Moving Averages
Kaspa $KAS bullish 21 EMA breakout on the 4hrly chart.CRYPTO:KASUSD #Kaspa breaking out on the 4hrly above the dashed-white resistance line as well as the red 21 EMA.
Waiting for current candle close above the red 21 EMA for confirmation.
Continuing to DCA during the fear and uncertainty (US-Gov Shutdown, PRC +100% Tarifs, QE looming, etc.) to accumulate in anticipation of FUD eventually being resolved.
Managed to buy a lot more CRYPTO:KASUSD with CRYPTOCAP:BTC at ca. 3 cents and still DCAing atm. Got caught off guard by the +100% PRC tariff triggered mass liquidation induced dump. But only the price has changed, fundamentals kept on improving.
If 10 cents was a good buy. 3 cents and now 5 cents+ is a way better accumulation level, while the market remains fearful and bleeding red.
FusionGap Histogram has also flipped bullish on the 3hrly (an early signal to the 4hrly if price holds above 21 EMA).
Double Top and Dump simulation (Bearish With Time) Here's a double top scenario slight run to 680. forecasted CMF, MACD, and price action. fits within retracement and time for your Fibonacci nerd.
~$630 11/20/25
~$680 12/30/25
1. Santa rally
2. Gov Shutdown over probably at the 11/20 mark
3. Taco Rally on 11/20 as well
~$650 1/7/25
~$675 2/25/26
~$620 4/16/26
~$600 7/6/26
~$630 7/30/26
~$600 8/21/26
~$550 10/16/26
Just an alternative theory to my blow off top idea.
SP:SPX AMEX:SPY
ANET - Rebounds from EMA 50ANET - CURRENT PRICE : 148.00 - 149.00
Technical Rationale:
1. Rebound from Key Moving Average Support
The stock price has rebounded strongly from the 50-day EMA, which has acted as a dynamic support level throughout the uptrend. This rebound indicates renewed buying interest at a technically significant area.
2. Bullish Momentum Confirmation
ANET has crossed above the 20-day SMA, suggesting a short-term shift back to bullish momentum after a healthy pullback. This crossover reflects improving short-term trend strength.
3. Rising Support Line Intact
The long-term rising support trendline remains intact, confirming that the broader uptrend structure is well-maintained. Each corrective phase has so far been supported near this line, reinforcing the bullish bias.
4. Momentum Indicator (RSI)
The RSI is recovering from the mid-zone (~53), showing that bullish momentum is building again without being overbought. This supports the potential for further upside continuation.
ENTRY PRICE : 148.00 - 149.00
FIRST TARGET : 162.00
SECOND TARGET : 173.00
SUPPORT : 136.00
NB (Possible Cup & Handle Play)I like NB at its price for its market.
However I do feel cautious of how hard its spiked recently... so I zoomed out
And why dont you look at that, we broke a swing low pattern and then formed a nice cup.
With a handle and a breakout of the handle, we can look to aim for a new local high.
This is now on my watch list and hoping to come down a bit. I'll draw out channels when I see that start to happen. Once the channel breaks is when we start raising our stop losses.
But until we draw out the handle, I am not bought in for a play as of yet.
Just want to put this out there on peoples radar
Orion S.A.| OEC | Long at $5.75Orion NYSE:OEC : Another chemicals company in the dumps, but is it justified - long-term?
Technical Analysis
Price fell through my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). The last time this happened the price moved down to my "major crash" zone (gray lines) and subsequently rallied to a 4x investment 1.5 years later. Not to say that same trajectory will happen, but this company (like all chemical companies) are historically cyclical. The price may continue to drop into the $3's in the near-term and complete the "major crash" touch, but a longer-term outlook is likely to generate positive returns... likely...
Growth
A bad 2025, but beyond that, projections show growth in earnings and revenue through 2027: www.tradingview.com
Fair Value and Health
Fair value: $8.30
Tangible Fair Value: $6.58
Company cut its 2025 guidance due to softer demand and shifted focus to free cash flow generation.
Debt-to-equity: 2.19x (high)
Action
While this is mostly a technical analysis play, there are so many opportunities right now with chemical companies. The tape beyond 2025 is likely to be positive and those who can stomach the near-term risks (i.e. $3's) may do well long-term. But there are better plays out there for the impatient.
Targets into 2028
$6.60 (+14.8%)
$9.00 (+56.5%)
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Fights Back w/ Weekly CloseCrypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap looking similar to CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Thankfully did not close outside of the Danger Zone.
It's absolutely imperative that Bulls reclaim the 20WMA this week and close above the .236 Fib
Losing the 20WMA has signaled more downside / sideways chop historically.
Hopefully this is just a fake-out, otherwise the 50% Gann will be retested alongside the 50WMA.
$BTC Bulls Fight Back With Weekly CloseNot sure how I continue to amaze myself, but I do 🤓
Notice how those MMs respected my DANGER ZONE POI to the dollar?
Thankfully CRYPTOCAP:BTC did not close the Week outside the DZ.
The battle between Bulls and Bears is FIERCE 🔥
Bulls cannot afford another blue weekly close.
If so, the 50WMA retest ~102k will be inevitable.
Bulls need to reclaim and close this upcoming week above the 20WMA and .236 Fib
A close ~$116k would be super bullish.
That should be enough ammo to spark the long awaited parabola that UpTober has historically brought us.
BTCUSD SHORT to $100 000Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at a Strong level of Daily and Weekly Resistance
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA Retest
Around Psychological Level 112,000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels: BTC to hit $100 000
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDJPY LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry both DW
Candlestick rejection Daily and Weekly
Previous Structure point both Daily and Weekly
Around Psychological Level 149.500
H4 Candlestick rejection Y
Levels
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZDUSD BUYUSD/NZD Analysis 🧠📉
Price formed a Head and Shoulders pattern and just showed a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. I’m now waiting for a retracement back to the neckline / POI for a possible sell setup. Once price returns, I’ll look for an engulfing candle or any strong bearish confirmation to secure the best entry for this trade.
Arweave shortEntry now: 3.94, with optional scale‑in on a pop that stalls around 4.04–4.10.
Primary targets: 3.72, then 3.55, then 3.35; take partials at each step.
Hourly setup (loose): stop above 4.28 or Entry + 2×ATR(1h); trail by ~1×ATR after first target.
4‑hour setup (loose): stop above 4.45 or Entry + 2.5×ATR(4h); add only if a bounce into 4.28–4.45 rejects.
Daily setup (loose): stop above 4.45 or Entry + 3×ATR(1d); bias remains bearish while short MA stays beneath long MA.
Weekly context: use very small size; catastrophic stop above the long MA region near 6.44–6.60 if holding for weeks.
Invalidation cue: sustained daily close back above ~4.28 weakens the short thesis; reduce or exit.
Risk control: risk 1–2% per trade and size via position‑sizing formula based on distance to stop for capital protection.
Bitcoin at the EdgeShort-Term View:
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the lower boundary of its rising channel near $111,000–$112,000, signaling potential short-term weakness. However, the price is still hovering close to this zone, meaning a false breakdown and quick recovery could still happen.
If BTC reclaims $114,000, a rebound toward $118,000 → $122,000 becomes likely.
A daily close below $104,000 would confirm a deeper bearish move.
Long-Term View:
As long as Bitcoin stays above the $101,000–$102,000 area (the last major swing low), the broader bullish structure remains intact. A recovery back inside the channel could reignite the uptrend toward $125,000–$128,000.
If the breakdown holds and BTC closes multiple days below $101,000, the long-term support could shift lower toward $92,000–$88,000.
Summary:
Bitcoin is currently testing the bottom of a long-term ascending channel, making this a critical zone for market direction.
A recovery above $114K could turn sentiment bullish again, while sustained weakness below $104K opens the door to a larger correction.
S&P 500 at the Golden Support – Bounce or Breakdown?Short-Term View:
S&P 500 is testing its 50-day moving average near 6,470 after a recent correction from 6,800. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could push prices toward 6,850 → 7,000.
If the index closes below 6,550, short-term momentum turns bearish and a drop toward 6,400 becomes likely.
Long-Term View:
The broader trend remains bullish as long as price holds above 6,470–6,145.
Breaking below 6,145 would confirm a larger correction toward 6,000–5,800, while holding above this zone keeps the path open for new highs near 7,200.
Summary:
S&P 500 stands at a key technical decision zone — the market is deciding whether to resume its bullish trend or start a mid-term correction.
GoDaddy | GDDY | Long at $128.90GoDaddy NYSE:GDDY is the world's largest domain registrar, managing over 84 million domains for over 21 million customers. AI, particularly through GoDaddy's Airo platform and related GenAI tools, is poised to drive outsized growth by supercharging product innovation, customer value, and operational efficiency.
Technical Analysis
The stock has dropped 35% so far in 2025, but this was after a meteoric 208.5% rise from October 2023 to December 2024. The price has now regressed to my selected historical mean - a typical share-accumulation region for algorithmic trading when it comes to high-growth stocks. While this is often a solid area of support, it may dip down to $115 to shakeout retail traders. Obviously, further declines would occur if fundamentals change, but the forward growth is highly attractive, and I doubt it will "crash" from here if the outlook remains positive.
Earnings and Revenue Growth into 2028
Projected earnings-per share growth between 2025 ($5.98) and 2028 ($11.12): 86.0% (AI effect...)
Projected revenue growth between 2025 ($4.92 billion) and 2028 ($6.19 billion): 25.8%
Current P/E: 22x (remaining tech sector: 45.7x)
www.tradingview.com
Insiders
Warning: Lots of insider selling and no recent buying.
openinsider.com
Health
Debt-to-equity: 9x (very high, but due to aggressive share repurchases rather than distress)
Cash flow remains a bull case cornerstone, with accelerating free cash flow conversion (>100% of EBITDA) underscoring operational leverage from AI efficiencies and premium customer shifts.
Action
GoDaddy NYSE:GDDY is a prominent name and leader in domain registration. As AI enhancements lead to improvements in operational margins, earnings are likely to grow tremendously into 2028. Once agentic AI search enters the scene, it will be very interesting to better understand the importance of such a domain registration company for its successful implementation. While the price may dip beyond the historical mean to shakeout some retail traders, I think the future of this currently undervalued, high-growth company into 2028 is very bullish. Thus, at $128.90, NYSE:GDDY is in a buy-zone with potential near-term risk between $100 and $115.
Targets into 2028
$160.00 (+24.1%)
$200.00 (+55.2%)
RKT on LSE - LongRKT on LSE - Long
Momentum trade
Price has broken out of trend line and reclaimed significant support level.
Price sitting on weekly 200ma.
Enter as close to entry price or support level.
TP1 - exit 35% position - Top of range & .618 Fib
TP2 - exit 35% position - .786 Fib
TP1 - exit 30% position - .886 Fib
Bioceres Crop Solutions | BIOX | Long at $1.43Technical Analysis
Bioceres Crop Solutions NASDAQ:BIOX has entered my selected "crash" simple moving average. This area is often a zone of share accumulation and may result in a trend reversal (or a short-term stair-step down to $1 or lower before trading sideways).
Growth, Fundamentals, & Health
Not expected to become profitable again until 2028.
Earnings-per-shares growth from 2026 (-$0.26) to 2028 ($0.56): +323%
Revenue growth from 2026 ($350 million) to 2028 ($511 million): +46%
Current Fair Value: $5
Debt-to-Equity: 0.9x (very good / healthy)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: .9 (high risk, some financial distress)
Action
75% technical analysis play and only 25% based on company fundamentals. The only major risk based on the data is bankruptcy. The near-term could be rough for the company, but the outlook into 2028 shows significant growth. Thus, at $1.43, NASDAQ:BIOX is in a personal buy zone. There could be near-term risk near $1 or a bit lower, but this one is a total gamble. Time will tell.
Targets into 2028
$2.00 (+39.9%)
$4.00 (+179.7%)
The Dollar Death Cross that marks the beginning – October 2025The term death cross often sends shivers through markets, but in the case of the US Dollar Index (DXY), it’s proven to be quite the opposite.
History tells us that every major death cross on the 5-day chart where the short-term 50 day simple moving average (SMA) crosses below the 200 day long term simple moving average (SMA), has in fact marked the end of a dollar downtrend, not the start of one. This is especially true after a test of the annual Rolling Moving Average (green line), as has just confirmed.
Look left:
February 2018, Death cross printed at the macro low. The dollar rallied for nearly two years.
January 2021, Death cross printed again, just before the dollar began its next sustained advance.
July 2025, Another death cross appears, once again coinciding with price touching the RMA, the same long-term structural support that has historically defined the beginning of each dollar bull cycle.
We can keep looking left if those last three dates do not satisfy, the story does not change, there is no “this time is different” while the DXY is in a macro uptrend.
Now, in October 2025, the RSI confirms a breakout from its multi-year descending channel, adding technical weight to what the moving averages are already signalling: the bear phase is likely over, and the next dollar bull market is quietly beginning. The 50 line is marked out, once it climbs above the rest is history.
What’s Next
Each of the prior bullish reversals began the same way:
1. Death cross, triggering capitulation sentiment.
2. Support test of the annual rolling moving average
3. RSI breakout and confirmation of trend reversal
That structure is now repeating almost perfectly.
If momentum follows prior cycles, the next 6–18 months could see the DXY recover toward the 105–110 zone, with potential for extension beyond 115 over the full bull phase.
A break and hold above 104 would confirm trend strength, while a close below the annual average around 96 would invalidate the structure and delay the signal.
This setup isn’t about calling tops or bottoms, it’s about recognising that death crosses on this timeframe have repeatedly marked strong uptrends for the dollar, not endings as the gold folks would have us believe.
Conclusions
The data is clear: every major death cross in recent DXY history has aligned with the start of a new bullish cycle. The 5-day structure, RSI breakout, and confirmation from the rolling annual average all point toward a macro reversal is underway.
The irony of the name death cross is not lost here, for the dollar, it often signals the exact opposite. If history rhymes once again, October 2025 will be remembered as the quiet beginning of the next US Dollar bull market.
Ww
==============================
Disclaimer
This post is for educational and informational purposes only and represents personal market analysis, not financial advice.
Currency markets are inherently volatile and influenced by complex macroeconomic factors. Always perform your own research, manage risk responsibly, and rely on confirmation, not emotion, when making trading or investment decisions.
Patience, data, and confirmation, the real currency of trading.