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ARVL Penny EV Stock Momentum from EarningsOn the 2H Chart ARVL is always been underneath the Ichimoku cloud. Since earnings this has changed. The earnings were nothing special. ARVL as a startup is still losing cash; it is priced on the potential of the future. ARVL is in the delivery truck and bus segment of the growing EV industry. It does not compete directly with TSLA. On the chart relative strengh also rose over its cloud going from 40 to 70. Notably it crossed above the Ichimoku cloud simultaneously with crossing over the POC line. Traders including myself watch for confluences to support bias and a trend. My feeler call option with 5 DTE trade was taken on Friday is up 228% over the weekend. I will now take ten more but extend the DTE to 6/2 I see this as a typical penny stock high reward high risk. This is like TSLA in its infancy. Also the higher it gets away from delisting risk the more momentum it might have. This compares well and perhaps better than LCID NKLA and PSR because it has a niche focus which protects it from the center of the competition with other EV stocks.
ALong
by AwesomeAvani
5
Ichimoku Target Price Theory V, N, E and NT CalculationsTHE BASICS: Here is a close up of the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō indicator: Many people do not know that the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō cloud system has its own Number, Wave, Target Price and Timespan Theories. After years of study, the numbers that Goichi Hosoda choose for his system are 9, 17, 26 as the basic numbers with 33, 42, 65, 76, 129 and 200~257. These numbers are used in the timespan as well as on the indicator itself. 9 is used for the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) 26 is used for the Base Line (Kijun Sen) 26 is also used for the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) and is used to shift the current price back 26 periods. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is an exceptional part of the system and allows you to see possible support and resistance levels without drawing any lines. The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is calculated using the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) and Base Line (Kijun Sen) values and is then plotted 26 periods into the future and shows potential future support and resistance levels. The Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is calculated using double of 26 so 52 periods and is then and is then plotted 26 periods into the future. This also shows potential future support and resistance levels. Note that: The Area ABOVE the cloud is called the BULLISH ZONE. The Area BELOW the cloud is called the BEARISH ZONE. The Area IN BETWEEN the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) levels is called the EQUILIBRIUM ZONE. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) and Base Line (Kijun Sen) ARE NOT MOVING AVERAGES but are instead calculated high and low midpoints of the price. So the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is high and low calculated midpoint for the last 9 Periods (short-term) and the Base Line (Kijun Sen) is high and low calculated midpoint for the last 26 Periods (mid-term). THE ADVANCED: Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō Target Price Theory with examples: How accurate is Goichi Hosoda’s Target Price Theory? Using the history of the DJI/USD chart….. it turns out the calculation are very accurate. Note that i have added in timespans from Hosoda’s numbers to see if there is a day of change on the Ichimoku numbers 9, 17, 26, 33, 42, 65, 76, 129 and 200~257. Note that you can be flexible with these numbers so if a day of change is 8 days instead of 9 or 77 days instead of 76 then that is fine with this system. Ichimoku System has 4 Price Target Calculations called V, N, E and NT. A few of these we will see below. As you’ll see below, the calculations do change if they are POSITIVE or NEGATIVE. If we look at the Positive N Calculation from the Monday 3rd August 1896 until Monday 6th sept 1897 we can see that it was spot on. N Calculation positive N = C + (B-A) = D (B) $32.55 - (A) $20.77 = $11.79 (C) $27.79 + (B-A) $11.78 = (D) $39.57 The actual price it went to was $40.41 If we look at the above Negative V Calculation from the Monday 29th Sept 1929 until Monday 5th sept 1931 we can see that again, the calculation was spot on. V Calculation Negative V = B - (C-B) = D (C) $302 - (B) $194 = $108 (B) $194 - (C-B) $108 = (D) $86 The actual price it went to was $85.76 and continued to $40.72 If we look at this Negative N Calculation from the Monday 9th November 1931 until Monday 30th May 1932 we can see that again, it was almost spot on. N Calculation Negative N = C - (A-B) = D (A) $118.86 - (B) $69.85 = $48.75 (C) $89.87 - (C-B) $48.75 = (D) $41.12 Actual = $43.52 and continued