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DASHUSDT: short setup from daily support at 40.63BINANCE:DASHUSDT.P is consolidating on the lower timeframe right above the level. This is a strong signal, although ideally, I would prefer to see at least one clear test (a price touch) of the level. However, perfect setups are rare, so I consider the overall situation very promising. On the Daily timeframe, the asset has been holding above support for 5 days, confirming the level multiple times. Given the general bearish trend of the market, we have all the prerequisites for a solid short trade. All that remains is to wait for the entry trigger. Key factors for this scenario: Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Prolonged consolidation Factors that contradict this scenario: Yesterday's bar closed far from the level Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
APTUSDT: short setup from daily support at 1.7416BINANCE:APTUSDT.P has approached a strong level at 1.7416. Today we are seeing a breakout attempt, but the lack of impulse suggests it might be a false break. However, we are also missing the sharp rejection (bounce) typical of a defended level. Instead, the price is "sawing" around the level. Therefore, it is prudent to either wait for a clear entry point from a newly formed local level or wait for the daily bar to close below the level and near its absolute low. Such a close would confirm price acceptance and the major players' intent to push the asset further down. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Correlation with the market No reaction after a false break Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Yesterday's bar closed far from the level Lack of consolidation near the level on the working lower timeframe Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
DYMUSDT: short setup from daily support at 0.08461BINANCE:DYMUSDT.P has been holding above the level for nearly a week, confirming it multiple times. Recently, we saw a test via a false breakout, followed by only a shallow correction, and now the price is approaching the support again. This weak reaction from buyers is a good signal. In my opinion, a solid short setup is forming here from the local level at 0.08399. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest No reaction after a false break Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
IRYSUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.030873BINANCE:IRYSUSDT.P is currently showing signs of market participants exiting positions accumulated pre-listing. The asset is hovering near a psychological mark — its listing price. For two days, the price has consolidated above this level, with all attempts to rally ending in failure, which, given the broader bearish trend across the crypto market, suggests the downtrend is likely to continue. To confirm this outlook, the formation of a solid pre-breakout base following at least one test of the level is essential. However, given the potential for sharp upward reversals in such scenarios, the specific character of price action right at the critical level remains the deciding factor before any potential breakdown. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Closing near the level Factors that contradict this scenario: Lack of consolidation Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
BINANCE:IRYSUSDT.PShort
by The_Traders_House
2
FOLKSUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 10.758BINANCE:FOLKSUSDT.P has a local level based on the low of a paranormal bar. The extremes of such bars serve as valid levels when confirmed. In this case, the level has been clearly confirmed by a recent touch followed by consolidation above it. If the asset shows low volatility on the 4H or 1H timeframes and closes near the lows, a short position can be considered with a target of approximately 4-to-1. Since the setup is local, the expected move will likely be local as well. Key factors for this scenario: Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Repeated precise tests of the level Consolidation with price compression Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Aggressive high-volatility approach Lack of consolidation Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
BINANCE:FOLKSUSDT.PShort
by The_Traders_House
ATUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.1910BINANCE:ATUSDT.P the asset experienced a sharp drop on the 25th and 26th. The attempt to recover on the 27th failed, confirming seller dominance. For three consecutive days, the price has been gradually compressing towards the local low, signaling buyer weakness. I expect a gradual approach to the level, a test, the formation of an entry setup (base), and a subsequent breakdown. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Liquidity grab (false move against the trend) Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Prolonged consolidation Consolidation with price compression (squeeze) Closing near the level Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
XRPUSD — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT (2D)XRP — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT Ticker: COINBASE:XRPUSD BITSTAMP:XRPUSD — 12/01/2025 @ 2.02$ Timeframe: 2D This is a reactive structural classification of XRPUSD based on the 2D chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive. ⸻ 1) Current Trend Condition • Trend Duration: +3 BARS (bearish) • Trend Reversal Level: 2.06$ • Trend Reversal Level ( Confirmation ): 2.26$ ⸻ 2) Structure Health • Retracement Phase: • Testing Structure (approaching 38.2% @ 1.64$) • Position Status: • Unstable (price below both structural layers) ⸻ 3) Temperature: Cooling Phase ⸻ 4) Momentum: Bearish ⸻ Author’s Note This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached. Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions. The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions. ⸻ Methodology Overview This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
