Harmonic Patterns
What do you think about the market outlook after gold’s plunge?The gold price reversed its earlier upward trend as it was reported that U.S. President Donald Trump signed a potential trade agreement with the UK, which dampened market sentiment. Meanwhile, investors are awaiting the outcome of the Sino-U.S. trade negotiations this weekend. In terms of trade agreements, any cooling of the trade war and reduction of uncertainties are bearish for gold. If the U.S. and the UK announce a trade agreement, it will be beneficial for the overall global economy. Technically, gold is currently still in a wide-range oscillation within the interval of 3,500 - 3,201. The short-term support is near 3,318 dollars, which is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the 3,201 - 3,435 band. This is a crucial support level for the bulls. As long as this level holds, the bullish sentiment with a focus on buying at lower levels for gold remains unchanged.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3355-3360
TP:3310-3320
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThe chart you've provided shows a 15-minute candlestick pattern for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from OANDA. Here's a quick analysis:
Trade Setup: A short (sell) trade was placed after a rally.
Red Box: Indicates the stop-loss zone (above the entry point).
Green Box: Represents the take-profit zone (below the entry point).
Text "TARGET SUCCESSFUL": Suggests that the price moved downwards and hit the target profit level.
Entry Price: Around 3,357.
Target (Take-Profit): Near 3,332.556.
Stop-Loss: Near 3,368.
This trade was successful, as the price dropped and touched the take-profit zone, exiting before hitting the stop-loss.
Would you like help setting up a similar trade or analyzing another part of the chart?
AXLUSDT UPDATE
AXL/USDT Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: \$0.3837
Target Price: \$0.73
Target % Gain: 95.47%
Technical Analysis: AXL has broken out of a falling wedge on the 2D chart with a strong bullish candle and 11.48% daily gain. Volume is rising, confirming the breakout with clear upside potential toward \$0.73.
Time Frame: 2D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
PUT CALL SELL SIGNAL IS NOW IN PLACE I am 100% short The chart posted is the put/call model We popped thru the bb bands I have now moved to a 100 % puts in the money dec 26 on qqq and spy I will add if the qqq can print 494 or the Spy can print and new high The cycle top was due 5/12 is a minor n MAJOR Best of trades Wavetimer
2025 forecast NYA Wave B top nearing 20% decline plusThe chart posted is that of the NYA .12/8 /2024 Major wave B top forming target 20,190 alt 22130 . Cycles are bearish into 2025 and well into oct 2026 Depression Like decline . into oct 2026 . First big decline should take us down into the spiral turn date 3/10 2025 week . in what should be an 11.8 to 16.6 % decline we should then see a rally into Mid July to Sept 2nd Then cycles begin next bear cycle phase . Down hard in most of 2026 The market in this decline should take us down about another 26 to 35% in wave 3 , The final low if the big picture is correct should see a major low oct 10/20 2026 the total decline should be 38% to 44 % Gold should see 1050 to 1489 . Bonds should form a rally but will fail over n over . BMV:US should see 119 to 121 handle in 2025 by mid oct 2025 . . Tariffs and the trade war are the main reason . But the markets since 2009 have been Liquidity driven with zero rates forced money flows into Assets 2025 will see a Deleveraging of inflation assets as we decline in housing markets based on the 18.8 year cycle in housing . Unemployment will see a sharp rise into 5.5 -6.1% into oct 2025 . based on downsizing of the federal workers Bitcoin will see a drop min 42/35 and a final low is 18500 to 22100 peak to low . . In dec 2021 Forecast called for a 20 plus decline into oct 10 to the 20th 2022 into 3510 to 3490 in the sp 500 .Dec 2022 forecast was calling for a rally to new highs in all indexes . In dec 2023 forecast called for the sp to reach 5636 to 5818 and the year of a vix of 29 or better we saw 60 . What next is at most I have said is a target in the sp of 6183/6235 We may or may not reach that But if is going to it will be jan 2 to the 20th 2025 . The last of the money flow . Best of trades WAVETIMER
Gold's volatile decline is in line with expectationsFrom the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed down, breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. In this cycle, gold has experienced a big rise and fall, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first pay attention to the support effect of 3360-3350 under weakness. If it does not break, we can continue to go long and bullish, with the upper target at 3400. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3350-3300 line of support.
Gold latest market analysisAt present, the gold 1-hour moving average crosses downwards and the short positions are arranged. Now it is under pressure at 3270 and is suppressed and falls back. 3270 is still the key turning point for gold bulls and bears. Although there is a rebound, the magnitude of the decline is not large. If the pressure at 3270 is not broken, the gold bulls will not reverse easily for the time being. After the rebound, it will continue to fall, which means that the strength of gold bears is still there, and the gold reversal will naturally not reach a new low, so that the gold bulls will usher in a new turn. Gold operation strategy reference: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of gold at 3260-3265, stop loss 6 points, target near 3230-3210, break to see the 3200 line.
Bitcoin will be around 3 to 4 million dollars before 2030.Looking at the chart and considering world-changing events—the rapid emergence of advanced AIs and evolving dynamics in the Middle East—there's no doubt that money will keep flowing into Bitcoin. It's inevitable. I see it happening. Sooner or later, it will accelerate—and it won't stop. Global wealth needs a safe place to be stored. That’s Bitcoin. That’s how it works. That’s what it was designed for. We’ll see. My one piece of advice: stop wasting your money and energy on anything else. This is a one-way path.
XAGUSD Multi-year Channel Up targeting $40 at least.Silver (XAGUSD) had a strong rebound on its April 07 2025 Low and that maintains the long-term bullish trend as not only did it kept clear of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) but also rebounded on the long-term 1W RSI Support Zone.
This kept the 2.5-year Channel Up intact and the current structure looks very similar to late 2023 - early 2024 before the Resistance break-out. The Bullish Leg of this Channel Up have so far been identical (+48.93%) so if we repeat that, we can expect Silver to reach $42. We have a more modest Target at $40, which falls exactly at the top of the Channel Up.
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TESLA Is a $600 price tag a pipe dream?Tesla (TSLA) is seeing a steady recovery from the April 21 2025 Low, which has been a Quadruple Bottom, and has found itself consolidating the last 10 days within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 2.5 year pattern is a Channel Up and this Quadruple Bottom took place exactly on its 0.236 Fibonacci level, with a 1D RSI sequence that resembles the Bullish Divergence of its previous bottom on April 22 2024. The similarities don't stop there as the Bearish Legs that led to those bottoms have almost been identical (-53.88% and -56.37% respectively).
As a result we can technically assume that the current Bullish Leg that will be confirmed with a break above the 1D MA200, will be symmetrical to the previous one, which made a Higher High on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. That is now at $823 but falls outside of the 2.5-year Channel Up, so our long-term Target for the end of the year is $600, which is right at the top of the pattern.
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EUR/USD 30M CHART PATTERNThe EUR/USD 30-minute chart presents a bearish setup based on a rising wedge pattern. This pattern typically signals a potential trend reversal after an upward move. Price action within the wedge shows weakening bullish momentum, and the recent downward move suggests sellers are gaining control. Additionally, the price is moving below the Ichimoku Cloud, reinforcing a bearish outlook.
Entry: 1.13600
First Target point: 1.12800
Second Target point 1.12400
Third Target point 1.12000
Stop Loss : 1.13830
TIAUSD just broke above the 5-month Falling Wedge!Celestia (TIAUSD) made a major bullish break-out today as not only did it break above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the 5-month Lower Highs trend-line (December 06 2024), which is the top of the Falling Wedge pattern!
With the 1D RSI also on Higher Lows, this bullish momentum is targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at 4.000, which is where contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is expected to be made.
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Gold is on swingXAUUSD H1&H4 Timeframe
As Market break below the Range area and gives the bearish momentum.
- As Market is below 3360 lower support area of previous Accumulation zone 3360-3390.I am expecting the upside move to respect the 3360 resistance area where we must have H4 closing below for bearish moves towards 3280.
- above 3360 again we have Accumulation zone 3360-3390.
Enteries should be taken all the rules are applied
Gold Analysis StrategyGold really made a big joke today. The market turned from long to short, and the high platform dived to form a waterfall.
Gold opened with four consecutive positive rises, strongly breaking through the high point of 3397 of yesterday's oscillating sideways. The hourly line was directly pulled up, reaching the highest point of 3415. Then it slowly fell and weakened, forming a waterfall-like drop, and the 3360-3350 support was directly broken, ushering in an accelerated decline, and the lowest point reached 3320 before rebounding.
Therefore, the continuous positive of gold here is a false breakthrough, and the bulls were directly blown up. Look at the market here on Monday and the trend today. They are all stabilized by three consecutive positives first, followed by a strong breakthrough of the big positive.
The difference is that on Monday, it continued here, while today it was completely the opposite. According to the normal technical aspect, the strong break in the morning and the adjustment back to the 3400-3397 support in the afternoon must be seen from the continuation, but the reality gives you a big slap in the face.
The current market has deviated from the normal trend. It either rises straight or falls wildly without any rebound. After Trump took office, the abnormal fluctuations in the gold market have been significantly amplified, becoming the same as Trump.
It rises by $100 when it rises and falls by $100 when it falls. This morning, it went from 3315 to 3220, and it almost moved another $100 before it adjusted. This needs to be paid attention to. If gold moves like this, today's trend has undoubtedly turned to the empty side, and it is only a shock at most. There is definitely not much hope for the bulls.
