J-USD
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Weekly 2025Summary:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has corrected down to the key 38.60% Fibonacci retracement zone and is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, bolstered by a clear hidden bullish divergence on the MACD. This may signal a renewed rally toward key upside targets, especially if the 93.3–99.9 support Zone holds.
Chart Context:
Current Price: 98.864
Key Fib Support: 38.60% @ 99.906, 48.60% @ 93.310, 61.80% @ 87.476
Support Zone: 93.3–99.9 USD
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Observed both in 2021 and now again in 2025 on the MACD
Trendline Support: Long-term ascending trendline holding since 2011
Fib Extension Targets (Trend-Based):
TP1: 115.000
TP2: 120.000
TP3: 126.666
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Confluence: DXY is bouncing from a strong Fib cluster between 93.310 and 99.906, historically acting as a reversal zone.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Suggests potential upside despite price weakness.
Downtrend Retest: Price may revisit 93.3–87.4 before confirming full reversal.
Breakout Pathway: Green dashed arrows outline the likely recovery trajectory toward 114–126 range.
Indicators:
MACD: Showing hidden bullish divergence and potential signal crossover.
Trendline Support: Holding intact from 2021 low.
Fib Levels: Used for retracement and trend-based extension.
Fundamental Context:
Interest Rate Outlook: If U.S. inflation remains controlled and Fed signals future hikes or sustained high rates, DXY strength may persist.
Global Liquidity & Recession Risk: If risk aversion returns, the dollar may rise as a safe haven.
Geopolitical Risks: Conflicts, trade tensions, or BRICS dedollarization efforts may create volatility.
Our Recent research suggests the Fed may maintain higher-for-longer rates due to resilient labor markets and sticky core inflation. This supports bullish USD bias unless macro shifts rapidly.
Why DXY Could Continue Strengthening:
Robust U.S. economic performance & monetary policy divergence
U.S. GDP growth (~2.7% in 2024) outpaces developed peers (~1.7%), supporting stronger USD
The Fed maintains restrictive rates (4.25–4.50%), while the ECB pivots to easing, widening the policy and yield gap .
Inflation resilience and Fed hawkishness
Labor markets remain tight, keeping inflation “sticky” and delaying expected rate cuts; market-implied cuts for 2025 have been pushed into 2026
Fed officials (e.g. Kugler) emphasize ongoing tariff-driven inflation, suggesting rates will stay elevated.
Safe-haven and yield-seeking capital flows
With global risks, capital favors USD-denominated assets for yield and stability
Why the Dollar Might Face Headwinds
Fiscal expansion & trade uncertainty
Ballooning U.S. deficits (~$3.3 trn new debt) and erratic tariff policy undermine confidence in USD
Wall Street’s consensus bearish position.
Major banks largely expect a weaker dollar through 2025–26. However, this crowded bearish sentiment poses a risk of a sharp rebound if data surprises occur
barons
Tariff policy risks
Trump's new tariffs could dampen dollar demand—yet if perceived as fiscal stimulus, they could unexpectedly buoy the USD .
Synthesis for Our Biases
A bullish DXY thesis is well-supported by:
Economic and policy divergence (U.S. growth + Fed vs. peers).
Hawkish Fed commentary and sticky inflation.
Safe-haven capital inflows.
Conversely, risks include:
Deteriorating fiscal/trade dynamics.
Potential Fed pivot once inflation shows clear decline.
A consensus that could trigger a short squeeze or reversal if overstretched.
Philosophical / Narrative View:
The dollar remains the world’s dominant reserve currency. Periodic dips often act as strategic re-accumulation phases for institutional capital—especially during global macro uncertainty. A return toward 120+ reflects this persistent demand for USD liquidity and safety.
Bias & Strategy Implication:
1. Primary Bias: Bullish, contingent on support at 93.3–99.9 holding.
2. Risk Scenario: Breakdown below 93.3 invalidates bullish thesis and targets 87.4–80 zones.
Impact on Crypto & Gold and its Correlation and Scenarios:
Historically, DXY has had an inverse correlation to both gold and crypto markets. When DXY strengthens, liquidity tends to rotate into dollar-denominated assets and away from risk-on trades like crypto and gold. When DXY weakens, it typically acts as a tailwind for both Bitcoin and gold.
Correlation Coefficients:
DXY vs. Gold: ≈ -0.85 (strong inverse correlation)
DXY vs. TOTAL (crypto market cap): ≈ -0.72 (moderate to strong inverse correlation)
Scenario 1: DXY Rallies toward 115–126 then, Expect gold to correct or stagnate, especially if yields rise. Crypto likely to pull back or remain suppressed unless specific bullish catalysts emerge (e.g., ETF flows or tech adoption).
Scenario 2: DXY ranges between 93–105 then Gold may consolidate or form bullish continuation patterns. Then Crypto may see selective strength, particularly altcoins, if BTC.D declines.
Scenario 3: DXY falls below 93 and toward 87 Then Gold likely to rally, possibly challenging all-time highs. Crypto could enter a major bull run, led by Bitcoin and followed by altcoins, fueled by increased liquidity and lower opportunity cost of holding non-USD assets.
Understanding DXY’s direction provides valuable insight for portfolio positioning in macro-sensitive assets.
Notes & Disclaimers:
This analysis reflects a technical interpretation of the DXY index and is not financial advice. Market conditions may change based on unexpected macroeconomic events, Fed policy, or geopolitical developments.
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 39 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly important, with several events likely to move markets. 📊 Stay ahead of the curve—watch the video now and get prepared like a Wall Street insider.
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
AUD/USD - Forecast (To fall further)🇦🇺🇺🇸 AUD/USD – 8H Breakdown
AUD/USD just wrapped up that juicy Wave 3 run and topped near 0.6780. Now we’re cooling off with a corrective pullback — perfect spot to hunt buys 👀
🎯 Buy Zones
Buy Zone 1: 0.6520 – 0.6530 → first bounce area ⚡
Buy Zone 2 (Preferred): 0.6460 – 0.6480 → 71% retrace + wedge support 🏹
📈 Playbook
Let price dip into demand (ideally Buy Zone 2).
Load up → ride it back toward 0.6700.
If bulls flex, we sweep those 0.6780 highs for liquidity. 🚀
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Expect deeper retrace into demand.
Mid-term: Bulls looking for another leg higher.
Bias : Pullback → Buy continuation 🔥
USD/JPY - Fake Breakout. Is price Distributing💹 USD/JPY – 4H Forecast
Weekly Structure:
Price is still holding strong above demand, with 151.0 acting as the big liquidity magnet.
Daily Structure:
We’ve been stuck in a wide consolidation range between 146.0 support and 150.9 resistance. Market keeps faking both sides, but bulls are slowly regaining control.
4H Structure:
Recent fake breakout/manipulation flushed stops before shifting bullish.
Imbalances (Daily + Weekly) got filled on the push up.
Price is now respecting the bullish structure, eyeing a move higher.
Buy Zone 1 (Preferred): 146.7 – 147.0
Buy Zone 2 (Needs confirmation): 146.1 – 146.2
Upside liquidity target sits around 150.9 – 151.0 BSL.
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Pullback into demand zones.
Mid-term: Bullish continuation → eyes on 150.9 – 151.0.
Bias : Short-term retrace → Mid-term bullish.
GBP Volatility & Momentum Study: Finding the Perfect Entry📊 GBPUSD Forecast | Intraday & Swing 📉📈
Asset: GBPUSD (CFD) Closing Price: 1.34694 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Market Snapshot
Cable is trading around 1.3469, with mixed sentiment between dollar strength 🦅 and sterling resilience 💂♂️. Volatility is expected this week as traders eye macroeconomic updates & central bank cues.
🕯️ Chart Patterns & Signals
🟢 Bullish Hints: Possible inverse H&S on 4H + support at 1.3420.
🔴 Bearish Pressure: Lower-high structure intact since 1.3620 peak.
⚡ Trap Risk: Watch for a bull trap near 1.3520 resistance.
📐 Harmonic AB=CD projection aligns with 1.3400 zone (support).
📈 Indicators Check
RSI (H4): Neutral → 48 (room for breakout).
BB: Price squeezed ⚠️ → volatility incoming.
MA Cross: 20 EMA < 50 EMA (short-term bearish bias).
VWAP: Anchored VWAP from September high sits at 1.3500.
⏱️ Intraday Strategy
Buy Zone: 1.3420–1.3440 (support test, scalps).
Sell Zone: 1.3520–1.3550 (resistance rejection).
🎯 Targets:
Upside: 1.3490 / 1.3520 / 1.3565
Downside: 1.3400 / 1.3360 / 1.3325
🛡️ Stops:
Longs below 1.3390
Shorts above 1.3575
📆 Swing Outlook (Days–Weeks)
Trend: Bearish bias unless daily closes above 1.3565.
📉 Swing Sell Setup:
Entry: 1.3520–1.3550
TP: 1.3400 → 1.3325
SL: 1.3590
📈 Swing Buy Setup (Aggressive):
Entry: 1.3360–1.3400
TP: 1.3490 → 1.3560
SL: 1.3320
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.3520 / 1.3565 / 1.3620
Support: 1.3420 / 1.3360 / 1.3325
🧭 Final Take
⚖️ GBPUSD is at a decision point:
Intraday → play the range 1.3420–1.3520
Swing → favor shorts below 1.3565, longs only on deep pullbacks near 1.3360.
Trade safe & adapt to volatility! 🚀📉
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
Unlocking EUR's Value: A Data-Driven Analysis of Macro Factors📊 EURUSD Technical Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀💶💵
Asset Class: EURUSD (CFD) Closing Price: 1.17432 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Technical Overview
Trend Context: EURUSD has been consolidating near 1.1740, with mixed signals across short- and mid-term charts.
Momentum Check: RSI (H1/H4) → Neutral, close to 50 ⚖️
Volatility: Bollinger Bands tightening → Expect breakout soon 💥
Volume Flow: Anchored VWAP → Buyers defending 1.1720 📈
🕵️ Chart Patterns & Theories
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction nearing completion – possible Wave 5 uptrend. 🌊
Wyckoff: Signs of re-accumulation in H4 range. 📦
Ichimoku: Price hovering near cloud → watch for bullish breakout ☁️
Gann Levels: Key resistance around 1.1785, support at 1.1700 ⏳
H&S Watch: No clear head & shoulders yet, but traps possible around 1.1760/1.1720 ⚠️
📈 Intraday Levels (Next 24–48H)
🔹 Buy Zone: 1.1710 – 1.1730 (tight stop below 1.1690)
🎯 Targets: 1.1760 → 1.1785
🔻 Sell Zone: 1.1785 – 1.1805 (stop above 1.1825)
🎯 Targets: 1.1745 → 1.1720
📊 Swing Trading Outlook (Weekly)
Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 1.1805 → eyeing 1.1880 – 1.1925 🌟
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 1.1690 → drop toward 1.1625 – 1.1580 🕳️
⚖️ Strategy Recap
Intraday: Range trading between 1.1720 – 1.1785 🎯
Swing: Watch breakout levels for trend confirmation 🚀 or ❌
🌍 Market Context
Geopolitics & ECB vs Fed divergence → driving sentiment.
Dollar Index (DXY) consolidation near highs → closely linked.
📌 Key Takeaways
✅ Buy dips near 1.1710–30, target 1.1760–85.
✅ Sell rallies near 1.1785–1.1805, target 1.1720.
⚠️ Major breakout zones: Above 1.1805 = bullish 🚀 | Below 1.1690 = bearish ⛔
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis:
important supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD UpdateEUR/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, EUR/USD is pulling back after rejecting the 1.1848 resistance zone.
Key levels:
1.1760 – 1.1762 → current support area. Holding above this keeps the short-term bullish structure intact.
1.1848 → major resistance and confirmation level for continuation of the main uptrend. A close above this would signal strength for higher targets.
If price breaks below 1.1760, downside pressure could increase, with 1.1665 as the next important support.
Cycle level: 1.1530 is the critical long-term support. EUR/USD must hold this level to remain in the green cycle.
📌 Summary
Above 1.1760 → bullish structure can continue.
Breakout above 1.1848 → confirms strong uptrend continuation.
Below 1.1760 → correction risk, targeting 1.1665 support.
1.1530 → cycle must-hold level for long-term trend.
Gold Sets New Record: Buy or Sell Amid the Market Frenzy?Hello traders,
Last week, gold ended with an unexpected twist. Prices continued to climb on Friday (19/09), marking the 5th straight week of gains, reaching $3,683.24/oz, while futures advanced to $3,718.50/oz. This came right after the Fed cut interest rates—a move that was expected to “cool” gold. So, is this rally sustainable or just a trap?
Fundamental Analysis: Rate Cuts Fuel Gold’s Rise
After the Fed cut rates by 0.25%, the market saw chaotic trading, with gold hitting historic highs before a quick pullback. Still, the Fed’s message reinforced investor confidence in gold:
Lower holding costs: Reduced interest rates lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Dovish Fed stance: Despite warning about persistent inflation, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari suggested job risks could lead to further cuts, raising expectations for looser policy.
Strong demand: Physical gold demand remains high. In India, prices hit a 10-month peak, while in China, discounts widened to a 5-year high, signaling robust demand despite rising prices.
Technical Analysis: Structure Break, Uptrend Resumes
By the weekend, gold broke through its downtrend line, confirming a structural shift and highlighting strong buying pressure. This suggests the bullish trend may continue.
Outlook: This week, focus remains on buying opportunities with short-term targets at $372x and $373x. However, caution is needed with upcoming macroeconomic events, which could trigger large liquidity zones and potential traps.
Sample Trading Strategies (strict risk management):
BUY SCALP: $3671–$3669 | SL: $3666 | TP: $3674–$3694
BUY ZONE: $3657–$3659 | SL: $3647 | TP: $3669–$3709
SELL SCALP: $3713–$3715 | SL: $3719 | TP: $3705–$3785
SELL ZONE: $3731–$3733 | SL: $3741 | TP: $3723–$3683
The market is heating up. Can gold smash through barriers to set fresh records? Share your thoughts below! 👇
SOFR Futures: Understand Market Pricing for future Fed PolicyWith the Federal Reserve having just cut interest rates and guiding towards further cuts this year and through 2026, I have received several requests to explain how traders can understand for themselves what the market is pricing and expecting for Fed policy by a specific point in time.
Perhaps the more simplistic way to view what is priced or implied for the next FOMC meeting is to use the ‘FedWatch’ tool on the CME's website - www.cmegroup.com . This looks at the distribution of expectations for the next FOMC meeting, as implied in the fed funds futures pricing.
Interest rate futures can guide our understanding of what’s priced
One way traders can gauge the market’s expectations for future Fed policy—commonly referred to as “what is priced in”—is through interest rate futures pricing or in interest rate derivatives (interest rate swaps, for example). These are tradable instruments that allow investors and corporates to hedge their interest rate risk, while also giving speculators a vehicle to express views on where they see Fed interest rate policy at a specific point in time.
TradingView doesn’t offer pricing on IR swaps, but it does offer pricing on SOFR 3-month futures and Fed funds futures, both of which can be useful in understanding where the market sees policy risk. My preference is SOFR futures, as they are comparatively more liquid, especially in the further-dated contracts for 2026 and 2027 and are more heavily traded than Fed funds futures.
What is the SOFR rate?
SOFR is one of, if not the most important, markets in the entire financial ecosystem. It is the first derivative of markets and is worth taking a moment to familiarise yourself with.
SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) essentially represents the interest rate at which financial institutions lend cash overnight (and what borrowers pay), with borrowers pledging US Treasuries as collateral.
The Federal Reserve influences SOFR through its monetary policy settings, with the rate typically tracking within the Fed’s target corridor. This corridor is defined by the upper bounds and what the Fed pays banks on reserves (currently 4.25%) and the lower bounds and what the Fed pays financial institutions that lend overnight repo to the Fed (the ‘RRP rate’, currently 4%).
SOFR 3-month futures, therefore, reflect the market’s expectations of what the overnight risk-free rate will average over a defined three-month period at a forward point in time.
For example, the SOFR 3-month December 2026 futures contract (TradingView code: SR3Z2026 ) reflects the market’s expected average interest rate on overnight cash borrowing from December 2026 through to the contract’s expiration on 16 March 2027.
