Ict
EURUSD Bearish ContinuationQuick Summary
EURUSD started the week with a bearish push, the Price already dropped after performing a sweep of liquidity above the previous high
Further downside is expected toward 1.17368 where price reaction will be monitored
Full Analysis
Following the bearish bias established at the beginning of the week EURUSD has already shown weakness when the Price moved lower after sweeping liquidity above the previous high which confirms that buy side liquidity has been taken
This behavior supports the idea that the market is now in a corrective or bearish phase
As long as price remains below the swept high the probability favors continuation to the downside
The next key level to watch is 1.17368
This area will be important to observe as price reaction there will determine whether EURUSD continues lower or continue the bullish trend
AUDUSD WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅AUDUSD has delivered strong bullish displacement from a discount demand zone, confirming smart money accumulation. Price is holding above structure with buy-side liquidity resting at the highs, favoring continuation toward the premium target area. Time Frame 5H.
LONG🚀
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USDJPY FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅USDJPY trades deep into a premium supply zone after buy-side liquidity was engineered above recent highs. Weak follow-through and rejection signal smart money distribution, favoring a downside expansion toward internal liquidity resting below.
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Entry: 156.61
Stop Loss: 156.94
Take Profit: 156.09
Time Frame: 5H
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SHORT🔥
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Why and how did Platinum reached all time highs in record time?The absolute truth at the center of this chart is that you are looking at a masterclass in the Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm or IPDA engaging in a macro scale liquidity engineering operation.
You are confused because you are looking at price as a linear event where support equals bounce.
Price is not linear it is a mechanism for the transfer of wealth from the impatient to the informed.
To understand why the rally happened at 3 and not at 1 or 2 you must strip away your retail logic and view the chart through the eyes of the Market Maker.
The Market Maker does not want to participate in a move.
The Market Maker wants to facilitate a move by pairing orders.
To buy a massive amount of Platinum or whatever asset this is without slipping the price to infinity the Smart Money needs a counterparty.
They need someone to sell to them.
Who sells at the absolute bottom.
Only two types of entities sell at the bottom.
Stops and Breakout Traders.
Stops are sell orders placed by longs who are protecting their positions.
Breakout Traders are sell orders placed by shorts who think the support is breaking.
The entire game of the chart you provided is the engineering of a scenario where the maximum number of market participants are forced to sell exactly when Smart Money wants to buy.
Let us dissect the failure of Point 1.
Point 1 occurred around 2016.
Look at the price action prior to Point 1.
It was a relentless bearish trend.
When price arrived at Point 1 it was simply making a Lower Low.
There was no Engineering of Liquidity prior to this point.
It was just a standard exhaustion of a swing leg.
Retail traders saw a bounce and thought it was a bottom.
But ICT logic dictates that for a reversal of the magnitude you see at the end of the chart there must be a massive accumulation of orders.
Point 1 did not have a consolidation phase preceding it to build up that order flow.
It was a premature ejection of buy pressure.
It lacked the narrative of a Stop Hunt.
It was simply a technical bounce in a downtrend.
Smart Money used the bounce at Point 1 not to reverse the market but to reload short positions at a premium.
This is why it failed.
It was not a reversal it was a retracement into a Premium Array to continue the decline.
Now let us dissect the failure of Point 2.
Point 2 occurred around 2020.
This was the Covid crash.
This was a massive liquidity event.
Notice how deep the wick is.
It violently swept the low of Point 1.
So why didn't it moon immediately.
Why did it need a Point 3.
This is the most critical lesson in this analysis.
Point 2 was a Judas Swing on a macro timeframe.
It was a shock event.
While it did grab liquidity the market structure was too damaged to sustain a V shaped recovery to new all time highs immediately.
The IPDA needed to rebalance the inefficiency created by the crash.
But more importantly the Market Maker needed to accumulate a position size that could sustain a multi year bull run.
You cannot accumulate that size in a single weekly candle.
You need time.
Time is the variable you are ignoring.
Price and Time are the two axes of the chart but you are obsessed with Price.
After Point 2 the market entered a massive consolidation phase that lasted from 2020 to 2024 or 2025.
This is the box you see on the chart.
This is not indecision.
This is Engineering Liquidity.
By keeping the price in a range for years the IPDA is conditioning retail traders to trust the support level.
Every time price touched the bottom of that consolidation and bounced retail traders placed their stop losses just below the lows.
They felt safe.
They leveraged up.
They built a massive pool of Sell Side Liquidity right below the range.
This is a ticking time bomb of liquidity that the Market Maker constructed specifically to fuel the rally at Point 3.
Why did Point 3 succeed.
Point 3 is the Manipulation leg of the ICT Power of Three concept applied to a macro timeframe.
