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US30 UpdateNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades...! Confluences And Key Reason: 1. Price creates bullish channel. 2. Market price break bullish channel toward downside. 3. Fresh supply + order flow still in pending. 4. If this supply is valid than we see price further move downside. This is not a financial advice take it with your own risk. In this case confirmation is very important. If price give confirmation than we open our trades. Let's see how it will work.
FX:US30Short
by AzlaanGlobalFX
AUD/JPY at Make-or-Break Zone: Final Squeeze Before a Big Drop?1. Technical Analysis AUD/JPY is trading around 96.90, testing the 97.00–97.50 resistance zone. This area has been rejected multiple times in the past and represents a key technical cluster. The RSI is approaching overbought territory, signaling stretched conditions. Price action shows potential exhaustion of the recent rally: the current candle is struggling to break resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a correction towards the 95.00–94.50 demand zone. Structurally, as long as there is no weekly close above 97.50, the preferred scenario remains short from resistance. 2. COT Report AUD: Non-Commercials remain heavily net short (129k short vs 28k long). Downside pressure on the Australian Dollar remains strong, supported by institutional positioning. JPY: Non-Commercials are skewed to the long side (170k long vs 86k short), signaling institutional demand for the Yen as a safe-haven asset. 👉 The COT combination indicates a structural bias in favor of JPY strength and AUD weakness, reinforcing the bearish AUD/JPY outlook. 3. Retail Sentiment 79% short vs 21% long. The majority of retail traders are already short, which increases the risk of a short-term squeeze. However, since price is testing a major resistance zone, upside potential remains limited. A possible “stop hunt” towards 97.50–98.00 would still align with the broader bearish setup. 4. Seasonality AUD in September: Historically weak, with average negative returns between -0.6% and -1.6% across different time horizons. JPY in September: Historically strong, with average positive returns of +0.5% to +1.5%. 👉 Seasonality supports a bearish view on AUD/JPY for September. 5. Strategic Outlook AUD/JPY is at a critical turning point. The macro (COT & seasonality) and technical context support a bearish rejection from 97.00–97.50. However, retail positioning suggests the market may orchestrate one last squeeze towards 98.00 before reversing. Suggested Strategy: Wait for confirmation of rejection or a false breakout at resistance to enter short positions, targeting 95.50 initially and 94.50 as an extension.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,554.68 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,569.31.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
EURNZD: Rose steadily and created a Bullish FlagEURNZD looks quite interesting at the moment. Price rose to the upside steadily and now seems to have created a well known pattern: a bullish flag. My expectation is for the price to continue, but first I would wait for a full strong candle to confirm the signal. I would target 2.00500. If, on the other hand, price will decline below the flag, that would invalidate the continuation, and we can expect a short-term pullback incoming. What do you think?
Long
by TrendDiva
15
Quarterly Shit Analysis - Sept - Dec 2025 - XAUUSDMy last three quarterly analysis proved correct. In the last analysis, I predicted that gold will move within a range, it did happen. For the new quarter, here is my new analysis. Between 14 Aug 2025 to 01 Sept 2025, I expect the following: 1- Scenario 1: Bullish Trend Since May 2025, #XAUUSD has created good bullish indications on the Daily and Weekly Charts. Therefore, it could start a new trend. Conditions: Gold must close a strong bullish daily candle above 3452 first , then another strong daily bullish candle above 3500. The closure of a strong daily candle above 3452 should happen between 14 Aug to 01 Sept. The closure of the daily candle above 3500 is fine to happen after September 1st. Targets: If the conditions above are met, Gold will start a new bullish trend. The targets will be: 3668, 3750, 3840 and 4,000 or 4043. If Gold closes a strong daily candle above 3500, the ideal support lines to buy gold will be 3451, 3400, 3364, 3330 and 3300. The best support line, if Gold makes deep retracements will be 3228 and 3162. 2- Scenario 2: Expanded Range (Likely Scenario) The range for the previous quarterly analysis was from 2956.5 to 3500, but for most of the past months since May 1st, Gold has been moving between 3262 to 3452. It is possible that Gold remains in the wider range (2956.5 to 3500), but makes wider moves. This scenario is possible because gold already reached a historic high in April and then entered a wide range, therefore it is possible to remain in the same range for the rest of the year. This means gold could make deeper retracements into 3228, 3168, 3092, and 3024 and then go up towards, 3330, 3364 and 3452. When it reaches 3300, 3364 and 3452, then it starts new bearish moves again. Conditions: Gold fails to close daily bullish candles above 3500 and fails to close daily bearish candles below 2956.5. The ideal condition is if gold closes a strong daily bearish candle below 3228 or 3162 between 14 Aug to 01 Sept 2025. 3- Scenario 3: Bearish Move (Unlikely Scenario): If Gold closes a strong daily candle below 2956, then it will start a surprising bearish trend and will move towards: 2812, 2640 and 2550. This is not a likely scenario.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by DastanKarim
