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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NASDAQ Will the PCE push the Falling Wedge lower?Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 1.5-month Falling Wedge since the January 28 High and ahead of the U.S. PCE release today, it trades on a Bearish Leg following the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection. Having already broken below the 1D MA200 (black trend-line) on Monday (which was the market's long-term Support), the next level to watch is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). Given the fact that the previous Bearish Led bottomed on the 1.1 Fibonacci extension level, we expect the current one to target 23850, which would come very close to the 1W MA50. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
2
Tesla short remains active —perfect downtrendTesla's bearish trend remains intact, the short—active. TSLA has been moving within a perfect downtrend, a perfect descending channel. Each session produces a lower high and a lower low. Support continues to weaken and this can lead to a major crash. The last session tried to pierce higher but ended with a strong rejection and red close. The current session closed red, right at 0.382 Fib. And this level has been tested more than five times and is sure to break, why? This same level, a price tag around 385-395, worked as support in late November 2025. The reaction led to an all-time high that matched the same prices from December 2024, a long-term double-top. Here we see how the current support level becomes questionable. On a major high after the activation of support, then a correction can easily end higher followed by additional growth. Since resistance was confirmed in December 2025, then this support level is already gone. It is about to break because resistance has been validated through the double-top. When this support breaks, much lower valuations become possible. The 0.618 Fib. retracement around 323. This is the minimum. Right now it is taking a long while for this bearish continuation to show up. This isn't something encouraging, it only means that the crash will be massive once it starts to unravel. It means the drop will be fast, a flash crash. If we want to think of something positive, a flash crash tends to transform into a fast reversal. TSLA is going down. The chart leaves no room for doubt. Prepare for the crash by going short. If you hold just one of these stocks, sell everything, you will be happy to be out of this thing before the crash... You've been warned. The negative correlation between TSLA and Crypto is still on. For example, notice how TSLA was trading at a new all-time high while COIN and MSTR were trading at support. It will reverse. When TSLA, GOOG and the rest start to crash, Crypto and the Cryptocurrency market related stocks will grow. This is the conclusion I am reaching after looking at hundreds of charts. Namaste.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MasterAnanda
QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 10 of 2026 (09–13 MAR)QQQ-NDX Weekly Outlook Past Week Recap QQQ remained weaker compared to SPY last week. While SPY managed to reach its mid range, QQQ moved lower and found the bounce exactly where we expected at Bearish Target 1 around 593. Price reacted from that level and started pushing higher, but the move quickly lost momentum. After the bounce, price rotated back down toward HTF Demand at 602 and spent the rest of the week consolidating around that area, finishing the week in a small accumulation phase. For reference, I’m sharing last week’s post on the side. Scenarios – Prediction Range Play Price continues to trade inside a well defined range, compressed between the higher time frame HTF Supply above and the higher time frame HTF Demand below, with a Key S/R area positioned in the middle. I will trade price based on reactions around the Key Supply, Key Demand and Key S/R levels. Key Supply zone sits between 630 and 637 Key S/R zone sits between 612 and 618 Key Demand zone sits between 591 and 597 The logic is straightforward. We focus on trading the rejection or bounce from these areas. If price taps one of these zones and closes above or below it with acceptance, the next closest level becomes the target. If a band breaks aggressively, direction matters. A strong break to the upside opens the path toward the next higher level. A strong break to the downside opens the path toward the next lower level. Example: Key Demand rejection If price reaches Key Demand at 591 and we see a rejection with a close back above that level, a long can be considered. The target in this case would be the lower band of the Key S/R zone at 612. Example: Key S/R break above If price breaks above the upper band of the Key S/R zone at 618 and secures a close above it, Calls can be considered. The target would then be the lower band of the Key Supply zone at 630. HTF Supply Bullish Breakout If price breaks 637 aggressively and secures a daily close above it, the range will be considered broken and structure turns bullish. On a retest of 637, Calls can be considered to position long on QQQ. HTF Demand Bearish Breakout If price breaks 591 aggressively and secures a daily close below it, Puts can be considered on the retest of this level for a deeper retracement move. In this case, the first target will be 581. Important When price is trading inside the bands, it is usually better to stay patient. Wait for clear closes above or below the zones to understand directional intent before entering a position. More detailed expectations and mid week updates are shared every Wednesday on Substack link in profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
$OIL $VIX $SPX $NDX - Insane Whipsaw!🎢 Absolute insanely volatile day in the markets thanks to Trump 🤡 🧴 OIL Futures spiked >30% then dumped the same 🌋 VIX Futures spiked to 30 then down >20% VIX is still ~25 which is the critical level to watch for markets Both OIL and VIX are trading above the 9DEMA so neither of these moves are over by any means 📈 In lieu of all this, SPX and NDX both dumped below their 200DMA SPX got rejected at the 9EMA while NDX got rejected at the 20DMA for the Daily Close 🍿 Tomorrow is going to be a wild day to watch
CBOE:VX1!
by jonnieking
NASDAQ — Compression Beneath 26k ResistanceNASDAQ continues to trade beneath the 26k resistance zone. The broader trend remains structurally constructive, with price still holding near the rising 50-day moving average. However, the character of price action has shifted. Key observations: • Multiple rejections near the 26k resistance level • Momentum expansion has slowed • Price oscillating around the 50-day moving average This environment often resolves through expansion. Two structural scenarios now dominate: Continuation Acceptance above the 26k range highs. Distribution Loss of the 50-day moving average with expanding downside range. Does this compression resolve with expansion? Structure > prediction.
NASDAQ:NDX
by RegimeAtlas
NASDAQ broke below its 1D MA200 after 10 months!Nasdaq (NDX) broke today below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time after 10 months (since May 09 2025). This is technically a very bearish development as when such a strong long-term Support breaks, the trend rarely stops there, in fact it accelerates more aggressively to new Lows. During the two previous Bear Cycles of 2022 and 2018, when the index broke below its 1D MA200, the price made the first Low of a series of Lowers Lows and Lower Highs that would eventually form the Cycle's underlying pattern, a Channel Down. In both cases the index hit at least the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the last Bear Cycle, in 2022 even it broke for 6 weeks below its 1W MA200 (red trend-line). As a result, based on this 4-year Cycle pattern, we just got the confirmation for the 2026 Bear Cycle, which should target at least 20200 (Fib 0.382) and based on the trajectory of the 1W MA200 land very close to it. In fact, that would be almost a -23.40%, similar to the 2018 Bear Cycle. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
10
QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 9 of 2026 (02–06 Mar)QQQ Weekly Outlook Recap Last Week As expected, price tapped into the HTF Demand at 602 and reacted strongly from that level. We longed the move up to the Range EQ at 615, exactly as mentioned in the previous post. I also noted that if 615 was lost and price started closing below it, a rotation back toward the lower band was likely. From mid week onward, price followed that path and moved lower accordingly. (You can check the linked analysis for reference.) Scenarios – Prediction Range Play Price continues to trade inside a well defined range, compressed between the higher time frame HTF Supply above and the higher time frame HTF Demand below. The most logical approach remains trading the range between 630 and 602. Supply Rejection Scenario If price reaches HTF Supply at 630 and prints 4H closes below that level, Puts or short positions can be considered. Bearish targets 1-615 (Range EQ) 2-602 (HTF Demand) 3-593 (Range Low) Demand Bounce Scenario If price reaches HTF Demand at 602 and prints 4H closes above that level, Calls or long positions can be considered. Bullish targets 1-615 (Range EQ) 2-630 (HTF Supply) Bullish Scenario (Range Zone Bullish Breakout) If price breaks 630 aggressively and secures a daily close above it, the range will be considered broken and structure shifts bullish. On a retest of 630, Calls can be considered to position long on QQQ. Bearish Scenario (More Likely) If price breaks 593 aggressively and secures a daily close below it, Puts can be considered on the retest of this level for a deeper retracement move. In this case, the first target will be 580. Out of all scenarios, the bearish case during the week appears more probable to me. A potential US Israel Iran conflict could create serious sell off pressure across the broader market. Position Management: Price must provide confirmation before entering any trade. If price closes 2x 4H candles back above or below a level that we considered broken or deviated from, the trade idea becomes invalid and positions should be exited. Manage your risk carefully. Avoid unnecessary exposure. Do not enter trades without confirmation. More detailed expectations and mid week updates are shared every Wednesday on Substack link in profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Tech Sector Goes "Three Black Crows" — Bear Market Cont PatternThree Black Crows is a term used to describe a bearish candlestick pattern that can predict a reversal in an uptrend. Classic candlestick charts show "Open", "High", "Low" and "Close" prices of a bar for a particular security. For markets moving up, the candlestick is usually white, green or blue. When moving lower they are black or red. The Three Black Crows pattern consists of three consecutive long-body candles that opened with a gap above or inside the real body of the previous candle, but ultimately closed lower than the previous candle. Often traders use this indicator in combination with other technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm a reversal. Key points 👉 Three Black Crows is a Bearish candlestick pattern used to predict a reversal to a current uptrend, used along with other technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI). 👉 The size of the Three black crow candles, timeframe they appeared on, the gaps when they opened, the downward progression sequence, as well as their shadows can be used to judge whether there is a risk of a pullback on a reversal. 👉 The “Three Black Crows” pattern should be considered finally formed after the sequential closure of all three elements included in it. 👉 The opposite pattern of three black crows is three white soldiers, which indicates a reversal of the downward trend. But maybe more about that another time. Explanation of the Three Black Crows pattern Three Black Crows is a visual pattern, which means there is no need to worry about any special calculations when identifying this indicator. The Three Black Crows pattern occurs when the bears outperform the bulls over three consecutive trading bars. The pattern appears on price charts as three bearish long candles with or without short shadows or wicks. In a typical Three Black Crows appearance, bulls start the time frame with the opening price or gap up, that is, even slightly higher than the previous close, but throughout the time frame the price declines to eventually close below the previous time frame's close. This trading action will result in a very short or no shadow. Traders often interpret this downward pressure, which lasted across three time frames, as the start of a bearish downtrend. Example of using Three black crows As a visual pattern, it is best to use the Three Black Crows as a sign to seek confirmation from other technical indicators. The Three Black Crows pattern and the confidence a trader can put into it depends largely on how well the pattern is formed. Three Black Crows should ideally be relatively long bearish candles that close at or near the lowest price for the period. In other words, candles should have long real bodies and short or non-existent shadows. If the shadows are stretching, it may simply indicate a slight change in momentum between bulls and bears before the uptrend reasserts itself. Using trading volume data can make the drawing of the Three Black Crows pattern more accurate. The volume of the last bar during an uptrend leading to the pattern is relatively lower in typical conditions, while the Three Black Crows pattern has relatively high volume in each element of the group. In this scenario, as in our case, the uptrend was established by a small group of bulls and then reversed by a larger group of bears. Of course, this could also mean that a large number of small bullish trades collide with an equal or smaller group of high volume bearish trades. However, the actual number of market participants and trades is less important than the final volume that was ultimately recorded during the time frame. Restrictions on the use of three black crows If the "Three Black Crows" pattern has already shown significant downward movement, it makes sense to be wary of oversold conditions that could lead to consolidation or a pullback before further downward movement. The best way to assess whether a stock or other asset is oversold is to look at other technical indicators, such as relative strength index (RSI), moving averages, trend lines, or horizontal support and resistance levels. Many traders typically look to other independent chart patterns or technical indicators to confirm a breakout rather than relying solely on the Three Black Crows pattern. Overall, it is open to some free interpretation by traders. For example, when assessing the prospects of building a pattern into a longer continuous series consisting of “black crows” or the prospects of a possible rollback. In addition, other indicators reflect the true pattern of the three black crows. For example, a Three Black Crows pattern may involve a breakout of key support levels, which can independently predict the start of a medium-term downtrend. Using additional patterns and indicators increases the likelihood of a successful trading or exit strategy. Real example of Three black crows Since there are a little more than one day left before the closing of the third candle in the combination, the candlestick combination (given in the idea) is a still forming pattern, where (i) each of the three black candles opened above the closing price of the previous one, that is, with a small upward gap, (ii ) further - by the end of the time frame the price decreases below the price at close of the previous time frame, (iii) volumes are increased relative to the last bullish time frame that preceded the appearance of the first of the “three crows”, (iv) the upper and lower wicks of all “black crows” are relatively short and comparable with the main body of the candle. Historical examples of the Three Black Crows pattern In unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, the Three Black Crows pattern is generally quite common. The weekly chart of the S&P500 Index (SPX) below, in particular, shows the occurrence of the pattern in the period starting in January 2022 and in the next 15 months until April 2023 (all crows combinations counted at least from 1-Month High). As it easy to notice, in each of these cases (marked on the graph below) after the candlestick pattern appeared, the price (after possible consolidations and rollbacks) tended to lower levels, or in any case, sellers sought to repeat the closing price of the last bar in series of the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern. Bottom Line 👉 As well as in usage of all other technical analysis indicators, it is important to confirm or refute its results using other indicators and analysis of general market conditions. 👉 Does History repeat itself? - Partially, yes.. it does. This is all because financial markets (as well as life) is not an Endless Rainbow, and after lovely sunny days, earlier or later, dark clouds may appear again, and again.
AMEX:XLK
by PandorraResearch
QQQ Mid Week Update (05-06 MAR)QQQ Mid Week Update I will trade price based on reactions around the Key Supply, Key Demand and Dark Pool levels. Key Supply zone sits between 628 and 637. Dark Pool zone sits between 614.5 and 619. Key Demand zone sits between 592 and 603. The logic is straightforward. We focus on trading the rejection or bounce from these areas. If price taps one of these zones and closes above or below it with acceptance, the next closest level becomes the target. If a band breaks aggressively, direction matters. A strong break to the upside opens the path toward the next higher level. A strong break to the downside opens the path toward the next lower level. Example: Key Demand rejection If price reaches Key Demand at 603 and we see a rejection with a close back above that level, a long can be considered. The target in this case would be the lower band of the Dark Pool zone at 614.5. Example: Dark Pool break above If price breaks above the upper band of the Dark Pool zone at 619 and secures a close above it, Calls can be considered. The target would then be the lower band of the Key Supply zone at 628. Important When price is trading inside the bands, it is generally better to stay patient. Wait for clear closes above or below the zones to understand directional intent before entering a position. More detailed expectations and mid week updates are shared every Wednesday on Substack link in profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
SPY Mid Week Update (05-06 MAR)SPY Mid Week Update I will trade price based on reactions around the Key Supply, Key Demand and Dark Pool levels. Key Supply zone sits between 695 and 698. Dark Pool zone sits between 687 and 690. Key Demand zone sits between 670 and 676. The logic is simple. We trade the rejection or bounce from these levels. If price taps one of these zones and closes above or below it with acceptance, the next closest level becomes the target. Example: Key Supply rejection If price reaches Key Supply at 695 and we see rejection with a close back below that level, a short can be considered. The target in this case would be the top of the Dark Pool band around 690. Example: Dark Pool rejection If price taps the lower band of the Dark Pool zone, closes below it and confirms rejection, Puts can be considered. The target would be the upper band of Key Demand around 676. If any of these bands break aggressively, direction matters. A strong upside break opens the path toward the next higher level. A strong downside break opens the path toward the next lower level. Important: When price is trading inside the bands, it is generally better to stay patient. Wait for clear closes above or below the zones to understand directional intent before entering a position. More detailed expectations and mid week updates are shared every Wednesday on Substack link in profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
Next QQQ move is like having a pair of AcesNext QQQ move is like having a pair of Aces I am watching a level very closely. It would trigger my alarms for a Nasdaq 100 dump. But be careful because I am not a Bear . I am just alert 🚨 I recently showed how to find a top on the SPX. Now I am doing the same for the Nasdaq 100. These indices are similar but they have different behaviors. The most classic pattern for a trend change on the Nasdaq 100 is the Double Top 📉 It is easy to spot. Price hits a high and drops and then fails to break that high again. This is exactly what is happening now. The market failed to break $26,150 twice. This creates a neckline at the low between the peaks. This neckline must hold. It is formed over previous highs so it is a very strong support level. Losing this level would send price to the $21k area quickly and the bleeding might continue. Why do I say this? This Double Top is the most repeated pattern on the Nasdaq: We saw a 19% drop after losing the neckline in March 25 📉 We saw a 26% drop after losing the neckline in early 23📉 We saw a 20% drop after losing the neckline 📉 And another 13% drop 📉 These are just a few examples from the last 10 years. This pattern can trigger massive selloffs. So why am I not bearish? Classifying patterns as only reversal or continuation is a mistake. A Double Top means nothing until price breaks out or breaks down. Patterns show a temporary balance. We are in a range. Buyers think the neckline is cheap and sellers think the top is expensive. Everyone agrees this price is fair for now 🤝 This pattern usually waits for a big event to move the price. While we wait here are examples of Double Tops that broke upwards for huge gains 🚀 An 11% pump after a breakout. A 16% pump after a breakout. A 20% pump after a breakout. A chart pattern is not a reason to worry. It is a sign that a big move is coming soon with high probability. Trading these breakouts is like having Aces in Poker ♠️ You will not win every hand but you will win the tournament in the end. In trading you can always pass. You can look for another ticker where you have Aces. Today the Nasdaq 100 is giving us a pair of Aces. We just need to see if they are bullish or bearish. 📈📉 What is your take? Are we heading up or is a correction coming? 👇 WANT MORE? 🚀 Hit the rocket, read my profile and follow to see me again
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TopChartPatterns
4
NASDAQ CRASH OR RECOVERY? The NFP Trap Everyone is Missing!NASDAQ 🌍The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by a complex tug-of-war between resilient US economic data and escalating geopolitical friction in the Middle East 🏦. While Wednesday’s stronger-than-expected ADP jobs growth and a surging Services ISM print provided a fundamental tailwind for the tech sector, market chatter suggests that the "AI scare trade" is far from over, with investors closely scrutinizing the sustainability of capital expenditure in the semiconductor space. Interestingly, general online sentiment remains cautious despite the recent mid-week bounce; many retail communities are bracing for a potential "bull trap" ahead of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. This lingering skepticism tells me we may see a liquidity hunt toward the 25,280 level to flush out early shorts before the market decides on a true direction for the month.We are observing a transition from a Markdown phase into a potential period of Wyckoffian Re-Accumulation on the H4 timeframe 📈. The recent price action successfully defended the 24,400–24,600 "Triangle Base" support, which aligns with the longer-term value areas established earlier in the quarter. However, the prevailing descending trendline—clearly marked by the lower highs since late February—remains the primary obstacle for bulls. Widespread community chatter is currently leaning toward a breakdown, but the "Hammer" style recovery off the lows suggests that retail is likely being trapped on the wrong side of the move as big money defends the $24,800$ psychological floor.Key Zone: The confluence of the Volume Profile POC (Point of Control) near 24,976 and the 100-day SMA at 25,258 defines the current battleground 📉. Price is currently oscillating within a high-volume node, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers before the next breakout.We are currently trading in the middle of the weekly range, having just cleared the immediate bearish trendline with a sharp corrective bounce 🧹. My view is that the market is seeking a "run on liquidity" to sweep the late buyers near the 25,400 swing high or trap sellers beneath the recent 24,831 support level. Given the proximity to the NFP release, I expect the current volatility to cluster around the Volume Profile "Value Area" until the data provides the necessary momentum to either reclaim the 25,600 handle or return to the 24,200 discount zone. My Trade Plan 🎯 Bias: Bullish leaning, but Neutral until the NFP print. Patience is required as we sit in the middle of a high-volume node. Entry Protocol: I am looking for a "Spring" or a deep sweep of the 24,831 level (red line) followed by a quick reclaim of the VWAP to signal a Long entry. Alternatively, a clean H4 close above the 25,284 blue resistance line would confirm a breakout from the descending triangle, targeting the 25,600 liquidity pool. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ Breakdown: The Head & Shoulders Pattern Everyone Ignored!NASDAQ MNQ 🌍 The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by a sudden, sharp pivot toward geopolitical risk as regional conflict in the Middle East engulfs energy markets 🏦. Interestingly, general online sentiment is heavily leaning toward "buying the dip" based on previous resilient AI rallies, but the retail crowd seems to be underestimating the structural shift caused by spiking oil prices and the resulting inflationary scare. Market chatter suggests a "flight to safety" is already underway, with the dollar and gold catching bids while the tech-heavy Nasdaq feels the weight of a potential "higher-for-longer" interest rate regime 📉. This creates a classic liquidity hunt scenario where early dip-buyers might find themselves trapped if the technical breakdown follows through. We are seeing a clear transition from a distribution phase into a markdown phase on the H4 timeframe 📉. The chart reveals a textbook Head and Shoulders pattern—a signature of Wyckoffian distribution—where the "Right Shoulder" has failed to reclaim the Value Area High (VAH). The break of the neckline coincided with a surge in volume, signaling that the "composite man" is now liquidating positions. While widespread community chatter is still calling for a reversal back to 25,500, the Dow Theory lower-highs and lower-lows are now firmly established. We are currently witnessing a "run on liquidity" to sweep the late buyers who entered during the consolidation, with price gravitating toward the next major high-volume node 🧹. Key Zone: The confluence of the Weekly VWAP and the Volume Profile suggests that value is migrating lower 📉. The current Point of Control (POC) near 24,917 has shifted from support to a formidable supply zone. Looking at the Auction Market Theory, we are now in "Discovery Mode" to the downside, targeting the 24,249 level, which aligns with the previous month’s low and a major low-volume ledge. We are currently trading at the bottom of the recent range, and the immediate focus is on whether the market can sustain a "Spring" or if it will simply collapse through the floor. I am watching for a corrective bounce toward the 24,757 level to trap one last wave of retail "dip buyers" before the real move lower accelerates 🧹. The sheer density of the volume profile above us suggests that any rallies will likely be met with aggressive selling as institutions rebalance their risk ahead of Friday's NFP data. My Trade Plan 🎯 Bias: Short. Waiting for a "return to value" to execute. Entry Protocol: Look for a bearish rejection at the 24,750 - 24,800 zone (retest of the broken neckline/VWAP). I want to see a Delta reversal or a "hidden upthrust" on the M15 to confirm the sellers are still defending the zone before targeting the 24,250 liquidity pool.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ This can be the trigger for a 20k correction.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading practically sideways since the late October market High and following the Middle East escalations, it is about to test its 1D MA200 (red trend-line). This trend-line has been intact for 9 months straight (since early May 2025), so it is a key long-term Support. If broken, it can technically be the trigger for a strong year-long correction towards the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This has been the market's natural long-term Support, as in almost 16 years (since June 2010) it only broke marginally in late 2022 during the Inflation Crisis. Besides that, it successfully held and supported (green circles) the corrections of early 2025, COVID crash in early 2020, late 2018 and mid 2015. Most corrections found support on their 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels from their respective Lows, but this one looks very similar to early 2020, which hit its 0.618 Fib. So if the 1D MA200 does break and a strong correction takes place, a 0.618 Fib test would take us just above the 1W MA200, ideally fitting this multi-year model. In this case our Target would be 20000. Notice also the 1W RSI Lower Highs Bearish Divergence currently, similar to all previous market Tops. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by TradingShot
QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 8 of 2026 (23-27 FEB)QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 8 of 2026 (23-27 FEB) Weekly Recap As mentioned in last week’s analysis, QQQ continued trading within a range between HTF Demand and HTF Supply zones. Exactly as expected, price found a bounce at 593 the level I defined as HTF Bounce Level 1 right at the open and initiated the upside move from there. (For reference, I’m sharing last week’s QQQ post.) Prediction / Scenarios Range Play: Price is now fully trading within a defined range structure. This range is compressed between the higher time frame HTF Supply above and the higher time frame HTF Demand below. The healthiest approach is to trade the range positioned between 630 and 602. Range Position Scenarios: Scenario 1: Price reaches HTF Demand (602) and closes 4H candles above it. In this case Calls/longs can be considered. Scenario 2: Price reaches HTF Supply (630) and closes 4H candles below it. In this case Puts/shorts can be considered. Bullish Scenario (Range Zone Bullish Breakout): If price breaks 636 aggressively and secures a daily close above it, the range will be considered broken and structure turns bullish. On a retest of 636, Calls can be taken to position long on QQQ. Bearish Scenario: If price breaks 593 (HTF Bounce Level 1) aggressively and secures a daily close below it, Puts can be considered on the retest of this level for a deeper retracement move. In this case, the first target will be 580 (HTF Bounce Level 2). Bounce Levels Without Range Zones: HTF Bounce Level 1 (593) and HTF Bounce Level 2 (580) are, in my view, potential bounce areas outside of the defined range. If price reaches these levels and secures a daily close above, a bounce can be expected and Calls may be considered to position long. Position Management: Price must provide confirmation before entering any trade. If price closes 2x 4H candles back above or below a level that we considered broken or deviated from, the trade idea becomes invalid and positions should be exited. More detailed expectations and mid week updates are shared every Wednesday on Substack link in profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 8 of 2026 (23-27 FEB)SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 8 of 2026 (23-27 FEB) Last Week Recap As expected, SPY traded within the defined range last week. Price tapped into the HTF Demand (677) zone, found a bounce, and initiated an upside move. The range is still intact. Internally, price appears to be forming an accumulation structure. (For reference, I’m sharing last week’s SPY post.) Prediction / Scenarios Range Play Price is fully trading within a range structure, compressed between the higher time frame HTF Supply above and the higher time frame HTF Demand below. The healthiest approach is to trade the range between 696 and 677. Supply Rejection Scenarios Scenario 1: Price reaches HTF Supply (696) and closes 4H candles below it. In this case Puts/shorts can be considered. Scenario 2: Price taps the upper band (HTF Supply), tests 695.25, and shows rejection confirmed by 4H closes below 695.25. In this case Puts/shorts can be considered targeting a move back toward the lower band. Bearish targets: 1-687 (Range EQ) 2-677 (HTF Demand) Demand Bounce Scenarios Scenario 1: Price reaches HTF Demand (677) and closes 4H candles above it. In this case Calls/longs can be considered. Scenario 2: Price tests 675.75 and finds a confirmed bounce with 2x 4H closes above 675.75. In this case Calls/longs can be considered. Bullish targets: 1-687 (Range EQ) 2-694 (HTF Supply) Bullish Scenario (Range Zone Bullish Breakout) If price breaks 698 aggressively and secures a daily close above it, the range will be considered broken and structure turns bullish. On a retest of 698, Calls can be taken to position long on SPY. Bearish Scenario If price breaks 669.5 (HTF Bounce Level 1) aggressively and secures a daily close below it, Puts can be considered on the retest of this level for a deeper retracement move. In this case, the first target will be 649 (HTF Bounce Level 2). Bounce Levels Without Range Zones HTF Bounce Level 1 (669.5) and HTF Bounce Level 2 (649) are, in my view, potential bounce areas outside of the defined range. If price reaches these levels and secures a daily close above, a bounce can be expected and Calls may be considered to position long. Position Management Price must provide confirmation before entering any trade. If price closes 4H candles back above or below a level that was considered broken or deviated from, the trade idea becomes invalid and positions should be exited. More detailed expectations and mid week updates are shared every Wednesday on Substack link in profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by UA_CAPITAL
2
NASDAQ has to hold those MA levels at all costs.Nasdaq (NDX) might be sitting right at the edge of a cliff as following February's correction it has still failed to recover the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) and 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). That is a critical Resistance cluster as during the 2022 Bear Cycle (which also started on a Double Top as we have today), the inability to cross the 4H MA200 was what kickstarted the massive correction. The first Target of the 2022 Bear Cycle was the 2.5 - 2.618 Fibonacci extension Zone from the Double bottom Support. As a result, if the market doesn't recover the 4H MA200, there is a real possibility of reaching 20600 by May 2026. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
Nvidia earnings: What You Need To Know?NVDA is set to report next Wednesday after close. Much of the market will hinge on the report and forward guidance. NVDA is expected to report record revenue of + $65Billion If NVDA comes in line with expectations it would mean a huge Quarter over Quarter growth of +15% For the largest company in the world to grow 15% QoQ is pretty impressive. Its hard not to expect a positive reaction for the stock if numbers come in close to the estimate.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Trading-Capital