XAUUSD: Fake Out Confirms Bearish Pressure, Eyeing 3323 & 3314Hello guys.
We recently saw a fake-out above the descending channel, which trapped early buyers and confirmed that sellers are still in control. Despite the QML formation in the highlighted zone, the bearish pressure remains dominant.
As long as the price trades below the fake-out high, the overall trend continues to point downward. My immediate downside targets are:
3323 (first key level)
3314 (secondary target, potential liquidity grab zone)
If sellers manage to hold momentum, we could see a continuation deeper into the channel.
⚠️ Keep in mind that a clean break above the fake-out level would invalidate this bearish outlook.
Metals
GOLD → The market is waiting for a kick (driver). ConsolidationFX:XAUUSD is in a stalemate. A “casino” pattern is forming in the form of a symmetrical triangle. The odds are 50/50, and everything depends on the fundamental background and the emergence of a driver.
Gold is stuck in a symmetrical triangle - consolidation.
Gold is trading around $3330 on Tuesday, remaining in a range with a downward bias amid caution among traders ahead of the Fed minutes.
Technically, it is possible to trade the breakout from consolidation with the price consolidating above a certain level, i.e., post-factum.
Optimism after the meeting between Trump and Zelensky, who promised to end the conflict, is reducing demand for safe assets, but expectations of a Fed rate cut this year are supporting the metal. An additional factor is the confirmation of the US rating by S&P. Powell's speech on Friday will be a key driver, while the dollar has partially recovered after its recent decline.
Resistance levels: 3349.8, 3370.7
Support levels: 3331, 3315, 3301
Volatility has been very low over the past few days, with the market waiting for someone to kick-start movement. Fundamental factors are contradictory, and technically, gold looks uncertainly weak. Based on this, I expect that a retest of the nearest resistance could end with a downward breakdown from consolidation.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
August 19th Latest Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy:
📌 Key Market Drivers
Federal Reserve Policy Expectations
The market is pricing in the possibility of a September rate cut, focusing on this week's FOMC meeting minutes and Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium.
Two 25 basis point rate cuts are expected this year, but policy confirmation is needed.
A strong dollar is suppressing gold's potential rebound.
Geopolitics (Russia-Ukraine situation)
Putin and Zelensky may meet, raising market hopes for a easing of tensions.
Weakened safe-haven demand is limiting gold's upside.
📊 Technical Analysis
🔹 Medium-Term Trend (Weekly/Monthly)
A series of dojis on the monthly chart indicates a weakening of bullish momentum.
A pullback is a sell signal, with medium-term targets ranging from 3245 to 3150-3120 and then to 3000-2950.
The overall trend remains bearish, but be wary of short-term rebound corrections.
🔹 Short-Term Trend (4H/1H)
Key Support Zone:
3324 (Monday's low + early trading breakout point)
3315 → 3300 (psychological barrier)
3270 (next short-term target)
Key Resistance Zone:
3340 (short-term strength/weakness dividing line)
3358-3360 (yesterday's high, short-term defense)
3375 → 3390 (strong resistance, rebound limit)
🔎 Current Market Characteristics:
A rapid drop to 3324 (near the 0.618 golden ratio at 3322) in early Asian trading followed by a rebound, consistent with a technical correction.
Rebound high encountered resistance at 3341, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.
Volatility is narrowing, and the market awaits guidance from the FOMC minutes and Powell's speech.
🎯 Today's Trading Strategy
▶ Key Ideas: Focus on rebounds and short positions. Short positions can be pursued if key support levels are broken.
Aggressive short positions (suitable for short-term traders)
Entry: Strategize in batches between 3350 and 3358
Stop-loss: Above 3360 (wait and see if it breaks through)
Target: 3324 → 3315 → 3300
Conservative short positions (If it rebounds to this position, go short)
Entry: 3370-3375 or 3390 (if it rebounds there)
Stop-loss: Above 3400
Target: 3350 → 3324 → 3300
Short positions can be pursued if weakness is confirmed.
Follow short positions with a small position after breaking below 3324, targeting 3315 → 3300.
If the price accelerates below 3300, the downside potential will open up to 3270.
Caution in long positions (short-term only)
If the price stabilizes after a pullback between 3324 and 3322, a small position can be used to try to capitalize on a rebound.
Target 3340 → 3358, quick in and out
⚠️ Risk Warning
FOMC meeting minutes and Powell's speech may trigger significant volatility.
A sudden deterioration in the situation between Russia and Ukraine could trigger safe-haven buying.
3360 is the bull-bear watershed; a break above it would signal short-term strength.
📌 Summary
Short-term: Focus on the 3340-3360 resistance zone, Short sell when rebounding to high level
Mid-term: Maintain a bearish outlook; upward movement remains a short-selling opportunity.
Key Points:
Support: 3324 → 3315 → 3300
Resistance: 3340 → 3360 → 3375
(Traders are advised to maintain strict stop-loss orders and respond flexibly to breaking news.)
GOLD: Squeeze to Rate Cut, then Blast-Off to $4200?The price of gold, a classic safe-haven asset, is currently in a state of flux due to several interconnected factors. Looking at future events and fundamentals, we can anticipate how they might impact its price points.
Powell's Rate Cut
An anticipated rate cut from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on 17SEP25 is a key bullish signal for gold. Lower interest rates typically decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making them more attractive compared to interest-bearing bonds. If JPow begins to drop rates in September (and is dovish in comments regarding further cuts), we could begin to see the beginning of gold's next measured move to around $4200 (see purple target). If JPow doesn't cut, doesn't cut enough, or cuts but is extremely hawkish towards further cuts; expect a pullback towards the 200-day moving average and further ranging for a period until the next Fed Chairman is confirmed.
President Trump has recently called for the Federal Reserve to make significant cuts; in one instance stating that rates should be lowered by three percentage points from their current range. As of 19AUG25, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has indicated 11 possible candidates for the next Fed Chair position; expect that when confirmed, the next Fed Chair may significantly reduce rates (but do not assume the next Fed Chair will cut as deep as three percentage points).
BRICS Monetary Competition
Additionally, the push for de-dollarization by BRICS nations is a significant long-term driver for gold. Countries like China and Russia are actively increasing their gold reserves to diversify away from the U.S. dollar, creating sustained demand. This monetary competition fundamentally alters gold's role, positioning it as a key component of a new, multi-polar financial system. As central banks continue to accumulate gold, it strengthens the metal's standing as a universal reserve asset. This trend is likely to provide a strong floor for gold prices around its 200-day moving average, and any significant moves toward a gold-backed BRICS currency could lead to a monumental re-evaluation of gold's value, potentially pushing its price to the $4,000/oz range or higher over time.
NATGAS - Catch The Impulse!As Wave Traders, our job is to spot corrections and catch the impulse, because that’s where the biggest moves happen.
On NATGAS, we completed Wave 1 with a leading diagonal, and are now finishing Wave 2 (an ABC correction). Once corrections are done, the next phase is Wave 3 - historically the longest and strongest wave in Elliott Wave Theory.
We've almost completed wave 2 and looking for a breakout for wave 3, which is the longest wave.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for break of the red trendline to indicate the start of wave 3
- enter with stops below breakout or below invalidation
- Targets: 5, 10, 13
NATGAS 12H Chart:
We'll be looking to enter on break of the red trendline with stops below breakout.
This setup is a textbook example of how Elliott Wave helps us prepare - not chase - the market.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 3,329$
Which is now a resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So after the potential pullback
And retest we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish Setup on Gold – Targets Ahead!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is still moving in the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) and near the Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the rising waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,371 AFTER breaking the Resistance lines .
Second Target: $3,394
Third Target: $3,407
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,317
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts with our chart idea playing out like we analysed.
After hitting our Bullish target at 3352 yesterday we stated that we had no ema5 cross and lock confirming the rejection and that we are now seeing price head towards the bearish target at 3327.
Bearish target has now copmpleted at 3327 just like we said. We will now look for ema5 lock below to open the swing range or failure to lock will see price test the upper Goldturns again.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3374
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3374 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3398
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3398 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3327 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3327 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 19 August 2025Price is currently testing the mid-zone resistance around 3345–3348, which also aligns with the descending trendline.
Bullish Scenario: If price closes above 3348 and retests successfully, it opens room for a move toward 3367–3370 levels.
Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break and sustain above this resistance zone, rejection may trigger a drop back toward the 3325–3328 support zone.
Currently, momentum is at a decision point – the reaction at this resistance zone will determine the next directional move.
Signal:
Buy: On breakout and retest above 3348, targeting 3367.
Stop-loss: below 3340.
Sell: On rejection from 3348 zone, targeting 3325.
Stop-loss: above 3352.
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37.875 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37,763.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,335.40 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,340.22.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Institutional Gold Analysis (XAU/USD) – 19 August 2025Gold prices are consolidating in a narrow range near $3,331, reflecting a transitional market phase as traders await fresh direction from the Federal Reserve’s upcoming Jackson Hole summit. The prevailing bias leans mildly bearish in the short term, with USD strength and higher yields capping upside momentum, while underlying safe-haven demand continues to provide structural support.
From a 4-Hour institutional perspective, price action currently sits at the midpoint of an internal range, offering clearly defined liquidity pools both above and below. This creates an environment where institutional flows are likely to engineer sweeps into key supply and demand zones before a decisive expansion phase begins.
Primary Institutional Zones
Primary Buy Zone ($3,320–$3,325)
The dominant area of interest for buyers lies within $3,320–$3,325, a well-defined discount zone that combines multiple layers of institutional confluence. This level is supported by a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) demand zone, a fresh unmitigated order block, and a fair value gap formed during recent displacement. The retracement aligns perfectly with the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Fibonacci band (0.705–0.79), while liquidity pools at equal lows (EQL) provide the setup for a sweep before reversal. From here, upside targets extend first to the structural resistance at $3,348, and further towards $3,372 — the 1.272 Fibonacci extension of the last impulsive leg.
Primary Sell Zone ($3,345–$3,350)
On the supply side, the clearest short opportunity emerges between $3,345–$3,350, which has been validated as a Drop-Base-Drop (DBD) supply zone. This area overlaps with a fresh order block and fair value gap, while resting in the premium half of the internal swing. Equal highs (EQH) clustered at this level signal an ideal liquidity grab, with displacement likely to follow during London/New York Kill Zone overlap. Downside targets from this zone first revisit $3,331, with extended projections toward $3,295 (Fib 1.272 extension).
Fallback Levels
Should the primary zones be invalidated through manipulative displacement or deeper liquidity hunts, fallback areas are defined:
Fallback Buy Zone ($3,310–$3,315): This deeper demand pocket provides secondary positioning if the primary buy zone fails, offering a structural base for recovery back into $3,325–$3,348.
Fallback Sell Zone ($3,360–$3,365): If price sweeps beyond the primary sell zone, this extended premium region becomes the next institutional supply area, targeting retracements back to $3,350–$3,331.
Golden Zone Nomination
Of all identified zones, the Primary Sell Zone ($3,345–$3,350) emerges as the Golden Zone of the day. It represents the highest-probability, institution-grade setup due to its multi-layered confluence, liquidity alignment, and Kill Zone overlap. With the market capped below $3,350 in recent sessions, this level offers the most favorable balance of risk and reward for intraday execution.
Institutional Confirmation
Cross-validation with external institutional sources strengthens this bias. Reuters confirms gold’s range-bound behavior ahead of the Fed’s Jackson Hole summit, while FXStreet highlights fading bullish momentum near $3,330. TradingNews also reinforces the significance of the $3,348–$3,350 cap as resistance, perfectly aligning with our Sell Zone. Together, these insights support the transitional-to-bearish outlook, while acknowledging that long-term structural demand from central banks remains intact.
Conclusion
In summary, gold remains trapped between defined liquidity pools, awaiting a catalyst for directional expansion. For today, the Primary Sell Zone ($3,345–$3,350) stands out as the Golden Zone, offering the most institutionally aligned short opportunity with multiple confirmations. Meanwhile, the Primary Buy Zone ($3,320–$3,325) provides a structurally valid counterpoint should liquidity sweep lower. Until the Fed’s policy guidance becomes clear, traders should expect range-bound behavior with engineered liquidity grabs during London and New York sessions, best exploited by targeting the defined high-probability institutional zones.
GOLD - BULLISH TO $3,734 (1H UPDATE)Scenario 1: Waiting for an ‘Impulse Wave’ to break above $3,380 then I’ll look to enter further buys upon Wave 2 correction.
Scenario 2: Keep an eye out for potential resistance around $3,360 zone, as there’s been a lot of bearish rejections in that zone for daily candles. If this zone holds for sellers, we could enter another sell & target $3,200📉
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell / Break Out Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish After break - 3342
🩸Bearish After Break Out - 3327
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
IT40index (IT40CASH) - potential double top on 1 hour chartAll my variables lined up for entry.
Before I enter any trade, I predefine and fully accept my risk. That way, if the trade is a loser, there’s no emotional pain—just probability playing out. Over the long run, my edge means more wins than losses.
Key Details
📊 Risk/Reward: 4.6
🎯 Entry: 42 910
🛑 Stop Loss: 43 072.4
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 42 230
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 42 012
Stop loss is set. Now it’s time to sit on my hands and let the market do its thing.
💡 #GTradingMethod Tip: The hardest part of trading is often doing nothing. Trust your process, not your emotions.
Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next update. If you found this helpful, give it a like 👍 and share your thoughts 💬 — I’d love to hear what you think!
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
GOLD H4 | Potential bearish dropXAU/USD is reacting off the sell entry of 3,342.80, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the downside.
Stop loss is at 3,367.03, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,306.77, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Copper testing bullish trend lineWith copper prices easing over the last few days, it has now reached a key short-term support area in the shaded region. Here a bullish trend line meets prior support/resistance range. Can we see a bounce here today? Or are we inside a bear flag pattern? Either way, we will soon find out, and then one can trade copper accordingly. We prefer the long side give a positive long-term macro backdrop for copper.
Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for August 19thGold Support and Resistance Update:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3380, Support: 3300
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3358, Support: 3324
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3348, Support: 3334.
The 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are aiming to retest the previous low of 3324, increasing bearish potential. Gold prices are currently trading below all of its moving averages, which converge near 3348. Meanwhile, the RSI indicator continues to flash bearish signals, indicating that sellers remain dominant. Unless a strong rebound changes the current technical landscape, prices could test new support levels. In the NY market, focus on resistance near 3358/3374 above and support at 3324/3300 below. Buy low and sell high!
SELL:3350near
SELL:3358near
BUY:3324near
BUY:3300near
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025:
Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine.
Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330
SL 3325
TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
GOLD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3343.0
Sl - 3346.2
Tp - 3337.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H timeframe based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
---
Technical Breakdown – Gold (4H)
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Demand Zone
Price is approaching a demand/FVG zone around $3,315 – $3,320.
This is where institutional buying interest is expected to step in.
2. Market Structure
The overall move suggests that the market is making a retracement into demand before a potential bullish continuation.
The bullish projection is supported by price rejecting from the imbalance zone.
3. Bullish Scenario
After a dip into the FVG zone, price is expected to rebound upward strongly.
Two upside target points are marked:
Target 1: $3,374.75
Target 2: $3,408.53
4. Trading Plan Idea
Entry: Around $3,315 – $3,320 (inside FVG).
Stop Loss: Below $3,300 (to protect against deeper liquidity sweep).
Take Profit 1: $3,374.75
Take Profit 2: $3,408.53
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary
Bias: Bullish
Reason: Price approaching FVG demand zone + liquidity setup.
Setup: Wait for rejection/confirmation inside demand → Enter long → Target higher liquidity zones.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
DeGRAM | GOLD volatility is narrowing📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is coiling inside a large triangle (falling resistance vs. rising base). The latest rebound from the 3,323–3,330 support reclaimed the mid-range.
● A clean push through 3,365/3,374 should open 3,401, then the 3,430–3,445 resistance band. Dips into 3,335–3,345 are buyable while the rising base holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Fed-cut bets and a softer USD keep real yields pressured, underpinning gold; FXStreet and Yahoo note XAU/USD supported near 3,340 as traders eye data and rate cuts.
✨ Summary
Long above 3,335; breakout >3,365/3,374 targets 3,401 → 3,430–3,445. Invalidation below 3,323.
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