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USOIL Price Action: FVG Rebalance After Liquidity GrabUSOIL shows a classic smart money sequence starting with an impulsive bullish move, followed by distribution near premium prices. Price tapped into a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the highs, which acted as a strong institutional supply zone, triggering a sharp sell-off. After the rejection, the market delivered a clean liquidity sweep below previous equal lows, trapping late sellers. Price is now consolidating inside a discount demand zone, forming a base — a strong indication of accumulation by smart money. The lower FVG below price remains unfilled, suggesting a potential dip to rebalance inefficiency before continuation. The projected path highlights a stop-hunt → higher low → impulsive bullish leg, targeting the previous premium imbalance zone. Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, and current price action favors a buy-the-dip strategy rather than chasing shorts. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch Demand Zone: 60.00 – 61.00 Liquidity Sweep Area: Below 61.00 Bullish Target: 64.80 – 65.50 Invalidation: Clean break below 59.80 🧠 Smart Money Insight ✔ Liquidity grab completed ✔ Discount pricing achieved ✔ FVG magnet above price ✔ Structure favors upside This setup aligns perfectly with SMC, ICT, and price action traders looking for high R:R reversal trades.
TVC:USOILLong
by XAU_CAPITAL
1
BUY XAUUSDGold is approaching a key demand zone around 4672 after an extended short-term sell-off, where price previously reacted and liquidity is likely resting. This area sits near structural support and comes after bearish momentum that looks stretched, making it a logical place for buyers to step in if rejection appears. If price slows into the zone and prints bullish reaction candles or a short-term structure shift on lower timeframes, it would support a corrective rebound toward the higher resistance area marked above, favoring a tactical long setup rather than chasing the breakdown lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by NISP3R0
3
SELL XAUUSDGold is showing short-term bearish signs after being rejected from a key supply zone and failing to break above a descending trendline. Price is forming lower highs, struggling around the moving averages, and the recent bounce from support looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting sellers remain in control. With multiple technical factors aligning—trendline resistance, EMA rejection, and weak bullish momentum—the probability favors a short-term continuation lower unless price can reclaim those resistance levels decisively.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by NISP3R0
GBPUSD – Community Update (H4 Perspective) his move didn’t happen overnight. For almost two weeks, we’ve been breaking this structure down on H4, step by step, before price ever delivered what you’re seeing now. Here’s the progression 👇 • We identified the H4 pivot high as our first point of interest • From there, we tracked price respecting internal range structure • Liquidity was clearly sitting below, and price kept reacting exactly as anticipated • Entry was refined on H4, not emotion, not patterns alone Fast forward to now 👇 Price is currently trading inside discount, aligned with: ✔️ Weekly discount ✔️ H4 internal range liquidity ✔️ Daily internal range liquidity This is not randomness — this is context + patience + execution. --- What we expect next From this discount zone, we’ll be watching how price reacts to: • Internal liquidity objectives • Short-term retracements vs continuation • Whether displacement confirms continuation or redistribution No rush. No forcing trades. We let price prove itself, just like it has been doing for the past two weeks. --- Reminder to the community Everyone sees the market differently. Some wait. Some act early. What matters is having a reason, not following the crowd. Simple. Patient. Disciplined. — Dr Algo
Short
by I_AM_DR_ALGO
Bitcoin - Sweep, Reclaim, Then Continuation Lower?Higher Timeframe Context Price continues to respect a broader bearish structure, with lower highs forming after the previous distribution phase. The recent downside expansion did not occur randomly, it aligned with higher timeframe weakness and persistent sell-side pressure. Even though support has reacted before, the overall order flow still favors sellers until proven otherwise. This keeps any upside move categorized as corrective rather than a true shift in trend. Liquidity Event and Support Reclaim The key technical development here is the sweep of a weekly low followed by a close back above it and inside a strong weekly support zone. This type of behavior often signals engineered liquidity rather than genuine acceptance below the level. When price quickly reclaims support after taking stops, it typically creates the fuel for a relief move, as trapped shorts begin to cover and responsive buyers step in. Short-Term Repricing Potential With liquidity now collected from below, price has room to rotate higher in the near term. The path above contains inefficiencies that remain unfilled, particularly the daily imbalance that sits overhead. Markets tend to revisit these gaps as part of delivery, especially after a sweep and reclaim sequence. In addition, a cluster of lower timeframe consolidation rests in that same region, making it an attractive draw for price before any larger directional decision. Confluence With Lower Timeframe