USDCAD - HTF Bullish | Liquidity Sweeps Complete | Tracking Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery
State: Tracking / Speculation
Execution: Conditional
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Higher Timeframe Context
USDCAD remains bullish on the higher timeframe.
Although price has traded into the mid-term range, this is acceptable within a bullish framework — this is why we track, not rush.
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Liquidity & Market Work
Price has already:
• Swept internal dealing range (IDM) liquidity
• Cleared external range liquidity
• Taken HTF minor liquidity
This is advanced market work, and it’s exactly why patience and tracking are the edge — the market is doing the heavy lifting.
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Price Behavior & Cycle Read
From a higher-timeframe perspective, price delivered a wick tap, signaling reaction at a key level.
From there, we observed:
• Accumulation
• Followed by expansion
• Transition into distribution
Price is now correcting, positioning itself for the next delivery phase.
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Forward Outlook
At this stage, I’m not forcing a bias on execution.
I’ll continue to track how price unfolds over the coming sessions, allowing structure and liquidity to confirm the next move.
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Mindset
This is speculation territory.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Let the market do the work.
We’ll see how it develops this week.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
USDCHF - HTF Bullish | Range Behavior | Conditional ContinuationBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
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Higher Timeframe Context
USDCHF remains bullish from previous weeks, with the higher timeframe structure holding firm.
Price continues to trade within a defined range, respecting the broader bullish framework.
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Mid-Term Structure & Reaction
Price previously accumulated and mitigated into a mid-term order block (orange zone, left of chart), where buyers showed up with a clean bullish reaction.
From that zone:
• Accumulation formed
• A strong bullish push followed
• Leading into a clear expansion phase
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Distribution & Current Behavior
Following expansion, price transitioned into a distribution phase.
Selling pressure pushed price lower, but it quickly bounced back into the accumulation area, forming what now appears to be a correction zone, not a reversal.
This behavior suggests rebalancing, not structural failure.
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Execution Scenarios
From here, I’m watching two potential paths:
Scenario 1 — Deeper Correction
• Price sweeps sell-side liquidity on lower timeframes
• Trades into the green accumulation / pivot order block
• Buyers step in, leaving clear bullish footprints
• Buy opportunities considered from that zone
Scenario 2 — Strength Continuation
• Price shows strong momentum
• Fully breaks the mid-term lower high
• Confirms bullish realignment without deeper discount
In both cases, liquidity must be taken before execution is considered.
⸻
Mindset
This is still speculation territory.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure leads execution.
Until confirmation prints, we wait.
Let smart money show the hand. Let’s go. 📈🔥
EURUSD - HTF Bullish|Patience Over Prediction|Tracking The CycleBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
State: Tracking / Speculation
Execution: Conditional
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Higher Timeframe Context
EURUSD remains bullish on the higher timeframe, and this has not changed.
This is why I consistently stress one thing across every post:
Tracking is the edge. Patience is the key.
A lot of traders got burned here — not because structure failed, but because they rushed the phase.
⸻
Market Cycle Read
Price has clearly fallen out of the distribution phase, something that was visible early for those tracking structure instead of chasing moves.
We saw:
• A clean expansion out of the accumulation area
• Confirmation that buyers were still active
• Proof that the higher-timeframe bullish narrative remained intact
Fast hands paid the price. Patient hands followed the footprints.
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Mid-Term Structure Alignment
Mid-term structure rotated exactly where it was meant to:
• Into the HTF internal framework structure order block
• A lower high was broken, confirming bullish realignment
• A new high was printed, followed by a minor reaction
This reaction is information, not weakness.
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Current Focus
From the recent accumulation → expansion → distribution, price is now disputing away, suggesting the market is preparing for its next corrective phase.
What I want to see next:
• Full mitigation back into the accumulation zone
• Additional timeframe confirmation
• Alignment before targeting higher highs
No chasing. No guessing.
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Mindset
Beginners react late.
Professionals follow clues and footprints.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure never lies.
Until price gives confirmation, we wait.
Let smart money lead. Let’s go. 📈🔥
EURGBP - HTF Bullish Structure | Mitigation into Accumulation |EURGBP — HTF Bullish Structure | Mitigation into Accumulation | Speculation Phase
Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
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Higher Timeframe Context
EURGBP remains bullish on the higher timeframe, with overall mappings unchanged from previous weeks.
Structure continues to hold bullish, keeping the directional bias intact.
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Mid-Term Behavior
On the mid-term, price has shown distribution behavior, clearly marked in red, which has disrespected the prior internal cycle and cleared the path for rebalancing.
This move is viewed as a corrective phase, not a reversal.
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Market Theory & Point of Interest
From a bullish auction theory perspective, price is rotating back into a higher-timeframe internal framework structure order block — the same accumulation area that previously fueled expansion.
This zone remains the key point of interest.
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Execution Plan
Once price achieves full mitigation into this test area, I’ll be looking for:
• Stabilization within the POI
• A corrective reaction to the upside
• Conditions aligning for continuation delivery higher, in line with the HTF bullish bias
Lower timeframes must show bullish realignment before execution.
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Mindset
For now, this remains speculation only.
Patience is needed.
Tracking is the edge.
Let structure lead.
Until then, we wait for confirmation — not prediction.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
MSFT: Risk of a buyer trap near the upper boundary of the rangeThe beginning of a new year is a good time to look at the annual and monthly timeframes.
Hello traders and investors!
Annual chart
On the annual timeframe, the buyer initiative remains intact. The range of the annual initiative is as follows:
lower boundary — 213.43,
upper boundary — 555.45,
50% of the initiative — 384.44.
A key level to highlight is 349.67 — the upper boundary of the previous buyer initiative on the annual chart. This level has already been retested, and the current active level is 344.79. This area represents an important structural support zone in the event of a deeper correction.
It is also important to note that, on last year’s candle, the minimum price range where at least 50% of the volume was traded is located in the upper part of the candle. In fact, this entire area is above the previous annual high, which indicates sustained buyer interest at higher prices.
Monthly chart
On the monthly timeframe, the market remains in a sideways range that was formed back in 2024. In March–April 2025, there was a manipulation of the lower boundary of this range — a false breakout on increased volume followed by a return of price back into the range.
As a result, a buyer zone was formed with an upper boundary at 402.15. The manipulated level 385.58 also stands out, as it nearly совпides with 50% of the annual trading range (384.44). This confluence strengthens the importance of the area and makes it attractive for searching for long-term buying opportunities.
The buyer managed to push the price above the upper boundary of the range (468.35), but failed to develop the initiative further. The structure formed above this level (468.35) strongly resembles a manipulation (false breakout). Despite the previously noted sustained buyer interest at higher prices, in the current context this move may turn into a trap for late buyers.
Above the upper boundary of the range, all candles with increased volume are seller candles, indicating seller pressure and a lack of further result from the buyer side.
If the price returns back into the range, the first resistance will be 450.12 (50% of the range). If this level fails to hold the price, the probability increases for gap closures below, with a move into the 402.15–385.58 area, where it makes sense to closely monitor patterns for long-term buying, provided there is confirmation from volume and initiative structure.
On the daily timeframe , the market is in a sideways range.
The price has broken out of this range to the downside, and if the seller now initiates a trend by forming another initiative, this could indicate a decline in price toward 450 and then further down to 402.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
ARBUSDT at Structural Support Wedge Based Reversal ScenarioARBUSDT is currently trading within a well-defined descending wedge structure, with price reacting precisely from the lower boundary of the pattern. This reaction suggests the formation of a potential local bottom, supported by visible rejection and stabilization along the wedge support.
From a technical perspective, this zone presents a favorable accumulation region, as long as price continues to respect the descending trendline. Risk management remains clearly defined, with invalidation placed just below the wedge support to account for any structural breakdown.
A successful continuation from this level increases the probability of an upside expansion toward the projected targets already outlined on the chart, aligning with the broader wedge breakout thesis.
HTF Bullish | AMD in Play | Speculation PhaseBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
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Higher Timeframe Context
As price is visualized on the higher timeframes, the market remains in a bullish phase, with structure continuously breaking to the upside.
Price has expanded aggressively and is currently holding near the highs, reinforcing bullish control.
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Market Cycle Read
Although price appears to be in a distribution zone following expansion, the structure aligns cleanly with an AMD model:
• Accumulation formed at the base
• Manipulation cleared liquidity
• Distribution delivering price lower
This suggests the current pause is part of a healthy cycle, not exhaustion.
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Framework & Point of Interest
If price distributes back into the internal framework structure / order block area, that zone becomes the focus.
From there, I’ll be watching for:
• Stabilization and mitigation
• A corrective phase
• Conditions aligning for continuation of delivery within the broader bullish cycle
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Execution Conditions (LTF)
Lower timeframes must show bullish realignment before participation:
• Bullish reaction from the POI
• Bearish structure invalidation (lower high break)
• Pullback forming a new accumulation buy zone
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Mindset
For now, this is speculation only.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Let smart money lead.
Until then, we wait for confirmation — not prediction.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
GBPJPY - HTF Bullish | High-Range Consolidation | Distribution Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Consolidation → Distribution → Mitigation → Realignment → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
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Higher Timeframe Context
GBPJPY remains bullish on the higher timeframe, showing strong continuation characteristics.
Structurally, this setup closely mirrors AUDJPY, with price currently holding near the highs.
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Current Phase
Price is consolidating at premium levels, which increases the probability of a distribution phase.
From here, I’m anticipating a potential move lower to fill inefficiencies resting beneath price.
This would be a healthy corrective move, not a bearish shift.
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HTF / Mid-Term Point of Interest
Below current price:
• Liquidity rests above and around key levels
• Order blocks sit underneath that liquidity
• Clear inducement present
If price drops into this zone and mitigates cleanly, that area becomes the focus for continuation.
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Lower Timeframe Plan (Realignment)
Within the accumulation area, I’ll be watching lower timeframes for bullish realignment:
Required confirmations:
• A bullish reaction from the POI
• A lower high being broken (bearish structure invalidation)
• A pullback on the bullish leg, forming a new accumulation buy zone
➡️ This would open the door for the next delivery leg higher.
⸻
Invalidation
If price:
• Fails to show bullish reaction
• Continues to respect bearish structure
• Does not break the lower high
➡️ No longs taken. Price likely seeks deeper discount.
⸻
Mindset
Currently in speculation mode.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure leads execution.
Until then — we wait and let price confirm. Let’s go. 📈🔥
AUDJPY - HTF Bullish | Distribution * Mitigation Watch Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
Execution: Conditional
State: Patience / Tracking
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Higher Timeframe Context
AUDJPY remains bullish on the higher timeframe, with structure consistently printing higher highs.
Directional bias remains intact — no HTF structural damage at this stage.
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Current Phase
After expanding into the highs, price has entered a distribution zone, showing signs of manipulative behavior.
This suggests price may dispute lower to rebalance inefficiencies before the next move.
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Mid-Term Point of Interest
I’m watching for a potential move into a mid-term order block / point of interest.
From this zone, I want to see:
• Stabilization and holding behavior
• A clean correction phase
• Conditions forming for the next delivery leg higher
⸻
Lower Timeframe Conditions
If on the lower timeframes:
• Structure fails to hold
• A lower high is broken
• Bullish confluences do not print
➡️ Then this becomes a no-trade environment.
In that case, price is likely seeking deeper liquidity and more discounted territory before continuation.
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Mindset
Currently in speculation mode.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure leads.
That’s the money lead.
Until then — we let price show its hand. 📈🔥
USDJPY - Bullish Continuation | HTF Control | Patience PhaseBias: Bullish
Structure: Higher Timeframe Continuation
Timeframes: HTF / Mid-Term / LTF
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Higher Timeframe Context
USDJPY remains bullish, with higher-timeframe mappings unchanged from previous weeks.
Price continues to respect and trade within HTF structure, confirming directional control remains intact.
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Mid-Term Perspective
On the mid-term, price completed a clean mitigation, which has been held since last week, followed by continued expansion.
This reinforces that buyers remain in control and that the broader bullish narrative is still valid.
⸻
Current State
Price continues to press toward highs, maintaining bullish momentum.
No structural damage has occurred — this is continuation, not reversal.
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Lower Timeframe Plan
At the moment, I am waiting for a second-entry opportunity.
Execution plan:
• Allow price to distribute
• Look for a return into a prior accumulation area
• Once mitigation is complete, buy points will be considered
This will be the operating mood for the upcoming week.
⸻
Mindset
Currently in speculation mode.
No chasing. No forcing.
Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge.
Let price come to us. 📈🔥
GBPUSD - Bullish Structure | HTF POI Alignment | Patience PhaseBias: Bullish
Model: Accumulation → Delivery → Mitigation → Expansion
Timeframes: Daily / 4H / 30M / 5M
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HTF Context (Daily)
GBPUSD remains in bullish market structure, with a major Daily high broken, confirming higher-timeframe continuation.
The red order flow provides directional confluence, and price has already shown a clean bullish reaction from this HTF point of interest.
Following that reaction, we observed accumulation forming, which successfully delivered price higher — validating bullish intent.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure (4H / 30M)
From an internal perspective (blue micro structure), price respected internal structure, accumulated, and then broke out, confirming participation from buyers.
Buyers accumulated from a key pivot, delivered expansion, and distributed, before price mitigated back into the origin of orders — a classic revisit of a higher-timeframe POI.
Zooming out to the mid-term perspective, a lower high was taken, followed by a manipulative push, leading to redistribution into the orange POI.
This orange zone aligns with:
• Daily HTF POI
• Mid-term reaction zone
• Internal accumulation (blue)
➡️ Triple confluence zone = stronger probability accumulation area.
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Current State (Execution Phase)
From this aligned accumulation zone, price has already shown a strong expansion, confirming buyers are active.
At the moment:
• Price is in a pause / corrective phase
• I am waiting for minor sell-side liquidity to be taken
• Looking for full mitigation into a minor accumulation area
This is not entry time yet — this is tracking time.
⸻
LTF Plan (5M Execution)
Once price completes mitigation:
• I’ll look for 5M structure confirmation
• Entry will be based on accumulation → expansion logic
• Targeting continuation toward higher highs
Until then:
Patience is the edge. Tracking is the work.
⸻
Final Notes
I’m currently in speculation mode, allowing price to show its hand before committing.
No rushing. No forcing. Letting structure do the talking.
4H → 30M → 5M execution model in play.
Let it come to us. 💪📈
GBPJPYWelcome to my TradingView journal.
All content shared here is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The purpose of this analysis is to document market structure, liquidity behavior, and price delivery through an institutional lens. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Market Structure Context
GBPJPY has recently delivered a clear bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming a shift in short-term directional intent. The impulsive expansion suggests strong participation rather than corrective price movement, indicating that prior sell-side liquidity has been absorbed.
Following the expansion, price has begun to stabilize above the broken structure, reflecting acceptance at higher levels rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the bullish displacement. From an institutional perspective, this zone is treated as a contextual reference, not a signal. Such areas often represent locations where imbalance entered the market with conviction.
If price revisits this zone, the nature of the reaction will provide insight into whether bullish order-flow remains present or whether deeper rebalancing is required.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainty.
From current conditions:
•Continuation remains valid while demand holds
•Corrective pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation is possible as liquidity redistributes
All scenarios remain valid until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent analysis.
If you value institutional logic, objective market commentary, and a rule-based analytical approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
GBPJPYWelcome to my TradingView journal.
All content shared here is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The purpose of this analysis is to document market structure, liquidity behavior, and price delivery through an institutional lens. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Market Structure Context
GBPJPY has recently delivered a clear bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming a shift in short-term directional intent. The impulsive expansion suggests strong participation rather than corrective price movement, indicating that prior sell-side liquidity has been absorbed.
Following the expansion, price has begun to stabilize above the broken structure, reflecting acceptance at higher levels rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the bullish displacement. From an institutional perspective, this zone is treated as a contextual reference, not a signal. Such areas often represent locations where imbalance entered the market with conviction.
If price revisits this zone, the nature of the reaction will provide insight into whether bullish order-flow remains present or whether deeper rebalancing is required.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainty.
From current conditions:
•Continuation remains valid while demand holds
•Corrective pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation is possible as liquidity redistributes
All scenarios remain valid until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent analysis.
If you value institutional logic, objective market commentary, and a rule-based analytical approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
Alcoa (Strong Trend Upwards)
Alcoa (AA) is Strong.
Using the daily chart you will notice RSI is 77.2. When you switch to the 4h and Hourly using this indicator you will see these are in very strong uptrends as well. However, they are too strong.
When I see the 3 highest timeframes all in oversold status (70+ on RSI). I trim and scout to enter lower. I will switch to the 5 minute chart and re-purchase when RSI goes between 30-40.
DXY January analysisDXY 3M with 12M and 1M with 3M
- Where is price?
Price is in area 3, below the static 3M PLdot and above the live 3M Pldot. Below price we have the yearly live and static EBOT supporting the price. PLdot slope is down, decreasing, EBOT direction is up, ETOP is down, with a decreasing slope. On the monthly price is also in Area3, supported by the monthly EBOT and below the static and live monthly PLdot. Direction on the monthly is down, slope is down and increasing. Price is within the envelope thus ono c-wave, previous quarter had a push down from the PLdot refresh area and found support on the static EBOT. Previous month candle is a congestion entrance/action candle, as the previous months there was not clear trend established (needs three closes on the same side of the PLdot). Quarterly flow is bullish, monthly is still neutral
- What is it doing?
The quarterly has stoped the c-waves down, managed to close within the envelope and is now potentially preparing for congestion entrance, which would imply congestion action trading. In order for this to happen, the quarterly must close above the static PLdot. As the quarter has just started, there is still time for this to realize. For the monthly this would imply, holding above the 3M static PLdot for three consecutive months. The monthly congestion entrance candle is the July 2025 candle, and ever since then we have congestion action (closes on the opposite side of the PLdot). The monthly congestion entrance candle established the congestion boundaries which define the traded range: block level is the CE candle high (100.101) and dotted line which is the lowest low of the previous down trend (96.377).
- What is next?
For the quarterly to bottom, the monthly needs to trade in congestion first. For the yearly to bottom, the quarterly needs to do the same (applies to all timeframes). ON the monthly timeframe, there is strong resistance around the static ETOP, followed by etremely strong resistance above around the 3M static ETOP where there is also monthly 5/2 down with its extension. Suport on the monthly is first at the level of the live quarterly EBOT, where there is also a quartely 6/1 up
DXY 1W with 1M and 1D with 1W
- Where is price?
Price is in Area4 on the weekly, just above the static PLdot and below the monthly static PLdot, making a congestion entrance candle after the previous down trend. Direction is down and down slope is decreasing. Flow is turning bullish. On the daily, price is in Area5, just below the upcoming daily ETOP. Price is in c-wave up, with good flow.
- What is it doing?
For the weekly to bottom, the daily needs to trade first in congestion and then start c-waves. c-waves can break terminations and static or live areas. The weekly beeing congestion entrance candle has projected a target which is 2-3 PLdots back. The congestion boundaries are 97.74 and 98.49. The target is 99.14
- What is next?
One possibulity for the daily is to find support at the daily ETOP level and continue its c-waves to the CE target. No pattern is the daily resistance at the ETOP is strong and pushes price lower for another PLdot refresh to asses the energy available for a continuation of the move higher. For the weekly to get there it needs to start c-waves up, thus this might take 2-3 weeks (time to allow the price to approach the weekly ETOP, on the way to the weekly ETOP, there is the monthly static PLdot, 3M live and static PLdot and then push its way up)
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: No financial advice, you own your trades! Risk management is always first and most important
GBPAUDWelcome to my TradingView journal.
This analysis is shared strictly for
educational and informational purposes, with the objective of documenting market structure, liquidity behavior, and price efficiency from an institutional perspective. Nothing shared here should be interpreted as financial advice or a trading recommendation.
🔍 Structural Overview
Price previously delivered a bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming higher-timeframe intent and signaling strong participation during the expansion phase. However, following this impulsive move, the market transitioned into a corrective delivery, retracing back toward the origin of the displacement.
Such behavior is consistent with institutional rebalancing, where price revisits discounted areas to test unmitigated orders before determining continuation or failure.
🧠 Demand Zone Context
The highlighted demand zone represents a key area where bullish momentum was initiated. This zone is not marked as an entry or signal, but as a reference area where reaction, absorption, or rejection may offer valuable information regarding order-flow strength.
How price behaves within and around this zone is far more important than the zone itself. Acceptance below would suggest weakness, while sustained defense may indicate higher-timeframe continuation remains possible.
⚖️ Expectation Management
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainties.
At this stage, multiple outcomes remain valid:
•Price may rebalance and resume higher-timeframe structure
•Price may continue lower if demand fails to hold
•Price may consolidate as liquidity is redistributed
All conclusions are conditional and remain subject to invalidation by price.
📌 Purpose of This Channel
This space is dedicated to:
•Objective structure-based analysis
•Liquidity and displacement logic
•Patience, discipline, and process
•Education over prediction
There will be no signals, no hype, and no promises.
Only clean charts, structured reasoning, and transparent commentary.
If you value professional market insight, rule-based frameworks, and institutional logic, feel free to follow and engage.
Let price reveal the narrative.
USDCADThis analysis is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It reflects personal chart observations based on price action, market structure, and liquidity behavior. Nothing here constitutes financial advice, trade recommendations, or signals.
🔍 Structural Overview
USDCAD has printed a clear bullish break of structure (BOS) on the intraday timeframe, confirming a shift in short-term directional bias. The break was delivered through strong bullish displacement, suggesting active participation rather than corrective price movement.
The follow-through indicates that prior sell-side liquidity has likely been absorbed, allowing price to reprice efficiently to the upside.
🧠 Demand Zone Logic
The marked demand zone represents the origin of the impulsive move that caused the structural break. From an institutional perspective, such zones are treated as areas of interest, not execution signals.
If price revisits this zone, the reaction will be key:
•Strong rejection may indicate •unmitigated bullish order flow
•Weak reaction or deep penetration could imply further rebalancing or a change in short-term conditions
Until then, price remains in a premium expansion phase.
⚖️ Price Delivery Scenarios
From a probabilistic standpoint:
Continuation remains valid while structure holds
•Pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation near highs is also a valid outcome
•No scenario is favored without confirmation from price.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This journal focuses on:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Consistency over hype
There are no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only disciplined chart commentary and transparent market logic.
If this style of institutional, rule-based analysis aligns with your approach, feel free to follow and engage.
Let the market confirm — not opinion.
NQ & ES near term support zones for bullish runBoth ES (SP500 ) and NQ (Nasdaq 100) futures have been on an uptrend throughout 2025 with SPX hitting ATH at the end of last year.
Nasdaq 100 has been weaker since November 2025, but both indexes are poised to run higher from this daily demand zone that we are currently in.
My chart breaks down the 4H support zones (green boxes) within the large daily zone. Once price breaks the 1H down trend into demand and makes a 1H higher high we can assume it is safe for NQ to run up into 26100+ and for ES to hit new all time highs. Note, within the zones there are some dotted white lines which are lower timeframe refinement within the zone.
Fundamental catalysts for this will be a job report that comes in as expected (or slightly worse) this coming Friday and CPI the following Tuesday to come in lower than expected. This will open the pathway more for additional federal rate cuts which will fuel equities to higher highs.
If price simply melts through all three 4H support zones then there is no trade. We are looking for price to bounce at a green support zone then form a higher high on the 30m/1H charts supported by high volume price action. After the higher high is formed use your favorite entry model to capture the upside.
Lesson: Because this daily demand zone is so large for both NQ and ES, this is why we want to wait for lower timeframe confirmation. The top of the daily demand zone has been pierced for both assets. Price could bounce straight up from here, but that is not as likely as price digging lower. By waiting for confirmation in the form of a 30m/1H higher high it increases the probability of a long play working.
BTCUSDThis analysis is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It represents personal observations based on price action, market structure, and liquidity behavior. Nothing presented here constitutes financial advice, trade recommendations, or execution guidance
🔍 Market Structure Overview
BTCUSD has delivered a clean bullish break of structure (BOS) on the higher timeframe, confirming a shift in directional bias. The break occurred with strong bullish displacement, suggesting genuine participation rather than corrective price action.
Following the structural break, price expanded efficiently and is now holding above prior resistance, signaling acceptance at higher prices rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the impulsive move that led to the BOS and subsequent expansion. From an institutional standpoint, this area represents a potential re-engagement zone, not a signal.
If price revisits this zone, the quality of the reaction will be critical:
•Strong response may indicate •unmitigated bullish order flow
•Shallow reaction or breakdown could imply deeper rebalancing or structural shift
•Until mitigation occurs, the zone remains a reference point within a bullish framework.
⚖️ Probabilistic Price Scenarios
From a probability-based perspective:
Continuation remains valid while structure is respected
•Pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation above structure is also a healthy outcome
•No scenario is prioritized without confirmation from price.
📌 Channel Framework
This journal is built on:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Consistency over hype
There are no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only structured chart commentary and transparent market logic.
If you appreciate institutional market structure, clean execution logic, and rule-based analysis, feel free to follow and engage.
Let price do the talking.






















