If this looks bullish.. you got another thing coming History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. So far 1:1.
I reckon the next 356 days will test out Saylors holders
MSTR
Has Crypto Bottomed? Cycle AnalysisBTC has swept some key areas and looking to form a bottom. Back testing a key break out area.
We technically pierced the daily 200 MA a few days ago but never confirmed below the key area.
The near term chart looks like we should maintain a positive bounce back to 111,500.
We need to be mindful that the last failed double top breakout that occurred in dec 2024 / Jan 2025 - we saw a 30% decline from peak to trough.
As long as the crypto market cap remains above the weekly chart neckline - a bull upside target can be calculated.
We nibbles on some MSTR shares on Friday.
These crypto positions need to be monitored closely.
MSTR Hidden Leverage: What Happens When the Cycle Turns?When a company builds its balance sheet around Bitcoin, it becomes more than a software firm — it turns into a leveraged bet on BTC itself.
That’s exactly what MicroStrategy (MSTR) has done. And while this strategy paid off massively during Bitcoin’s uptrend, the same dynamic could become a serious liability when the cycle shifts.
1. The Amplified Correlation
MicroStrategy’s market cap is now deeply tied to the value of its Bitcoin holdings.
As BTC rallies, MSTR tends to outperform — sometimes doubling the percentage moves of Bitcoin itself.
But this also means that during downtrends, the drawdowns can be brutal.
In previous cycles, MSTR lost more than 80% of its value as BTC corrected.
2. The Nature of Hidden Leverage
Unlike traditional leverage through debt or derivatives, MSTR’s “leverage” comes from balance-sheet exposure.
The company has repeatedly issued convertible debt and used the proceeds to buy more Bitcoin.
In other words, the stock is effectively a leveraged vehicle on BTC — but with all the operational and financing risks of a public company layered on top.
3. When Sentiment Shifts
During bull markets, investors pile into MSTR as a regulated way to gain exposure to Bitcoin.
But when risk appetite fades, the same crowd exits just as fast.
That double pressure — falling BTC and capital rotation out of crypto — can trigger violent selloffs.
MSTR’s liquidity amplifies this volatility even further.
4. The Structural Risk
At current levels, MSTR’s valuation is heavily dependent on BTC maintaining or expanding its price range.
If Bitcoin consolidates or enters a deeper correction, the company’s debt-fueled exposure could start to weigh heavily.
This is where the “hidden leverage” shows its downside.
Leverage without leverage only works… until the market reminds you that it’s still leverage.
MSTR- Double Bottom Forming at Key Support–Bullish Setup in PlayPrice is once again testing a major support zone ($292–$297), where it is also forming a double bottom pattern — a strong technical reversal signal. This confluence of structure and pattern typically suggests that bulls may soon regain control, setting the stage for a potential move higher.
💡 Trade Idea: Long Spot Entry
Entry Zone: $292–$297
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $345–$365
TP2: $395–$420
Stop Loss: Just below $285
MSTR: Trend ContinuesSince our last update, MSTR extended its sell-off. We still expect the low of this wave to form above the support level at $153.49. Once wave 2 is complete, we anticipate a strong wave 3 rally pushing above resistance at $674.18. Our alternative scenario assumes a different wave count: in this case, price may currently be developing the magenta wave alt. to the upside (probability: 30%). This count would be confirmed by a direct move above resistance at $430.50.
Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR) - Financial ReportDate: October 16, 2025
Current Market Context:
As of October 16, 2025, Bitcoin trades at approximately $111,469 USD, reflecting a volatile yet upward trajectory influenced by institutional adoption and macroeconomic factors.
Strategy Inc., formerly MicroStrategy, holds 640,031 BTC, valued at $71.3 billion USD as of today.
The company's market capitalization stands at $84.15 billion USD, representing an 18% premium over its Bitcoin reserve value.
This premium accounts for operational assets, including fixed costs, employee salaries, and intellectual property, while underscoring the market's perception of MSTR as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy.
Notably, the company's substantial BTC holdings enable potential market influence through strategies involving futures and options, allowing for amplified exposure to cryptocurrency volatility.
1. Company Overview
Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is a leading provider of AI-powered enterprise analytics software and services, operating in the business intelligence (BI) and software sector. Founded in 1989 by Michael J. Saylor and Sanju Bansal in Wilmington, Delaware, the company initially focused on data mining and BI tools inspired by systems-dynamics theory from their MIT studies.
It secured its first major client, McDonald's, with a $10 million contract in 1992, driving 100% annual revenue growth from 1990 to 1996. By 1994, the firm relocated to Tysons Corner, Virginia, expanding to 50 employees.
The company went public in 1998 and evolved into a pioneer in BI platforms, offering products like MicroStrategy ONE for non-technical insights and HyperIntelligence for contextual overlays. In August 2020, under Saylor's leadership, Strategy adopted Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, purchasing 21,454 BTC for $250 million—a move that transformed it into the world's largest corporate Bitcoin holder.
This pivot positioned MSTR as a "Bitcoin spot leveraged ETF" proxy, blending software revenue with cryptocurrency exposure.
In February 2025, it rebranded from MicroStrategy to Strategy Inc. to emphasize its dual focus on analytics and Bitcoin innovation. Today, it serves industries including finance, healthcare, retail, and government, with a global presence across North America, EMEA, LATAM, and APAC.
Strategic Objectives and Corporate Vision
Strategy's vision is to empower organizations with AI-driven analytics while leveraging Bitcoin as a superior store of value against inflation and currency devaluation. Core objectives include:
- Expanding market share in BI through innovative technologies like cloud-native platforms and partnerships.
- Executing the "21/21 Plan": Raising $21 billion in equity and $21 billion in fixed-income instruments over three years to acquire more BTC, enhancing treasury value.
- Balancing software growth (e.g., via Strategy Mosaic for data governance) with Bitcoin strategy for long-term value creation.
Saylor, the Executive Chairman, focuses on Bitcoin acquisitions, while CEO Phong Le oversees operations. The company holds 340 patents, emphasizing innovation in BI and blockchain applications.
2. Financial Analysis
Consolidated Balance Sheet: Last Three Years
Strategy's financials reflect modest BI revenue growth overshadowed by Bitcoin impairments and gains. Data is in USD millions, sourced from annual reports.
| Metric | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|--------------------|---------|---------|---------|
| Total Revenue | 463.0 | 496.0 | 496.0 |
| Cost of Revenue | 138.9 | 148.0 | 152.0 |
| Gross Profit | 324.1 | 348.0 | 344.0 |
| Operating Expenses | -6,660 | 450.0 | 500.0 |
| Operating Income | 6,660 | -102.0 | -156.0 |
| Net Income | 4,790 | -670.8 | -1,470 |
| Gross Margin (%) | 70.1 | 70.2 | 69.4 |
| Net Margin (%) | 1,036.6 | -135.3 | -296.4 |
Volatility stems from Bitcoin fair-value adjustments: 2024 gains drove net income surge, while prior years saw impairments. Revenue declined 6.6% YoY in 2024 due to subscription shifts, but gross margins remain robust at ~70%.
Cash Flow Analysis
Cash flows highlight Bitcoin-driven investing outflows, offset by financing inflows. Data in USD millions.
| Category | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|-------------------------|-------- |---------|---------|
| Operating Cash Flow | 50.1 | 65.0 | 45.0 |
| Investing Cash Flow | -35,630 | -2,100 | -500.0 |
| Financing Cash Flow | 35,500 | 2,050 | 450.0 |
| Net Change in Cash | -80 | 15.0 | -5.0 |
| Free Cash Flow Growth (%) | -1,069 | N/A | N/A |
Operating cash flow remains positive but modest (~$50M in 2024), supporting software operations. Investing activities reflect massive BTC purchases ($35.6B in 2024 via debt/equity raises), while financing provides liquidity through convertible notes and ATM offerings. This structure amplifies BTC exposure but increases dilution risk.
Key Performance Indicators
Financial ratios reveal efficiency in equity utilization but asset strain from BTC leverage.
| Ratio | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | Interpretation |
|--------------- --|----------|----------|--------|----------------|
| ROE (%) | 18.01 | -25.0 | -40.0 | Strong recovery via BTC gains; measures profitability per equity dollar. |
| ROA (%) | 12.75 | -5.0 | -8.0 | Improved asset efficiency; net income/total assets. |
| ROI (%) | 12.75 | -4.5 | -7.5 | Aligns with ROA; return on invested capital in BTC/software. |
| Debt/Equity | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.30 | Low leverage; supports BTC strategy without excessive risk. |
| Interest Coverage | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | Adequate coverage post-2024 gains; EBIT/interest expense. |
ROE surged in 2024 due to unrealized BTC appreciation, calculated as Net Income / Average Shareholders' Equity. ROA = Net Income / Total Assets, highlighting BTC's role in boosting returns despite flat software assets.
Debt Analysis
Total debt stands at $8.21 billion (2024), primarily convertible notes for BTC buys. Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16 indicates conservative leverage, with current ratio at 0.68 signaling short-term liquidity pressure from BTC focus. Interest coverage improved to 5.2x in 2024, mitigating default risk amid rising rates. Strategies include ATM equity sales to repay debt.
3. Market Analysis
Stock Performance: Last 12 Months
MSTR delivered 43.55% returns over the past 12 months (October 2024–October 2025), far outpacing benchmarks. 52-week high: $473.83 (November 2024); low: $112.00 (October 2024). Current price: ~$296.76, with YTD loss of -1.12%.
Volatility and Benchmark Comparison
Annualized volatility: 114.6% (MSTR) vs. 20.5% (NASDAQ) and 15.2% (S&P 500), driven by BTC correlation (beta ~3.0 to BTC). MSTR outperformed S&P 500 (+71% vs. +16%) and NASDAQ over 12 months, but with 7x the volatility.
Sharpe ratio: 1.82 (MSTR) vs. 0.92 (S&P 500), indicating superior risk-adjusted returns.
Competitors and Market Position
In Business Intelligence software, Strategy holds ~1.19% market share, trailing Microsoft Power BI (19.85%) and Tableau (16.11%).
Key competitors: Tableau (Salesforce), Qlik, IBM Cognos, Oracle BI, and Power BI. Strengths include scalability and mobile BI; weaknesses are higher complexity vs. user-friendly rivals.
As a BTC holder, it leads corporates (e.g., vs. Tesla's ~11,000 BTC), positioning MSTR as a unique hybrid: BI challenger with crypto dominance (~3% of BTC supply).
4. Future Outlook
Growth Forecasts: 2025–2028
Analysts project 5–10% annual BI revenue growth to $550M by 2028, driven by AI integrations. BTC holdings could reach 1M+ via 21/21 Plan, implying 20–50% stock upside if BTC hits $150K (base case: $400–$600/share by 2028). EPS growth: 1557% in 2025, stabilizing at 15% CAGR. Overall revenue: $500M–$600M by 2028, with net income tied to BTC (projected $10B+ if holdings appreciate 30% annually).
Expansion Plans, Acquisitions, and Initiatives
- 21/21 Plan: $42B raise for BTC buys; recent $2B preferred stock offering targets Q1 2026.
- Acquisitions: Potential in blockchain/BI (e.g., mobile analytics firms); no major 2025 deals announced.
- Initiatives: Launch of Bitcoin-linked securities; expansion into APAC BI markets; AI enhancements like Strategy One for predictive analytics.
Potential Risks and Mitigation
- Risks: BTC volatility (80% drawdown potential); dilution from equity raises; regulatory scrutiny on crypto holdings; BI competition eroding 1–2% share annually.
- Mitigation: Diversified revenue (BTC as 90% value driver but software as stabilizer); debt refinancing via ATM sales; hedging via futures/options with its BTC hoard for market influence.
Scenario analysis: Base (BTC +20%/yr) yields 25% IRR; bear (BTC -30%) limits downside to 15% via operational cash.
5. Conclusion
Overall Assessment and Investment Potential
Strategy Inc. exemplifies a high-conviction, transformative play: a BI stalwart amplified by Bitcoin's asymmetric upside. With $84.15B market cap trading at an 18% premium to its $71.3B BTC holdings—factoring in ~$500M annual fixed costs, salaries for 1,530 employees, and BI IP—the firm offers leveraged exposure without direct crypto custody risks. Historical 1,620% returns since 2020 validate Saylor's vision, outperforming S&P 500 by 22x. Potential is strong for 2025–2028 if BTC adoption accelerates, with ROE/ROA signaling efficient capital deployment.
