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Moving Averages

SYRUP 4H — Deviation long (Maple Finance)SYRUP (Maple Finance) printed a strong flush on the 4H chart and is now trading in my first demand / deviation zone after breaking down from the 0.42–0.45 range. Fundamentals remain constructive: – AUM > $5B in Q3, up ~66% QoQ. – Q3 revenue around $4M with an October ATH of ~$2.16M. – 25% of protocol revenue is allocated to SYRUP buybacks and staker rewards (MIP-018/019), directly linking the token to cash flows. So we have a fundamentally supported DeFi credit token going through a short-term deleveraging move. On the 4H chart: – Price is trading below both 4H and 1D EMAs, with Dev% showing clear oversold conditions vs the mean. – The last leg down came with a vertical selling cluster into the lower ATR band. – Above price, the key liquidity zones are 0.422–0.423 (broken support + EMA area) and 0.44–0.445 (supply cluster / range high). I treat this as a potential mean-reversion setup rather than a fresh downtrend start. Trade plan (swing 1–5 days) – Long area: 0.395–0.405, with optional partial add on a spike toward 0.38. – Main target: 0.422–0.423 — retest of broken support and the 4H EMA region. – Extended target: 0.44–0.445 — upper supply zone and range high. – Invalidaton: 4H closes below 0.355. Stop goes under this level; if it breaks and holds, the setup is done and I wait for a new base lower (0.334–0.31). This gives an approximate R:R of ~1:2 toward the main target and higher if the extended target is hit. Alternative scenario If DeFi risk keeps unwinding and 0.355 fails to hold, I expect price to explore the 0.334–0.31 area, where a new accumulation zone may form. In that case this long idea is invalid and I’ll re-map the structure before looking for the next entry. Not financial advice — just my 4H EMA deviation swing framework combined with current fundamentals on Maple Finance.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
Patterns and colors - Moving averages, fib channel, parallels BTC at recent ATHs was unable to break through key upper resistance in Sept-Oct from a parallel channel originating from the 2018 bull top and the 2023 lows. It is about to test the mid point of that parallel channel which happens to coincide with the 100day moving average (100M/red line). Traditionally price trends upward finding support at the 50M during a bull market. Once price confirms below the 50M, history shows price will descend towards or even test the 100M (red, start of bull trap) followed by significant bounce up to the upside (yellow circle- 20M drops below 50M, completing the bull trap), quickly followed by a flush to the down side (capitulation). If this plays out again, price is likely to retest lower fib parallels and hover around the 200M. Note* - each time the 200M bottom is reached, a new lower fib channel is introduced and price is extended further along the x-axis, whether that plays out this time remains to be seen. A caveat in this setup is that typically the percentage change from red circle to yellow circle, the bull trap, is ~45-60% which would put price back at ATHs? In this model the bull trap, from red to yellow circle would roughly be a 20-30% correction to the upside before ultimately flusing to the downside. To negate this previous pattern setup I'm assuming this longer bull run is likely exhausted after 3 notable pumps/bull flags since the 2022-2023 200M accumulation and is likely due for a larger pull back. However if more free money is introduced to the system (stimulus checks, lower interest rates, etc) then all bets are off, or rather, reevaluated. Yellow - 20M tends to cross below 50M (green) at height of bull trap, bull market if above 50M Green - 50M provides support in bull market, if price goes below, start of bull trap the retest Red - 100M last warning to sell if price crosses below, or buy if price crosses above Blue - 200M always accumulate here
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by natenash
Death Cross - Contrarian BuyRarely does the death cross actually provide a meaningful sell signal given its lagging components and, in some cases, can end up being a better buy signal. I think this is one of those times where META death cross is providing another meaningful buy signal as the price is well below the 200-day moving average. A similar setup was provided in April of this year after the tariff tantrum; this time it's on concerns post Q3 earnings on AI spending return model. I see price safely returning above the 200-day moving average, then slow grind higher back above the 50- and 100-day moving average would have to be assessed but possible as it was climbing back from April lows. I give this setup a $700 price target which would be respectful under this framework to exit the trade.
NASDAQ:METALong
by Audacity618
1
Visa May Be CrumblingVisa has been rangebound for months, but some traders may think it’s starting to head lower. The first pattern on today’s chart is the consolidation period between late July and mid-November. At the beginning of the period, V’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) was above its 100-day SMA. Both were above the 200-day SMA. Things were just the opposite at the end, with the faster SMAs below the slower ones. That included a “death cross” of the 50-day SMA under the 200-day SMA, which may suggest the longer-term trend is getting bearish. Second, the Wall Street Journal reported on June 13 that large retailers were exploring the use of stablecoins. V gapped lower on that news and has remained below it since. Third, MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may be consistent with a bearish short-term trend. Next, V is trying to hold the August 7 low of $328.70. Traders may watch a potential break of that support line as a signal for steeper downside. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:V
by TradeStation
EUR/USD’s November Rally Starts to FadeEUR/USD is moving lower to start the week with the pair trading below 1.1600. The market continues to shift back into a more defensive posture after last week’s retracement in risk appetite. On the Euro side, comments from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos that inflation risks remain and that external pressures including tariffs and sovereign stress could complicate the outlook did little to help sentiment. The remarks underscored that the ECB sees limited room to ease policy but offered no new support for the currency. Across the pond, the U.S. Dollar is seeing gains accumulate against its major counterparts as traders prepare for the release of delayed inflation and labor market data following the government shutdown. With the backlog about to clear the market (September U.S. nonfarm payrolls are due out on Thursday, November 20) is reassessing December Fed cut odds and leaning towards no cut. In the above chart, EUR/USD rates have found resistance near 1.1670, where the pair failed at the end of October. From a technician’s perspective, the inability to breach the area around the late-September swing lows/late-October swing highs keeps intact the trend of lower highs and lower lows. EUR/USD is seeing momentum fade now that the uptrend from the November low has started to break, with the pair below its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and 50-day EMA, both of which have negative slopes.
by tastyfx
Disney May Face DownsideWalt Disney spent months in a narrow range, and now some traders may see downside risk. The first pattern on today’s chart is the $108.66 level. It was the low on May 12 after positive trade news drove the broader market higher. The media giant stayed above that price until last Thursday, when it crossed below it on heavy volume. Has support broken? Second, DIS spent months in a narrow range before the move. Escaping that pattern may increase the potential for a move. Third, prices are now below the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages. Next, some traders may view the May 7 price gap below $100 as a potential area to revisit. Finally, DIS hasn’t made a new 52-week high since June 30 or a new all-time high since March 2021. That may reflect relative weakness when contrasted with the broader market’s strength over the same period. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:DIS
by TradeStation
$BTC Halfway to Confirming Bear Market - BUT There's HOPE!BAD NEWS ⚠️ ₿ITCOIN IS HALFWAY THERE TO CONFIRMING A NEW BEAR MARKET. 🚨 This is the first-time that CRYPTOCAP:BTC has closed below the 50WMA since Dec ’21. We all know what happened after that. 🚨 If we get another consecutive Weekly close below the 50WMA, I am confident this is the beginning of the end for the bull market. If that happens, I will discuss my new exit strategy and POI in another post. GOOD NEWS 🙌 ⚡️ The long-awaited DEATH CROSS on the Daily Chart has occurred, which historically marks the bottom. ⚡️ PA is sitting at VERY strong support on the .618 Fib ⚡️ RSI is LOWER than the Liberation Day madness Feb - April ’25, and the lowest it’s been since July ’22. NOTE: This is the smallest correction we’ve had all bull market. TL;DR 📖 ✅ This is the absolute best time to buy CRYPTOCAP:BTC ✅ Just make sure to follow the 50WMA invalidation if you do take a position. Remember, we have the most insanely bullish macro / regulatory backdrop in crypto’s entire existence. MY THOUGHTS 🤓 🐂 I truly believe this is the biggest fake-out we’ve ever seen. There’s way too many tailwinds on the horizon to let this go to waste. 🐂 Bulls need a $10k Mega-Candle THIS WEEK to reclaim momentum. 🐂 I’m still a MEGA-BULL until my thesis is invalidated. ⛔️ We could get one last flush ~$92k to grab CME Gap liquidity. 🛑 DO NOT USE LEVERAGE EVER AGAIN!!!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
Break or Fade? 8627 Is the BattlegroundOur Australia 200 contract is testing a key level on the charts, providing a decent area to build trade setups around. 8627 is the focal point, coinciding with the Valentine’s Day swing high from February this year. Since then, it has acted as resistance and support on multiple occasions, so it’s no surprise the price now finds itself interacting with the level. Right now, it’s sitting beneath 8627 after failing to sustain a probe above earlier today. That mirrors what we saw late last week, suggesting bears are selling into strength and have the ascendency. RSI (14) and MACD back this up, both sitting in bearish territory and favouring short setups over long. If the price remains capped beneath 8627, shorts could be set at or below the level with a tight stop above for protection, targeting either 8565, 8500, or the 200DMA depending on desired risk-reward. Alternatively, if we see a break and close above 8627, the setup could be flipped with longs placed above with a stop below, targeting 8726 initially given it previously acted as support. As mentioned above, given recent price and momentum signals, this setup goes against the prevailing grain, emphasising the need to see any bullish reversal stick before considering long trades. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:AUS200
by FOREX.com
1
Bitcoin Faces the Death Cross — More Pain Ahead?Considering Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )’s recent movements over the past few days and the Death Cross will happen to BTC, I’ve decided to focus on a daily time frame for today’s analysis. Given the recent events in the U.S. market, especially the sharp decline in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ), it’s likely that this downward trend will continue . What is a Death Cross? A Death Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, often signaling a potential bearish trend. At present, Bitcoin broke the important weekly Support lines and is now breaking a critical Support zone($101,500-$98,200) . Moreover, considering the correlation with the S&P 500 index, and the fact that the U.S. indices are beginning to recover, it’s unlikely that Bitcoin will decouple from this trend. Therefore, we can anticipate further decline in Bitcoin as well . Additionally, the rising USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is breaking through resistance levels, which can lead to further selling pressure in the crypto market . In summary, I expect Bitcoin to lose its current Support zone($101,500-$98,200) soon and move towards the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,300-$91,300) . Note: In these times, it’s crucial to maintain strict risk management, as Bitcoin’s volatility has increased. It might also be wise to consider higher time frames for trading to better navigate this complexity. First Target: $95,720 Second Target: $93,040 Stop Loss(SL): $106,000 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $112,590-$111,459 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
65
Thyrocare Long - ATH BreakoutThe Chart says it all. Thyrocare is displaying strong #bullish #momentum, breaking out confidently after a solid period of #accumulation. The structure is clean—consecutive higher highs and higher lows keep the #uptrend firmly intact. Price has surged above key resistance levels, turning them into support, and is now marching toward multiple #swing and long-term #targets. Overall, the chart reflects renewed strength, buyer dominance, and clear upside potential as the trend continues to build. 🚀📈 Levels and Targets in chart. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. The analysis shared is purely for educational and informational purposes and should not be considered investment or trading advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading and investing in the markets involve risk; you should perform your own research and due diligence.
NSE:THYROCARELong
by earnwhileulearn
1
Mastercard (MA) Hits Key Cycle Top — Correction Incoming!🧠 Mastercard (MA) — In-Depth Multi-Framework Market Analysis Mastercard’s long bull run has matured into a classic Wave 5 exhaustion. Multiple frameworks agree: a deep corrective phase is likely ahead. Understanding market structure, smart money moves, and Fibonacci levels can help you navigate this reset . 🌀 Wave Theory & Elliott Wave Context Mastercard’s chart shows a clear completed 5-wave impulsive structure spanning roughly 15+ years, typical of a major secular bull cycle. The small sub-waves within Wave 5 suggest final exhaustion: Wave 5 ending near key Fibonacci extensions signals an exhaustion climax. After such extended waves, expect a significant corrective ABC pattern or even a complex correction resetting much of the prior gains. The correction here is likely a large Wave 2 on the higher degree, meaning the retracement could be deep and prolonged, typically lasting multiple years. 📉 Market Structure Breakdown & Key Price Action Signals Price has failed to push to new highs with conviction, showing lower highs and a breakdown of previous support levels. This breakdown in market structure suggests the shift from an accumulation or markup phase to distribution and markdown. Multiple wick rejections and volume spikes near highs imply liquidity sweeps and stop hunts by institutions, signaling transfer of risk. Price action shows signs of fatigue — smaller candles, overlapping bars, and diminished momentum — classic exhaustion signals. 🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Institutional players often engineer liquidity grabs above key levels (stop hunts) to shake out retail participants. The immediate reversal following those liquidity grabs is a hallmark of distribution , where "smart money" sells into retail enthusiasm. The absence of strong demand at these levels reinforces the notion of a shift from bullish to bearish control. 📊 Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Levels Wave 5 terminated near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension , an extreme but well-documented exhaustion zone for extended impulses. The retracement target aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (~$89–95) , the first major support for Wave 2 corrections. More conservative estimates place support near 0.5–0.618 retracement , which historically mark deep correction zones in longer cycles. These levels also coincide with significant prior consolidation zones, increasing their validity as support. 💼 Fundamental Context & Market Cycles Mastercard’s underlying fundamentals remain solid, with strong revenue growth and market dominance. However, market cycles are driven by liquidity and psychology — no fundamentally strong company is immune to price corrections during macro resets. This correction could coincide with broader economic or sector rotation phases, impacting valuation multiples and capital flows. 🔮 Strategic Outlook & Trading Implications Expect a multi-year correction phase , potentially volatile, with several retracements and consolidations along the way. Patience is key: major Wave 2 corrections often shake out weak holders and reset risk/reward dynamics for the next bull phase (Wave 3). Traders should look for confluence zones combining Fibonacci support, prior market structure, and volume profile for entries. Watch for price action confirmation of a base formation before resuming a bullish stance. 💡 Key Takeaways for Traders Long-term cycle completion means caution: avoid chasing new highs here. Use Fibonacci and wave structure to anticipate price targets and exits. Monitor volume and liquidity sweeps to identify distribution phases. Be prepared for deep, sometimes painful corrections even in high-quality stocks. Focus on risk management and position sizing during volatile cycle resets. Stay ahead of the market — follow for advanced wave counts, Fibonacci setups, and smart money insights. Comment 👇 your ticker to get a personalized deep-dive analysis next! 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional before trading. #Mastercard #MA #WaveTheory #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #PriceAction #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #StocksToWatch #MarketCycles #LiquidityHunt #TradingEducation #InvestSmart #StockAnalysis
NYSE:MAShort
by fibcos
Bitcoin Death Cross! Save Yourselves! – November 2025A Death Cross. Sounds terrifying, doesn’t it? Like something out of a low-budget horror film. Here in deepest darkest Bavaria you can’t drive ten minutes without seeing Christ nailed to a cross at every T-junction, it’s practically the local logo. Cross the Austrian border and the numbers multiply like leverage traders in a bull run. Lovely. But this? This is the real death cross. Or at least, that’s what the market thinks. Déjà vu… for the third time This is the third time I’ve written this post. And yes, it’s always at max fear. Every cycle the same: people panic, memes fly, and somewhere someone says, “It’s different this time.” Spoiler: it’s not. If you’re feeling nostalgic, click the little triangles where the purple arrows point on the chart. you’ll see the previous posts. The critics lined up back then too, bless ’em. Loud voices, small wallets, and Mum's voice in the background "Dinner's ready!". April 7th, 2025 Death cross August 18th, 2024 Death cross The November 17th Death Cross On the 1-day chart above, the signal is forecast to print by November 17th. That’s when the 50-day SMA (blue) crosses below the 200-day SMA (red) and price action sits under the 200-day line. It’s the technical version of your mother saying, “I’m not angry, just disappointed.” This forecast uses the Trigg & Leach method, the same one applied to prior crosses and it’s nailed every one since the bull market began. Closer Zooming out.. Time to market top: circa 59 days Here’s the clever bit, or as I call it, the boring maths no one reads. Historically after each Death Cross Bitcoin rallied before topping out. The time between the cross and the pivot has been shrinking: 1st Cycle → 179 days 2nd Cycle → 131 days 3rd Cycle → 99 days Apply some arithmetic progression, that’s a fancy way of saying “find the difference and pretend it means something.” Difference 1 131 − 179 = −48
 Difference 2: 99 − 131 = −32
 Average difference = −40 Therefore 99 − 40 = 59 days. That puts the potential cycle top mid-January 2026, and wouldn’t you know it, mid-January sell-offs are a Bitcoin tradition older than bad YouTube thumbnails. Conclusions So yes, a Death Cross is coming. Cue the headlines, the drama, and the bloke on X explaining Fibonacci levels like they’re sacred scripture. Look left. Every time this happened, it played out the same way: panic, bounce, despair, recovery. Rinse, repeat. The maths points to mid-January 2026 for the next swing high, and then gravity takes over. If it all goes to plan, brilliant. If not, add this one to your growing folder titled “Why I don’t listen to anyone on TradingView.” Ww Disclaimer ============================================================== This isn’t financial advice. I’m not your fund manager, your priest, or your mum. If you go all-in on Bitcoin because two squiggly lines made a cross, that’s your fault, not mine. If it pumps, you’ll say you “always knew.”
If it dumps, you’ll tweet “market manipulation.”
Either way, I’ll still be here, drinking tea and laughing at the comment section. So yes it’s a Death Cross. But relax. It’s just a chart, not the Book of Revelation. Ahmen
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by without_worries
50
PATH - Go in the direction of the WINDOW!PATH - CURRENT PRICE : 17.14 The Japanese Candlestick theory refer to what we call in the West a gap as a window. Whereas the Western expression is "filling in the gap," the Japanese would say, "closing the window." A rising window is a bullish signal. There is a price vacuum between the prior session's high (that is, the top of the upper shadow) and the current session's low. It is said by Japanese technicians to "go in the direction of the window." This is because windows are continuation signals. Consequently, with the emergence of a rising window, one should look to buy on dips. PATH has formed three rising windows (gaps upward) in just two weeks that remain unfilled. This pattern suggests strong demand and sustained bullish momentum. Each window shows that buyers overcame sellers before the prior candle closed, reinforcing confidence in the trend. Furthermore, a Golden Cross has formed for the first time in a long period (look at blue circle), where the 50-day EMA has crossed above the 200-day EMA — a classic long-term bullish confirmation. Notably, the last occurrence of this pattern was in November 2023, making this the first reappearance in over two years, further reinforcing its significance as a potential turning point in market sentiment. For short-term target is 20.00 and 24.00. For position trader that holds for several months may target around 30.00. Investors holding for approximately one year, the target is 50.00. ENTRY PRICE : 16.80 - 17.20 FIRST TARGET : 20.00 SECOND TARGET : 24.00 SUPPORT : 14.77 (the low of 08 Oct 2025 candle) - cutloss if price close below support level on closing basis.
NYSE:PATHLong
by IMRAN_96
1
btc finds 200 ema support, whats next?As I have been posting in these "Ideas" for the past few weeks about market direction and where the price for BTC will go. It now has come to pass where the 200 EMA has been tested and support has been found, It however has not generated any relief among buyer sentiment unable to push price above the previous days close leaving the digital asset to continue to bleed out and cause positions from all the 93k Bulls to liquidate. Its a shame people cannot make the connection that the only way price can go higher is to go lower in a market. That Is why I am going to warn people about where we may go , I believe the 200 EMA will be tested again and if support is broken it will send is into the low 70k area where there are open orders and It is possible this may happen. The Bull market support band is the 200EMA however there may be institutional money that may drive us down to cause massive liquidations and fear and panic among those holding bags while greed causes big players to push more into the fringe of where we can maintain a recovery. Watch for a retest of the 200EMA . which is a bit of a fuzzy zone , use the high and low to denote the area for support as well as keep an eye on the RSI and CCI , we are also watching on balance volume drop off which is not a great sign that there is market confidence however this will play out over the weekly and the weekly candle will start to materialize in the next few days.
by dasBoot
1
$BTC crash. Where is the bottom?Bitcoin is crashing — and while it looks scary, it’s also one of those rare long-entry opportunities you’ll regret missing once the rebound kicks in. Why is Bitcoin dumping? 1️⃣ A major hedge fund manager shut down his Bitcoin fund. Historically, this kind of event often precedes bubble corrections, creating panic in the market. 2️⃣ The FED won’t publish inflation or unemployment numbers due to the government shutdown. With no data, Powell can’t justify a rate cut. The market is now pricing a “no-cut scenario,” which puts downward pressure on all risk assets — including crypto. 3️⃣ Structural consolidation. I already posted about this: - bullish short-term, - bearish long-term This is exactly what’s happening. The macro downtrend should end around Q2 2026, meaning we’ll likely grind down or range until then. Is this a bear market? Not really. Bitcoin probably won’t see an -80% crash ever again. But a -30% correction? Absolutely possible. What does the chart say? The current correction has a support zone at $94–95k. If that breaks, the next zone is $88k — less likely but still possible. Between now and Q2 2026, we’ll get several relief bounces. If you go long without leverage on strong support zones, you can ride these bounces safely. Where is the opportunity? Buy the fear, sell the greed — classic strategy. Altcoins will bounce even harder than BTC: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , NYSE:FUN , DeFi coins, memecoins — these always react with double-digit rebounds. The key idea 👉 The best entries happen when everyone is panic-selling. 👉 The best exits happen when everyone is euphoric. Stay smart, stay patient. DYOR. #Bitcoin #CryptoCrash #BTC #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoMarket #CryptoInvesting #BTCPrice #BuyTheDip #MarketUpdate #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #RiskManagement #HODL #CryptoNews
Long
by CryptoNikkoid
5
Weakening economy? How about pawn shops?@matthias brought up EZPW in a conversation we were having today and we got talking about how pawn shops are like BNPL stocks, but with interest income and physical collateral in case loans don't get paid back. In what looks to be a somewhat sputtering economy that I, personally, think will get weaker as AI gets better and better at replacing more and more people at their jobs, stocks like these offer relative security. They are somewhat inversely correlated to the market - when things get worse in the economy, business tends to pick up for them. If inflation re-enters the chat, they have physical collateral/inventory (a lot of which is gold and silver jewelry) that rises in value. You can see how it performed back when the tariff tantrum was going on in Feb and March. It has been in a strong and steady uptrend all year, and is currently well above its 200 EMA. A rebound in gold should, in theory, help stocks like this one, too. The method I'm using here today has resulted in 26 winning trades on the year, with 0 losses. The average gain is about 1.84% (this is a first profitable close method) and the average trade length was 4.4 trading days. This generated a .42% per day held gain, which is +106% annualized. As a bonus, 21 of the 26 trades closed in 1 or 2 trading days, freeing up my money to go back to work elsewhere if this plays out that way too. Not many other stocks in the market right now offer a chart that looks like this, with fundamentals that get rosier as things elsewhere in the portfolio get gloomier. I got in at the close at 158 even. If the trade drags out, I will happily add to the position tactically and take profits on those additions the same way. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:FCFSLong
by redwingcoach
1
The S&P 500 is flirting with a close below the 50-day moving aveThe S&P 500 is flirting with a close below the 50-day moving average for the first time since April. This level has acted as reliable support twice already, and so far the index is reacting in a similar way. However, the RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence, suggesting momentum is weakening even as price pushed to new highs in October–November. 🔎 Key levels to watch: • 50-day MA — primary support • RSI structure — persistent lower highs • Recent swing lows — potential breakdown trigger if the 50-day MA fails Price is at an inflection point: either the 50-day holds again, or we finally get a deeper pullback after months of strength.
TVC:SPX
by OrbisInvestment