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Harmonic Patterns

GBPCHF H4 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud. Sell entry: 1.07281 - Pullback resistance - 78.6% Fib retracement - 161.8% Fib extension Stop Loss: 1.07602 - Swing high resistance Take Profit: 1.06853 - Overlap support High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Short
by FXCM
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Analysis | Market StructureFrom a technical standpoint, gold continues to trade within a structurally sound bullish environment. Price action maintains a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the broader upward structure remains intact. Recent pullbacks have been controlled and shallow, suggesting consolidation rather than trend exhaustion. Instead of aggressive selling, the market shows signs of balance during retracements, with buyers stepping in at higher levels. This behavior is typical of a healthy trend where participation remains supportive. At this stage, price is approaching a key area of technical interest, where demand was previously active. Such zones often act as decision points, as the market temporarily slows down to reassess the balance between buyers and sellers. A sustained hold above this area would keep the bullish structure valid and allow price to continue respecting the broader trend. On the upside, the 4,870 USD region stands out as a notable technical reference, aligned with prior structural interaction. This level represents an area where price may react, rather than a guaranteed objective. From a risk perspective, the current structure would only be challenged by a decisive break below the established support zone. Until such a development occurs, downside moves are best viewed as part of a broader consolidation process rather than a trend reversal. Overall, gold remains technically supported, with price behavior favoring continuation as long as key structural levels continue to hold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lounaa_
46
ONDS needs to break a Descending Resistance to re-test it's ATHA Descending Resistance is keeping the ONDS price checked below $12, if this does not break below > $11 soon to re-test $10 area then, it can continue as a Bull Flag breaking the downward Descending Resistance to the upside with a beautiful Cup&Handle pattern. Completing the pattern can result a re-test of the ATH level of $19.5+ which is simply a 60%-90% of growth in price, depending how low this Flag can continue before breaking out into either of the sides ($10-$12) -> $19.5. Volume profiling on Hourly chart shows how close it is to re-test the ATH level and a strong base support around $10-$11 area. This is not a buy/sell advice, shared to back-test a pattern analysis with trends and sheds from fundamental story of the stock.
NASDAQ:ONDSLong
by grnr
ATH Under Pressure: Continuation or Distribution?Gold is currently trading at a critical inflection point near the All-Time High (ATH) after completing a strong impulsive rally from the lower accumulation zone. The bullish leg was clean and well structured, driven by sustained higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong buyer control throughout the advance. However, upon reaching the ATH region, price has begun to stall and reject, signaling that supply is actively responding at this premium area. Structurally, the market is now compressed between two key forces. On the downside, the upper demand zone around 4,880–4,900 has already proven its importance, acting as a reaction level where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. On the upside, the ATH resistance band is capping price and preventing immediate continuation. This creates a classic decision zone, where Gold must either absorb supply and break higher, or fail and rotate lower. From a bullish continuation perspective, a clean breakout and acceptance above the ATH zone would confirm that buyers remain in full control. In that scenario, the projected expansion toward the 5,100 target becomes technically valid, following range-expansion and momentum continuation logic. This would imply that the recent pause is merely consolidation before another markup phase. Conversely, if price breaks decisively below the upper demand zone, the structure starts to resemble a potential Head & Shoulders distribution, as highlighted on the chart. A confirmed breakdown would likely trigger a deeper corrective move toward the lower demand zone around 4,730–4,760, where the broader bullish structure would be tested. As long as this lower demand holds, the higher-timeframe uptrend remains intact, but momentum would clearly shift from expansion to correction. Key takeaway: Gold is not weak, but it is no longer in free-flow markup. This is a high-stakes area where confirmation matters more than prediction. Either the ATH breaks and opens the door to 5,100, or failure here leads to a controlled but meaningful pullback. Traders should stay patient and let price confirm direction before committing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
