's upward trend pattern generally follows a "three steps forward, one step back" pattern, aiming for new highs. With both the international market and technical indicators pointing to further gains, the probability of a sustained downward correction is very low. Therefore, our trading strategy for today remains to buy on dips.
From the 4-hour analysis, the effective support below is maintained at around 3746-54, and the upper pressure is focused on the 3800 line. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Buy on dips at 3756-60; add to positions on dips at 3746-50; stop loss at 3738; target 3790-3800.
PYPL - one last drop before a bull run startshi traders,
Currently, PayPal is trading around the $68 level, but the chart suggests that the stock may not yet be ready to resume a sustained bullish trend. Based on the technical setup, we anticipate a possible drop in the coming months before a new bull run begins.
The key buy zone to watch is in the range of $54–$50. This area aligns with a strong support zone and potential trendline confluence, making it an attractive entry level for long-term investors.
Our expectation is that price action will retest this zone before reversing upward and starting the next significant bullish leg. Traders should remain patient and look for confirmation signals once PayPal approaches this support area.
If you don't know how to operate, please look here
Six hours ago, I suggested shorting around 3765 to 3770, waiting for support before going long. Based on market trends, this strategy is perfectly sound. The price has now risen to the resistance zone, which is exactly the take-profit point of my long position. I plan to close the long position first, and then go short again in the range of 3775 to 3785. Wait until the price falls back to the lower support level, and then look for opportunities to take back long orders. In today's market, both long and short positions can be profitable.
Those traders who are currently in a difficult situation and have no clear trading direction, please follow me and give me a like. You can leave your questions in the comment section. I will analyze your questions and reply to you. Watch how I help you get out of this predicament. Welcome to join my free base.
$ETH Bearish Short-Term (September 24, 2025)BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Summary of Price Action:
Recent Movement: In the last 24 hours, ETH has dropped by about 1.12%, reaching around $4,133 - $4,175 this morning (UTC). This follows a slight recovery from lows near $4,092 on September 22, but it's now retesting support at $4,100 amid strong institutional redemptions. In your 2H chart, we see a series of red candles (bearish) indicating selling pressure, with trading volume increasing during the decline, confirming seller interest.
Key Levels:
Support: $4,100 (immediate level, tested today) and $4,000 - $4,092 as a stronger lower zone. If $4,100 breaks, we could see a drop toward $3,900.
Resistance: $4,180 - $4,200 (strong level with recent rejections). A break above $4,200 would signal recovery toward $4,300.
Volume and Liquidity: 24-hour volume is around $34.8 billion, with large liquidations tied to $141 million in spot ETF outflows over the past day, mostly from institutional longs. This shows smaller traders suffering from bearish pressure.
MACD Indicator Analysis :In the chart you sent, the MACD line (blue) is crossing below the signal line (orange), with the histogram turning more negative (red bars growing). This indicates a bearish divergence – the price is weakening while momentum is losing strength. MACD is below the zero line, confirming a weak short-term trend. RSI (at similar levels) is around 40-50, signaling lightly oversold, but still without strong buy signals.
Overall Trend:
Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Long-TermShort-Term (Today/Next Day): Bearish.
The price is consolidating in a bearish channel, with predictions for further downside toward $4,000 - $4,092 today or tomorrow, due to fear sentiment and pressure from ETF outflows. This matches your chart, where we see a potential descending triangle pattern (but still uncertain). Avoid immediate buys – wait for confirmation below $4,100 for shorts or above $4,180 for longs.
$BTC Bearish Short-Term (September 24, 2025)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Summary of Price Action:
Recent Movement: In the last 24 hours, BTC has dropped by about 0.5% - 0.9%, reaching $112,479 this morning (UTC). This follows a slight recovery from $107,200 on September 23, but it's now retesting support at $112,000. In your 2H chart, we see a series of red candles (bearish) indicating selling pressure, with trading volume increasing during the decline, confirming seller interest.
