Gold Near 4,280 as US–China Tensions Fuel Flight to Safety!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with price currently correcting toward a key structural support area where buyers may look to re-enter.
From a fundamental standpoint, rising US–China geopolitical tensions have pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. Market sentiment is tilting defensive, and Gold — already hovering near all-time highs — continues to reflect that global risk aversion.
A sustained bid above 4,280 could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially open the path toward new highs if uncertainty persists.
Key level: 4,280 (support / trend confluence)
Bias: Bullish while above this level
Trade safe,
Joe.
Metals
GOLD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 4307.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 4291.5
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4335.3
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver corrective pullback supported at 5187The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 5187 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 5187 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
5450 – initial resistance
5513 – psychological and structural level
5580 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 5187 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
5055 – minor support
4960 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 5187. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD: Rally can Reach new ATH - $4520 pointsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold has been in a very strong and complex uptrend. We saw the price break out of an initial range and then establish a major Trend Line that has guided it higher, breaking through key levels like Support 2 at 3670 and Support 1 at 4020.
Currently, the most significant event is that the price has broken out above its main Trend Line. After this powerful move, the market has entered a natural corrective phase and is pulling back towards this broken line for a classic retest. This is a critical area to watch.
My Scenario & Strategy
I'm looking for the price to complete its correction down to this main ascending trend line. The key signal for me would be a confirmed and strong bounce from this dynamic support, which would tell me the pullback is over and the primary trend is ready to accelerate.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful defense of the trend line would validate the long scenario. My new target for the next impulsive wave higher is 4520, which would represent a new ATH.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC - Perfect Power of 3 setup!Market Context
Bitcoin has entered a phase of compression after an extended bearish leg, with price currently consolidating near recent lows. The previous selloff created a clean structure of inefficiencies and untouched fair value gaps (FVGs) above, now acting as potential magnet zones for short-term retracements. The broader context remains bearish until those imbalances are efficiently mitigated.
Fair Value Gaps & Manipulation Zones
A clear pocket of untouched FVGs sits above the current range, aligning with resistance from prior breakdown points. Price could engineer a manipulation move into this zone, enticing late buyers before resuming the macro bearish direction. Such a move would serve as a liquidity grab and offer premium pricing for distribution before continuation lower.
Liquidity Dynamics
The market structure shows resting sell-side liquidity (SSL) below the recent “news/data low,” marked as a potential target for a deeper sweep. Once manipulation into the upper inefficiencies completes, the market could shift momentum to the downside, distributing into that liquidity and seeking new lows for rebalancing.
Final Thoughts
The current structure points toward a classic bearish continuation setup: consolidation, manipulation into premium inefficiencies, and a drive toward sell-side liquidity. Unless price breaks decisively above the untouched FVG chain, the expectation remains for a redistribution phase leading into the news low or beyond.
If this breakdown helped frame your bias, a like goes a long way — do you think price runs the FVG first, or dives straight into the liquidity below?
It is not a reversal callback correction to continue to buyGold gapped up at the opening, touched 4379 and then plunged nearly $100 before rebounding quickly. The fluctuations in the Asian session alone are so drastic. In addition, today is Friday and there is a risk of market closure, so intraday trading needs to be more cautious.
From the news perspective, the expectation of a Fed rate cut provides liquidity support, Sino-US trade tensions and geopolitical risks stimulate safe-haven demand, and the weakening of the US dollar and economic uncertainty amplify the appeal of gold. Many investors continue to increase their holdings of safe-haven assets in a complex macroeconomic context, providing solid and strong support for the rise of gold.
Although short-term prices fluctuate frequently, they have not fallen below the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages. Therefore, it should not be regarded as a trend reversal, but a market shakeout. Therefore, we maintain a trading strategy that is mainly bullish and supplemented by short selling.
From a fundamental perspective, multiple rebound attempts failed to break through, making the upper 4380-4400 range a short-term resistance range. The short-term trend has the tendency to form an M top, so I will give several long trading opportunities during the day.
First of all, we should pay attention to the first support formed by 4315-4305 below, which is also the 61.8% retracement position of gold. If it repeatedly circles this position in the short term without breaking, we can try to go long on gold. For the second chance, I would give the support level of 4290-4280 below, which is near the trend suppression and the 50% dividing line, as well as the 4H MA10 moving average. I think we can try to go long on gold again within this range. The last chance I would give is around 4200, the starting point of this round of rise. Even if gold retaliates and falls, we can still maintain good trading opportunities.
During the day, we can go long on gold in batches according to the strength of gold's retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 17Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4500, Support: 4059
4-Hour Resistance: 4380, Support: 4176
1-Hour Resistance: 4380, Support: 4280
Gold continued to rise by over $100 yesterday, reaching a high of 4380 in today's Asian session. At this rate, the next move is 4500.
Of course, this won't be the final target of this market rally.
In the short term, although there was a sharp drop of $100 in Friday's Asian session, it was quickly recovered, resulting in a V-shaped reversal, indicating that bullish sentiment has not subsided. The probability of setting a new high today, or even reaching 4400, remains high.
Operationally, continue to look for buying opportunities today. If the decline can be halted around 4330 or 4300, then continue to enter the market.
BUY:4330near
BUY:4300near
BUY:4280near
M-shaped adjustment holds on to 4300-4280 and there are new high#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Hey my friend, is everything okay?
Today's gold market may be exhausting for many people, and the market's back-and-forth washout continues to suppress the mentality of traders. I have witnessed too many people entering the investment market with high hopes, but later suffered heavy losses and became afraid to enter the market. They lost so much that they didn't even have the confidence to encourage themselves. They even suspected at one point that they might not be suitable for this market.
Many investors are unhappy about staying in the investment market, but unwilling to leave. This may be the current situation faced by them. The road to success is not crowded because there are not many people who persevere. I want to tell you all this to let you know that short-term fluctuations cannot affect us. Just stick to your own judgment and try your best to do well in every order.
In the early morning, I told everyone that 4380 would be a resistance level. When it is touched, you can consider shorting and wait for a pullback correction. This morning I made the judgment that the short-term market will form an M-shaped double top. So far, it seems to be moving in the direction of my expectations. There are many voices in the current market telling you to go long at 4340-4330, but in my opinion, the risk and return here are not proportional.
Keep in mind that today is Friday, and every Friday is prone to shifting fundamentals in the market. Therefore, we should be cautious when trading. Given the M-shaped structure, once it is established, after breaking through the 4313 support, gold will inevitably continue its downward trend to test the 4300-4280 support below. This is both the previous trend line suppression position and the low point of the intraday retracement, as well as the 50% golden section line position. Therefore, we can consider waiting for the market to stabilize before placing long positions and maintaining a cautious trade.
No matter how bad your current trading situation is, time will not stop for you. Shake off your frustrations, stand up again, and move forward. The fact that you're reading this now signifies a connection between us. If you're willing to share your experiences with me, I'd be happy to help you solve your problems. Look to Garrick, your market guide. For more real-time updates, please visit my homepage.
ZSL hidden gem (silver inverse)When things go back and insolvency hits, Silver could go down (by a lot). Keep an eye on this sleeping giant. There are many who know that we are tipping the scale no Gold and Silver and it's not sustainable. It's way too hot and the early signs of weakness will lead to major dip. ZSL is the inverse ETF. Keep an alert on this baby. Best of luck!
Gold flight to safety tradeThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4260 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4260 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4400 – initial resistance
4450 – psychological and structural level
4500 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4260 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4200 – minor support
4160 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4260. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 4,338.72.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 4,203.99 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD → Positive backdrop. Consolidation before growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a shake-down in the Asian and Pacific sessions. The price hit a new low of 4278, but bulls are aggressively buying up two liquidations (manipulation?). The metal is preparing for its ninth consecutive week in positive territory, with an 8% increase over the week.
Key drivers: Fed members confirmed their readiness to cut rates in October and pointed to risks for the labor market. The situation with the trade war between China and the US is still tense.
However, negotiations between the presidents of three countries on the conflict in Eastern Europe have raised hopes for de-escalation, which has temporarily reduced demand for defensive assets. The shutdown continues, which supports the price of gold.
The correction in gold is a temporary pause, and any decline will be used for purchases.
Technically, the focus is on the global trading range of 4280-4380, with consolidation within 4350-4330. A breakout of the accumulation zone could trigger a move in the direction of the breakout
Resistance levels: 4350, 4380
Support levels: 4320, 4300, 4280
Technically, before rising, the price may test the liquidity zone located below the specified support zones. However, it is also worth watching the 4350 trigger—a breakout of resistance and a close above this level could trigger continued growth within the current bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD/XAUUSD where is the probability of equilibrium? 17/Oct/25BTCUSDXAUUSD ratio chart shown there is multi top pattern near 41 raio with price breaking the long term uptrend line. The Next major support could be at 1?! Gosh! BTC (fake money/ digital gold) same value with Gold ( real money /analog gold)?! WT....
Bitcoin. Oh mine! On Par with Gold by 2027? 17/Oct/25BTCUSD probably completed its cycle 7 (purple) high and now trending multi year low until till near 2027 which is cycle 8 (purple ) low. Based on EW pattern BTC could form a long-term flat pattern which price could go down to 3000 +/- by the time Gold which could be at around 3000?
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD continues to respect the ascending support line, confirming an active short-term uptrend. Price rebounded from 4,308 support, forming a higher low structure that suggests momentum preservation.
● Immediate resistance lies at 4,376, where a breakout could extend the bullish leg if the current consolidation near 4,330 holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold remains supported by softer U.S. inflation expectations and rising geopolitical risk, keeping investor demand intact.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,308; objectives 4,376–4,380. Trendline strength and supportive fundamentals signal continued short-term upside.
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'Cinderella Gold' Episode 2 — Silver is Not Waiting Anymore 'Cinderella Gold' Episode 2 — Silver is Not Waiting Anymore 👑
Once upon a breakout… 📈
Back in March 2023, I dropped “Cinderella Gold Ready to Shine” — a bold claim that silver would rise from the shadows while the world watched only gold.
Fast forward to today — Silver (XAGUSD) is above $53 , and this chart doesn’t lie.
The forgotten sister of gold is no longer waiting for a dance…
She’s leading the entire ballroom now.
💥 Key Technical Levels
• $50.03 — now confirmed as new support
• $60.58 — next resistance / golden ratio (.618 fib)
• $73.24 — the “New Target” zone
• Ultimate fib expansion? $80+ is not fiction if momentum continues 🔭
This isn’t some one-day wonder. This is the result of 10+ years of structural consolidation breaking wide open.
And if you still think silver is a sidekick, you’re not reading the right story.
🧪 Why Now? The Tech-Silver Symbiosis
Most forget this:
Silver outperforms gold when technology is booming.
Why? Because unlike gold, silver isn’t just money — it’s semiconductors, solar panels, EV batteries, AI chips and the future of industry itself.
• 💻 Tech bull cycle → industrial demand skyrockets
• 🔋 Green energy transition → silver becomes critical infrastructure
• 🛠️ The macro tailwind + physical scarcity = explosive upside
🧠 Food for Thought 🍃
When tech runs hot, silver runs hotter.
It’s the metal that reflects not just fear — but progress.
Gold is the vault.
Silver is the spark.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
⚠️ Disclaimer
Disclaimer: These are my personal thoughts on the market. They are not financial advice. Every trade is your responsibility. Manage your risk and protect your capital.
Nears the Boss Resistance at $4,489 — Revaluation Era Incoming?Gold (GC1!) Nears the Boss Resistance at $4,489 — Revaluation Era Incoming? 🟡👑
No hype — this is it.
Gold Futures (GC1!) have pushed past $4,400 , approaching what I’ve long marked as the Boss Resistance at $4,489 . This is the final gate — and it's been sitting on my chart for years, untouched... until now.
That $4,000 level? It was our signal. The failed short attempt there wasn’t a mistake — it was confirmation. Since that breakout, gold’s been in vertical mode.
📍 Now we’re in the danger zone.
Expect chop, traps, or a reversal between $4,000 and $4,489 unless the Boss gets taken out with strength.
🔍 Big Picture: Revaluation May Be Coming...
The price action is wild — but the backdrop is even bigger.
🧾 Did you know the official U.S. valuation of gold is still $42.22 per ounce?
New research suggests Washington may be considering a gold revaluation — just like Roosevelt did in 1933. That move alone boosted U.S. gold wealth by 69% overnight.
Why revalue now? Here’s what’s brewing:
• 📉 National debt is exploding
• 🪙 Gold ETFs are soaking up demand
• 🌍 Central banks are stacking gold to escape USD dependency
• 💰 Revaluation would instantly add trillions in assets — without printing a dime
This isn’t just a rally — this is a structural reset.
📈 Levels Recap:
• Boss Resistance: $4,489 👑
• Breakout Floor: $4,000
• Intermediate Support: $3,602 and $3,000
• Long-Term Flip Zone: $2,537
Markets don’t move because of candles — they move because of confidence.
🧘 Mindset Check 🧘
Gold is rising because trust is falling.
We are entering an era where sound money is not just a preference — it’s a necessity.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Gold front runs-----BTC Follows....
GOLD / XAUUSD – DAILY PLAN (Oct 17, 2025)🧭 MARKET CONTEXT
Main timeframe: M30 / H1
Current structure remains bullish, forming clear HH – HL sequences.
After a strong rally, price is now in a retracement phase toward a nearby demand zone aligned with the ascending trendline.
No sign of structure break yet (no BOS below the previous HL).
📈 PRIMARY SCENARIO (BUY SETUP)
➤ Entry Zone 1:
BUY GOLD 4280 – 4278
Stop Loss: 4275
Target 1: 4335
Target 2: 4350 (new HH)
Reason: This is a Bullish Order Block (OB) and BOS retest zone, aligned with the rising trendline.
Expecting a strong bullish reaction (rejection candle or engulfing bar) before triggering the buy limit.
➤ Entry Zone 2 (CP Setup – Confirmation Point)
BUY 4247 – 4245
Stop Loss: 4239
Target: 4300 / 4330 / 4350
Reason: This is the final demand zone near the main trendline, confluence of prior BOS + SSS (Structure Shift Support).
If price breaks below 4280 without reaction, patiently wait for confirmation around CP zone.
⚠️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (STRUCTURE FAILURE)
If price closes below 4235 on M30, the bullish structure is invalidated.
→ The buy plan is canceled — wait for a pullback sell setup from 4280–4300 resistance.
If the buy stop loss is hit at 4239, monitor 4200 zone as the next H4 demand area.
Gold sweeps SL, wait for BUY LIMIT at Demand Zone 4,223-4,225Timeframe analysis: H4/30M
Logic: Trend Continuation after liquidity sweep.
MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC Analysis)
Main Trend: Bullish (Price is moving within a parallel channel).
Structure Confirmation (BOS): The chart has confirmed an upward Break of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers are controlling the market.
Liquidity Sweep/Fake: The strong bearish candle (marked as "Fake") is a move to sweep Stop Losses of early buyers and gather liquidity before Smart Money pushes the price in the main direction. This is an Inducement action.
Key Demand Zone (POI/Demand Zone/Order Block): The TIMING BUY area (4,223.154 - 4,225.000) is a potential Demand Zone/Order Block identified by Smart Money. The price is expected to retest this area before continuing to rise.
MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (LONG SETUP)
SCENARIO: Wait for the price to Pullback to the POI area to enter a buy order, continuing the main bullish trend.
Parameter
Value
SMC Description
Action
BUY LIMIT
Place a pending buy order
Entry Zone (POI)
4,225.000 - 4,223.150
Demand Zone/Order Block after liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss (SL)
4,214.390
Place below the low of the liquidity sweep candle ("Fake Low"), ensuring safety.
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
4,240.000
Target the nearest Swing High.
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
4,250.000
Target psychological resistance and mid-channel.
Take Profit 3 (TP3)
4,260.000+
Target the upper boundary of the parallel channel.
R:R Ratio
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 (Depending on TP)
Good R:R ratio for a trend-following trade.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk: Only risk a maximum of 1-2% of the account for this trade.
Breakeven: When the price hits TP1, move SL to the Entry point (Breakeven) to protect capital.
Invalidation: If the price closes the D1/H4 candle below the SL level (4,214.390), the buy plan will be invalidated.






