Placing multiple buy orders, waiting for a market correction.Bullish Core Support (Bullish Logic) 1.Strong buying support at key lows: The price rebounded quickly after falling to $86,000, making this point a strong short-term support level. $87,500 is also a widely recognized lower boundary of the trading range, and multiple tests have failed to break below it, indicating a technical need for a rebound after being oversold. 2.Whales accumulating against the trend: Over the past 9 days, whale wallets holding 10-10,000 BTC have collectively increased their holdings by 36,322 BTC, approximately $3.2 billion in funds buying at low levels. The $87,000-$88,000 range shows sufficient buying support, preventing a significant short-term decline. 3.Short positions need to be covered: After the previous sharp drop triggered numerous long position liquidations, the market has a relatively high proportion of short positions. If the price stabilizes above $88,000, short-covering funds will drive a small rebound, creating short-term bullish momentum. 4.Technical indicators showing oversold recovery: The hourly RSI indicator has turned upwards from the oversold zone, and the MACD green bars are continuously shrinking, both indicating short-term technical rebound signals and providing technical support for a small price increase. Bitcoin trading strategy buy：86500-87500 tp:88500-89500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Daniel-Foster
Fake Move at the European Open — A Familiar LessonIf you’ve traded Forex, Gold, or Crypto for any length of time, you’ve likely experienced this scenario: The European session opens. Price makes a clean break above a high or below a low. You enter on the breakout. Minutes later — your stop loss is taken. Then the market moves in the exact direction you originally anticipated. This isn’t bad luck. This is the fake move at the European open — a recurring market behavior. 1. Why Do Fake Moves Often Appear at the European Open? The European session is when: - Liquidity starts to increase rapidly - New capital enters the market - Pending orders from the Asian session are still in place This overlap creates ideal conditions for price to: - Push slightly beyond the Asian session high or low - Trigger stop losses and early breakout entries - Attract impatient traders But that initial push does not represent the true direction of the day. 2. A Breakout at the European Open ≠ A Real Breakout A breakout that looks “clean” is not always a meaningful one. Fake moves at the European open often show: - A break in structure without follow-through - Fast price expansion followed by immediate hesitation - Weak or fading volume - Candles with long wicks or poor closes These are signs that: The market is testing liquidity, not starting a trend. 3. Who Falls Into This Trap Most Often? Fake moves at the European open usually trap: - New traders - Traders driven by FOMO - Those who enter simply because price “broke a level” The issue isn’t the strategy. It’s timing and patience. 4. The Market Needs Liquidity Before a Real Move Before a strong move begins, the market often needs to: - Clear stop losses - Remove early positions - Create the illusion of a wrong direction Fake moves at the European open are how the market: Cleans the path before committing to the real direction. 5. The Lesson for Traders - Not every breakout is worth trading - Timing matters as much as the setup - The European open is often a time to observe before committing Instead of asking: “Did price break the level?” Ask: “Can this breakout hold after 15–30 minutes?”
Education
by Paradise_Noir
7
$POL breaks long downtrend, rallies 83%, pullback now in focus.2026 has started strong for BINANCE:POLUSDT , with price finally breaking its long-term bearish channel that had been in place since early November 2025. The confirmed breakout occurred on January 1, marking a clear shift in market structure. Following the breakout, BINANCE:POLUSDT printed 9 consecutive daily bullish candles, delivering an ~83% rally backed by ~$950M in volume during the first week of 2026. This was not a random pump—the move was supported by strong fundamentals, including the Open Money Stack launch (focused on stablecoins and institutional payments) and increased token burn activity, reinforcing sustained buyer interest. Price is now approaching a key selling/supply zone at $0.1798 – $0.1876. From this area, a healthy pullback is expected before any further upside, making this a retracement-based trade, not a trend continuation entry. Retracement Trade Setup: Entry: $0.1804 Stop Loss: $0.2004 Target 1: $0.1500 Target 2: $0.1204 Manage risk accordingly. This setup is designed to capture a short-term pullback within a broader bullish structure, not to chase the breakout.
Long
by coinpediamarkets
APT/USDT (1D) Bullish Structure ShiftBINANCE:APTUSDT is trading around $1.55–$1.58 and will be reacting after a pullback into a well-defined demand zone between $1.5 and $1.412, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. Key Levels Demand Zone: $1.5 – $1.412 (high-probability reaction area) Entry: $1.476 Upside Targets: Target 1: $1.696, Target 2: $1.998 Invalidation / Stop Loss: $1.361 Market Structure: A clear Change of Character (CHOCH) has formed following an extended bearish phase, indicating a potential transition from bearish to bullish market structure. Directional Bias: Bullish, provided price continues to hold above the identified demand zone. Fundamental Overlay Token Unlock Risk: Approximately 11.31 million APT tokens are scheduled to unlock on February 10, representing about 0.69% of the circulating supply. Positive Macro Catalyst: The launch of CFTC-regulated APT futures by Bitnomial is a structurally bullish narrative for Aptos. Outlook: While short-term volatility is likely around the token unlock date, the medium-to-long-term bias remains bullish, supported by improving market structure and institutional-grade derivatives exposure. Technically, APT is well-positioned for continuation higher from demand, with pullbacks into the demand zone.
Long
by coinpediamarkets
EURUSD Outlook: Slow Grind Higher, USD Holds the KeyEURUSD is trading near the 1.18 handle, continuing a steady grind higher that began off the late-2025 lows. The move has been controlled rather than explosive, reflecting improving sentiment toward the euro alongside a dollar that is losing momentum rather than collapsing outright. From a higher-level perspective, EURUSD is no longer deeply discounted. Energy risk has faded, fragmentation fears have eased, and the euro area has avoided fresh negative shocks. At the same time, the dollar is no longer supported by an aggressive Fed tightening cycle, leaving the pair biased higher but still sensitive to incoming US data. Macro and Fundamental Backdrop Both central banks remain firmly data-dependent. The Fed is holding a “higher for longer, but flexible” stance following its 2025 cutting cycle. Real yields remain positive, but well below prior peaks, which limits upside for the dollar unless US data re-accelerate meaningfully. The ECB is also cautious. Growth is weak but stabilizing, inflation continues to ease, and markets are pricing gradual cuts rather than aggressive easing. As a result, rate-differential pressure against the euro has narrowed instead of widening. US data have become increasingly mixed. Services and labor remain resilient, but manufacturing and several forward-looking indicators are softening. This caps sustained dollar strength and leaves EURUSD more responsive to negative USD surprises than positive euro shocks. Risk sentiment remains constructive but fragile. Equities are holding up, credit spreads are contained, and this environment tends to support EURUSD relative to classic risk-off regimes. Key USD Catalysts This Week (EST) With the euro-area calendar relatively quiet, USD events dominate near-term risk: Monday, 08:30 AM EST, Durable Goods Orders Monday, 08:30 AM EST, Core Durable Goods Orders, a key signal for US business investment and growth momentum. Weak core readings would undermine USD support. Tuesday, 03:30 PM EST, Trump Speech, political rhetoric around trade, tariffs, or fiscal policy can inject volatility and uncertainty into the dollar. Wednesday, 02:00 PM EST, FOMC Policy Decision and Statement Fed Chair Press Conference, where tone around inflation and growth risks can move rates and the dollar quickly. With no major euro-side risk events scheduled, EURUSD is asymmetrically exposed to USD weakness this week. Technical Analysis (H1) On the 1-hour chart, EURUSD has transitioned cleanly from consolidation into a strong impulsive rally. Market structure is clearly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows confirmed following the breakout from the prior range. Once price reclaimed and held above the 21-period SMA, momentum expanded aggressively. The rally accelerated into an extended impulse leg, pushing price significantly above the moving average. This has created a wide deviation from the 21 SMA, signaling strong bullish participation but also highlighting short-term stretch. Historically, this level of extension increases the probability of a pause, consolidation, or pullback toward the mean rather than immediate continuation at the same pace. Following the first impulse, price briefly consolidated before pushing higher again. That consolidation zone now acts as near-term support, while the most recent highs define resistance. Momentum and RSI RSI is firmly overbought, confirming strong upside momentum but also reinforcing exhaustion risk. Overbought conditions do not imply immediate reversal, but they do argue against chasing price at extremes without a pullback or fresh catalyst. Putting It All Together Structure, bullish Momentum, strong but extended Price, stretched well above the 21 SMA RSI, overbought Macro, supportive but dependent on USD data Conclusion EURUSD remains bullish from a structural and macro perspective, but the current rally is technically stretched. The higher-probability scenarios are either a controlled pullback toward the 21 SMA or sideways consolidation before the next directional move. With euro-area risk limited this week, USD data and political headlines are the main catalysts. Any downside surprise in US core data, dovish Fed communication, or destabilizing rhetoric increases the odds that EURUSD holds higher levels and eventually challenges the upper 1.18–1.19 zone. Chasing price at current levels carries elevated risk. Patience and pullbacks offer better risk-reward unless a clear USD-driven catalyst fuels continuation.
