Metals
Platinum to Break All-Time High as Gold in '24 & Silver in '25Gold has broken above their all-time highs last year, and silver has also broken is all time high this high this year, but platinum has not. Does this mean platinum still has more upside potential than gold and silver?
Its video version:
Platinum is not classified as a precious metal but rather as a “quasi-monetary hard asset”. The word “quasi” comes from Latin, meaning “as if” or “almost but not exactly.”
According to UBS report last two week, platinum has been attracting buyers as a “quasi-monetary hard asset” and as a “scarcity-backed store of value”.
When gold and silver become too expensive for investors, they tend to turn to other commodities whose fundamentals are emerging.
Though all these metals seem to have corrected much the past few days, studies do not indicate that they have peaked, and heading for a long-term downtrend.
For a healthy trend to continue backed by fundamentals, I always welcome short to mid-term correction.
As discussed previously, with ongoing de-dollarization and inflationary pressures, I believe that precious metals will continue to take the lead.
Platinum Futures & Options
Ticker: PL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
GOLD ANALYSIS (1 W)To understand the psychology in Gold,
I use only two tools:
Fibonacci retracement,
Trend-based Fibonacci extension.
We will use these two tools to measure the weekly cycles.
Since November 2022, Gold has been forming a pattern that can only be explained by Fibonacci principles.
Using Fibonacci retracement for each swing high and low, you'll realize that each retracement equals around 50%.
In only one example, we see that a higher low reaches the 61.8% level, which is also acceptable.
After these retracements, the next leg of the impulsive move always reaches around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
According to these two basic technical factors, Gold should first reach around $3,800, and then aim for the $6,600 level during the next impulsive leg in the coming years.
I’m not even going to list all the reasons why Gold tends to go up over time.
Most people reading this analysis are already aware of the fundamentals behind Gold’s long-term bullish nature.
Thanks for reading.
15 minute structure updateThe sellers' target for this time frame has been touched.
In the meantime, the 4051 liquidity level has been built, which will be a return to the liquidity hunt and a pullback to the specified support areas, which will be the selling position for lower targets and liquidity. In the 1-hour time frame, the current bottom has sellers' liquidity, so the sellers will return the price to this bottom.
Analysis link:
AUDUSD Eyes 0.6500 as Softer CPI and Weak Jobs Data Weigh on USDHey Traders,
In the coming week, we’re monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65000 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend, with the current pullback shaping up as a healthy correction toward key structural support.
Structure:
Price continues to respect its ascending trendline, and the 0.65000 area aligns with a strong confluence of horizontal support and dynamic trend structure — a level that has previously attracted strong buying momentum.
Macro Outlook:
The latest U.S. inflation print came in softer at 3.0%, undershooting expectations, while labour market data continues to signal cooling conditions. Together, these developments reinforce a dovish shift in Fed sentiment, weighing on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).
At the same time, Gold continues to rally, underpinned by the weakening Dollar and rising safe-haven demand. Given the positive correlation between AUD and Gold, this macro backdrop strengthens the bullish case for AUDUSD in the coming sessions.
Next Move:
A sustained bid around 0.65000 could mark the start of another impulse leg higher — targeting a retest of recent highs if momentum confirms.
Trade safe,
Joe
GOLD 4H | Harmonic AB=CD Bearish Reversal in PlayGold recently formed a clear double top at the all-time high (ATH), accompanied by a bearish divergence on higher timeframes — signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. That divergence has played out perfectly, aligning with the current bearish market structure.
The price has now broken below the key accumulation range between 4000 and 4149, confirming a shift in sentiment. With the trend consistently printing lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the overall market bias remains bearish.
🔹 Technical Breakdown
We currently have a bearish AB=CD pattern completing near the 3800 zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden ratio (0.618) on the D leg.
Although AB=CD is traditionally a bullish harmonic pattern, here it’s being used within a downtrend context to identify a potential reversal or continuation zone — depending on market reaction at D.
Key Zone to Watch:
🟡 3800 – 3840 → Major potential reaction zone (Fib confluence + AB=CD completion).
If sellers hold this level, we could see further downside momentum.
🔹 Daily Chart View
On the daily timeframe, bullish momentum looks weak — every recovery candle is smaller, and volume favors sellers. With the AB=CD pattern confirmation and price failing to reclaim the 40050 zone, the bias stays bearish.
🔹 Weekly Chart Insight
Historically, gold tends to retrace after 9 consecutive straight bullish weekly candles.
From 1990 to 2025, each 9-week rally phase has been followed by a notable correction ranging from 6% to 14%, showing that extended rallies often precede profit-taking phases.
This current rally phase mirrors that same behavior patterns — making a corrective move toward 3800–3700 highly probability.
🧭 Final BIAS
The technical confluence between the bearish structure, double top + divergence, and AB=CD D-leg near golden ratio and 9 week rally gives a high-probability bearish setup.
If 3940 fails to hold, next potential downside target lies near 3900-3775, aligned with long-term structure support.
XAUUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP🧭 Market Context
Pair: Gold / USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15-minute
Current price: ≈ $3,981.72
The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows.
A Break of Structure (BOS) has confirmed bearish control after liquidity was taken from the previous high.
🧱 Key Zones
Supply Zone (Sell area):
Highlighted in red: around $3,985 – $3,990
This zone aligns with a prior imbalance and structure break, where sellers stepped in.
Demand Zone (Target area):
Highlighted in green: around $3,957 – $3,950
This is where previous buying occurred and where liquidity likely rests below.
📉 Sell Setup Details
Entry (Sell limit): ~$3,985.00
Inside the lower half of the red supply zone for best risk-to-reward.
Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,990.00
Above the supply zone and last minor high to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $3,970.00 — midpoint between current price and main target (≈1:2 R:R)
TP2: $3,957.00 — lower demand zone (≈1:4 R:R)
⚙️ Trade Logic
Liquidity Grab: The previous high near $3,990 was taken out — a classic liquidity sweep before the drop.
Break of Structure: A clean BOS confirms sellers now dominate.
Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the supply zone, ideal for short re-entry.
Imbalance fill: The retracement aligns with a fair value gap (FVG) that may get mitigated before continuation down.
💡 Trade Management Tips
If price rejects strongly before entering the full zone, consider a market entry after a bearish engulfing or M1 BOS confirmation.
Move SL to breakeven once price passes $3,972.
Partial close at TP1, let remainder run to TP2.
BTCUSD SELL IDEACurrent price: around $114,976
Recent structure: The price made a CHoCH after forming a lower high around $115,600, signaling a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
BOS confirmation: A break of structure downward confirms sellers taking control.
Supply zone: A red zone above ~$115,400–$116,000 shows a bearish supply area, where price could retrace to before continuing lower.
Expected move: A short-term pullback (retracement) toward ~$115,200–$115,400 before a continuation down toward the demand zone near $113,200–$112,800.
📉 Sell idea summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry zone: ~$115,200–$115,400 (after retracement)
Target: ~$113,200
Stop loss: Above ~$115,600
SilverTechnical Analysis – XAG/USD (Silver)
After a strong downtrend, the price of silver (XAG/USD) shows clear signs of seller exhaustion at the 48,000 level, which now acts as key support. A breakout of the downtrend line indicates a possible reversal and renewed buying momentum.
As long as the price remains above support, the outlook favors an upward movement toward the resistance at 51,500–52,000, where the next point of liquidity and selling interest is located.
*A close below 47,800 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Ahead!As I expected , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to drop thanks to the Double Top Pattern and reached its target at the Support zone($4,011 – $3,981) .
Now, do you think Gold will start dropping again, or will it resume its recent weeks’ uptrend?
Today, I’m going to do a short-term 15-minute analysis of Gold , so stay tuned.
At the moment, Gold is approaching a Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) —also a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) —and moving within an ascending channel . Overall, the recent moves in Gold over the past couple of days look like a pullback to the previous Support zone($4,192 – $4,137) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems that Gold , given the momentum of its recent drop, is completing corrective waves, and we should expect another decline .
I expect Gold to start dropping again from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and PRZ , and AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel , it could fall at least down to around $4,039(First Target) .
Second Target: Support zone($4,011 – $3,981)
Stop Loss(SL): $4,222
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long Term Gold Indicators Turning BearishSome of the long term indicators I check give me warning about 15%-20% correction possibility. With US - China deal done, I'm start to turn more bearish. If 4045 broken, the chances of 4000 support fail may not be low as I first thought. So I plan for a short entry from 4113 with 3.98 RR. For safer entry, 4045 break could be used, of course with shorter stop level, If 4113 won't be reached, I plan to post another short position version here.
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for October 27.Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4210, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4140, Support: 4005
1-Hour Resistance: 4100, Support: 4015
After hitting a record high last week, gold prices have retreated, dropping over $300. Friday's close confirms the onset of a weekly downturn.
In terms of indicators, the RSI has begun to fall back below the 80 level, and on the daily chart, it has even broken through the 4050 bull-bear dividing line. The MACD fast and slow lines have formed a death cross, and the green momentum bar is declining with increasing volume. In short, it's clear that the broader cycle is quietly turning, or more accurately, the upward trend is pausing.
From the hourly chart, today's Asian session opened sharply lower. This is partly a reaction to weekend news, and partly due to the inherent weakness of the market, which requires adjustment. The subsequent rebound failed to even break the upward closing gap, and then began a rapid decline. This is the result of bearish dominance.
The 1-hour chart is currently in a bearish flag consolidation pattern. The 4000 level is likely to be retested or even broken, so today's strategy is to sell high and buy low.
SELL: near 4100
SELL: near 4140
BUY: near 4005
More Analysis →
Silver’s Bull Run Isn’t Over Yet – Here’s Why!Hey traders, today is a great time to revisit the Silver vs. Gold debate .
Fundamentally, Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) is currently hitting some pretty impressive levels. In fact, we’ve just seen Silver break above its All-Time High(ATH), surpassing $50, driven by strong industrial demand and global economic uncertainties .
What does this mean for us? Well, while Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) remains the classic safe haven, silver’s dual role—both as a precious metal and a key industrial commodity—gives it a unique edge right now. The recent breakout suggests that silver might actually be an even more compelling bullish play than gold in the current market environment.
So if you’re feeling bullish, there’s a solid fundamental case for silver shining a bit brighter these days. Let's keep an eye on how it moves.
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Let’s dive into the 4-hour timeframe for silver . Recently, with the help of a head and shoulders pattern , silver began a correction and reached its target .
At the moment, it looks like Silver has completed its pullback to a heavy resistance zone($49.82-$43.00) and is now moving near a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and a Support line .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems that silver has completed its main wave 3(New ATH=$49.82) and is currently working through its main wave 4 , which so far looks like a Zigzag Correction .
I expect that Silver will resume its upward movement and climb at least up to about $50.77(First Target) .
Second Target: $52.61
Stop Loss(SL): $45.82(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Silver/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (XAGUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Silver support retest at 4737The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4737 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4737 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4980 – initial resistance
5066 – psychological and structural level
5166 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4737 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4667 – minor support
4600 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4737. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold retest of the pivotal 4010 levelThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4010 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4010 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4215 – initial resistance
4270 – psychological and structural level
4315 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4010 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3985 – minor support
3955– stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4010. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD - Gold awaits a decisive week?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly timeframe and is trading in its range. A break below or above this range will lead to a continuation of the trend in the same direction. A correction towards the demand range will provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. And a rise will provide us with the next short position!
After experiencing one of the worst trading sessions for gold in recent years and failing to achieve its tenth consecutive week of gains, many traders, analysts, and retail investors are now wondering where the gold market is headed next.
Mark Leibovit, publisher of the VR Metals/Resource Letter, took a cautious stance, saying:
“At the moment, I prefer not to hold any position in the market. I’m simply observing and waiting to see how conditions unfold.”
With the U.S. federal government shutdown still ongoing, the release of economic data next week is expected to be limited. As a result, market attention will once again shift toward central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.
On Tuesday, the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for October will be released. However, the main market movements are expected on Wednesday, when the Bank of Canada’s policy decision and the U.S. pending home sales data will be published — followed by the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement. Later, the Bank of Japan will provide an update on its monetary stance, and finally, the week will conclude with the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy decision on Thursday, which could also influence the euro’s direction.
It is widely expected that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
The Fed aims to lower borrowing costs and support the labor market through this move. Having kept rates elevated for an extended period to combat stubborn inflation, policymakers now view labor market stability as a higher priority, given that recent data show inflation remains persistent but under control.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, which tracks rate expectations through federal funds futures, the FOMC is likely to reduce the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75%–4.00%, marking a second consecutive rate cut.
While many Fed officials have expressed readiness to ease rates, opinions still differ on the pace and extent of future reductions.
The outlook for upcoming policy actions remains uncertain, as the Fed continues to balance its dual mandate from Congress — containing inflation while maximizing employment.
A rate cut would bring the federal funds rate closer to a neutral level, where it neither stimulates nor restrains economic activity. Although the Fed kept rates high to fight inflation, the recent weakening in the labor market has become a more pressing concern.
Even though inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% annual target, officials are increasingly worried about the health of the labor market, as job creation has nearly stalled in recent months.
By lowering the federal funds rate, the Fed seeks to reduce short-term borrowing costs, encourage lending and investment, and bolster employment.
At the same time, trade tariffs are contributing both to rising prices and slower job growth. These import taxes have created uncertainty among business leaders, discouraging expansion plans and pushing higher costs onto consumers.
The Fed now faces the challenge of making interest rate decisions without access to many key economic reports it typically relies upon. In fact, the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) may be the last major economic data release the central bank receives for some time.
Other crucial government reports — including employment and GDP growth data — have been delayed or suspended due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, and may not be released at all for October.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Testing key support zone near 4,020 USDGold (XAU/USD) – Testing key support zone near 4,020 USD, potential short-term rebound
On the 15-minute chart, Gold (XAU/USD) continues to show weakness after failing to hold above the 4,080 USD resistance. Price action has formed a clear lower-high structure, indicating sellers remain in control.
Currently, gold is testing the horizontal support area around 4,010 – 4,020 USD, which previously acted as a strong demand zone. The market is consolidating in this region, suggesting that a short-term reaction or pullback could occur before the next major move.
