EJ Thoughts, Ideas and Forecast (1 Week)Daily:
The pair closed the week with a textbook evening star, and the best part of it the move was supported by a slightly above average volume on the narrow and then the down candle. Giving this information I suspect the price will keep falling this week at least until 178.992, where we have a swing high a pivot and also is the Fibonacci 50. There are three scenarios which I will be observing and trying to capitalise on.
1. Big pullback all the way down to 175.768
2. Smaller pullback to 178.992 followed by a re-test of the high or the formation of LH. SELL
3. Monday opens gap down, and continues down all the week
4H:
Now, at 4HTF the first line of support has been tested once during the NY session, my plan is to wait for a pull back to 181.029 to then short down to 178.992 or if it doesn't stop at the swing wait for the test of the high. If it fails to reject here and continues lower my point of reference will be the next Support at 178.990. SELL
1H:
At 1HTF the MA is already positioning to move lower, obviously before any entries, I want to see a lower high on a higher timeframe, a test of the MA on 1HTF and all of it supported by higher volume on down candles. My bias is fully bearish as I've been fallowing the bullish move for the past week closely and it wasn't supported by volume much. A break below the support area 178.822/178.992 would be dream coming true as the next support is all the way down below 176.000. SELL
The Plan:
ALL SHORTS, NOT BUYING EVEN IF IT BREAKS THE HIGH
181.029 Rejection Target 179.054
181.814 Rejection Target 179.781
178.822 Breakout target 175.768 (Only after re-test)
Disclaimer: This are notes of what I do for my self every week, but usually I just save them as Private notes so I can keep track on my weekly plan. I decided to start publicly sharing them in the hope that they can be somehow helpful to anyone, and maybe learn something from you in the comments.
About me: I trade Support and Resistance both breakouts and rejections, usually my entries are after Hammers and Shooting stars on above average volume. I use VPA (Volume Prize Analysis) for all my analysis and entries. I do not post my Tick Volume indicator as I use different platform for it.
My Win%:
All time 45.05%
2025 45.51%
Q3 51.39%
Good Luck in your trading.
Thank you
Moving Averages
EU Thoughts, Ideas and Forecast (1 Week)Daily:
We are coming from a bearish week, and what is more important is the struggle at 1.15130, last two candle both engaged with the level and both failed to close below and also they came on some solid volume. The overall trend since September has been bearish with some nice pullbacks. Since the end of October we entered in a large range L1.14686, H1.16556. The EMA's are trading above the price confirming the overall bearishness of the pair. Given all this information and the previous structures, I'm interested in a long pullback, scenario 1 up to 1.16000 which is the Fibonacci retracement levels or re-test of the last high, I don't exclude last push to the bottom level of the range 1.14686. The idea is I'm looking for bottom reversal patterns. BUY
4H:
In the last hours of Friday we did get some good confirmations of struggle to keep the price at this level and also the confirmation of buyers here, we already get the second touch, I don't expect the pullback to be huge as there are many levels above where the price could be stopped. WEAK BUY THE PULLBACK THE SELL CONTINUATION DOWN TO 1.14686
1H:
On the faster TF is visible the tight range that the price entered on Wednesday following the breakout of 1.15500. That strong hammer marked with the arrow its first confirmation for a possible pullback all i want to see is a HL closing above 1.15130 to trigger my long.
The Plan
LONGS:
1.15100 current level that could be an early week entry, Target 1.15700
1.14686 Rejection, low of the range, Target 1.15024
SHORTS:
1.15700 Rejection (the blue area), Target 1.15130
1.16075 Rejection, Target 1.15500
Disclaimer: This are notes of what I do for my self every week, but usually I just save them as Private notes so I can keep track on my weekly plan. I decided to start publicly sharing them in the hope that they can be somehow helpful to anyone, and maybe learn something from you in the comments.
About me: I trade Support and Resistance both breakouts and rejections, usually my entries are after Hammers and Shooting stars on above average volume. I use VPA (Volume Prize Analysis) for all my analysis and entries. I do not post my Tick Volume indicator as I use different platform for it.
My Win%:
All time 45.05%
2025 45.51%
Q3 51.39%
Good Luck in your trading.
Thank you
SUI Technical Analysis — Is a Major Reversal Coming?SUI is currently moving inside a large descending channel, consistently respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. Price is now approaching a critical decision zone where two scenarios become likely.
Bearish Scenario (Red Path)
If the current weakness continues, SUI may drop toward the bottom of the channel, which aligns with the long-term rising trendline.
• Support Zone: $0.70 – $0.75
This area is the strongest confluence of support on the chart.
A bounce from here would be highly probable.
Bullish Scenario (Green Path)
If SUI holds above the lower boundary and shows a reversal pattern, we can expect a recovery toward the mid-range of the channel.
• First Target: $1.63
• Second Target: $2.38 (midline + major horizontal level)
A break above the midline could signal a trend shift.
Suggested Trade Plan
• Entry Zone: Around $0.75 – $0.80 (lower channel + long-term trendline)
• Stop-Loss: $0.60 (below channel + invalidation level)
• Target 1: $1.63
• Target 2: $2.38
Risk/reward becomes highly favorable only if price gets closer to the lower trendline.
PI Coin Massive Capitulation, But a Potential Bottom Is FormingPI has experienced an extreme -95% collapse from its peak, followed by months of steady sideways consolidation. This kind of price behavior is typical after capitulation events, where sellers are completely exhausted and the market enters a long accumulation phase.
Key Technical Observations
1. Major Capitulation (-94.68%)
The sharp vertical drop shows panic selling. After such massive declines, markets often enter a stabilization zone.
2. Long-Term Support Zone (≈ $0.22 – $0.30)
The chart shows PI sitting on a multi-month horizontal support, which has repeatedly held. This is currently the most important level.
3. Price Compressing Near Support
PI is trading in a very tight range just above support. This normally indicates that:
• Sellers are mostly gone
• Buyers are slowly accumulating
• A small upward correction becomes more likely than another major breakdown
4. Reclaim of SMA50 Would Be First Bullish Signal
The SMA50 is slightly above price. If PI closes above it, momentum may shift upward.
Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow)
If PI holds above the $0.22–$0.23 support and breaks out from the tight range:
Targets:
• Target 1: $0.30
• Target 2: $0.40 (strong resistance and major test area)
A breakout above $0.40 would signal a trend reversal.
Bearish Scenario
If the support at $0.22 breaks decisively:
• The chart has no meaningful support below until extremely low levels
• Price could revisit the sub-$0.10 zone
• Breakdown would indicate continuation of the long-term downtrend
Suggested Levels
Entry (Speculative): $0.23–$0.25
Stop-Loss: Below $0.20
Targets:
• $0.30
• $0.40
This is a high-risk, high-speculation setup, suitable only for experienced traders.
XRP at a Make-or-Break Moment: Rebound Ahead or Major Breakdown?XRP has now reached the lower boundary of its long-term ascending channel, a level that has historically triggered either strong bullish reversals or major breakdowns.
This area represents the true decision point between continuation of the uptrend or a potentially deep correction.
Technical Overview
Structure
• Price has been moving inside a broad ascending channel for more than a year.
• It is currently testing the channel support.
• The 50-day SMA is above the price → bearish pressure still present.
Bullish Scenario (if the channel support holds)
If XRP stabilizes above 1.90–1.95:
Targets:
• Target 1: $2.43
• Target 2: $2.85
• Target 3: $3.20
• Major Target: Channel top near $4.00
Conditions for confirmation:
✔ Holding the lower channel line
✔ Reclaiming the 50-day SMA
Bearish Scenario (if the channel support breaks)
A daily close below $1.85 would confirm a breakdown.
Targets:
• Target 1: $1.60
• Target 2: $1.28
• Final Target: $1.00 or lower
This scenario becomes active if the channel fails.
Suggested Stop-Loss
For long positions: $1.85
For short positions (after breakdown confirmation): $2.05
XRPUSD testing monthly 20EMA supportCritical area for XRP bulls. If the Monthly 20EMA holds (overlayed on this 4H chart) we could see price retrace to the high 2.20s/low 2.30s to test the resistance at the Monthly 10EMA. Needless to say that the RSI is oversold on multiple time frames but with the algorithm set to "sell off" the RSI has become useless for now. As always, on a play like this, tight SL and sniper entries.
BNB at Reversal Incoming or Start of a Deep Correction?BNB has pulled back sharply from its parabolic run above $1,300, and price is now sitting exactly on the bottom boundary of the rising channel that has guided the trend since late 2023.
This area is extremely important because:
• It is the channel support
• It aligns with a previous consolidation zone
• It’s very close to the 50-day SMA retest zone (which BNB often respects)
If this support holds, BNB could stage a recovery rally. But if it breaks down, the chart opens the door to a much deeper correction.
Bullish Scenario (If channel support holds)
Entry Zone: $780–$820
(BNB is currently inside this zone)
Target 1: $987
– This is the next major resistance and midpoint of the previous structure.
Target 2: $1,070–$1,100
– Retest of the recent breakdown area and 50-day SMA region.
Target 3 (extended): $1,250+
– Only if momentum continues and BTC supports the market.
Bearish Scenario (If price loses the channel)
A breakdown from the channel plus a daily close below $790 would confirm weakness.
Downside Targets:
• $700 — First Fibonacci + structural support
• $620 — Major support zone from 2024
• $500–$520 — Full channel breakdown target
Stop-Loss Suggestion
• Stop-loss (swing trade): $760
– A daily close below this level means the channel is broken.
• Tighter stop-loss (short-term): $780
Summary
BNB is sitting on a critical support level.
Hold → strong bounce potential.
Break → deep correction likely.
XAUUSD -SetupPrice has confirmed a bearish breakout from the structure, and I’m expecting continuation toward the three downside targets. As long as price maintains bearish momentum and stays below the key levels, the setup remains valid.
Bias: Bearish
Invalidation: ❌ Setup becomes invalid if price closes above 4107.50.
Watching for sustained downside pressure and continuation toward the marked take-profit zones.
Pfizer (PFE) – Hedged Covered Call Income CampaignAfter Pfizer’s return to price levels closer to its pre-COVID range, I personally believe the stock is undervalued relative to its current earnings profile and long-term potential. This view is also influenced by Pfizer’s recent acquisition of Metsera, which brings a pipeline of obesity and cardiometabolic candidates — including GLP-1 receptor agonists, an amylin analog, and other metabolic therapies.
Whether this pipeline ultimately succeeds is uncertain, but in my opinion, it meaningfully strengthens Pfizer’s long-term outlook.
This campaign is structured as a hedged, conservative covered-call income strategy, combining downside protection with steady premium generation.
Current Position
1. Long Shares: 700 shares @ $24.94
2. Protective Long Puts: 7 puts @ $19 strike (exp. 1/16/26), Cost: $35 total
Because PFE’s implied volatility is relatively low, these long-dated puts provide very inexpensive downside protection, defining maximum risk and allowing me to run covered calls with confidence. This is my preferred way to reduce tail risk on slower-moving stocks.
Covered Calls (Income)
I am selling near-term calls at the $25 strike and rolling as needed.
Call Activity So Far:
A. Initial Sell
• 7 contracts @ $0.11 → $77 total
• Expiration: 11/07/2025
B. Roll #1
• 7 contracts @ $0.15 → $105 total
• Expiration: 11/11/2025
C. Roll #2
• 7 contracts @ $0.15 → $105 total
• Expiration: 11/17/2025
Dividend Component:
Pfizer’s dividend provides a third income source that complements the weekly call premiums. With 700 shares, my next scheduled dividend payment is $310.89 on December 1st. this is nearly a 7% yield.
Dividends enhance this strategy by:
1. Reducing effective cost basis over time
2. Providing a reliable quarterly income
3. Making slower-moving stocks like PFE well-suited for hedged income trading
4. Smoothing returns even during flat price periods
This is one reason I favor PFE for long-term defensive income strategies.
These rolls follow my usual “roll out only” approach — extending time value without paying unnecessary extrinsic premium. This keeps weekly income stable while managing assignment risk.
Zoetis $ZTS – Weekly Capitulation Scout SignalZoetis has triggered a fresh Capitulation Scout signal on the weekly timeframe (Fig. 1), pointing to a potential early bottoming phase
Downside momentum is showing signs of exhaustion, which often precedes medium- to long-term reversals in this setup
The next weeks may offer attractive opportunities to begin building long-term positions
Previous signals of this type worked well: LVMH EURONEXT:MC (Fig. 2) and Samsung $005930 (Fig. 3) both marked strong accumulation zones before multi-month recoveries:
I’ll be monitoring for confirmation and potential scale-in levels
Not financial advice. For educational purposes only
Intel Rallied and Now It’s Pulled BackIntel had a dramatic rally in recent months, and now it has pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the gap on September 18 after the chipmaker received an investment from Nvidia. INTC pulled back to hold a 50 percent retracement of that move, which may confirm its upward direction remains intact.
Second, prices are near the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may be consistent with a bullish intermediate-term trend.
Next, stochastics have dipped to an oversold condition.
Finally, INTC is an active underlier in the options market. That may help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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How To Catch The Pullback - Part 1Forex ticker: OANDA:EURJPY OANDA:USDJPY OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:CADJPY
Step 1 — Interpret MACD Colors Only (Bullish Table)
Given:
• 1H: Light Green 🟢
• 4H: Light Green 🟢
• Daily: Dark Green 🟢 + Rising Three Soldiers
From the Bullish MACD Table:
Daily
4H
1H
Interpretation
Probability
🟢 Dark Green
🟢 Light Green
🟢 Light Green
Daily regaining strength, intraday momentum accelerating
🟠 75-85%
MACD-only base probability: 75-85% (High)
Step 2 — Add Candlestick Pattern
Given Pattern:
• Daily: Rising Three Soldiers + Dark Green MACD
From Bullish Candlestick Table:
Daily - Rising Three Soldiers + Dark Green:
Three White Soldiers + 🟢 Daily + 🟢 4H + 🟢 1H → 95% base → 99% final
Since your 4H and 1H are Light Green (not full Dark Green), the probability
adjusts slightly but remains very high due to the strength of the Rising Three Soldiers pattern.
Step 3 — Combine for Final Probability
This is a very strong bullish setup:
Strengths:
• Strong MACD alignment: Daily Dark Green (maximum momentum), 4H & 1H Light Green (bullish momentum building)
• Powerful bullish pattern: Rising Three Soldiers on Daily (strongest pattern in your system)
• Good confluence across all timeframes
• All timeframes aligned bullish
Final Probability:
🔥 90-95% (Very High)
Trade Insight:
This represents a high-probability bullish continuation setup because:
• Daily shows maximum bullish momentum with the strongest pattern (Rising Three Soldiers)
• 4H and 1H confirm with bullish momentum (Light Green)
• Rising Three Soldiers indicates sustained buying pressure across multiple
sessions
• Perfect setup for continued upward movement
Action:
Excellent long entry - strong setup:
• Enter on any pullback toward Daily Rising Three Soldiers support
• Add positions on break above recent highs
• Place stops below the Daily Rising Three Soldiers pattern low
• Expect strong upward continuation
This is a high-confidence bullish trade with the strongest pattern (Rising Three Soldiers) aligned with solid momentum across all timeframes. The Daily pattern
provides exceptional bullish conviction that overrides the slightly weaker momentum on lower timeframes.
Rocket Boost this content to learn more
Warning! : Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit
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also use a simulation trading account
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USDZAR SWING LONGStrong MACD Divergence is building.
I plan to dollar-cost-average my buys as the price declines.
Long term target is above 20 🚀
Will start reducing position and taking semi profits @ 18 @18.3 and @ 19, after that I will let my remaining buy orders run.
Keep an eye on fundamentals and market behavior 👀
This trade idea will take a long time ⌚
Patience is key 🧘♀️
DISCLAIMER❗
My strategy is considered risky; I will continue to average into my position no matter how low the price goes.
Follow your own plan and emphasis on Money Management 💸
$META: at the 100 WMANASDAQ:META : I believe April 2025 low started a new 5-wave sequence for $META. Wave 1-2 completed. Wave 1 of 3 completed and it's in Wave 2 of 3 correction.
Wave 2 can retrace very deep. It has already retraced 61.8% of Wave 1. There is also a trendline support formed by connecting 2022 low with April 2025 low.
It's also right at the 100 Week MA.
My count is invalidated if NASDAQ:META drops below the beginning of Wave 1 at $480.
My position
I'm a long term investor of $META. I'm holding my shares. It's already a large position so I do not plan to add. I'm comfortable with just holding my position long term.
S&P 500 — Double Top Setup by FRLThe market remains in an uptrend, but FRL highlights a critical moment.
Price is testing the origin of the last impulse — the key FRL level that separates continuation from reversal.
A confirmed close below this level will complete the double-top formation and shift the trend into a corrective phase.
If confirmation comes, the natural FRL target lies at the 0.618 retracement, which aligns with the 200-day SMA — a strong confluence support.
Previous similar FRL setup (fully played out):
Nasdaq 100: Double Top or Double Bottom? (FRL Setup)
The 2025 structure currently matches ~85% of the 2022 pre-bear Mhistorically BTC often touches EMA89 then retests EMA55 before a bear market and right now the chart structure looks similar to past cycle tops
Scenario A – Reclaim EMA55 (Bullish Recovery)
Chance: ~35%
Must close multiple weekly candles above EMA55
Would signal the bull trend is still intact
Correction becomes similar to 2013/2017 mid-cycle crash
Bullish targets:
$110k
$125k
$135k final blow-off
=============================
Scenario B – Rejection at EMA55 → Full Bear Market
Chance: ~65%
This is the historically normal outcome.
If BTC:
fails to reclaim the EMA55,
AND closes weekly candles below EMA89 →
Then this confirms a macro trend reversal.
Bearish targets (based on past cycles):
First major support: $72k–76k
Cycle bottom zone: $55k–63k
Extreme wick target (like 2020 crash): $48k (low probability)
$ZEC 5-Wave Impulsive End of MoveZcash is one of those things that has thrown me off the most these past couple months.
Everything else including CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been nuking, but CRYPTOCAP:ZEC has shown insane strength.
It now appears this dino-coin is nearing the end of its run.
🚩 Double Top formed after impulsive 5-wave move.
🚩 Doji Candle followed by Bearish Engulfing on the Daily
🚩 Exaggerated Bearish Divergence on the RSI
🚩 Euphoria has been diminishing from the TL
⚠️ If it loses the 9EMA, this should confirm the next corrective wave down.
I like the ideology behind Zcash and what it offers to the market, but it has no right to be pumping with ₿itcoin nuking.
Newmont’s Uptrend May Be IntactNewmont has steadily rallied in 2025, and some traders may think its uptrend remains intact into yearend.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rebound from last month’s pullback. The gold miner is trying to hold a 50 percent retracement of the move, which may confirm its direction is still pointing higher.
Second, NEM is back above its rising 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is still bullish.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those patterns may be consistent with a bullish short-term trend.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Aifinyo AG Increases Bitcoin Holdings with New Strategic PurchasAifinyo AG increases its digital asset presence as it buys an additional 2 Bitcoin. The company now holds 30.9 BTC. This fresh purchase reflects rising confidence and a clear commitment to its long-term blockchain vision. The Aifinyo Bitcoin strategy continues to expand as global interest in crypto grows. The company aims to stay ahead as more firms explore digital assets.
The German publicly traded firm manages a growing financial technology platform. It helps businesses streamline growth and operational processes. Its decision to deepen its Bitcoin position highlights how traditional companies view crypto. The Aifinyo Bitcoin approach sends a signal about strong conviction and a belief in long-term digital value. Investors watch these moves closely as the market prepares for new cycles.
Aifinyo AG understands how strategic adoption shapes financial positioning. Digital assets now influence treasury decisions across industries. The Aifinyo Bitcoin plan shows a shift toward future-focused financial models. More European companies explore similar strategies. The trend grows as Bitcoin gains attention as a treasury asset and a long-term store of value.
Aifinyo AG Strengthens Its Corporate Vision Through Steady Accumulation
Aifinyo AG builds its reputation as a forward-focused fintech company. The firm increases its crypto holdings in a consistent pattern. This latest addition strengthens its corporate crypto strategy. The company chooses long-term Bitcoin exposure rather than short-term speculation. This approach positions the firm for future growth as adoption expands.
The move aligns with an ongoing industry pattern. Public companies add Bitcoin to diversify and protect treasuries. Aifinyo AG plans for resilient financial positioning. Its leadership sees Bitcoin as a strategic asset. The corporate crypto strategy allows the company to move with global technological change.
Why Bitcoin Remains a Key Asset for Aifinyo and Other European Firms
Bitcoin becomes more relevant in Europe as financial innovation grows. Companies look for alternative assets that store value. The Aifinyo Bitcoin buildup reflects this growing trend. The firm understands how limited supply and global demand create long-term benefits. This belief motivates regular and steady purchases.
European fintech companies embrace digital transformation. They test new models that integrate blockchain technology. Bitcoin plays a strong role in treasury planning now. The Bitcoin treasury growth trend expands across several industries. Companies join the wave to strengthen balance sheets and diversify reserves.
Regulators across Europe also explore new frameworks. These frameworks support responsible digital asset use. Aifinyo AG works within these evolving guidelines. The firm increases its holdings with clarity and strategic timing. The Bitcoin treasury growth movement gains traction as more firms follow similar steps.
Conclusion
Aifinyo AG joins a rising wave of European companies that embrace Bitcoin. The firm increases its holdings as part of a clear strategy. This approach highlights belief in digital finance. The corporate crypto strategy builds a strong foundation for the future. The company shows steady growth through calculated decisions.
The move strengthens Aifinyo AG’s role in the fintech ecosystem. It aims for innovation and long-term economic resilience. The Bitcoin treasury growth trend continues shaping financial planning. Aifinyo AG stands among early movers that understand global digital adoption. This sets the stage for stronger performance as blockchain innovation expands.
$ETH accumulating around $3K?CRYPTOCAP:ETH accumulating around $3K? Spot on it’s coiling at ~$3,100 (up 3.44% short-term, per latest feeds), building steam after the recent dip.
Next resistance retest at $3,400 makes sense: that’s the broken support-turned-resistance from early Nov, aligning with the 50-day MA and Fib 0.5 extension. Break it, and we’re eyeing $3,850–$3,900 by month-end (Fusaka upgrade hype + ETF inflows fueling the push).
Whale zones at $2,800–$2,400? Bullish af—matches on-chain data where big players scooped $1.37B during the $3,331 breakdown (June highs echoed in Nov buys like Tom Lee’s $63.6M stack today).
Wintermute’s loading millions amid the dump, signaling reversal vibes (last time = massive pump). If $2,800 holds (key Fib 0.618 + demand zone), that’s your dip-buy floor before $4K+.
Mildly bullish here (70/30 odds on upside) RSI resetting from oversold, HAR dipping but whales countering retail sells. Load on #SorooshX signals if it tests $2,800.
Your play? 😎
#ETH #Crypto






