Short
by Michael_Harding
BTC Weak Weekly Close, $85.4K & $80K Support Now KeyBTC Weak Weekly Close — $85.4K & $80K Support Now Key Bitcoin is showing renewed weakness after a corrective move into the weekly close, signaling that bearish pressure is still active on the lower time frames. The selloff suggests momentum is fading and the market may be setting up for a deeper corrective rotation, especially if price continues failing to reclaim key resistance zones. Key Levels to Watch: - $87,613: primary resistance to reclaim for stabilization - $85,470: first key support zone holding structure - $80,000: major range-low support and downside liquidity magnet From a technical perspective, a short-term bounce or mean reversion is still possible, especially if buyers defend the $85,470 support area and price begins reclaiming lost value. However, until Bitcoin regains acceptance above $87,613 on a closing basis, the broader bearish trend remains intact and rallies should be treated cautiously. If BTC loses $85,470, the downside opens up quickly, with the next major target sitting at $80,000, which remains the most important support level in the current range structure. This is also where significant resting liquidity sits, making it a likely magnet if weakness continues. For now, Bitcoin remains vulnerable below resistance. The next move depends on whether support holds — or breaks and triggers acceleration toward $80K.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
1
EURAUD H4 | Heading Towards 61.8% Fib ResistanceBased on H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to our sell entry level at 1.7315, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonaci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 1.7481, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.7102, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLChttps://fxcm.com/en: Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Short
by FXCM
Avis Budget GroupAvis Budget Group: Evaluating the Investment Case Amidst Operational Headwinds and Financial Strain Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR), a prominent global provider of mobility solutions through its Avis, Budget, and Zipcar brands, is scheduled to announce its Fourth Quarter 2025 financial results on February 18th. The company operates a vast network of approximately 10,250 rental locations across 180 countries, with a direct operational footprint in North America, Europe, and Australasia. Despite this global scale, the stock's recent performance has been deeply disappointing for shareholders. Over the past six months, Avis Budget Group’s shares have declined to $130.42, representing a significant 11.3% loss. This decline stands in stark contrast to the S&P 500's impressive 12.7% gain over the same period, prompting investors to critically reassess the company's investment thesis. Three Core Reasons for a Cautious Stance on Avis Budget Group While the recent share price decline may appear to offer a more favorable entry point, a deeper analysis reveals several fundamental concerns that suggest this stock may not be positioned for outperformance. Here are three critical factors contributing to a cautious outlook. 1. Stagnant Operational Growth Indicates Weak Underlying Demand For a capital-intensive rental business, true growth is best measured by the expansion of its core operational volume. In this case, the key metric is "available rental days." Over the last two years, Avis Budget Group has demonstrated a notable inability to grow this fundamental volume metric. The figure remained stagnant, reported at 68.65 million days in the latest quarter. This lack of volume growth is a serious red flag, as it suggests the company is not expanding its serviceable market or effectively capturing increased demand. It implies potential market saturation, increasing competitive pressures, or a failure to innovate its service offerings. In such an environment, the company may be forced to compete on price or make significant investments to refresh its fleet and customer experience—actions that can compress profit margins and hinder near-term earnings. 2. Declining Capital Efficiency Signals Dwindling Profitable Opportunities The effectiveness of a company's investments is captured by its Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). This metric reveals how profitably a company is deploying the capital provided by both debt and equity holders. While Avis Budget Group has historically generated reasonable returns, the trend has turned decisively negative in recent years, with ROIC declining significantly. This deteriorating trend is often more telling than the absolute level, as it indicates that new capital expenditures or strategic initiatives are failing to generate returns at historical rates. This suggests that the company’s most lucrative growth opportunities may be in the rearview mirror, and management is facing diminishing returns on new investments—a dynamic that typically limits future earnings power and justifies a lower valuation multiple. 3. A Precarious Financial Position and Short Cash Runway From a long-term investor's perspective, the primary risk is the permanent loss of capital, often precipitated by financial distress. Avis Budget Group’s financial health is a major area of concern. Over the last twelve months, the company has been a substantial consumer of cash, burning through $972.3 million. More alarmingly, its balance sheet carries a heavy debt load of $6.06 billion, which towers over its cash reserves of just $564 million. This combination of consistent cash burn and high leverage creates a precarious financial runway. It exposes shareholders to significant risks, including the potential for dilutive equity raises during periods of weakness, restrictive debt covenants, and limited flexibility to navigate an economic downturn or invest in necessary growth initiatives. For risk-aware investors, this financial profile is often a deal-breaker. Valuation and Technical Context Following the recent price decline, the stock trades at approximately 15.9x forward price-to-earnings (P/E), or $130.42 per share. While this valuation multiple may appear reasonable or "fair" on the surface, it fails to offset the fundamental concerns regarding growth, profitability trends, and balance sheet risk. In essence, the stock may be fairly valued for the challenged business it has become, rather than offering a compelling discount on a high-quality asset. For traders monitoring the technical landscape, key Fibonacci retracement levels from prior major moves provide identifiable support zones where the stock might find temporary footing: Primary Support: $114.68 – Corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Secondary Support: $88.01 – Aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Tertiary/Strong Historical Support: $59.26 – A deeper level that represents a major historical benchmark. Conclusion: Seeking Superior Alternatives In summary, Avis Budget Group is not without its strengths, including powerful brand recognition and a vast global network. However, it currently fails to meet the criteria for a high-conviction investment. The triad of stagnant operational growth, declining returns on capital, and a strained financial position presents a compelling case for caution. The stock's fair valuation does not adequately compensate for these underlying risks. Consequently, investors are likely better served by directing capital toward companies with clearer growth runways, stronger cash flow generation, and more robust balance sheets within the industrials or consumer discretionary sectors. The upcoming earnings report on February 18th will be a crucial test, providing updated data on whether management can begin to reverse these concerning trends.
NASDAQ:CARLong
by KalaGhazi
USOIL H1 | Bullish riseBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off our buy level of 60.68, which is an overlap support. Our stop loss is set at 60.37, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 62.32, which acts as a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
#USDCAD: +500 Pips Swing Sell Opportunity; One Not To Miss! Dear Traders, The USDCAD pair is currently in a strong bearish trend and we anticipate a price correction. We expect the price to turn bullish in the short term, filling the liquidity gap it’s left behind. Once filled, the price could reverse and continue selling until it reaches around 1.3200, a 500+ pip move. Currently, there’s only one target, and the stop-loss can be adjusted based on your risk management. The USD is plummeting, but there’s a chance it could show some bullish momentum. However, the CAD is experiencing a strong, continuous bullish trend, so we expect a correction. If you enjoy our work, please like and comment. Also, follow us for updates whenever we post ideas. Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
17
$HIMS - Navigating Volatility Amid Growth and Valuation ConcernsHims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS): Navigating Volatility Amid Growth and Valuation Concerns In the latest trading session, Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (NYSE: HIMS) experienced notable underperformance, closing at $28.89—a decline of -5.19%—against a backdrop of broad market gains. This movement starkly contrasted with the S&P 500’s advance of 1.16%, the Dow’s rise of 1.21%, and the Nasdaq's increase of 1.18%. The stock's recent trajectory has been challenging, having depreciated 12.44% over the past month, significantly underperforming both the Medical sector's more modest loss of 1.32% and the S&P 500's slight dip of 0.42%. This pronounced weakness reflects a confluence of factors, from near-term earnings pressures to strategic concerns raised by analysts, highlighting the heightened volatility inherent in high-growth, high-expectation names. Earnings Preview and Analyst Sentiment Shift Investor focus is intensifying on the company’s forthcoming earnings release. Current consensus estimates project earnings per share (EPS) of $0.04, representing a substantial 63.64% year-over-year decline. This anticipated drop is juxtaposed against expected revenue of $620.41 million, which would signify a robust 28.94% increase from the prior-year quarter. For the full fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus anticipates EPS of $0.48 (up 77.78%) on revenue of $2.35 billion. However, the trend in analyst estimates has turned negative in the near term, contributing to the stock's pressure. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 4.52% over the past month. This negative revision activity has culminated in HIMS currently holding a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). This proprietary model, which correlates estimate revisions with near-term stock price performance, suggests a lack of analyst optimism regarding immediate business trends and profitability. The Catalysts Behind the Recent Decline: Morgan Stanley's Caution The specific catalyst for the recent sell-off appears to be a reiteration of an Equalweight rating by Morgan Stanley, accompanied by a cautious commentary that resonated with market fears. The firm highlighted several critical concerns: Significant Growth Deceleration: Morgan Stanley pointed to a projected sharp slowdown in revenue growth to approximately 17% in 2026, a stark contrast to the 111% year-over-year growth reported in Q1 2025. This deceleration narrative is a primary risk for stocks trading at premium valuations. Segment-Specific Headwinds: The analyst note identified the men’s sexual health business as a particular area of concern, expecting it to be a growth drag in the first half of 2026. This is attributed to shifts in subscription plans and intensifying price competition. Broader Competitive and Margin Pressures: The report also cited weak third-party sales data and potential risks to the company's profit margins as near-term issues, painting a picture of a maturing competitive landscape. Valuation in the Spotlight The concerns over growth deceleration make HIMS’s valuation metrics appear particularly lofty. The company currently trades at a Forward P/E ratio of 54.07, a significant premium to its industry’s average of 27.28. Furthermore, its PEG ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth) of 5.16—which factors in projected earnings growth—is more than double the industry average PEG of 2.27. These multiples suggest that the stock’s price embeds expectations for near-perfect execution and sustained hyper-growth, making it vulnerable to any signs of a stumble. The Long-Term Investment Thesis: Potential Amid the Turmoil Despite the near-term headwinds, the long-term investment narrative for Hims & Hers remains compelling for growth-oriented investors. The company operates at the intersection of two powerful megatrends: the digitization of healthcare (telehealth) and the consumerization of medical services. Analysts at McKinsey estimate that $250 billion of current U.S. healthcare spending is potentially virtualizable, representing a massive total addressable market. Hims & Hers has successfully carved out a distinctive niche through its direct-to-consumer, brand-focused approach that targets often-stigmatized needs like sexual health, mental wellness, hair loss, and weight management. Its strategy of offering generic medications in discreet, consumer-friendly formats (e.g., chewables) has driven impressive user adoption. The most significant long-term catalyst remains its potential in weight management, notably its partnership with Novo Nordisk to offer Wegovy, which could dramatically expand its subscriber base and average revenue per user. Technical Perspective and Strategic Levels For traders and investors looking to navigate this volatility, key technical levels provide a framework for risk management: Immediate Support Zone: $25.00 – This level represents a critical psychological and technical floor. A sustained hold above this zone would suggest the current sell-off is a consolidation within a longer-term uptrend. Strategic Buy Zone: $18.00 – A deeper retracement to this area would represent a more significant correction, potentially offering a higher-conviction entry point for long-term believers in the thesis, aligning with a more attractive risk-reward setup. Conclusion: A High-Risk, High-Reward Proposition at a Crossroads Hims & Hers Health embodies the classic tension between disruptive growth potential and the realities of scaling profitability and intensifying competition. The recent price action and analyst commentary underscore the market’s recalibration of expectations as growth inevitably moderates from its initial explosive phase. While the company’s pioneering role in consumer telehealth and its powerful partnership pipeline offer a credible path to multi-bagger returns over many years, the current premium valuation leaves little room for error. Investors should view HIMS not as a steady compounder, but as a high-volatility, binary growth stock. The upcoming earnings report will be pivotal in either validating fears of a slowdown or demonstrating resilient momentum. Prudent investment in HIMS at this juncture requires a high tolerance for risk, a long-term horizon, and a disciplined approach to entry, ideally utilizing the identified support and buy zones to manage position sizing amid the turbulence.
NYSE:HIMSLong
by KalaGhazi
$IQ Textbook Falling Wedge Reversal Setup!BINANCE:IQUSDT 🚀 NASDAQ:IQ Textbook Falling Wedge Reversal Setup! Perfect converging descending lines forming a high-probability bullish falling wedge – lower highs and lower lows losing momentum, with a measured upside target at 0.001841. Price coiling at the apex, ready for potential explosive breakout as downside pressure fades. Altcoin Pioneers love these clean reversals – watching for volume confirmation. Upside loading. 📈🔥 #AltcoinPioneers #IQ #FallingWedge #CryptoTA
Long
by AltcoinPiooners
USDCAD H4 | Falling Towards Swing Low SupportThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 1.3651, which is a swing low support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our stop loss is set at 1.3554, which is a multi swing low support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our take profit is set at 1.3800, which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Long
by FXCM
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Fib LevelsThe price is reacting off our sell entry level at 1.1869, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection. Our stop loss is set at 1.1902, which aligns with the 141.4% Fibonacci extension. Our take profit is set at 1.1807, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Short
by FXCM
1
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fib support?DX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 24,412.21 1st Support: 23,886.70 1st Resistance: 25,503.46 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by IC Markets
2