Investor Recommendations
Buy/Hold for Growth-Oriented Portfolios: Target $400–$500 by end-2026 (20–50% upside) on BTC momentum; allocate 5–10% for high-risk tolerance.
Strengths: BTC treasury (market influence via derivatives); resilient 70% margins; innovation (340 patents).
Weaknesses: Revenue stagnation (-3.2% CAGR); volatility (114% vs. 20% benchmarks); dilution risk (74% YTD BTC yield via shares).
Conservative investors: Monitor Q4 2025 earnings (Oct 30) for BTC yield updates; diversify with S&P 500 ETFs.
This is not financial advice—consult professionals.
$MSTR Swing Trade Setup: Layered Short Entries on Breakout📉 MSTR "STRATEGY INC" STOCK – Bearish Thief Plan (Swing/Scalp Setup)
⚡ Trade Setup (Bearish Pending Order Plan)
Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.)
Plan: Bearish (waiting for support breakout confirmation).
Entry Zone:
Pending breakout entry @ 320.00 ⚡
Layered “Thief” Strategy (scaling entries):
Sell Limit Layers: 340.00 / 330.00 / 320.00
You may add or adjust layers based on your own risk tolerance.
🔔 Set TradingView alerts at breakout levels to track price action.
Stop Loss (Thief Style):
Protective SL @ 360.00 (after breakout confirmation).
Adjust per your strategy & risk management.
Target Zone (Exit):
Police barricade support @ 290.00
Note: Take profit is discretionary — escape with profits at your own chosen level 🚪💰.
🔑 Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy Context)
The Thief Plan = using multiple layered limit entries after a breakout for better risk/reward.
Scaling entries gives flexibility while reducing FOMO and chasing.
Exit early at support barricades or oversold traps.
📊 MicroStrategy (MSTR) Market Data Report
As of September 7, 2025
1. Retail & Institutional Sentiment 🤝
Retail: Mixed / cautious (crypto exposure volatility).
Institutional: Neutral → slightly bearish (Bitcoin correlation + regulatory risk).
Estimated Sentiment: 55% Neutral / 30% Bearish / 15% Bullish.
2. Fear & Greed Index 😨😋
Current level: Neutral ~50/100
Suggests balanced emotions → no extreme greed or fear.
3. Fundamental & Macro Scores 📈📉
Fundamental ~60/100: MSTR tied to Bitcoin trends, highly volatile.
Macro ~55/100: Pressures include crypto regulation, tech volatility, interest rates.
Bitcoin remains the key driver.
4. Market Outlook 🐂🐻
Bull Case: BTC rally → MSTR boost, institutional adoption helps.
Bear Case: Regulatory clampdowns, BTC volatility → downside pressure.
Overall: Neutral → Slightly Bearish (short-term caution).
🚀 Key Takeaways
NASDAQ:MSTR moves in sync with Bitcoin → monitor BTC charts closely.
Sentiment is not strongly bullish → short setups have edge here.
Thief layering strategy aligns with volatility.
Always respect SL & manage risk 🔐.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase)
NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms)
NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital)
SP:SPX / NASDAQ:NDX (macro impact on tech/crypto plays)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#MSTR #MicroStrategy #Stocks #SwingTrade #Scalping #BearishSetup #CryptoStocks #LayeredStrategy #ThiefPlan #BitcoinCorrelation #TradingViewIdea
MSTR HIGH PROBABILITY SETUP SOON!!!🚨 MSTR HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Move For MSTR Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
Put sale on MSTR againMSTR is at the 50 ema on a weekly. 3 bear candles in a row. Nice pull back. BITCOIN has made all time highs and this hasn't even REMOTELY caught up yet. So you can use some of the premium to buy a few shares as well. :)
MSTR US🌎MicroStrategy pioneered the use of Bitcoin as a corporate reserve asset. This strategy transformed MSTR from a traditional technology company into a unique hybrid: a provider of analytics solutions and a publicly traded instrument for indirect exposure to Bitcoin.
As of September 2025, the company's reserves totaled 636,505 BTC, equivalent to approximately $70 billion and representing approximately 2.6% of the total Bitcoin supply globally. This makes it the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.
To accumulate this amount, the company employed an aggressive financial strategy, including issuing convertible debt and, more recently, issuing preferred shares.
mNAV Premium. One of the most important metrics for MSTR's valuation is mNAV (Multiple on Net Asset Value). It is calculated as the ratio of a company's market capitalization to the dollar value of Bitcoin on its balance sheet. A high mNAV means the market values the company significantly above the value of its Bitcoin reserves, allowing it to attract cheap capital for further acquisitions.
Operating revenue remains relatively stable at approximately $463 million.
Gross margin over the past 12 months has remained at approximately 70%.
Net income is highly volatile due to adjustments for Bitcoin price fluctuations. In 2023, the company reported a net income of $429.1 million, but for 2024, it recorded a loss of -$1.17 billion.
OCF -$53.7 million
Debt 8.16 B
cash 0.05 B
Debt can be repaid by selling a portion of the Bitcoin held on the balance sheet.
Bitcoin Makes New All Time Highs!Bitcoin dominance is being observed as its lifting the crypto market.
We just briefly saw BTC make new intra day all time highs, but its has yet to close on the daily chart above the previous all time high.
Short traders will be using the recent daily topping tail as a level to short against.
Long traders will be using the 7MA to buy the dip.
If we close above the daily topping tail it does suggest we are heading to 129k - 130k.
This would be one nasty double top of it turns out to be a liquidity sweep.
Crypto stocks tomorrow will likely gap up...watch for clues intra day. Will they hold their gains or see selling / reversals?
Microstrategy Is Still Pointing Higher For The Final 5th WaveMicrostrategy is a US business intelligence and software company, but it has become best known for its aggressive Bitcoin strategy. Under co-founder Michael Saylor, the company shifted from focusing mainly on software to also using Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset.
Since 2020, MicroStrategy has been steadily buying Bitcoin, often using debt or equity raises to finance purchases. Their strategy is based on the belief that Bitcoin is superior to holding cash, as it can act as a long-term store of value against inflation and currency debasement.
From an Elliott wave perspective, we see Microstrategy nicely holding above trendline connected from the 2022 lows, so it's still unfolding a five-wave bullish impulse. Currently, it's consolidating within a bullish triangle pattern in wave (4), and once it's fully finished, we can expect another and maybe final push to the upside for wave (5) this year before a higher degree correction and bear market shows up next year.
We also want to mention that even Bitcoin can be finishing a 3-year bullish cycle, which can end this year, but there's still some space for more gains along with the Microstrategy to complete the 5th wave of an impulse.
Microstategy Vs Bitcoin Vs SP500Can you see the correlation? SP500 controls BTC for the most part and therefore microstrategy.
MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has become a key proxy for Bitcoin exposure in traditional markets. With nearly 600,000 BTC on its balance sheet, its stock’s performance strongly correlates with Bitcoin’s price action.
In 2025, Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 has climbed to 0.90, reflecting Bitcoin's growing role as a macroeconomic risk asset. MicroStrategy’s pending inclusion in the S&P 500 would force index funds to buy NASDAQ:MSTR shares, indirectly increasing institutional Bitcoin exposure through traditional equity portfolios.
This convergence shows how digital assets and major equity indices are increasingly intertwined, creating new pathways for Bitcoin adoption by institutional investors while tethering crypto markets closer to broader market dynamics.
#bitcoin #MSTR #SP500 #crypto #investing CBOE:MSTU AMEX:SPY
MSTR is still in a downward channelWhile it looks promising that MSTR is making some small gains, it's still in a very real downward channel. These type of gains are typically very short lived as many in this space are short term / profit takers. Technicals and soon UltraShort signals are confirm this, but would not bet the fam on any of this f&ckery!
$MSTR 6th Consecutive Week BELOW 50WMAStill kinda shocked at how terrible the NASDAQ:MSTR chart is.
Working on its 6th consecutive week below the 50WMA.
What a complete disaster @saylor
If PA doesn't start showing some real strength here off the .236 Fib then down to ~$235 she blow 🌬️
MSTR Wave II bottom?NASDAQ:MSTR is finally catching a bid from the triple support zone of the Fibonacci golden pocket, S1 pivot and High Volume Node.
It must overcome the daily 200EMA to add confidence to a reversal and wave II bottom being in.
Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence from oversold. Vanguard disclosed massive MSTR holdings ad the sentiment is awful online adding confluence to a bottom soon.
Wave III target is the R5 daily pivot $544, losing the support zone has a downside target of $232
Safe trading
MSTU chasing BTCThere is a nice delay on MSTR and MSTU proportional to BTC on smaller timeframes, allowing for nice entries and exits. It's already run 8% for me, but you might find a nice entry on MSTU when BTC pulls back. However, if you are long term bullish you might not want to wait. My first target is around $9 , at which point, I may just hold it for continuation depending on what BTC is doing at that time. Not financial advice, DYOR.
$MSTR to push above $400 again?NASDAQ:MSTR had it's 3rd touch off this blue trend line and usually when it does that, it forms a strong move in the other direction.
As long as this trend line holds, I think it's likely that we can see a move back above $400.
I've marked off key levels as resistance.
Took calls between $367.5 and $410.
MSTR - Here comes #5 at the CenterlineRemember when I said, I do it again Sam?
Nothing changed. Only the price in the consolidation at P4.
This will temporarily end at P5 (Yellow Count), where I'll take my profit. With a little pressure, price will even make it to the L-MLH.
Then I'll relax and watch, how the Chickens run around and create new opportunity. 🐔🐓
Don't be a Chicken, be the 🦊 Fox 🦊, be clever and have patience.
Happy new week all §8-)
Is Crypto Entering a Bear MarketToday crypto was exceptionally weak.
Bitcoin & Ether sold off sharply with Ethereum breaking critical downside levels.
The total crypto market cap is so close to triggering a head and shoulders pattern which could cause a massive waterfall selloff.
I'm expecting BTC to start gaining dominance compared to other crypto coins.
Profits on BTC & ether shorts we secured today.
MSTR....set-up not looking goodNASDAQ:MSTR is below 9, 50, 200SMA! That's about the clearest red flag you can see. There could be some volatility, but would be very careful as it crosses down 330, 300 and then possibly the next support line is further down as people dump hard. CBOE:MSTZ is a nice inverse play here! Best of luck
TEXAS INSTRUMENTS BACK TO 200 Why Texas Instruments (TXN) Could Rebound to $200 by 2026: Semiconductor Revival TXN's trading at ~$182 today (Sep 23, 2025), down ~20% from its $230 peak amid industrial softness and China tariffs, but with EPS surging 20%+ and analog demand roaring back, $200 (10% upside) is a slam-dunk floor by EOY 2026. Here's the bull reload:Revenue Ramp & Analog Dominance: Q2 '25 revenue +16% YoY to $4.4B, with industrial up 9% sequentially. Analysts eye $17.5B in '26 (9% YoY growth from $16B '25), fueled by 300mm wafer ramps and auto/enterprise recovery—hitting 50%+ gross margins for $200 valuation at 25x sales.
3 sources
EPS Explosion: Consensus EPS jumps to $6.44 in '26 (20% from $5.35 '25), undervalued at 28x forward P/E vs. 35x historical avg. At norm multiple, that's $226—clearing $200 easy, per WallStreetZen's $208.67 base case.
2 sources
CapEx Efficiency & Cash Flow Surge: $5B '25 spend drops to $2-5B '26 on optimized 1.2x capex/revenue, unlocking $8-12B free cash flow. Dividend hiked 4% to $1.42/share, with buybacks hedging volatility—StockScan's $248 avg '26 seals the rebound.
3 sources
Analyst Consensus Over $200: 25-51 firms avg $212-218 PT (Buy rating, high $298), with TipRanks at $212.83 on AI/data center tailwinds (13% earnings CAGR). Lows $125, but bulls dominate post-Q3 guidance.
MSTR - Trendline Support vs. Supply Cap!MSTR has been overall bullish on the daily, respecting a rising trendline since last year. Price is coiling right beneath the 330–350 supply band after multiple rejections.
This area is key 🔑. It overlaps prior supply and the rising trendline—clean confluence. If bulls defend the trendline and we see a clean daily close above 350, momentum could extend toward 400 first, then 470–520 inside the broader range 🚀.
If the trendline gives way, I’ll look for a deeper dip toward 260–240 demand before bulls try again. Until then, structure favors the upside while the line holds.
What’s your plan => buy strength above 350 or wait for a retest on the trendline first? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