Targets The projected push higher is not expected to mark a bullish reversal, but rather a controlled retracement into areas where liquidity is resting. A sweep of the intraday consolidation would effectively reset positioning and potentially provide higher timeframe sellers with improved entry locations. When corrective rallies move into imbalance while the macro structure remains bearish, they often transition into continuation legs once the rebalancing is complete. Why The Bearish Bias Remains Intact Despite the strong reaction from support, nothing in the current structure suggests a confirmed shift in market direction. The broader pattern still points downward, and rallies should be viewed through the lens of distribution until market structure decisively changes. If price delivers into the overhead targets and begins to show rejection, it would reinforce the idea that the recent reclaim was simply a setup for continuation rather than accumulation. Conclusion The sweep and reclaim of weekly support opens the door for a temporary move higher, primarily driven by imbalance fills and liquidity resting within nearby consolidations. However, with the higher timeframe structure still leaning bearish, the expectation is for this relief rally to eventually exhaust itself and transition into another leg lower. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
32
No NFP TomorrowHi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader. I study Gold since 2019. I need your support. Leave a like and follow me. It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work. Please read the description to understand the trading plan. Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks. Live today at 14:00 CET (Rome time). 🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞 Gold can’t close the daily above the main shift. At this point, the chance of a move back to lower zones is high. So I’ll look to target those areas. We have three TF — D, H4, H1 — all with a bearish setup. It makes sense to follow that for now. See you live later today. 🔍 Reminder 🔍 I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions. I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30. 🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything. 📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply. 🔍 NEXT APPOINTMENTS 🔍 As usual, we’ll be live at 14:00 to follow the market in real time. In the meantime, have a good day. -GOOD TRADING -MANAGE RISK -BE PATIENT
OANDA:XAUUSD
by X_GoldenBoy_X
GOLD 05/02 – SMC H2 MAP | FILL LIQUIDITY 47XX NOW!Gold had a strong drop to the Fib 0.382 area and then quickly rebounded. Gold prices are reacting at the Fib 0.5 H2 + FVG confluence area. The next direction will depend on whether the price is accepted or rejected at these key areas. BRIEF CONTEXT The market remains sensitive to USD and interest rate expectations, so intraday liquidity sweeps occur frequently. Macroeconomic instability helps gold avoid a direct collapse, but it's not strong enough to reverse the short-term structure. ➡️ This explains why there are quick drops – quick rebounds – but the range remains locked. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE H2 The larger structure is still bearish after CHoCH from the peak. The current upward movement is considered a pullback in the downtrend. Fib 0.5 H2 is acting as a balance area, not a trend confirmation area. ROUTE MAP – PRICE AREAS TO WATCH 🔴 UPPER AREA 👉 5000 – 5050 Fib 0.5 → 0.618 H2 FVG H2 Technical retracement area in the downtrend structure ➡️ If the price retraces here but is not accepted, the upward movement is just a retracement to continue the decline. 👉 5200 – 5250 Fib 0.786 H2 FVG above Only if the price breaks and holds above this area will the intraday downtrend structure be invalidated. 🟢 LOWER AREA 👉 4920 – 4950 Fib 0.5 H2 + FVG Balance area, prone to two-way tug-of-war 👉 4800 – 4820 Fib 0.382 H2 Area where the drop and rebound just occurred 👉 4650 – 4700 FVG + demand H2 Next support area if bearish returns 👉 4550 – 4600 Liquidity low Only activated when the downward momentum expands strongly HOW WE READ & TRADE ON 05/02 Scalp: according to price reaction at 0.382 – 0.5 – FVG H2, especially during the European session. Do not FOMO with the rebound – strong reaction does not mean reversal. Swing: only follow structure acceptance, do not predict emotions. Let the market speak the truth when it hits important areas. LucasGrayTrading will continue to update when the price gives clearer signals during the day. — LucasGrayTrading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasGrayTrading
4
Smart Money Are Hedging While Seasonality Turns BearishThe Nasdaq is entering a technically delicate phase where positioning, seasonality, and price structure are beginning to converge toward a potential corrective scenario rather than trend continuation. Starting with the Commitment of Traders, a configuration is emerging that deserves close attention. Non-commercial traders — typically speculative money — remain net long with 89,479 long contracts versus 61,324 shorts, confirming that the broader positioning is still structurally bullish. However, the latest weekly change highlights a reduction in risk exposure, with an increase in short positions alongside a contraction in total open interest. This is not yet an outright bearish signal, but it clearly reflects de-risking behavior following an extended bullish cycle. Even more significant is the positioning of commercial hedgers, who are heavily