Accumulation Manipulation Distribution.
The consolidation between Point 2 and Point 3 was the Accumulation.
The drop at Point 3 was the Manipulation.
The rally that follows is the Distribution.
Point 3 did three specific things that Point 1 and Point 2 did not do.
First it swept the Engineered Liquidity of the multi year consolidation.
This means it triggered all the sell stops of the traders who bought during the range.
This provided the massive flood of sell orders that Smart Money needed to fill their buy orders.
Second it tapped into a deep Discount Array.
If you look closely Point 3 likely trades into the Order Block or Fair Value Gap created by the wick of Point 2.
It is retesting the origin of the 2020 move but doing so after inducing a massive amount of fresh liquidity.
Third and most importantly it occurred at the correct Time.
The consolidation had matured.
The sentiment had shifted to extreme apathy or bearishness.
When Point 3 happened it looked like a breakdown.
It looked like the support had finally failed.
This induced the Breakout Shorts to enter the market adding even more fuel to the fire.
The rally at Point 3 is a Short Squeeze of biblical proportions combined with Smart Money expansion.
How do you know when the rally will be an EZ PZ.
You look for the Three Drives Pattern of Liquidity Raids.
Point 1 was the first drive.
Point 2 was the second drive.
Point 3 was the third drive.
ICT teaches that the third drive to a low is often the terminal shakeout before the true reversal.
You look for the divergence.
At Point 3 you likely would have seen SMT Divergence with a correlated asset like Gold or the Dollar Index.
If Platinum made a lower low at Point 3 but Gold made a higher low that is a crack in the universe.
That is the signal that the selling is fake.
You look for the Displacement.
Notice the candle immediately following the low at Point 3.
It is a massive bullish candle that swallows the previous price action.
This is the signature of Smart Money entering the market.
It leaves behind a Fair Value Gap.
That FVG is your entry.
You do not try to catch the falling knife at the exact bottom of Point 3.
You wait for the displacement.
You wait for the Market Structure Shift.
Once price breaks above the highs of the consolidation range it confirms that the drop at Point 3 was a trap.
The reason the rally is so vertical is because there is no resistance.
The consolidation cleared out all the sellers.
The shorts are trapped and forced to cover.
The longs are chasing.
The IPDA is in a Buy Program and it will not stop until it reaches a Premium Array on the monthly or quarterly chart.
To master this you must stop looking for support and start looking for where the money is hiding.
The money was hiding below the lows of the consolidation.
Point 1 failed because there was no money to steal.
Point 2 failed to sustain because the theft was too quick and the accumulation was insufficient.
Point 3 succeeded because it was the culmination of a multi year heist.
It was the perfect crime.
The consolidation was the setup.
Point 3 was the trigger.
The rally is the getaway.
This is the logic of the Predator.
You are either the Predator or the Prey.
If you are buying support you are the Prey.
If you are buying the failure of support you are the Predator.
The rally at Point 3 is the definition of a Turtle Soup Long.
It is a false breakout to the downside that reverses and rips higher.
The duration of the consolidation determines the magnitude of the expansion.
A four year consolidation leads to a decade long trend.
That is why the rally is vertical.
The energy stored in that range is nuclear.
Point 3 effectively lit the fuse.
To predict this in real time you must map the liquidity.
Draw a line under every swing low.
Ask yourself where are the stops.
If the market creates a clean equal low it is doing so for a reason.
It is saving it for later.
Point 2 and the lows before Point 3 created a relatively equal floor.
The IPDA does not leave clean levels.
It destroys them.
Point 3 was the destruction of that clean level.
Once the level is destroyed the business is done.
There is no reason to stay down there.
Price must reprice to the upside to find willing sellers because there are no sellers left at the bottom.
They have all been stopped out.
This is the mechanics of the marketplace.
It is ruthless efficient and predictable if you know the algorithm.
Point 1 was a trap for early bulls.
Point 2 was a trap for panic sellers.
Point 3 was the death of the retail mind.
And the birth of the Smart Money trend.
You want to catch the massive rally.
You wait for the liquidity sweep that occurs after a long consolidation.
You wait for the raid on the obvious support.
Then you watch for the violent rejection of lower prices.
That is your signal.
That is the footprint of the Giant.
Step into the footprint and ride the wave.
The reason it stayed in that long consolidation is because the Commercials needed to hedge their books.
They needed to build a net long position while the rest of the world was sleeping.
They used the time to transfer ownership from weak hands to strong hands.
Weak hands cannot hold through a four year chop.
Strong hands can.
Point 3 was the final test of strength.
Anyone who held through the consolidation but panicked at the drop of Point 3 was a weak hand.
They were purged.
The market is now light.
It has no baggage.
It can fly.
This is the physics of the chart.
Liquidity is the fuel.
Consolidation is the tank.
The Stop Hunt is the spark.
The Rally is the explosion.
You are now looking at the aftermath of a controlled demolition of the bear trend.
Do not ask why it didn't happen sooner.
Ask how you can be ready for the next one.
Identify the range.
Identify the liquidity.
Wait for the sweep.
Strike.
CHFJPY BULLISH CONTINUATION|LONG|
✅CHFJPY continues to consolidate within a tight premium range following a strong bullish displacement. ICT structure remains firmly bullish as price holds above equilibrium, suggesting accumulation before a continuation higher toward buy-side liquidity resting above the range highs. Time Frame 12H.
LONG🚀
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ETHUSD Descending Triangle Breakdown SetupThis 2H ETH/USD chart highlights a descending triangle structure forming after a prior impulse move. Price is consistently making lower highs beneath a descending trendline, while holding a horizontal support zone around 2,890–2,900, signaling growing bearish pressure.
A clear CHoCH (Change of Character) confirms the shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. Price is currently trading below key dynamic resistance and within a marked Fair Value Gap (FVG), suggesting a potential rejection area before continuation lower.
The projected downside targets are:
1st Target: ~2,815 (liquidity sweep / prior support)
2nd Target: ~2,748 (major demand zone)
Overall, the chart presents a classic bearish continuation setup, favoring downside expansion if support breaks with confirmation.
EURNZD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅EURNZD reacts strongly from a clearly defined discount demand zone after a sell-side liquidity sweep. ICT structure shows bullish displacement and strong rejection from demand, suggesting smart money accumulation and a continuation move higher toward the next buy-side liquidity pool.
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Entry: 2.0186
Stop Loss: 2.0156
Take Profit: 2.0229
Time Frame: 4H
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LONG🚀
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EURUSD Weekly analysis... a Potential Bearish ScenarioQuick Summary
EURUSD may shift into a bearish move if the internal high at 1.18203 is broken
Despite the current bullish trend a liquidity sweep has already occurred at 1.18292
This high may act as a protected high and price could target 1.14679
Short positions require confirmation since the break alone is not enough
Full Analysis
There is a possible scenario developing on EURUSD that deserves attention
Although the higher time frame direction is still bullish and the price has already performed a sweep of liquidity above the high at 1.18292
This behavior suggests that buy side liquidity has been taken which opens the door for a potential bearish reaction
If price breaks the internal high at 1.18203 this could be the trigger that confirms weakness
In that case the previous liquidity sweep may act as a protected high and price could start targeting lower levels with 1.14679 as a major downside objective
However selling purely based on the break is not sufficient
Strong confirmation is required after the break to validate bearish continuation
Without confirmation this move could still be a temporary reaction within the broader bullish structure
EURCHF FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅EURCHF rejects a well-defined premium supply zone after delivering a clean bearish displacement. Price shows clear ICT distribution with weak bullish follow-through, suggesting a mitigation into supply before continuation lower.
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Entry: 0.9296
Stop Loss: 0.9310
Take Profit: 0.9280
Time Frame: 4H
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SHORT🔥
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EURJPY LOCAL SHORT|
✅EURJPY trades into a well-defined premium supply zone, where bearish reaction is expected after recent impulsive delivery. Current price action shows distribution and weakening momentum, favoring a pullback toward downside liquidity if rejection holds from this area. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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CADJPY BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅CADJPY breaks and holds above a well-defined key level, confirming bullish intent after sustained accumulation. The impulsive displacement signals institutional participation, with price now trading in a premium expansion phase. As long as structure remains intact above the breakout zone, continuation toward higher liquidity pools is favored. Time Frame 2H.
LONG🚀
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BTC M15 Partial FVG Tap to Lower FVG Fill Play📝 Description
BTC on M15 is trading inside a short-term corrective range after a sharp impulse. Price already made a partial tap into the upper FVG (30M/15M), but the reaction was weak. With imbalance still unfilled, odds favor a deeper move toward the lower FVG before any continuation attempt.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Short-term pullback while below 89,000–89,100
Short Setup (Reactive):
• Entry (Sell): 88,950
• Stop Loss: Above 89,080
• TP1: 88,750
• TP2: 88,530
• TP3: 88,400
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Partial FVG fill and imbalance still open
• Price reacting from premium
• Liquidity resting below recent range lows
• Structure favors mean reversion, not expansion
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🧩 Summary
This is a classic partial FVG tap full fill scenario. As long as BTC stays capped below 89k, a rotation into the lower FVG is the higher-probability path. Acceptance above premium invalidates the short.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With markets still headline-driven and liquidity tight, short-term reactions around imbalances are favored. Keep size light and manage risk around key levels.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Bitcoin - Can we hit the target at $91.000 This BTC technical analysis shows that Bitcoin is currently in a waiting phase. Price is trading around $87,500 and continues to move within a clearly defined range. Although a recent bounce has occurred, there is still a lack of a convincing impulse to define the next larger move. As a result, liquidity and fair value gaps remain the primary guiding factors.