COINBASE:XRPUSDShort
by GURULifeline
$SPX — WEEK 49 TREND REPORTSPX — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT Ticker: SP:SPX — 12/01/2025 @ 6812.63 Timeframe: WEEKLY This is a reactive structural classification of SPX based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive. ⸻ 1) Current Trend Condition • Trend Duration: +2 weeks (bullish) • Trend Reversal Level ( Origin ): 6,721 • Trend Reversal Level ( Confirmation ): 6,432 ⸻ 2) Structure Health Retracement Phase: • Uptrend (operating above 78.6%) Position Status: • Healthy (price above both structural layers) ⸻ 3) Temperature: Warming Phase ⸻ 4) Momentum: Bullish ⸻ 5) Market Sentiment: Bullish ⸻ Author’s Note This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached. Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions. The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions. ⸻ Methodology Overview This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
SP:SPXLong
by GURULifeline
Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_01-Dec to 5-Dec-25Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_01-Dec to 5-Dec-25 Nifty 26202 (26068- Last week) Long call ( Buy) was given six weeks before at 24896, Nifty crossed near to 1300 points. Quarterly results of companies are released and so far it have mixed - Postive results. Margins and revenue growth are major concern, Net profit being achieved by savings on employee cost and other savings. To be more cautious on picking the right stock and rebalance the portfolio. The stocks posted Moderate to Good Results have increased and taken the Nifty near to all time high. Last week, 9.2% GDP growth of Q2 was released and may created a positive sign in the market depsite trade deals issues. However overall, Tariffs deal will decide the future path till Dec - Jan for the Nifty. Since it is a Volatile situation SIP route or buy in multiple parcel route ( On Dips) with a goal of 3-5 years will workout. US Trade deal, 1st Feb budget and reforms if any will decide Nifty's path. US trade deal not being signed may create a worry for the market. Some of the stocks to watchout given last week are Warree Energies, HDFC AMC, NMDC, Apar, Sharda Crop, VRL Logistics, krishna Phos chem, Cipla, Dr Reddy, Natco ( Buy on Dip as still there is negative trend), Apl Apollo Tubes, Muthoot Finance ( On Dips) , tata Steel ( Contra Stock due to Business Cycle), Bank of Mah, BPCL, CG Power, hero motor, shriram finance. Shared for Analysis purpose only. Dr Reddy, shriram fin, natco pharma, Hero moto corp,Muthoot Finance have already given more than 10% return in this 1 month. Add NRB Bearings to the list. The strategy continued to be long and use the opportunity to buy on dips similar to SIP. Current Short Term Resistance 26270 ( all time high). It need to break the resistance 26270 decisively to move up to 27000 target in med-long term. As RSI is up more than 80% for more than two weeks, room to go higher will be less in short term. Nifty Short Term Supports ( Multiple Supports are there between 25000-25500): 26000 25670 (Jun 2025 High) 25360-25420 ( Sep high and trendline support as shown in chart) 25300-25350 (Two Fibonacci resistance shown ) - Major Support Hence 25300- 25420 acts as major short term support. 25500 ( 25441 Sep 18th 2025 High ) 25450 ( 25442 is the Aug 2025 high) 25200 ( 25154 Aug 2025 high) 25000 ( Milestone) Short Term Resistance 1.26269 ( All time High) 2. 26500 Medium Term Support: 1.24700 (Trend Line as shown) 2. 24000-24170 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 24116 & 24171 as shown) 3. 23500-23700 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 23608 & 23707 as shown) 2. 23000 Medium Term Resistance: 1.27000 ( Need to decisively break 26269 all time high) This resistance is based on Fibonacci resistance at 27034 Long term resistance: 1.28000 ( Need to decisively break and move up 27000)This resistance is based on Fibonacci resistance at 28106 Long Term Support 1.22700-23000 ( Trend line and Mar 2024 High) 2.Big support at 20000 (Sep 2023 high)
NSE:NIFTYLong
by karthikss
FUBO 1D is testing investor patienceFUBO is testing investor patience, yet it looks like a recovery candidate FUBO is once again testing the major daily support zone between 2.90 and 3.00. This area is confirmed by rising volumes on pullbacks, consistent buyer reactions and a developing bullish divergence on oscillators. Recent price behavior suggests stabilization and the early phase of accumulation. The first confirmation of strength will appear after a breakout and close above 3.72. This level is the nearest structural resistance. Once price holds above it, the targets at 4.39 and 4.72 become active. As long as price stays above the support between 2.90 and 3.00, the primary scenario remains bullish. FuboTV operates in the sports streaming segment. Recent results show revenue growth, rising average revenue per user and strengthening subscriber retention. The company continues to optimize expenses and expand partnerships across the sports broadcast ecosystem. Demand for live sports content remains strong which supports long term fundamentals. As long as the support holds, the idea of a reversal base remains valid. A breakdown below 2.90 and 3.00 would open the door to deeper correction, yet the combination of volume and divergence signals increases the probability of a recovery. Markets often whisper before they shout. The reaction at this support suggests that buyers are already preparing their voice.
