DeGRAM | GOLD will break the $4250 level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD broke out of a long-term triangle and retested the confluence of trendline support and the 4,190 zone, confirming bullish continuation.
● Price is now moving inside an ascending channel, targeting the 4,300–4,380 resistance region as momentum strengthens after the breakout.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Falling U.S. yields and renewed safe-haven demand support further upside in gold as markets price in a softer Fed stance.
✨ Summary
● Bullish bias above 4,190. Targets: 4,300 → 4,377. Key support: 4,190.
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Metals
Gold Is Entering a Danger Zone—A Sharp Drop May Hit Before....📌 SETUP SIGNAL (GOLD – 4H)
Strategy: Sell the Downward Channel – Follow the Correction
1️⃣ Sell Setup
Entry: 4188–4175 (after a confirmed 4H close below 4188)
Stop-Loss: 4240
Take Profit:
TP1: 4120
TP2: 4050
Main Target: 4000–3990
Reason:
- Price is moving cleanly inside a descending correction channel.
- Repeated sell-offs + weak bullish reactions show sellers are still in control.
- Breaking 4188 confirms continuation toward the lower liquidity zone.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario (Low Probability)
Bullish invalidation: Only if price breaks above 4280 (4H close).
→ Then the market may shift upward toward 4365–4370 liquidity.
📉 QUICK MARKET OUTLOOK – GOLD 4H (Rejection + Bearish Channel Forming)
Based on the current 4H structure, Gold is showing a clear pattern of repeating deep corrections every time it reaches major resistance/liquidity zones.
The latest price action continues to repeat this same behavior:
Key Observations
- Price has once again rejected strongly from the 4270–4280 zone (same rejection region as previous drops).
- A descending bearish channel is forming → indicating controlled distribution.
- The recent downward legs are consistent with past moves:
-8.47%, -11.31%, -5.60%, -2.21% → the market has a clear history of sharp sell-offs.
- Current structure suggests a continuing corrective wave until deeper support.
📌 Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
Price continues moving inside the descending channel and breaks the short-term support.
Targets → 4120 → 4050 → 4000
Major liquidity & demand zone sits at 3990 – 3980
→ where large buyers historically step in.
If panic selling accelerates, price may extend toward: → 3888 – 3900
📌 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability)
Only activated if Gold breaks OUTSIDE the descending channel and reclaims: → 4280
This invalidates the bearish outlook and reopens the path to 4365 – 4370 liquidity.
🎯 FINAL CONCLUSION
Gold is currently in a corrective downtrend, moving exactly within a well-defined bearish channel.
Unless buyers break the structure, the market is likely heading for deeper retracement toward the 4000 zone before any meaningful bullish continuation.
"Stay patient. Stay disciplined. Let the market come to your levels."
Gold Slows at Channel Top — Market Targets 4,150 Before Move UpHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAU/USD based on the current market structure. After breaking out of the broader consolidation phase, gold continued to move within a rising channel, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows along the Support Line. Buyers maintained strong momentum as the price pushed toward the Resistance Line, which aligns with the major Resistance Level near 4,240. However, after reaching this upper boundary, the market showed clear signs of exhaustion, indicating that buyers are struggling to push further into the resistance zone. This reaction suggests that the price may soon initiate a corrective move. At the moment, XAU/USD is trading inside a narrowing rising structure, with the Support and Resistance Lines converging, creating compression. As long as the price holds above the local Support Level around 4,150, the bullish structure remains intact. A pullback from the Resistance Line toward this area is the most likely short-term scenario before buyers attempt another push. This zone aligns with the first target TP1, which also acts as a key reaction zone from previous price behavior. A successful rebound from support could allow bulls to regain strength and attempt another test of the 4,240 resistance. If a breakout occurs, it would open the door for further bullish continuation. However, if the price fails to hold the Support Line or breaks back below the 4,150 zone, the structure may shift to a deeper correction, exposing gold to lower support areas. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBP/USD 1H chart:GBP/USD 1H chart:
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📉 Analysis – Bearish Setup
My chart shows:
Trendline break ✔
Price retesting the broken trendline + cloud resistance
Clear supply zone above: 1.3260 – 1.3280
Bearish continuation arrow marked on my chart
This setup is valid bearish as long as price stays below 1.3280.
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🎯 Targets (1H)
Entry Zone
🔻 1.3220 – 1.3240
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🎯 TARGET 1
➡️ 1.3160 – 1.3140
(First demand zone – shown on your chart)
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🎯 TARGET 2
➡️ 1.3080 – 1.3060
(This is my second target in the screenshot)
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🎯 TARGET 3 (Extended)
➡️ 1.3020
(If strong selling continues – optional swing target)
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❌ Invalidation Level
If GBP/USD closes above 1.3285 (1H candle)
👉 Trend turns bullish and targets are invalid.
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📌 Summary (Quick)
Sell below: 1.3280
TP1: 1.3160
TP2: 1.3060
SL: 1.3290/1.3300
BTC/USD 1H chart..BTC/USD 1H chart:
📉 Current Market Structure (Bearish)
Price has broken the uptrend line clearly.
Strong impulse sell candle from 91,000 → 86,000.
Price retested the supply zone (87,300 – 87,900) and got rejected.
Ichimoku cloud also showing strong bearish pressure.
🎯 Targets (Downside)
As per My chart, price is likely forming a continuation move.
Entry Zone:
🔻 86,400 – 86,900 (current retest area)
Targets:
1️⃣ TP1 → 85,200 (nearest demand zone)
2️⃣ TP2 → 83,800 (liquidity zone under last swing)
3️⃣ TP3 → 81,000 – 81,300 (My chart’s marked target zone)
📌 Notes
Main target highlighted in My analysis chart = 81,000
This target is valid as long as BTC stays below 87,900 supply.
⚠️ Invalidation
❌ If BTC closes above 88,000 on 1H, bearish setup invalid.
Technical corrections do not mean reversal of the bullish trend#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
📊 From the current structure, gold rebounded to a high of around 4264 yesterday before fluctuating downwards.
💠 However, the price of gold has not yet effectively broken below the daily MA5 and MA10, and there is still some support below.
📈 The brief pullback is a build-up for a better rise later.
🌈 As I said yesterday, the technical indicators showed a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Therefore, it is not surprising that gold prices will fall in the short term.
💡 The key focus for today is the daily MA5 and MA10. The first support level is at 4205-4195. If the price retraces to this level, you can consider a small long position in gold, with appropriate SL orders.
💡 If the price falls below the 4205-4195 support zone, it is advisable to remain on the sidelines and not rush into further trading. Because the downside potential may open up, the price may fall back to the 4160-4140 Fibonacci retracement zone in the short term. This area will determine whether the upward trend can continue. Pay close attention to any stabilization signals in this area during the day.
Xauusd.Chart Pattern...✅ TARGET Visible on my XAUUSD Chart
I have one main target marked with a blue upward arrow:
📍 Target Point: ~ 4,240 – 4,245 USD
This is the horizontal zone I highlighted above the current price, likely projected from the previous range height.
📈 What the Chart Structure Suggests (Based on What my Drew)
Price is riding an ascending trendline.
It’s above the Ichimoku cloud, which I'm using as bullish confirmation.
Breakout from a consolidation box appears to be measured and projected upward → giving the ~4,240 target.
Silver prices surge due to the supply tightnessSilver briefly hit another record high at 78, then stabilized at above 57 due to the concern over the lack of supply in LME and SHFE. Meanwhile, demand from not only Solar PV but also EV and data center continues to surge, putting more pressure on the storage.
Meanwhile, China’s silver exports hit a record 660 tons in Oct, underscoring strong demand amid tightening global supply.
However, the gold/silver ratio fell to 74, near the average 25-year of 69, which could limit the rally.