Key Levels:Support: $112,000 (immediate level, tested today) and $110,000 - $107,200 as a stronger lower zone. If $112,000 breaks, we could see a drop toward $109,000.
Resistance: $115,000 - $117,000 (strong level with recent rejections). A break above $117,000 would signal recovery toward $120,000.
Volume and Liquidity: 24-hour volume is around $52 billion, with large liquidations ($1.7 billion in the last 24 hours), mostly long (bullish) positions. This shows smaller traders suffering from bearish pressure.
MACD Indicator Analysis :
In the chart you sent, the MACD line (blue) is slightly above the signal line (orange), but the histogram is turning negative (red bars growing). This indicates a bearish divergence – the price is weakening while momentum is losing strength. MACD is below the zero line, confirming a weak short-term trend. RSI (at similar levels) is around 44-55, signaling lightly oversold, but still without strong buy signals.
Overall Trend:
Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Long-Term
Short-Term (Today/Next Day): Bearish. The price is consolidating in a bearish channel, with predictions for further downside toward $110,000 - $107,000 today or tomorrow, due to fear sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 43) and pressure from liquidations. This matches your chart, where we see a potential inverse "head and shoulders" pattern (but still uncertain). Avoid immediate buys – wait for confirmation below $112,000 for shorts or above $115,000 for longs.
DOGEUSD – Rebound Setting Up for Next Leg Higher?Dogecoin has just tapped into the daily demand zone ($0.23 – $0.22) where buyers previously stepped in with strong momentum. From here, price has a high probability of pushing back toward the supply zone ($0.29 – $0.30).
🔑 Key Points to Watch:
✅ Price is holding above $0.23 support – bulls defending demand.
✅ If momentum builds, we could see a +20% upside move toward $0.29.
✅ Break below $0.22 would invalidate this setup and open doors for deeper correction.
📊 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Entry Zone: $0.23 – $0.24 (Demand area)
Target Zone: $0.29 – $0.30 (Supply area)
Stop Loss: Below $0.22 for risk management
Do you think DOGE will respect this demand zone and rally to $0.30, or will bears take over? Comment your thoughts below! 👇
$IDX:INKP Technical Analysis Bearish Divergence Weekly timeframeFundamental Analysis:
PBV: 0.37
Technical Analysis:
A Stochastic Bearish Divergence has been identified on the Weekly (1W) timeframe, pointing towards potential declines to the cluster areas of 6,000-5,850 and 5,125-4,900.
Stoploss: 4,300
Takeprofit 1: 9,975
Takeprofit 2: 12,475
Note:
-This analysis is only valid based on the company's current fundamentals (PBV 0.37).
-This analysis becomes invalid if the upcoming fundamental report (Q3) is not supportive.
-Takeprofit 2 is contingent on favorable market tides.
IDX:INKP
EUR/USD Trend Watch – Critical Supports & ResistanceEUR/USD Update
On the low time frame, EUR/USD is moving sideways around 1.1780, holding just below the 1.1810 zone.
Key levels:
1.1810 – 1.1846 → resistance zone. A breakout and hold above would confirm bullish continuation toward 1.1922.
1.1774 → immediate support on the low time frame. Losing this level increases pressure on the main trend.
Upside scenario: If EUR/USD can reclaim 1.1810+, momentum may shift bullish, with the next target at 1.1922.
Downside risk: Failure to hold above 1.1774 opens the door for a correction toward 1.1660 and possibly 1.1568 – 1.1530 cycle support.
Cycle support: 1.1530 – 1.1568 remains the must-hold long-term zone to keep the bullish cycle alive.
📌 Summary
Above 1.1810 – 1.1846 → bullish continuation toward 1.1922.
Below 1.1774 → risk of deeper correction, watch 1.1660 next.
Cycle zone 1.1530 – 1.1568 → critical long-term support.
Gold (XAU/USD) Cycle & Trend OutlookXAU/USD Update
On the low time frame, Gold is testing the 3,776 resistance zone after a strong rally.