NYSE:FUBOLong
by TotoshkaTrades
6
Gold Market Outlook: Key Levels & US Economic Events | Nov 24–28In this video, I share my personal take on the gold market. Watch to gain: ✅Clarity on potential gold price moves for the coming week ✅Highlighting key levels to watch ✅Perspective on market sentiment amid consolidation and trendline activity ✅Understanding of how U.S. economic events like the PPI and Retail Sales could influence gold ✅Actionable context for observing price behaviour and making informed decisions Check the comment section throughout the week for real-time updates as I monitor price action.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
DOTUSDT:short setup from daily support at 2.246BINANCE:DOTUSDT.P looks almost ideal for a short scenario. The only downside is that we've seen two false breakouts already, although, on the flip side, this confirms the strength of the level. Overall, we have a local level with no obstacles to the downside since 10.10.25 — a day that essentially "cleared" the chart. Right now, a solid pre-breakout base is forming directly above the level. There is no buy reaction to the test, which signals seller strength. If volatility remains low, this could turn out to be an easy and technical short. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Liquidity grab (false move against the trend) Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest No reaction after a false break Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_24-Nov to 28-Nov-25Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_24-Nov-25 to 25-Nov-25 Nifty 26068 Long call ( Buy) was given five weeks before at 24896, Nifty crossed near to 1000 points. Long buy Call was reiterated two weeks before after a dip, with buy on dip for medium to long term perspective. Quarterly results of companies are being released and so far it have mixed - Postive results. Margins and revenue growth are major concern, Net profit being achieved by savings on employee cost and other savings. To be more cautious on picking the right stock and rebalance the portfolio. Overall, Tariffs deal will decide the future path till Dec - Jan for the Nifty. Since it is a Volatile situation SIP route or buy in multiple parcel route with a goal of 3-5 years will workout. US Trade deal, 1st Feb budget and reforms if any will decide Nifty's path. Some of the stocks to watchout given last week are Warree Energies, HDFC AMC, NMDC, Apar, Sharda Crop, VRL Logistics, krishna Phos chem, Cipla, Dr Reddy, Natco ( Buy on Dip as still there is negative trend), Apl Apollo Tubes, Muthoot Finance ( On Dips) , tata Steel ( Contra Stock due to Business Cycle), Bank of Mah, BPCL, CG Power, hero motor, shriram finance. Shared for Analysis purpose only. Dr Reddy, shriram fin, natco pharma, Hero moto corp,Muthoot Finance have already given more than 10% return in this 1 month. The strategy continued to be long and use the opportunity to buy on dips similar to SIP. Current Short Term Resistance 26270 ( all time high). It need to break the resistance 26270 decisively to move up to 27000 target in med-long term. As RSI is up more than 80% for more than two weeks, room to go higher will be less in short term. Nifty Short Term Supports ( Multiple Supports are there between 25000-25500): 26000 25670 (Jun 2025 High) 25360-25420 ( Sep high and trendline support as shown in chart) 25300-25350 (Two Fibonacci resistance shown ) - Major Support Hence 25300- 25420 acts as major short term support. 25500 ( 25441 Sep 18th 2025 High ) 25450 ( 25442 is the Aug 2025 high) 25200 ( 25154 Aug 2025 high) 25000 ( Milestone) Short Term Resistance 1.26098 ( Recent two week high) 2.26269 ( All time High) Medium Term Support: 1.24700 (Trend Line as shown) 2. 24000-24170 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 24116 & 24171 as shown) 3. 23500-23700 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 23608 & 23707 as shown) 2. 23000 Medium Term Resistance: 1.27000 ( Need to decisively break 26269 all time high) This resistance is based on Fibonacci resistance at 27034 Long term resistance: 1.28000 ( Need to decisively break and move up 27000)This resistance is based on Fibonacci resistance at 28106 Long Term Support 1.22700-23000 ( Trend line and Mar 2024 High) 2.Big support at 20000 (Sep 2023 high)
