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$3,500 per ounce: Gold’s next targetGold has hit a new all-time high, surging more than 35% since the start of the year. According to the World Gold Council, prices climbed 26% in the first half of 2025 , with another 5% gain expected in the second half. Meanwhile, silver (XAGUSD) broke above $41 per ounce for the first time in 14 years, while platinum (XPTUSD) and palladium (XPDUSD) also posted solid gains. The rally is largely driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut. Markets now assign an 88% probability of a 25 bps cut in September — up from just 38% a month ago . Additional momentum came from dovish comments by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who backed policy easing due to rising labor market risks. Despite core PCE inflation rising to 2.9%, investors are betting on a weaker dollar and a flight to safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions are adding to the bullish case. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are fueling demand for “safe harbors.” Meanwhile, the Trump administration is pressuring Swiss gold refiners to relocate production to the US — a demand they’ve refused. In August, Trump also announced that gold imports will remain exempt from tariffs, adding to investor interest. Analysts warn that trade wars and supply chain disruptions could further boost commodity prices. According to FreshForex analysts , gold is expected to trade between $3,300 and $3,600 in the coming months, before making a run toward the $4,000 mark . With global currencies under pressure and recession risks looming, gold continues to serve as a global barometer of trust — and a powerful hedge against uncertainty.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Will gold break through $3,500 next week? 🏅 Gold Market Trend Analysis and Outlook for Next Week 1. Gold News Analysis The July US PCE data showed that core inflation rose from 2.8% to 2.9% year-on-year, slightly exceeding market expectations. The reason why this data is important is that it is one of the inflation indicators that the Federal Reserve values most, and its performance will greatly affect the Federal Reserve's decision at its monetary policy meeting in September. After the data was released, spot gold prices briefly rose and then continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,440 per ounce, reflecting the market's complex interpretation of inflation data and uncertainty about future monetary policy. Expectations of a Fed rate cut are currently the primary market driver. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool, traders currently price in an 85%+ probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. Historical experience shows that a low interest rate environment will reduce the opportunity cost of holding interest-free gold while putting pressure on the US dollar, which is a double benefit for gold. Political uncertainty also provided support for gold prices. President Trump's attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Tim Cook has raised market concerns about the Fed's independence. Cook subsequently filed a lawsuit, arguing that the president had no authority to remove him from office. Such political uncertainty typically increases gold's safe-haven appeal. In terms of the US dollar trend, the US dollar index has continued to weaken recently, which makes gold denominated in US dollars cheaper for overseas buyers, thereby stimulating international demand. New York Fed President John Williams's hints at a possible interest rate cut further reinforced market expectations of a weaker dollar. 2. Gold Technical Analysis Key Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support: The 3400-3405 area is a key support band. If it holds above this level, the bullish and volatile upward trend is likely to continue. Short-term support below is the 3410-3415 area. Key Resistance: Short-term resistance above is initially at $3452 (the June 16 high). A strong break above this level could potentially challenge the $3500 mark. Technical Indicator Signals: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that buyers are gaining momentum, supporting further upward movement in gold prices. 3. Trading Strategy Recommendations Based on the above analysis, the short-term trading strategy for gold next week should primarily focus on long positions on pullbacks, supplemented by short positions on rebounds. Specific Trading Strategies: Long Strategy: When gold pulls back to the 3430-3420 support area, consider buying long positions in batches (buy long), setting a stop-loss below 3418, and targeting the 3440-3450 area. A breakout could target the 3460-3470 area. Short Strategy: When gold rebounds to the 3460-3470 resistance area, consider shorting positions (buy short), Set stop loss above 3475, and targeting the 3440-3430 area. A breakout could target the 3420-3410 area. Risk Control: Maintain good position management and stop-loss orders. Set stop-loss orders strictly and avoid holding onto positions. Pay close attention to changes in market news, especially before and after the release of non-farm payroll data, as market volatility may increase. 5. Summary and Medium- to Long-Term Outlook Overall, gold prices are likely to fluctuate first before determining a new direction next week. In the first half of the week, it will likely fluctuate primarily between 3420 and 3460, awaiting guidance from the non-farm payroll data. In the second half of the week, a breakout direction may be determined based on the data.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
Will gold break through $3,500 next week? 🏅 Gold Market Trend Analysis and Outlook for Next Week 1. Gold News Analysis The July US PCE data showed that core inflation rose from 2.8% to 2.9% year-on-year, slightly exceeding market expectations. The reason why this data is important is that it is one of the inflation indicators that the Federal Reserve values most, and its performance will greatly affect the Federal Reserve's decision at its monetary policy meeting in September. After the data was released, spot gold prices briefly rose and then continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,440 per ounce, reflecting the market's complex interpretation of inflation data and uncertainty about future monetary policy. Expectations of a Fed rate cut are currently the primary market driver. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool, traders currently price in an 85%+ probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. Historical experience shows that a low interest rate environment will reduce the opportunity cost of holding interest-free gold while putting pressure on the US dollar, which is a double benefit for gold. Political uncertainty also provided support for gold prices. President Trump's attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Tim Cook has raised market concerns about the Fed's independence. Cook subsequently filed a lawsuit, arguing that the president had no authority to remove him from office. Such political uncertainty typically increases gold's safe-haven appeal. In terms of the US dollar trend, the US dollar index has continued to weaken recently, which makes gold denominated in US dollars cheaper for overseas buyers, thereby stimulating international demand. New York Fed President John Williams's hints at a possible interest rate cut further reinforced market expectations of a weaker dollar. 2. Gold Technical Analysis Key Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support: The 3400-3405 area is a key support band. If it holds above this level, the bullish and volatile upward trend is likely to continue. Short-term support below is the 3410-3415 area. Key Resistance: Short-term resistance above is initially at $3452 (the June 16 high). A strong break above this level could potentially challenge the $3500 mark. Technical Indicator Signals: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that buyers are gaining momentum, supporting further upward movement in gold prices. 3. Trading Strategy Recommendations Based on the above analysis, the short-term trading strategy for gold next week should primarily focus on long positions on pullbacks, supplemented by short positions on rebounds. Specific Trading Strategies: Long Strategy: When gold pulls back to the 3430-3420 support area, consider buying long positions in batches (buy long), setting a stop-loss below 3418, and targeting the 3440-3450 area. A breakout could target the 3460-3470 area. Short Strategy: When gold rebounds to the 3460-3470 resistance area, consider shorting positions (buy short), Set stop loss above 3475, and targeting the 3440-3430 area. A breakout could target the 3420-3410 area. Risk Control: Maintain good position management and stop-loss orders. Set stop-loss orders strictly and avoid holding onto positions. Pay close attention to changes in market news, especially before and after the release of non-farm payroll data, as market volatility may increase. 5. Summary and Medium- to Long-Term Outlook Overall, gold prices are likely to fluctuate first before determining a new direction next week. In the first half of the week, it will likely fluctuate primarily between 3420 and 3460, awaiting guidance from the non-farm payroll data. In the second half of the week, a breakout direction may be determined based on the data.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
GC1! Thief Trader Mission – Short Gold, Grab the Loot🚨💰 Thief Trader Gold Heist Plan – GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market 🎭🔒 🌟Hey Robbers & Money Makers!🌟 Welcome back to another OG Thief Trader Robbery Plan — today we’re targeting the shining vault of GC1! "The Gold". This time, the mission is BEARISH. The vault doors are heavy, but with layered sell entries, we’re breaking in! 💣💸 📜 The Plan (Swing/Day Trade) Entry 🏴‍☠️: Any price level — but real thieves don’t rush! Use layered sell limit entries like a pro: 🔹 3360.0 🔹 3370.0 🔹 3380.0 (Add more layers if you’re greedy enough 👀💰) Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL @ 3400.0 (but remember, OG’s — adjust your SL with your own risk appetite & strategy). Target 🎯: Police barricade spotted near 3300.0 — our final escape point is 3310.0. Grab the gold & run before the cops catch you 🚔💨. 📊 Thief Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ We don’t enter with just one order — layering strategy is the art of the heist. Multiple entries = multiple chances to loot the market. Scalpers & swingers both welcome to join this robbery. 📰 Thief’s Outlook (Gold Market Status) Trend: Bearish bias 🐻 Setup: Short the rallies 🔥 Sentiment: Overloaded bulls = perfect robbery target 🎯 Fundamentals & Macros: Inflation heat & policy shifts keeping gold shaky ⚖️ ⚠️ Robbery Warning 🚨 Avoid getting trapped during major news releases 📢. Protect your loot with trailing stops 🛡️. Never risk your whole bag on one entry — spread it thief-style. 💖 Support the crew! 💖 Follow, like, and share this heist plan with your robbery gang 🤝. The more OG’s we got, the bigger the score 💎💰. See you after the escape, thieves — with pockets full & smiles wide 🏆🤑🐱‍👤
COMEX:GC1!Short
by The-Thief
Gold Keeps Searching for New HighsHello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ? Gold continues to surprise us one move after another. As the new week opened, the precious metal recorded a historic breakout, trading near the $3,500 level amid ongoing global economic turbulence. From a technical perspective, XAUUSD maintains a solid bullish structure, breaking past key resistance levels. The EMA 34 and 89 both confirm that there is still plenty of room for further upside. This rally not only reflects the market’s “gold hunting” sentiment but also opens major opportunities for traders who can catch the right wave. So, how should we trade? At this sensitive stage, buyers may find it difficult to identify an ideal entry point. For sellers, no new top has yet been confirmed. That’s why it may be safer to wait for clearer signals—whether gold sets a new high or establishes fresh support. For short-term traders, make sure you set both SL and TP with a ratio of 1:1 or 1:2. In addition, there are several news events this week and in the near future that could further impact gold’s trend. I’ll cover these in upcoming analyses, so stay tuned. And you—what do you think about XAUUSD’s direction? Leave a like if you agree with my view, and drop a comment if you’d like to share your thoughts. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
17
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, We kicked off the week strong with our bullish targets at 3458 and then 3477 getting hit. Price is now facing rejection at this zone. If EMA5 breaks above this level and locks, we could see an extension toward 3497. If not, we may revisit lower Goldturns to test support before the weighted level bounces. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3458 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3477 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3497 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3513 BEARISH TARGETS 3439 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3417 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3395 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3369 3352 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3336 3315 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
XAUUSD about to make new ATH and head to $3800Gold (XAUUSD) is on a huge rebound following the double bounce on its 1W MA20 (red trend-line), a level which has been previously associated with the start of very strong rallies. The 2-year Channel Up that started back in October 2023 has always formed a consolidation Triangle before the next Bullish Leg and on the three past occasions that was initiated after a 1W MA20 contact. Assuming we 'just' repeat the minimum +22.41% Bullish Leg, we are targeting at least $3800 before the current peaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
BITCOIN vs GOLD - Massive Fall in 2025?My prediction: TVC:XAU (Gold) will OUTPERFORM CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin) until December of 2025 Here is why: 1. Technical side. The price failed to break through the 33.5 resistance and is now heading downwards. The right shoulder of the H&S pattern has formed clearly. The TVC:XAU chart is very bullish, breaking resistance one by one. In contrast, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC failed to hold above the $117,000 resistance, resulting in a hard dump that seems to be far from over. 2. Fundamental side. People buy gold during uncertain times, and we are currently on the verge of experiencing such a period. Rate cuts are already priced in, and each FOMC meeting is a "sell the news" event. If only Powell refuses to cut rates or cut it just one - markets, especially SP:SPX , will be heavily affected. When crypto and stocks are falling, people buy gold—it's a simple rule. I'm not calling for a massive correction in the stock and crypto markets, but holding some gold in your portfolio during the fall of 2025 seems like the right thing to do.
TVC:BTCXAUShort
by RobertMercer
Gold Buy and Sell Scenarios 📊 Gold (XAU/USD) – Buy & Sell Scenarios for Today Gold is dancing around key levels today, offering both bullish and bearish setups depending on how price reacts to resistance and support zones. Here's a brief breakdown you can use for your TradingView idea: 🟢 Buy Scenario - Entry: Above $3,450 breakout or bounce from $3,373 support - Confirmation: RSI > 60, MACD crossover, bullish candlestick pattern - Target: $3,500 psychological level or July high at $3,439 - Stop Loss: Below $3,373 or recent swing low 💬 "Gold holding strong above key support—looking for bullish continuation toward $3,500 if momentum confirms." 🔴 Sell Scenario - Entry: Rejection near $3,439–$3,450 resistance zone - Confirmation: Bearish engulfing, RSI divergence, or Bollinger Band reversal - Target: $3,373 or deeper pullback to $3,351 - Stop Loss: Above $3,450 or recent wick high 💬 "Gold showing signs of exhaustion near resistance—short setup in play if price fails to break above $3,450."
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by TradingHub_FX_crypto
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear subscribers, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3475.8 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 3483.9 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 3462.6 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
1:2 RR Trade on gold NOW📊 Gold Trade Idea – 1:2 Risk-to-Reward Setup You're eyeing a clean 1:2 RR trade on gold (XAU/USD), likely based on a high-probability setup. Here's a crisp breakdown for your TradingView post: 🟡 Trade Setup Summary - Entry Zone: Near recent support or breakout level - Stop Loss: Tight, just below structure or key moving average - Target: 2x the risk, aligned with resistance or Fibonacci extension - Bias: Momentum favors bullish continuation (or reversal, if countertrend) - Confirmation: Price action + volume spike or indicator confluence (e.g., RSI, MACD) 💬 "Executing a disciplined 1:2 RR trade on gold. Clean structure, tight risk, and clear target. Let’s see how it plays out."
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by TradingHub_FX_crypto
Record-Breaking Gold Faces Correction Below 3,474Gold futures surged to a fresh record high, supported by mounting concerns over the Fed’s independence, growing expectations for rate cuts, and ongoing tariff uncertainty. Technical Outlook: 🔻 Bearish correction: While below 3,474, price may see a pullback toward 3,460 → 3,450 → 3,436 before attempting another push higher. 🔺 Bullish momentum: A sustained move above 3,486 would confirm renewed upside, targeting 3,502 and beyond. Key Levels: Pivot: 3,474 Support: 3,460 – 3,450 – 3,436 Resistance: 3,486 – 3,502 📌 Bias: Bullish overall, but expect a short-term correction if price holds below 3,474. previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
1
XAUUSD - hit lifetime highs The rally was driven by market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and robust industrial demand. Recent US data showed core PCE inflation rising 2.9% annually in July, the fastest since February, while consumer spending jumped the most in four months, signalling economic resilience. These figures kept September rate cut expectations intact, with Fed Governor Waller backing a 25 bps reduction and further easing in the coming months. On the industrial front, silver demand was further bolstered by China’s expanding solar energy sector," said Axis Securities.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by DynamicCapital-FX
SILVER (XAG/USD)-RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT (READ CAPTION)Hello! Resistance: 40.700 Support: 40.500 Demand Zone: 39.600 Risk Level (Invalidation): 41.200 Silver is currently consolidating between 40.500 support and 40.700 resistance. If buyers defend the support, price may attempt a move toward resistance. A breakout above 40.700 could extend the bullish momentum. If support fails, the next strong demand zone is at 39.600, where buyers may step back in. For risk management, 41.200 is the invalidation level — if price moves above this, bearish setups become unsafe For more safe chart updates and analysis, you can follow my profile.
TVC:SILVERShort
by haleh120
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would continue with the chart we shared for Jackson Hole as it was going to plan and the move was expected to continue. We said we would be looking for the red box to be tapped and as long as it didn’t break, a move downside into the lower red box defence was likely. This move worked nearly to the pip giving traders a nice short trade. We then said, as long as we’re above the defence box, we’ll continue the range and look for more upside, which as you can see again played well between the boxes and then the break occurred, giving us the move upside. A decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and apply the algo to. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? Many traders will be looking at this and thinking we’re too high and stretched here to attempt a long, which is the right plan for now. Having said that, we’re not discounting a move upside during the early session, with the first level above being the 3455-60 region. It’s this region, if rejected, that can give traders the potential opportunity to attempt the short trade initially into the 3440-35 region which is the level that needs to be watched if attacked for a break. Above, that key level 3460 is the region bulls need to push us over with volume in order for us to then look at targeting higher pricing with levels above 3468 and above that 3485-90 There isn’t a lot on the fundamental front this week apart from NFP on Friday so expect there to be a lot of choppy price action and ranging towards the middle of the week pre-event. KOG’s bias of the week: No bias for the week, we’ll release the daily bias instead and play level to level RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3450 for 3455, 3462, 3468 and 3480 in extension of the move Break below 3440 for 3436, 3430 and 3422 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
40
SILVER Will Go Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for SILVER. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 3,886.6. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,040.5 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 1stGold Support and Resistance: Daily Chart Resistance: 3500, Support: 3405 4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3490, Support: 3422 1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3490, Support: 3454 News: Gold continued its upward trend in Asian trading on Monday, reaching a high of $3489.8, a new high since April. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with the CME tool showing an 87% probability of a rate cut. This has led to a continued weakening of the US dollar, providing support for non-interest-bearing gold. At the same time, growing market concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence have further weakened the dollar's appeal and increased gold's safe-haven value. Technical Analysis: The daily candlestick chart is currently maintaining a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. There are no signs of a peak in the short term. Focus on the resistance zone around 3500 in the short term. Spot gold's 4-hour MACD is currently forming a golden cross with high volume, and the STO indicator is overbought, indicating a bullish trend in the 4-hour chart. Current support lies near the MA5 moving average, corresponding to 3447, followed by the MA10 moving average, at 3430. The NY market is focused on potential selling pressure above 3495-3510, while short-term support below is expected in the 3456-3447 range. My personal recommendation: Buy on dips! Tonight gold trading recommendations: BUY: near 3451-3456. BUY: near 3437-3442. Consolidation near historical highs is occurring, with increasing buyer/seller liquidity. Use a small S-L position for trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