Key levels:
3,776 → local resistance. A breakout and hold above this level would confirm continuation toward higher targets (3,800+).
3,762 – 3,657 → key support range. Holding this zone keeps the main uptrend intact.
Upside scenario: If price breaks and confirms above 3,776, bullish momentum continues, extending the rally.
Downside risk: Failure to hold 3,762 could trigger a pullback toward 3,657. A deeper breakdown below 3,657 would shift momentum bearish, targeting 3,314.
Cycle support: 3,314 is the major cycle trend level that Gold must protect to maintain its broader bullish structure.
📌 Summary
Above 3,776 → bullish continuation with potential new highs.
Hold above 3,762 – 3,657 → main uptrend remains safe.
Below 3,657 → correction risk toward 3,314 cycle level.
US30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating aroundUS30 Update
On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating around 46,351 – 46,398 after testing the breakout zone.
Key levels:
46,398 – 46,351 → short-term decision zone. A breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation toward 47,170.
46,177 – 45,796 → support zone for the main uptrend. As long as price holds above this, the bullish cycle remains intact.
Upside scenario: If price reclaims and holds above 46,398, momentum strengthens for another push higher, with 47,170 as the next major resistance.
Downside risk: If price fails to hold above 46,177, deeper correction could follow, with 45,796 as first support.
Cycle level: 41,097 is the cycle start and a critical must-hold area for the long-term bullish structure.
📌 Summary
Above 46,398 → bullish continuation toward 47,170.
Hold above 46,177 – 45,796 → main uptrend safe.
Break below 45,796 → correction risk, broader weakness possible.
41,097 → cycle start and major long-term support.
GBP/USD – Bearish Trend, Watching 1.3510 Rejection📌 GBP/USD – Trading Plan (H1)
✅ Main Trend:
Bearish trend.
Recent Break of Structure confirms sellers remain in control.
📍 Key Levels:
Short-term Resistance: 1.3510 – 1.3525 (FVG + trendline).
Support Target: 1.3460 – 1.3440.
🎯 Scenarios:
1. Bearish Scenario (main plan):
Wait for price to pull back into 1.3510 – 1.3525.
Look for rejection → enter SELL targeting 1.3460 – 1.3440.
SL above 1.3535.
2. Bullish Scenario (alternative):
If price breaks and sustains above 1.3530, consider short-term BUY.
Target zone 1.3560 – 1.3580.
SL below 1.3510.
👉 Conclusion:
Bias remains bearish. Focus on SELL setups at resistance. BUY is only a backup if price breaks above key levels.
Juniper Hotel : Trading in tight range Juniper Hotel : Trading in tight range
BB shows upper band contraction.
Week longs getting eliminated
one can wait for trendline breakout
CMD :303 or 310
Targets : 345 and 398
Immidiate registance: 326
SL : 290
NOte : This is not buy sell recommendation and view is purely for study purpose. Cheers !!
USTC/USDT — Key Demand Zone: Rebound or Breakdown Toward?USTC is once again trading at a crucial demand zone (0.0105 – 0.0115 USDT) on the 4D chart (Binance). This area has repeatedly acted as a strong support since 2024, absorbing heavy selling pressure and triggering notable rebounds.
This zone is not just a normal support — it’s an accumulation area that has historically sparked strong bounces. Long downside wicks confirm liquidity sweeps, followed by quick recoveries, signaling active demand around this region.
---
🔎 Structure & Pattern
1. Range / Sideways Accumulation
Price is moving within a wide range between this demand zone and layered resistances above, showing mid-term accumulation before a bigger move.
2. Lower Highs after Spikes
Each strong rally has failed to break above major resistance, forming lower highs and signaling persistent supply pressure.
3. Liquidity Sweeps
Multiple fake breaks below support (long wicks) indicate liquidity grabs, where stop losses are triggered before price returns inside the range.
---
🚀 Bullish Scenario
If the 0.0105 – 0.0115 support zone holds:
Confirmation comes from a bullish rejection candle (pin bar / engulfing) on the 4D timeframe.
Upside targets:
🎯 0.01438 (nearest resistance)
🎯 0.01915 (mid resistance)
🎯 0.02386 – 0.02865 if momentum expands further
Logic: Repeated defense of this zone suggests accumulation, with potential for short covering and fresh buying that can drive price back into mid-range resistances.
---
⚠️ Bearish Scenario
If 0.0105 breaks on a 4D close:
Breakdown would confirm weakness → likely downside to 0.00813 (historical low).
A move below this level may open the door for deeper bearish continuation.
Logic: Many stops are placed below this zone. A breakdown with strong volume could trigger panic selling and accelerate bearish pressure.
---
📌 Key Levels
Main Support: 0.0105 – 0.0115
Layered Resistances: 0.01438 → 0.01915 → 0.02386 → 0.02865 → 0.03839 → 0.05434
---
🎯 Conclusion
USTC is standing at a decision point:
Holding above 0.0105–0.0115 may trigger a rebound toward 0.01438 and 0.01915 with attractive risk-to-reward potential.
A confirmed breakdown below 0.0105 opens room toward 0.00813 and possibly lower.
Wait for a clear 4D close and volume confirmation before committing to either side.
---
#USTC #USTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #Altcoins #SupportResistance #ChartPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BullishOrBearish
NZDUSD H1 | Could the kiwi drop from here?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which acts as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.5883, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.5921, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.5835, which is a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD (Gold) Daily Update – Channel in Play!Gold has been on an incredible bullish run, breaking above key levels and holding inside a strong ascending channel. Price is currently trading around $3,775, and momentum remains firmly with the bulls.
🔎 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Price is respecting the parallel channel structure, bouncing between support & resistance.
2️⃣ After a strong impulse move, we may see a healthy pullback towards channel support (~$3,740 area) before the next leg up.
3️⃣ As long as the lower channel holds, the bullish trend remains intact with potential targets near $3,820 – $3,840.
⚠️ What to Watch:
A clean rejection at channel resistance could trigger a retracement.
A breakout above the upper channel = continuation of strong bullish momentum.
Break below the channel support = possible shift in short-term trend.
💡 Trading Plan Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Look for buy opportunities on pullbacks near the lower channel line.
Maintain stops below channel support.
First target: $3,820 → Extended target: $3,840+.
📌 Gold remains the market’s safe-haven favorite, and the structure is giving traders clear levels to work with.
👉 Do you think Gold will break out of this channel or correct deeper first? Drop your thoughts below ⬇️
#XAUUSD #Gold #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Major Global Soft Commodity Markets1. Understanding Soft Commodities
1.1 Definition and Classification
Soft commodities are raw materials that are cultivated, harvested, and traded for various purposes, including food, feed, fuel, and fiber. Unlike hard commodities such as metals and energy resources, softs are perishable and subject to seasonal cycles. They are typically traded on futures markets, allowing producers to hedge against price fluctuations and investors to speculate on price movements.
1.2 Key Characteristics
Perishability: Most soft commodities have a limited shelf life, requiring efficient storage and transportation systems.
Seasonality: Production cycles are influenced by planting and harvesting seasons, affecting supply and prices.
Geographic Concentration: Certain regions dominate the production of specific soft commodities, making them vulnerable to local disruptions.
Price Volatility: Prices can be highly volatile due to factors like weather events, pests, and geopolitical tensions.
2. Major Soft Commodities and Their Markets
2.1 Coffee
Coffee is one of the world's most traded commodities, with Brazil, Vietnam, and Colombia being the top producers. The market is influenced by factors such as climate conditions, currency fluctuations, and global demand trends. Futures contracts for coffee are traded on exchanges like ICE Futures U.S., providing a benchmark for global prices.
2.2 Cocoa
Cocoa is primarily produced in West Africa, with Ivory Coast and Ghana leading global production. The market has experienced significant price fluctuations due to supply deficits, often caused by adverse weather conditions and political instability in producing countries. The New York Cocoa Exchange, now part of ICE Futures U.S., plays a crucial role in setting global cocoa prices.