NSE:NIFTYLong
by karthikss
BTC.D 4H – Market Structure OutlookHi fellow traders, On the 4H BTC Dominance chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a directional scenario for the broader crypto market. After completing the recent downward leg, I expect dominance to move higher in three waves, forming a corrective structure before the larger continuation to the downside can resume. This is not a trade setup, but a structural roadmap to understand how capital may rotate across the crypto market. As long as BTC.D remains below the invalidation level at 61.32%, my expectation is that dominance will eventually turn lower with TP1, TP2, and TP3 as the downside objectives - signalling increasing strength for ALTcoins. If dominance breaks above the invalidation level, this scenario is no longer valid. Good luck and trade safe!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by OGwavetrader
2
ETCUSDT.P:short setup from daily support 13.425BINANCE:ETCUSDT.P is dropping alongside Bitcoin. Currently, the price has hit a strong level and started "grinding" it. While this is typically a messy signal, there is structure within this chop, as a clear local level has formed at 13.425, offering a potential short setup. Although the asset has already covered a significant range today, I am keeping it on watch. If the price continues to consolidate tightly without pulling away, or if we see a weak correction followed by a smooth re-approach, I will await my entry trigger. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Prolonged consolidation No reaction after a false break Factors that contradict this scenario: Exhaustive move (approaching from afar) Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
1
BTCSince my first forecast regarding the BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P decline 2 months ago, the asset has dropped by 27%. As of today, my global outlook on the market remains bearish. The first significant target is 78,200.2. Once reached, it will be necessary to assess the character of the price movement there. While we move toward this target, the entire market will also likely head down. This creates excellent opportunities to profit, as the market is moving rather than standing still. Subscribe to not miss updates.
Short
by The_Traders_House
XMRUSDT: short setup from daily support at 353.53BINANCE:XMRUSDT.P is respecting the 353.53 level very well. Yesterday we saw two bounces, with the correction getting smaller each time. Throughout today, we've seen consolidation above the level with a gradual drift lower. This is a good signal: it suggests the seller is confidently and calmly moving the price in their direction, absorbing the buyers' limit orders along the way. If this type of price action continues right up to the level — that’s ideal. If volatility spikes, it spoils the picture a bit, and we’ll have to watch how the price behaves after the volatility settles. Key factors for this scenario: Volatility contraction on approach Momentum stall at the level Immediate retest Repeated precise tests of the level Consolidation with price compression Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Heavy congestion zone ahead Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
GOLD BOUNCES FROM $4,000 - FOMC MINUTES TODAY!💰 GOLD BOUNCES FROM $4,000 - FOMC MINUTES TODAY! 📈 Current Price: $4,085 - $4,090 🟢 Opening Price: $4,079 Yesterday's Close: $4,066 (+0.56%) Today's Performance: +0.56% ✅ Status: 🟢 RECOVERY MODE - CRITICAL DAY 🚨 MAJOR EVENT TODAY - FOMC MINUTES! ⚡ THE $4,000 SUPPORT HELD! Gold successfully defended the critical psychological level and is now bouncing. But TODAY is the most important day this week! What's Happening: ✅ $4,000 Support HELD - Bulls defended successfully! ✅ Morning Star Pattern Formed - Bullish reversal signal at support ✅ FOMC Minutes TODAY - Will determine next major move ✅ NFP Data Thursday - First post-shutdown jobs report ✅ Risk-Off Sentiment - Safe-haven flows supporting gold ✅ Expected to RISE - Analysts forecast upward movement 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Market Structure: BULLISH RECOVERY 🟢🟢 Gold has bounced off the ascending trendline AND the $4,000 psychological level - a DOUBLE support confluence! Bulls are back in control short-term. Key Development: Bulls managed to hold psychological level of $4,005 and formed Morning Star pattern indicating renewed buying activity Critical Support Levels (Defended!) 🔵 Support 1: $4,050 - $4,060 (Current base - Strong) Support 2: $4,000 - $4,005 (HELD! Psychological + Trendline) Support 3: $3,987 - $4,002 (November open) Support 4: $3,965 (November 6 low) Support 5: $3,930 (Major support) Key Resistance Levels (Recovery targets) 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,096 - $4,100 (KEY - 50-day MA + Descending trendline) Resistance 2: $4,112 - $4,120 (20-day SMA - Strong) Resistance 3: $4,140 - $4,150 (Major barrier) Resistance 4: $4,170 - $4,212 (Previous descending trendline) 📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS RSI (14): 49 (Neutral - Can move either direction) ⚪ MACD: Rising sharply, approaching zero line (Bullish momentum!) 🟢 MFI: Growing - Liquidity inflow into asset ✅ 4H RSI: Bounced up but below 50 (Recovery attempt) ⚡ Moving Averages: Price broke above 100-day MA ✅ Testing 50-day MA at $4,096 🔴 20-day SMA at $4,112 (Resistance) 🔴 Above ascending trendline ✅ VWAP & SMA20: Aligned with market price - Equilibrium between buyers/sellers 🎯 TODAY'S TRADING STRATEGIES SCENARIO 1: BULLISH BREAKOUT 🟢 (60% Probability) On November 20, 2025, price of XAU/USD expected to RISE IF Gold Breaks Above $4,100: Break of descending trendline and 50-day MA around $4,096 could open rally toward $4,212 LONG Setup: Entry: Break and close above $4,100-$4,112 Targets: TP1: $4,140 📍 (+40 pips) TP2: $4,170 📍 (+70 pips) TP3: $4,212 📍 (+112 pips - Previous trendline touch) Stop Loss: $4,065 (Below support) Risk/Reward: Excellent 1:3+ ratio ✅ SCENARIO 2: FALSE BREAKOUT / REJECTION 🔴 (30% Probability) IF Gold Gets Rejected at $4,096-$4,112: Bulls tried but failed - retest of support coming SHORT Setup (Scalp): Entry: Rejection at $4,100-$4,112 (confirmed with bearish candle) Targets: TP1: $4,065 📍 TP2: $4,050 📍 TP3: $4,000 📍 (Retest) Stop Loss: $4,125 (Tight!) ⚠️ WARNING: This is counter-trend - use small positions! SCENARIO 3: FOMC VOLATILITY 📊 (10% Probability) IF FOMC Minutes Cause Whipsaw: Strategy: WAIT for Clear Direction Let the dust settle after FOMC release Trade the REACTION, not the news Entry: After 30-60 minutes of FOMC release Follow the momentum with trend 💎 BEST TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Highly Recommended!) 🎯 WAIT FOR FOMC MINUTES! Don't trade BEFORE the release. Setup A - Breakout Play (Preferred): WAIT for FOMC minutes (Today, US session) IF gold breaks $4,100-$4,112 with volume Entry: $4,105-$4,112 (after confirmation) Target: $4,140 → $4,170 → $4,212 SL: $4,080 Why: Riding institutional momentum Setup B - Dip Buy: IF gold pulls back to $4,050-$4,060 Entry: $4,052-$4,060 (on bounce) Target: $4,100 → $4,120 SL: $4,035 ⚠️ DO NOT TRADE during first 30 min after FOMC release! Wait for clarity! 🌍 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS TODAY'S MAJOR EVENTS 📅 🔥 FOMC MINUTES (US Session - CRITICAL!) This is THE event today. Will show: Fed's thinking on December rate cut Concerns about economy post-shutdown Inflation outlook Market waiting for FOMC Minutes release and speech by Fed member John Williams Thursday: NFP Data (First post-shutdown report) September NFP expected: +50,000 jobs Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (forecast) This could be market-moving! BULLISH FACTORS ⬆️⬆️ ✅ $4,000 Support Held - Technical strength confirmed ✅ Morning Star Pattern - Bullish reversal at support ✅ Risk-Off Sentiment - Stocks falling, gold rising ✅ Softer Treasury Yields - Making gold more attractive ✅ Shutdown Concerns - Economic weakness = gold support ✅ Analysts predict gold may reach $4,456-$4,509 by end November ✅ Central banks targeting 750-900 tonnes purchases for 2025 BEARISH RISKS ⬇️ ⚠️ Hawkish FOMC - If minutes show Fed reluctant to cut rates ⚠️ Strong NFP Thursday - Would reduce rate cut odds ⚠️ Resistance at $4,100-$4,112 - Strong technical barrier ⚠️ December Rate Cut Odds - Only 43% (down from 63%) ⚠️ DXY Still Above 99.50 - Dollar maintaining strength 🔥 MARKET SENTIMENT: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH What's Different Today: The $4,000 level held perfectly - this is VERY bullish technically. But FOMC minutes could change everything in minutes! Analyst Views: Short-term (Today/Tomorrow): $4,000 held, bulls need acceptance above $4,100 for rally to gather steam. FOMC minutes will determine direction. This Week: Critical - FOMC + NFP data will set tone for rest of November Month End: IF recovery continues → $4,200-$4,300 possible IF rejected at $4,100 → Chop between $4,000-$4,100 💡 PROFESSIONAL GAME PLAN For DAY TRADERS: ⚡ Wait for FOMC! Do NOT trade 1 hour before release Do NOT trade first 30 min after release After dust settles, trade the direction Use tight stops (whipsaws common) For SWING TRADERS: 📊 This is Your Setup! IF $4,100 breaks with FOMC → GO LONG (hold 3-5 days to $4,170+) IF rejected at $4,100 → WAIT for next dip to $4,000 Target: $4,212 (1-2 week hold) For LONG-TERM INVESTORS: 💎 Accumulation Zone $4,000-$4,080 range is BUYING opportunity Long-term targets: $4,500-$5,000 (2026) Strategy: Build position gradually Vision: Multi-month hold 📅 TODAY'S TIMELINE Asian Session (Done): Gold bounced to $4,085-$4,090 ✅ European Session (Now): Consolidation before FOMC US Session: FOMC MINUTES RELEASE 🔥🔥🔥 After FOMC: Big volatility expected - direction determined Tomorrow (Thursday): NFP Data (September) - First post-shutdown This will confirm or reverse today's move 🎬 BOTTOM LINE (TL;DR) Price: $4,085 (Bouncing) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (IF breaks $4,100) Key Level: $4,100 (Break = Rally | Reject = Chop) Today's Event: FOMC MINUTES (Trade-defining!) Best Action: WAIT for FOMC, then trade the breakout Risk Level: HIGH (Event volatility!) 🔔 THE $4,100 LEVEL - TODAY'S BATTLEGROUND! IF GOLD BREAKS ABOVE $4,100-$4,112: ✅ Bulls win! ✅ Target $4,140 → $4,170 → $4,212 ✅ Possible rally to $4,250+ ✅ GO LONG after confirmation IF GOLD REJECTS AT $4,100: ⚠️ Bulls stall ⚠️ Range between $4,000-$4,100 continues ⚠️ Wait for next setup ⚠️ Don't force trades FOMC DECIDES EVERYTHING! 📊 Dovish = GOLD UP 🚀 📊 Hawkish = GOLD DOWN/SIDEWAYS 📉 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Trend: 🟢 BULLISH (Short-term recovery active) Momentum: IMPROVING - MACD rising 📈 Support: HOLDING at $4,050-$4,060 ✅ Resistance: TESTING at $4,096-$4,112 🎯 Pattern: Morning Star reversal + Trendline bounce Next Move: Break $4,112 = UP | Reject = CHOP Key Technical: Having bounced off ascending trendline and $4,000, gold broke above 100-day MA and now testing descending trendline/50-day MA confluence ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT - FOMC DAY! ✅ Wait for FOMC - Don't guess the news! ✅ Small Positions - Risk MAX 1% (High volatility!) ✅ Wide Stops - Give trades room (40-50 pips) ✅ Quick Profits - Lock gains on FOMC spikes ✅ No Revenge - If wrong, accept and move on 🎯 SWING TRADE SETUPS Setup A - FOMC Breakout (Recommended): WAIT for FOMC minutes release Entry: IF breaks $4,112 (after FOMC) Target 1: $4,170 (Hold 2-3 days) Target 2: $4,212 (Hold 5-7 days) Target 3: $4,250 (Hold 1-2 weeks) Stop Loss: $4,070 Setup B - Rejection Trade: Entry: IF rejected at $4,100 (after FOMC) Target 1: $4,050 (Hold 1-2 days) Target 2: $4,000 (Hold 2-3 days) Stop Loss: $4,125 🏆 PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY Gold has executed a PERFECT TECHNICAL BOUNCE from the $4,000 psychological level. The formation of a Morning Star candlestick pattern at support is a classic bullish reversal signal. The Setup: Price trading at $4,085.62 as of 19.11.2025 Held $4,000 support perfectly (double bottom with trendline) Now testing critical $4,096-$4,112 resistance zone FOMC minutes today will determine next major move Most Likely Scenarios: Scenario 1 (60%): FOMC shows Fed concerned about economy → Gold breaks $4,112 → Rally to $4,170-$4,212 Scenario 2 (30%): FOMC shows Fed staying hawkish → Gold rejected at $4,100 → Range $4,000-$4,100 continues Scenario 3 (10%): FOMC very dovish → Gold explodes through $4,212 → $4,250+ The Big Picture: $4,000 holding is VERY bullish. This was the make-or-break level and bulls defended it perfectly. If FOMC is dovish or neutral, gold has clear path to $4,200+ 💪 TRADING PSYCHOLOGY TIP THE BOUNCE IS HERE! Yesterday we were at $4,000 and scared. Today we're at $4,085 and hopeful. This is why you MUST have a plan and stick to it. Those who bought at $4,000 yesterday are now profitable. Discipline wins! 🎯 🎓 LESSON: THE MORNING STAR PATTERN What happened at $4,000: Day 1: Long bearish candle (fear) Day 2: Small candle (indecision) Day 3: Long bullish candle (bulls return) This is a Morning Star - one of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns! It shows bears exhausted and bulls taking control. Trading Strategy: When you see this at major support (like $4,000), it's a HIGH probability long setup! 🔮 FORECAST Today: FOMC minutes → Breakout $4,112 OR rejection Tomorrow: NFP data → Confirm today's direction End of Week: $4,140-$4,170 OR back to $4,000 Next Week: Recovery continues to $4,200+ if $4,100 breaks Month End: $4,250-$4,300 (IF bullish scenario plays out) 🚨 FOMC MINUTES - WHAT TO WATCH FOR Dovish Signals (Gold UP 🟢): Concerns about economic weakness Mentions of shutdown impact Opens door to December cut Worries about labor market Hawkish Signals (Gold DOWN/FLAT 🔴): Confidence in economy Inflation still concerning No urgency to cut rates Strong labor market comments Neutral (Gold CHOP ⚪): Data-dependent language Wait-and-see approach No clear direction 📊 SUPPORT/RESISTANCE SUMMARY Strong Support: $4,050, $4,000 (CRITICAL) Weak Support: $4,065, $4,040 Weak Resistance: $4,096, $4,100 Strong Resistance: $4,112, $4,140, $4,170, $4,212 Breakout Level: $4,112 (Game changer!) Breakdown Level: $4,000 (Would be very bearish) ⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER Today is a high-impact event day. FOMC minutes can cause extreme volatility and rapid price swings. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Never trade the news blindly - wait for confirmation. Use stop losses religiously. Position sizes should be smaller than normal on event days. False breakouts are common immediately after news. The first move after FOMC is often NOT the real move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading. 📱 CRITICAL DAY AHEAD! 💬 FOMC minutes in few hours! 🔔 HIGH volatility expected ⚡ Trade the reaction, not the prediction! 🙏 Be patient, be disciplined! #Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NFP #MorningStar #BullishReversal #EventTrading #RiskManagement #FOMCMinutes #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading
TVC:GOLDLong
by AthensBySahan
SOONUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 1.933BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is currently in a decline following a pump. I wouldn’t call it a correction — it’s more likely a typical dump that usually follows sharp upward moves. There’s a clearly confirmed support level and several hours of consolidation forming just above it. This indicates that long positions are being exited, as each local high is lower than the previous one. Expecting a short continuation in the near term. Key factors for this scenario: Asset decoupled from the market (relative strength/weakness vs. BTC) Liquidity grab (false move against the trend) Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest No reaction after a false break Closing near the bar's extreme Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
14
Currency Market State of Play - Week Ahead StrategyMONDAY MARKET OVERVIEW - Currency State of Play Starting the week with a clear analysis of major currency pairs and potential trading opportunities. 📊 EURUSD Bias: Sell opportunity Key Level: Above 1.1624 Setup: Watching for sell signals above this level for downside continuation 📊 GBPUSD Bias: Neutral Status: Noisy price action with no clear directional reference Strategy: Stay patient, wait for structure to develop 📊 USDJPY Bias: Bearish lean Key Level: 154.59 Setup: Sell on 2nd break below 154.59. Buy is technically possible, but overall price action shows weakness—proceed with caution 📊 CADJPY Bias: Transitional Friday's Action: Sold off and then reversed to buying Current Status: Price searching for direction above the last Momentum High (MH) Strategy: Best selling opportunity below 110.13 This Week's Approach: This is my Monday overview to frame the week ahead. I'll be posting detailed analysis on individual pairs as price action develops throughout the week. Key Principle: Wait for a clear structure, react to price behaviour, and let the setups come to you. Patience is part of the edge. 👍 Hit the boost button if you found this helpful 👤 Follow for detailed pair analysis throughout the week
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Nifty, BankNifty & S&P500 Weekly Outlook Nifty closed the week at 25910, posting a strong 418-point gain. Once the index sustained above 25600, it delivered a clean 400-point rally toward 26000, pulled back briefly, and regained strength to close near the highs. Overall Bias: Mildly Bullish As long as Nifty holds above 25600, the structure remains constructive. However, expect volatility near 26000–26400. 📌 Key Levels for Next Week Support: 25600 / 25400 Resistance: 26050 / 26400 Nifty is likely to stay within 25400–26400 . A breakout on either side can trigger sharp directional moves. Bullish sector themes: PSU Banks, Private Banks, Metals, Auto — ideal zones for swing traders. BankNifty Update BankNifty reclaimed 57900, extended a smooth upside move, hit all three bullish targets, and closed at a fresh all-time high of 58517. If it sustains above 58615, upside zones open toward: 59267 60087 (Key Fibonacci level) Continued strength here can act as a strong tailwind for Nifty’s next leg up. S&P 500 Weekly View S&P 500 closed flat at 6734, but the weekly structure still favors a bullish W-pattern. Key Breakout Levels Above 6869: Targets 6959 → 7000 → 7122 Below 6631: Trend weakens, downside opens toward 6350 / 6225 The index is at a decision point — a breakout or breakdown will set the tone globally. Final Take Markets are at crucial levels, and next week will decide who takes control — Bulls or Bears. Which level do you think breaks first — 26400 or 25400?
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
NAS100 8H - real correction or just another dramatic rehearsal?NAS100 held the 24850–25000 demand zone with precision, forming a classic false break followed by a sharp recovery back into the rising channel. Volume expansion on the reversal, strong lower wicks, and sustained support at the dynamic trendline all signal that the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. The path toward 26300 inside the channel stays open, and a breakout above this level unlocks the next target at 27300 - the upper boundary of the current impulse. The NAS100 index represents the core of the US tech sector, reflecting demand for IT, cloud infrastructure, AI technologies, communication platforms, and high-growth digital companies. Fundamentally , the backdrop on November 15 strengthens the bullish case: the market continues to price in a softer Fed stance, bond yields are easing, major tech companies are raising guidance, and demand for AI-driven solutions remains stable. With inflation trending into a manageable range and expectations for improved credit conditions rising, liquidity is rotating into high-beta assets, providing structural support and limiting corrective depth. Strong margins, solid earnings and resilient tech demand continue to anchor the broader uptrend. As long as price holds above 24850–25000, the bullish scenario remains active. A confirmed breakout above 26300 opens the way toward 27300. Any controlled pullback into 24850–25000 remains a buy zone within the prevailing trend. NASDAQ likes to overact, but more often than not it’s simply warming up before the next performance.
FX:NAS100Long
by TotoshkaTrades
BTCUSDT: short 98888.8If we exclude random pumps and dumps, the market is currently suspended in uncertainty. BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P neither breaks below the 100,678.0 support level nor bounces back from it — it simply grinds sideways. A clear local level has formed at 98,888.0, from which BTC has bounced twice in the past two days. Now, the price is gradually moving toward it again, indicating a short-biased sentiment. This lack of clarity in BTC’s behavior keeps the entire crypto market frozen. The only movements come from baseless pumps and dumps, emerging and ending at random points. However, I believe clarity is approaching — BTC cannot stay in this tension forever. It will either break upward or fall lower. My analysis suggests the next move will be down, and that’s when we’ll see the real market move. For now — we wait. ___ System first: Every non-systematic profit is bad. Every non-systematic loss is bad. Every systematic profit is good. Every systematic loss is part of the work. Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House