GBPAUD Ready for a Breakdown?1. Retail Sentiment 62% of retail traders are long on GBPAUD, while 38% are short. Historically, retail positioning tends to be contrarian: an excess of longs often signals further downside pressure. Volume: 824 long lots vs 506 short lots → net long exposure. ➡ Bias: Contrarian short 2. COT Report GBP (August 26, 2025) Non-commercials (speculators): 76k longs vs 107k shorts → net short of -31k. Commercials: net long, but mainly for hedging purposes. Trend: large speculators are slightly increasing shorts (+866) while reducing longs (-5,302). ➡ Bias: GBP weakness AUD (August 26, 2025) Non-commercials: 28k longs vs 129k shorts → heavily net short AUD. Commercials have significantly increased long positions (+10,892). Speculators remain bearish, but defensive positioning is building up. ➡ Bias: AUD still weak, but showing early signs of stabilization 3. Seasonality (September) GBP: historically negative in September (weakness). AUD: historically shows a moderately positive trend in September, especially in the last 10 years. ➡ Bias: GBPAUD historically bearish in September 4. Technical Analysis Structure: the market rejected the 2.09 supply zone and is now consolidating within the 2.03–2.09 range. Price action suggests a possible rebound towards 2.07–2.08 before a potential breakdown towards 2.03. ➡ Technical bias: Short from supply zones at 2.07–2.08 targeting 2.04–2.03 5. Summary & Trading Scenarios Macro/COT: GBP remains weak, AUD under pressure but with accumulation signs → mixed outlook, but seasonality favors AUD. Sentiment: retail traders excessively long → confirms short bias. Technical: bearish structure with key supports at 2.0430 and 2.0318. 👉 Conclusion: At the moment, GBPAUD shows a bearish bias supported by retail sentiment, seasonality, and price action. The most likely scenario is a test of the 2.04–2.03 zone in the coming weeks.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,478.27 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,484.06.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
AUD/USD – Last Push Before September Weakness?1. Retail Sentiment 77% of retail traders are currently short on AUD/USD, with an average entry around 0.6459. Historically, when retail positioning is heavily skewed to one side, the market often moves in the opposite direction. This suggests short-term upside potential (contrarian perspective). 2. COT Report (AUD & USD Index) AUD (CME): Non-Commercials remain heavily short (129k vs 28k long), keeping speculative positioning bearish on AUD. However, Commercials significantly increased their long exposure (+10,892), indicating institutional accumulation. USD Index (ICE): Non-Commercials hold 19k shorts vs 13k longs, showing a bearish tilt on USD, with additional shorts added (+1,916). Commercials remain net long (12k vs 6k short), defending dollar strength. ➡️ COT Takeaway: Speculators remain bearish on AUD and moderately bearish on USD. This divergence suggests potential sideways movement or consolidation in the short term. 3. Seasonality (September) Historically, September has been a weak month for AUD/USD, with negative performance across the past 5–15 years. Seasonal curves confirm a bearish bias, especially in the first half of the month. 4. Technical Analysis Supply Zone: Approaching strong weekly/monthly supply at 0.6600–0.6650. RSI: Rising toward overbought, pointing to possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. Structure: Price may complete a test of 0.6600–0.6650 before retracing back to demand zones at 0.6450 and 0.6400. Trend Dynamics: The medium-term trend remains bearish, with corrective rallies providing opportunities to short. Operational Outlook Short-term Bias (1–2 weeks): Potential final push toward 0.6600–0.6650, driven by contrarian sentiment and COT divergence. Medium-term Bias (September): Expected weakness with downside targets at 0.6450 → 0.6400, aligned with seasonality and speculative positioning. Strategy: Look for short reversal setups around 0.6600–0.6650 with H4/H1 confirmation (structure break or engulfing pattern). Stop above 0.6700, targets at 0.6450 / 0.6400.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17119 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17324.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals