"Stop Loss Essentials: Preventing Losses in Uptrends"Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
I post short mid and long-term trade setups too.
Let’s get to the chart!
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart, Do not consider financial advice.
Common Reasons Why Traders Lose Money Even in an Uptrend
#Not Setting Stop-Loss:
#Not Conducting Technical Analysis:
#Going against the Trends:
#Following the Herd:
#Being Impatient:
#Not doing Homework or Research:
#Averaging on Losing Position:
Buy low sell high' is the motto. As simple as it sounds, why do most people lose money trading or investing?
There are four major mistakes that most beginners make:
1. Excessive Confidence
This stems from the idea that people think of themselves as special. They think they can 'crack the code' in the stock market that 99.9% of people fail to, and eventually make a living trading and investing. However, taking into consideration the fact that more people lose money in the market, this form of wishful thinking is the same mentality as going into a casino feeling lucky. You may actually get lucky and win big the first few times, but in the end, the house always wins.
2. Distorted Judgements
While simplicity is key, the approach most beginners make in trading and investing are too simplistic, to the extend where it's hard to even call it a trading logic or reason to invest. They spot a few reoccurring patterns within the market, and this is almost as if they discovered fire. It doesn't take long to realize that the "pattern" they spotted was never based on any solid reasoning, or worse, wasn't even a pattern at all in the first place.
3. Herding Behavior
The fundamentals of this is also deeply rooted in a gambling mindset. Beginners are attracted to the idea of a single trade or investment that will make them a millionaire. However, they fail to realize that there is no such thing. Trading and investing is nothing like winning the lottery. It's about making consistent profits that compound throughout time. While people should definitely look for assets that have high liquidity and some volatility , the get-rich-quick mentality drags irrational beginners into overextended/overbought stocks that eventually drop drastically.
4. Risk Aversion
Risk aversion is a psychological trait embedded within all of mankind's DNA. Winning is fun, but we can't tolerate losing. We tend to avoid risk, even when the potential reward is worth pursuing. As such, many beginners take extremely small amounts of profits, in fear that they might close their position at a loss, trading with a terrible risk reward ratio. In the long run, their willingness to not take any risks leads to losses.
Depending on the price action, they also go through seven phases of psychological stages:
- Anxiety
- Interest
- Confidence
- Greed
- Doubt
- Concern
- Regret
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Lack of Discipline
An intraday trader must stick to a proper plan. A full-fledged intraday plan includes profit targets, factors to consider, methods to put a stop loss, and ways to select the right trading hours. The trading plan provides a comprehensive overview of how trading should be executed. Also, you can keep a record of trades executed during the day with the performance analysis of each stock at the end of the day. Such records help you identify the weak areas in your trading strategy and correct them. It is very important to be disciplined as a trader, the proper discipline will help you minimize the losses and maintain your capital.
Not Setting Proper Trading Limits
In intraday trading, the success lies in managing the risk. You should pre-define a stop loss and profit target when entering intraday trading. This strategy itself is an important part of trading discipline and this is where most people fail. For instance, if you incur a loss in the first hour itself, you should shut down the trading terminal for the rest of the day. You should also have an overall capital loss limit in place, it will safeguard you against trading losses.
Compensating for a Rapid Loss
This is one of the common mistakes in the trading community. When a trader incurs a loss, he/she either tries to average a position or overtrades excessively to recover the loss. This further leads to a greater loss and put them into more trouble. Losses are a part of intraday trading, instead of overtrading, it is wise to accept the loss, analyze the strategy and make improvements from the next day.
Heavy Dependency on Tips
Nowadays, there are ample of intraday tips flowing everywhere on the digital media. It is a common phenomenon for a trader to rely on these external tips, however, this needs to be avoided. The best way to learn intraday trading is by gradually learning how to read charts, understanding structures, and interpreting results on your own. Many traders refrain from taking these efforts and because of this, they end up on the losing side. The Beyond App by Nirmal Bang provides deeper insights into the market, the technical research offered by Nirmal Bang is spot on. You can use that research for reference, however, nothing can beat practical experience.
Not Keeping Track of Current Affairs
The external news, events, and tragedies do have an impact on the stock market. Hence, it is important for an intraday trader to keep a track of the Indian as well as global markets. Even the performance of global markets has an impact on the movement of Indian markets. Make your trade after the news or event has been announced, do not try to speculate the market based on the news.
There are even instances when traders do not have any sound trading strategy, they just make decisions based on gut feelings or emotions. One needs to remember that intraday trading in itself is a skill, it is not a gamble, it takes time to develop proficiency, you cannot expect rapid results. The above are some of the major reasons why intraday traders lose money, ensure that you are disciplined enough, stick to a proper strategy, analyze your strategy at regular intervals, and things will fall in place.
we will discuss 3 classic trading strategies and stop placement rules.
1) The first trading strategy is a trend line strategy.
The technique implies buying/selling the touch of strong trend lines, expecting a strong bullish/bearish reaction from that.
If you are buying a trend line, you should identify the previous low.
Your stop loss should lie strictly below that.
If you are selling a trend line, you should identify the previous high.
Your stop loss should lie strictly above that.
2) The second trading strategy is a breakout trading strategy.
The technique implies buying/selling the breakout of a structure,
expecting a further bullish/bearish continuation.
If you are buying a breakout of resistance, you should identify the previous low. Your stop loss should lie strictly below that.
If you are selling a breakout of support, you should identify the previous high. Your stop loss should lie strictly above that.
3) The third trading strategy is a range trading strategy.
The technique implies buying/selling the boundaries of horizontal ranges, expecting a bullish/bearish reaction from them.
If you are buying the support of the range, your stop loss should strictly lie below the lowest point of support.
If you are selling the resistance of the range, your stop loss should strictly lie above the highest point of resistance.
As you can see, these stop-placement techniques are very simple. Following them, you will avoid a lot of stop hunts and manipulations.
What Is a Stop-Loss Order?
A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a specific stock once the stock reaches a certain price. A stop-loss is designed to limit an investor's loss on a security position. For example, setting a stop-loss order for 10% below the price at which you bought the stock will limit your loss to 10%. Suppose you just purchased Microsoft (MSFT) at $20 per share. Right after buying the stock, you enter a stop-loss order for $18. If the stock falls below $18, your shares will then be sold at the prevailing market price.
Stop-limit orders are similar to stop-loss orders. However, as their name states, there is a limit on the price at which they will execute. There are then two prices specified in a stop-limit order: the stop price, which will convert the order to a sell order, and the limit price. Instead of the order becoming a market order to sell, the sell order becomes a limit order that will only execute at the limit price (or better).
Advantages of the Stop-Loss Order
The most important benefit of a stop-loss order is that it costs nothing to implement. Your regular commission is charged only once the stop-loss price has been reached and the stock must be sold.
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One way to think of a stop-loss order is as a free insurance policy.
Additionally, when it comes to stop-loss orders, you don't have to monitor how a stock is performing daily. This convenience is especially handy when you are on vacation or in a situation that prevents you from watching your stocks for an extended period.
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Stop-loss orders also help insulate your decision-making from emotional influences. People tend to "fall in love" with stocks. For example, they may maintain the false belief that if they give a stock another chance, it will come around. In actuality, this delay may only cause losses to mount.
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No matter what type of investor you are, you should be able to easily identify why you own a stock. A value investor's criteria will be different from the criteria of a growth investor, which will be different from the criteria of an active trader. No matter what the strategy is, the strategy will only work if you stick to it. So, if you are a hardcore buy-and-hold investor, your stop-loss orders are next to useless.
At the end of the day, if you are going to be a successful investor, you have to be confident in your strategy. This means carrying through with your plan. The advantage of stop-loss orders is that they can help you stay on track and prevent your judgment from getting clouded with emotion.
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Finally, it's important to realize that stop-loss orders do not guarantee you'll make money in the stock market; you still have to make intelligent investment decisions. If you don't, you'll lose just as much money as you would without a stop-loss (only at a much slower rate.)
Types of Stop-Loss orders
Fixed Stop Loss
The fixed stop is a stop loss order triggered when a particular pre-determined price is hit. Fixed stops can also be timed-based and are most commonly used as soon as the trade is placed.
Time-bound fixed stops are useful for investors who want to provide the position with a pre-set amount of time to profit prior to moving on to the next trade.
Only utilize time-based stops when positioned sized properly to permit major adverse swings in share price.
Trailing Stop-Loss Order
Trailing order caters to the capital gains protection of an investor, while simultaneously providing a hedge against any unexpected price downturns. It is set as a percentage of the total asset price, and the order to sell is triggered in case market prices fall below the stipulated level. However, in the case of a price rise, the trailing order adjusts automatically in tune with an overall increase in market valuation.
Suppose, in a trailing stop-loss market, an order for execution is set if the price of a security falls below 10% of the market value. Assuming the purchase price is 100 an order to sell the security is executed automatically by an authorised broker if the price falls below 90.
In case the share prices rise to 120, the trailing order stands at 10% of the current market price, which is 108. Hence, if prices consequently start falling after peaking at. 120, a stop-loss order will be executed at 108. It allows an individual to enjoy a capital gain of 8 (108 – 100) on his/her investment corpus.
Stop-Loss Order Vs Market Order
While a stop-loss order performs a sale of underlying securities provided the price falls below a prescribed limit, a market order is issued to a broker to conduct trade (both buying and selling) at the prevailing market price. Stop-loss orders are designed to reduce the risk factor, while market orders aim to increase liquidity in the stock market by eradicating the bid-ask spread difference. A market order is the most basic form of trade order placed in a stock market.
Stop-Loss Order and Limit Order
Limit orders execute a trade of stipulated securities if the price reaches a pre-set value. While a buy limit order facilitates the purchase of any securities if the price falls below the given limit, a sell limit order is executed if the price rises above the value. Limit orders are designed to maximise the profitability of an investment venture by maximising the bid-ask spread. It is in contrast to stop-loss orders, which are implemented only if the price is equal to the limit stated by investors, as a method of minimising losses in a bear market.
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Learning
TradingView Masterclass: How To Use Drawing ToolsWe continue with our Masterclass series, which we created to teach people how to get started with charting, research, and analysis. In this lesson, you’ll learn all about the Drawing Panel located on the left side of your chart. Let’s get started!
Drawing tools 🎨
There are eight categories in the drawing tool section: Cursors, Trend line tools, Fibonacci tools, Patterns, Forecasting and measurement tools, Geometric shapes, Annotation tools, and Icons. In addition, just below these categories, there are handy features that augment and optimize your research in specific situations, such as zooming in/out, measuring, and a magnet tool for selecting specific price points. Let’s analyze each of these in detail:
- Cursors: Located at the very top corner of the drawing tool section, Cursors gives you the capability to change your mouse as you move around the chart. For example, we have other variations such as the dot cursor or the simplest of all, the arrow cursor. Finally, we have an eraser tool to remove objects from the chart by clicking on them.
- Trend lines: Trend lines can be used to identify and visualize the direction of a price trend, and are sometimes used for drawing support or resistance lines as well. In this section, you can also find trend channels and pitchforks.
- Gann and Fibonacci tools: These advanced tools are often used by technical analysts and quants to locate retracements, pullbacks, measured moves, and advanced price sequences. The Fibonacci tools include retracement, extension, fans, arcs, and more. The Gann tools include box, square, and fan.
- Patterns: In this section, you’ll find popular drawing tools for mapping our complex patterns that require several different points to be drawn such as Elliott waves, head and shoulders, and impulses.
- Forecasting and measurement tools: These invaluable tools are used to make projections either long or short, study specific stats such as time or price ranges, and also give you the capability to analyze volume with VWAP and volume profiles.
- Geometric shapes: These tools are where you can find the brush tool to freely draw on your chart, but it also goes deeper than that, as there are also important shapes whereby a trader can highlight important areas on the chart with a rectangle or arrow such as accumulation or historical rebound zones.
- Annotation tools: These can be used to write notes, reminders, prices, and journal entries. These are key tools for traders who want to track their progress over time and always have specific notes attached to the chart. It also includes the ability to insert X links and images from your computer.
- Icons: Need a little more color or character on your chart? This section gives you hundreds of emojis, icons, and stickers to add to your chart. Highlight an area, add more art to your chart or spice up your creativity.
Tip: Keyboard shortcuts 🔠
Did you know that you can use keyboard shortcuts for the most popular drawing tools? To find out the command, you need to open the drop-down menu of one of the 8 drawing tool categories and you will see the command on the right side of some tools. For example:
Alt + T = Trendline
Alt + F = Fib retracement
Alt + H = Horizontal line
Alt + V = Vertical line
Alt + I = Invert chart
Alt + W = Add current symbol to watchlist
If you're a Mac user, use ⌥ instead of Alt.
Measure and zoom 📏🔎
When you use the Measure tool (the ruler icon just below the 8 drawing tool category icons), you can see at a glance how much an asset has fallen or risen in numbers, percentages, bars and days. Combined with the Zoom tool (the magnifying glass with +/- icons), you can also focus on the most important areas of the chart. For both measuring and zooming, the procedure is the same: select the tool, click on the point where you want to start measuring or from where you want to zoom, and end with another click where you want to end. You can also use the "Shift" hotkey instead of the icon. To remove a measurement, simply click on the chart.
Magnet mode 🧲
Magnet mode is a wizard that helps you to bring the drawing tools closer to the nearest price bars that you hover over with the mouse. There are 2 modes: Weak magnet and Strong magnet. This tool allows traders to perfectly connect a drawing tool to a specific price point. The current values are OHLC, meaning when Magnet mode is turned on, all drawing tools will connect to the nearest open, high, low or close value. Want to draw support lines that always connect to a specific price? Use this tool.
