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AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.657. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.656 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
GBP/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! Bullish trend on GBP/USD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 1.324. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Is the Aussie Awakening a Mirage?The Australian Dollar is staging a formidable recovery, driven by a stark divergence in central bank leadership and shifting geopolitical tides. As the pair approaches the critical 0.6600 resistance, we analyze the multi-domain factors fueling this ascent. Geopolitics & Geostrategy: The Stability Premium Global capital is currently re-evaluating the "safety" premium. The US grapples with political gridlock and government shutdown threats. Meanwhile, Australia presents a geostrategic anchor in the Asia-Pacific. The AUD is benefiting from a "stability premium" as investors rotate out of the uncertainty plaguing the US Dollar. Furthermore, renewed hopes for European peace deals have buoyed global risk sentiment. This shift disproportionately benefits high-beta currencies like the AUD over the safe-haven USD. Management & Leadership: Bullock vs. Powell The divergence in governance between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve drives this trend. RBA Governor Michele Bullock displays assertive leadership, maintaining a hawkish stance to combat sticky inflation. In contrast, the Federal Reserve appears reactive, with markets pricing in a high chance of a December rate cut. This leadership contrast—steadfastness versus capitulation is steering capital flows toward the AUD. Industry Trends & Innovation: The Infrastructure Boom A hidden driver of the AUD’s resilience is a surge in high-tech infrastructure. Q3 GDP data revealed that while household consumption slowed, private investment surged 2.9%. This growth relies heavily on machinery, equipment, and renewable energy projects. This is not just a mining story anymore; it is an infrastructure evolution. Tangible capital expenditure in technology sectors provides a structural floor for the currency that speculative flows cannot match. Macroeconomics: The Two-Speed Economy Australia currently exhibits a classic "two-speed" economy. The consumer sector softens under the weight of cost-of-living pressures, yet the business sector aggressively expands capacity. The 0.4% GDP growth missed forecasts, yet the currency rallied. The reason is simple: sticky inflation forces the RBA to keep rates higher for longer. In a world where the US cuts rates, Australia’s high-yield status acts as a powerful magnet. Business Models: Intellectual Property of Policy Metaphorically, the RBA holds the "patent" on credible inflation targeting in 2025. Other central banks pivot prematurely, but the RBA’s refusal to cut rates preserves the integrity of their monetary policy. This adherence to mandate over market pressure creates a predictable business environment for foreign investors. It distinguishes the AUD as a currency of yield and integrity in a volatile G10 landscape. Technical Analysis: The Battle Lines The AUD/USD has executed a V-shaped recovery, bouncing from key support. The pair is now confronting the 2022 trendline at 0.6592/98. * Bullish Case: A weekly close above 0.6598 invalidates the bearish trend. This opens the door to 0.6651 * and 0.6723 . * Bearish Case: Failure here triggers a potential "Head and Shoulders" pattern. This targets a retest of 0.6453 . * Algorithmic Insight: High-frequency traders likely target this specific trendline collision. Expect volatility as human conviction battles automated resistance. Final Verdict: The fundamental backdrop favors the bulls due to the RBA/Fed policy divergence. However, the technical barrier at 0.6600 is formidable. Traders must watch for a confirmed breakout before chasing this rally further.
Long
by the5erstrading
AUD/JPY Market Outlook: Bullish Structure Still Intact AUD/JPY 🦘🇦🇺 vs 🇯🇵💴 | Bullish Kijun Pullback + LAYERED ENTRY Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀 TRADE OPPORTUNITY: BULLISH CONFIRMED AUD/JPY is showing a strong bullish structure, with the price respecting the HULL moving average as dynamic support. We are looking for a pullback to layered demand zones for high-probability entries. 📈 TRADE PLAN: "THIEF" LAYERED LIMIT ORDER STRATEGY This plan uses a multi-limit order ("layer") approach to average into the trend. Entry Zones (Buy Limit Orders): Layer 1: 101.500 Layer 2: 101.800 Layer 3: 102.000 Layer 4: 102.300 (You can add more layers based on your capital & risk) 👉 Entry Logic: Any price action confirmation (bullish engulfing, pin bar) at these levels adds confluence. ⛔ RISK MANAGEMENT (KEY TO SURVIVAL) Stop Loss (Consolidated): Below swing low @ 101.000. ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY strategic SL. YOU MUST adjust your stop loss based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and strategy. Protect your capital first! 🎯 PROFIT TARGETS Primary Target: 103.800 (Major resistance zone, prior structure, and potential overbought trap area). 💡 Smart Tip: Consider scaling out profits on the way up (e.g., at 102.800, 103.300) to secure risk-free trades. ⚠️ REMINDER: Take profits based on YOUR plan. Price may reverse early or extend further. Manage your trade actively. 🔍 RELATED PAIRS & MARKET CORRELATION (CRUCIAL FOR CONTEXT) Watching these pairs helps confirm the broader trend and risk sentiment: OANDA:AUDUSD & OANDA:NZDUSD (Risk Gauges): Key Point: Strong AUD/USD supports a bullish AUD/JPY view. Weakness here may limit AUD/JPY upside. FX:USDJPY & NASDAQ:JPY Index (JPY Strength): Key Point: JPY is the funding currency. Broad JPY weakness (USDJPY ↑) is BULLISH for AUD/JPY. Watch for BoJ intervention rumors. FOREXCOM:SPX500 or FX:US30 (Global Risk Sentiment): Key Point: AUD/JPY is a RISK-ON pair. Rising stock markets typically fuel AUD/JPY rallies. A market sell-off could trigger safe-haven JPY buying, hurting this trade. NASDAQ:IRON & CAPITALCOM:COPPER (AUD Commodity Driver): Key Point: Strong commodity prices (Iron Ore/Copper) are fundamentally bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD). 📊 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE (Why This Works): Trend: Higher Highs & Higher Lows on Daily/4H. Support: HULL MA + Previous Swing Lows. Strategy: Layered entries improve average price and reduce emotional trading. 👍 LIKE & FOLLOW if you find this detailed guide helpful! 🔔 Turn on notifications for my next "Thief Layer Strategy" update. 💬 Comment below with your entry level or questions! #AUDJPY #Forex #TradingView #TradingIdea #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Ichomoku #Kijun #RiskManagement #LayerStrategy #ThiefStrategy #FX #AUD #JPY #TechnicalAnalysis
by The-Thief
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+ Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry Market snapshot At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1. The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area. On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly. Volume Profile & key price areas The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys. A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly. Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term. Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile) Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile). Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions. Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order. Immediate targets: TP1: area 4,240–4,245 TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase". If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle. Defensive scenario – Deep support If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch. Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip". Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave. YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role. Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening. Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs. The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
6
CHFJPY Momentum Rebuilding — Pullback Zone Favors Buyers🔥 CHF/JPY “SWISSY vs YEN” | BULLISH SWING PLAN + LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY 🔥 👋 Hello Traders & “Thief OGs”! Welcome to a detailed swing trade setup on CHF/JPY – a unique Forex pair combining safe-haven & funding currencies. Below is a clear, actionable plan designed for visibility, engagement, and – most importantly – clarity. 📈 TRADE IDEA OVERVIEW Asset: CHFJPY | Swissy vs Yen Bias: Bullish | Confirmed via Hull Moving Average Pullback Style: Swing Trade | Medium-term momentum play Entry Strategy: Layered Limit Orders (Thief Strategy) 🎯 ENTRY PLAN – “THIEF LAYERING METHOD” 📊 Use multiple Buy Limit orders to scale into the trade smoothly: 1st Layer: 192.500 2nd Layer: 193.000 3rd Layer: 193.500 ✅ Tip: You can add more layers based on your capital & risk tolerance. ⛔ STOP LOSS – RISK MANAGEMENT 🛑 Initial SL: 192.000 ⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OGs & traders – adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk. I don’t recommend using only my SL. Manage your trade, protect your capital. 🏁 TAKE PROFIT – EXIT STRATEGY 🎯 Primary Target: 197.500 Why here? This zone acts as: Police barricade resistance Overbought + trap zone – exit smoothly with profits 📢 Remember: Take profits based on your own analysis & comfort. I don’t recommend using only my TP. 🔍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & KEY CORRELATIONS Monitoring related pairs can confirm or contradict this CHF/JPY move: USD/CHF ( OANDA:USDCHF ) Inverse correlation with CHF/JPY (if USD weakens, CHF often strengthens). Key level breaks here can signal CHF momentum. USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ) Positive correlation with CHF/JPY (both involve JPY as funding currency). Watch for BoJ interventions or USD strength affecting JPY broadly. EUR/CHF ( OANDA:EURCHF ) Indicates CHF strength vs Euro – if EUR/CHF falls, CHF may rally. SNLB policy influences this cross. GBP/JPY ( OANDA:GBPJPY ) Another JPY funding cross – often moves in sync with CHF/JPY during risk-on/off shifts. Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) Safe-haven flows can impact both CHF & JPY, but CHF often aligns closer with gold during uncertainty. 💡 WHY THIS IDEA IS ENGAGEMENT-FRIENDLY: ✅ Clear, layered entry – traders love actionable steps ✅ Risk disclaimer included – builds trust & encourages personal responsibility ✅ Related pairs added – encourages watchlist saves & broader discussion ✅ Emoji-optimized – improves readability & visual appeal in feed ✅ “Thief OG” community vibe – fosters belonging & comments 📢 CALL TO ACTION: 👉 Like if you find the plan useful! 👉 Follow for more layered-entry strategies! 👉 Comment your adjusted entry layers or SL/TP – let’s share insights! 👉 Share if you know someone trading CHF/JPY! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trades involve risk. The “Thief Strategy” requires strict risk management. Trade at your own discretion. #Forex #CHFJPY #Swissy #Yen #SwingTrading #TradingSetup #ForexStrategy #ThiefStrategy #LayerEntry #RiskManagement #TradingViewIdea
by The-Thief
Bullish rise?Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the swing high resistance. Pivot: 0.6537 1st Support: 0.6509 1st Resistance: 0.6611 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
Potential bullish bounce?Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.25 Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3180 1st Support: 1.31062 1st Resistance: 1.3317 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
Bullish bounce in play?Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance. Pivot: 1.1597 1st Support: 1.1548 1st Resistance: 1.1709 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
1
Bad US Data — Will EURUSD Seize the Chance to Surge?Hello everyone, today let’s take a look at the current movement of the EURUSD pair. Following recent news, we can see that the ADP and ISM US reports are expected to come in worse than before , putting pressure on the USD while the euro takes advantage of the momentum. When fundamentals lean toward selling the USD, every pullback on EURUSD naturally becomes an opportunity for buyers to step in. Looking at the chart, EURUSD is moving beautifully inside an uptrend channel , forming higher highs and higher lows . Price is respecting the lower boundary of the channel and bouncing strongly, showing that the bullish structure is still intact . The Ichimoku cloud lies below price , and price has broken above the cloud and held — a classic sign of a strong bullish market. The area around 1.1610 is a key support zone : aligned with the channel bottom, the Ichimoku cloud, and an area where price has reacted multiple times. As long as this level holds, any dip is simply a setup for the next leg up. The ideal scenario: price may fluctuate slightly around 1.1610–1.1630, then push upward to retest the resistance zone at 1.1680 — the natural target of the current uptrend channel. In summary, with bearish expectations for the USD and a technical structure that strongly supports the bulls, my priority remains buying on pullbacks , waiting for price to revisit 1.1610–1.1630 and aiming toward 1.1680, rather than fighting the bullish flow currently driving EURUSD upward.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
1
Bearish drop off?US Dollar index (DXY) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 99.54 1st Support: 98.62 1st Resistance: 100.28 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
TVC:DXYShort
by IC Markets
Gold completes its corrective phase and heads toward $4,250OANDA:XAUUSD is moving within a remarkably well-structured ascending channel, and the overall market structure clearly highlights the strength of the buying momentum. Each swing produces higher highs and higher lows, confirming that the bullish dynamic remains intact despite a few natural pauses along the way. The recent pullback looks more like a healthy technical breather than a sign of weakness, often the kind of pause that sets the stage for a new upward acceleration. The price is now approaching a key support zone, where the lower boundary of the channel aligns with a previously proven demand area. If the market reacts here, buyers could find a highly favorable re-entry opportunity that aligns perfectly with both the channel structure and the logic of the current trend. In that scenario, the natural upside target is around 4,250 dollars, a level that combines the channel’s midline with a historical resistance, giving even more weight to this objective. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the support zone and the ascending trendline. A decisive break below these levels would redefine the market context and open the door to a deeper correction, but for now, market conditions continue to favor long positions. Stay disciplined in your market reading, validate your setups carefully, and protect your capital with strict risk management. Good luck.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
3
Gold Moves Sideways Ahead of the FED DecisionGold continues to trade within an extremely tight range, even as the USD Index (DXY) stabilises around 99–100. This signals that pressure from the dollar is no longer as dominant as before, while safe-haven flows quietly circulate beneath the surface—especially as global equities soften and sentiment grows cautious ahead of the FED’s rate announcement this month. Everything now hinges on a single question: will the FED deliver its third rate cut of the year? If so, the USD is likely to weaken, and gold could benefit directly and even aggressively from the shift. On the 1H timeframe, gold remains sideways between 4,210–4,220 after retracing from 4,245–4,260. Notably, recent selling appears to come primarily from short-term profit-taking rather than genuine reversal pressure. The lower FVG zones at 4,185–4,195 and 4,160–4,170 continue to act as liquidity pockets where price may dip to gather momentum before following the prevailing trend. These areas have provided precise reactions in previous sessions and could again serve as springboards should gold pull back deeper. If gold holds 4,210 and shows a strong bullish response, a retest of 4,245 becomes highly likely, with a potential breakout above 4,260 toward the broader target near 4,285—the key high from November. Conversely, a clean break below 4,210 opens the path for price to drift naturally into the 4,185–4,195 FVG before buyers step in. In the broader structure, the short-term uptrend remains intact; current pullbacks are functioning as liquidity sweeps rather than structural breaks. With all of this in mind, my bias stays bullish. The 4,185–4,195 region is where I prefer looking for trend-aligned entries instead of chasing price near the 4,245–4,260 resistance, where sellers repeatedly wait. Should the FED deliver the dovish signal the market expects, gold could easily extend its upward trajectory in the sessions ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Momonoo
10
Bullish momentum to extend?AUD/USD has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support, and could rise from this level to our target profit. Entry: 0.6538 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 0.6502 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6612 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
Potential bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 156.32 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 157.56 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Take profit: 154.30 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage