Moving Averages
USD/JPY daily chartlooking at this USD/JPY daily chart, we can break it down step-by-step.
First, we see that the price has been in a downtrend recently, indicated by the series of lower highs and lower lows. The red line here is the 20-period EMA, and it’s been acting as dynamic resistance. We also have the 50 and 200 EMAs, which help us gauge the longer-term trend.
The buy limit orders placed around the 154.7 to 154.9 range are likely targeting a support zone. That zone aligns with previous price action, and it’s where we expect potential buying interest. The stop-loss levels are placed just below those support zones to manage risk.
In terms of prediction, if the price respects that support and bounces, we might see a move back up toward the previous high around 156.9. However, if the price breaks below that support, we could see further downside.
So, overall, the analysis hinges on that support zone holding and the price bouncing from it.
PAIR : USDJPY
TF H4 - D1
ENTRY:
BUY Limit around 154.920 154.747
SL 154.363
TP 156.923
Franc Under PressureEUR/CHF has closed above the 200DMA for the first time since August and is now pressing against resistance at 0.9370, providing a level to build trades around depending on how near-term price action evolves. With RSI (14) pushing higher but not yet overbought, upside strength is building, favouring longs over shorts in terms of directional bias. With MACD confirming the bullish message, the overall signal is strengthened.
Should the pair push above 0.9370 and hold there, longs could be established with a stop beneath the level for protection, targeting 0.9400 initially, with 0.9447 the next option after that.
If the bullish move over the past month stalls at 0.9370, the setup could be flipped, with shorts set beneath the level and a stop above for protection. 0.9350, 0.9320 and the 50DMA screen as potential targets, depending on desired risk-reward from the trade.
With the Swiss National Bank (SNB) interest rate decision looming on Wednesday, it presents a major risk event for traders to be aware of. While the SNB is widely expected to keep its policy rate at 0%, it may come down to signalling on whether taking it into negative territory remains a possibility next year. To this point, the SNB has indicated the bar for doing so is elevated, so any watering down of that assessment may lead to further weakness in the franc.
Good luck!
DS
Is BTC near the bottom?Thesis is that institutional money started accumulating after the launch of IBIT. Assume since the launch of IBIT, many buyers are dollar cost averaging in. Anchor VWAP (AVWAP) since IBIT launch has served as support during both liberation day sell off and the recent capitulation in November which is roughly around $85k. Does this mean we are near the bottom or are the bears right that we have more room to dip?
UiPath automates workflows and apparently the chart tooPATH pretends nothing happened after a perfect diamond breakout
PATH is trading at 13.86 after the diamond pattern completed a clean breakout toward 18.74 and shifted into a corrective phase. The pullback landed precisely in the Fibonacci 0.786 zone between 12.00 and 12.50 where a clear demand area formed. Buyers reacted sharply and the three day chart printed a golden cross through the MA50 crossing the MA100 which strengthens the bullish scenario.
As long as price holds above 12.00 the structure remains bullish. The next confirmation level sits at 14.97. A solid close above this zone opens the path back to 18.74 and later to the extended target at 27.88 where higher timeframe liquidity is located.
Fundamentally UiPath continues to show strength as of November 29 2025. Annual revenue exceeds 1.55 billion dollars which reflects a near 15 percent year over year increase. Gross margin stays near 83 percent indicating high operational efficiency. Cash reserves are above 1.7 billion dollars which keeps the balance sheet among the strongest in the automation sector. Customer growth remains steady across banking telecommunications and public sector clients. The transition to subscription based models continues to improve the predictability of cash flows. The main risk remains sensitivity of enterprise budgets in slow economic cycles.
The reaction to the 12.00 support confirms solid demand. Holding above this zone keeps the bullish scenario active with targets at 18.74 and 27.88. If buyers reclaim 14.97 the trend could accelerate quickly.
Automation removes friction from business processes and sometimes the chart removes friction for traders. Fibonacci and MA100 hint louder than words.
Bitcoin is standing at the edge… Next move?The market held its breath as Bitcoin crashed straight into the green major support zone around 80,000 USD — and once again, buyers stepped in. Exactly where they were expected. The bounce is here. But the real question is not if we bounce…
It’s whether this is only a breath of relief — or the ignition of the next major rally.
🔥 The Battlefield Levels
✅ 80,000 USD – The Line in the Sand
This level stopped the sell-off for now see this level. Lose it — and the market could collapse fast.
🎯 94,200 USD – First Gate to Freedom (+4.7%)
Breaking this would confirm that buyers are back in control.
🎯 106,996 USD – Momentum Zone (+13.3%)
Here the trend structure starts to turn bullish again.
🎯 116,219 USD – Heavy Supply Level (+8.9%)
This is where many rallies have died before.
🚀 126,387 USD – The Final Boss
Above this level, Bitcoin enters price discovery mode toward new all-time highs.
📉 RSI & Volatility Signal Something is About to Happen
The RSI is deeply oversold and curling up, a pattern that historically preceded powerful upside moves.
At the same time, Bitcoin touched the lower Bollinger Band and bounced, often the birthplace of explosive volatility.
The market is compressed.
Pressure is building.
A big move is loading.
⏳ Time Is Also Speaking
More than 390 days have passed since the last structural bottom. In past cycles, this timing often marked the transition into a new impulsive phase. Bitcoin is not just at a price level — it’s at a cycle decision point.
⚠️ Two Futures From Here
🟢 Bullish Path:
80K holds.
Break above 94K confirms strength.
Targets: 106K → 116K → 126K
Above 126K = new all-time highs loading…
🔴 Bearish Path:
80K fails.
Liquidity vacuum opens.
Next stop: 70K – 65K
Current bounce = trap.
Final Words
This is not a random level.
This is where trends are born — or where they die.
Bitcoin has made its first move.
Now the market must decide:
Rally continuation… or deeper correction.
The next candles will write the story.
Waiting for Pullback to Look for RejectionLooking for a short continuation. To sell right now would be selling from a discounted area, so I am waiting for price to go up to a more premium area to short.
Monday is often a tricky day and not a day to put too big a target. If price doesn't pull back to my POI I will wait until tomorrow to look for new trade possibilities.
XAGUSD Long Positioning Headed into FOMCLooking H1 time frame wise closest demand zone around 57.900 is right below Irochimoku cloud, RSI coming it to test and possibly bounce from 50 level, Stochastic RSI in oversold area with a 21/50 SMA cross below price. Were seeing a lot of bullish confluence here if we do end up getting that steeper pullback I would be looking for longs around 57 with a 2 candle swing conformation.
ONDO 15m Apex - LONG 5-10%ONDO here, 15m chart. Currently settling into an apex play. Getting pinched between the 100ma and the 200s.
I’m thinking .50 target, like maybe 10%. Stop loss should be around .5% or 1% depending on your risk tolerance and leverage size.
Invalidate if candles close below the 15m white 100sma.
Hit me up if y’all have any questions or requests.
Trading Future - 1-Minute TimeframeTrading Future - 1-Minute Timeframe CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:M2K1!
RSI Low (Reversal) Entry Strategy
Spot ENTRY
Trend completed - Succeed !
Entry Criteria
✔ RSI Low alert
✔ RSI crosses above MA
✔ Price crosses above SMA9
✔ Price pullback holds SMA9
✔ Optional: Price above SMA20 for stronger confirmation
Exit Criteria
❌ Price closes below SMA9
❌ Price falls below HMA-Low (secondary exit)
❌ Price hits target below HMA-High line
Indicators Setup:
1. HMA Low/High – Length 15
Entry: Price crosses above HMA-Low and stays inside the HMA channel.
Exit: Price falls below SMA 9 OR price goes below HMA-Low line (secondary exit).
2. SMA 9 (Blue)
Entry: Price pulls back to SMA9 but does not fall under it.
Exit: Price falls under SMA9.
3. SMA 20 (Red)
Confirmation trend line.
Entry Confirmation: Price crosses above SMA20.
4. SMA 70 (Teal)
Higher-timeframe trend bias.
5. RSI (14) – Low/High 30/70
Reversal signal at RSI Low.
RSI extreme lows highlight with BG color.
6. MACD Histogram (12/26/9)
Trend confirmation: Histogram cross above 0 = momentum shift upward.
Trading Steps:
1. Identify the RSI Low (Alert)
RSI prints a lowest point and background highlights in the extreme zone.
2. RSI Crosses Above Its MA (Yellow)
RSI breaks above its MA = early upward momentum.
At the same time:
Price crosses above SMA 9 (blue).
3. Entry Trigger
Wait for a price pullback to SMA9,
BUT price must not break below SMA9.
If SMA9 holds support → Enter long.
4. Stop Loss Rules
Primary Stop Loss: Price closes below SMA 9 (blue).
Secondary Stop Loss: Price dips just under HMA-Low = early trend failure.
5. Position Hold Conditions (Confirmation)
Hold the trade ONLY IF:
Price stays above SMA 9.
MACD Histogram crosses above 0
→ Trend shifts from negative to positive, confirming upward movement.
6. Ride the Trend
Let price continue inside HMA channel.
Wait for trend to complete (usually when RSI approaches 70 or MACD weakens).
7. Profit Taking (Exit Rules)
Option A: HMA-High line target
Set take-profit just below HMA-High line.
Option B: SMA9 Breakdown
Exit when price falls below SMA 9 (blue).
MNTUSDT // cup-handle formationAlthough there is a cup handle formation on the chart, let's look for closings above the yellow line. The first target of the formation can be followed as 1.2021, which corresponds to Fibo 1.414 of the exit, and 1.3057 in case we see closings above the level I mentioned.
Uptrend in Broadcom? Broadcom hit a new all-time high last week, and some traders may think the chipmaker will continue to advance.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rally between Friday, November 21, and Friday, November 28. AVGO retraced half the move and bounced, which may suggest its direction remains bullish.
Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals may reflect a positive short-term trend.
Third, strong quarterly results propelled the stock upward on September 5. AVGO never filled the bullish gap, which may suggest buyers outnumber sellers.
Next, you have the series of higher lows in October and November. That could also reveal accumulation of the stock.
Finally, AVGO is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average volume of 260,000 contracts ranks 14th in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That may help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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BTC : REVERSAL or FAKEOUT ?? Hello Bitcoin Watchers 📈
BTC is looking promising with a price recovery towards the upside, currently trading just over $90k.
📢But let's not forget, a higher high was observed here as well.
A further -30% drop followed after this pullback to the upside:
If we have to follow a similar trend, over the next two months we could end up at around $65K:
Conclusion - I'm leaning towards more drop to follow after a period of sideways trading here. We could see this zone hold for two or three weeks up until after Xmas, at which point longs could be liquidated again if the optimism goes too high.
If you've been following my previous BTC updates, you would have seen that it's not uncommon for the price to recover to the basis of the Bollinger bands, or mid-level moving average. And the only way that can be considered a reversal, is if the WEEKLY starts closing above the 50day moving average, which we are no where near close to seeing.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
APPS 1W: warms up the stage again or is this only a teaserAPPS is trading at 5.08 and holding above the demand zone between 3.88 and 4.72. These levels correspond with Fibonacci 0.5 and 0.618 and continue to attract buyers. A golden cross between ma50 and ma100 has formed and the ma200 above creates a clean technical structure for a potential breakout. The chart suggests a move toward 7.77 while a confirmed break above it may open the way toward 11.01.
The fundamental picture has strengthened. Revenue grew 18 percent in the latest quarter and adjusted EBITDA increased 78 percent. The business acceleration comes from a sharp rise in ad impressions, wider SDK penetration, stronger non gaming activity and expansion into the Asia-Pacific region. Margin improvement and stronger cash flow support the bullish scenario as the advertising market stabilizes.
As long as price holds above the demand zone between 3.88 and 4.72 the bullish setup remains active. Losing this zone would lead to deeper consolidation yet the combination of technical strength and improving fundamentals favors upside continuation.
Advertising is all about timing and Digital Turbine seems to know exactly when to turn the spotlight on.
Semiconductors Maintain a Healthy Lead Over the S&P500 (SMH/SPY)Semiconductors continue to show a healthy, steady lead over the S&P 500 on the higher-timeframe ratio chart.
• RSI uptick confirms renewed momentum
• Volume expansion supports the trend
• ATR declining signals controlled volatility and a stable advance
This structure shows a strong long-term leadership trend.
When SMH outperforms SPY on the higher timeframes, it often signals broad risk-on behavior and sustained strength in growth-driven areas of the market.
Dollar General | DG | Long at $90.00Dollar General NYSE:DG took a massive hit this morning after revising their future earnings guidance. The economy is showing many signs of a recession, and this is a clear warning. From a technical analysis perspective, it has retouched my "crash" simple moving average and may dip further into the $80's in the near-term. But, like many overall strong companies that suddenly plummet, I view this as a future opportunity given the strength of NYSE:DG as a business (holistically). Dollar General is the only grocery and home goods store around in many rural locations. So, while there is doom and gloom in the near-term, Dollar General is in a personal buy zone at $90.00. I view this as a starter position, though, with the potential for future declines/opportunities for additional share accumulation in the near-term.
Target #1 = $100.00
Target #2 = $122.00
Target #3 = $200.00+ (very-long term outlook...)
DOCU - Trendline Resistance in FocusDOCU - CURRENT PRICE : 71.87
Short-term outlook for DOCU is bullish as price moves above the EMA50, supported by RSI holding above 50 and bullish divergence in both RSI and MACD (look at orange arrows). Momentum continues to improve with a MACD bullish crossover, positioning DOCU for a move toward the long-term downtrend line. First target is $79 near trendline resistance, with a potential extension to $85, while $65 remains the key support and invalidation level.
ENTRY PRICE : 70.00 - 71.87
FIRST TARGET : 79.00
SECOND TARGET : 85.00
SUPPORT : 65.00






