Stay in drawing mode 🎨
If you are going to make several drawings on the chart at the same time, you may find it useful to activate this option (pencil + padlock icon), as it will allow you to make as many drawings as you want without deactivating the selected drawing tool. Remember that you must deactivate this option to return to normal mode.
Lock all drawing tools 🛑
Once the chart has been configured, if you do not want to make any further changes, you can lock everything that has been drawn with this option (padlock icon) so that you do not accidentally delete elements in the future.
Hide/Show drawings/indicators/positions & orders 👁🗨
This option allows you to toggle the visibility of the drawings, indicators, positions & orders or even all three to make comparisons with a blank chart. The keyboard shortcut is "Ctrl + Alt + H".
Drawing sync 🔄
This allows you to synchronize the drawings of the selected charts in the current layout or in all layouts (globally). You’ll surely want to test this feature as it’s perfect for those who perform multi-timeframe technical analysis and research across multiple charts or timeframes. For example, when this tool is turned on, if you draw on one chart, all of your drawings will appear on your other charts that have the same symbol.
Delete objects 🗑
With a single click, you can delete all drawings or indicators, or even both at the same time. There are also a few other options to remove specific things on your chart. Use this tool wisely and don’t accidentally delete everything!
Show favorite drawing tools toolbar ⭐
To set up the favorites toolbar, first, you must first go to one of the eight drawing categories and click on the gray star in one of the tools. When you click on it, it turns orange and the quick access toolbar for drawing tools is created. Once you have selected all your favorites, move the favorites toolbar around so that you can use it conveniently every time you want to draw something on the charts.
That’s a wrap! We hope you found this guide valuable. We'd love to hear about your favorite drawing tool, so please share your thoughts in the comments below. Additionally, if you have any feedback or suggestions, drop us a line.
- TradingView Team
Explaining 15 Different Types of Financial Market ParticipantsIn this post, I'm about to unveil the 15 distinct financial market players who hold the keys to the kingdom. Picture this: you're stepping onto the trading battleground armed with nothing but a stick if you don't acquaint yourself with these formidable forces. As an investor or trader, knowledge is your best armor, and understanding the roles of these market entities can be your secret weapon as you embark on your investment journey, especially if you're just starting out.
1. Investment Banks: These financial powerhouses are the architects of the market. They don't just buy and sell stocks and bonds; they orchestrate mergers and acquisitions, wield market research as their compass, and provide asset management services. Investment banks are the bridges connecting those seeking to invest their capital and those in need of investments. Within this realm, two distinct titans emerge:
Bulge Brackets: These giants, like Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and Deutsche Bank, are the juggernauts of the investment banking world, handling a vast array of financial endeavors.
Boutiques: Think of them as the specialized artisans of finance. Boutiques such as Lazard, Evercore, and Guggenheim excel in finely crafted financial solutions, catering to unique and intricate needs.
📈 Charting Lesson: What do I even look for in a chart?!Full-time trader here. Sharing some knowledge for free . If this helps you, show some love: follow me for more and like this idea. 👍
Why do I need a chart anyway?
First, we need to convince you of why you need a chart. No problem. Let's say you're a fundamental analysis investor. The stock has to make sense. The stock has to last forever. It needs to be a growth stock. Let's say... NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA is a good example over the last few years. Now that you found a good candidate, when are you going to buy? At an all-time high? At an all-time low? One share a day? One share a week? No. Buying a stock without looking at the chart is like driving with a blindfold. Don't do it.
Pull up a chart.
Observe past price action.
Try to find a trend.
Plan your entry.
Do this even if you're going to hold for 20 years.
When I pull up a chart, what do I look for? I just see a bunch of lines.
Let's first make sure you are looking at the correct view. On the top left corner of your screen, you'll see your user icon. Next to it is the ticker. Next to it is the interval. Next to THAT is the chart type. Make sure you select "CANDLES". Not "hollow candles". Here's how it should look:
Mine may look a bit different because I changed my theme. But the candles is what we care about.
Now the juicy part.
Support and Resistance are Key Reversal Levels.
When you open a chart, the first thing you want to do is look for areas where the price has reached in the past and reversed or got rejected or bounced. For example, every time SPY reached 443.37 in the chart above, it reversed. Let's call this a, "key level".
If the price is ABOVE that key level, the line is called SUPPORT.
If the price is BELOW that key level, the line is called RESISTANCE.
Using the horizontal line tool, make sure you have these key support and resistance levels on your chart. Try to ONLY buy near support and sell near resistance.
If the stock is choppy, do your best. If you can't, skip it and go to another stock. There's thousands!
Stocks, Currencies, and Cryptos Move in Trends. Up or Down.
Next, try to find a "trend". A trend is something where if you connect the dots, the price jumps right from that straight line.
Pull out your trendline tool and try to connect some dots. Don't go through any candle bodies. Going through wicks is okay. It's actually recommended.
Three touches are required to make a valid trendline. If you see only TWO touches? Is the price going TOWARDS the trendline if you were to extend it? There's a good chance it's going to head towards that TL and bounce! Good job. You found a good trade potential.
Identify Reversal or Continuation Patterns.
Look for known patterns. In the example above, there is a "head and shoulders" pattern. This is a bearish reversal pattern.
Know that not all patterns will come true.
It's good to know the overall signal the market is giving.
If every trader sees it, it's likely not going to happen.
In the above example, a looming H/S pattern is scary given already bad economic conditions and recession/ inflation worries. In this case, the market may be trying to tell you something.
Understand that these patterns are not just nice-looking drawings on a chart. They work because they display some sort of buyer/ seller psychology.
I will post more examples of known patterns on my TradingView profile soon. Be sure to follow if you want to learn more.
If you benefitted from this, you are welcome to follow me, comment any questions, or share this with your friends. Good knowledge should be free. I'll post more insight soon. Thank you for reading and for your continued support. 👍
📝 ALWAYS review your trades and improve your trading strategy.ALL your trades should get a good in-depth review. Unless, of course, you're just gambling, then the market isn't for you, and you're likely not even using TradingView -- because why would you need a chart? 🙂
If you make a red trade, review it, do better next time.
If you make a green trade, but you were like this the whole time: :sweating: ... chances are you were lucky. Review it, do better next time.
If you make a green trade and it doesn't "continue", so to speak, either you knew exactly what you were doing (nice!), or you were lucky. Review it, do better next time.
If you make a GREAT trade and it continues to RIP after (aka "left gains on the table"), NICE JOB.. Review it. Do it again. And again.
Keep reviewing all your trades till you have a bullet proof strategy.
There is no other way to advance as a trader.
If you don't review your trades, you will not improve.
Open your mind to learning from other traders. You may be better than them in some things, but they may be better than you in some things.
Kobe, Lebron, Ronaldo, Messi, Brady, and every athlete you can name has went to practice every day throughout his/ her career. Pros don't stop practicing. Neither should you.
In the referenced trade, I made a quick +10% in NASDAQ:QQQ calls. Although the intention was to scalp, I got lucky to not get burned. Here's how I normally review my trades:
Remember to NOT force trades. There's no point. I warned against forcing any trades yesterday in my quad/ triple witching post. Volatility is no joke. More volatility coming next week. Remember that.
Follow for more insight & share/ like this with others who can benefit. Welcome to join my community. Link below.
The VIX: A Measure of Market FearThe VIX, or Volatility Index, is a measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 index over the next 30 days. It is calculated using the prices of options on the S&P 500 index. A higher VIX indicates that market participants are expecting more volatility in the future, while a lower VIX indicates that they are expecting less volatility.
The VIX is an important tool for investors because it can help them understand how risky the stock market is. A high VIX indicates that the market is expected to be volatile, which means that there is a greater chance of large price swings. This can make investing more risky, but it can also create opportunities for profit.
The VIX is also correlated with the S&P 500 index. This means that the VIX tends to move in the opposite direction of the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 falls, the VIX tends to rise, and when the S&P 500 rises, the VIX tends to fall. This correlation is not perfect, but it is strong enough to be useful for investors.
The VIX can be used in a variety of ways by investors. Some investors use the VIX to assess the risk of their portfolios. Others use the VIX to trade volatility, either by buying or selling VIX futures contracts. Still others use the VIX to hedge against risk in other assets.
The VIX is a complex and volatile asset, but it can be a valuable tool for investors who understand how to use it.
Here are some additional things to keep in mind about the VIX:
The VIX is not a direct measure of the volatility of the stock market. It is a measure of the expected volatility, which means that it is based on the opinions of market participants.
The VIX can be affected by a variety of factors, including economic news, political events, and natural disasters.
The VIX is not always accurate. It can sometimes overshoot or undershoot the actual volatility of the stock market.
Despite its limitations, the VIX is a valuable tool for investors. It can help investors understand the risk of the stock market and make informed investment decisions.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Your ULTIMATE Guide For Time Frames in Trading
If you just started trading, you are probably wondering what time frames to trade. In the today's post, I will reveal the difference between mainstream time frames like daily, 4h, 1h, 15m.
Firstly, you should know that the selection of a time frame primarily depends on your goals in trading.
If you are interested in swing trading strategies, of course, you should concentrate on higher time frames analysis while for scalping the main focus should be on lower time frames.
Daily time frame shows a bigger picture.
It can be applied for the analysis of a price action for the last weeks, months, and even years.
It reveals the historical key levels that can be relevant for swing traders, day traders and scalpers.
The patterns that are formed on a daily time frame may predict long-term movements.
In the picture above, you can see how the daily time frame can show the price action for the last years, months and weeks.
In contrast, hourly time frame reflects intraweek & intraday perspectives.
The patterns and key levels that are spotted there, will be important for day traders and scalpers.
The setups that are spotted on an hourly time frame, will be useful for predicting the intraday moves and occasionally the moves within a trading week.
Take a look at the 2 charts above, the hourly time frame perfectly shows the market moves within a week and within a single day.
4H time frame is somewhere in between. For both swing trader and day trader, it may provide some useful confirmations.
4H t.f shows intraweek and week to week perspectives.
Above, you can see how nicely 4H time frame shows the price action on EURUSD within a week and for the last several weeks.
15 minutes time frame is a scalping time frame.
The setups and levels that are spotted there can be used to predict the market moves within hours or within a trading session.
Check the charts above: 15 minutes time frame shows both the price action within a London session and the price action for the last couple of hours.
It is also critical to mention, that lower is the time frame, lower is the accuracy of the patterns and lower is the strength of key levels that are identified there. It makes higher time frame analysis more simple and reliable.
The thing is that higher is the time frame, more important it is for the market participants.
While lower time frames can help to predict short term moves, higher time frames are aimed for predicting long-term trends.
Fixed Range Volume Profile, How do I use it?I can say that Fixed Range Volume Profile is strong tool to determine targets and stop loss, POC point of control as per my research represent a central price and bar close price is turning around it, so when you assign take profit and stop loss as per it, you reduce the risk and have a plan B to manage your trade.
as you see in above chart for BTCUSD, we have trend line on daily time frame, I cut the chart to 3 successive zones representing 3 cycle, 1 cycle is from the trend to trend and applied "Fixed Range Volume Profile" on all 3 ranges/cycles, last cycle has not finished yet, and I show POC1, POC2 and POC3 prices.
I consider this line as central price for a range and we can see how price keep moving above and down POC1 & POC2 prices.
for the last range/cycle (not completed yet because it has not reach the uptrend line yet, we see POC3 = $30,200 and the current price $29,590 so price is under POC3 and we can guess it is going to trend at approximately $27,750, this is 1st hint.
2nd hint is to take "Fixed Range Volume Profile" for the all uptrend, did you notice it? I think the price is going to POC(all range) = $28,300 (support)
Now we came to the best part of our subject, the what if question and how to set up a plan?:
what is stop loss?
we need a 1H bar close above POC3= $30,200+100= $30,300 (resistant) and we buy target $31,380 (you should know why!) and for stop loss, we need close price 1H again down $30,200
what is take profit?
we can set $28,300 for safe and $27,750 if you want to risk a little bit, this is first target, but what if bar 4h close down POC= $28,300? here we can set a 2nd take profit at $26,400 (you should know why!)
this is what I wanted to share with you and I will be glad to answer your questions.
I did go short for BTCUSD this morning, enter price $29,165 and I set a take profit at $29,322 because I am working on 15 min timeframe.
Understanding the Learning CurveWelcome to @Vestinda new article about Learning Curve! We are delighted to share this insightful piece with our valued community on @TradingView !
At Vestinda, we believe in empowering traders with knowledge and tools to navigate the cryptocurrencies and futures trading. In this article, we will explore the concept of the learning curve and its relevance to the trading journey. Whether you are a novice trader or a seasoned professional, understanding the learning curve can be instrumental in your path to success.
If you focus and invest time into a subject, you will eventually reach a level of mastery.
The actual level clearly depends on the amount of invested time and to a significant extent on your inherent abilities to acquire the specific knowledge. I could probably spend a decade on quantum physics and not progress beyond the level of ‘enthusiastic beginner'. However, attaining mastery is seldom a smooth and linear journey. It is more like a curve in the mathematical sense, characterized by uneven ups and downs, reflecting the usual 'bumps in the road' that we all experience when dealing with challenging topics.
There is a pattern in the process of learning something new (knowledge, skills, etc.), which was formulated by the American psychologist Albert Bandura. This pattern is depicted in the form of a graph known as the Bandura curve.
The graph demonstrates the relationship between time (number of attempts), the level of human competence in what they are studying, and their expectations.
If you have ever enthusiastically started a new training, holding high hopes for it, and then quietly gave up, blaming others or anything else, then you are not alone. To avoid repeating this in the future, it's important to understand how human psychology and the system work, and that each of us is part of this system. Below, we will provide recommendations on what to pay attention to.
So, the Bandura curve shows the stages a person goes through when beginning to learn something new.
1. Clueless (You don't know what you don't know)
When you first venture into trading cryptocurrencies and futures, you are essentially clueless about the intricacies of the market. The concepts, strategies, and tools may seem foreign and overwhelming. It's like staring at a vast landscape without a map, unsure of where to even begin.
2. Naively confident (You think you know, but still don't know what you don't know)
As you begin your learning journey, you might gain some basic knowledge and techniques. This newfound understanding might lead to a sense of naively confident. You believe you have a handle on things, but in reality, there's a lot you're still unaware of, and the market can surprise you with unexpected turns.
3. Discouragingly realistic (You know what you don't know)
With more experience, you come to a point of realization that there is much more to learn. The challenges and complexities of trading become evident, and you may face setbacks that test your resolve. It can be a discouraging phase as you grapple with the reality of how much you still need to learn.
4. Mastery achieved (You know it)
Through persistence and a commitment to learning, you gradually achieve mastery in trading cryptocurrencies and futures. You've gained a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics, developed effective strategies, and learned how to manage risks. You can now navigate the market with confidence and consistently make informed decisions.
Remember: The learning curve in trading is a natural part of the process, and each stage brings its own valuable lessons. Don't be disheartened by challenges or setbacks; they are opportunities to grow and improve your trading skills.
WHAT TO DO?
✅ Embrace the journey of learning and growth, recognizing that mastery takes time.
✅ Stay humble and open-minded, acknowledging that there is always more to learn.
✅ Be patient with yourself during the challenging phases and use them as motivation to improve.
✅ Keep refining your strategies and adapting to the ever-changing market conditions.
Can you identify which stage you are currently in your cryptocurrency and futures trading journey? Remember, each stage brings you closer to becoming a proficient trader.
We hope you found this article on understanding the learning curve in trading cryptocurrencies and futures helpful!
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Mastering Elliott Wave: The importance of channelingI wanted to share my thoughts on the significance of using channeling technique in Elliott Wave theory when analyzing charts.
To begin, we draw what we call a "base channel," starting from the beginning of wave 1 and extending it to the end of wave 2. This initial channel provides us with a foundation for analysis.
The following occurrence of an impulsive breakout beyond this channel signals the initiation of wave 3. At this point, we create a new "Acceleration Channel" to track the movement of wave 3. If this newly drawn channel is breached to the downside, it suggests the possibility of a correction for wave 3 underway.
As seen in the picture, the original base channel we drew earlier now acts as a support level for wave 4, accompanied by consolidation around Fibonacci levels. This observation has been witnessed numerous times in the past.
When the corrective channel experiences a breakout with above-average volume, it serves as a signal indicating the completion of wave 4. This event provides an opportunity for us to establish Fibonacci targets for profit-taking.
In this particular example, I have chosen to draw the corrective channel only on the final leg of the ABC correction, enabling us to catch the breakout at an earlier stage. A more conservative approach, however, would involve waiting for the breakout to occur after wave B has been surpassed.
Hope this was helpful for those wanting to learn more about channeling and Elliott Wave.
📊The Ten Commandments of Forex Trading: A Beginner's Guide📊
1️⃣ Thou shalt have a trading plan:
Having a trading plan is crucial to my success in forex trading. By setting clear entry and exit points, as well as defining my risk tolerance, I am able to trade with discipline and avoid impulsive decisions.
2️⃣Thou shalt not risk more than you can afford to lose:
I understand the importance of capital preservation. I never risk more than 2% of my trading account on a single trade. This ensures that I can withstand potential losses without jeopardizing my overall financial stability.
3️⃣Thou shalt analyze before executing a trade:
Before entering any trade, I conduct thorough technical and fundamental analysis. By examining price charts, economic indicators, and market sentiment, I can make informed decisions based on sound analysis rather than relying on instincts.
4️⃣Thou shalt not overtrade:
I resist the temptation to overtrade and remain patient for favorable opportunities. I understand that trading excessively can lead to emotional decision-making and ultimately result in losses.
5️⃣Thou shalt not chase losses:
When a trade goes against me, I avoid the temptation to chase losses. I accept the loss, learn from it, and move on. Chasing losses would only lead to irrational decisions and potentially larger losses.
6️⃣Thou shalt not rely solely on indicators:
While technical indicators are helpful, I do not rely on them alone. I consider various factors such as geopolitical events, news releases, and market sentiment to get a holistic understanding of market dynamics.
7️⃣Thou shalt use appropriate leverage:
I use leverage responsibly, understanding its potential benefits and risks. I never exceed a leverage ratio that could expose my account to excessive risk. I am aware of the importance of managing leverage effectively.
8️⃣Thou shalt continuously educate thyself:
I understand the importance of ongoing education in forex trading. I regularly read books, attend webinars, and consult reliable sources to stay updated on new strategies, market trends, and economic factors.
9️⃣Thou shalt keep a trading journal:
I diligently maintain a trading journal to track my trades, strategies, and emotions. By reviewing past trades, I gain insights into my strengths and weaknesses, enabling me to refine my approach.
🔟Thou shalt not let emotions drive trading decisions:
I maintain emotional discipline when trading forex. Fear and greed can cloud judgment and lead to poor decisions. By staying rational and following my trading plan, I avoid emotional biases.
⏩Remember, forex trading requires patience, discipline, and a commitment to ongoing learning. By following these ten commandments, you can lay a strong foundation for a successful forex trading journey.
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🐼Mastering the Art of Forex Trading Strategies🐼
Key words:
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🐼The world of forex trading is as fascinating as it is dynamic. To thrive in this fast-paced market, developing a robust trading strategy is paramount. In this article, we will explore the key points that can help you identify and refine your trading strategy, bringing you closer to success.
🐼Identifying Market Trends:
Understanding market trends is crucial in making informed trading decisions. By analyzing moving averages, trend lines, and price patterns, you can identify the prevailing market direction and potential opportunities.
🐼Implementing Effective Risk Management Strategies:
Mitigating risks is a vital aspect of any trading strategy. Set appropriate stop-loss orders, determine suitable position sizes, and manage leverage wisely to protect your capital and minimize exposure to potential losses.
🐼Incorporating Technical Analysis Tools:
Technical analysis tools provide valuable insights into market behavior. Use oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought or oversold conditions, Fibonacci retracement levels to pinpoint support and resistance levels, and Bollinger Bands to gauge market volatility.
🐼Staying Informed about Market News and Economic Calendar Events:
Keeping up with the latest news and economic events can provide valuable context for your trading strategy. Monitor economic indicators such as GDP releases, central bank meetings, and geopolitical events to understand potential impacts on currency movements.
🐼Conclusion:
Crafting a successful forex trading strategy requires a comprehensive approach that covers market trend identification, risk management, technical analysis, and staying informed about market news. By incorporating these key points into your strategy, you can enhance your trading skills and increase your chances of long-term success in the forex market. Remember, forex trading is a continuous learning journey, so adapt and evolve your strategy as the market evolves.
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❌Trading Mystery: Why 95% Of You Will Fail❓
🟥The world of forex trading holds immense allure - the promise of financial freedom and the opportunity to make money from the comfort of your own home. However, it is no secret that the path to success in forex trading is treacherous, with estimates suggesting that a staggering 95% of traders fail to achieve their desired outcomes. So, what exactly goes wrong for these aspiring traders? Let us unlock the creative narrative behind this apparent mystery and delve into the reasons that prevent them from cracking the code.
♦️Lack of Proper Education:
Just as successful carpentry requires the right tools, so does forex trading. Many traders dive into the financial ocean without a true understanding of its currents, waves, and hidden dangers. They overlook the importance of acquiring comprehensive knowledge about markets, technical indicators, risk management, and strategies. Without a firm grasp of these essentials, traders unwittingly chart a course for disaster.
♦️Emotional Tempests:
Imagine being a captain of a ship, navigating treacherous waters while being plagued by anxiety and fear. Forex trading is not for the faint of heart. As the markets fluctuate, traders battle their own emotions, succumbing to impulses that lead to impulsive trading decisions. Greed, fear, and overconfidence can cloud judgment, causing traders to buy or sell impulsively rather than relying on calculated analysis. Emotion-driven trading inevitably leaves traders shipwrecked amidst the unforgiving tides of the forex market.
♦️Unforeseen Volatility:
The forex market is a living organism that reacts to an array of factors, from economic data to geopolitical events. These dynamics can send currency values into a frenzy, defying logic and leaving traders bewildered. Sudden fluctuations, unpredictable trends, or unexpected policy decisions can capsize even the most astute trading strategies. By underestimating volatility, traders find themselves drowning rather than riding the waves.
♦️Inadequate Risk Management:
Imagine moving forward without a life jacket while navigating choppy waters. This risky endeavor can lead to dire consequences, just like trading without proper risk management. Successful traders understand the importance of setting stop-loss orders, managing trade sizes, and allocating a portion of their capital to each trade. Those who disregard risk management find themselves sinking beneath the weight of their poor decisions.
♦️Overreliance on Automation:
In recent years, the rise of automated trading systems has piqued the interest of aspiring traders. While these algorithms can streamline processes and enhance efficiency, they are not a guarantee of success. Blindly relying on automation without understanding how it works or constantly monitoring its performance may result in unexpected losses. It is essential to strike a balance between human insight and technological support.
🟥The realm of forex trading is a captivating one, tantalizing traders with elusive riches. However, becoming part of the 5% who succeed requires diligence, perseverance, and a deep understanding of the whimsical nature of the market. One must embark on this journey by arming themselves with knowledge, taming their emotions, embracing volatility, implementing effective risk management, and balancing human intuition with automation. Only then can traders hope to navigate the tempestuous seas and emerge victorious in their pursuit of forex trading success.
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🛎Mastering Key Forex Fundamentals🛎
♦️Navigating the world of forex trading can be both thrilling and challenging. While it may seem overwhelming to keep track of all the complex factors that affect currency movements, some key fundamentals can significantly impact forex markets. In this article, we will discuss three essential forex fundamentals: non-farm payrolls, interest rates, and central bank policies, offering you a straightforward understanding of their significance and effects.
♦️Non-farm Payrolls:
One of the most influential economic indicators in forex trading is the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. Published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the NFP report reveals the number of jobs added or lost (excluding the farming sector) in the United States during the previous month.
▪️Why it matters:
The NFP report provides traders valuable insights into the strength of the U.S. economy. A higher-than-expected NFP figure indicates an expanding job market, economic growth, and potential currency strength. Conversely, if the NFP data disappoints, it suggests a weaker economy and can lead to currency depreciation.
♦️Interest Rates:
Interest rates play a crucial role in forex trading. They reflect the cost of borrowing in a particular country and influence investor behavior and currency values.
▪️Why it matters:
Changes in interest rates impact currency demand. When a central bank hikes interest rates, it attracts foreign investors seeking higher returns, leading to increased demand for the currency and potentially strengthening its value. Conversely, when rates are lowered, it may spur borrowing and economic growth, but can also result in currency devaluation due to decreased attractiveness for investors.
♦️Central Bank Policies:
Central banks are instrumental in forex markets due to the control they exert over monetary policies.
▪️Why it matters:
By adjusting interest rates, implementing quantitative easing measures, or intervening in currency markets, central banks can directly influence their nation's
currency value. Statements and speeches made by central bank officials can provide insight into their future monetary policy decisions, guiding forex traders' expectations.
♦️To master forex trading, a solid understanding of key fundamentals is essential. Factors such as non-farm payrolls, interest rates, and central bank policies carry significant weight and can lead to substantial currency movements. Familiarize yourself with economic indicators, monitor central bank actions and announcements, and always exercise caution and risk management when trading forex.
♦️Remember, successful trading requires continuous education, practice, and experience. Stay informed, adapt your strategies accordingly, and remain patient as you navigate the dynamic and exciting world of forex trading.
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Educational: Quick Read: Trading Mentors. Do you need them?When I first started trading seven years ago, I had this idea that I didn't need a trading mentor. I felt that it was "cool" to be able to say "I learned trading on my own; I had no mentors", but is this necessarily a good thing? Should traders think like this? Are trading mentors any good? Let's talk about it..
Trading mentors are seasoned traders who provide new or struggling traders with advice, encouragement, and feedback. They can aid traders in honing their abilities, methods, and mindsets as well as avoiding traps and errors that are frequently made. Do traders need a mentor, though? And where do they look for a good one?
The first question's response is based on the trader's objectives, character, and preferred method of learning. Some traders could like independent study, trial-and-error learning, books, classes, or online resources. Having a mentor who can offer individualized guidance, accountability, and motivation may be advantageous for others. Additionally, a mentor can assist traders in overcoming psychological obstacles like fear, greed, arrogance, or a lack of discipline.
Having a mentor, however, does not ensure success. Trading needs ongoing learning, adaptability, and self-improvement because it is a dynamic and complex activity. The trader must follow the path; a mentor can only show them the way. Additionally, a mentor may have limits, biases, or conflicts of interest that could skew their assessment or suggestions. Because of this, traders should seek inspiration and criticism from their mentors rather than mindlessly copying them.
How to locate a decent mentor is the second query. This can be difficult because there are many mentors out there who assert to know the keys to successful trading but may lack the credentials, expertise, or outcomes to support their claims. Some can even be con artists who demand exorbitant prices for inaccurate or damaging information. Trading professionals should exercise due diligence and investigate potential mentors' backgrounds, records, reputations, and testimonies to avoid falling for such mentors. They should seek for mentors who share their trading philosophy, style, and objectives and who can provide a concise, doable roadmap for their development.
Traders who desire to quicken their learning curve and accomplish their trading objectives may find trading mentors to be an invaluable resource. However, traders should use caution when selecting a mentor and should not use them to replace their own diligence, investigation, and analysis.
Note:
💠Do not mistake people selling trading courses for trading mentors. Very often, individuals selling courses are selling you a system and are not actually mentoring anyone. Due to the size of their following, it is not possible for them to really mentor anyone. A true mentor is someone who will be able to walk you through the process, and you'll have direct access to them for a personalized learning experience.
💠Verified track record: It is industry standard to provide at least six months of consistency, preferably at least a year. If you are going to spend months learning from someone, you need to first verify that they actually know what they are doing.
✅The DO’S And DON’TS Of Risk Management❌
❤️Risk management is a crucial component of forex trading to help minimize potential losses. In this article, we’ll explore the do’s and don’ts of risk management in forex trading.
🧡DO’S
💁🏼♀️Set a stop-loss order: A stop-loss order is a pre-set level at which a trade will automatically close, thus limiting the loss on an open position.
💁🏼♀️Diversify your portfolio: Spread your investments across multiple currency pairs to avoid exposure to a single currency’s risks.
💁🏼♀️Use leverage wisely: Leverage allows traders to invest more than their account balance. However, it also increases the potential risk. Only trade with leverage if you fully understand how it works.
💁🏼♀️Keep an eye on economic events: Economic events can impact forex markets. Keeping a close eye on them can help you adjust your trading strategy accordingly and avoid unexpected losses.
💁🏼♀️Use risk-reward ratio: It is essential to have a clear risk-reward ratio in mind before entering a trade. This ratio should be based on your established trading strategy and the probability of success.
💙DON’TS
🙅🏼♀️Don’t invest more than you can afford to lose: This is a fundamental rule of investing in any financial market. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t let emotions drive your trading: Emotions such as fear, greed, and hope can lead to impulsive decisions and cause significant losses.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t ignore fundamental analysis: Fundamental analysis helps traders understand a country’s economic and political situation, which can significantly impact forex markets.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t follow the herd: It is essential to have your own trading strategy and stick to it. Following others' trades blindly can lead to significant losses.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t trade without a strategy: A trading strategy helps you make informed decisions and minimize the risks of trading. Not having a strategy can lead to impulsive decisions and significant losses.
🖤 In conclusion , risk management is a crucial component of forex trading. It is essential to follow the do’s and don’ts mentioned above to minimize potential losses and make informed decisions. Remember, successful trading comes with experience, discipline, and patience. Happy trading!
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Sideways Trend Example:
❗️Unleashing the Secrets of the Forex Market: Identifying Trends Made Easy❗️
💲As traders, one of the most essential skills is the ability to identify trends. In this article, we will embark on a journey to unravel the mysteries of the forex market trends like never before. So, fasten your seatbelts, get ready for an adventure, and let's dive in!
↗️The Smooth Sailing - Uptrends:
Picture yourself in a sailboat on a calm, sunny day, with the wind gently pushing you forward. This pleasant scenario beautifully represents an uptrend in the forex market. Uptrends occur when the price of a currency pair consistently increases over time. To identify an uptrend, keep an eye out for higher highs and higher lows on your price charts.
Uptrend Example:
↘️Rough Waters - Downtrends:
Now, let's transform our tranquil sailboat into a powerful vessel battling against fierce waves and gusty winds. Similar to this scenario, a downtrend indicates a series of declining prices in the forex market. To recognize a downtrend, look for lower lows and lower highs on your price charts.
Downtrend Example:
🔄The Eye of the Storm - Sideways Trends:
Imagine yourself caught in the eye of a storm, where the winds calm down, and the waves become gentle ripples. This serene moment perfectly mimics a sideways trend in the forex market. Sideways trends occur when the price moves within a relatively tight range, lacking a clear direction. To spot a sideways trend, locate horizontal support and resistance levels, and observe price movements bouncing between them.
Sideways Trend Example:
📊Interpreting the Elements - Indicators:
Just as sailors use compasses and maps to navigate the open seas, traders have powerful tools at their disposal to identify trends in the forex market. Technical indicators, such as Moving Averages, MACD, and RSI, provide valuable insights by analyzing past price data. These indicators can help confirm and strengthen your trend analysis.
📈The Art of Patience - Confirming Trends:
Sometimes, identifying trends in the forex market can feel like searching for a needle in a haystack. Therefore, it is crucial to exercise patience before jumping into trades. Waiting for confirmation is vital to avoid false signals. Look for multiple indicators aligning with your identified trend before making any decisions.
💹Riding the Waves - Trend Trading Strategies:
Once you've identified a trend in the forex market, it's time to ride the waves and potentially profit from it. Trend trading strategies involve jumping on board during an established trend and holding positions until signs of a reversal appear. By keeping emotions in check and adhering to risk management principles, you can increase your chances of success in trend trading.
🧠Conclusion:
Navigating the vast and ever-changing forex market can seem like an exhilarating adventure. By mastering the art of trend identification, you hold the key to unlocking potential profits. Remember, whether you're sailing through uptrends, weathering downtrends, or calmly cruising sideways trends, a combination of technical indicators, confirmation, and patience should guide your decision-making. So embrace the wonder of the forex market, and may your trend-spotting skills be forever sharp!
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Types of market days that every trader should be aware of!
Hello traders, today we will talk about Types of market days
Some crucial aspects significantly influence technical analysis. The type of the market day is one of those crucial elements. Any trader who is actively trading in stocks, indices, cryptocurrencies, forex, derivatives, etc. may gain an advantage by properly analysing the type of market day.
Today, we'll talk about "6 different types of days" that could occur in the market. Please be aware that the six days differ greatly from one another. These patterns are not inviolate, thus they should only be used as a general indicator rather than a precise one for any given trade.
Types of market days:
# Trend day
# Double distribution trend day
# Typical day
# Expanded typical day
# Trading range day
# Sideways day
#Trend Day
The 'Trend day' is typically a volatile trading day with a definite bullish or negative momentum. On a day with a positive trend, the beginning candle typically represents the day's bottom, and the market subsequently slowly rises throughout the day. The day's high is typically marked by the opening candle on days with a negative trend, and the market then progressively decreases during the day.
Typically, a quiet day with range-bound movements comes before the trend day. Gives the possibility of a significant reward if correctly identified. Rarely, perhaps only a few times every month, do such trending days occur.
#Double distribution trend day
The 'Double distribution trend day' is a slightly complicated but incredibly effective strategy for executing aggressive trades. Because of this, institutions and experienced traders make extensive use of this method.
It is typically distinguished by being undecided at the start of the session. On a day like this, the market first moves in a narrow range. An initial balance is another name for it. The reference points are the initial balance high (IBH) and initial balance low (IBL). The day of the Double Distribution trend is quiet to start. The price eventually moves away from this range and tends in the direction of a new value, driven by buyers or sellers. When the market's momentum has subsided, another range-bound movement develops.Due to the fact that the majority of trading activity takes place at either extreme, this is where the phrase "Double Distribution trend day" originates.