to $40.72 If we look at the Positive V Calculation from Monday 4th July 1932 until Monday 17th July 1933 we can see that again, it was almost spot on. V Calculation Positive V = B + (B-C) = D (B) $81.63 - (C) $48.81 = $32.82 (B) $81.63 + (C-B) $32.82 = (D) $114.45 Actual = $110.90 If we look at the Negative V Calculation from Monday 4th Nov 1940 until Monday 13th April 1942 we can see that again, it was almost spot on. V Calculation Negative V = B - (C-B) = D (C) $131 - (B) $114 = $17 (B) $114 - (C-B) $17 = (D) $97 Actual = $92.60 If we look at the Positive NT Calculation from Monday 23rd March 2020 until Monday 10th May 2021 we can see that again, it was spot on. NT Calculation Positive NT = C + (C-A) (C) $26,114 - (A) $18,217 = $7,897 (C) $26,114 + (C-A) $7,897 = $34,011 Actually price went up to $36,971 which was until Monday 3rd Jan 2022. If we look at the Negative V Calculation from Monday 12th Dec 2022 until Monday 13th March 2023 we can see that again, it was close but off from about $600 but still would’ve made a profit. V Calculation Negative V = B - (C-B) = D (C) $34,344 - (B) $32,582 = $1,762 (B) $32,582 - (C-B) $1,762 = (D) $30,820 Actual price went to = $31,428 I have done these examples on the 1 week chart but this system also work for lower timeframes. I could go through and add much more calculations but i think you get the point with just these few. I hope this post has been helpful and insightful. For those interested, below are 2 links to my previous post about Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō that you may find helpful. Ichimoku Wave Theory: Ichimoku Crypto:
TVC:DJIEducation
by TradingThroughTheLens
3
Ripple Ichimoku Price Theory Analysis●Ichimoku Price Theory ? Among the important auxiliary Ichimoku Indicator of Goichi Hosada, theory, wave theory, price theory today I am going to analyze the price theory. The Elliott wave is stereotyped as five-par and three-par of rising and falling, but the one-sided balance theory believes that the wave will continue as long as the high and low points are renewed. In other words, there is a law of inertia that tries to continue in the direction of upward trend, or downward trend. But Price Theory has a different goal. The key thing in this analysis method is to analyze the target value and the limitations of growth. In a metaphor, it has the advantage of being able to calculate in advance how much time you have left to run a long-distance marathonrace and how much you will control your pace. 1) The "V" Calculation = B + (B – C) V calculated value: V=B+(B-C) occurs in a V-shaped wave. This is the wave that returns as much as it falls from B to C. 2) The "N" Calculation = C + (B – A) N calculated value: N=C+(B-A), which is returned by the same width after C. 3) The "E" Calculation = B + (B – A) E calculated value: E=B+(B-A) is obtained by adding the increase from A to B to B. ●Dead line? Rise analysis fails when deadline 0.3665$ is reached. It can calculate the strategic loss zone in advance. The calculation theory B area can be judged as a departure and an analysis failure. ●What is the reason for the rise? Please refer to the elliptical zone. The most basic signal of the Ichimoku is the golden cross between the TakanSen(T) Spans, which represents the short-term trend, and the KijunSen(K) Spans, which represents the mid- to long-term trend. Chikou(C) Spans can also confirm the establishment of an eventual trend. ●Where can I buy it? I personally think of 0.3819 as a strong buying area, calculated in advance by Kijun Sen(K) and moved horizontally. ●Final Strategy Chart Thank you for reading my poor analysis. I want to help you a lot. Any further analysis will be updated in the comments. You can easily get an alarm if you follow it.
Long
by WhaleGO_BTC
2
LONG LTCUSDT (4H)The ELLIPSE trading strategy has generated a long signal (4H timeframe) for Litecoin (LTC) at $77.51. The price has recently broken through the monthly pivot (P) level (denoted by the orange line) and has subsequently seen both the price and lagging line on the daily chart break out of the Ichimoku cloud (as evidenced by the green background on the 4-hour chart). The first significant resistance level encountered was the yearly pivot (P) at $88 (indicated by the black line). The price has been hovering around this level for approximately 2 weeks. Today, the price has broken through this level with high volume, indicating that the trend is likely to continue with the next major resistance level being the yearly resistance (R1) at around $135. Keep in mind that there may be additional resistance around monthly R3 ($107), R4 ($118) and R5 ($129). Additionally, the alignment of all 9, 21, 50, 100 and 200 exponential moving averages suggests a bullish trend. Note that the halving of the block reward is scheduled to occur around August this year, which has historically led to a bullish momentum.
Long
by Cryptonerds
1
Tricks of Ichimoku clouds. Hi. I was making a comment in someone else's idea about the Ichimoku indication and thought one point should be dealt with more. So, let's assume something are in a down-trend, candles are flying down from cliff, to the left of Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen. We can see this on chart 1. At some point the drop reaches some kind of resistance and starts some lateral movement of larger or smaller amplitude. Kijun and Tenkan are beginning to squeeze each other, traders are waiting for the long-awaited (after so many months!) of a golden cross, but something else is happening. A cross occurs, but it looks like it is not Kijun-sen piercing Tenkan-sen from below, but vice versa Tenkan sen approaching Kijun has taken and fallen into this line and is looking down. So... Let's remember what the textbook golden cross looks like on Ichimoku? I believe what is shown on screen 2 is exactly that golden cross. Kijun come over in from below Tenkan-sen, and shot through the line. The Tenkan-Sen did not change its horizontal position in this process. Then it is required to see if there are situations, when a golden cross should form, but in fact Tenkan-sen is falling down to the Kijun and the movement is going downward still, and one more cross is formed soon. Voila, the summer 2021 chart of Etherium. This is exactly the situation. Conclusion: Not every Kijun/Tenkan line cross after the big red Kumo cloud is a golden cross. I encourage @norok as a trader whom I have great respect for his work, to comment on these aspects.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by averkie_skila
Bitcoin Ichimoku Price Theory Analysis●Ichimoku Price Theory ? Among the important auxiliary Ichimoku Indicator of Goichi Hosada, theory, wave theory, price theory today I am going to analyze the price theory. The Elliott wave is stereotyped as five-par and three-par of rising and falling, but the one-sided balance theory believes that the wave will continue as long as the high and low points are renewed. In other words, there is a law of inertia that tries to continue in the direction of upward trend, or downward trend. But Price Theory has a different goal. The key thing in this analysis method is to analyze the target value and the limitations of growth. In a metaphor, it has the advantage of being able to calculate in advance how much time you have left to run a long-distance marathonrace and how much you will control your pace. 1) The "V" Calculation = B + (B – C) V calculated value: V=B+(B-C) occurs in a V-shaped wave. This is the wave that returns as much as it falls from B to C. 2) The "N" Calculation = C + (B – A) N calculated value: N=C+(B-A) which is returned by the same width after C. 3) The "E" Calculation = B + (B – A) E calculated value: E=B+(B-A) is obtained by adding the increase from A to B to B. 4) The "NT" Calculation = C + (C – A) NT calculated value: NT=C+(C-A) is obtained by adding the increase from C to C to A. ●Fed Interest Rate Decision ? Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) member's vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD. Under the current situation, we believe that there will be a high probability of an interest rate hike. ●Comprehensive analysis We are expecting up to "E" TP 19228$, and we think that today's FED announcement and the 22804$ downward closing is the basis for the short-term downward trend. Thank you for reading the insufficient analysis. Additional analysis will be updated with comments.
Short
by WhaleGO_BTC
EDU: BOTTOMING PATTERN & GAP FILL PLAYEDU ( Chinese stock ): I'm bullish Chinese stocks in general but I really do like the look of EDU. A few reasons to keep a good look on EDU: - price is now above all the moving averages on the daily chart; - price is getting back above the Ichimoku cloud; - there is a huge gap between $29.70 and $57.34; - the weekly chart chart has the look of an inverted head and shoulders (but not really perfect). Has EDU found a bottom? It looks like it. Can we fill that gap? Not sure. However the chart looks promising. The next resistance is at 29.70. If we cross 29.70 I would expect the price to accelerate to the next resistance of 50.27, then potentially fill the gap. If we see weakness in the coming days, the next supports are at 24 and 22. I would wait for the price to cross 29.70 before initiating a long position. My 1st target will then be around 50, my second target will be at 57. Trade safe! (This is no financial advice. Technical analysis is given to help you make your own decision. As always place a stop loss when you enter the position, and do not ignore risks of delisting for Chinese ADRs).
