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Harmonic Patterns

GOLD 4H | Harmonic AB=CD Bearish Reversal in PlayGold recently formed a clear double top at the all-time high (ATH), accompanied by a bearish divergence on higher timeframes — signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. That divergence has played out perfectly, aligning with the current bearish market structure. The price has now broken below the key accumulation range between 4000 and 4149, confirming a shift in sentiment. With the trend consistently printing lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the overall market bias remains bearish. 🔹 Technical Breakdown We currently have a bearish AB=CD pattern completing near the 3800 zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden ratio (0.618) on the D leg. Although AB=CD is traditionally a bullish harmonic pattern, here it’s being used within a downtrend context to identify a potential reversal or continuation zone — depending on market reaction at D. Key Zone to Watch: 🟡 3800 – 3840 → Major potential reaction zone (Fib confluence + AB=CD completion). If sellers hold this level, we could see further downside momentum. 🔹 Daily Chart View On the daily timeframe, bullish momentum looks weak — every recovery candle is smaller, and volume favors sellers. With the AB=CD pattern confirmation and price failing to reclaim the 40050 zone, the bias stays bearish. 🔹 Weekly Chart Insight Historically, gold tends to retrace after 9 consecutive straight bullish weekly candles. From 1990 to 2025, each 9-week rally phase has been followed by a notable correction ranging from 6% to 14%, showing that extended rallies often precede profit-taking phases. This current rally phase mirrors that same behavior patterns — making a corrective move toward 3800–3700 highly probability. 🧭 Final BIAS The technical confluence between the bearish structure, double top + divergence, and AB=CD D-leg near golden ratio and 9 week rally gives a high-probability bearish setup. If 3940 fails to hold, next potential downside target lies near 3900-3775, aligned with long-term structure support.
TVC:GOLDShort
by awaisulabdeen
1
SOFI before Earnings – TuesdayI’ve been tracking NASDAQ:SOFI closely since the last earnings report, and honestly, I like what I’m seeing. Despite the overall market volatility, the stock has held a solid structure and stayed in a tight range, which to me signals institutional confidence, not weakness. We haven’t seen any heavy selling or major breakdowns, and that tells me smart money is still inside, waiting for Tuesday’s catalyst. On top of that, SoFi’s recent investments seem to be paying off, because the stock hasn’t followed the broader market pullbacks. That gives me the sense that the market is already recognizing an improvement in the company’s fundamentals. In my opinion, SoFi could surprise to the upside this time. If the numbers come in strong — especially the forward guidance — we might see a clean breakout of this range and a solid move higher in the next sessions. Obviously, manage your own risk, but to me the stock is showing clear signs of accumulation and strength before the report. 👁️‍🗨️ Levels I’m watching: Support: $28.70 Key zone: $29.80 – $30.10 Breakout confirmation: above $30.50 🎯 If earnings impress, I wouldn’t be surprised to see it push toward $32–$34.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by perezliz37
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today"Smart money" quietly entered the market, and the buying power accumulated rapidly. In the last three trading days, the speculative funds (hedge funds, investment banks, etc.) in the crude oil futures market suddenly increased their bullish positions by 150,000 lots, marking the largest weekly increase in 3 months. These funds began to build positions in batches when the oil price dropped below $60, just like when the oil price fell to $58 last year, it was also these funds that entered the market, and the oil price soon rebounded by $5. At the same time, the inflow of funds into crude oil ETFs also increased fourfold. Ordinary investors began to follow suit and enter the market, and the buying pressure changed from "scattered" to "concentrated", providing sufficient short-term upward momentum. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today usoil @ buy 61-61.5 tp:62-62.5 SL:60
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold prices could fall below $4,000 today.Gold prices could fall below $4,000 today. Progress in US-China trade negotiations has eased tensions between the two major economies, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal. Investors are awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting (expected to be released around October 30th), which will determine the future direction of interest rates. If the Fed sends a clear signal of a rate cut, gold prices are expected to resume their upward trend. Key Technical Analysis: If gold prices fall below the $4,000 mark, further downward adjustments are possible. In the short term, focus on support around $4,000. Day Trading Strategy: Resistance: 4060-4080 Support: 4000-4020 ----------------------------------- Short Sell Level: 4040-4050 Stop Loss: 4070 Target: 4000-3900-3800 The above is today's trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_Golden
