BTC - Bullish continuation in the makingMarket Context
BTC has recently broken out of a long-standing descending trendline, marking a significant shift in sentiment. This breakout signals the end of the controlled downtrend and sets the stage for a possible bullish continuation. At the same time, the chart shows a clear sweep of sell-side liquidity at the lows, which often serves as the fuel for a reversal.
Trendline Breakout & Liquidity Sweep
The bullish breakout of the old upper trendline is an important technical event. Combined with the earlier sell-side liquidity sweep, this suggests that downside liquidity has been cleared and that the path of least resistance could now be higher. Such a combination often marks the start of a new leg in the trend.
Market Structure Shift Retest
Following the breakout, price has pushed higher and printed a market structure shift (MSS). The current retest of this MSS zone will be key — if it holds, it provides the ideal spot for bulls to reload positions. This retest acts as confirmation that the breakout is valid, not just a short-lived deviation.
Next Liquidity Grab & Upside Targets
Above the current range sits a clear buy-side liquidity pool. The next logical move would be a grab of that liquidity, which could extend into a more aggressive bullish expansion toward higher levels. The structure suggests a stair-step move higher: liquidity grab, retest, and then continuation toward 115k–117k zones.
Final Thoughts
The sell-side liquidity sweep, trendline breakout, and market structure shift all point to a bullish shift in momentum. The key lies in how price reacts to the retest — hold it, and the next liquidity levels are likely to be taken.
If this breakdown helped clarify the setup, a like is much appreciated — and let me know in the comments: are you playing the retest, or waiting for the liquidity grab above?
Nasdaq
Understanding Consolidation & Trading itWhat Consolidation Is
Consolidation is a market phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, showing indecision or balance between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears).
Characterized by low volatility, overlapping candles, and no clear trend direction.
Often occurs after strong moves (as the market pauses) or before breakouts (accumulation/distribution).
Impact on Bulls & Bears
Bulls: View consolidation near highs as accumulation (buyers building positions before a breakout upward).
Bears: View consolidation near lows as distribution (sellers unloading before a breakdown).
Both sides place stop orders outside the range → creating liquidity pools that smart money hunts.
How Traders Can Take Advantage
Range Trading – Buy near support of the range, sell near resistance, until breakout occurs.
Liquidity Strategy – Wait for fakeouts beyond consolidation, then trade in the opposite direction (stop hunt setup).
Consolidation Across Timeframes
Lower Timeframes (1m–15m):
Looks like noise but is often where scalpers range trade.
Breakouts can give small but quick moves.
Mid Timeframes (1H–4H):
Shows clear accumulation/distribution phases.
Useful for intraday & swing traders.
Higher Timeframes (Daily–Weekly):
Represents major market indecision.
Breakouts from these zones often fuel massive trend moves.
✅ Summary:
Consolidation = sideways range = balance of bulls & bears.
Inside range → fade the extremes.
Outside range → trade support & resistance or liquidity sweep.
On different timeframes → the same consolidation can be noise on 5M, but a critical accumulation on the Daily chart.
Weekly insighta EUR/USD S&P500 NVDA METAThis video is a weekly insights report from a financial trader on TradingView. I amdiscussing my analysis and predictions for several financial instruments based on technical and fundamental indicators.
Key Points:
Market Overview: The speaker talks about the impact of recent US unemployment data on the market, which led to a "parabolic" rise in the Euro dollar.
Euro Dollar: Based on a technical analysis of an "expanding diagonal" and an old trend line, the speaker believes a false breakout is likely. They plan to avoid trading USD pairs for the next 11 days, waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision.
S&P 500: The speaker notes a five-wave Elliot wave pattern with an expanding diagonal. They are waiting for the price to break below a trend line and a red confirmation line before considering a short position. They anticipate a "choppy" market for the coming week.
Nvidia: The speaker received "hate comments" for their previous analysis of Nvidia. They stand by their short position, citing a break below the exponential moving average, a "huge" divergence on the monthly chart, and a "shooting star" candle pattern. They note that Nvidia is the heaviest stock in the S&P 500, representing 7.5% of the index.
Bitcoin: The speaker points out that Bitcoin's price has crossed and retested two moving averages, which they see as a bearish sign. They will consider a short position if the price breaks below the previous low. They also expect Bitcoin to be stagnant in the coming week while the market waits for the Fed's decision.
Call to Action : The video concludes with a plea for viewers to subscribe to the speaker's TradingView channel for more trading insights and short-trade opportunities.
NAS100 At Major Resistance - Breakout or Reversal?NAS100 Technical Analysis: 🚀 At Major Resistance - Breakout or Reversal? 📉
Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100 CFD)
Analysis Date: September 5, 2025
Current Closing Price: 23,639.8 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4)
Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W
Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐
The NAS100 is at a critical technical juncture, testing a formidable resistance zone between 23,600 and 23,800. 📊 The index is in a clear long-term bullish trend but shows signs of short-term exhaustion after a powerful rally. This is a classic "make-or-break" level. A decisive breakout above 23,800 could ignite a new leg up towards 24,500, while a rejection here may trigger a significant corrective pullback towards 22,800. This analysis provides a roadmap for both intraday traders 🎯 and swing traders 📈.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍
1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart):
Primary Trend: 🟢 Bullish. Price is above all major Daily Moving Averages (200, 100, 50 EMA), which are aligned bullishly.
Short-Term Trend: 🟡 Bullish but Overextended. The rally has been near-vertical, suggesting the market is ripe for a pause or pullback.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories:
Resistance Confluence Zone 🧱: The current price is battling a massive resistance cluster. This zone includes:
A prior major swing high (Price Action Resistance).
The 127.2% and 161.8% Fibonacci extension levels from the last significant correction.
A potential Bullish Cypher pattern's Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: The rally from the last major low is best counted as a powerful Impulse Wave. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5 or a complex Wave 3 extension. This implies that while the trend is up, a larger Wave (4) correction is increasingly probable. Typical retracement targets for a Wave 4 are the 38.2% Fib level near 22,800.
Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is trading high above the Cloud on daily charts, confirming the strong bullish trend. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is also well above price, indicating sustained buying pressure. However, such extreme extensions often precede consolidation.
Gann Theory ⏳: The 23,600-23,800 area represents a key mathematical resistance zone. A daily close above this could open the path to the next Gann angle target.
3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance (R1): 23,800 - 24,000 (Key Psychological & Technical Ceiling) 🚨
Resistance (R2): 24,500 (Projected Target)
Current Closing Price: ~23,640
Support (S1): 23,200 - 23,400 (Immediate Support & 21-period EMA) ✅
Support (S2): 22,800 - 23,000 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & Prior Breakout Zone) 🛡️
Support (S3): 22,200 (200-Day EMA & 50% Fib)
4. Indicator Consensus:
RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is above 70 on both timeframes, signaling severely overbought conditions. 📛 This is a warning against chasing longs at these highs. A bearish divergence is forming on the 4H chart, hinting at weakening momentum.
Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is consistently riding the upper band, a sign of a strong trend. However, a move back towards the middle band (20-period SMA) is a common next step after such extensions.
Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is intact. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart (~23,400) is critical immediate support.
Volume & VWAP: Volume has been declining on the most recent push higher, a potential bearish divergence 📉 suggesting a lack of conviction at these highs.
Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯
A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts):
Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: This is the preferred setup given overbought conditions. Look for bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star 🌟) at or near the 23,800 resistance.
Entry: On confirmation of rejection.
Stop Loss: Tight, above 23,850.
Target: 23,400 (TP1), 23,200 (TP2).
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) ⬆️: If buyers overpower and we get a strong 1H close above 23,850, a momentum long could be viable.
Entry: On a small pullback to ~23,780 (re-test as support) or on the breakout.
Stop Loss: Below 23,650.
Target: 24,200 (TP1), 24,500 (TP2).
B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts):
Strategy: WAIT FOR A PULLBACK. The risk/reward for new long entries at this resistance is poor. 🚫 The optimal strategy is to wait for a healthy correction to key support zones to add long positions.
Ideal Long Zones: 23,200 (shallow pullback) or 22,800 (deeper correction). ✅
Bearish Risk: A daily close below 22,800 would signal a much deeper correction is likely underway, potentially targeting 22,200.
Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️
Key Risk Events: High-impact US economic data (e.g., NFP, CPI) and Fed policy announcements are paramount. 🔥 Any hawkish surprises could be the catalyst for a sharp tech-led selloff.
Position Sizing: The potential for increased volatility demands conservative risk management. Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade.
Conclusion: The NAS100 is bullish but exhausted. 🥴 The current resistance zone is a high-risk area for new longs and a high-probability area for a pullback. 🎯 Swing traders should be patient for a better entry. Intraday traders can play the range between 23,200 and 23,800 until a decisive break occurs. The overall trend remains up, but a period of consolidation or correction is the most probable outcome in the near term.
Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 22,800 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish below 23,200
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
For Those Trading PalantirPLTR has greatly accelerated it's growth trend lines. Right now PLTR is almost 3 years ahead of it's main long term trend line. What this means is upside potential is diminishing.
I see a lot of long charts for PLTR and wanted to share that support is actually at $134. So if you're a PLTR trader, looking to buy, that's the best area to do it.
If however you're looking to sell, then $230 is your spot.
I feel like people buying PLTR are playing a bit with fire as the fast gains are likely gone and eventually a return to the long term trend line is likely. I don't see that happening at least until IXCO runs into resistance, so until then $134 is the buy area.
Good luck!
Nasdaq 100 (US100) – Short Opportunity Still AliveThe Nasdaq is still showing weakness at it's current level. There’s been more than enough time and news to push this market higher – but nothing happened. That, in itself, is a strong signal.
What we’re seeing now:
Weak jobs data: ADP and JOLTS both came in soft. Job openings hit the lowest level in nearly a year. That boosted rate-cut hopes – but the Nasdaq didn’t move.
Tech underperformance: Broader markets found some strength, but tech keeps lagging behind. Nasdaq isn’t leading like it used to – that’s bearish.
China IPO risks: New Nasdaq restrictions on Chinese listings are adding pressure to overall tech sentiment.
No follow-through: Even with dovish expectations and weak macro, bulls can’t lift the index. That says a lot.
Trade Setup (based on the chart):
Entry: between 23,480 and 23,520
Stop Loss: above 23,600 or if not high leverage even 23,720
Targets:
T1: 23,250
T2: 23,000
T3: will update depending on momentum
Why this short still makes sense:
The Nasdaq had multiple bullish triggers – weak data, Fed expectations, soft dollar – and didn’t move.
Sentiment is shaky, buyers aren’t stepping in.
Tech remains heavy while other sectors rotate.
Price is stalling right at resistance after a weak bounce.
Summary:
Plenty of chances to break out – but nothing happened. That’s a red flag.
I’m shorting between 23,480 and 23,520, with targets at 23,250 and 23,000.
Setup is invalid if we break cleanly above 23,720.
No financial advice – just how I see the chart right now.
S&P | KEY RESISTANCE | GTradingMethodHello traders!
Has the S&P finally met its match?
Is this just a retest… or the beginning of a much deeper move?
- Broke diagonal support earlier this year
- Retesting previous support now
- Potential daily double top forming
If the retest holds, it’s a long way down… 📉
What are your thoughts? Keen to hear them :)
Signing off
G
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & Distribution into new HighsMarket Context
BTC is currently printing a series of higher lows, which signals a bullish underlying trend despite short-term volatility. Each dip has been defended, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier with every pullback. This type of structure often builds the foundation for an eventual breakout higher.
Consolidation Phase
After the strong bounce from recent lows, price has moved into a tight consolidation range. This is a classic "cooling-off" period where liquidity builds up and traders wait for direction. Consolidations at this stage often precede expansion moves, and the side that breaks tends to dictate the next wave of momentum.
Bullish Fair Value Gap & Fakeout
Just below the consolidation lies a Bullish Fair Value Gap. Price may fake out to the downside into this zone, trapping breakout sellers and filling imbalance before reclaiming levels. This setup is particularly interesting because the higher-timeframe structure still favors the bulls, making the FVG a potential springboard for continuation.
Distribution into New Highs
If the FVG reacts as expected, the next phase would likely be distribution into new highs. That means clearing out liquidity above the consolidation and targeting the next round of upside expansion. In this scenario, the higher lows, the fakeout trap, and the FVG all align to fuel the breakout.
Final Thoughts
The higher-low structure gives this setup a bullish tilt, but the real clue will come from how price behaves around the Fair Value Gap. A clean reaction there could be the trigger for a sharp push into new highs.
If this breakdown gave you clarity on the structure, a like would be appreciated — and drop your thoughts in the comments. Do you expect the fakeout into the FVG, or are you positioned differently?
S&P500 | Daily Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’ve opened a short on the cash500 (S&P 500) at 6521. All GTradingMethod variables have been met, which means this trade setup qualifies under my system.
Additional confluences suggesting weaker buying strength include:
- RSI making lower highs while price pushed higher highs.
- Volume tapering off toward the latter part of the rally.
- MACD on sell signal
The only hesitation is that money flows have not decreased in the later stages of this move — but rules are rules. My edge is probability-based, so when my variables align, I must take the trade consistently.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 9.2
Entry price = 6520
Stop loss price = 6544
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 6370
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 6215
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
A high RR doesn’t make a trade safer — it simply reflects how far the market could move relative to your risk. Always focus on process and probability, not just the potential payout.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Russel 2000 | H4 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
Since April 2025, this rally has been powering higher, leaving little room for pullbacks. But momentum is starting to show cracks — indicators are flashing signs of exhaustion. This doesn’t mean a sharp drop is guaranteed; markets often pause and drift sideways to shake off overbought pressure.
What I’m watching closely now is whether a head and shoulders pattern takes shape. If price steps into and closes in my entry zone, it could mark the start of a deeper pullback, but confirmation is key before jumping in.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
Entry: 2,359.6
Stop Loss: 2,379.7
Take Profit 1 (50%): 2,292.9
Take Profit 2 (50%): 2,258.7
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation keeps you aligned with probability and protects you from unnecessary losses.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Nasdaq - Preparing for another correction!🚔Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to look weak:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed an incredible rally on the Nasdaq. Following this previous price action, it is quite likely that we will soon see another correction. This could start with the current retest of the channel resistance trendline.
📝Levels to watch:
$23.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Fed cut odds hit 97% ahead of Friday’s jobs report Markets are waiting for Friday’s U.S. NFP jobs report, which could heavily influence the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates.
Traders want a result that supports the case for rate cuts but doesn’t raise fears of a weakening economy. The ADP private payrolls report showed 54,000 new jobs in August. Stocks moved higher on the news, as wall street saw the number as weak enough for the Fed to cut rates in September, but not so weak that it signals a recession.
According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, there is now a 97% chance the Fed will lower rates when it meets in two weeks.
Nasdaq 100 Holds Pivot Zone 23,280–23,360USNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 reversed from the 23,045 support highlighted yesterday and is now trading above the pivot zone at 23,280–23,360.
Technical Outlook:
📈 Bullish scenario: As long as price holds above 23,280–23,360, upside momentum may extend toward 23,510 → 23,620 → 23,720. A confirmed breakout above 23,770 would strengthen the bullish trend and open the path to a new ATH near 24,090.
📉 Bearish scenario: On the downside, failure to hold above 23,280 would expose 23,045, with full bearish confirmation only if the index stabilizes below 22,990, targeting 22,720.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 23,510 – 23,620 – 23,720
Support: 23,280 – 23,045 – 22,720
F&G Annuities & Life Inc — Insider Activity ReportSergio Richi Premium ✅
NYSE:FG — F&G Annuities & Life Inc (NASDAQ:FG) Insider Activity Report | Financial | Insurance-Life |USA | NASDAQ | September 04, 2025.
Price (Sept 4, 2025) : $34.99
Insider Activity
CEO Chris Blunt just bought 7,000 shares at $34.02 on Sept 2. That pushes his 2025 insider buys to $2.5M+. No insider sales on record. When the CEO keeps writing checks into weakness, that’s conviction you don’t ignore.
(SEC Form 4)
www.sec.gov
1. Company Overview
FG is a life insurance and annuities player, majority-owned by Fidelity National Financial. Core business: retirement security through annuities, life insurance, and pension risk transfers. Rising rates have juiced demand for fixed-index annuities. Q2 revenue: $1.35B (+12.6% YoY), with sales momentum accelerating.
Dividend just bumped to $0.22/share (2.5% yield).
2. The Setup
• Stock is down ~15% YTD but holding a strong base near $34 support.
• Heavy institutional ownership (95.71%) and recent inflows from funds like BlackRock, DFA, and Millennium.
• Catalysts ahead: Q3 earnings in November, sector tailwinds from higher-for-longer rates, and annuity demand from aging demographics.
Charts:
• (1D)
Insider Trades:
FG seasonality:
FG Hedge Fund Flows:
FG Ownership:
3. The Trade:
Entry : $34–35
🎯 Take Profit 1: $40.85 (+16.75%)
🎯 Take Profit 2: $43.70 (+24.89%)
My View
The CEO is doubling down, institutions are scaling in, and fundamentals are firm. Risk/reward skews bullish — I see a 16–25% move higher as the base case, with upside surprise if annuity sales keep beating.
XAU/USD | Gold Breaks $3500 – New ATH Hit! What’s Next?By analyzing the gold chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that today, gold finally managed to print a new All-Time High (ATH)! As anticipated, price broke above $3500 and rallied up to $3508, hitting our previous bullish target and sweeping the liquidity resting above the key $3500 level.
After reaching $3508, gold entered a correction phase, dropping to $3470, but quickly bounced back and climbed to $3494. At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3478, showing a bearish reaction — but it's best to wait and see whether price gets rejected again from this level or not.
If gold is to undergo a deeper correction, the next potential downside targets are $3465, $3454, and $3420. This analysis will be updated — stay tuned for more confirmations from the market!
MY LATEST ANALYSIS :
BTC - Perfect Bullish SetupPrice Action Breakdown
After running the lows with a clear Sell Side Liquidity Sweep, BTC quickly reversed and printed a Market Structure Shift (MSS). This marked the first real sign that the market might be ready to transition from weakness into strength.
Retracement Zone
Price is now retracing into a very interesting area — the overlap of a Bullish Fair Value Gap, an IFVG, and the Golden Pocket. When multiple imbalances and Fibonacci levels line up like this, it often builds a high-probability zone where institutions look to re-accumulate positions before the next move higher.
Upside Target
If this area holds and buyers step in, the next logical draw on liquidity sits above Buy Side Liquidity. That pool of stops acts like a magnet, and with the prior lows already cleaned, the path of least resistance could be higher.
Invalidation
On the other hand, a failure to hold inside the Golden Pocket would weaken this bullish narrative. A clean break below the sweep low would suggest that this rebound was only temporary relief before further downside.
Final Thoughts
This setup is all about how price reacts inside the retracement zone. If we see strength here, the run toward Buy Side Liquidity is very much in play. If not, patience will pay, as deeper levels will likely come into focus.
What’s your take — do you see this zone holding, or are you expecting another flush?
Gold | 15min Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
There’s a potential head and shoulders pattern forming on the 15-minute chart. Gold broke to a new high yesterday, and a healthy breakout often comes with a retest before continuing higher.
This 15-minute head and shoulders could signal that retest — or potentially lead to a deeper correction.
One of the variables I will be looking for is lower volume on the right shoulder.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 3.3
Entry price = 3 536.3
Stop loss price = 3 543.5
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 3 516.8
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 3 506
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patterns can provide an edge, but waiting for confirmation helps you avoid false signals and emotional decisions.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co — September 02, 2025Sergio Richi Premium ✅
NASDAQ:SHEN — Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (NASDAQ:SHEN) Insider Activity Report | Communication Services | Telecom Services |USA | NASDAQ | September 02, 2025.
Price (Sept 2, 2025) : $12.95
Insider Activity
ECP ControlCo, a 10% owner tied to Energy Capital Partners, has been steadily loading up on SHEN since May. From late May through August 29, they picked up 864K+ shares worth over $11M, pushing their stake above 3.3M shares (~6.1% of the float). The buying wasn’t symbolic—this is real money, consistently deployed on a stock that’s been under pressure.
(SEC Form 4)
www.sec.gov
(SEC Form 4)
www.sec.gov
1. Company Overview
Shenandoah Telecommunications (Shentel) runs fiber broadband, video, and voice services across Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. Its flagship brand Glo Fiber is expanding fast, with 40%+ YoY revenue growth. Q2 2025 showed revenue at $88.6M (+3.2% YoY), with adjusted EBITDA up 21.9%. Despite a small net loss, the operating trend is improving.
Market cap sits just over $700M, with insiders holding ~11% and institutions ~65%.
2. Why It Matters
• Fiber-to-the-home growth is the story: Q2 Glo Fiber up 40.5%.
• Rural broadband subsidies add a tailwind.
• Institutional inflows are showing up: Southeastern Asset Mgmt (+151%), Longleaf (+151%), RBC (+184%), Two Sigma (+119%), Invesco (+104%).
• Short interest is modest (~4.4% float).
Charts:
• (3W)
Insider Trades:
SHEN seasonality:
SHEN Hedge Fund Flows:
SHEN Ownership:
3. The setup:
SHEN has been trading heavy but looks like it found a floor around $13. Insider conviction plus institutional inflows give me confidence this is a buy-the-weakness play.
Entry : $12.95–$13.35
🎯 Take Profit 1: $16.70 (+29%)
🎯 Take Profit 2: $28.00 (+116%)
My Take
Insiders are writing 8-figure checks into a depressed tape, institutions are scaling in, and fiber growth is compounding.
Nasdaq Computer sector & Nasdaq nearing pullback areaNasdaq Computer (IXCO) Is nearing pullback territory (23,717 resistance). IXCO being the largest sector in Nasdaq (IXIC) means the composite index, now that it's over previous resistance, is also looking for a pullback into support (20,160).
It's possible IXCO will break resistance next year and if that happens whatever gains are made will be lost on an eventual drop back into support.
If you have call options on NVDA or other tech companies closing them when IXCO hits 23,717 is highly advisable. If it hits there around this January it could be 2 years before IXCO resumes the uptrend past 23,717. Calls will likely get destroyed during this time.
Another note is lots of tech IPOs are occurring this year with lofty valuations. When this IXCO pullback comes they are likely to get hit hard. It's a great opportunity to short or wait to buy up the ones you like when the pullback is over.
As always good luck and try your best to avoid getting into new tech related trades as this year ends. It's going to be a great idea to have cash ready next year.
Atlassian Corporation — September 02, 2025Sergio Richi Premium ✅
NASDAQ:TEAM #AtlassianCorporation — Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM) Insider Activity Report | Technology | Software - Application | USA | NASDAQ | September 02, 2025.
Price (Sept 2, 2025) : $172.66
On August 28, Director Scott Belsky bought 1,455 shares at $173.00 (~$252K). This is his first disclosed purchase. Unlike CEO sales under pre-arranged 10b5-1 plans, this was an open-market buy—at levels that insiders view as undervalued following strong FY25 results.
(SEC Form 4)
www.sec.gov
1. Company Profile / Overview:
Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ: TEAM) is a global leader in enterprise collaboration and productivity software. Its flagship products include Jira, Confluence, Trello, and Bitbucket, serving more than 300,000 organizations worldwide.
Atlassian’s strategy is anchored in:
• Cloud transition – shifting its massive install base from on-prem to recurring cloud revenues.
• AI integration – with over 2.3 million active AI users and a strategic partnership with Google Cloud to scale adoption.
• Enterprise expansion – record multi-million-dollar contracts, deeper penetration into Fortune 500.
• Financial strength – FY25 revenue hit $5.22B (+19.7% YoY), with cloud revenue up 26%. Free cash flow reached $1.4B, giving the company flexibility for reinvestment and M&A.
Insiders own ~37% of the stock, institutions ~53%—a rare alignment of interests between management and Wall Street.
2. Institutional Flows (Q2 2025):
• FMR (Fidelity): +74%
• D.E. Shaw: +321%
• Two Sigma: +285%
• Vanguard: +2.6% (largest holder at 17.4M shares)
Net effect: significant inflows despite a -30% YTD drawdown.
Charts:
• (2W)
TEAM seasonality:
TEAM Hedge Fund Flows:
TEAM Ownership:
3. The setup:
TEAM has defended the $170 support zone. Belsky’s buy at $173 validates this level as institutional demand. A breakout above $190 could accelerate momentum, with the next resistance in the $220–235 range.
Entry : $172–173
🎯 Take Profit 1: $235 (+36.1%)
🎯 Take Profit 2: $273 (+58.0%)
Insider conviction, institutional accumulation, and strong AI/Cloud fundamentals line up with a bullish long-term setup. Risk/reward skews heavily to the upside. I’m targeting +36–58% upside in the next 6–12 months as TEAM extends its global uptrend.