Later today, the European and American markets will focus on two positions: the first position is the 3360 line of pressure above. Yesterday's low point broke the support and turned into pressure. If the top and bottom conversion positions are touched, it is still bearish.
The second position is 3305, which is the second starting point of the strong rise in the previous two days. According to the drop of 100 US dollars from 3415, it is at 3315. The drop exceeds 100 US dollars. There is basically no problem in rebounding.
Therefore, we can expect a rebound around the 3305-3310 area below. The probability of falling below 3300 today is not high, and it is easy to come up even if it goes down.
After gold falls sharply, how should you trade in the short termAfter gold fell below 3400 today, it ushered in a big decline, falling directly below the key position of 3350. Since gold breaks down, let’s take advantage of the trend and go short
Since the bullish volume of gold market has been released, the bullish trend of gold needs to be repaired in the short term before it can rise further.
Trading idea: short gold near 3347, stop loss 3360, target 3327
xauusd:Today's Trading StrategyYesterday, after the price of gold reached 3360, it rose again and approached the resistance area at 3420. After testing the resistance area, the price of gold dropped again today. After breaking through 3360, it reached around 3320. Currently, the gold market is in a wide-swing oscillation. After the continuous rise, the market has started to adjust. It is expected that the gold price will continue to fluctuate widely in the short term. Once the decline ends, long positions can be taken again.
All trading signals are accurate. I will keep sending signals. Don't miss them.
Today's trading strategy for gold:
xauusd buy@3310-3320
tp:3360-3380-3400
ETH/USDT – Ascending channel. Breakdown below support?Ethereum - is a smart contract platform that allows developers to build decentralized applications (DApps) on its blockchain.
CoinMarketCap : #2
↗️ Ethereum is moving within an ascending channel, and the bullish trend remains intact.
Inside the channel, there are two triangles.
The first triangle, with a base of 88%, has played out—its third wave broke through the triangle.
Liquidity grabs and shakeouts before the growth in the inner channel zones are marked with yellow circles.
Currently, we see a mirrored situation with a new triangle, this time with a 156% base. However, if this pattern plays out, it will break the ascending channel.
At the moment, the price has been dragged below the channel support, and there is a lot of negative sentiment in the news and opinions. Few believe in an upward move, and many have been liquidated. To me, this looks like a strong trigger.
⤵️The bearish scenario implies a -61% drop. (A less likely scenario.)
I've marked everything on the chart—consider this in your trading strategy. Remember, there's a lot of negativity around Ethereum, just like with all altcoins...
I also believe that on the monthly chart, it will end up being just a wick of the candle.
BTC – Liquidity Sweep, Fair Value Gap Reactions & Potential LongMarket context and structure
This BTCUSDT 1-hour chart from BYBIT illustrates a methodical transition from a phase of consolidation to bullish expansion, guided by smart money principles. Price initially consolidates beneath a well-defined resistance level, with an Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG) forming inside the range. This IFVG signals an inefficient zone where institutional players may be positioned. The eventual breakout above this range indicates a structural shift and the beginning of a directional move, setting the stage for further bullish development.
Break of structure and liquidity sweep
Following the breakout, BTC sweeps the buy-side liquidity resting above a prior swing high. This liquidity grab is a common maneuver in smart money trading, designed to trigger stop orders and breakout entries to facilitate larger institutional fills. The aggressive price movement results in the creation of several Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), which are regions where price moved with such momentum that no overlap between candles occurred. These FVGs are crucial areas of interest where future re-entries or continuations might originate.
Fair value gaps and demand zones
The chart highlights multiple FVGs formed during the bullish impulse. The uppermost FVG, located just below the most recent liquidity sweep, acts as a shallow retracement zone and has already been partially mitigated. A mid-range FVG extends further down, providing a secondary support layer within the current price structure. The largest and deepest FVG lies closer to the breakout origin and represents a significant unfilled demand zone. These FVGs help to outline institutional footprints, revealing where unfulfilled orders may still reside and where price might return to rebalance.
Re-entry strategy and projection
An ideal re-entry area is labeled “Entry at IFVG,” situated near the recently swept liquidity. The projection suggests that price may retrace slightly into this IFVG, consolidate, and then continue its upward trajectory. This anticipated movement reflects a bullish continuation pattern rooted in the idea of reaccumulation, where price revisits areas of imbalance before pushing higher. The visual path drawn on the chart captures this idea, showing a measured retracement followed by a continuation of the trend.
Interpretation and tactical bias
The overall structure and price behavior support a smart money-based bullish outlook. The clean break of structure, the successful sweep of liquidity, and the presence of multiple fair value gaps provide a foundation for continued upside potential. Price respecting these imbalance zones on pullbacks reinforces demand and highlights ongoing institutional involvement. This setup encourages a patient, context-aware approach to trading, focusing on inefficiencies, order flow, and the narrative of price rather than arbitrary indicators.