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XAU/USD – Gold Technical Outlook (October 9, 2025)Market Structure Overview Gold continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, showing consistent bullish momentum since late September. The price is respecting the channel’s midline and remains supported by a strong EMA cluster alignment — EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA100 > EMA200 — confirming the dominant uptrend. Technical Highlights Price recently bounced from the dynamic EMA50 and resumed its upward leg. The consolidation zones from earlier in the trend (highlighted rectangles) served as accumulation phases before each breakout. The current candle structure indicates mild exhaustion, but momentum remains intact as long as the 4,030 zone holds. Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: 4,004 – 4,030 (EMA confluence and previous breakout base) Resistance Zone: 4,090 – 4,120 (upper channel boundary) Trendline Support: Rising from 3,970, aligning with the lower edge of the channel Trading Strategy Primary Bias: Bullish continuation within channel Buy Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 (look for bullish confirmation candle) Stop-Loss: Below 4,000 (beneath EMA100) Take-Profit Targets: 4,090 – 4,120 – open extension toward 4,150 If price closes below 4,000, expect a corrective pullback toward 3,970 before any rebound attempt. Technical Indicators EMA Structure: Perfect bullish alignment RSI (H1): Hovering around 62 – slight overbought but still healthy for a trending market Fibonacci Extension: 161.8% projection aligns near 4,120, adding confluence to the resistance target Conclusion Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with the current consolidation likely serving as a bullish continuation flag. As long as price holds above 4,030, the path of least resistance remains upward toward 4,100+. - Follow to stay updated with high-precision gold trading insights and intraday setups every session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
5
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year. The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style) • Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point. • The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter. • Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation. • Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070 SL: 4077 TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in. • On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops. • Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure. 🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
13
Gold Holds 4,010 Ahead of Powell as Shutdown Clouds CPI OutlookHey Traders, In today’s session, we’re keeping a close eye on XAUUSD for a potential buy setup around the 4,010 zone. Gold remains in a broader uptrend, and the current pullback brings price action near a key support and trend confluence that could attract fresh buyers. All eyes are on Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today. With the U.S. government shutdown disrupting key economic releases, including a possible delay of next week’s CPI data, Powell’s tone could heavily influence short-term Dollar sentiment—and by extension, Gold momentum. If Powell hints at policy caution amid data uncertainty, the safe-haven narrative could re-emerge quickly. We’ll be watching closely for a potential technical trigger to align with the macro backdrop. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
13
GOLD corrects as US announces ceasefire agreementSpot OANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply by nearly $30 in early Asian trading on October 9, to around $4,012 an ounce, after news of a historic ceasefire between Israel and Hamas was confirmed. Markets reacted quickly to US President Donald Trump's announcement that the two sides had signed the first phase of a Washington-brokered peace plan. All hostages would be released and Israeli troops would withdraw from Gaza according to an agreed roadmap. Trump described it as "the first step towards a lasting and sustainable peace in the Middle East", and thanked Qatar, Egypt and Turkey for their role in mediating. Bloomberg reported that the deal was signed in Sharm el-Sheikh (Egypt), after several rounds of tense negotiations. According to the agreement, Hamas will release about 20 living hostages and return the remains of more than 20 dead people, while Israel will free nearly 2,000 Palestinian prisoners. The comprehensive ceasefire took effect from 12:00 noon Cairo time, with guarantees from the US, Egypt, Qatar and Turkey. In the short term, the sudden improvement in global risk appetite following this news is the main reason for the decline in gold prices. Investors shifted to higher-yielding assets, while the recent hot rally pushed technical indicators into overbought territory, triggering short-term profit-taking. The previous day, gold prices had surpassed the $4,059 mark per ounce, a new record high, thanks to increased safe-haven flows due to geopolitical tensions and loose monetary policy. However, news from the Middle East has temporarily reversed the trend, showing the high sensitivity of gold to geopolitical developments in the current uncertain period. Outlook: Investors will closely monitor the implementation of the ceasefire agreement and the reaction of the US bond market in the coming days. If risk sentiment continues to improve and yields increase slightly, gold may temporarily correct before establishing a new accumulation zone around the $4,000/ounce threshold. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD • Trend: Gold remains in the ascending channel formed since August 2025, with a higher peak-to-trough structure. • Short-term resistance: 4,044 /SD (Fib 0.382) and the $4,110–$4,180 zone (Fib 0.5–$0.618). This is an important resistance zone in the short term. • Nearest support: $3,955 (Fib 0.236), followed by the $3,870–$3,900 zone, coinciding with the MA21 line. • RSI: Remains above 70, indicating overbought conditions and the possibility of a technical correction before further increases. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4092 - 4090⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4096 →Take Profit 1 4084 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4078 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3985 - 3987⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3981 →Take Profit 1 3993 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3999
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted that gold was extended and due for a retracement. Price failed to hold above 4046 and sharply pulled back, testing the upper edge of the First Reaction Zone, which also aligns with the MA50, now acting as dynamic support. For bullish momentum to continue toward 4064 and 4080, price needs to reclaim and hold above 4046. Failure to do so could trigger another retest of the reaction zone and potentially a deeper pullback toward the lower support levels before buyers step back in. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4046 4064 4080 Support: 4020 4000 3970 3937 3909 🔎Fundamental Focus | October 9, 2025 Today’s spotlight is on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which is expected to set the tone for the day. Markets will be watching closely for any hints on rate-cut timing or comments addressing economic risks amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Additional Fed officials — Bowman and Barr — are also scheduled to speak throughout the day, which could add layers of volatility if their remarks differ in tone from Powell’s. With U.S. data releases still limited by the shutdown, today’s Fed communications will be the key market driver.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Do you dare to follow the short selling?Judging from the hourly chart, gold rebounded after testing the lower support several times, and stagnated after rebounding to around 4040. After closing the hourly line with a doji, it formed a large negative line. This pattern means that gold may pull back to test the lower support in the short term. Secondly, gold is still under trend suppression in the short term, so we have good reasons to short it. If gold rebounds again to around 4030-4040, we could consider a light short position, with an eye on 4015-4000. For more real-time updates, please follow🌐
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allen_Boswell
2
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets... Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold. Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100 Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986 Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
Stop!Loss|Market View: GBPUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the GBPUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 1.33901 💰TP: 1.32752 ⛔️SL: 1.35128 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The price again fell below the 1.34000 area after forming an accumulation. This situation suggests that sellers are once again attempting a decline to 1.33500 and maybe to 1.31600. The local downtrend is also indicated by the moving averages' crossover. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
XAU/USD Daily Outlook – October 9, 2025Gold continues its strong bullish momentum, maintaining a clear ascending channel on the H1 timeframe. After testing the upper boundary near 4,080, the price has made a slight pullback toward 4,020 – 4,000, where fresh demand is forming. - Technical Overview Main Trend: Bullish Current Structure: Higher highs and higher lows within the rising channel Key Support Zones: 4,000 – 3,985 (short-term support) 3,950 – 3,930 (mid-term liquidity base) Key Resistance Zones: 4,080 – 4,100 (immediate resistance) 4,150 – 4,160 (extension target) - Trading Strategy Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip: If price retests the 4,000 – 3,985 zone and shows bullish rejection, consider long entries targeting 4,080 → 4,120 → 4,150. Scenario 2 – Breakout Continuation: If gold breaks above 4,080 with strong momentum and volume, the next leg could push toward the 4,150 – 4,160 zone. Stop Loss: Below 3,970 (to protect against channel breakdown). - Indicators EMA Cluster (20 & 50): Providing strong dynamic support below 4,000. RSI: Still above 55, showing bullish control but watch for potential divergence on lower timeframes. - Market Sentiment The overall sentiment remains bullish as long as gold trades inside the ascending channel. A short-term correction is normal before another rally phase begins. Keep your focus on 4,000 – 3,985 as the key accumulation zone. A rebound from here could confirm the next bullish impulse toward new highs above 4,150.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2