Technical Outlook
Resistance: 4,080 – 4,090 USD
Support: 4,010 – 4,000 USD
Market Structure: Lower-High / Lower-Low (bearish bias)
EMA50: Slope remains downward, confirming short-term bearish momentum
RSI: Near oversold territory on lower timeframes, indicating possible rebound pressure
Despite the downward trend, the proximity to the 4,010 USD support zone increases the likelihood of a technical bounce toward 4,080 USD before any continuation lower.
Trading Plan Suggestion
Buy (counter-trend scalp):
Entry: 4,030 – 4,035 USD
Stop Loss: 4,010 USD
Take Profit: 4,080 USD
Sell (trend continuation):
Entry: 4,083 – 4,090 USD (after rejection)
Stop Loss: 4,110 USD
Take Profit: 4,020 – 4,000 USD
Summary
Gold remains in a short-term downtrend, but buyers may attempt to defend the 4,010 USD level. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could trigger a temporary pullback, whereas a breakdown below 4,000 USD would confirm further weakness toward 3,950 USD.
Keep this setup on your watchlist — follow to receive daily price action updates and intraday trading strategies.
GBP/USD on the 2-hour timeframe...GBP/USD on the 2-hour timeframe, using Ichimoku Cloud and trendline breakout structure.
My marked a “Target Point” with an arrow pointing upward — this suggests you’re identifying a potential bullish breakout target after the price broke above a descending trendline and out of the consolidation box.
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Key Observations:
Current Price: Around 1.3345
Breakout Zone: Around 1.3320 – 1.3340
Target Zone (as per your chart): Approximately 1.3460 – 1.3470
Support Zone: Around 1.3300 – 1.3310 (recent consolidation box bottom)
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📈 Estimated Target:
✅ Target = 1.3466 (±10 pips)
This aligns with the level i marked on the chart as the “Target Point.”
That’s about +120 pips potential from the breakout region (~1.3340 → 1.3460).
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🔍 Technical Justification:
Price seems to have broken above the descending trendline.
The Ichimoku Cloud is thinning and may turn bullish if price sustains above it.
The measured move (height of the box added to the breakout level) also roughly aligns with 1.3460.
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XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, here’s the analysis based on what’s visible:
My drawn a rising trendline that has been broken to the downside — suggesting a bearish breakout.
The price is currently trading around $4,035, below the Ichimoku cloud (which adds to bearish confirmation).
I have two target points already marked on the chart, showing potential downside levels.
Based on my chart markings:
🎯 Target 1: Around $3,960
🎯 Target 2: Around $3,780 – $3,800
These targets match the measured move from the range of the consolidation (roughly $150–$200) projected downward from the breakout level.
✅ Summary:
Current price: ~$4,035
First target: ~$3,960
Second target: ~$3,780
Bearish bias remains valid while price stays below ~$4,150–$4,200 (the resistance and cloud zone).
XAUUSD | Correction of the Corrective ImpulseThe Market Flow | Oct 26, 2025
Technical Overview
Monthly/Weekly:
• Both remain in structural expansion phases following a strong higher-timeframe impulse.
• Bias continues long above prior pivots, maintaining bullish structure despite current mid-term correction.
Daily:
• Broke the previous valley (daily pivot) and reached the daily breakout zone at 4040.20 .
• This defines the ongoing corrective impulse against the dominant bullish trend.
• Price is attempting to correct that impulse, forming a counter-correction structure beneath resistance.
H4/H1:
• Local wave structure is consolidating after a multi-leg retracement.
• The corrective move remains contained between the H4 pivot 4060.68 and EXP 4129.14 .
• The green EXP level at 4129.14 represents a clean, untested M15 breakdown —the active long trigger .
• Targets align with H1 Fibonacci 138.2–161.8% and the correction 61.8% retracement zone near 4204–4246 .
• Momentum fading below the EXP would imply continuation within the corrective leg.
Trade Structure & Levels
• Bias: Long above 4060.68
• Trigger = Break and sustained hold above 4129.14 (M15 EXP)
• Primary Invalidation = 4060.68 (H4 pivot)
• Secondary Invalidation = 4054.68 (H1 pivot)
• Path → 4129 → 4204 → 4239 → 4246
• Phase: Counter-corrective advance within a higher-timeframe expansion
Risk & Event Context
• Low probability structure as it represents a correction of the corrective impulse.
• Watch intraday reactions at the M15 expansion level—failure to confirm beyond it keeps bias neutral.
• Volatility expected around USD macro data.
Conclusion
XAUUSD is attempting a minor counter-correction within a broader corrective phase. The M15 expansion level at 4129.14 is the structural trigger for continuation toward 4204–4246, but the move remains fragile as long as price trades below the daily breakout pivot.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.






















