$BTC 4-Year Cycle Is NOT Dead According to $QQQ $SPXIt’s really weird cause everyone keeps telling me the ₿itcoin 4-year cycle is dead yet Nasdaq and S&P 500 follow nearly the exact same pattern with cycle lows 🤓
It’s almost as-if monetary and fiscal policy creates this boom and bust cycle every 4-years 🤔
Question for the “this time is different people”….
Will NASDAQ:QQQ and SP:SPX not have similar bear markets as we’ve seen in the past along with CRYPTOCAP:BTC ?
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD, M5 UpdateNext move on the way focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1.Structure was Bullish.
2.M5 demand area along with BPR.
3.Possible buying move expected from this area.
4: Bullish candlestick Formation.
This is not a financial advice. Confirmation is most important.
𝐌𝐓𝐗 | Buy-Side Sweet Spot in Gold’s Correction📌 From previous analysis:
• We anticipated corrective pullbacks and highlighted reversal zones.
• Focus was on 436–432 as the first critical support/resistance area.
⸻
1️⃣ Key Reversal Levels
There’s two scenarios in this rally:
A)
• 436 – 432 → First potential bullish reversal zone.
• 4H close above 435 → upside continuation toward 442 → 447 → 452.
B)
• 4H close below 432 → decline into 420.
• 420 – 415 is the strongest weekly demand zone (high-probability bullish bounce).
⸻
2️⃣ Continues Bullish Scenario
• 4H close above 454 → opens the way to 467.
• Stabilization above 467 → next major upside target 484.
✴️Plus Tip:
Daily closes above 420-415 zone supports the bullish momentum.
⸻
⚖️ Summary:
Gold is starting the month at a decisive zone (436–432). Holding above 435 favors further upside toward 452, while losing 432 puts the strong 420–415 demand zone into play. A confirmed breakout above 454 could accelerate the rally toward 484.
FX Matrix; Euro, GBP & Dollar Index - Labor Day!Dollar has seen significant losses since January 2025 with no signs of slowing down.
This causes investors to seek yield in dollar denominated pairs such as GBPUSD or EURUSD.
This event is called 'risk on'.
This means there's a higher possibility for Euro and GBP to appreciate in value in relation to the dollar.
I am looking for continued risk on conditions in dollar index to 95.700 - 93.800.
Low hanging fruit lays at 97.556
GBPUSD: 1.37888 , 1.38390
EURUSD: 1.18299, 1.19000
BTCUSD | Bullish Bias - Watching for Continuation🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and intact. Price broke major external highs, leaving bullish momentum at the top. Despite a deep pullback into a refined internal OB, structure remains respected — no lows invalidated.
🔹 MTF (30M): Price mitigated the refined OB and made a professional sweep at the lows, giving a temporary bearish appearance, but the bullish structure holds. Continuation setups are forming.
🔹 LTF (5M): Waiting for price to take out the lower timeframe lower high — CHoCH confirmation. Once that shift occurs, bulls will look to attend longs and ride continuation toward the upside.
🔹 Execution Plan: Patience is key. Let smart money reveal itself and the OB defend before committing to entries.
🔹 Mindset Note: Trend is your friend — follow price, stay alert, and wait for confirmations. Popcorn out until the market shows its hand.
XAUUSD | Bullish Bias - Structure Respected, Continuation Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and being respected within the major timeframe range. Clean pullbacks and OBs are holding, and price continues breaking highs — climbing steadily toward upside targets.
🔹 MTF (30M): Watching for continuation off the previous highs. Waiting for a sell-side liquidity sweep into the internal framework OB.
🔹 LTF (5M): Once OB is tapped, looking for confirmations to enter longs and ride the next bullish leg toward higher highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Patience — let smart money reveal itself before taking entries.
🔹 Mindset Note: Price respects structure; our role is to wait for the right confirmation before committing.
NASDAQ (US100) | Bullish Bias - Continuation in Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and respected. Momentum is strong to the upside, and higher lows remain intact — bullish intent confirmed.
🔹 MTF (30M): Refined structure shows price slashed through the recent internal OB but held — structure remains intact. A deeper sweep into an internal OB refined the order block further.
🔹 LTF (5M): Price switched character from bearish to bullish. Previous week we caught a bullish move, now looking for a second continuation setup toward highs this week.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to mitigate the OB zone. Once tapped, we’ll attend bullish longs with precision.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the edge — let smart money reveal itself before taking the next position.
EURNZD | Bullish Bias - Waiting on Courtyard Liquidity Slash🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is clean and bullish with strong momentum holding to the upside.
🔹 MTF (30M): Looking for continuation longs. Waiting for that sell-side liquidity (courtyard) to be cleared and price to tap into my refined OB zone.
🔹 LTF (5M): Once price reaches the OB, I’ll wait for confirmations before committing to longs. No confirmation, no trade.
🔹 Execution Plan: Patience until OB mitigation — only then will I engage longs toward the highs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Smart money reveals the hand, we follow with precision.
EURGBP| Bullish Bias - Structure Aligned for Continuation🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and respected with strong intent and momentum to the upside.
🔹 MTF (30M): Sell-side liquidity was swept into my refined internal OB. The last bearish move mitigated the block, keeping structure aligned for continuation.
🔹 LTF (5M): Previous week we caught the bullish leg. Now I’m tracking a second entry setup for continuation longs toward the highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to return into the refined OB zone. Once tapped, I’ll look for LTF confirmations to engage longs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience — let the liquidity clear and allow smart money to show its hand before we commit.
USDCAD| Bullish Bias - Deep Sweep, Smart Money at Work🔹 HTF (4H): Structure remains bullish with strong intent. Price refined into higher-timeframe OBs, digging deeper but still holding bullish order flow.
🔹 MTF (30M): A “Courtyard Liquidity Slash” cleared sell-side liquidity and price mitigated an internal OB. Despite a deep sweep that appeared bearish, structure remains intact.
🔹 LTF (5M): Now waiting for a visual CHoCH to confirm reversal off the significant HTF OB. Only then will I attend longs, looking to ride the next bullish leg into highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Stay patient — once smart money reveals itself with confirmation, I’ll engage longs from refined zones. Until then, no need to force entries.
🔹 Mindset Note: Deep sweeps don’t change bias; they prepare the path. Let the market prove the hand before we strike.
AUDUSD| Bullish Bias - Momentum Holding Strong🔹 HTF (4H): Structure shows clear bullish intent with strong momentum to the upside. Large bullish candles confirm continuation potential.
🔹 MTF (30M): Price cleared liquidity, mitigated the OB, and refined structure for continuation longs.
🔹 LTF (5M): A CHoCH confirmed directional shift, leading to bullish runs toward the highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to mitigate my marked OB before reloading longs to target major highs. Until then, patience — let smart money defend the level before we step back in.
🔹 Mindset Note: The market is delivering. Our role is to wait for the OB to be tapped and then execute with precision.
USDJPY| Bullish Bias - Continuation in Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure remains bullish as external highs continue to break. Price respects bullish intent, confirming upside momentum.
🔹 MTF (30M): Sell-side liquidity has been taken and price tapped cleanly into the OB, showing solid mitigation.
🔹 LTF (5M): A CHoCH has printed, confirming the shift. Now I’m waiting for a second entry opportunity to ride continuation toward the highs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience on LTF — waiting for the next inducement/entry trigger keeps us aligned with HTF strength.
GBPUSD| Bullish Bias - Structure Holding Strong🔹 HTF (4H): Structure remains bullish with strong intent. Price has already mitigated a 4H OB, and a clean CHoCH has confirmed continuation potential.
🔹 MTF (30M): Bullish structure stays intact. I’m tracking the next OB for continuation longs. Waiting for external sell-side liquidity to be slashed before price taps into the zone.
🔹 Execution Plan: Zone to watch sits at 1.33200–1.32600. Once tapped, I’ll shift to the LTF for confirmations to see if smart money defends the area.
🔹 Mindset Note: No rush — let the liquidity clear and the market hand over the play before stepping in.
EURUSD | Bulish Bias - HTF Structure Intact
🔹 HTF (4H): Price remains in bullish structure. Nothing has been invalidated; intent is still respected.
🔹 MTF (30M): After the external sell-side liquidity was slashed, I’m waiting for price to pull back into the marked OB. Current range is simply building liquidity.
🔹 Execution Plan: Once price taps into the OB zone (1.15600–1.15200), I’ll drop down to the LTF for confirmations. Looking for smart money to defend the level before committing to longs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience here is key — waiting for the liquidity to leak and for price to prove its hand.
Could BTC be at its support Yes, the question is yes, it is at a support but the real question is, is that will that support hold? There is a horizontal support level that price has just recently entered and this level is within a bigger upward channel. price is near the channels support level but I think the price level to look at is around 101,000 to 99,000 because at that level the horizontal support level and the upward channel support level both intersect. once price hits that level I believe it will bounce back up to make a new ATH of around 130,000 or 136,000 if not more
CADJPY SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 107.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 3
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
HBARUSD Long setupHi everyone.
This Hedera idea is good for investors.
This entry level is based on the weekly FVG area.
Let's see how the market reacts...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Short trade
4Hr TF overview
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: EURUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 (You wrote June 15th — adjusted to match your current date sequence)
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 1.16072
Profit Level 1.14888 (−1.02%)
Stop Loss 1.16244 (+0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.88 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4HR Premium Entry from Bearish OB:
Trade executed at the upper end of the internal range, where price tapped into a high-probability bearish order block.
London AM Stop-Hunt:
Price swept a prior London session high before rejecting, indicative of engineered liquidity and smart money distribution.
Break of Structure & Momentum Confirmation:
Following the sweep, price broke internal structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Pair: GBP/USD
Date: Friday, 29th August 2025
Session: London AM
Timeframe: 15 Minute
🟢 Trade Type
Buyside Trade (Long Position)
📌 Entry Details
Entry: 1.34919
Profit Target: 1.35119 (+0.43%)
Stop Loss: 1.34815 (−0.08%)
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 5.3
📊 Technical Confluence
EMA/WMA Levels:
WMA: 1.34632
WMA: 1.34583
Key Levels in Play:
YDO (Yesterday’s Open): 1.34972
YRL (Yesterday’s Range Low): 1.34602
TMA (Trend Midpoint Avg): 1.33683
TWO (Two-Week Open): 1.35128
TWM (Weekly Midpoint): 1.35193
Liquidity & Structure:
Price rejected prior demand zone around 1.3460–1.3470.
Entry followed rejection wick + demand confirmation.
1min TF overview
XAUUSD Technical OutlookWhat I see!
XAUUSD Technical Daily Outlook
Gold (XAUUSD) is forming a falling wedge after the sharp drop from the 3,430s high - - a structure that often signals a potential bullish reversal.
Price is consolidating inside the wedge, rejecting from the Daily FVG while holding the H4 demand zone at 3,320. A break above the wedge trend-line could spark an impulsive move toward the 3,375 BSL, with further upside into 3,439 if liquidity is cleared.
The wedge has already completed five legs, adding confluence for a possible breakout soon. Conversely, failure to hold 3,320 may invite deeper retracement before bulls re-enter.
This chart is presented for educational discussion of market structure and technical patterns only. It is not a trade signal or financial advice.
Learn before earning!
Long trade
15min TF overview
Pair: EUR/USD
Date: Friday, 29th August 2025
Session: London & New York AM Overlap
Timeframe: 15 Minute
🟢 Trade Type
Buyside Trade (Long Position)
📌 Entry Details
Entry: 1.16691
Profit Target: 1.16949 (+0.26%)
Stop Loss: 1.16611 (−0.08%)
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 3.3
📊 Technical Confluence
EMA/WMA Levels:
EMA: 1.16675
WMA: 1.16644
Key Levels:
YDL: 1.16586
QBL: 1.16551
TWA: 1.16512
TD VWAP: 1.16678
YDO: 1.16612
YDC: 1.16826
TDH: 1.16772
Liquidity Context:
London session flushed below YDL (1.1658) into QBL demand base.
Entry triggered on VWAP reclaim and bullish volume surge.
Target aligned with prior day close (YDC) and TDH zone ~1.1680–1.1695.
Volume Profile:
Clear spike in buy volume confirming absorption of liquidity sweep.
Large recovery candles off session lows.
🔎 Narrative / Trade Idea
The London session provided a stop raid beneath YDL/QBL (1.1655–1.1660 zone).
Buyers defended this level strongly, reclaiming VWAP and turning orderflow bullish.
Entry taken on bullish confirmation with SL below liquidity sweep. TP set at 1.1695, matching YDC + premium retracement zone.
This reflects a Wyckoff Phase C spring, followed by Phase D markup targeting resistance.
Target: Potential Downtrend ContinuationTarget has struggled all year, and some traders may see further downside in the big-box retailer.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 25 weekly high of $108.76. TGT probed that level in mid-July before dipping, which may confirm resistance is in place.
Second is August 1’s weekly close of $99.77. A weak quarterly report drove prices under that level last week and they’ve stayed there since.
Third, MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Those signals may be consistent with a bearish short-term trend.
Fourth, the stock is back below its falling 100-day simple moving average. That may be consistent with a bearish long-term trend.
Finally, TGT is an active underlier in the options market. It’s averaged about 90,000 contracts per session in the last month, according to TradeStation data. That may help traders take positions with calls and puts.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options.
Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com .
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.