Wide initial balances are more difficult to break than narrow initial balances.
#Typical Day
It is distinguished by a significant rise or fall at the start of the trading day. It might be a reaction to any significant macroeconomic news. Then, by adopting opposing positions, the market participants drive the price back in the opposite direction. The market simply trades within the range it generated earlier in the trading session when a broad range was formed in a relatively short period of time.
#Expanded Typical Day
It resembles that of the 'Typical Day' that was previously addressed. The beginning balance is not as large as on a "Typical Day," but the early price fluctuation is less erratic. This gives market participants the chance to break this constrained range. When this range is violated, either by an increase in selling pressure or purchasing pressure, the market then moves strongly in that direction.
The initial balance in this situation is greater than on a Double Distribution Trend Day but less than on a "Typical Day."
#Trading Range Day
Prices are being deliberately pushed up and down by buyers and sellers. Buyers and sellers who are responsive will try to enter at the extremes, driving prices back to the starting position. This kind of day offers both sides fantastic trading opportunities.
#Sideways Day
A "Sideways day" is one in which there is little movement in the price. As neither party makes any bold directional trades today, it is somewhat of a day of indecision for both parties. Option sellers typically enjoy trading on days like this since they can profit from time decay due to the non-directional, subdued action.
Although the Trading Range Day and the Sideways may appear to be identical, they differ greatly from one another. On a "Trading Range Day," both buyers and sellers are quite prevalent; however, this is not the case on a "Sideways Day."
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The Ups and Downs of Investment Risk: Navigating the Risk Level
👉🏻The world of investing can be a wild ride, full of twists and turns that can lead to either high gains or crushing losses. That’s why it’s important to understand the different risk levels that come with investing in various assets. Let’s explore the three main categories of investment risk levels: low, moderate, and high.
💹Low Risk
If you’re risk-averse and prefer a steady, predictable return on your investment, low-risk options are the way to go. These are investments with low volatility and minimal chance of losing money.
💹Moderate Risk
If you’re willing to take a bit more risk for potentially higher returns, moderate-risk investments might be a good fit for you. These typically have a higher volatility rate, but still have a good chance of earning a positive return in the long run.
💹High Risk
For those willing to take on the highest level of investing risk in search of the highest returns, high-risk investments might be worth considering. These have the highest potential for extreme highs and extreme lows with significant volatility.
👉🏻It’s important to note that each investor’s risk tolerance is different, and what might be a high-risk investment for one person could be a low-risk investment for another. So, when considering investment options, make sure to weigh both the potential rewards and the accompanying risks.
👉🏻In conclusion, investing involves a certain amount of risk, but understanding and balancing those risks can help you make informed decisions that align with your financial goals. Whether you opt for low, moderate, or high-risk investments, do your research and seek advice from financial professionals to determine which level of investing risk is right for you. Happy investing!
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Learn The Market Volatility | The Double-Edged Sword
Have you ever wondered why the certain trading instruments are very rapid while some our extremely slow and boring?
In this educational article, we will discuss the market volatility, how is it measured and how can it be applied for making smart trading and investing decisions.
📚 First, let's start with the definition. Market volatility is a degree of a fluctuation of the price of a financial instrument over a certain period of time.
High volatility reflects quick and significant rises and falls on the market, while low volatility implies that the price moves slowly and steadily.
High volatility makes it harder for the traders and investors to predict the future direction of the market, but also may bring substantial gains.
On the other hand, a low volatility market is much easier to predict, but the potential returns are more modest.
The chart on the left is the perfect example of a volatile market.
While the chart on the right is a low volatility market.
📰 The main causes of volatility are economic and geopolitical events.
Political and economic instability, wars and natural disasters can affect the behavior of the market participants, causing the chaotic, irrational market movements.
On the other hand, the absence of the news and the relative stability are the main sources of a low volatility.
Here is the example, how the Covid pandemic affected GBPUSD pair.
The market was falling in a very rapid face in untypical manner, being driven by the panic and fear.
But how the newbie trader can measure the volatility of the market?
The main stream way is to apply ATR indicator, but, working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe, I realized that for them such a method is complicated.
📏 The simplest way to assess the volatility of the market is to analyze the price action and candlesticks.
The main element of the volatile market is occasional appearance of large candlestick bars - the ones that have at least 4 times bigger range than the average candles.
Sudden price moves up and down are one more indicator of high volatility. They signify important shifts in the supply and demand of a particular asset.
Take a look at a price action and candlesticks on Bitcoin.
The market moves in zigzags, forming high momentum bullish and bearish candles. These are the indicators of high volatility.
🛑 For traders who just started their trading journey, high volatility is the red flag.
Acting rapidly, such instruments require constant monitoring and attention. Moreover, such markets require a high level of experience in stop loss placement because one single high momentum candle can easily hit the stop loss and then return to entry level.
Alternatively, trading a low volatility market can be extremely boring because most of the time it barely moves.
The best solution is to look for the market where the volatility is average, where the market moves but on a reasonable scale.
Volatility assessment plays a critical role in your success in trading. Know in advance, the degree of a volatility that you can tolerate and the one that you should avoid.
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👻The Movers and Shakers: Meet the Big Forex Players👻
🍀The forex market is a dynamic and complex marketplace, with billions of dollars changing hands every day. At the center of this volatile financial landscape are a handful of key players who wield immense power and influence over the direction of global currencies. In this article, we'll introduce you to some of the biggest and most influential forex market players.
🌸The Central Banks: "We set the tone for the entire forex market."
Perhaps the most important forex market players are the world's central banks. These powerful institutions have the ability to control the supply and demand of their respective currencies, through interest rate policies and other monetary maneuvers. Whenever a central bank makes a move, traders around the world sit up and take notice.
🌺The Big Banks: "We are the gatekeepers of the forex market."
Big banks are another major group of forex market players, and they play a critical role in providing liquidity to the market itself. These institutions act as intermediaries, buying and selling currencies on behalf of their clients and helping to facilitate trades between different market players.
🌼Hedge Funds and Trading Firms: "We thrive on volatility and uncertainty."
Hedge funds and trading firms are a relatively new entrant to the forex market, but they have quickly become some of the most important players. These firms are often staffed by experienced traders and analysts who use complex algorithms and trading strategies to capitalize on short-term market movements.
🌹In conclusion, the forex market is a complex and ever-evolving landscape, but understanding the key players involved can help investors and traders make more informed decisions. Whether you're following the moves of central banks, working with big banks, or leveraging the insights of hedge funds and trading firms, the forex market is full of opportunities for those who are willing to take the risk.
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CANDLESTICK PATTERNS CHART SHEETCandlestick patterns need to be one of your trading arsenal's most effective weapons. We can determine the direction of the market using several candlestick patterns. All timeframes exhibit these patterns, but the daily candlestick patterns seem to be the most reliable.
Once you recognize these patterns, you may be ready for your next move and use other tools to join the market, including the previously discussed MA approach and flag patterns (see attached charts). This chart is just for information
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