2.3 Sugar
Sugar is a staple in the global food industry, with Brazil, India, and China being major producers. The market is influenced by factors such as government policies, biofuel mandates, and global consumption patterns. Futures contracts for sugar are traded on exchanges like ICE Futures U.S., providing transparency and liquidity to the market.
2.4 Cotton
Cotton is essential for the textile industry, with China, India, and the United States being the largest producers. The market is affected by factors like weather conditions, labor costs, and global demand for textiles. Futures contracts for cotton are traded on exchanges such as ICE Futures U.S., offering a platform for price discovery and risk management.
2.5 Corn and Soybeans
Corn and soybeans are vital for food, feed, and biofuel industries. The United States is a leading producer of both crops, with significant exports to countries like China and Mexico. Futures contracts for these commodities are traded on exchanges like the CME Group, providing mechanisms for hedging and speculation.
2.6 Wheat
Wheat is a staple food for billions worldwide, with major producers including Russia, the United States, and China. The market is influenced by factors such as weather conditions, global demand, and trade policies. Futures contracts for wheat are traded on exchanges like the CME Group, offering a platform for price discovery and risk management.
3. Trading and Investment in Soft Commodities
3.1 Futures Markets
Futures markets are central to the trading of soft commodities, allowing producers to hedge against price fluctuations and investors to speculate on price movements. Exchanges like ICE Futures U.S. and the CME Group provide platforms for trading futures contracts, offering transparency and liquidity to the market.
3.2 Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
ETFs provide investors with exposure to soft commodities without the need to directly trade futures contracts. For example, the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN) and the Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) offer investors a way to invest in these commodities through the stock market.
3.3 Physical Trading
Physical trading involves the buying and selling of actual commodities, often through long-term contracts between producers and consumers. Companies like ECOM Agroindustrial play a significant role in the physical trading of commodities such as coffee, cocoa, and cotton.
4. Factors Influencing Soft Commodity Markets
4.1 Weather and Climate Conditions
Adverse weather events like droughts, floods, and hurricanes can significantly impact the production of soft commodities, leading to supply shortages and price volatility.
4.2 Geopolitical Events
Political instability, trade disputes, and sanctions can disrupt supply chains and affect the prices of soft commodities.
4.3 Economic Policies
Government policies, such as subsidies, tariffs, and biofuel mandates, can influence the production and consumption of soft commodities, impacting their market dynamics.
4.4 Global Demand Trends
Changes in consumer preferences, population growth, and dietary habits can affect the demand for soft commodities, influencing their prices.
5. Challenges and Risks in Soft Commodity Markets
5.1 Price Volatility
Soft commodity markets are characterized by high price volatility due to factors like weather conditions, geopolitical events, and market speculation.
5.2 Supply Chain Disruptions
Natural disasters, transportation issues, and political instability can disrupt supply chains, leading to shortages and price increases.
5.3 Regulatory Uncertainty
Changes in government policies, such as trade restrictions and environmental regulations, can create uncertainty in the market.
6. Outlook for Soft Commodity Markets
6.1 Emerging Markets
Countries in Asia and Africa are becoming increasingly important players in the production and consumption of soft commodities, influencing global market trends.
6.2 Technological Advancements
Innovations in agricultural technology, such as precision farming and biotechnology, have the potential to improve yields and reduce the environmental impact of soft commodity production.
6.3 Sustainability Initiatives
There is a growing emphasis on sustainable practices in the production and trade of soft commodities, driven by consumer demand and regulatory pressures.
7. Conclusion
Soft commodities are integral to the global economy, influencing food security, industrial production, and trade dynamics. Their markets are complex and influenced by a myriad of factors, including weather conditions, geopolitical events, and economic policies. Understanding these markets is crucial for producers, traders, and investors alike to navigate the challenges and opportunities they present.