BTC / SP500 Correlation📝Summer decorrelation took place as we said earlier. Now it seems that soon the assets will start to converge again.
Also, you must remember seasonality when comparing the stock market with #Bitcoin. Now it seems that the stock market is expecting short-term turbulence against the background of reduced rates.
💡In October, I expect a situation similar to last year's where Bitcoin will begin to catch up with the stock market.
Harmonic Patterns
APTUSDT Forming Falling WedgeAPTUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, which is widely recognized as a bullish reversal structure in technical analysis. This setup often emerges after a corrective phase and signals a potential shift in momentum once the price breaks out to the upside. With the wedge narrowing and volume showing healthy levels, the probability of a breakout rally is increasing. Based on the chart outlook, the expected gain for this move could range between 30% to 40%+, making it an attractive opportunity for traders and investors.
The falling wedge pattern highlights a gradual decline in selling pressure while accumulation quietly builds at lower levels. As the price action continues to compress, it sets the stage for a strong bullish breakout once resistance levels are cleared. This kind of setup is often followed by impulsive upward moves, especially if accompanied by an increase in trading activity and investor participation.
Investor sentiment around APTUSDT is showing improvement, with growing interest in this project suggesting that market confidence is returning. As accumulation strengthens and the wedge pattern completes, the pair could enter a new bullish phase. Traders should monitor closely for breakout confirmation, as it may unlock higher price targets in the coming weeks.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
AKE ON WAY TO MAIN TREND - UPDATE 30-10-2025📊 AKEDO/USDT Update
The coin is now trading above the low time frame zone (0.00129 – 0.00133), showing strength after the recent recovery.
If momentum continues, the next key area is the main trend zone (0.00170 – 0.00190).
Once price enters and holds this main trend, there’s open space above with potential continuation toward 0.00259.
As long as AKEDO stays above the low time frame, bias remains positive for a push toward the main trend.
✅ Outlook: Strong chance of continuation if main trend is reclaimed.
STRKUSDT Forming Descending WedgeSTRKUSDT has recently completed a breakout from a descending wedge structure, which is a bullish reversal pattern often signaling the end of prolonged consolidation. The chart shows that price action has broken above key resistance levels, supported by strong trading volume. This indicates that buying pressure is returning, setting the stage for a possible 60% to 70%+ move to the upside in the coming sessions.
The wedge breakout highlights a significant shift in momentum, as sellers lose control and buyers step in aggressively. Historically, such setups lead to impulsive rallies, especially when backed by investor confidence. For STRKUSDT, this breakout could serve as the beginning of a stronger bullish trend if follow-through volume continues to rise.
With market sentiment improving and investors showing renewed interest in this project, the current levels may prove to be an attractive accumulation zone. As the breakout matures, the pair could target higher resistance zones, unlocking further upside potential. Traders and investors alike will be closely monitoring for continuation signals to ride this bullish wave.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Target 120,000!!!TOKEN 2049, the world's largest cryptocurrency summit, has been held in Singapore, with nearly all of the crypto world's top investors in attendance. The number of participants is expected to exceed 25,000. The conference will focus on infrastructure development in the crypto world. This conference will also present significant investment opportunities in the cryptocurrency market. Many ordinary people rarely have the opportunity to achieve financial freedom in their lifetime through investing in the market.
Based on the current trend, the price is certain to break through 120,000 in the short term, with the possibility of a correction thereafter.
SQD PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $0.22SQD PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $0.22
Currently $0.22
Targeting $0.18200 or Down
(Trading plan IF SQD
go up to $0.24 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The core basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea consists of two main points.
First, within the Double Zigzag pattern, each zigzag forms a 1:1 length ratio.
WAVE.Y1=WAVE.Z1
For easier identification, I have illustrated this section in the chart below.
The second is ZIF.
ZIF (Zone of Interpretive Freedom) is a concept I devised myself, and it refers to the price range between the 1.0 ratio and the 1.414 ratio when Fibonacci retracement is drawn.
This range serves as a critical zone for determining the validity of the idea, and as long as the range is not breached, the strategy is considered to remain valid. Also, the closing basis of ZIF is the daily candle’s closing price.
Simply moving outside of ZIF does not immediately invalidate the perspective.
Although the high of September 18 has been broken upward as of the current point in time, I regard this upward breakout as a false breakout (whipsaw).
The reason is that leading altcoins are moving sideways, failing to follow Bitcoin’s movement, and are showing declining momentum.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 112.970 USDT.
Additional briefings will be continuously updated to this idea as the chart develops.
[SeoVereign] ETHUSDT BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The key basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is that the Crab pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has been fully confirmed.
For clearer verification, I have directly plotted the relevant section on the chart for your reference.
For reference, the Crab pattern is an extended harmonic pattern with high volatility, typically forming point D at the 1.618 level relative to the XA wave, and is characterized by a strong reversal movement thereafter.
Due to these characteristics, it is evaluated as a highly reliable pattern within the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 4,135.40 USDT.
Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.
[SeoVereign] SOLANA BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is that an arbitrary wave m has formed a 1:1 length ratio with another wave n.
In addition, the Crab pattern at the 1.618 level has also been fully confirmed, further supporting the possibility of additional downside.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 212.94 USDT.
Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.
[SeoVereign] RIPPLE BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is grounded in Elliott Wave Theory.
In Elliott Wave analysis, the following representative length ratios are applied:
WAVE5 = WAVE1~3 * 0.382
WAVE.C = WAVEA * 0.618
To help you confirm these ratios more intuitively, I have plotted all the relevant sections on the chart.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 2.855 USDT.
Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.
CHZUDT UPDATE#CHZ
UPDATE
CHZ Technical Setup
Pattern: Bullish falling wedge breakout
Current Price: $0.0433
Target Price: $0.0607
Target % Gain: 40.78%
CHZ is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the 1D timeframe. The breakout highlights bullish momentum with a target near $0.0607, offering over 40% potential upside. Structure supports continuation if momentum sustains. Always use proper risk management.
APTUSDT UPDATE#APT
UPDATE
APT Technical Setup
Pattern: Bullish falling wedge breakout
Current Price: $4.64
Target Price: $7.55
Target % Gain: 65.55%
APT is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the 1D timeframe. The breakout signals bullish momentum with upside potential toward $7.55. Market structure supports continuation if buyers maintain strength. Always use proper risk management.
Any dip is a buying opportunity!Affected by the shutdown of the US economy, the gold bulls are approaching the 3895 line, and are only one step away from 3900. At present, gold is under pressure and is adjusting. We should not chase too much at high levels, but wait for a retracement before buying more.
From the 30-minute view, gold has seen consecutive rising positive lines, and the upward trend is still fierce. You can still continue to chase the long position, and the pressure level is 3390.
Gold at PRZ – Crab Pattern in PlayGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise as I mentioned in my previous idea and created a new All-Time High(ATH) again .
How long do you think the trend toward forming a new ATH will continue?
Gold is currently trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines .
In theory, Elliott waves , PRZ , and Resistance lines could be the start of a correction, even a deep one( End of the main wave 5 ) .
There is also a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern seen in the Gold chart that could lead to a decline in Gold .
I expect Gold to start correcting again.
First Target: $3,819
Second Target: $3,807
Third Target: $3,793
Stop Loss(SL): $3,854
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURO/USD 123 TOP FORMATION CANCELEDHey traders so today looking at the Euro and at this time I can say that the top formation has now been canceled.
They say picking tops and bottoms can be tricky I guess that true.
There was strong resistance at 1.1833 and for a long time could not break above it well finally it did. Normally when you see a 123 top formation form on the daily charts it has 70% of being right in line with a trend change from uptrend to downtrend. However 30 % of the time we will be incorrect. This is one of those 30% trades. 😂
So what now well the fact that the market has closed above strong resistance is a strong signal that the market wants to move higher. Think of this this way if market breaks the ceiling (resistance) it's looking to find a new ceiling. If market breaks floor (support) its searching for a new floor. However there is a conflicting signal with the COT they are net long which could lead to strong profit taking.
So therefore Scenarios for today.
Bullish- I think wait for a pullback to at least a test of support the old 2 point at 1.1555 it the market bounces of it that should be sign that wants to hold that level and maybe take shot long with a stop below another support area.
Bearish- The market needs to break back under 1.1555 and close below it in order to see a true sign that they want to push it lower if we can get daily close below 1.1555 it might be worth taking a shot short again on a rally back to resistance at 1.1555 the put a protective stop higher somewhere close to higher resistance.
Commitment of Traders- This is very interesting because although market made new high they are still overcrowed long at 120,000 contracts at one point they will have to start closing those long positions because there will eventually be no one left to sell to if everyone is already long. Will check report again this Friday and see what the instiutional positioning looks like. But for now it looks like a long squeeze is building which could possibly in theory catapult market lower if they start to unwind it like they did last year in Sept 2024.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
Gold prices will fluctuate between $3,900 and $4,000.Gold prices will fluctuate between $3,900 and $4,000.