Today's gold trading strategyThe contradiction between supply and demand has set the price floor. The gold market is currently facing a dual situation of "tight supply and strong demand". On the supply side, the global underground reserves of gold are only 20%, and the output of mined gold in 2025 can only maintain a slow growth of 3,000 tons. Moreover, new mines need 5-7 years to come into production, and there is simply no possibility of a significant increase in supply in the short term. The marginal production cost has risen to $1,500 per ounce, providing a strong support for the gold price. On the demand side, not only are global central banks buying gold in a frenzy, but the gold purchase volume is expected to exceed 10,000 tons in 2025. The private investment demand in Asian markets such as China and India is also surging. In 2024, the consumption of gold bars and coins in China increased by 46.02%. This supply-demand gap is difficult to fill in the short term and will inevitably push the gold price to rise. Today's gold trading strategy xauusd @ buy4050-4060 TP:4080-4100-4150 SL:4030
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
1
BITCOIN - PUMP BEFORE THE DUMP?Traders, Last time I talked about arbitrage inefficiencies between spot and perps. I expected a dip first, then a corrective move up. That view still stands — but I also expected a sweep up before the bigger move down. In my earlier notes I called for a sweep to clean the Sunday low, followed by a move back toward 120–122k with a short squeeze. That scenario is now in play. I planned to long near 109.350, after the sweep, and only if the data aligned with my thesis. What I projected vs what happened Sweep the Sunday lows, then squeeze up. Wait for the sweep and only enter if the data confirms around 109.550. Entered 109.550 once multiple signals lined up. Why I entered at 109.550 Stablecoin-margined CVD First pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a lower low while price made a higher low → hidden bullish divergence. Aggressive sellers were getting absorbed by resting bids. Second pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a higher low while price made a lower low → selling pressure fading, buyers absorbing again. Coin-margined CVD Coin Margined CVD kept making lower lows while price refused to follow → another hidden bull div. Shorts were leaning in, but passive buying held firm. Spot CVD Lower lows on CVD while price held flat or slightly higher → trapped aggressive sellers, absorbed by steady passive spot buyers. On Binance Perp Order Flow we could also see a regular bullish divergence into a smaller hidden bull div at the sweep — a clean reversal setup. Open Interest read Here’s where many traders miss the nuance. There are two main perp types on Binance and most major exchanges: Coin-margined contracts: collateralized with the underlying asset (e.g., BTC). Profits and losses are settled in BTC. Stablecoin-margined contracts: collateralized with a stable asset (e.g., USDT or USDC). Profits and losses are settled in dollars. This matters because the behavior and risk exposure of traders differ between the two: When coin-margined OI goes down, it usually means BTC-collateral traders are closing positions or getting liquidated. They’re forced to sell BTC to cover margin, which can create short-term downside pressure. When stablecoin-margined OI goes up at the same time, it often means new traders are entering positions with USDT collateral. That capital rotation usually signals fresh directional bets, often late shorts piling in after a move down. So when price stops making new lows while stablecoin OI keeps climbing, it’s a clear sign the market is loading up on shorts, but without continuation. That mismatch is short-squeeze fuel. Combine that with the CVD divergences above and it paints a strong case for a move back into overhead liquidity. Supplementary edge 1H RSI bullish divergence: RSI makes higher lows while price makes lower lows → loss of downside momentum, suggesting sellers are tiring. USDC.D and USDT.D bearish divergences: Stablecoin dominance charts make higher highs while RSI trends lower → stablecoin demand weakening. When that happens, capital tends to rotate back into BTC and risk assets, reinforcing the long bias. Broke above daily VWAP Together, these add extra confluence to the squeeze setup. Plan, target, invalidation Target: 122 area (blue box). At target: watching for rising price with fading delta, sell imbalances near highs, and absorption signals — that’s where I’ll start hunting shorts and let the market cool off. Invalidation: acceptance back below the Sunday sweep low with expanding negative delta and rising OI on the breakdown. That would kill the squeeze thesis. Summary: A clean sweep → multi-CVD bullish divergences → absorption → rising OI imbalance → RSI & VWAP confluence. All aligning for a controlled short squeeze toward 122k, before the market potentially resumes its broader corrective path. Does this mean we 100% go up? No. Markets don’t promise: they whisper. You listen, you align, and you risk what you can afford to be wrong about.