Gold Futures – Pre-Killzone WatchPrice spent all of yesterday grinding bullish with strong impulsive legs, but things are finally slowing down near the highs. We’re now seeing signs that the market might be ready for a pullback or liquidity grab before deciding its next leg. Current Range: 4,005 (D-L) → 4,081 (D-H) Bias: Bullish overall, but watching for short-term weakness. Gameplan: Look for a possible sweep above 4,081 during London or NY Killzone. If we get a sharp rejection or displacement after that sweep, I’ll be interested in a sell setup targeting the 4,046–4,005 range. If price holds above 4,046 and forms clean FVGs, continuation to 4,100+ stays on the table. This is the pause before the next move. No reason to front-run it — I’ll let the killzone reveal where the liquidity really wants to go. 💭 Patience pays — wait for the sweep and shift. — Woodz | #NOFOMO
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
SILVER Free Signal From ATH! Sell! Hello,Traders! SILVER hovers just below its all-time high at 50$, showing clear signs of exhaustion as Smart Money distributes near premium pricing. A short-term correction is likely as liquidity above is swept and price seeks rebalancing. Time Frame 3H. ------------------- Stop Loss: 50.06$ Take Profit: 47.74$ Entry: 48.87$ Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
Gold Holds 3,900 Support Amid Dollar Slowdown and Global TensionHey Traders, in today’s session we’re closely monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,900 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and the current pullback appears to be a healthy correction approaching key trend support. Structure: The broader trend remains bullish, with price consolidating after its recent highs. The 3,900 level stands out as a technical pivot where buyers could regain control. Macro context: The US Dollar Index is approaching major daily resistance around 98.300, suggesting potential exhaustion in the current USD rebound. Meanwhile, political and fiscal developments in Japan where a notably dovish administration has just taken power could further support demand for safe-haven assets like Gold. Market sentiment: A combination of fiscal expansion abroad and rising uncertainty surrounding the ongoing US government shutdown is fueling risk aversion. If these pressures persist, Gold could retest the 4,000 zone sooner than expected. Key focus: Watching how price reacts around 3,900 for potential bullish continuation in line with the broader trend. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
21
Gold/Oil Signaling Market Is In A Super Bubble Gold = Fear Oil = how strong the economy is. Except for COVID we have never seen such an extreme reading. Yet people are buying up stocks like we will never again be able to produce another stock again as long as we live! Tulips! Here are just a few of the factors to consider that make this indicator important. Why This Indicator Matters: Key Factors at a Glance Gold’s Surge Signals a Shift Gold has soared nearly 60% year-to-date, adding a staggering $10 trillion in market capitalization. This rally effectively erases all the stock market gains made since May 2021, including those driven by AI enthusiasm and speculative tech runs. USD Can Only Be Measured Against Gold As the world’s reserve currency, the U.S. dollar’s real value is best gauged in terms of gold. This is a critical point—because when gold rises this dramatically, it reflects monetary inflation. A large part of the stock market rally has been driven by an expanding money supply, not true value creation. Curiously, this inflation hasn’t shown up in oil prices, which have collapsed, despite geopolitical risks. More on that below. The Dollar’s Worst Year in Decades 2025 marks one of the most significant declines for the U.S. dollar in recent history. Its role as the world reserve currency (WRC) has diminished—from 85% in the 1970s to just 50% today. Trade wars and tariffs are only accelerating this trend. Monetary Inflation Drives Stock Prices Stock markets are being lifted by monetary inflation, not organic growth. Stocks can be created endlessly—unlike gold. That makes gold a true inflation benchmark. The stock market’s rise is, in large part, a mirage, reflecting debased currency, not real productivity. Oil Isn’t Behaving as Expected—Why? Typically, when the dollar weakens, oil prices rise—because more dollars are needed to buy the same barrel of oil. But right now, oil prices are soft. Why? Global demand is weak, outpaced by supply. Even the Russia-Ukraine war hasn’t changed that dynamic. In fact, Russia is now importing gasoline, as Ukrainian forces continue to target and disable refining capacity. Here’s why this matters: when oil wells are opened, they can't just be turned off. If the refiners are destroyed and the oil has nowhere to go—it’s wasted. That’s a strategic win for Ukraine. The Disconnect Between Stock Prices and Profits While inflation has pushed stock prices higher, it hasn’t translated into equivalent profit growth. Example: If a stock goes from $10 to $20 due to inflation, you'd expect earnings to go from $1 to $2 to maintain the same P/E ratio. Instead, the earnings yield is just 3.2%—a historical low. That’s a major red flag. As pilots would say: WTF, over? Here’s the likely explanation: The money hasn’t reached consumers—it's concentrated in the hands of wealthy savers and leveraged investors, who are buying more stocks to sell to the next buyer willing to lever up even more. It’s a classic feedback loop—and a superbubble reminiscent of the tulip mania era. The Smart Money Knows What's Coming As this imbalance grows more obvious, central banks and institutional investors are quietly increasing their gold holdings—well above the pace of supply growth. So when Gold/Oil (two important commodities) completely disconnect like this, and Gold explodes up like this, you'd better take notice! Lastly, it takes 100 ounces to buy a new home. Last time this occurred was in 1978 ish, 2011, and now! Debt to GDP in 76 was 33%, 2011 was 99% and today 126% It is not the same animal as the past. GTFO & STFO! No matter where the prices for stocks go! CAUTION!!!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RealMacro
77
SILVER (XAGUSD) – 15M | Strong Support Holding, Bullish ContinuTVC:SILVER Market Overview Silver took a quick rejection from the 48.70 resistance zone and corrected downward into the major support. Price is now consolidating around 47.50, a key level that previously sparked bullish impulses. If this level holds, momentum may shift again toward the upper range — signaling a potential bullish continuation phase. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 47.80 🎯 Target 2: 48.23 🎯 Target 3: 48.70 (resistance retest) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Invalidation if price closes below 47.30 (support breakdown). Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 48.23 / 48.70 Support 🟢: 47.40 / 47.50 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
TVC:SILVERLong
by vipblueprintfx
Gold Price Rally Sustains – Market Eyes Next Breakout PointGold (XAUUSD) continues to follow a strong bullish trajectory, confirming consistent market confidence and institutional participation. The chart structure reveals clear liquidity shifts and a steady series of bullish break-of-structure (BOS) points, suggesting that buyers remain in firm control. After a brief consolidation phase, gold resumed upward momentum, supported by sustained volume and steady market sentiment. The current trend indicates controlled buying pressure rather than speculative spikes, showing the market’s preference for stability as price builds toward higher levels. If momentum maintains its present pace, gold could extend gains in the short term while maintaining its established bullish rhythm across the higher timeframe outlook.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
4050-4030 oscillation, bullish trend remains the main trendGold is currently still in a bullish upward trend. Our core trading strategy remains unchanged, and the key points I reminded you of earlier this morning must be carefully considered. Judging from the trend, gold in the US market is basically oscillating back and forth in the range of 4050-4030. I mentioned before that gold has repeatedly tested 4030. Once it falls below, gold may test the support range of 4020-4010 below in the US market. This has been marked in the chart. I believe brothers can see it very clearly. At the same time, we should still take precautions on the upside. As time goes by, we can pay moderate attention to the short-term channel pressure around 4065. Once gold stabilizes above 4050, it will definitely touch around 4065. On the downside, we continue to monitor a break of 4030. If, while waiting for gold to fall back to the support range, it first rises and hits the channel resistance, you can retest gold shorts based on market trends. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message for help. If you think Allen's analysis is helpful to you, you can give it some encouragement by clicking the like button.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
SilverThe Hunt brothers' silver squeeze was an attempt by brothers Nelson Bunker and William Herbert Hunt to corner the silver market in the late 1970s and early 1980s by accumulating massive amounts of physical and paper silver, driving prices to nearly $50 per ounce. This attempt backfired when the COMEX, in response to market chaos and margin calls, implemented rule changes that triggered a market collapse, an event known as Silver Thursday, leading to the Hunts' financial ruin but a systemic crisis averted by a bailout
TVC:SILVERLong
by mkalidas2006
XAU/USD | Gold Nears $4000 as Goldman Sachs Target $4900 by 2026By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its strong bullish momentum today and reached $3985.66, marking a new all-time high (ATH)! Gold is now just a step away from the $4000 milestone. Interestingly, Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast to $4900 by December 2026, which seems realistic given the current bullish trend and the possibility of further interest rate cuts. The key demand zones are $3943–$3956 and $3898–$3910. So far, there’s no sign of structural weakness in the chart, meaning a major correction isn’t confirmed yet. This analysis will be updated soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
36
GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Psychological Resistances Gold successfully reached 4000 psychological resistance and broke through that. Here are the next potentially significant structures: Resistance 1: 4048 - 4052 area Resistance 2: 4098 - 4102 area For now the price is testing 4050 psychological resistance. Its breakout will push the prices to Resistance 2. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
4