As the chart shows, gold is about to break through $3,900. Once gold prices accelerate, they may consolidate in the $3,900 to $4,000 range in the short term.
Continuing with yesterday's approach, we will wait for a pullback to lower prices before entering a long position.
Key Points: The gold market is being driven by two major forces: risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policy.
Short-Term: As long as expectations of a Fed rate cut persist, gold prices are expected to reach higher levels.
Risks: Be wary of any signs of exhaustion of positive news or unexpected negative news (such as easing geopolitical tensions or strong US economic data), which could trigger a pullback from gold's highs.
--------------------------------------------------
Technical Analysis:
Technical analysis suggests that gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, but also suggests a potential pullback.
Current Trend and Position:
Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, with the daily chart moving strongly along the upper Bollinger Band. The current key resistance level is $3,900-3,906 (the upper Bollinger Band and a psychological barrier). If it can successfully break through, the next target could be $3,945 or even $4,000.
Key Support Levels:
Short-term support: $3,850 (the upper limit of the previous consolidation range).
Medium-term support: $3,750 (the middle Bollinger Band). As long as gold prices do not fall below this level during a correction, the overall upward trend will be maintained.
Trading Strategy:
Buy Range: 3850-3880, with phased long positions.
Stop Loss: 3845
Target: 3900+
$BTC BTC/USDT Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Chart Pattern
A double bottom pattern has formed around 109,000 – 110,000, which often signals a strong bullish reversal as buyers defend the same support level twice.
Key Levels
Main Support: 109,000 – 110,000 (double bottom area).
Immediate Resistance: 118,000 – 120,000 (currently being tested). A breakout above this level will confirm the double bottom reversal.
Upside Target (TP): Supply zone around 127,000 – 130,000.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 114,700 – 115,000 (minor support after breakout), BTC has the potential to continue toward 118,000.
A confirmed breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 will open the path toward 127,000 – 130,000.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to break 118,000 – 120,000 and a drop back below 114,700 may lead BTC to retest 110,000 support.
A breakdown below 110,000 will invalidate the double bottom and expose BTC to further downside below 105,000.
Conclusion
The structure currently favors the bulls with the double bottom pattern in play. As long as 110,000 holds, the medium-term outlook remains positive. A breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 would confirm the bullish bias and set the stage for a move toward 127,000 – 130,000.
$QS – Flat Top Breakout with Dual ThemesNYSE:QS – Flat Top Breakout at $14.50–$15 Zone
QuantumScape ( NYSE:QS ) is setting up for a flat top breakout right in the $14.50–$15 range, and the chart plus themes behind it make this one worth watching closely.
🔹 The Setup:
Multi-week base pressing into the $14.50–$15 resistance zone.
Price action is tightening with volume contraction — a classic pre-breakout signal.
A clean move through $15 could trigger a momentum run.
🔹 The Themes Driving It:
1️⃣ Battery / Alt Energy Trade – The whole sector is catching momentum as the AI data center buildout pushes energy themes higher.
2️⃣ Quantum Hype Tailwinds – Even though NYSE:QS doesn’t actually do quantum computing, the “Quantum” name attracts speculative flows whenever that theme gets hot.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Starter near $14.50–$15 with anticipation.
2️⃣ Add: Full size on breakout through $15 with strong volume.
3️⃣ Stop: Below recent base lows — keep it tight.
Why I Like This Setup:
Flat top structures at round numbers = explosive potential.
Sector tailwinds + speculative narrative = extra juice.
Tight risk with clear invalidation makes this a high R/R setup.
ETH/USD — Elliott Wave Setup Points to $6K or Breakdown at $4400Ethereum is trading near $4308, consolidating just below heavy resistance at $4400–$4600. Order book heatmaps show massive liquidity stacked here, while support thins around $3800–$4000. A break above could trigger a large-scale short squeeze — nearly $13.22B in shorts sit at risk around $4700.
Wave Structure
• Wave iii peaked at $4612 (78.6% Fib).
• Wave iv bottomed at $4061 (23.6% Fib).
• Next extension targets: $5233, $5815, $6406.
• Long-term Fibonacci extension: $6922.
Funding & Sentiment
Funding rates have normalized after swinging negative in September. Neutral positioning reflects market indecision: breakout or deeper retrace.
Key Levels
• Resistance: 4400–4600, 4700, 5233, 5815
• Support: 4061, 3800, 3665–3374
Trading Plan
📈 Long above 4600 → Targets: 4700 / 5233 / 5815 (SL 4300)
📉 Short below 4060 → Targets: 3800 / 3665 (SL 4220)