EUR/USD | EUR/USD Perfect Setup – Ready for Next Reaction?By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — it dropped from 1.17400, hitting all targets at 1.17120, 1.1707, 1.16880, and 1.16720, giving us more than 88 pips in profit!
Currently, the price is trading around 1.16980, and I expect a short-term pullback toward the 1.17100–1.17400 zone. After that, we could see a potential bearish reaction from this area. This analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Metals
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3886
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Silver heading to 5000?The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4766 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4766 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4897 – initial resistance
4850 – psychological and structural level
5000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4766 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4716 – minor support
4665 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4766. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold heading towards 4000? The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation pause within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3874 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3874 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3953 – initial resistance
3985 – psychological and structural level
4000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3874 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3847 – minor support
3820 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3,874. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD made new ATH. What's next?Gold (XAUUSD) gave us an excellent buy signal last week (September 29, see chart below), easily hitting our 3860 upside Target:
This time, the price is extending the Bullish Leg of the 3-week Channel Up, which according to the 1H RSI, should peak soon. The last two did so on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
That should take us to 3970, which would be right at the top of the Channel Up (Higher Highs). A 1H RSI Lower Highs rejection would be the sell signal, targeting the 1H MA100 (green trend-line), like both previous Bearish Legs did, at 3900.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Gold (XAU/USD) – H1 Technical Analysis (October 6, 2025)Market Structure
Gold is currently trading in a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows confirming the bullish momentum:
The recent strong rally has pushed price close to the upper boundary of the channel (around 3,950–3,955), where sellers may appear.
A short-term retracement toward the midline of the channel is expected before continuation.
Overall, the market still favors buyers, but watch for reaction at the channel’s resistance before opening new long positions.
Key Levels
Resistance:
3,950–3,955: Upper channel boundary; strong selling pressure possible.
3,975–3,980: Extended target if the upper boundary is broken.
Support:
3,910–3,920: Mid-channel support, potential entry for pullbacks.
3,880–3,890: Lower channel support; safe buy zone in the uptrend.
3,850–3,860: Deeper support if a larger retracement occurs.
Indicators & Trendlines
EMA Cluster (20, 50, 100 H1): Price remains above all key EMAs, confirming bullish bias.
RSI (14 H1): Near 70, signaling potential short-term retracement but overall trend remains bullish.
Trendline / Channel: Parallel channel lines define entry/exit zones, supporting a buy-on-dips strategy.
Trading Strategy
Trend-following Long:
Entry: 3,915–3,925 (near lower or mid-channel support)
Stop Loss: 3,900
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,950
TP2: 3,975
TP3: 4,000
Pullback Buy (Short-term retracement):
Entry: 3,940–3,945 (if price tests upper channel but shows rejection)
Stop Loss: 3,930
Take Profit: 3,955–3,960
Summary:
Gold remains in a strong bullish channel. Short-term retracement toward the midline is possible before continuation. The priority strategy is to buy dips near support zones while monitoring upper channel resistance for potential profit-taking or breakout opportunities.
SILVER - Recurring Cup PatternInteresting chart showing repeating cups, each one progressively becoming tighter and tighter within this large ascending triangle on this Monthly chart.
Will another cup form and break out of this triangle? It is possible and would be a massive Breakout.
Again, Monthly chart.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3940.7
Stop - 3954.8
Take - 3915.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD - Up Channel Gold on the Weekly chart.
A channel can be plotted between the lower strong trend line that is respected by many points and a prior peak.
I think a similar motion is in way to that seen before on GOLD this is shown with the green dotted lines
Right now price is testing the middle of the channel. Hopefully the breakout continues.
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,943.207 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 48.703 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 48.406.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD → Rally to the psychological target of $4,000FX:XAUUSD hit a new all-time high of $3,950 (+1.7% for the day at the time of writing), continuing its move toward the psychological $4,000 mark. The growth continues despite the strengthening of the dollar and the rally in the stock markets.
Key drivers: The ongoing US shutdown (now in its seventh day): The lack of progress in negotiations and the risk of mass layoffs of civil servants are increasing demand for safe havens.
The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December, 94%. Weak labor market: Trump's statements blaming Democrats for job losses are fueling pessimism.
Fundamentally, gold remains on an upward trend thanks to the perfect combination of US fiscal risks and soft monetary policy. A breakout to $4,000 seems only a matter of time if the shutdown is not resolved.
Resistance levels: 3,950, 3975, 4000
Support levels: 3920, 3900, 3880
Technically, before reaching the 4000 mark, MM may form a liquidation, especially against the backdrop of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday and the Fed on Thursday. Key areas of interest before growth: 3920 and 3900, behind these areas lies a pool of liquidity that will not prevent the accumulation of energy before the next bull run.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
XAUUSD - Will Gold Hit $4,000?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone will provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. It should be noted that these positions are intended to hedge against this uptrend.
In early Monday trading in Asian markets, global gold prices surpassed $3,900 per ounce for the first time, driven by stronger demand for safe-haven assets amid the U.S. government shutdown and rising expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Goldman Sachs once again reaffirmed its bullish outlook on gold, calling it its “most favored long-term commodity asset”, even as the precious metal continues to reach new record highs. Analysts at the bank believe the upward momentum remains intact.
Goldman forecasts that gold will reach $4,000 by mid-2026 and $4,300 by December 2026. However, the bank cautioned that upside risks beyond these projections are emerging. Notably, speculative flows account for only about 1% of the recent 14% rally, signaling stronger and more sustainable support from ETFs and central banks.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, commented: “Gold has risen for the seventh consecutive week, having declined in only one week since late July. The U.S. government shutdown, Europe’s debate over reusing Russian reserves, and ongoing hybrid tensions across Europe have all contributed to this rally.” He added, “A short-term support level has formed near $3,800, and reaching $4,000 no longer seems far-fetched.”
Similarly, Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart.com, noted: “The market trend remains bullish. The U.S. economy has not improved—if anything, it has deteriorated further. Central banks and global investors clearly recognize this and continue accumulating gold.”
For this week, considerable uncertainty surrounds the U.S. data release calendar. If Democrats and Republicans manage to reach an agreement on a temporary funding bill early in the week, the September employment report could be released on schedule Friday. Estimates suggest a modest improvement in job creation, with around 50,000 new positions, though the weak ADP private payrolls data paints a more cautious picture. Still, downside risks to employment remain, reinforcing expectations for further rate cuts.
Even if the jobs report is delayed, the ongoing government shutdown alone could drive markets to increase bets on rate reductions, as a surge in furloughed federal workers and reduced economic output from halted government operations may compel the Fed to lower borrowing costs.
Beyond Washington’s political standoff, investors’ focus this week will be on the minutes from the Fed’s September meeting, which could reveal growing divisions among policymakers over the labor market outlook.
The Fed’s latest dot plot highlights a widening gap between hawkish and dovish members, meaning any new clues in the minutes about the timing or pace of rate cuts could spark a strong market reaction.
Toward the end of the week, attention will also turn to the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey, particularly the inflation expectations component, which holds significant weight for gauging domestic demand. At the same time, the U.S. Treasury market faces a busy schedule of debt auctions, adding another layer of focus for investors.
$ETH perfect risk reward tradeBINANCE:ETHUSD is setting up a picture perfect tight flag setup on the right edge with a series of real catalysts behind it:
- The USD weakness and debt monetization is forcing liquidity into higher risk assets
- A good shakeout on volume which means we have scared participants on the sidelines and greater chance of continuation
- General macro moves behind gold and other risk assets
As liquidity is looking for a home, I think ETH moves here and then we start seeing a REAL altcoin explosion with the 1000%+ moves we all deserve!
THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support lower and then attempt the move higher monitoring the red box above which was active. It’s at that box we wanted to see a reaction, either a break or a RIP and as you can see, price did break upside hitting our daily and weekly targets as well as the red box targets.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For the early part of the week we have the immediate support level at the 3870-65 region which lines up with the red box and is the level that needs to be broken to go lower. If we target this level in the early session and support, price may want to attempt a new all time high again, this time into the 3901 level and above that 3910-12. It’s that level of 3910-12 that needs to be monitored as a possibility of a RIP there can cause us to get a minor correction but as above, we need to break below 3865-70 to see a change in dynamic.
If we do break below that 3970 level and get a decent close, with a clear reversal, we can then look to target the lower levels 3855 and below that 3838 initially. I would like to see lower, but due to NFP this week instead of last week, we may continue to stretch upside or range up here before then getting a retracement into mean.
We’re going to leave it there and as usual we will update traders best we can during the week with the box targets and the analysis.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3840
Bearish on break of 3830
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3890 for 3902, 3904, 3910, 3917, 3930 and 3933 in extension of the move
Break below 3868 for 3865, 3855, 3850, 3843, 3837 and 3830 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD refreshed ATH📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, approaching resistance near 3,950. The upper trendline shows multiple prior rejections, signaling potential exhaustion and a short-term correction setup.
● A pullback toward 3,922 or 3,903 aligns with the midline support and prior breakout zone, suggesting a likely retracement before any new upside attempt.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces selling pressure as U.S. Treasury yields rise and the dollar strengthens ahead of key inflation data, dampening safe-haven demand.
✨ Summary
● Overbought momentum near 3,950 hints at a short-term downside toward 3,922–3,903, with recovery potential after correction.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Price Outlook: What Could Drive the Next Rally?The global economy continues to grapple with challenges such as inflation, labor market uncertainty, and persistent geopolitical risks. Unlike previous cycles, gold has shown more shallow and short-lived corrections, reflecting a broadly optimistic outlook from investors and traders. With central banks and ETFs steadily increasing their exposure to gold, the yellow metal is set to remain a key safe-haven asset.
The XAU/USD pair, representing gold against the US dollar, is expected to follow a bullish trajectory throughout 2025. By analyzing upcoming macroeconomic drivers and technical signals, we can identify several catalysts that may fuel gold’s next rally.
Key Drivers of the Bullish Trend
1. Fundamental Factors
Central Bank Demand: Global central banks, particularly in emerging markets and China, continue to expand their gold reserves, adding consistent pressure on the demand side.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing conflicts, such as the Russia–Ukraine war and unrest in the Middle East, have reinforced gold’s role as a safe-haven asset, pushing prices higher.
ETF Inflows: Recent weeks have seen growing inflows into gold ETFs, indicating stronger institutional demand and confirming investor confidence.
Volatility Index (VIX): With the VIX rising above 20, risk-averse sentiment is fueling demand for safe assets like gold.
2. Inflation & Monetary Policy
As inflation remains a persistent concern, gold continues to serve as a traditional hedge. If inflation rises further or stays elevated, gold’s attractiveness will increase. At the same time, a dovish Federal Reserve stance—or the maintenance of lower interest rates—would enhance the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold, further supporting upward momentum.
3. Technical Indicators
Technical analysis suggests a clear bullish bias. Key support lies near $3,535, with resistance around $3,900. The 50-day moving average provides a strong base, affirming positive momentum. Although daily RSI and MACD readings show overbought conditions, which may lead to short-term pullbacks, the overall trend remains decisively upward.
4. COT Data Insights
Commitment of Traders (COT) reports highlight the prevailing bullish sentiment. Long positions currently stand at 332,808 compared to 66,059 short positions—a ratio of more than 5:1. This reinforces the likelihood of sustained positive price action.
Short-Term Outlook (October–December 2025)
The final quarter of 2025 appears primed for favorable gold price movements:
October: Trading is projected between $3,892.19 and $4,299.84, with an average near $4,084.78, implying an ~11% monthly gain.
November: The average range could extend to $4,277.88–$4,447.77, signaling continued bullishness.
December: Prices are forecast to move between$4,113.43 and $4,367.87, with an average of$4,240.65, marking a potential year-end peak.
Long-Term Projection Beyond 2025
By year-end 2025, gold could consolidate near$4,240.65, a substantial gain from current levels. Looking further ahead, some analysts foresee the possibility of gold climbing toward$5,107 by the end of the decade, assuming supportive macroeconomic and monetary conditions persist.
Despite the broadly optimistic outlook, several risks may temper gold’s trajectory:
Federal Reserve Policy Shifts: A sudden pivot to a more aggressive tightening cycle would reduce gold’s appeal in favor of interest-bearing assets.
Global Economic Recovery: Strong rebounds in major economies such as the U.S. and China could diminish safe-haven demand, weighing on prices.
Probable Scenarios (1–3 Weeks Ahead)
Base Case – Uptrend with Pullbacks (60% probability): After brief corrections within $3,750–$3,800, buyers may step in, pushing gold toward $3,990–$3,900.
Corrective Scenario (25% probability): A stronger dollar or unexpected Fed hawkishness could drive a deeper pullback toward $3,600–$3,650.
Accelerated Bullish Scenario (15% probability): Sustained safe-haven demand and institutional flows may trigger a breakout above $3,900–$4,000, especially under heightened geopolitical or financial stress.
Key Data to Watch
In the near term, inflation and labor market data remain the most influential indicators. Upcoming releases of Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, ISM Services PMI along with political developments such as remarks from Donald Trump, will be closely monitored for their impact on market sentiment and gold’s trajectory.
Conclusion
Overall, 2025 appears well-positioned for a sustained gold rally, driven by central bank demand, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical tensions. While risks remain—particularly tied to U.S. monetary policy—technical and fundamental signals point toward higher prices. For investors, gold continues to stand out as one of the most compelling hedges in a volatile global environment.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to support area of 3950.had to revise the vision of this upward movement a little bit. Because there was no deep correction, I think that the ascending wave “3” (blue) is now completed. Earlier I thought it was completed, but we didn't see the “4” correction.
At this point, I think that the price will reach the resistance area of 3950, completing either the continued wave “3”, or after the correction of 3791, the wave “5” will be completed.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold Holds Strong as USD Weakens Amid Economic Uncertainty👋Hello traders, what do you think about the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Today, gold continues to hold above its high price levels, supported by a weaker USD and the demand for safe-haven assets amid the growing risk of a U.S. government shutdown. At the same time, the weak employment data further reinforces expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates this month.
Since the beginning of the year, gold has surged about 45%. Currently, this precious metal is just shy of the $4,000/ounce mark, reflecting strong investor confidence in gold during times of uncertainty.
On the other hand, with the U.S. government shutdown, sentiment towards the U.S. tends to turn negative, impacting both the USD and U.S. stocks. In fact, the latest ADP employment report shows that the U.S. private sector lost 32,000 jobs in September, far exceeding the forecast of only 3,000 job losses in August, heightening concerns about the U.S. economy.
Given the current political tensions and economic instability, with a 99% likelihood that the Fed will cut rates, according to CME FedWatch, gold could continue its strong upward momentum.
Investing in gold in this environment could continue to yield significant profits. Do you think the same? 💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
DeGRAM | GOLD held the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, with repeated rebounds from the lower trendline confirming bullish momentum.
● Price is approaching resistance near 3,894, and a breakout above 3,871 would strengthen the case for an extension toward 3,900 and higher.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold demand is supported by market caution over U.S. economic outlook and expectations of potential rate cuts in 2025, enhancing its safe-haven appeal.
✨ Summary
● XAU/USD remains bullish above 3,852 support, targeting 3,871–3,894, with rising channel momentum and supportive fundamentals favoring further upside.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!






