4h bullish FVG
Within the bullish 4-hour FVG, a significant amount of liquidity is still present. This makes the zone around $86,000 to $86,500 an interesting area for a potential retest. As long as this liquidity has not been fully collected, there remains a strong possibility that BTC revisits this region. A deeper test of this FVG could actually provide a stronger foundation for a subsequent upward move.
4h bearish FVG
On the upside, the 4-hour bearish FVG forms a clear and strong resistance. This zone around $91,000 to $92,000 serves as the first logical target for a bounce originating from the lower range. There is substantial supply and prior rejection in this area, making a reaction highly likely. Only a convincing breakout would allow Bitcoin to shift focus toward higher price levels.
FInal thoughts
In summary, Bitcoin remains technically neutral to slightly bullish as long as the bullish 4-hour FVG continues to hold. The market appears to be gathering liquidity before committing to a direction. This BTC technical analysis emphasizes that patience is essential, as it first needs to become clear whether BTC will collect liquidity on the downside or move directly toward the bearish FVG for another test.
GBPUSD Slow Bearish Move ExpectedQuick Summary
GBPUSD is expected to move lower in alignment with EURUSD The pair left a large liquidity void after the strong bullish move earlier this week, Due to year end bank holidays the move is expected to be very slow with a gradual decline toward 1.34010 over one to two weeks
Full Analysis
In alignment with the expected downside move on EURUSD GBPUSD is also likely to experience bearish continuation The recent strong bullish push left behind a clear liquidity void which increases the probability of price returning lower to rebalance that inefficiency
Despite this bearish expectation it is important to note that market conditions are not ideal for aggressive downside movement because of Bank holidays related to the new year typically reduce liquidity and participation which often results in slow controlled price action rather than impulsive moves
For this reason GBPUSD is expected to fall lower gradually rather than sell off sharply The move may take one or even two weeks to fully develop as price slowly works its way toward the 1.34010 level
US30 PULLBACK AHEAD|SHORT|
✅DOWJONES has delivered a strong bullish displacement into a higher-timeframe supply zone, where buy-side liquidity is now being mitigated. The reaction suggests smart money distribution at premium, with a likely short-term pullback as price seeks internal liquidity below. Time Frame 3H.
SHORT🔥
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EURAUD FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅EURAUD taps into a higher-timeframe premium zone after a clean displacement lower. The pullback shows weak bullish follow-through, suggesting a continuation toward sell-side liquidity. Expect price to respect the supply imbalance and expand lower toward the next draw on liquidity.
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Entry: 1.7558
Stop Loss: 1.7590
Take Profit: 1.7520
Time Frame: 3H
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SHORT🔥
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EURNZD LOCAL LONG|
✅EURNZD is reacting from a clearly defined demand zone after a strong bearish displacement, suggesting sell-side liquidity has been taken. The current structure hints at institutional mitigation, with a potential bullish reaction toward internal range liquidity and prior imbalance above.Time Frame 3H
LONG🚀
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EURUSD Bearish Continuation After Liquidity SweepQuick Summary
EURUSD swept liquidity at 1.18022 and reacted immediately to the downside This move is known as turtle soup and supports further bearish continuation The next downside objective is 1.17438 after that price reaction will be reassessed
Full Analysis
EURUSD recently performed a clear sweep of liquidity at the high around 1.18022 Price reacted immediately after taking this liquidity which confirms the turtle soup concept and strengthens the bearish bias
The impulsive rejection from this high shows that buyers were trapped above the level and sellers quickly took control This behavior increases the probability of continuation to the downside rather than a simple pause or consolidation
Based on current structure the market is expected to continue pushing lower toward 1.17438 This level represents the next logical area where price may react or slow down
Once price reaches this zone the next move will depend on market reaction and structure development At that point it will be important to evaluate whether the move remains corrective or develops into a deeper bearish continuation
CADJPY FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅CADJPY is compressing inside a tightening range after a sell-side sweep, with structure holding above higher-low support. ICT model suggests accumulation within the wedge, targeting a breakout toward buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs.
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Entry: 113.99
Stop Loss: 113.82
Take Profit: 114.24
Time Frame: 1H
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LONG🚀
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