Since SOFR is guided by the Fed’s policy corridor, the futures price on that contract provides an indication of where the Fed could set interest rates at a given point in time.
Calculating the markets expectations for future Fed policy from SOFR futures
The price of SOFR 3-month futures moves dynamically through supply and demand, with rates traders reacting to economic data, Fed communications, sentiment in other markets (such as equities), and liquidity conditions. Upon expiration, futures are cash settled at 100 (or “par”), so the implied interest rate for a set contract is calculated as 100 minus the futures price.
For example, if SR3Z2026 trades at 96.99, the implied rate for the SOFR between Dec 2026 and 16 March 2027 is 3.01% (100 – 96.99). If the current SOFR spot rate (TradingView code: SOFR) is 4.38%, this therefore implies that the market is pricing 139 basis points of further Fed rate cuts by early 2027.
You can add all the SOFR 3-month futures contracts to a watchlist in TradingView, ordered by the contract period. For instance, starting with SR3U2025 (the September SOFR futures expiring on 16 December 2025).
As we see in the screenshot, based on today’s curve, the perceived low point—or the pricing for the “terminal” rate—in the Fed’s cutting cycle is seen in the December 2026 contract, at 2.99%.
Why is this useful for all traders?
Firstly, it provides a clear guide to the market’s view of future Fed policy and what is currently already discounted in interest rate markets. This matters because the USD, US Treasuries, equities, and even gold tend to move in line with—or inversely to—shifts in interest rate futures pricing.
If the market has fully priced in a rate cut, then when the Fed delivers that cut, the market reaction should be minimal. Conversely, if the market expects little or no cut and the Fed surprises by cutting rates, one can expect an outsized reaction in assets like the USD or US 2-year Treasury yields.
This makes SOFR futures incredibly helpful for traders across asset classes when managing risk around key data releases or Fed meetings.
They can also help assess perceived recession risk. If the Fed’s “neutral rate”—the equilibrium setting that is neither stimulatory nor restrictive—is 3%, and the market prices the terminal rate in the cutting cycle at the same level, this suggests a low probability of recession. A recession risk scenario would likely see the market pricing the Fed’s terminal rate well below 2.5%.
Given how often the question “how do I know what’s priced in?” comes up, I hope this offers a clear framework for assessing it through SOFR futures on TradingView.
Good luck to all
US Dollar: Bearish! Buyside LQ Sweep Before Rate Cut?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD has a .25 basis point rate cut coming Wednesday. Will there be a manipulation of the buy side liquidity before prices turn downward? I am looking out for this fake out maneuver by MMs, being mindful the rate cut will weaken the USD against its counterparts. A short term move higher before the market turns bearish with the news announcements is more then possible.
Wait and react. Do not predict.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR/USD - Rising Wedge Breakout @ H1 CMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD - Wedge Pattern Strong breakout - @ H1 with high volume. Expecting Strong Bearish outlook today and Fundamental also play major role today.
"The Fed is still signalling more rate cuts, but at the same time still sees okay growth, which is a positive combination for share markets"
The Fed reduced rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, as expected, and indicated it will steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest of this year, initially sending the dollar plunging.
Support by Likes and Comments.
Thank you.
EUR/USD - Fundamental Move (18.09.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1744
2nd Support – 1.1704
Fundamental Updates :
Fed Chair Powell described this rate cut as a way to manage risks due to a weaker job market, and said there is no need to rush further rate cuts. The Fed's future plans suggest more rate cuts this year, but only one more in 2026.
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GOLD – Rebound Holds Above Key 3,655 PivotGOLD – OVERVIEW
Gold rebounded in early trade after Thursday’s decline, supported by buyers despite a stronger U.S. dollar and a cautious Fed outlook. The Federal Reserve’s September meeting signaled fewer rate cuts than markets had expected, keeping sentiment mixed but overall supportive for gold.
Technical Analysis
GOLD is trying to touch the support level before the next bullish movement, which is 3639.
🔹A confirmed 15-min or 1-hour close above 3666 will strengthen the bullish continuation toward 3676 and 3686.
🔹However, a 15-min or 1-hour close below 3655 would trigger a bearish correction toward 3639.
🔹A sustained break below 3639 opens the way for deeper downside to 3628 and 3612.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3655
Resistance: 3666, 3676, 3686
Support: 3639, 3628, 3612
USD/CHF - Trade Setup 🕰 1H Structure
Price has shifted bullish after a BOS and liquidity sweep. We’ve tapped into discount levels near the 71% retracement and held demand.
📊 Technical Breakdown
MSS → BOS confirmed bullish intent.
Demand zone sits at 0.7880 – 0.7900.
Price cleared SSL liquidity and is now seeking upside inefficiency.
Next magnet = 0.8000 – 0.8030 swing range.
🎯 Entry / Exit Zones
Entry: Wait for a pullback into the 0.7880 – 0.7900 demand zone.
Target 1: 0.7950 (intra-range).
Target 2: 0.8000 – 0.8030 (swing range high).
Invalidation : Break below 0.7860.
⚖️ Outlook
Short-term pullback into demand → continuation bullish towards 0.8000+.
Bias : 📈 Bullish continuation after retrace.
$SOLANA 250+ or bearish trend to 225/200With the recent solana pump, major profits have been taking place.
However, SOL stopped out at 249. Just under the Psychological level of 250.
On this chart we can see the following:
- Supply & Demand
- Anchored Volume
- Pattern: BF / BC /SR
- Two 4 hour FVG's below price, with HTF GP on the second FVG.
- One swing high & swing low
- OBV tool in place forming a bearish channel
- Psychological levels of 250, 225, 200
With these in place, we can see solana is looking pretty bearish now.
What comes up, must come down.
Solana is making a retest on the demand zone, which is also the resistance and golden pocket.
If price wicks and successfully rejects. We will definitely see 225.
A long with the Volume Anchor acting as a magnet for price to come back down as there has not yet been a retest.
But if it closes above the resistance, there is a greater chance of it breaking above the demand zone.
We will begin looking for shorting opportunities once solana fails to break above.
We will begin looking for long opportunities if solana succeeds in it's break above.
Right now, keep your eyes peeled.
We have movement incoming.
Bitcoin will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market dynamic for Bitcoin has undergone a significant shift, with the prior bearish trend being invalidated by a strong breakout from a downward channel. This reversal has established a new bullish market structure, with the price action for BTC now being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance boundaries, originating from the 108400 - 109400 buyer zone. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction after testing the upper part of the channel, and the price is now approaching a critical confluence of support. This area is defined by the ascending support line of the channel and the major horizontal 109400 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, anticipating that buyers will defend this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary upward trend. This move is expected to break through the intermediate 117500 resistance level. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 119600, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF - Trade Setup🔎 Bias
Short-term bullish continuation after BOS confirmation.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1H Structure: Market broke structure (BOS) after sweeping liquidity below 0.7890.
Demand Zone : 0.7885 – 0.7900 aligns with 71% fib retracement and MSS reversal.
Liquidity : Sell-side cleared, price reclaiming higher order flow.
Targeting : Re-test of previous range highs + imbalance fill above 0.8030.
🎯 Entry / Exit
Entry zone: 0.7890 – 0.7900
Targets:
TP1: 0.7960
TP2: 0.8030
Invalidation : Below 0.7870
⚖️ Risk Management
SL below 0.7870
Risk 1–2% only, scaling partials at TP1
📌 Outlook
Clean structure shift, demand respected, and liquidity sweep complete. If bulls maintain control, upside continuation toward 0.8030 is on the cards.
Bias : Bullish continuation 📈
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish drop offBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 3,655.23, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,672.97, whichis a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,616.99, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCAD H4 | Bullish reversalUSD/CAD has bounced off the buy entry which is an overlap support and could rise from this leve to the upside.
Buy entry is at 1.3791, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.3770, whichis a pullback support.
Take profit is at 1.3880, which acts as a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZDUSD H4 | Potential bearish dropThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the sell entry and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.5909, which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.5949, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5805, which is a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD H4 | Falling towards major supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levl to the take profit.
Buy entr yis at 0.6567, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is sy 0.6511, which hs a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% FIbonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6636, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.






















