The most accurate analysis on the entire network do you follow As the US government shutdown continues, many central banks continue to increase their gold holdings. Coupled with Trump's new tariffs and geopolitical implications, the market continues to release bullish signals, contributing to a pattern of gold prices hitting new highs. Yesterday, gold in the US market tested the resistance of 3960-3970 as expected and then fell back to around 3945. Those brothers who followed the trading strategy and went short must have made good profits.
As time goes by and the price of gold continues to rise, the short-term lows are also moving higher. Gold continued to rise in the Asian session today, reaching a high of around 3977 before falling back. In the short term, pay attention to the support level below 3955-3940. If it falls back for the first time during the day, you can consider going long on gold.
In addition, observing previous gold price trends, we can see that every time gold breaks through a new high, it will experience a pullback of approximately $70-80 to accumulate momentum after hitting channel resistance. According to this trend pattern, combined with the rising channel of our chart, we can find that the next suppression point is at 3985-4000.
Overall, gold remains bullish in the medium to long term, but may experience short-term technical adjustments. The core trading strategy remains primarily long gold, supplemented by short positions. If the price falls back to the 3955-3940 range for the first time during the day, you can consider buying gold in batches according to the strength of the pullback, with the target at 3985-4000. After the resistance level is reached and under pressure, you can consider shorting gold appropriately based on the market trend.
Metals
LiamTrading – Risk of adjustment before hitting the $4000 mark?LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of adjustment before hitting the $4000 mark? ⚠️
Hello everyone,
Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term adjustment.
According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “overheated,” and a mid-cycle adjustment may occur soon.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation)
Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming:
The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal area.
The Buy zone 3963–3965 is a local support retest point, where sellers tend to take short-term profits.
The Wolfe trendline indicates that the price may take liquidity above the peak area before a corrective drop appears.
If an adjustment occurs, the 3940–3955 area will be the first reaction zone, where strong buying support is present.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy retest:
📍 3963–3965
🛑 SL: 3960
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000
Sell following Wolfe waves:
📍 3988–3990
🛑 SL: 3995
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945
🧭 Medium-term Outlook
Although the upward trend remains dominant, momentum is gradually decreasing, and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation phase.
Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback before gold gains momentum towards the ATH $4000 zone in the late-week sessions.
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short adjustment is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure.
Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo – Volume Profile zones – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern.
I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily.
👉 Follow me to not miss important wave movements!
Gold: Minor Pullback Before Next Surge – Eyes on 4,000 USDHello everyone, this week gold continues to show strength after an impressive rally. Over the past weekend, the price reached a new peak but experienced a slight correction around 3,900–3,905 USD, just as the market needed to rebalance before seeking further upside momentum.
Macro factors are supporting the bullish trend: the US government shutdown has entered its third day, weakening the USD. Expectations that the Fed may soon begin a rate-cut cycle and a slight decline in 10-year yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Additionally, ETF inflows, FOMO sentiment, geopolitical risks, and European/Russian gold reserve dynamics are increasing risk premiums, creating a favourable environment for further gains.
On the H1 chart, the price remains above the Ichimoku cloud with a steady upward movement. Newly formed FVGs below indicate key support levels: 3,900–3,905 (shallow FVG), 3,885–3,892 (horizontal low cluster), and 3,865–3,875 (deeper cloud + FVG). Near-term resistance sits at 3,925–3,935, followed by 3,950–3,960; if momentum holds, the psychological 4,000 USD level is within reach. Rising trading volumes around 3.90x reflect active buying, while short-bodied retracement candles merely indicate temporary rebalancing before continuation.
What do you think? Will gold use this pullback to surge to 4,000 USD, or will the market experience a deeper swing?
Gold Futures (MGC) – No Pullback, Just Pure StrengthPrice never offered a clean pullback yesterday — just an aggressive continuation straight through prior structure. That type of behavior usually signals either institutional repricing or momentum fueled by broader uncertainty (like the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk).
🔹 Bias: Bullish until a clear break of intraday structure
🔹 Current Levels:
‣ W-H: 3922.8
‣ M-H: 3899.5
‣ D-L: 3909.0
💡 Notes:
Price is extremely extended, but until we see evidence of rejection or a 1H BOS (break of structure), the path of least resistance remains up. I’m watching closely for a controlled pullback into demand — ideally near 3920–3900 — to join the next wave higher.
Still keeping an eye on news risk tonight; if the shutdown proceeds, volatility could spike and disrupt the structure.
#GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #DayTrading #PriceAction #NOFOMO
The long position of 3935 gold is making a huge profit!The market is always full of possibilities. There is no so-called "highest point", only higher possibilities. When the trend is clearly upward, going with the flow is the core strategy to achieve stable profits. Avoid trading against the trend or based on emotions, especially in the current volatile market environment. Trading without clear thinking and discipline can easily lead to unnecessary losses. This is something I've been emphasizing. For those who are still on the sidelines and haven't yet developed an effective trading strategy, please follow my channel. We will continue to provide professional market analysis, comprehensive trading plans, and precise buy and sell instructions to help you better grasp the market's rhythm.
I am not surprised by the sharp rise in gold prices at the opening. Those who have read my views know that the current trend is basically consistent with my prediction, and reaching 3900 is within expectations. Since last week, we have been emphasizing that the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged. On Thursday and Friday, we established long positions in gold at 3840-3855-3874, including buying at 3893 at the beginning of the opening. This is based on the technical analysis and news analysis, which makes us dare to be so firmly bullish.
Last Friday, despite a surge and then a decline, gold prices remained volatile at high levels. Market expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts, coupled with high uncertainty regarding global geopolitical risks and the economic outlook, continued to provide stable support for gold prices, maintaining their upward trend. In particular, the recent US government shutdown crisis has stimulated rising risk aversion sentiment, helping gold prices to rise further, and the market's concerns about a long-term US government shutdown have intensified.
Judging from the gold daily chart, gold prices rebounded sharply last Friday and recorded a large real body positive candlestick pattern. Although the sharp rebound in prices last Friday failed to break through the previous high, gold prices continued to rise after opening high this week. In addition, the moving average cluster maintained a bullish arrangement, and the MACD indicator double lines maintained a golden cross operation process, indicating that the current trend is under the control of bulls.
The short-term trading strategy continues with last week's buy-on-low strategy!
There are many areas in 393-3925, the target is 3945, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3950, if it breaks through, look higher!
The above is the gold signal opinion published four hours ago. The first target of 3945 has been successfully reached. It is also correct to continue to be bullish after breaking through 3950. The accurate prediction perfectly matches the current gold trend. Welcome to click to view the original text!
GOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish LegGOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish Leg
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, showing consistent higher highs and steady momentum after each correction. The market has been consolidating above the $3,800 zone, where buyers continue to absorb liquidity and prevent deeper declines. This zone acts as a solid base for potential upward expansion. Current market behavior indicates controlled accumulation, suggesting that institutional buyers are maintaining dominance. If gold holds above $3,840–$3,820, the next bullish leg may target the $3,960–$4,000 region. A short-term retracement could occur, but overall momentum favors continuation. The price structure and volume behavior both support further upside, reflecting strong buyer control and stable sentiment in the market.
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
Updated gold analysis and trend ideaHi traders
With the target range of the upper time frame buyers touched, the price reacted negatively, with a consolidation below 3950, a pullback to continue the correction to low liquidity to support 3895 and from there a trigger buy for the ranges 3978 and 4003
The Gold Bulls Take Control!Hi everyone, Kilian here!
Let’s talk about XAUUSD.
Gold is showing a clear and structured bullish trend right now. The price continues to move within a well-established ascending channel, and the price action has consistently respected both the upper and lower boundaries. This suggests that the buying pressure remains strong.
The next logical step for me is a break above the current resistance zone. If we see that breakout, I expect the price to pull back briefly to test the support level before continuing its upward movement. A successful retest of support would solidify the bullish structure and set the stage for a move toward the 3,970 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
However, if the resistance proves too strong and the breakout doesn’t happen, this could signal a weakening of the bullish momentum. In that case, we could see a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel, offering another potential entry point.
It’s crucial to always confirm your setups and manage risk properly. Be prepared for both scenarios, and best of luck with your trades!
XAU/USD | Gold Update – Calm Before the $4,000 Breakout?I was about to drop a full gold analysis for you today, but honestly — the chart isn’t showing anything super clean or exciting right now.
So here’s a quick summary instead 👇
Price is still following its bullish momentum, and I’m expecting gold to reach $4,000 within the next day or two.
If we see a solid close and stability above $4,000, my next target will be around $4,084.
Key Demand Zones:
• $3927–$3934
• $3900–$3908
Keep an eye on how price reacts to these levels — any sharp rejection or bounce here could confirm the next wave up.
Also, note that gold has just made a new ATH at $3,970 — a good sign that momentum’s still alive.
Stay tuned — I’ll post the full technical analysis soon once the setup gets clearer.
Have you entered the long position of gold at 3935?There is no highest, only higher, and the value of this sentence is still increasing. I have to admire my recent bullish thinking. Since gold's surge encountered resistance last week, ushering in a significant volatile market shakeout, as shown in the chart above, I've issued buy signals at 3840, 3855, 3874, 3893, and 3935, respectively. Last week, I predicted that the price would break through the 3900 mark this week. These series of trades and predictions have been fully validated by market trends. Newcomers can refer to my historical perspectives for verification.
News: Market expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts are growing, concerns about a prolonged US government shutdown are intensifying, and geopolitical conflicts are driving gold prices to new record highs.
Technical analysis: The weekly line has achieved seven consecutive increases, the daily price is stable and running above the major moving averages, and the short-term technical indicators are all in a bullish state.
To sum up, this is why I remain consistently bullish. Trading requires knowing how to observe trends, how to analyze, and how to follow the trend. The market trend will not fall just because it rises too much in a short period of time. You should not trade emotionally. As long as you can see the trend clearly, trading will be a very simple thing.
Strategy! You can continue to maintain a low-long strategy. Due to limited time and energy, the next trading signals will not be updated so promptly. Brothers who need to pay close attention to trading signals, I will wait for you in the tg channel.
SILVER Bullish Continuation! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER holds above the horizontal demand level, showing bullish intent as Smart Money defends premium reaccumulation zones. Expect a move toward 4,885$ to rebalance inefficiency and collect buy-side liquidity. Time Frame 1H.
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD | EUR/USD Perfect Setup – Ready for Next Reaction?By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — it dropped from 1.17400, hitting all targets at 1.17120, 1.1707, 1.16880, and 1.16720, giving us more than 88 pips in profit!
Currently, the price is trading around 1.16980, and I expect a short-term pullback toward the 1.17100–1.17400 zone. After that, we could see a potential bearish reaction from this area. This analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3886
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Silver heading to 5000?The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4766 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4766 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4897 – initial resistance
4850 – psychological and structural level
5000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4766 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4716 – minor support
4665 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4766. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold heading towards 4000? The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation pause within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3874 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3874 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3953 – initial resistance
3985 – psychological and structural level
4000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3874 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3847 – minor support
3820 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3,874. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD made new ATH. What's next?Gold (XAUUSD) gave us an excellent buy signal last week (September 29, see chart below), easily hitting our 3860 upside Target:
This time, the price is extending the Bullish Leg of the 3-week Channel Up, which according to the 1H RSI, should peak soon. The last two did so on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
That should take us to 3970, which would be right at the top of the Channel Up (Higher Highs). A 1H RSI Lower Highs rejection would be the sell signal, targeting the 1H MA100 (green trend-line), like both previous Bearish Legs did, at 3900.
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Gold (XAU/USD) – H1 Technical Analysis (October 6, 2025)Market Structure
Gold is currently trading in a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows confirming the bullish momentum:
The recent strong rally has pushed price close to the upper boundary of the channel (around 3,950–3,955), where sellers may appear.
A short-term retracement toward the midline of the channel is expected before continuation.
Overall, the market still favors buyers, but watch for reaction at the channel’s resistance before opening new long positions.
Key Levels
Resistance:
3,950–3,955: Upper channel boundary; strong selling pressure possible.
3,975–3,980: Extended target if the upper boundary is broken.
Support:
3,910–3,920: Mid-channel support, potential entry for pullbacks.
3,880–3,890: Lower channel support; safe buy zone in the uptrend.
3,850–3,860: Deeper support if a larger retracement occurs.
Indicators & Trendlines
EMA Cluster (20, 50, 100 H1): Price remains above all key EMAs, confirming bullish bias.
RSI (14 H1): Near 70, signaling potential short-term retracement but overall trend remains bullish.
Trendline / Channel: Parallel channel lines define entry/exit zones, supporting a buy-on-dips strategy.
Trading Strategy
Trend-following Long:
Entry: 3,915–3,925 (near lower or mid-channel support)
Stop Loss: 3,900
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,950
TP2: 3,975
TP3: 4,000
Pullback Buy (Short-term retracement):
Entry: 3,940–3,945 (if price tests upper channel but shows rejection)
Stop Loss: 3,930
Take Profit: 3,955–3,960
Summary:
Gold remains in a strong bullish channel. Short-term retracement toward the midline is possible before continuation. The priority strategy is to buy dips near support zones while monitoring upper channel resistance for potential profit-taking or breakout opportunities.
SILVER - Recurring Cup PatternInteresting chart showing repeating cups, each one progressively becoming tighter and tighter within this large ascending triangle on this Monthly chart.
Will another cup form and break out of this triangle? It is possible and would be a massive Breakout.
Again, Monthly chart.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3940.7
Stop - 3954.8
Take - 3915.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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