NYSE:EDULong
by Elpidaldo
2
TESLAHello & welcome to this analysis In the monthly time frame we can see the stock has broken and continues to trade below the Ichimoku Base line support, suggesting a likely test of the Ichimoku clouds in the coming months. In the weekly we can see a Head & Shoulder formation with the right shoulder withing a parallel channel. Sustaining below $205 (weekly) this could break all the way down to $150 before any relief / value buying comes in. Short term bounces here there might come due to oversold zones, but overall structure has become very bearish for the medium term.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
1
QQQ setting up ReversalQQQ has been downtrending however- it broke through the mid-Fib levels which are now resistance the Momentum Oscillator shows bearish momentum decreasing to nearly zero the red dot on the center line suggests a squeeze is underway recent candles are small range and nearly Doji candles on the RSI Ichimoku are wide range and volatile in general relative strength is rising in bullish divergence Accordingly I will close the put options and open call options with 48 hours of time to expiration at a strike 1% above current price.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AwesomeAvani
BTC/USD - Will we see a Death Cross on the Bitcoin 1 week chart?Looking at the BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA (Yellow Line) is now getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). A crossover would signal a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the entire history and available data on this BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA has never crossed under the 200MA on this 1w timeframe. Note that the 50MA did come very close to crossing under the 200MA around the week of the 30th Nov 2015 but in the end, it didn’t happen. Other notes: BTC is still in a Massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern. BTC is also still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. BTC is still under all 3 of its major unique Ichimoku Kumo (Cloud) patterns. BTC is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow, we can see that we are still in the Distribution Zone traveling slightly upwards but would say more like 'sideways within a range' on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is a sign of continued weakness on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but has starting to slope downwards. Note that both the MACD Line and Signal Line are still deep in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the last green histogram had also decreased in size and this weekly one looks like it will also close smaller than the last indicating upwards momentum is weakening on this 1w timeframe. Interesting times and potential opportunities ahead once this World Recession bottoms. I hope this quick chart is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
NiftyHello and welcome to this analysis Nifty today activated not one but two bearish reversal signals. First it activated a Bearish Harmonic Alt Shark (double confirmation if price sustains below 18350) for suggested downside levels of 17750/17250. This pattern would be considered negated above 18575. Second it coincided with an Ichimoku Price and Time axis equilibrium date - (double confirmation if price sustains below 18360. The reversal as per Ichimoku will become invalid if a daily candle close occurs above 18450. Downside targets for Ichimoku are also similar to Harmonic ones. Use the dips / correction to add stocks, corrections are healthy and a good opportunity to invest in growth stocks.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
2
$BTC to $23-25k, then $15.8k? The ultimate bull trap?Alright, as many of you've seen, I've updated my previous chart in the comments and have become short term bullish. I do think that BTC heads higher in the next few weeks tagging the $23.5k mark or $25k mark. I was originally thinking that this would make the short term bottom of this move down, but now I'm questioning that thesis and I think that this is the more likely scenario that will play out... Let me explain. Something never looked right to me when analyzing the Ichimoku cloud. Why is it trending down on the 2D chart? Also, if you analyze it from a 3D chart, the cloud is too thick with resistance to break through. So that leads me to believe we're not ready for the breakout higher yet. From all of the charts I've seen people post, most people think we're going to $21k than instantly reversing lower. Then the other camp thinks that $23.5k is the line in the sand, and that if we break that, we've started a new bullish trend. This all leads me to believe that the most likely outcome is that we break both resistances and hit $25k, and only after we don't break that, we reverse lower. I think that would lure the most people into the market. I think most people at that point would think to buy the dip (because again, the new bull trend is starting). However, I think rejecting $25k, would just form a double top from the move back in August and setup a move lower (where we finally break the lows). I think if this all plays out, and we can't surpass $25k to form a new high, it sets up the move down that I was expecting to around $15.8k. I think the move up plays out before the middle of November and I think the move down would play out towards the back half of November bottoming sometime in early to mid December. I've added pivot points to look for changes in price action. Only after this plays out, would I expect a large bear market rally (one that takes us back up to the $30k region). I am long BTC and a lot of alts at the moment (because I'm expecting 50-100% exit pumps before we head lower). On any significant moves higher, I'll be locking in profits because I don't want to risk staying in the market if this plays out like I'm expecting. Good luck. Let's see how it all plays out over the coming 4-8 weeks.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by benjihyam
27
BTC/USD price target if it breaks below its Descending TriangleBTC/USD is still in a massive Ichimoku W Wave Pattern. BTC is still in a Descending Wedge Pattern and a Descending Triangle Pattern. BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indication that the mid-point of the short-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indication that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment is slight upwards but overall ranging sideways. If BTC breaks below its descending Triangle pattern Using Negative V Calculation a price target of around $9,916 is produced. V Calculation (Negative) V= B-(C-B) = D C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622 B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,622 = $9,916 The above V Calculation is taken from the 1 month chart but I have added it onto this 1 day chart. For your viewing pleasure, below is the BTC/USD 1 month chart. Notice that we have a timescale pattern of 9 Bars and 17 Bars on the above 1 month chart. 17 Bars takes us to the month of 1st April 2023 but due to crypto volatility, the price target may be achieved much sooner. Note that 9 and 17 are part of the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō Number Theory. This is all just my opinion using the Ichimoku System. In any case, i hope this is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TradingThroughTheLens
6