Netflix (NFLX) - Elliott Wave Map to $25K📘 Netflix (NFLX) – The Final Act of Supercycle Wave III, Setting the Stage for Wave V to $25,000+
Symbol: NASDAQ:NFLX
Timeframe: Monthly
Published: October 2025
Current Price: ~$1,120
Framework: Elliott Wave | Fibonacci Extensions | Price Action | Smart Money Concepts (SMC) | Fundamentals
🔍 Structural Overview – Supercycle Journey
Netflix has been moving through a multi-decade Elliott Wave supercycle that began in the early 2000s. This structural roadmap is now approaching the final phase of Wave III, before setting up for a corrective Wave IV and ultimately a euphoric Wave V.
Supercycle Wave I completed in January 2004 — a powerful impulse that marked Netflix’s transition into a mainstream tech-growth story.
Supercycle Wave II followed, completing in 2008 with a healthy 50% retracement. This wave set the long-term demand foundation and concluded right as the global financial crisis unfolded.
We are now in Supercycle Wave III, which began in 2008 and is currently in its final macro wave — the most dynamic phase of the entire structure.
⚙️ Breakdown of Supercycle Wave III (2008–2026 est.)
Wave III itself subdivides into five clear macro waves, each respecting Fibonacci and structural principles:
Macro Wave 1 ran from the 2008 bottom into mid-2011, kickstarting the secular bull trend.
Macro Wave 2 ended in 2012 with a textbook 0.618 Fibonacci retracement , a classic sign of wave-based correction.
Macro Wave 3 , the most explosive move of the cycle, lasted until 2018 and terminated near a 2.618 Fibonacci extension — a key confluence area and institutional distribution point.
Macro Wave 4 then corrected from 2018 to 2022. However, this retracement was shallow, bouncing from the 0.236 level — preserving long-term bullish market structure and confirming continued institutional control.
We are currently in Macro Wave 5 of Supercycle III . This leg is itself subdividing into five micro waves. Micro waves 1, 2, and 3 have already completed. Micro Wave 4 is now unfolding and is expected to bottom inside the Golden Pocket — the critical Fibonacci zone between approximately $771 and $548 .
Once Micro Wave 4 completes, Micro Wave 5 will initiate. This final thrust is expected to target the region near $7,447 — the 2.618 extension from prior waves. This level aligns with structural channel tops and institutional profit zones. It would also mark the formal completion of Supercycle Wave III .
🧭 What Comes Next: Supercycle Wave IV and V
After Wave III completes at the ~$7,44 7 area, a significant correction is expected.
Supercycle Wave IV will be the most complex corrective structure since 2008 — possibly multi-year, combining flat, zig-zag, or triangle formations. This wave will likely retrace a large portion of Wave III and reset sentiment across the broader market.
But this correction is not the end — it’s the setup.
Supercycle Wave V will emerge from the Wave IV base and drive Netflix into its ultimate secular top . Based on the Fibonacci 4.618 extension from the base of the cycle, Wave V is projected to reach the $24,774 to $25,332 range.
This would be the euphoric blow-off move where fundamentals, monetary policy, and sentiment combine to form a parabolic top — consistent with historical market cycle conclusions.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence Zones
Each major wave has respected key Fibonacci ratios . Wave II retraced to 0.50, Wave III extended to 2.618, and Wave IV retraced to 0.236. Current projections place Wave V near the 4.618 extension level — a historically significant threshold for secular tops.
The current Micro Wave 4 pullback is unfolding into the Golden Pocket zone — the 0.618–0.65 retracement range — which has repeatedly served as the institutional reaccumulation zone across prior waves.
🧠 Smart Money Behavior
Smart Money Concepts further validate this wave count:
In 2018 , we saw classic signs of institutional distribution at the top of Macro Wave 3 — including high-volume price exhaustion, deviation from trend, and liquidity sweeps.
Between 2018 and 2022, accumulation returned during Wave 4, as institutional players re-entered at discounted levels and retested key demand blocks .
The 2022 breakout into Macro Wave 5 has been efficient, clean, and impulsive — with minimal resistance and wide-range bullish candles, signaling continued institutional participation.
The current Wave 4 micro correction may again serve as a liquidity grab — offering another accumulation window before the final markup toward the $7,447 zone.
🔍 Netflix Fundamentals – Fueling the Cycle
Netflix's fundamentals are now structurally aligned with the technical setup:
Diversified Monetization:
The shift from pure subscription to a multi-layered model (ad-supported tiers, gaming, IP licensing, live events) is broadening both revenues and engagement.
Ad-Supported Growth:
Netflix’s advertising business is scaling rapidly, offering higher ARPU and access to price-sensitive users — a major tailwind for Wave V.
Global Expansion:
With strong localization strategies, Netflix continues to dominate key international markets, boosting user stickiness and content ROI.
Strong Financials:
Consistent free cash flow, improving margins, and disciplined content spend are creating a sustainable growth engine.
These dynamics are not just supporting price — they are helping to drive the type of institutional confidence needed for Wave V to materialize.
🎯 Strategic Levels and Outlook
Watch the Golden Pocket between $771–$548 — this is the high-probability completion zone for Micro Wave 4.
Once Micro Wave 5 begins, price is expected to rally toward $7,447 — the projected top of Supercycle Wave III.
After a broad correction during Wave IV, the final Wave V is projected to target $24,774 to $25,332 — where the entire super-cycle would culminate.
🔚 Final Word
Netflix is moving through the final stages of a 20-year Supercycle Wave III — one of the strongest impulsive phases in equity history. The micro pullback underway now is not a sign of weakness, but a preparation for the final push.
Wave IV will offer the last major reset before a euphoric Wave V redefines valuations. If the fundamental narrative continues to align, the $25K target is not speculative — it’s structural.
📘 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management.
#NFLX #Netflix #NASDAQ #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #WaveTheory #Fibonacci #Supercycle #PriceAction #LongTermInvestment
💬 Respected traders and analysts!
Your insights matter. Share your views, confirmations, or constructive criticism in the comments below. Let’s build a high-quality discussion around Netflix’s structural evolution and long-term investment context.
— Team FIBCOS
Nasdaq
ARM Holdings : First Long AttemptWhen I asked ChatGPT what Arm does for someone who is not in the chip industry or an electronics engineer, chatgpt gave a very nice answer:
"“A linguist who designed the world’s operating language.”
We're very close to the earnings date. (5 november 2025)
A target price between 200 and 230 is reasonable, but a sharp rise or fall is possible on earnings day.
Whether 230 should be maintained initially or whether a downgrade to the 200 target price will be determined then.
Arm Holdings has subsidiaries in China, making it a giant affected by the US-China trade war.
Reasonable position sizing should be made with this in mind.
We're above the 200 moving average on the 4-hour chart.
ATR % shows that relatively decreasing volatility can experience sharp increases in a short time.
(Not price , volatility )
First, let's try a target of 230 based on a Risk/Reward ratio of 3.
Parameters:
Stop-Loss : 137.5 ( or close under 137.5 )
Risk/Reward Ratio : 3.00
Take-Profit Level : 230.00
As I mentioned above, earnings or other developments can trigger a rapid stop-loss. Therefore, a small position is ideal for this trade.
Regards.
Update for UPS: Should go up to 100 level.This is an updated chart for NYSE:UPS Trade Idea that was posted few days ago.
If you got in the Buy, make sure to manage your trade and lets wait market to go a bit more higher, give us a correction/pullback for another push up towards 100 level.
WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Netflix: Key Support Zone in sightNetflix shares have continued to decline since our last update. We have now provided additional detail on the ongoing turquoise wave 4, which is subdivided into a magenta three-part structure. Within this structure, wave is expected to push price further down into the turquoise Target Zone, between $962.77 and $845.22. The low point of the larger wave 4 is anticipated within this range. Only after reaching this level should wave 5 drive price back above the $1,341 mark. As such, the turquoise Target Zone presents long entry opportunities, which can be protected with a stop set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone. However, if price rises directly above the aforementioned resistance at $1,341, our alternative scenario would be triggered, and we would initially need to prepare for a higher wave alt.3 top (probability: 30%).
Boeing (BA) – Final Leg of Macro Bull Run✈️ Boeing (BA) – Final Leg of Macro Bull Run | Wave 5 to 1.618 Extension ($1200) 🚀
📅 Timeframe: Monthly (Macro Cycle Outlook)
📍 Current Price: $217
🎯 Wave 5 Target : ~$1200 (1.618 Extension)
🌀 Wave Theory Structure
Boeing appears to be entering Wave 5 of a long-term Elliott Wave cycle:
✅ Wave 1: Multi-decade rise until the early 2000s
✅ Wave 2: Complex correction (W–X–Y) into 2009 lows
✅ Wave 3: Powerful rally through 2019, completed with an extended 5-wave subdivision
✅ Wave 4: A large-scale triangle correction (ABCDE) — now completed, as price has broken structure upward
🚀 Wave 5: Projected move toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (~$1200) from the 1–3 wave distance
This is a textbook impulsive wave structure playing out on the monthly macro scale — with a final bullish leg now unfolding.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
Wave 2 retraced ~0.236 of Wave 1 (shallow, bullish corrective behavior)
Wave 4 retraced ~0.5 of Wave 3 — typical for triangle patterns and expanded flats
Wave 5 target at 1.618 Fib extension measured from Wave 1–3 aligns around $1200 , completing the 5-wave macro cycle 🔺
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔹 Accumulation Phase (2020–2024): After COVID crash and multi-year consolidation, price has shown strong accumulation characteristics
🔹 Final Sweep of Lows (E leg) flushed out late longs and retail stops before institutional re-entry
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) confirms transition from reaccumulation to markup phase 📈
🔹 Price is now in a reprice phase — a classic SMC trait where value is rapidly adjusted after institutional positioning completes
📊 Price Action Analysis
Bullish breakout from triangle structure
Monthly higher low established at E-wave base
Strong bullish candle from demand zone — early confirmation of trend continuation
Break above $260 would open clean skies toward the next major resistance at ATH ($446) and beyond 🧭
💼 Fundamental Outlook
Boeing is regaining strength after multiple challenging years:
✈️ Rebound in global aviation demand
📦 Growing defense & aerospace contracts amid rising geopolitical tensions
💰 Expected recovery in cash flows, backlog, and profitability
🌐 Expansion in space and unmanned systems (future growth verticals)
Although regulatory and delivery risks remain, Boeing’s turnaround story is gathering steam — aligning with the technical forecast of Wave 5 acceleration.
🔍 Summary
Boeing is entering what could be the final and most explosive leg (Wave 5) of its macro Elliott Wave cycle. Key confluences include:
✅ Elliott Wave triangle completion
✅ Fibonacci 1.618 extension to ~$1200
✅ Institutional accumulation confirmed
✅ Price Action breakout from multi-year structure
✅ Improving long-term fundamentals
This setup favors long-term swing positions , with pullbacks offering buying opportunities until the final cycle target is approached. 🧠📈
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk responsibly. 🛡️
#Boeing #BA #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Fibonacci #Wave5 #TriangleBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermInvestment #MacroTrading #StockMarket #BullishOutlook #Aerospace #WaveTheory #SwingTrading #AviationRecovery #FibonacciTargets #TradingStrategy
BlackRock (BLK) – Wave 3 in Motion📢 BlackRock (BLK) – Wave 3 in Motion | Institutional Strength + Fibonacci 3.618 Target Ahead 💥
📅 Timeframe : Monthly (Long-term Outlook)
📍 Current Price: $1,130
🎯 Wave 3 Target: ~$3,710 (3.618 Fibonacci Extension)
🧭 Structure: Wave 3 of a larger 5-wave cycle in progress
🌀 Wave Theory Confluence
BlackRock is currently unfolding a strong impulsive structure as part of a long-term Elliott Wave cycle:
Wave 1: The early-stage rally from 2000 to 2007
Wave 2: A textbook 0.382 Fibonacci retracement during the 2008 financial crisis
Wave 3: The current wave, extended and projected to reach 3.618x the Wave 1 length (~$3,710) — a typical signature of a strong institutional-driven Wave 3 impulse ⚡
Wave 4 & 5: Projected after this major expansion, with intermediate corrections expected
This fractal symmetry suggests BLK is nowhere near a cycle top yet , with significant upside potential over the next several years 📈
📐 Fibonacci Levels & Projections
🔹 Wave 2 respected the 0.382 retracement , a classic spot for shallow corrections during strong trends
🔹 Wave 3 Extension Target sits at 3.618 — ~$3,710 — backed by both Fibonacci math and historical wave behavior
🔹 Mid-channel resistance may create short-term corrections before final push to the target
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
✅ Reaccumulation Phases: Price consolidations in 2015–2016 and 2022–2023 reflect institutional reloading zones, not distribution
✅ BOS (Break of Structure): Recent break above 2021 ATH confirms new markup phase 🔥
✅ No major supply zones above, indicating price could expand freely until price discovery finds new resistance closer to the projected 3.618 extension
📊 Price Action Analysis
Clean higher highs and higher lows on the monthly chart
Large-bodied bullish candles show strong trend momentum
Minor corrections respecting prior resistance-turned-support zones = confirmation of demand ✅
Breakout from compression range suggests volatility expansion and strong directional bias
💼 Fundamental Tailwinds
BlackRock remains the world’s largest asset manager , positioned at the heart of global capital flows:
AUM over $9T 📦
Massive institutional & ETF exposure (iShares)
Strong penetration into passive investing & ESG funds
Beneficiary of rate cut cycles and equity bull markets
Strategic leadership in tokenized assets, AI-enhanced portfolio management , and climate investing
These macro and innovation-driven tailwinds align with the explosive potential of Wave 3 , fueled by both capital inflows and earnings expansion 🧮
🎯 Summary
BlackRock is in a textbook macro Wave 3 expansion , with all signs aligning:
✅ Elliott Wave Impulse
✅ Fibonacci Extension to 3.618
✅ Institutional Accumulation Confirmed
✅ Price Action Breakout
✅ Rock-solid Fundamentals
A correction (Wave 4) may develop later around or after $3,700 — but for now, the path of least resistance remains up . Long-term investors and swing traders should monitor retracements for potential add-on positions before price enters Wave 5 later in the decade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🛡️
#BlackRock #BLK #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #WaveTheory #InstitutionalTrading #SwingTrade #LongTerm #StockMarket #AssetManagement #Breakout #Wave3 #BullishOutlook #Fundamentals #TradingStrategy #MacroView
SYM 1D - AI with a real upgrade?Symbotic Inc. shows a clean setup: after a strong rally and breakout from a triangle, the stock is now retesting the $68–70 support zone. The 50-day moving average aligns perfectly here, strengthening the buyers’ defense.
If this level holds, the bullish structure stays intact. The first target sits around $79.50, and the second - at $97.63, matching the prior measured move. A dip below $68 could trigger a deeper pullback toward $62 before buyers regroup.
On the fundamental side, Symbotic keeps expanding its robotic warehouse automation systems - a sector still booming thanks to the AI wave. After a 100%+ rally this year, the stock deserves a coffee break before the next sprint.
Tactical plan: watch $69 carefully - if buyers defend, the uptrend continues; if not, give the robots a reboot and wait for the next entry.
HIMX 1D - eyes back on the screen?Himax Technologies is shaping a strong setup: after breaking above the downtrend line, the stock is now retesting the $8.70–$9.00 support zone, aligning perfectly with previous resistance and short-term EMAs. It’s a textbook breakout + retest situation.
All moving averages (MA/EMA/SMA) are below the price, confirming that buyers are in control. The bullish targets are set at $10.41 and $12.49. As long as the $8.70 level holds, the uptrend scenario stays valid.
On the fundamental side, Himax remains a key player in display driver ICs, particularly for AR/VR and automotive applications. With the growing adoption of smart displays and head-up tech, the stock could light up again.
Tactical plan: watch $8.7–9.0 carefully. If buyers hold the line - it’s showtime. If not - let the chip cool down before the next rally.
NASDAQ Short There is a lot of resistance, as it is at an all-time high and is unable to break this level
There are 2 patterns on M15 and M30 showing a potential reversal zone
This is against the H4 trend; however, it is overbought on H1
RSI is showing strong divergence with a triple top on H1
Stoploss above 21300
First target 24870 or when M15 is oversold
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Wait For Valid Buys! #nasdaq Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ had ranged last week, but had a bullish end on Friday. I suspect we may see some continuation to the upside this week.
Wait for confirmation before taking valid buys setups.
I don't see a reason to look for sells. A bearish break of market structure would be a good reason.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Will the second scenario come true? |October 17 2025Based on the evidence, price action, and fundamental news, it seems the second scenario is about to play out.
The Nasdaq index turned positive after recovering its losses when Trump responded “No” to a question about whether he would maintain the heavy tariffs on China.
From today, my outlook is bullish until the previous high gets hunted — after that, I’ll reassess whether we’re likely to see further downside or if the bullish outlook should remain.
If market conditions shift and a continuation of the downtrend becomes more likely, we can take a solid short position next week to catch the move.
But for now, my bias is bullish, and the second scenario will likely play out.
If price reaches the second high I marked in blue, we’ll probably see a reaction from that zone.
If I open a trade, I’ll share it with you.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
US30 index violated a major horizontal resistance yesterday.
The price started a correctional movement then, steadily
falling within a bullish flag pattern.
A breakout of its resistance line is a strong bullish signal.
Odds will be high, the index will hit 46900 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Tuesday, Oct 21st Weekly Forecast UPDATES!Welcome to the Weekly Forecast Updates!
In this video, we will analyze the following markets: DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NASDAQ, S&P500
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TSLA – Sideways Accumulation Phase Ahead of Major NewsTesla’s stock is currently showing a stable sideways movement around the 430–445 USD range as the market awaits the company’s Q3 earnings report (on October 22).
Recent news reflects cautious investor sentiment , especially after ISS recommended rejecting Elon Musk’s massive compensation package and amid forecasts suggesting a slight decline in Q3 profits.
On the 4-hour chart, TSLA continues to maintain a medium-term uptrend, with prices oscillating around the EMA34 and EMA89, which act as equilibrium zones.
The 432 USD area remains the main support, while 493 USD stands as a key resistance level.
The chart indicates a high likelihood that the price will continue sideways within this range until the market reacts more clearly after the earnings release.
Summary
Currently, TSLA is in an accumulation phase , reflecting a tug-of-war between expectations of increased production and concerns over profit margin pressures.
In the short term, the trend is expected to remain sideways with a slight bullish bias, awaiting a potential breakout driven by the upcoming earnings announcement.
The 3 KEYS to Trading SUCCESSToday we will discuss about the 3 Keys I believe are required for succeeding in trading.
When you enter into the trading field, you quickly understand that it’s not just about charts and setups — it’s about mastering yourself mentally.
There are 3 keys that separate those who last from those who don’t in Trading:
( 1 ) Psychology
( 2 ) Risk Management
( 3 ) Consistency
Every single one is equally important, but how you balance them determines your long-term outcome when trading.
1 ) Psychology — Master Your Mind Before You Master the Market
Trading, the mental game disguised as a financial one displaying 1s and 0s winners and losers. The market, the charts, the currency, they do not care who you are, what you think, or how badly you want to win.
It simply exposes your strengths and weaknesses in the world of psychology .
Most traders lose, this is not because they lack knowledge, but because they cannot control their emotions, feelings — fear of losing, fear of missing out, greed after a win, hesitation after a loss, anxiety, frustration, impatience.
Every emotional outburst leads to poor decision-making: closing early, revenge trading, over-leveraging, or ignoring your plan, right after you told yourself you were going to lock in and turn $100 into $1000000.
To master psychology:
( 1 ) Detach from the outcomes/end-result. Focus on executing well, not whether a trade wins or loses. Follow your plan.
( 2 ) Think of probability. Every setup, every trade must have an edge — not a guarantee.
( 3 ) Accept losses as part of the process. Losses are tuition fees in this business. Every loss is a win, because there is a lesson to be learned.
( 4 ) Stay grounded. Journaling, mindfulness, and post-trade reflection go a long way. Keep track of trades and review them during down time.
When your mindset stabilizes, when your thoughts are calm, your trading skills become consistent. The charts don’t change — you do.
In terms of training your mindset, see my previous post below which explains the difference between a Trader and Gambler. This is an excellent article for those who want to BECOME a trader.
2. Risk Management — Protect Before You Profit
If psychology keeps your calm, risk management keeps you alive.
This is the part most traders skip — until they learn the hard way and blow their own capital, or 10 fundeds in a row.
Your number one job as a trader is not to make money. It’s to protect capital so you can focus on staying in the game long enough for your strategy and edge to play out well.
Practical risk rules:
( 1 ) Never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade. (If you do, you increase the emotions of greed)
( 2 ) Always know your max loss before entering — no guessing, if you do not? Your loss, your fault.
( 3 ) Use stop-losses logically, not emotionally. Set them at resistances or supports. Key levels.
( 4 ) Avoid over-leveraging. Leverage magnifies both wins and mistakes. Higher the leverage, higher the risk.
( 5 ) Don’t chase. Missed trades are better than blown accounts. Record them down and log emotions.
Good risk management doesn’t make you rich overnight — but poor risk management will make you broke instantly .
You don’t need huge wins to grow; you just need small, controlled losses and consistent execution throughout your trading journey.
3. Consistency — Discipline Over Drama
Consistency is the glue that holds everything together, risk management to Psychology.
It’s easy to stick to your plan for a week; but it is hard to do it for months without deviation and drifts. But that’s exactly what separates traders who make it from those who burn out.
Consistency means:
( 1 ) Showing up daily, sticking to a fixed plan of study, back testing, assessing.
( 2 ) Following your trading plan with discipline.
( 3 ) Reviewing your trades honestly — both wins and losses. (Are YOU doing THIS?)
( 4 ) Avoiding impulsive changes just because of one bad day. Take a break if the loss affects you badly.
Progress in trading is slow and often invisible. You might not notice improvements week to week but look back after six months of focused consistency — and you’ll realize how far you have come. Remember, slow and steady wins the race. This is a game of Tortoise v Rabbit. Push fast and hard and you will make mistakes – be slow and steady and you will win the race.
Stepping back to view the bigger picture
Trading success isn’t luck — it’s the result of compound discipline, calculated trades and timing.
( 1 ) Psychology gives you control.
( 2 ) Risk management gives you longevity.
( 3 ) Consistency gives you results.
When you align all three, everything starts to click.
You don’t need to master the market — just master your mindset, your risk, and your routine . The profits follow naturally.
Thank you all so much for Reading. I hope this post becomes beneficial to you!
NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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$REPL - Replimune Group - $6.42 Consolidation Re-Entry? $12.50PTNASDAQ:REPL broke out of a long term Descending Wedge it's been trading in since the beginning of Feb 2025, breaking out to $8.36. It wasn't able to find support on the $8.13 and if it can't hold the $7.72, we will be looking for a re-entry into the trade around the $6.42 Levels of Support for a potential $8.13 RT/Break providing a $12.50 PT if we break through the $10.39s.
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
SPX | DAILY ANALYSIS #6Hello and welcome back to DP.
Let’s kick off the weekday together by analyzing the **S&P 500 Index (SPX)**.
🟠 Market Overview
Previous Close: 6692.50
Current Daily Range: 6678.00 – 6705.80
Asia Session High: 6705.80
Asia Session Low: 6678.00
The index has seen significant selling pressure over the past week. She broke below the previous demand zone at 6715–6700, forming a new demand zone between 6680–6665.
This could suggest:
* Sellers are gaining momentum, OR
* Short positions were liquidated to make room for new entries.
🔵 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zone (Upside Target):
6711 – A break and hold above this level could lead to a test of 6735 and potentially new highs near 6755.
Support Zone (Blue Box):
6680 – 6665 – This is a critical support zone.
If broken, we may see the index fall toward:
First Support (Yellow Box): 6645
Deeper Support Zone: 6620 – 6605
If the 6680 zone holds and we see bullish confirmation (e.g., strong buying wicks, volume spike, or bullish engulfing candle), buyers may regain control and push the price back up toward the 6710–6730 range.
🧠 Trading Outlook
Bullish Bias Above: 6711
Bearish Bias Below: 6680
Neutral Zone: 6680–6710 (watch for consolidation or fakeouts)
📌 Note: The current structure suggests we are at a decision point. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and manage your risk accordingly.
Take care and have a great trading day!
For informational purposes only – not financial advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D. Kohn
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for a Decisive Week?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. As long as the Nasdaq is in its range, you can be a seller at the top of the range and a buyer at the bottom. If this range is broken, you can look for new trends in the Nasdaq.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September 2025 will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30 a.m. New York time (4:00 p.m. Tehran time). This release comes as most other economic data have been delayed due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, which has suspended normal operations.
The CPI report is particularly important for the U.S. Social Security Administration, as it serves as the basis for calculating annual adjustments to retirement benefits and other statutory payments.
In a statement released on Friday, the agency confirmed that it would temporarily recall a limited number of furloughed employees to ensure the timely publication of the CPI report. Originally scheduled for October 15, the release has now been rescheduled for October 24.
This CPI release will be among the few remaining economic datasets published by federal agencies during the shutdown. Since October 1, most data-producing institutions have ceased operations amid political deadlock between Democrats and Republicans that has halted large portions of federal services.
With the federal shutdown continuing, U.S. markets are increasingly relying on private-sector data to gauge the state of the economy. In the upcoming week, indicators such as housing sales and private manufacturing surveys will be released, serving as alternative references for traders and analysts.
Without access to official government data, investors, businesses, and consumers face a heightened level of uncertainty, making it difficult to plan for spending, hiring, and saving decisions.
The CPI report could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, as the FOMC will have access to the data ahead of its October 28–29 policy meeting. Fed officials are currently debating whether to cut interest rates further, and if so, how quickly.
In September, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate to support a weakening labor market by reducing borrowing costs across short-term loans. Another rate cut is widely expected in October, though elevated inflation could slow or prevent further easing.
The Chief Financial Officer of Bank of America (BOFA) stated that the bank expects two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of this year.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned about downside risks to the labor market, sparking speculation that he might have had early access to the yet-unreleased September employment report. However, a closer examination of his remarks shows no confirmation or denial of such access.
The key takeaway from Powell’s speech was his firm reaffirmation of market expectations for a rate cut later this month, delivered without any sign of hesitation or opposition — a clear and confident signal to investors.
In another commentary, Bank of America highlighted that the current boom in AI data centers is fundamentally different from the dot-com bubble of the early 2000s. The bank attributed today’s expansion to strong semiconductor utilization, healthy cash flows, lower valuations, and a more favorable interest rate environment.
Nonetheless, it acknowledged ongoing concerns about excessive spending and stretched valuations in certain AI sectors.
Finally, the October Bank of America investor survey revealed that recession fears have fallen to their lowest level since February 2022, while optimism about economic growth has seen its strongest jump since 2020:
• 33% expect a “no-landing” scenario (up from 18%)
• 54% foresee a “soft landing” (down from 67%)
• 8% anticipate a “hard landing” (down from 10%).
AMAZON (AMZN) - H4 - Double Top Breakdown (19.10.2025)📊 Setup Overview:
Amazon stock (NASDAQ: AMZN) is forming a Double Top Reversal Pattern on the 4H chart, signaling potential weakness after failing twice to break above the major resistance zone near $238–$240.The price has also broken below the ascending trendline with a cloud crossover, confirming bearish momentum building up. NASDAQ:AMZN
📈 Trade Plan:
Bias: Bearish below $220
1st Target: $197.91 ✅
2nd Target: $183.99 🎯
Resistance Zone: $238 – $240
🧩 Technical Confluence:
1.Double Top formation near major resistance zone
2.Trendline break confirming reversal
3.Ichimoku Cloud crossover indicating bearish momentum
4.Volume profile shows selling pressure increasing below $215
📉 Fundamental Amazon (AMZN):
Amazon remains one of the most dominant global tech giants, but several near-term factors could impact its price action:
⚡Upcoming Earnings (Late October 2025):
1.Analysts project Q3 FY2025 revenue around $158–160 billion, with EPS expectations near $1.24–$1.30.
2.Focus will be on AWS (Amazon Web Services) performance — which still contributes over 50% of total operating income, but has shown slower growth due to corporate cost-cutting and cloud competition.
⚡Retail & E-commerce Trends:
1.Amazon’s North America segment remains strong but margin pressure continues due to logistics and rising fulfillment costs.
2.The company’s push into AI-driven retail advertising could offset some of that weakness if ad revenue exceeds expectations.
⚡Broader Market Context:
1.With U.S. yields staying elevated, large-cap tech stocks like Amazon may face valuation compression.
2.Institutional rotation toward value and defensive stocks could further weigh on AMZN in the short term.
🎯Overall, fundamentals remain strong for the long-term, but the technical structure suggests a near-term correction before accumulation resumes.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately before taking any position.
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