Get started

Multiple Time Frame Analysis

MicroStrategy - The red channel of doom returns - November 2025Ah, MicroStrategy…. the stock that’s half software company, half Bitcoin cult. Every time you think it’s about to behave like a normal tech firm, Michael Saylor pops up with a grin, another billion dollars of debt, and the conviction of a man who’s never heard the words “margin call.” And here we are, November 2025, staring at the Red Channel Crossover. Sounds ominous doesn’t it? Like something NASA would warn about before the Sun goes super nova. Déjà Vu: February 2022 Says Hello Look left. 
The last time price action crossed into the red channel was February 2022. Market structure broke. Price dumped. Holders prayed. And then just when everyone thought it was over, sneaky sellers rotated the gravity dial to 2G. Now we’re back at it. November 2025, same crossover, same setup, same “this time is different” nonsense. Every influencer on X is already typing “Buy the dip 🚀”, as if adding a rocket emoji somehow fixes negative momentum. The technicals The green channel represents calm waters, an uptrend, happy times, and Saylor buying jets with the profits. The red channel is the opposite. It’s like when the hangover kicks in and you realise that was not sugar free Red Bull. Each time MSTR entered this red zone, it meant one thing: Broken market structure, 50–70% correction, Mass denial phase. Right now, the chart’s showing that same red crossover again, after breaking below structural support around the $240 area. If you’re still shouting “to the moon” at this point… well that rocket exploded months ago. RSI & sentiment RSI is rolling over faster than a drunk at a wedding. Momentum’s drained and what’s left are bag holders explaining to their spouses that “it’s a long-term store of value.” It’s not. It’s a tech stock with a crypto addiction. So what happens next? If history’s anything to go by, and it usually is, price action is heading for the same fate it suffered post February 2022: First, a short-lived bounce to sucker in the hopeful. Then, the slow, grinding descent into despair. A retrace toward the $80–$100 region would fit perfectly with prior cycle behaviour. And if Bitcoin confirms its own Gaussian bear trend, well… let’s just say Michael Saylor’s going to need more than “diamond hands”, he’ll need a therapist. Before that can happen expect price action to test the $300 area to confirm broken market structure. Today price action is considerably oversold, this idea only becomes validated after a resistance confirmation on past support . Wrote that in bold for those of you who struggle to get past the headline. I blame Tik-Tok Conclusions Every cycle it’s the same story: 1. MSTR breaks structure. 2. The red channel appears. 3. Everyone panics. 4. Then comes the silence. The only variable is how many motivational tweets Saylor can post before margin calls start rolling in. This setup isn’t new, isn’t rare, and isn’t bullish, it’s just math doing its job while people pretend it’s spiritual warfare. So yes, the red channel crossover is back. Same movie. Different year. Still ends badly for the extras. Ww Disclaimer ================================================================== This isn’t financial advice, obviously. If you need a stranger on the internet to tell you not to buy a company using borrowed money to gamble on Bitcoin, you deserve the portfolio you get. If it pumps, you’ll take credit.
If it dumps, you’ll blame the FED.
Either way, I’ll be here limiting my desire to say "I told you so".
NASDAQ:MSTR
by without_worries
20
Long trade Buyside Trade 🟦 Trade Details Pair: EURGBP Date: Fri 28th Nov 2025 Session: LND to NY Session Overlap PM Model Type: Buyside Trade Timeframe: 15-minute (HTF narrative with LTF execution) 🟩 Entry & Levels Entry: 0.87658 Profit Level (TP): 0.87950 (0.39%) Stop Level (SL): 0.87487 (0.18%) Risk-to-Reward (RR): 3.21 🟨 Trade Context Price traded into a multi-day discount zone, forming accumulation behaviour at the low of the range. A mitigation of the prior bullish FVG aligned with the session low, creating the narrative for a LTF bullish rotation. Liquidity was swept below 0.87556, clearing sell-side pressure before displacement. Market structure on 15m showed MSS → BOS → bullish re-pricing before the entry zone was reached. Timeframe: 2-minute 🟥 Execution Narrative After the liquidity sweep, price created a clean bullish displacement candle breaking structure. Entry taken on the FVG mitigation inside the premium of the internal LTF structure. EMAs (fast & slow) crossed into bullish alignment, confirming trend shift. Volume spike on the sweep validated institutional accumulation at the low of the cycle. 🟪 Sentiment & Narrative Market was driven by algorithmic draw toward unmitigated inefficiencies above 0.8790 – 0.8810. Broader sentiment showed weakening GBP strength ahead of the NY session. Price behaviour supported a transition from discount accumulation → expansion phase. Session timing with the NY PM reversal profile. 🟫 Outcome Trade Logic : Liquidity sweep → MSS → Displacement → FVG entry → Expansion. The TP at 0.87950 - liquidity resting above the short-term high.
Long
by davidjulien369
XAU/USD 01 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195. Price has subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,256.250. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
USD/CAD - USD on it's way to recover against CADFrom a fundamental perspective, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure from its stronger counterpart, the USD. With ongoing geopolitical tensions between the two neighbouring countries, I expect the USD to continue gaining ground against the CAD. From a technical perspective, the higher-timeframe (daily) chart shows a consistent respect of demand zones — each time liquidity was taken, price reacted cleanly inside demand. We’re seeing the same scenario now: price is retracing toward a 4H demand zone, sweeping the liquidity resting above it. At this stage, we want to see buyers stepping in to defend their positions. On the lower timeframes, price is being squeezed after the drop from the last lower high, which failed to break previous structure. In my view, this offers a solid opportunity for long positions, especially since the current higher low remains protected. However, if this zone gets invalidated, the entire idea becomes invalid. There is no clear bearish order flow, even on the LTFs — only a simple price drop followed by early signs of consolidation. Once the fractal structure turns bullish on the 4H chart, I’ll have even more confidence to extend risk and scale into the position. From a fundamental standpoint, we’re all aware of the expected December rate cuts. A 0.25% cut from the Fed would not be a surprise — the real surprise would be if they didn’t cut, and how future policy would shift. In my opinion, the market is already pricing this in. Make sure to follow for more analysis in the future.
Long
by AlessioRO
Short trade 📕 Sell-Side Trade 🟦 Trade Details Pair: AUDJPY Date: Sun 30th Nov 2025 Session: Tokyo Session PM Model Type: Sell-Side Trade Timeframe: 1-Hour (HTF execution context) 🟥 Entry & Levels Entry: 102.021 Profit Level (TP): 101.487 (0.53%) Stop Level (SL): 102.187 (0.16%) Risk-to-Reward (RR): 3.52 🟨 Trade Context Price reached a premium zone after a multi-session rally and tapped into previous HTF liquidity, aligning with the 0.382–0.618 Fib retracement cluster. The rally into 102.27 – 102.36 swept equal highs and interacted with a bearish FVG, building strong reversal structure. Price rejected the Daily Open and failed to maintain structure above the premium inefficiency. Liquidity was engineered above 102.25 before displacement. 🟩 Execution Narrative A clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred after price swept the high. Strong downside displacement delivered a full break of the 1H structure, novating to bearish order flow. Entry was taken inside a bearish FVG on the 1H mitigation point, aligned with falling EMA/WMA confluence. The bearish rejection wick confirmed institutional activity at the premium. 🟪 Sentiment & Narrative Macro sentiment supports a short-term retracement after an extended bullish leg. AUDJPY reached an exhaustion zone and we assume a corrective move back into discount. The inefficiency pocket below 101.65 acts as a draw on liquidity. 🟫 Outcome Trade in session Sell-side logic: Liquidity sweep → MSS → FVG mitigation → Displacement continuation.
by davidjulien369
Long trade 📘 Buyside Trade 🟦 Trade Details Pair: EURUSD Date: Fri 28th Nov 2025 Session: LND to NY Overlap AM Model Type: Buyside Trade Timeframe: 2-min (Entry execution zone) 🟩 Entry & Levels Entry: 1.15641 Profit Level (TP): 1.16139 (0.38%) Stop Level (SL): 1.15427 (0.46%) Risk-to-Reward (RR): 5.89 🟨 Trade Context Price dipped into the discount demand zone created on the previous session. The 0.382 – 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligned with the demand array and prior displacement. Price swept the intraday low into a 2-min bullish FVG, reclaiming the Daily Open afterwards. Clear shift in structure (CHoCH → BOS) confirmed bullish order flow before the entry. EMA & WMA alignment turned bullish just before execution. 🟥 Execution Narrative Liquidity was taken below the low at 1.1547. Price delivered an impulsive rally into a bullish FVG. Entry placed on the mitigation of the FVG / rejection of demand. Volume spike confirmed institutional activity. Target selection was the 1.16139 liquidity pocket, sitting above the intraday swing. 🟪 Sentiment & Narrative NY session fuel assisted expansion. Macro intraday sentiment was bullish, supported by: Premium inefficiencies above Bullish displacement leading into the London retracement Algorithmic draw toward the mid-session liquidity cluster 🟫 Outcome: Trade in session
Long
by davidjulien369
December BTC overviewBTC closed November sweeping and reclaiming the weekly 100 EMA, and although the daily chart printed a strong reversal candle, it is still too early to call a bottom. The broader bearish structure on both the weekly and daily remains intact, and volume aligns with the downtrend. On the daily, we also have the 100 and 200 EMA bearish crossover, which confirms a strong HTF bearish trend. In bearish markets, it is uncommon to leave an FVG unfilled unless the trend is very strong. Even though November closed above the 100 EMA, it was still a heavy bearish close that broke the monthly bullish trendline. If we hit 100K, it would imply a 20K rally after a 40K drop with no real consolidation or accumulation. That would be wild. It is possible but very unlikely. This currently looks like the unwind of a multi-day distribution that likely started in July. The market needs a proper multi-day accumulation. We also need to consider that we are fading the high return season, which adds more weight to the distribution thesis. My expectation for December is range-bound price action and a close near the yearly open. On low timeframes, there is a clean short opportunity at the bearish order block around 95K to 97K, sitting above yearly-open liquidity. If price returns to the lows, we also have a potential monthly double-bottom setup targeting the yearly open. There is a daily bullish MSB waiting at 97K. If price reaches it, we may start holding above the yearly open and squeeze toward the daily 200 EMA. From there, the monthly and weekly trendline could act as resistance and push price back to the lows, which is a common retest pattern after a strong trendline break.
by sabinaGM
1
Week 48 Market Update — $SPXStrong week for the SP:SPX index. After two weeks of hesitation candles, price finally shifted back into strength and pushed decisively higher. This week’s candle not only reclaimed momentum but fully erased last week’s cooling-off behavior. Price also moved well above the key mid-range levels that traders usually watch to define trend health. It’s now sitting firmly above the major risk zone and continues building distance away from it — a clear sign of strength. From the moment this week’s upside break triggered, the index has gained roughly 1.9%, and that kind of move typically translates into solid returns for options traders playing directional setups. Major support zones sit lower around 5900, 5100, and the deeper structural support near 4000. As long as price holds above the upper layers of support, momentum remains intact. On the higher-timeframe monthly chart, the trend has been active for eight straight months with no signs of exhaustion. Price is still far above the level where the monthly trend began, and even further above the long-term midline — showing how dominant the larger trend still is. The 2-day chart continues to support the overall bullish structure, breaking above short-term levels and maintaining strength after multiple confirmations earlier in the week. This week was a clean continuation of the broader uptrend — strong candle, strong momentum, and strong positioning above every major structural region. Elite clarity. Elite precision. More coming soon.
SP:SPXLong
by GURULifeline
1
EUR/JPY - A countertrend a day keeps the losing streak awayEUR/JPY currentlly is resting inside the internal move that started from the most recent HH formed. As a swing view, EUR/JPY is in a clear uptrend, making LH and HH with a beautifull bullish orderflow conection. At least for now, we accumulated a lot of liquidity inside this move to the upside, leaving behind us a trendline liquidity ready to get caught as a trap. From the most apropiate supply zone, I am expecting that the price will react to downside.
Short
by AlessioRO
EUR/NZD - Ready to catch a fallinng knife?Hello traders, Righht now, we see on EUR/NZD a really nice drop of the price, but if we zoom out the picture, we just entered the demand zone on HTF and we are squizing inside a wedge. For me, it would be interesting to see a HL forming inside this demand zone and wait for some confirmation that we can boost the price higher, and profit ourselfs going long in this market. Also, considering the fact that on LTF the drop itself is overextended, even if it would want to continue more to the downside, than it will have to retrace to the most current supply zone. For more analyses, follow me.
Long
by AlessioRO