Long
by ThetaNomad
27
ADA/USDT – Volume Zone Retest Setup🔹 ADA/USDT – Volume Zone Retest Setup ADA is showing early signs of strength after recovering from the last drop and is now building momentum below the Volume+ Zone between $0.75 – $0.85. The current structure shows stable volume forming on lower time frames, which can indicate accumulation before a possible retest of the upper range. If momentum continues, ADA can look to re-enter the volume zone, where the next confirmation area will define continuation potential toward $1.05 resistance. For now, we follow volume development — a clean breakout and hold above the zone would confirm the next expansion phase.
Long
by SatochiTrader
AVAXUSDT – Critical Support Zone: Will Decide the Next Trend?Yellow Block (Support Zone): 21 – 17.5 (Weekly) This zone is the bulls’ last stronghold, an area that has historically marked AVAX’s major turning points. Price has now returned to this critical region — and what happens next could define the next macro trend. --- Market Structure & Big Picture After a long downtrend since 2022, AVAX has entered a macro consolidation phase, ranging between $17.5 and $43. The current movement sits right at the bottom of this range, making the upcoming weekly close extremely important. Major Range: 17.5 – 43 Key Support: 21 – 17.5 Main Resistance: 28.7 – 32.7 → 43.1 → 58.3 Historical High: 127 – 147 Historical Low: 8.5 This yellow zone isn’t just a technical area — it’s a battleground between long-term accumulation and potential distribution. Every time AVAX touched this region in the past, price rebounded significantly, suggesting a possible mid-term reversal opportunity if bulls defend it again. --- Pattern & Technical Characteristics The chart currently shows a sideways accumulation pattern over more than a year. Each retest of the 21–17.5 zone has produced deep wicks and strong rejections — signals of institutional absorption or smart money re-entry. However, if this support fails, it could trigger a structural breakdown and re-open the path toward the lower double-digit region. Potential pattern formations: Double Bottom (Reversal) if price bounces and breaks above 28–33 Descending Channel Breakdown if price loses 17.5 with a confirmed close --- Bullish Scenario – “Bounce From The Abyss” If the weekly candle closes above 21, the support remains intact — and this could mark the start of a strong reversal swing. Bullish confirmation signals: Strong rejection with long lower wick Rising volume during recovery Weekly close > 24 Upside targets: 1. 28.7 → First resistance zone 2. 32.7 → Structural breakout confirmation 3. 43.1 → Major swing target 4. 58.3 → Mid-term continuation goal Potential gain: 35% up to 170% from current levels if the bullish setup plays out. --- Bearish Scenario – “Breaking the Last Line of Defense” If the weekly close falls below 17.5, it confirms a macro breakdown. AVAX could enter a new redistribution phase, targeting 12.0 – 9.0, and possibly 8.5 if a market-wide capitulation occurs. Bearish confirmation signals: Weekly close < 17.5 High-volume selling pressure Failed retest (17.5 flips into resistance) This would shift the macro bias fully bearish, and patient traders might wait for a new accumulation phase at much lower levels. --- Conclusion & Macro Sentiment AVAX currently sits in a golden decision zone — the line between collapse and recovery. As long as the price holds above 21–17.5, the potential for a macro rebound remains strong. But a confirmed breakdown below that area would signal that the accumulation phase isn’t over yet, and the market might need one final washout before a full recovery. --- #AVAX #AVAXUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #CryptoMarket #AltcoinAnalysis #TradingView #SwingTrading #SupportAndResistance #Avalanche #CryptoReversal #MarketStructure #CryptoUpdate
Long
by CryptoNuclear
DASHUSDT UPDATE#DASH UPDATE DASH Technical Setup Pattern: Bullish Falling Wedge Current Price: $49.17 Target Price: $65.20 Target % Gain: 36.00% DASH is breaking out of a bullish falling wedge pattern on the 4H timeframe. Current price is $49.17 with a target near $65.20, showing about 36% potential upside. The breakout indicates strengthening bullish momentum and potential continuation toward higher levels. Time Frame: 4H Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
Long
by CryptoWithJames
AAVE/USDT – New Volume Box Activation🔹 AAVE/USDT – New Volume Box Activation AAVE is forming a new volume box structure between $203 – $385, showing renewed momentum after the last low recovery. Price is currently stabilizing around the lower range with growing volume, suggesting early accumulation activity. As long as AAVE holds above the $200 support zone, we follow for a possible continuation inside this box. The first target for structure development sits around $322, followed by $385 as the main breakout resistance level. The setup remains active as long as the current momentum and volume stay consistent — confirmation on lower time frames will define the strength of the next move.
Long
by SatochiTrader
Bitcoin - The devastating top formation!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is creating a top: 🔎Analysis summary: In the end of 2022, we witnessed another perfect bullish break and retest on Bitcoin. This retest was followed by an incredible rally of +600%. But slowly, Bitcoin is retesting a massive curve resistance, which has been pushing price lower for the past 15 years. 📝Levels to watch: $100,000 and $50,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
27
FUN/USDT — Reversal Incoming or New Lows Ahead? FUN has dropped back into its major historical accumulation zone between 0.00350–0.00297, a price range that previously triggered one of the strongest rallies in 2024. After a prolonged downtrend, this zone now acts as the final line of defense for bulls — a true make-or-break area that will define the mid-term market structure. Since peaking near 0.02480, the price has been under heavy selling pressure, forming a clear series of lower highs and lower lows. However, as the market approaches this key demand zone, bearish momentum appears to be slowing, hinting at potential exhaustion — a typical setup before a macro reversal. --- Pattern & Structure Primary trend: still bearish, but momentum is fading near the demand zone. Yellow zone (0.00350–0.00297): acts as long-term support / accumulation base from the last macro rally. A sideways accumulation or strong bullish candle here could signal buyer re-entry. A clean breakdown below 0.00297 would invalidate this base and confirm further downside continuation. --- Bullish Scenario If buyers defend the 0.00350–0.00297 area and a 3D candle closes above 0.0038–0.0040, a mid-term reversal could begin. Targets: Target 1: 0.00400 (short-term validation level) Target 2: 0.00575 (minor resistance) Target 3: 0.00720–0.00890 (major supply zone) Extended target: 0.02300 if momentum sustains Confirmation: Look for bullish engulfing / hammer patterns on higher timeframes with a noticeable rise in volume — these are key reversal triggers. --- Bearish Scenario If the price closes below 0.00297, the structure confirms a breakdown of the macro support. Targets: Target 1: 0.00200 Target 2: 0.00184 (multi-year low zone) Such a move would mark a capitulation phase, potentially setting the stage for a longer-term base formation at lower levels. --- Technical Insights Momentum indicators may soon show bullish divergence, supporting a potential reversal setup. 0.00400 remains a crucial resistance-to-support (RS flip) level to watch. Patience is key — early entries without confirmation can be risky in this type of setup. --- Conclusion FUN is now testing one of the most critical support zones of the year. The range between 0.00350–0.00297 represents a battlefield between accumulation and capitulation. If buyers manage to hold and reclaim 0.0040, the price could ignite a multi-week recovery phase. But if this level breaks, a slide toward 0.0020–0.00184 becomes highly probable. This is a zone where precision and confirmation matter more than emotion — wait for the chart to tell the story. --- #FUNUSDT #FunFair #CryptoAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #SupplyDemand #BreakOrBounce #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
Long
by CryptoNuclear
Stop!Loss|Market View: NZDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 0.57463 💰TP: 0.56839 ⛔️SL: 0.57955 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The New Zealand dollar continues to trade in a mid-term downtrend. Currently, this currency pair, as a commodity currency, is one of the most promising buying instruments for the USD, with further strengthening expected in the near future. Current prices are favorable for potential selling, but a false breakout near 0.57550 is possible, which would provide an even more reliable sell signal. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
5
#ETH/USDT : Another Attempt To Resume Upward Movement #ETH The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout. There is a major support area in green at 3826, which represents a strong support point. We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 3831. First target: 3920. Second target: 3969. Third target: 4200. Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by CryptoAnalystSignal
1
Gold may fall below 4,000 points this week, short sell!The following only represents my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive. As market conditions change, the strategy will also change. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market conditions! Gold's nine-week weekly rise officially ended last week, marking the beginning of a phased adjustment for the previously strong bull market. The U.S. CPI data released last Friday was weak, and inflationary pressure was lower than expected, which was bullish for the precious metals market. Based on this, I issued a long order signal, and the gold price did rebound slightly, once reaching the $4,100 mark. However, the upward momentum did not continue to expand, and the price ultimately failed to break through the key resistance level of $4,160, indicating strong upward selling pressure in this area. This technical pattern indicates that it will be more difficult for gold to continue to rise at a high level in the short term. If the price rises back to the 4150-4160 range in the future, you can consider adopting a high-altitude strategy to seize the opportunity of a pullback. Judging from the opening of this week, market sentiment has clearly cooled, with gold prices opening significantly lower and falling rapidly. The single-day drop has exceeded tens of dollars, reaching a low of around $4,060. It is worth noting that 4060 is the key support area that we emphasized last week, and it is also the bottom position in the previous oscillation structure. The current price is approaching or even testing this area, which means that the game between bulls and bears has entered a white-hot stage. If this support level is effectively broken, gold prices could retest back below $4,000, further confirming a shift from a strong short-term trend to a weak one. Absent unexpected geopolitical or financial risk events, the likelihood of gold continuing its downward trend significantly increases, and the risk of falling below the $4,000 mark is rising. Looking back at the evolution of this round of trends, after nine consecutive weeks of positive closings on the weekly level, a negative line appeared, releasing an obvious signal of weakening bullish momentum. Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart are beginning to show signs of fatigue: the MACD is showing shrinking red bars, the KDJ is forming a downward death cross at a high level, and prices are gradually moving away from the short-term moving average system. Currently, the price is facing a dual test of the 20-day moving average and the middle Bollinger Band. These two technical reference lines intersect in the 4060-4070 range, forming an extremely important bull-bear watershed at present. If the gold price can stabilize and rebound in this area, there is still a basis for maintaining range fluctuations; but once it falls, it will most likely start a new round of downward trend. It is worth emphasizing that the inertial thinking of "rising as soon as the market opens" in the past period of time is no longer applicable to the current market environment. With the adjustment of macro expectations, the hawkish policy path of the Federal Reserve and the slowdown in gold purchases by some central banks, the unilateral upward logic of gold is weakening. Therefore, trading strategies must keep pace with the times and adjust directions in a timely manner. Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, this week's strategy should primarily focus on shorting rallies. It is recommended to arrange short orders in batches within the range of $4090 to $4110, and strictly set stop-loss to prevent unexpected reversals. At the same time, closely monitor the support level of $4060-4070. If a significant break occurs, the next target could be $3950 or even $3900. Barring any major risk events, gold prices are expected to remain under pressure, and a break below the psychologically important $4000 level is not out of the question.
FOREXCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide