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XAU/USD 19-23 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
USDJPY: FVG Then Bullish Overflow?It has been a significant week for USD/JPY. Following a break of structure (BOS) on the 4-hour timeframe, price moved away from equilibrium, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). As the new week begins, we may observe a false move designed to induce traders into premature short positions before a potential bullish reversal—or vice versa. Additionally, given the recent BOS, price may temporarily stall to facilitate order accumulation. Next week will be pivotal in determining the pair’s next direction. Watch out for the key levels
Long
by BeaucoupPips
XRPUSDT: Turning Bullish, Chart Signals +20% Upside PotentialHey Realistic Traders! Is XRPUSDT Gearing Up for a Major Bull Run or Just Faking Us Out Again? Let’s Break It Down... XRPUSDT has finally broken out of its bearish channel, and price action is holding strong above that zone. This is a solid indication that bulls are gaining control. Shortly after the breakout, a smaller falling wedge formed, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. What adds further interest to this setup is that the falling wedge appears to be developing during what may be Wave 4 of the Elliott Wave cycle. While Wave 4 is usually corrective, it can occasionally take the form of a wedge or triangle-like pattern. If this interpretation holds, it would suggest that a bullish Wave 5 may follow, often the final impulse leg in the trend. Zooming into the 4-hour chart, a fresh breakout has just occurred, further strengthening the bullish case. Adding to this, the MACD has printed a golden cross, a classic momentum signal that supports the outlook for continued gains. With all these factors aligning, the first target is set at 2.5454. A minor pullback could occur at that level before price continues its move toward the second target at 2.8535. Both targets have been calculated using Fibonacci extension levels from the current bullish wave. This outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 2.0355. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Ripple.
Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
2
Bitcoin showing itself to be the STRONGEST ASSET right nowThsi is a VERY Bold statement but there is a saying that we need to understand CHARTS NEVER LIE This chart is the 4 hour charts of Bitcoin - Gold DXY $ - S&P500 There are a number of things to see here. The First and strongest sign is simply that Bitcoin has risen over the last 36 hours alongside the $ Rising. This in itself is a huge sign. 80% of the time, these 2 assets go in opposite directions. To me, this is showing a weakness in Faith in the $, With Lower interest rates, less return on Holding. However, the USa will not want to see the $ drop much further and so I imagine it is being bought up to safeguard its price. Next week, on the 13th, we have inflation figures published. We need to watch that Closely. The $ is currently Lower than it has been for a long time and while this can be seen as a Negative, it has also made American goods cheaper to buy to Foreign Markets, while it has increased the value of other Currencies. Making the $ cheaper is potentially a Good idea. At the same time, we see the Global traditional "Safe Haven" Selling off. The Daily CFD on Gold chart above it has formed a double Top, that usualy creates a draw down. It is also overbought on a daily after its recent pushes higher. But more than anything, with interest rates remainiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiing static, this has released pressure of investers and so Risk appetite is returning. Again, we need to watch what happens around the 13th when USA inflation figures are released. And then the S&P500 Overall, it has been dropping since Feb This Daily chart shows us It made a recovery but this may not be to go to ATH again but more part of the ABC correction. There is a possibility it could be forming an inverse Head and Shoulders...so, again, we watch So, over all, what we see is BITCOIN taking on all the markets and making the biggest gains It has certainly been the least volatile with Dips and Troughs shallower than the $ and S&P500 which is Stunning if you have ridden Bitcoin for the last 10 years.... Bitcoin has Matured in to a REAL Asset Class.. For me, it is NOT Crypto anymore. .IT IS BITCOIN
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
Market Overview (May 7, 2025)📊 Key Metrics 1. Funding Rate: ~0.018% (on Binance) — positive rate indicates long position dominance and bullish sentiment 2. Open Interest (OI): GETTEX:29B , up ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B in recent days — rising OI suggests new positions are opening, increasing volatility risk 3. ETF Inflows: +$420.9M (May 6) — strong institutional demand, especially into BlackRock’s IBIT 4. Fear & Greed Index: 67 (Greed) — rising greed may signal potential for a short-term correction ⸻ 📈 Market Movement Probability • Upward: 60% (supported by ETF inflows and positive funding) • Downward: 40% (high greed and rising OI could trigger a correction) ⸻ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MoneyButton
Market Overview (May 5, 2025) 📊 Key Metrics 1. Funding Rate: -0.0024% (on Binance) — traders are paying to hold short positions, signaling bearish pressure 2. Open Interest (OI): $27.5B, down –3.13% in 24h — positions are closing, possibly due to liquidations or profit-taking 3. ETF Inflows: +$674.9M (on May 2) — strong institutional demand, especially into BlackRock’s IBIT 4. Fear & Greed Index: 52 (Neutral) — sentiment has stabilized after a period of greed ⸻ 📈 Market Movement Probability • Upward: 55% (potential short squeeze fueled by ETF inflows) • Downward: 45% (OI is dropping, market losing momentum) ⸻ Disclaimer: This information is not financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MoneyButton
AI Sector Watch – TAO Pullback OpportunityAI-related tokens are showing real strength lately, and TAO has led the charge with a series of green candles. However, the most recent candle suggests potential for a cool-off into support—which could form a higher low and provide a great entry opportunity. 📍 Entry Zone: $279 (potential higher low formation) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $292 🥈 $317 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $260 (look for daily close confirmation) 📊 Notes: If price consolidates above $279 and bounces, it confirms strength. Watch for volume drop during the pullback—bulls want a light retrace before resuming higher. If TAO breaks and holds above $292 quickly, you may want to trail your stop.
Long
by Richtv_official
US500's performance this week will be crucial in determiningUS500 Weekly Analysis The US500 index is currently exhibiting bearish tendencies, but a crucial level to monitor is $5491. This level has the potential to act as a resistance point, and we're looking for a possible selling opportunity around this area. However, if the market breaks above $5491, it could signal a shift in bias towards bullish territory, potentially leading to a significant upward move. Key Levels to Watch: 1. Sell Zone: $5491 - This level is critical in determining the next move. We'll be watching for confirmation to sell, such as bearish candlestick patterns or trend indicators. 2. Resistance Area: $5730 - $5790 - A strong resistance zone that could potentially cap upward movements. Trading Strategy: 1. Wait for Confirmation: We'll wait for the market to reach the $5491 level and look for confirmation to sell. This could include bearish candlestick patterns, trend indicators, or other technical signals. 2. Breakout Scenario: If the market breaks above $5491, we'll reassess the bullish potential and look for opportunities to buy. 3. Risk Management: It's essential to manage risk effectively, setting stop-losses and take-profits according to our trading plan. Market Outlook: The US500's performance this week will be crucial in determining the next direction. We'll be monitoring the market closely, analyzing price action, and providing updates on any developments. Stay tuned for our analysis and guidance on potential trading opportunities. By keeping a close eye on these key levels and waiting for confirmation, we can make more informed trading decisions and navigate the markets effectively.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Peter_Wade
Markets next move will depend on its interaction with Key LevelsGold Analysis MSS & FVG+Breaker Zone Gold has given an MSS (Market Structure Shift) and touched the FVG+Breaker Zone, followed by a downward move. Given the current market structure, potential areas to watch for a stop and potential upside pump could be: Possible Downside Targets: 1. $3321 liquidity level 2. Higher Time Frame (HTF) PD Arrays Potential Upside Pump If the market reaches these areas, we might see a pump upwards, driven by liquidity and market structure. Key Levels to Watch: - $3321 liquidity level - HTF PD Arrays Market Direction The market's next move will depend on its interaction with these key levels. A potential bounce from these areas could signal an upside pump. Let's monitor the market's movement and adjust our analysis accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Peter_Wade
GBPAUD market outlookFX:GBPAUD Price has reached and reacted off significant level of resistance zone at 2.16400, which was last seen on the 2nd of November 2015. On Friday's NY open, price created a false bullish signal with a 190 pips pin bar candle on the H1 chart. Instead, price reacted off its recent swap zone and continued its downtrend. If it breaks below 2.07720, we can anticipate a short-term continuous downtrend to the daily demand range, which is about 200 to 300 pip movement. On the fundamentals, the Aussie dollar has recently hit a 5 year low against the USD, trading at just 60.5 US cents as the two world's largest economies have been ramping up tariffs to as high as 125%. The AUD may be impacted due to China being Australia's biggest trading partner and the trade war is only increasing uncertainty risks. On the bright side, the ASX 200 surged by 4.5% on a single day as Trump announces tariff pause, which was the highest increase in value on a single day ever since the pandemic in 2020. Both the UK and Australia have been imposed the same reciprocal tariff rates of 10%, for now, I expect a short-term downtrend before its continuation upwards, but we'll see what the coming week brings to us.
by CandleCipher
Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Ascending Channel – Bearish Move Ahead?📉 Market Structure: Gold was moving in an ascending channel, but price has now broken below the support trendline. This suggests a possible trend reversal or correction. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance : $3,125 - $3,170 Support: $3,054 - $3,035 Target: $3,000 - $2,995 📊 Trade Idea: A pullback to support-turned-resistance could give a short entry. Bearish target: $3,000 if rejection holds. Invalidation: If price reclaims $3,125. 🔍 Watch for: Price reaction at the former channel support. Possible retest before further drop. Let me know if you need any modifications! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
Altcoin Recovery Depends on This USDT Dominance BreakAltcoins have taken a heavy hit — many are down 60–80% from their highs. As seen in the USDT Dominance chart, we're still respecting the rising trendline. Until this trend breaks to the downside, pressure on altcoins may continue. Key Zone to Watch: Once USDT.D breaks below that rising support line and sustains a move lower, we could witness a strong recovery phase across the altcoin market. That shift will likely signal renewed confidence and capital rotation into risk-on assets. Stay patient: The breakout is brewing. When that trendline cracks, altseason could ignite fast. Keep your watchlists ready. The reversal will reward the prepared. 🚀 Like and drop a comment if you found our analysis helpful — your support keeps us going!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by unichartz
AUD/CAD – Potential Bullish Reversal from Key Support📊 Chart Analysis 1️⃣ Accumulation Zone : The price previously traded within a rectangular consolidation range before breaking down. 2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Pattern : A falling wedge has formed, indicating a possible breakout to the upside. 3️⃣ Key Support : The price has tested the 0.8980 - 0.8970 zone multiple times and is showing signs of rejection. 4️⃣ Potential Upside : A breakout above 0.9030 - 0.9050 could confirm further bullish momentum. 🚀 Trading Plan: 📌 Entry : On a breakout above 0.9025 🎯 Targets : First target : 0.9100 Extended target : 0.9130 🛑 Stop Loss : Below 0.8965 to minimize risk. 🔔 Confirmation Needed: Wait for strong bullish price action before entering long trades. 🚀🔥
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
2
EUR/USD Chart Analysis - Bearish Breakdown Towards Target📉 Pattern & Market Structure: The chart shows an ascending channel that was previously supporting price action. However, the price has broken below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakdown. The recent price action suggests a shift from bullish momentum to bearish sentiment. 📉 Price Action & Target: A breakdown from the channel suggests further downside movement. The price is currently around 1.07556, with a potential target of 1.05089 based on the measured move from the broken channel. This target aligns with a key support level. 📌 Trading Plan: Bears may look for sell opportunities below 1.07602. Confirmation of further downside can be seen if the price stays below previous support-turned-resistance levels. Bulls might wait for a potential reversal near the target zone. ⚠️ Risk Management: Watch for pullbacks or retests of the broken support before entering a short position. A break back above 1.08765 could invalidate the bearish setup.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal (Inverse Head & Shoulders)📌 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders 📌 Analysis: The chart showcases an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. The price has successfully broken out of the downward trendline, indicating potential upside movement. 🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed during the previous retracement. 🔹 Head: The lowest point of the pattern, marking strong support. 🔹 Right Shoulder: Completed with a breakout above resistance. 📈 Trading Plan: ✅ Entry (Buy): After a confirmed breakout and possible retest. 🎯 Target: 153.988 - 154.672 (2.74% potential gain). 🔻 Support: 149.883 - 148.837 (Stops should be placed accordingly). 📊 Conclusion: If the price maintains above the breakout level, we may see a strong rally toward the resistance target. Watch for volume confirmation and pullback retests before entering a trade.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900. However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300. We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Luiz_soares
Gold/EUR Analysis –Bearish Continuation from Channel Resistance📉 Market Structure & Trend The chart represents a descending channel where price has continuously rejected from the upper boundary. Multiple lower highs and lower lows indicate a bearish trend. Gold/EUR has once again reached the channel resistance and failed to break above, suggesting a strong sell opportunity. Key Technical Levels 🔴 Resistance: 2,809 - Local resistance where price has faced rejection multiple times. 2,849 - Major resistance level, a break above this could invalidate the bearish outlook. 🟢 Support & Target Levels: 2,790 - Short-term support; if broken, further downside is expected. 2,740 - First key target where previous demand is present. 2,660 - Major support and final bearish target if selling pressure continues. Trade Setup & Strategy 📍 Sell Below: 2,790 🎯 Target 1: 2,740 🎯 Target 2: 2,660 ❌ Stop-Loss: Above 2,810 Conclusion Bearish bias remains strong as long as price stays below 2,809. A breakdown below 2,790 could accelerate selling pressure. Traders can look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., break of structure, candlestick patterns) to enter short positions. Would you like a refined strategy based on lower timeframes?
OANDA:XAUEURShort
by PIPsOptimizer