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NASDAQ 100 CFD

GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Bull Market Overview ▪️2weeks/candle price chart ▪️Gold Bull market in progress ▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1 ▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2 ▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3 ▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD ▪️650% gains off the lows ▪️will hit in 2026/2027 ⭐️Recommended strategy ▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips ▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold ▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
47
Nasdaq - The most important structure!💰Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) perfectly respects structure: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, the Nasdaq has been rallying an expected +50%. Still, until the Nasdaq will retest the upper channel resistance trendline, this rally won't be over. Therefore, we can still see a rally of another +10% in the very near future. 📝Levels to watch: $25,000 and $30,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:NDQLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
5
“Intel’s Bullish Structure Building Power for a Breakout Move!”🔥 INTC “Intel Corporation” – The Thief’s Profit Playbook 🕶️💰 (Swing/Day Trade Setup) ⚔️ Plan Overview – Bullish Setup with Thief Precision The Thief Strategy is in play here — a smart layering entry method designed to steal optimal positions from impatient traders. 🕵️‍♂️ Our mission: Load, Layer, Loot, and Leave with Profits. 🎯 Entry Plan (Layering Method) We’re layering multiple buy limits (thief-style) to catch value dips: Buy Limit Layers: 35.00 💵 → 36.00 💵 → 37.00 💵 (⚙️ You can expand your layers based on your risk tolerance and style — thieves adapt fast.) 💡 Why Layer? Because a pro thief never rushes a vault — we break in step-by-step. This builds position strength while keeping entry efficiency. 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief’s Escape Hatch) 📉 Stop Loss @34.00 💬 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending you set my SL. You’re the boss of your vault. Manage your own risk, grab the bag, and disappear in profits like a shadow.” 🌑💼 🚀 Target Zone (Profit Extraction Level) 🎯 Main Target: @43.00 📛 Police Barricade @44.00 — strong resistance zone + overbought region + potential bull trap. 🧠 Play it smart — escape clean with gains at 43.00 before the blue lights flash. 🚨 💬 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — not recommending you follow my TP blindly. Make your own move, take your profit, and vanish like a ghost.” 👻💸 🧩 Technical Breakdown Intel (INTC) forming a strong base accumulation near the $35–37 range. Volume Profile shows liquidity pockets aligning with the layering zones. RSI hovering mid-levels → room for upside before overbought conditions hit near $43–44. EMA Confluence: Price reclaiming short-term EMA — early trend reversal signals in motion. Fundamental Boost: Intel’s AI chip roadmap and cost-optimization headlines add bullish narrative momentum. ⚙️📈 🌍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Market Sync) 💠 NASDAQ:NVDA – Leader in AI semis; momentum correlation ~0.78 with INTC. 💠 NASDAQ:AMD – Similar sector swing potential; can mirror INTC lag-moves. 💠 NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) – Sector strength indicator. A breakout above resistance supports INTC’s upside. 💠 NASDAQ:QQQ / NASDAQ:NDX – Tech-heavy indices; bullish bias strengthens chip sector sentiment. 🧭 Correlation Tip: If NVDA or QQQ rallies strongly while INTC consolidates — that’s your thief’s golden signal to layer your entries quietly before the breakout sparks. ⚡ ⚙️ Risk Management Wisdom Never go all-in; layer your risk like a pro. Keep your SL tight but mind flexible. Respect zones — police don’t like thieves hanging around too long. 😎 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade wisely — stay stealthy. 🕶️ #INTC #Intel #StockMarket #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntries #TechnicalAnalysis #NASDAQ #StocksToWatch #AIStocks #TradingViewCommunity #TradingViewEditorsPick #Semiconductors #NVDA #AMD #QQQ #ProfitPlaybook
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by The-Thief
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt. If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we? Tulips! Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you. Click like Follow Subscribe, let's get to 5,000 followers.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by RealMacro
NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg. The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line). As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.| A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
MSTR: Time to Short? Death Cross + Triangle Break Analysis🐻 MSTR "STRATEGY INC." - The Bear's Playground | Thief's Multi-Layer Setup 💰 📊 MARKET SNAPSHOT Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (Strategy Inc. - formerly MicroStrategy) Current Price: ~$291.23 (Oct 17, 2025) Setup Type: Swing/Day Trade - Bearish Confirmation Strategy Style: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Orders 🎯 🔍 THE SETUP - Why This Bearish Play Makes Sense Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief's playbook! 👋 MSTR just gave us a beautiful bearish signal with a triangular moving average breakdown. Here's what the charts are screaming: 🎯 The "Thief" Entry Strategy - Layered Limit Orders This isn't your typical "buy now" play. We're sneaking in like a thief in the night with MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT LAYERS: Entry Zones (Layer Your Shorts): Layer 1: $310 (First resistance retest) Layer 2: $300 (Psychological level) Layer 3: $290 (Current consolidation zone) 💡 Pro Tip: Scale into your position! You can add MORE layers based on your risk tolerance (e.g., $305, $295, $285). The "Thief Method" is all about spreading your entries to catch the perfect price zones. 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT - The Thief's Insurance Policy Stop Loss: $320 🚨 (This is the Thief's emergency exit - if price breaks above this, the bears lost control) ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's (Original Gangsters), this is MY stop loss level based on MY analysis. You should set YOUR OWN stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Don't copy blindly - manage YOUR money, take YOUR profits (or losses) at YOUR own risk! This is YOUR trade, not mine. 💯 🎯 PROFIT TARGET - Where the Money's Hiding Primary Target: $250 🎉 Why $250? Strong historical support level Oversold bounce zone (RSI typically rebounds here) TRAP ALERT: Institutional buyers often accumulate at this level - be ready to ESCAPE with your profits before the bulls wake up! 🐂💤 ⚠️ TAKE PROFIT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's, $250 is MY target based on MY analysis. You can (and should) set YOUR own targets. If you're in profit at $270, $260, or even $280 - TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN! 💰 No shame in banking profits early. Remember: pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. This is YOUR trade, YOUR risk, YOUR decision! 🔗 RELATED ASSETS TO WATCH - The Correlation Game MSTR doesn't trade in a vacuum! Keep your eyes on these correlated assets: 📈 Primary Correlation: CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin): ~$108,625 (Oct 17, 2025) - MSTR holds 640,000+ BTC (3%+ of total supply!) Correlation Strength: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 ULTRA HIGH Why It Matters: MSTR is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play. When BTC sneezes, MSTR catches a cold. Bitcoin's current bearish pressure directly impacts MSTR's valuation. 🔄 Secondary Watchlist: NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase): Crypto exchange - sentiment indicator NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms): Bitcoin mining stock NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital): Another BTC-related equity NASDAQ:CLSK (CleanSpark): Bitcoin mining operations Key Point: If Bitcoin breaks below $105K support, expect MSTR to accelerate downward. Conversely, if BTC rallies back above $115K, this bearish setup could invalidate. Watch Bitcoin like a hawk! 🦅 📊 THE BIGGER PICTURE - Why MSTR Is Vulnerable Right Now Bitcoin Pressure: BTC down -2.19% today, testing critical support levels Institutional Caution: Recent S&P 500 rejection (not included in index) = credibility questions Valuation Concerns: Trading at significant premium to NAV (Net Asset Value) Technical Breakdown: Multiple MA crosses + trend reversal signals Macro Headwinds: Risk-off sentiment in crypto markets (3-day consecutive decline) 🎓 THE THIEF'S WISDOM - Final Thoughts This setup combines: ✅ Technical confirmation (MA breakout) ✅ Layered entry strategy (better average price) ✅ Clear risk management (defined stop loss) ✅ Realistic profit targets (strong support zone) ✅ Correlated asset monitoring (BTC relationship) Remember: The market doesn't care about your opinion. Respect the charts, manage your risk, and don't get greedy. The "Thief Method" is about stealing profits intelligently, not gambling recklessly! 🎰❌ 💬 TRADE SMART, NOT HARD! This is a BEARISH SETUP with defined entries, exits, and risk parameters. Whether you're swing trading or day trading, the key is DISCIPLINE. Stick to your plan, don't chase, and protect your capital. Questions? Thoughts? Drop them below! 👇 Let's build a community of smart traders who help each other win! 🤝 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #MSTR #Bitcoin #BTC #TradingView #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BearishSetup #ShortSetup #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ProfitTarget #StrategyInc #MicroStrategy #ThiefMethod #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #NASDAQ
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by The-Thief
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️‍♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀 📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade) 🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style): Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are: 🟢 24,300 🟢 24,400 🟢 24,500 🟢 24,600 (Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.) 🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL): ❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan). 💰 Target Area (Profit Zone): 🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap. ✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓). ⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s: I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way. 🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map: Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ). Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker. Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside. Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar. 📌 Other Related Charts to Watch: SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark. TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves). TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️‍♂️💸 #NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by The-Thief
Can NASDAQ100’s Retest Turn Into a Full-Fledged Rally?⚡ NASDAQ100 — “The Wall Street Engine” Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade) Plan: 📈 Bullish confirmation awaited at the Hull Moving Average retest. When price respects that dynamic zone and momentum aligns, the Thief layers up — ready to stack positions like a pro! 💰 Thief Strategy Playbook: Thief’s weapon? Layering entries — the art of scaling in like a patient hunter. Multiple buy limit orders are placed around: 🔹 24,400 🔹 24,500 🔹 24,600 (You can adjust or add more layers based on your own trading structure and capital.) 🛡️ Stop-Loss: This is the Thief’s SL → @24,200 🕵️‍♂️ Note to all Thief OGs: I’m not recommending that you copy my SL — risk management is your call. Remember: Make money, then take money at your own risk. 🎯 Target Zone: @25,300 — where the POLICE BARRICADE (resistance) stands tall! ⚠️ The zone aligns with overbought levels + liquidity trap potential, so don’t overstay your welcome. Escape with profits like a smart thief before the market cuffs you! 💨 🕵️‍♂️ Note again to Thief OGs: Targets are flexible — adapt based on your execution and structure confirmation. 🔍 Correlated Assets to Watch: SP:SPX (S&P500) — often mirrors NASDAQ’s overall direction. TVC:DJI (Dow Jones) — gives early risk-on/risk-off sentiment clues. TVC:US10Y (US Treasury Yield) — rising yields can pressure tech stocks. TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) — watch for volatility spikes; they often precede reversals. Correlation Key Insight: When the dollar weakens and yields cool, NASDAQ tends to fly 🚀 — liquidity rotation favors growth stocks and tech-heavy indices. ⚙️ Quick Recap: ✅ Bias: Bullish (with retest confirmation at Hull MA) 💸 Entry Zone: 24,400 → 24,600 (Layered limits) 🧱 SL: 24,200 (risk-controlled zone) 🎯 TP: 25,300 (liquidity + resistance zone) ⚠️ Risk: Adjust position size and trail stops as structure evolves ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for entertainment, education, and market storytelling. Trade responsibly; it’s just for fun, not financial advice. #NASDAQ100 #US100 #IndexTrading #HullMA #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingCommunity #ThiefTrader #ChartArt #EditorPickCandidate
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by The-Thief
META Platforms Chart – Technical Reversal Signals Sell Momentum🎯 META's Bearish Heist: Time to Rob the Bears' Bank! 💰 📊 Asset Overview META PLATFORMS, INC - The social media giant is about to get socially distanced from higher prices! 🔍 Market Analysis Current Setup: Bearish Momentum Confirmed ⚠️ The Hull Moving Average just broke down like my New Year's resolutions! 🐻 Bears have grabbed the steering wheel and they're driving this bus downhill. The technical setup is screaming "SHORT" louder than your stop loss alerts at 3 AM. 🎭 The "Thief Strategy" Game Plan 🎯 Entry Strategy: Layer Like a Pro The Layered Limit Order Approach (because catching falling knives is for amateurs!) Layer 1: $740 🎯 Layer 2: $730 🎯 Layer 3: $720 🎯 Layer 4: $710 🎯 You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and portfolio size. Think of it as building a profit sandwich - the more layers, the tastier! 🥪 Alternative: Direct market entry at current price levels (for the adrenaline junkies among us) 🛡️ Risk Management 🚨 Stop Loss: $760 ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen), This is MY stop loss level based on my risk tolerance. This is NOT a recommendation - you MUST set your own stop loss based on YOUR risk management rules. Trade at your own risk, secure your own bag! 💼 🎯 Profit Target 💎 Target: $660 Why $660? ✅ Triangular Moving Average acting as Fort Knox-level support ✅ Oversold conditions brewing like a perfect storm ✅ Bull trap zone where buyers might step in ✅ Technical barricade stronger than a police checkpoint 🚓 ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's, This is MY take profit level. You can exit whenever you want - secure those gains at YOUR comfort zone. Take profits when you're happy, not when I tell you! Your money, your rules. 💵 📈 Related Pairs to Watch Keep your eyes on these correlated assets: 🔗 NASDAQ:GOOGL - Fellow tech giant showing similar bearish pressure 🔗 NASDAQ:AAPL - Tech sector leader; weakness here confirms broader tech selloff 🔗 NASDAQ:MSFT - Big tech correlation play 🔗 NASDAQ:AMZN - FAANG/Magnificent 7 correlation 🔗 NASDAQ:QQQ - Nasdaq ETF; META's moves often mirror tech sector sentiment Key Correlation: When META sneezes, social media stocks catch a cold! Watch NYSE:SNAP and NYSE:PINS for sympathy plays. 🎪 The Thief Style Philosophy This isn't your grandpa's trading strategy - we're playing chess while others play checkers! ♟️ The "Thief" approach uses strategic layering to maximize entry opportunities while managing risk like a boss. Remember: We're not thieves in the literal sense - we're just stealing profits from the market inefficiencies! 😎 📊 Technical Summary ✅ Hull MA Breakdown Confirmed ✅ Bearish Momentum Building ✅ Multiple Technical Resistance Overhead ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio Favoring Shorts ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #META #MetaPlatforms #StockMarket #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #ShortSetup #HullMovingAverage #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingIdeas #TradingView #FAANG #TechStocks #BearishMomentum
NASDAQ:METAShort
by The-Thief
NASDAQ NAS100 Trade Plan: VWAP & Volume Profile StrategyI’m currently watching the NASDAQ #100 (#NDX) 📊. After a strong correction due to geopolitical turmoil 🌍, the market rebounded just as aggressively. Right now, price is trading above VWAP 📈. If it stays above VWAP, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity. In the video, we zoom into a 30-minute timeframe ⏱️, using VWAP and Volume Profile to plan the trade. If price respects these levels, we can take a long. If it falls below the support level ❌, we abandon this idea. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq - Clearly heading to $30.000!🎉Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) points much higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Yes, we witnessed a short term correction over the past couple of days. But no, this does not mean that the bullrun is now entirely over. In fact, looking at the longer term rising channel pattern, the Nasdaq can still rally higher until it will retest the upper trendline. 📝Levels to watch: $25.000, $30.000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:NDQLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
29
NASDAQ Did the 1D MA50 just save the day??Nasdaq (NDX) suffered a historically strong daily sell-off on Friday following President Trump's tariff threats and touched (and closed on) its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it hit that trend-line was on September 02 and that was a technical Higher Low on the 5-month Channel Up. Friday's Low was also very close to the bottom of this pattern. At the same time the 1D RSI hit and rebounded on its Lower Lows Support trend-line. With the market rebounding and opening considerably higher today, it is more likely technically that we have started the pattern's new Bullish Leg. With the last two such sequences rising by at least +11.00%, we expect a new similar uptrend, which as long as the 1D MA50 holds, could hit at least 26000 within a 40 day horizon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
$MSTR Swing Trade Setup: Layered Short Entries on Breakout📉 MSTR "STRATEGY INC" STOCK – Bearish Thief Plan (Swing/Scalp Setup) ⚡ Trade Setup (Bearish Pending Order Plan) Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) Plan: Bearish (waiting for support breakout confirmation). Entry Zone: Pending breakout entry @ 320.00 ⚡ Layered “Thief” Strategy (scaling entries): Sell Limit Layers: 340.00 / 330.00 / 320.00 You may add or adjust layers based on your own risk tolerance. 🔔 Set TradingView alerts at breakout levels to track price action. Stop Loss (Thief Style): Protective SL @ 360.00 (after breakout confirmation). Adjust per your strategy & risk management. Target Zone (Exit): Police barricade support @ 290.00 Note: Take profit is discretionary — escape with profits at your own chosen level 🚪💰. 🔑 Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy Context) The Thief Plan = using multiple layered limit entries after a breakout for better risk/reward. Scaling entries gives flexibility while reducing FOMO and chasing. Exit early at support barricades or oversold traps. 📊 MicroStrategy (MSTR) Market Data Report As of September 7, 2025 1. Retail & Institutional Sentiment 🤝 Retail: Mixed / cautious (crypto exposure volatility). Institutional: Neutral → slightly bearish (Bitcoin correlation + regulatory risk). Estimated Sentiment: 55% Neutral / 30% Bearish / 15% Bullish. 2. Fear & Greed Index 😨😋 Current level: Neutral ~50/100 Suggests balanced emotions → no extreme greed or fear. 3. Fundamental & Macro Scores 📈📉 Fundamental ~60/100: MSTR tied to Bitcoin trends, highly volatile. Macro ~55/100: Pressures include crypto regulation, tech volatility, interest rates. Bitcoin remains the key driver. 4. Market Outlook 🐂🐻 Bull Case: BTC rally → MSTR boost, institutional adoption helps. Bear Case: Regulatory clampdowns, BTC volatility → downside pressure. Overall: Neutral → Slightly Bearish (short-term caution). 🚀 Key Takeaways NASDAQ:MSTR moves in sync with Bitcoin → monitor BTC charts closely. Sentiment is not strongly bullish → short setups have edge here. Thief layering strategy aligns with volatility. Always respect SL & manage risk 🔐. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch BITSTAMP:BTCUSD NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase) NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms) NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital) SP:SPX / NASDAQ:NDX (macro impact on tech/crypto plays) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #MSTR #MicroStrategy #Stocks #SwingTrade #Scalping #BearishSetup #CryptoStocks #LayeredStrategy #ThiefPlan #BitcoinCorrelation #TradingViewIdea
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by The-Thief
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey🧠 The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves 🔍📈: 🌱 Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986–2000) The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom — Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley 🚀. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000. 🔹 Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000. 🔹 Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension. 🔹 Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption. 🌪️ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000–2009) The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008–09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market. 🔸 Smart Money: Distribution at the top → manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) → reaccumulation near the 2009 lows 🧠📉. 🔸 Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy — a decade of fear and instability 🏚️. 🚀 Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009–2029)* The most powerful leg — Wave 3 — is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses: ⚙️ Macro Wave 1 (2009–2012) Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves . 🟠 Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength. 📊 Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal. 🏦 Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era 💻. 📈 Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009–2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies. 🔁 Macro Wave 2 (2012) A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context — a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows. 🧠 SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands. 📉 Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure — no trend break. 💥 Macro Wave 3 (2012–2021) This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves. 🟣 Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal. 💡 Fundamentals: Rise of cloud computing Mobile-first economy AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion COVID-19 crash and rebound — the fastest recovery in history 🔹 Fibonacci: No deep retracements — sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3. 🧠 Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash → massive expansion post-March 2020 📈. 🧱 Macro Wave 4 (2021–2022) A healthy correction that reset the structure — completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity. 🔻 SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones. 📊 Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral. 🌍 Macro Headwinds: Interest rate hikes Inflation fears Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis) 🧬 Macro Wave 5 (2022–2029) – Now Unfolding* This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress): 🔸 Micro Wave 1 ✅ Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior. 🧠 Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion. 🔸 Micro Wave 2 ✅ Pullback formed higher low — acted as final reaccumulation. 🔴 Micro Wave 3 – In Process (2025–2026) This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1–2). 📈 Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks. 🧠 SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below — institutions pushing price up. 💡 Fundamentals: AI hypergrowth US tech dominance AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization Renewed bullish risk appetite 🌐 🟠 Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026–2027) A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure — forming a flag or triangle. 📉 Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382–0.5 of wave 3. 🧠 SMC: Inducement setup before final rally. 🌍 Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase. 🔵 Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029) The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1–2. 🎯 Final Parabolic Blow-Off 📊 Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up 📈 Smart Money: Final distribution phase — retail FOMO peaks 🧨 Fundamentals: Mania phase — “everything AI/metaverse/tokenized” narrative, record valuations, IPO booms. 🔮 Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029) Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected — possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold. 🧠 Expect: Systemic debt pressure Currency shifts Economic reset themes Potential Fed policy overcorrection Liquidity crunch 🌧️ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30–36K. 📚 Final Thoughts Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally — but Wave 3 still has room to run 📈. ✅ Wave Count Aligned ✅ Fibonacci Extensions Respected ✅ SMC Structure Intact ✅ Macro-Fundamentals in Sync 📌 2025–2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K 📊. "Trust the waves, not the noise." – FIBCOS 🌊 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
US govt Shutdown Impact on GOLD/BTC/SPX/NDX Overview📊 Scenario analysis Assumed probabilities: 10-day (35%) / 20-day (40%) / 30-day (25%). These skew toward 20–30d expectation while allowing for a compromise CR late next week. 🗓️ 1) 10-day shutdown (quick CR by ~Oct 10) • 🔑 Catalysts: market wobble + travel/FAA headlines + IPO freeze optics force a deal; leadership meeting produces a clean CR. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -3% to -5% drawdown from pre-shutdown highs, then sharp relief. Mega-cap quality outperforms; small-caps lag on SBA loan pause. • 💻 Bitcoin: -3% to -8% (high beta to equities, liquidity cautious); quick snapback if the deal lands and SEC footprint stays light. • 🟡 Gold: +1% to +3%; fades a bit on resolution as real-rate anxiety reasserts. History shows shutdowns aren’t a reliable gold rocket on their own. 🗓️ 2) 20-day shutdown (through ~Oct 20) — “policy fog trade” • 🔑 Catalysts: prolonged policy riders; BEA/Census blackout delays GDP/retail sales; SEC skeletal staff extends IPO drought. Fed guidance leans on forecasts, not fresh data. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -5% to -8%. Factor rotation: low-vol/defensive > cyclicals; brokers/ECM-sensitive names soft; travel/airlines weak on FAA/TSA constraints. • 💻 Bitcoin: -8% to -15% or flat-to-up if “crypto vs. Washington” narrative picks up while enforcement is thin — mixed precedent. This is the most two-sided asset here. • 🟡 Gold: +3% to +6% as uncertainty premia build and central-bank-buying narrative stays intact. Stretching to $3,900–3,950 bullion target likely needs an added shock (ratings rhetoric, geopolitical flare). 🗓️ 3) 30-day shutdown (into late Oct) — “risk-off with rating overtones” • 🔑 Catalysts: political stalemate; louder warnings about governance; issuance continues but optics around fiscal sustainability bite. • 📉 SPX/NDX: -7% to -12%; HY spreads widen; VIX spikes; defensives/quality lead. • 💻 Bitcoin: -15% to -25% on de-risking and liquidity run-down unless regulatory paralysis creates a “wild west” window and ETF inflows offset — low probability but non-zero. • 🟡 Gold: +5% to +10%. A test of new cycle highs is plausible; hitting ~$3,900 quickly would likely require a ratings/FX scare, not just a shutdown. ________________________________________ 🧭 What’s different this time • 📉 Data blackout = policy uncertainty: Delays to GDP/retail sales/trade stats complicate Fed read-throughs — markets price fatter uncertainty premia. • 📜 Regulatory throttle: SEC/CFTC “skeletal staff” → IPO drought and slower filings (headwind to brokers/ECM), even as EDGAR stays up. • ✈️ Real-economy micro-pain points: FAA hiring/training halted → travel frictions; SBA lending paused → small-cap cash flow stress. • ⚠️ Ratings optics: After Moody’s downgrade, governance headlines cut deeper than in prior shutdowns. ________________________________________ 🤹 Contrarian angles 1. 🪙 “Bad data is no data” rally: If key prints are delayed, the market extrapolates a dovish Fed trajectory → curve bull-steepening and equities rally on rates, overpowering shutdown angst. 2. 💻 Crypto resilience: A lighter-touch SEC during a lapse can reduce headline risk; BTC has rallied during a shutdown before, though not consistently. 3. 🟡 Gold stall: If real yields back up on supply/duration worries rather than down on growth fear, gold can underperform despite the shutdown — history shows no clean positive beta. 4. 📈 Buy-the-resolution pop: Equities’ median post-shutdown performance is positive at 3–6 months — setting up a tactical sell the rumor / buy the cease-fire template. ________________________________________ 💡 Trades & risk management tactical, 2–6 weeks 📉 Equities (SPX/NDX) • 🛡️ Hedge now, monetize spikes: 4–6 week put spreads on SPX/NDX (≈25Δ/10Δ) sized for a -6–8% path; roll down if we breach the first support zone. Consider VIX 1–2M calls as convex tail protection. • 🔄 Pairs/tilts: Underweight ECM-sensitive brokers; overweight staples/health-care utilities; short airlines vs. travel alternatives until FAA constraints clear. 💻 Bitcoin • 🛡️ De-gear & collar: Reduce leverage; implement collars (sell 10–15Δ OTM calls to finance 20–25Δ puts). If we gap lower into -10% territory quickly, look to sell downside skew and pivot to short-dated call spreads into resolution. 🟡 Gold • 📈 Own upside, respect mean-reversion: Use GLD call spreads (1–2M) targeting +4–8% with limited theta. $3,900–$3,950 bullion target is a stretch on shutdown alone; size for base-case +3–6% unless a ratings/geopolitical catalyst emerges. 📉 Small-caps / credit • 🛑 IWM vs. QQQ underweight (SBA bottlenecks); keep HY credit hedged via CDX HY or HYG puts into Day 15+. ________________________________________ 🔍 Levels & signposts to watch • 🏛️ Policy tape: Any Senate movement on a “clean” CR; signs of healthcare rider compromise. • 📅 Data calendar: Official notices on jobs/CPI/GDP timing (BLS/BEA/Census). A confirmed delay → more policy fog premium. • ✈️ Micro stress: FAA/TSA updates; SEC operating status for registrations; SBA loan queue. • ⚠️ Ratings rhetoric: Any agency commentary tying shutdown length to governance risk. ________________________________________ 📝 Bottom line • 📉 Base path: A -5–8% equity drawdown with gold +3–6% and BTC -8–15% is the modal 2–4 week outcome if we run ~20 days. • ⚠️ Tail path: At 30 days, governance optics + data blackout can push SPX/NDX -7–12%, BTC -15–25%, gold +5–10%. • 🔄 Contrarian risk: A quick CR or a “no data → dovish” impulse squeezes shorts — be ready to pivot to a buy-the-resolution stance.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
31