XAGUSD rebounded from EMA21 and formed higher swings within the ascending channel. Diverging bullish EMAs reinforce its uptrend.
A break above the channel’s upper bound near 60.00 could prompt a rally toward the potential resistance at 63.00.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategis at Exness
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Targeting 4,250–4,285Hello everyone,
On the XAUUSD 4H chart, gold has finally broken free from its consolidation phase, surging toward 4,238 USD after spending several sessions compressing around the 4,200 zone. The bullish structure remains intact and well-defined, with higher highs, higher lows, and a steady sequence of FVGs forming beneath price—acting as stepping stones that continue to support buyers.
Just below the current level, the 4,205–4,215 imbalance serves as a reasonable area for a shallow pullback. If sellers gain more traction, gold may retrace toward 4,174–4,150, where older imbalances converge with dense liquidity—likely strong enough to maintain the broader uptrend.
On the upside, buyers are now eyeing the 4,250 region, followed by the November high near 4,285.6 USD. A breakout above 4,286 could unlock a stronger rally toward 4,320–4,350 as momentum builds.
From a news perspective, this week is sensitive as markets digest key US data: PMI, ADP, jobless claims, and especially core PCE—the inflation gauge the Fed monitors most closely. According to Kitco, sentiment is leaning toward the possibility of earlier rate cuts, which continues to support gold’s upward bias. Analysts such as Colin Cieszynski and Jim Wyckoff also note that buyers are regaining confidence, adding further strength to the bullish narrative.
Gold Update 02DEC2025: Multiple Options Are PossibleThe price has been stuck in the range as expected for wave 4
Let’s navigate this chaos and build viable paths on the chart
Option 1: Ending Diagonal wave 5 — pink marks
This option is based on the idea that wave 4 looks disproportionately large compared to wave 2
It could already be over after the first large move down to the $3,900 area
The current ascending zigzag may be shaping an Ending Diagonal in wave 5 to retest the former top around $4,400
Option 2: Triangle — orange marks
I left this path on the chart last time for visualization and it still could play out
Waves A and B could be completed with waves C, D, E ahead
Option 3: Large sideways consolidation (range, box) — white marks
This scenario implies a flat correction within the established $4,400–$3,900 range
Which path do you think the price will take?
Share your thoughts in the comments below
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.16650
💰TP: 1.17291
⛔️SL: 1.16306
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The mid-term outlook remains on the sellers' side, so given current prices, selling is appropriate, targeting at least 1.14000. In the short term, a further upward move is highly likely, aimed at breaking the resistance at 1.16600. In this case, a short-term buy could be looked for, but with targets no higher than 1.17500, as the mid-term move is likely to be downward.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
GOLD ANALYSIS 12/01/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD continues to weaken as the market prices in Fed rate cuts in 2026. The downward pressure on the dollar provides strong support for gold.
• U.S. Stocks:
U.S. equities edged higher on rate-cut expectations, but the gains are modest → cash flow is not fully risk-on, so gold maintains its safe-haven role.
• FED:
The Fed has signaled the end of its tightening cycle and opened the door to rate cuts starting in Q1/2026 → a strong medium-term catalyst for gold.
• TRUMP:
The Trump administration prioritizes increased defense spending, tax cuts, and tighter trade policies against China. This increases geopolitical risks → continues to support gold prices.
• Gold ETF – SPDR:
SPDR remains inactive, neither buying nor selling. During a long-term uptrend, the fact that SPDR is not selling is a positive signal.
b) Politics:
• Middle East tensions rising again.
• Russia–Ukraine conflict not cooling down.
• U.S.–China trade tensions may escalate.
• China–Japan tensions: Coast guard vessels from both countries repeatedly approach the Senkaku Islands. Japan is increasing military cooperation with the U.S., and China is responding strongly.
• The Trump administration is increasing pressure on Venezuela, threatening to re-impose heavy sanctions if no policy changes occur.
→ Geopolitical risks are rising, continuing to support gold prices.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Market sentiment is neutral–bullish.
• Geopolitical risks + Fed pivot expectations help maintain defensive cash flow.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Gold has broken out of the consolidation triangle and is retesting the previous resistance trendline → now acting as support.
• MA50 & MA20 are trending upward, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
• The 4,186 – 4,200 zone is an ideal retest area for price to rebound.
• Short-term targets: 4,274 → 4,300 → 4,380.
• Only if price breaks below 4,146 will the short-term trend weaken.
Overall technical view: Uptrend established – wait for retest to BUY safely.
RESISTANCE: 4,244 – 4,274 – 4,380
SUPPORT: 4,186 – 4,146 – 4,095
3. Previous Market Session (28/11/25):
• Gold traded in a narrow range, tested the upper trendline, and bounced back.
• No major movement due to lack of big news and SPDR staying inactive.
• Buyers maintain underlying support but not yet strong enough for a breakout.
• Price action mainly technical-driven.
4. Strategy for Today (01/12/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4277 – 4275
SL: 4281
TP1: 4269
TP2: 4263
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4191 – 4193
SL: 4187
TP1: 4199
TP2: 4205
GOLD Breakout Confirmation Bulls trakin ControlUPDATE: Previous GOLD Idea Hit 100% Exactly as Expected! | JT_CHARTsMaster
The last analysis played out perfectly — GOLD followed the exact structure, respected the levels, and completed the move with full accuracy.
Thank you to everyone who supported the previous idea!
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📌 Current Analysis (2H Timeframe)
Gold has broken the key resistance zone, and price is now retesting the breakout area.
After this clean retest, the market is showing signs of bullish continuation.
Key Points:
✔ Previous resistance now acting as support
✔ Break–retest–continuation structure is active
✔ Market is holding above the breakout zone
✔ Bullish momentum is building toward the next targets
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📈 Expected Move
As long as gold stays above the breakout level, the probability of a move toward the next targets remains strong.
I’ve highlighted the expected upward move on the chart with arrows for clarity.
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🙏 Thanks for Your Support
Your boosts, comments, and likes motivate me to share more accurate analyses like this.
👉 If you found this helpful, please Boost the idea and leave a comment — it really helps!
— JT_CHARTsMaster
XAUUSD: Bearish Correction Targets $3822 amidst Uptrend.Scenario: Bearish Corrective Move within a larger Uptrend.
Current Price (Approx.): $4,218.81
Chart Context: Price has already retraced from the recent high of $4,381.73 and is currently hovering near the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,249.74) and above the 0.4 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,158.02).
Key Levels
Key Resistance Zone (Potential Reversal): $4,338 (Close to the recent high/start of the pullback).
Primary Target (Take Profit): $3,822 (Coincides with the 1.0 Fibonacci Retracement level of the structure shown, indicating a full retracement of the move from $3,822.46 to $4,381.73).
XAUUSD — Long-Term Bullish Structure Toward 4708.76Market Structure
Gold remains in a strong long-term bullish trend, supported by higher-timeframe momentum and repeated accumulation phases. The current price action is consolidating above major structural supports, keeping the long-term upside target 4708.76 valid.
Key Support Zones
Key Support Zone 1 — 3839
This is the primary structural floor. As long as price holds above 3839, the bullish trend remains intact and the path toward the higher target stays open.
A clean bounce from this zone would reinforce the bullish continuation.
If 3839 Breaks — Key Support Zone 2 — 2775
A decisive breakdown below 3839 would signal a deeper correction toward the secondary support at 2775.
This zone represents a major historical demand area, where large-scale buying interest is expected to reappear. A hold above 2775 would maintain the long-term bullish macro outlook.
Main Target
4708.76
This is the projected long-term extension target based on the broader impulse wave. As long as gold stays above 3839, the probability of reaching this upper target remains high.
Will gold continue to rise?Gold closed with a doji candlestick on the daily chart, showing a slight increase. The latest 5-day and 7-day moving averages (MA5/MA7) have moved up to support at 4200/4183, while the 10-day and 7-day moving averages (MA10/MA7) remain in an upward crossover. On the short-term 4-hour chart, gold tested the upper Bollinger Band at 4264 before pulling back. On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, moving averages are closely aligned, and the RSI indicator is adjusting near the midline. Gold is currently in a period of consolidation and indicator correction. The key focus today is the strength of the pullback and correction; a decline followed by a rise is expected initially, with the Asian session focusing on the continuation of the pullback.
The current market is in a phase of upward momentum. Based on historical patterns, this typically represents the initial accumulation phase for potential high-level selling. A market turning point is expected as early as early December, and at the latest, mid-December. The momentum of this upward surge is likely to last for two to three days at the beginning of the month, i.e., from Monday to Wednesday this week. Once this short-term momentum weakens, a sharp reversal is possible, initiating a technical correction. Therefore, it is advisable to avoid blindly chasing the price higher during this period.
A clear understanding of the overall market trend is still necessary: we are undoubtedly in a major bull market cycle, and pullbacks are simply accumulating energy for a healthy upward trend in the future. Therefore, the strategic approach should be to "buy on dips." Specifically, in the short term, gold faces resistance in the $4290-$4300 range. $4300, as a key psychological level, will be an important resistance reference area, and the area around it can be seen as the focus of short-term bullish and bearish struggles. Before a fundamental reversal of the trend, every effective pullback should be considered a buying opportunity.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4200, Second Support: 4183, Third Support: 4160
First Resistance: 4250, Second Resistance: 4268, Third Resistance: 4290
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4190-4195, SL: 4180, TP: 4210-4220;
SELL: 4255-4260, SL: 4270, TP: 4240-4230;
More Analysis →
Silver in Canadian Dollars is moving!More than 10 years in this squeezing channel and breaking major resistance lines, expect Silver to keep plowing higher until $100 and possibly above the $150 range (with shallow pullbacks).
$100 will be major resistance, so don't get excited until it sustains well above that for several weeks.
If you compare the 2009 breakout to today, you're seeing very similiar patterns.
SILVER: The Mother of All Cup and Handles? 45-Year BreakoutThis analysis highlights what could be the most significant long-term technical pattern currently forming in the financial markets: a massive, multi-decade Cup and Handle formation on the silver/USD monthly chart.
The Cup (1980 – 2011)
The Cup began with the historic spike in 1980 and was completed with the rally to the same resistance level around $50 per ounce in 2011. This vast, 31-year, rounded consolidation zone represents a massive accumulation and basing phase.
The Handle (2011 – Present)
Following the 2011 peak, silver entered the "Handle" phase. This is the final consolidation period, characterized by price compression and sideways action below the key $50 resistance zone. This phase serves to shake out weak hands and build the energy required for a major long-term structural breakout.
Gold Continued Support Feasible - Next Target for $4500? I believe if the oscillators play out, we can have another trendline support, even with aroon down, it could be quite minimal and a retracement for $4500 support per oz is possible. Gold as an asset and commodity seems to be getting scarcer and the demand for Gold including even in electronics is something I expect will increase. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
4265 AND MORE..Looking at the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, you can see that the price consolidated above 4161 exactly according to the previous analysis, broke the resistance of 4245 and advanced to 4265. Currently, gold is trading in the range of 4237. If it consolidates above the 4161 range, we can expect further growth in the 4265 and 4311 ranges
با بررسی چارت طلا در تایم فریم 4 ساعته مشاهده
میکنید که قیمت دقیقا طبق تحلیل قبلی طلا بالای 4161 تثبیت شد مقاومت 4245 را شکست و تا 4265 رشد کرد.
درحال حاضر طلا در محدوده 4237 درحال ترید می باشد.
در صورت تثبیت بالای محدوده 4161 میتونیم انتظار رشد بیشتر در محدوده های 4265 و 4311 داشته باشیم .






