net short (170,046 shorts vs 128,486 longs). Historically, when commercials expand downside hedges near elevated price zones, it tends to reflect institutional protection rather than directional speculation, a dynamic typically associated with the mature stages of a trend. Seasonality further reinforces this cautious tone. February often shows strength in the early part of the month, followed by weakness into the mid-to-late period, and the multi-year composite currently projects negative average performance. After the strong fourth-quarter rally, supported by election-cycle liquidity and continued leadership from the technology sector, the market is now entering a statistically softer window where pullbacks become more likely than impulsive breakouts. Shifting to the daily chart, price has recently lost the lower boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting early signs of momentum exhaustion. The rejection from the upper structure followed by an impulsive decline confirms that buyers no longer have full control of the market. The key technical area now sits within the 23,800–24,000 demand zone, which also aligns with trendline support visible on higher timeframes. This is the level where institutional participation is most likely to re-emerge. Until strong bullish acceptance returns, rebounds may increasingly offer tactical short opportunities rather than breakout entries. Operational bias: bearish in the short term / bullish in the medium term as long as the broader structure remains intact.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
8
QQQ - 4 Feb 2026 Update - Sweeps completed - Observation Mode Hey everyone, JP Quintero here Over the past few weeks, I’ve been sharing some of my personal ideas, key levels, and structures on a few tickers and ETFs. Quick background: I’ve been studying and trading the markets for about 5 years now. Over the past couple of years, I went through 2 solid mentorships, and after that my focus became much clearer. Today, I base most of my trading, especially options, on liquidity concepts, order flow, ICT principles, and market structure. I don’t trade news, indicators, or classic chart patterns. I only use those to understand where retail liquidity is likely sitting and to understand a bit the retail Psychology. What I actually trade is institutional sweeps, absorption, and follow-through with intent. Back to my January 28th QQQ post That day, I mentioned I had closed my remaining positions, both bull put spreads structured around the 600 area. These were trades I had put on a couple of weeks before, and one about a week prior to the 28th. The reason I stepped aside was simple. After a strong multi-day rally, I started seeing clear signs of deceleration around 635–636, along with a wick and liquidity sweep at the last all time highs. Typical behavior after extended moves, price often leaves imbalances behind and then price comes back to fix those gaps. So I closed the trades and decided to observe. And that’s exactly what played out. Price pulled back and swept the zones I had highlighted on my last post: The 626 imbalance / FVG The 616 imbalance The 607–608 liquidity zone Today, price finally tagged 600, right where my previous trades were structured. After the market close, i saw price bounce back toward the 609 afterhours, but it will most probably retrace a bit back tomorrow at opening. At the moment, there’s no strong bearish conviction, but also no clear bullish conviction either. If we had closed decisively below 600, I’d be leaning much more bearish. For now, this still looks like a range and rebalancing phase after the strong run-up. I’m still not convinced enough to put on any position right now BUT If I had to choose something, it would be a bull put spread around the 580 area (sell 580 / buy 575 or 570), but I’m far from 100% on that idea. Over the next couple of sessions Thursday and Friday I’m watching two main scenarios: A clear buying reaction at 600 (rejection candle, volume, higher low forming), which could create a reasonable setup around 580 Or a continued drift lower with no real defense, pointing to a slower range or mild bearish bias Nothing is clear at this point. There’s no high-probability edge in either direction. Plan is straightforward to Wait and Observe. as i always this is not a recommendation. This post is part of my personal trading journal. It’s also worth mentioning that there’s a clear sector rotation happening, capital moving out of large cap tech, growth, and AI names into energy, industrials, value, and small caps. That rotation is adding extra pressure to the Nasdaq and the Qs Bottom line: Sweep down to 600 completed, No clear direction yet, Full observation mode! i have a couple alerts already in place Thanks a lot for taking the time to read my post, really appreciate it! Over the next few weeks, I’m planning to start sharing ideas in VIDEO format here on TradingView. I’ve been asked a few times what indicators or systems I use, and honestly, I use very few indicators. My trading is simple and uncluttered, focused primarily on liquidity. I’ll be explaining this more in short videos soon. If you have any questions, feedback, or want to understand my approach in more depth, feel free to reach out. I answer to all questions every time for FREE your feedback helps me grow, and we both learn in the process. likes(boosts) and comments supper appreciated also :D See you in the next update. Stay clear and disciplined. God bless
NASDAQ:QQQ
by JPQuinter09
5