HEADER - This is the last of 4 drafts for 10/01-10/13 trade. The first 2 were very long. The last two super short.
SUMMARY - So I don't have anymore time to deliver something that's significantly better than this. So this is it.
DETAILS - See previous 3 drafts linked below for how we got here.
STRATEGY - Pick a spot and short. Then rinse and repeat all the...
HEADER - This is followup to DRAFT 1 and DRAFT 2.
SUMMARY - 1635 by 10/13.
STRATEGY - Pick a spot and short sell.
DETAILS - See previous drafts for how we got here.
HEADER - This is a theoretical followup to previous post, PREPWORK FOR 9/30.
SUMMARY - The first 4 BOXES ARE ALL CONDITIONAL. This means that I don't want to talk about this until price really does make it through BOX 4.
DETAILS - See previous post for how we got here.
HEADER - How much more swinging until we get something meaningful?
SUMMARY - At least until 9/30.
DETAILS - This what the trends say is minimum amount of sideways before something gives. Needs to hit first 7 boxes to get excited. So check back around 9/28.
HEADER - Last two posts have invalidated. So here short term to Tuesday 8/29.
SUMMARY - From last note in MQP-IER-001, down first then close strong after Powell's Jackson Hole Speech. Nothing "big" expected for some time.
DETAILS - This is just basically what short term says now. As usual, will add notes as we go.
HEADER - This is where we got to from previous post. Since it has reached a new stage, it deserves a new post.
SUMMARY - Gold to 1800 by 09/15/23, but I'm thinking more like 09/06/23 (edited, I previously wrote 09/05/23).
DETAILS - The details are in the linked post below. The last third to half of it is how we got here.
STRATEGY - Pick a spot and short,...
HEADER - We are about 26-30 hours from entry short for Wed 8/23. Updated route looks like this.
SUMMARY - This is update for last post.
DETAILS - See previous post for background.
STRATEGY - Short 8/23 1902-1913 and cover 8/28 1835-ish.
NOTES - Will add as we go per usual.
HEADER - Obviously I am already thinking of a PART 2, so this is part 1.
SUMMARY - This is where we are now, considering price action to close out Friday.
DETAILS - See previous posts for how we got here.
STRATEGY - Leveraged long. More soon.
HEADER - Bulls and bears have short term equilibrium at 1935. It's going to break tomorrow like this.
SUMMARY - I can't handicap this one. My gut say long. But that's all I have.
DETAILS - So everything under 2 days favor bulls some what. Everything from there to 28 days favor bears. Everything higher favor bulls. The whole picture favor bulls. But it...
HEADER - Updated again.
SUMMARY - Today's price action says this now to 8/15. Slower and lower. The money gets pushed to after NFP report. 2145 instead of 2200.
DETAILS - This is where we are now. Check out previous posts for background. Links below. I will update as much as possible through 8/15.
HEADER - This has been corrected for timezone. For some reason it was set for Honolulu. I switched it to ET or NY time. For the rest of this chart (7/31-8/16) 15-min bars are fine.
SUMMARY - This just continues from last post. We are getting ready to explode in under 48 hours. There's just a few more steps that needs to happen.
DETAILS - Please read...
HEADER - Linear regression fractals say something has to give and that something should look like this.
SUMMARY - Nothing interesting until Tuesday night after U.S. markets (NY) closes. Then we head up vertically continuously, first brake should be 2080-ish either on Friday 8/4 or Sunday 8/6. The rest should follow boxes until question marks area. It seems...
HEADER - From the ashes of failure I have returned to bring you new ATH by 08/01/2003. All this, 14 days out.
SUMMARY - Regressions from micro, short, medium, intermediate, long, very long, and all time added together say this will happen to a very high degree of confidence.
DETAILS - See previous post for how we got here.
STRATEGY - If you are frisky, short...
HEADER - This is regressions say are the two most likely paths for the next 2 weeks.
SUMMARY - Yesterday, I posted notes prior to PPI release (in previous forecast linked below) of what the incoming price action should look like. This is to clarify that now that we have a bit more information.
DETAILS - See previous posts for details.
NOTES 1 - Will add some...
HEADER - Things are moving quickly. No time to explain why.
SUMMARY - So CPI is tomorrow, Wednesday, 8:30 AM, ET. PPI is Thursday at the same time. Regressions say 2050 by 7/17, 2100 by 7/27.
DETAILS - See prior post for how we got here.
HEADER - This is bear outcome after bull outcome has been iced.
SUMMARY - Unless there is a miracle defrosting, this should be the next series of boxes.
DETAILS - It is a weak short for sometime into June.
NOTES - Will add if I have time.
HEADER - Not with a bang but with a whimper. T.S. ELLIOT.
SUMMARY - Despite being more capable at forecasting then I've ever been, I don't see a way forward for this type of work bc of my personal failures. So this is the way my work ends, and this post the final ending.
DETAILS - This will finish the run to 2150-ish in 5-20 to 6-20 window, as originally...
HEADER - More detailed than DRAFT 1.
SUMMARY - IF it's going to move, it'll move like this.
DETAILS - This looks like 72-hours now, not 36, but I didn't want to change the title.
NOTES - Later.
