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Moving Averages

JPM at a Make-or-Break Level: Breakout to $325 or Drop to $276?JPM is moving inside a well-defined ascending channel, and the price is currently trading near the midline of the channel, slightly above the 50-day SMA. This is a decisive zone: either the price bounces toward the upper channel, or it breaks below the midline and heads toward the lower boundary. Current price: $307–308 Bullish Scenario (More likely given the structure) As long as the price holds above the midline and the 50-day SMA, an upward push is expected. Bullish Targets: • Target 1: $314 • Target 2: $320 • Target 3: $324–325 (top of the channel) Bearish Scenario If the price drops back below $301–302, downward momentum may accelerate. Bearish Targets: • Target 1: $295 • Target 2: $288 • Target 3: $276 (lower channel support) Stop Loss • For long positions: Below $301 • For short positions: Above $314
NYSE:JPMLong
by isahebdadi
Gold 4H – Wave 3 Expansion from Demand Zone & FVG FillOANDA:XAUUSD 🔍 InsightsGold 4H – Wave 3 Expansion from Demand Zone & FVG Fill 🧠 Market Structure Price is forming higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend per Dow Theory. Current price action suggests a Wave 2 correction has completed near the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci zone (4080–4054). Anticipated Wave 3 expansion aligns with bullish continuation. 🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 4080–4066 has been filled, indicating potential institutional interest. Order block and demand zone overlap with the 0.618–0.786 retracement, reinforcing entry confluence. Liquidity sweep below minor support at 4080 suggests stop hunts and accumulation. 🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Wave count suggests: Wave 1: Impulse from ~4020 to ~4156 Wave 2: Retracement to ~4080 (0.618 Fib) Wave 3: Projected to extend beyond 4175 (TP3) MACD histogram turning positive supports Wave 3 momentum. 🧠 Dow Theory Confirmation Recent higher low at 4080 and higher high at 4156 validate bullish structure. Volume profile shows increased activity near 4080, supporting accumulation. 🛡️ Suggestions Risk Management: Risk ≤ 1–2% per trade. SL below 0.786 Fib and order block (4054) to invalidate bullish bias. Scaling Strategy: Consider partial exit at TP1. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 hit. Trail SL below higher lows as price progresses. Timeframe Alignment: 4H structure aligns with bullish daily trend. Lower timeframes (15M–1H) show bullish divergence and breakout setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage risk appropriately and trade at your own discretion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LonaGoldHunter
AUD/USD: Prime setup zone emerges around .6520AUD/USD has rebounded strongly after a brief foray beneath the 200DMA last week, with the pair now sitting just beneath .6520, a level that has repeatedly acted as both support and resistance in recent months. Its location provides a decent area to build trade setups around, depending on how price action evolves in the coming days. Given its trajectory, bullish setups are marginally favoured even though the overall signal from RSI (14) and MACD is neutral on momentum. This partly reflects we’re entering a low-liquidity period that often sees riskier assets outperform. Should we see a sustained break and hold above .6520, longs could be established with a stop beneath the level for protection, targeting areas beyond the 50DMA such as the September downtrend, .6580 or .6625, depending on your preferred risk-reward. The 50DMA screens as not far enough away to justify the risk, making it a key level to watch should you initiate the trade. If the price struggles to break cleanly above it, consider closing the position. If the pair can’t break and hold above .6520, shorts could be established beneath the level with a stop above, targeting the 200DMA initially. Good luck! DS
by FOREX.com
Wave 3 Expansion from Demand Zone SMC + Elliott+Dow Confluence OANDA:XAUUSD Wave 3 Expansion from Demand Zone | SMC + Elliott + Dow Confluence 📌 Recommendation: BUY Entry: 4151.25 TP1: 4156.00 TP2: 4162.75 TP3: 4174.00 SL: 4144.30 🔍 Insights 📐 Market Structure Trend: Bullish microstructure forming higher lows above 4144.30. Supply/Demand Zones: Demand Zone: 4144.30–4151.25 (liquidity sweep + bullish reaction). Supply Zone: 4162.75–4174.00 (Fibonacci confluence + prior rejection). 🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Liquidity Pools: Sell-side liquidity swept below 4144.30, triggering bullish order block. Order Block: Confirmed bullish OB at 4144.30–4151.25 with volume spike and RSI recovery. Volume Profile: High activity near 4155.00 suggests institutional accumulation. 🌊 Elliott Wave Theory Wave Count: Wave 1: Impulse from 4133.80 → 4156.00. Wave 2: Retracement to 4144.30 (approx. 0.618 Fib). Wave 3: Currently unfolding, targeting 4162.75 and 4174.00. Corrective Structure: Zigzag ABC into Wave 2 completed. 📈 Dow Theory Confirmation Higher Highs & Lows: Confirmed with swing low at 4144.30 and swing high at 4156.00. Accumulation Phase: RSI and MACD support bullish continuation from demand zone. 🛡️ Suggestions Risk Management: Fixed SL at 4144.30 (below OB and liquidity sweep). Risk ≤ 1–2% per trade. Scaling Strategy: Partial exit at TP1. Trail SL to breakeven after TP1 hit. Use trailing SL below each higher low for TP2 and TP3. Timeframe Alignment: Confirm bullish bias on H1/H4 for stronger confluence. Use M15 for refined entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, RSI divergence). ⚠️ Disclaimer:This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage risk appropriately and trade at your own discretion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LonaGoldHunter
1
NFLX Is Falling Into a Critical Zone — Rebound or Breakdown?Netflix is trading inside a descending channel, and the price has just touched the lower boundary, which is typically a zone of strong reaction—either a bullish reversal or a continuation breakdown. The current price is around $104–105. Bullish Scenario If the lower channel holds and bullish candles form, a rebound toward the upper channel is likely. Bullish Targets: • Target 1: $112 (50-day SMA) • Target 2: $118 • Target 3: $125 (top of the channel) Bearish Scenario If the price loses the $103–104 support, the downtrend may accelerate. Bearish Targets: • Target 1: $98 • Target 2: $92 • Target 3: $79 (major long-term support) Stop Loss • For long positions: Below $103 • For short positions: Above $112
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by isahebdadi
1
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Now 26,2025BUY TREND TARGET FOR TODAY 📊 The BUY setup on XAUUSD makes sense in the current market context because price is moving within a clear uptrend, supported by the EMA 34, 89, and 200 all pointing upward and aligned in a bullish structure. The entry zone around 4152–4149 coincides with a supportive area on the Volume Profile, indicating strong previous trading activity and liquidity that often acts as a base for price to bounce. When price pulls back into this zone during an uptrend, it typically represents a healthy correction rather than a reversal, especially if bullish candles or increased buying volume appear. Overall, this setup aligns well with the prevailing bullish momentum, and entering near a support area within a rising structure increases the probability of catching the next upward swing. ♾️Gold BUY @ 4051 - 4049 💰TP1 - 4155 💰TP2 - 4258 🚨Sl: 4145
FX:XAUUSD
by Richard1000pipsandmore
AUDNZD at a critical support levelRisky play here but the potential upside is immense. With AUD CPI just dropping hotter at 3.8% vs 3.6% forecast and NZD lowering interest rate, again, this time by 25bps, the liquidity sweep that followed on the pair could be a gift for longs. The RSI is overbought on the daily, and has been due for a correction however fundamentals are screaming for a continuation of the upward move. Currently sitting sitting at a key uptrend support of a large pennant and the daily 50SMA simultaneously. If one were to play this pair, tight SL should be a priority. Anything can happen, nothing is certain.
Long
by BorrowedClothes
MASTERCARD 1st 1D Death Cross in 2.5 years confirms Bear CycleMastercard (MA) has just formed its first 1D Death Cross since March 2022, trading already below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the 5th straight week. This confirms the new Bear Cycle/ long-term correction, in a similar manner that the September 27 2021 1D Death Cross did. As you see, there are high similarities between the two sequences that led to that Death Cross, rising by +134% and +116% from their respective market bottoms and more importantly displaying identical huge 1D RSI Bearish Divergences (Lower Highs against price's Higher Highs). As a result, with the 2022 correction finding a bottom just below the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1W MA250 (red trend-line), we again expect the market to reach at least $450.00 before bottoming and start calling it a buy opportunity again. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:MAShort
by TradingShot
1
AUD/USD Rises from Multi-Month LowsAUD/USD is trading near 0.6465 this Tuesday as the Australian Dollar comes under pressure amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Asia-Pacific. The Aussie dipped briefly below 0.6450 earlier in the week after comments from Japan’s top diplomatic official suggesting a strong response to a Chinese move over Taiwan triggered a sharp risk-off tone in Asian markets. That risk-off shift ended the modest rebound in the Aussie following last week’s positive PMI prints. Looking ahead, the key drag on the pair is the lack of follow-through on Australia’s improved manufacturing and services data, while the greenback remains supported even as Fed rate-cut expectations face re-assessment. Unless risk sentiment recovers or Australia delivers a fresh positive surprise, AUD/USD is more likely to drift lower than break higher in the near term. In the above chart, AUD/USD rates remain in the multi-month range that’s defined price action for the better part of the past seven months; the recent rebound finds the pair moving off of intermediate lows carved out in July and August. Momentum has a slightly bearish tilt, insofar as MACD continues to trend deeper beneath its signal line as each of the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMA) sustain a negative slope.
by tastyfx
Walt Disney (DIS) – Reversal Cup & Handle FormationOn the Daily timeframe, NYSE:DIS is forming a reversal cup and handle pattern. The price is moving below both EMA 50 and EMA 100 , confirming short-term bearish momentum. The recent decline matches the depth of the previous cup’s widest part, indicating potential continuation toward the next strong support near $106. If this support level breaks, the price could move down to test the psychological zone around $100 , and possibly fill the gap below it.
NYSE:DISShort
by Binhuseyn
Is CRWV Ready for a Major Rebound—or a Bigger Crash?The chart shows CRWV moving inside a downward trending channel, and the price is now touching the bottom of the channel, where it has shown a mild bullish reaction. This zone can offer a good risk-to-reward long opportunity, but only if the lower boundary holds. Bullish Scenario (if price holds above the channel bottom) As long as CRWV stays above $68–$72: • Target 1: $90 • Target 2: $105 • Target 3: $118 (top of the channel) Bearish Scenario If the price breaks below $68: • Downside target: $50 • Extended bearish target: $30 Stop-Loss • A confirmed break below $68 with strong bearish volume
NASDAQ:CRWVLong
by isahebdadi
TSLA at a Turning Point: Cup & Handle Breakout or Breakdown?The chart shows a clear Cup & Handle pattern forming on the daily timeframe. Price touched the descending resistance (blue line) and failed to break out, placing TSLA at a critical decision point. Key Points: • Main Resistance: 450–465 zone (descending trendline + neckline of pattern) • Major Support: 395–400 zone • The 50-day MA is currently acting as near-term resistance. Bullish Scenario (If price breaks above 465) A breakout with a daily close above 465 would likely trigger: • Target 1: $500 • Target 2: $545 • Target 3: $600 Bearish Scenario (If 395 breaks) A breakdown below 395 may lead to: • Bearish Target 1: $360 • Target 2: $325 Suggested Stop-Loss: • $394 (for long positions)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by isahebdadi
3
Hang Seng Tech eyes breakout as Alibaba takes the stage Is the rout in Hang Seng Tech coming to an end? That’s the question traders should be pondering today following the rapid rebound of recent days, seeing the index recover from multi-month lows to trade above the important 200-day simple moving average. It will be important on Tuesday, providing a level to build setups around depending on how the price action evolves during the session. Before looking at potential ideas, the message from RSI (14) and MACD remains entirely bearish, with the former trending lower beneath the neutral 50 level while the latter sits at depressed levels having already staged a bearish crossover of the signal line earlier this month. With the 50-day moving average curling lower and the price in a clear downtrend, the broader message favours short setups over long. Given that backdrop, an inability for the index to sustain its push above the 200DMA would generate a potential short setup, allowing for positions to be established beneath it with a stop above for protection. 5500 acted as both support and resistance earlier this year, making it screen as a possible initial target. If it were to be broken, 5325—where the index slide stalled on Friday—would be the next after that. While bearish setups are favoured, it doesn’t completely dismiss the case for countertrend longs should the index continue to trade above the important 200DMA. If the breakout sticks, longs could be set above it with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the October downtrend and/or 5730 resistance. If those levels were to be broken cleanly, it would hint at the start of a new trend, opening the way to higher levels such as 5978, the 50DMA or 6200. Alibaba will release its earnings before the U.S. open on Tuesday, with the conference call scheduled for 7:30 a.m. Eastern Time (8:30 p.m. Hong Kong Time).
FOREXCOM:HSTECH
by FOREX.com
Algorand ALGO USDT Upcoming TAKE PROFIT POINTSHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 New Year 2026 loading....🥂🥳 Algorand is a decentralized network built to solve the Blockchain Trilemma of achieving speed, security, and decentralization simultaneously. Algorand is designed to be a payments-focused network with rapid transactions and a strong focus on achieving near-instant finality which aims to be processing over 1,000 transactions per second (TPS) and achieving transaction finality in less than five seconds. As a public smart contract blockchain that relies on staking, Algorand is also capable of hosting decentralized application (dApp) development and providing scalability. Rising gas fees on Ethereum have led many dApp developers and decentralized finance (DeFi) traders to look for alternative blockchain solutions. Algorand is capable of managing the high-throughput requirements of widespread global usage and a variety of use cases. Technical Chart Analysis: Algorand is still "in prison", but holding the 50d Moving Averages is the first step towards a new bullish cycle. Look at all of this upside potential! Technical indicator Analysis: If ALGO can get back ABOVE the 50d moving averages (0,18), that is when we can expect to see some serious bullish/parabolic price action. You don't have to wait until then to trade algo. In the daily timeframe, there are some great setups for those who have a bit of patience, with low buy and high sells from 15% - 30% over a few weeks (in both shorts and longs). Tis market is still moving, even though it doesn't neccesarily seem like it from a macro outlook.
Long
by Crypto-Check-
7
This Signal Has Called Every Bitcoin Top Since 2015I hate to be this guy but history repeats and we cannot fight history if its a obvious re occurrence. Recently, Bitcoin has hit its 1,065 day timeline of the bull market. Every time we hit this timeline from bottom wick to top wick we always meet with the 20 MA then have a short lived relief rally before plummeting into a bear market. When this happens, indexes tend to have a correction/recession of some sort. As I predicted 1 month ago I was going to be bearish from this point until late 2026-early 2027. Well the 1,065 day hit and since then I haven't been wrong so far. I do expect a slight relief rally before we fully plummet but we will not be seeing any all times highs any time soon for Bitcoin (In my opinion.) If we do then you can come back and call me wrong, that's why we trade. It's to learn from our mistakes and improve them. Now would be a great time to look for a relief rally to short the top wicks before its too late and ride the wave down. Good Luck Everyone. (THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, DYOR!)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by owchy
3
Exivara24: Bitcoin Weakens – Liquidity Drains, Demand ReversesBitcoin continues to face heavy pressure. Over the past two weeks, the market has experienced a sharp liquidity outflow and a simultaneous reversal of all the major capital inflow channels that were previously pushing price upward. At Exivara24, we are detecting an alarming synchronization of three key factors that is now dictating sentiment for both retail traders and institutions. The three main demand engines are reversing at the same time ETF outflow pressure stronger than expected Spot Bitcoin ETFs (especially U.S. and European) have been recording consistent selling for the third straight week. Net outflows over the last 10 days exceeded $1.18 billion – the largest figure since May 2025. When ETFs shrink their balances, they directly pull capital out of the market, reducing order-book depth and amplifying volatility. Sharp decline in DAT (Daily Active Transfers) activity The number of daily active transfers on the Bitcoin network has fallen 34 % compared to October averages. This is a direct indicator of real network usage: fewer transfers = less capital rotation = weakening organic demand. Stablecoin liquidity squeeze The total volume of USDT and USDC held on exchanges (the primary source of “fast money”) has dropped by $2.4 billion in 14 days. Shrinking stablecoin reserves is a classic precursor to deeper and sharper price moves, as most margin buying is funded from these reserves. Why this matters right now When all three demand drivers reverse simultaneously, the market shifts into “thin liquidity” mode. Any additional pressure (ETF outflows, whale selling, or macro-negative news) now triggers much stronger and faster price reactions than during periods of high liquidity. What Exivara24 internal analytics show Order-book depth on the top 5 exchanges is down 38–42 % versus October Average BTC/USDT spread has widened from 0.008 % to 0.024 % 4-hour candle volatility has increased 61 % – every move is now “stretched” Short-term scenarios from Exivara24 Base scenario (58 % probability) Continued liquidity squeeze → test of $80,000 – $82,000 in the next 7–12 days → gradual stabilization and return above $90,000 after the holidays. Bearish scenario (31 % probability) Accelerated ETF outflows + continued DAT decline → break of $80,000 and fast move toward $72,000–75,000 (March 2025 lows). Bullish scenario (11 % probability) Unexpected major inflow (e.g., new large institutional buyer announcement or Fed dovish shift) → rapid reclaim above $95,000 as early as this week. Exivara24 recommendations right now Reduce or completely close leveraged long positions / move to spot or stablecoins Prepare dry powder for entries in the $80,000–84,000 range – the most probable accumulation zone Hard stops below $79,000 (weekly close) are mandatory Watch ETF inflows and DAT dynamics – these two metrics will give the first reversal confirmation Final take from Exivara24 – what this means for you right now We see a clear picture: Bitcoin has entered a thin-liquidity stress phase, with the three key demand sources – ETFs, network activity, and stablecoins – all weakening at once. This is not just a correction; it is structural compression that makes every price move sharper and more unpredictable. Until these three trends reverse, downward pressure will remain dominant. Yes, an unexpected catalyst (major institutional buyer, Fed softening, positive regulatory news) could flip the market in hours – but the current probability of that is only 11 %. This is not the end of the bull cycle and not a “sell everything” signal. It is a signal that easy money is gone. The market has shifted into professional mode, where only those who: strictly follow risk management avoid unhedged leveraged longs keep cash ready for buys at $80,000–84,000 are prepared for ±10–15 % swings in either direction within a day …will survive and profit. For us at Exivara24, this is not a crisis – it’s our normal working environment. Our internal models switched to “liquidity stress” mode 10 days ago: we cut long exposure, strengthened hedging, and prepared client portfolios for the current conditions. Result: average drawdown across all accounts in November is under 4.1 %, even on the worst days. We don’t panic and we don’t get euphoric. We just do our job: read capital flows, measure liquidity, and give you clear levels and actions. If you want to get through this period calmly, with minimal losses (and ideally with profit on rebounds), now is the perfect time to join our real-time updates. Full December protection & accumulation plan Precise entry/exit levels and 24/7 alerts Access to the private channel and morning/evening briefings
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoLifeone
Gold - Triangle Squeeze Before the Next Major MoveGold is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, right after a massive bullish rally. This compression pattern typically precedes a strong breakout — and based on market structure, the bullish scenario is more probable. Bullish Scenario (Primary Outlook) If price breaks above the triangle resistance and confirms: Targets (Bullish): $4,250 $4,380 $4,500 (extended target) Stop Loss (for long position): • $3,940 (Below triangle support + below 50-day SMA) Bearish Scenario (Alternative) If gold loses triangle support: Targets (Bearish): $3,950 $3,880 $3,800 (major support) Stop Loss (for short position): • $4,120 (Above triangle resistance) Summary Gold is tightening inside a symmetrical triangle and preparing for a decisive move. Trend bias remains bullish, and a breakout could send XAUUSD toward new highs above $4,400.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by isahebdadi