Are tech stocks about to surge? Nasdaq New Highs? The market is very close to making a big move.
We believe the market is still bullish and will likely trend higher.
Today crypto was strong when the market was weak. This could be signaling tech is about to capture some bullish liquidity.
Banks got decimated today, which allows lots of capital to rotate back into tech.
The Nasdaq is lagging and the only indices to not make new all time highs.
NASDAQ 100 CFD
NASDAQ Testing 1 month Resistance. Break or rejection?Nasdaq (NDX) has been on a Higher Lows uptrend since the November 21 2025 bottom but following the December 05 high, it has failed to break above that 25830 Resistance (1) on 5 tests. Today it is attempting it for the 6th time.
A break and 1D candle closing above Resistance 1 then, will confirm the bullish break-out of that Ascending Triangle and transitioning into a Channel Up. If it maintains a high symmetry with the first one (+4.31%) then we expect to see 26150, falling just below Resistance 2 (26260) and the All Time High.
If however the price gets rejected again on Resistance 1 (close a candle below it), the minimum Target would be the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 25450, falling just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, which is the level that all Higher Lows since November 21 approached.
It has to be noted at this point that the 1D RSI is now hitting the Lower Highs trend-line that started on September 22 2025. If rejected here again, the market will confirm a huge Bearish Divergence that can shift the long-term trend to bearish.
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๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Nasdaq - Tech is rallying during 2026!๐ฐNasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is remaining totally bullish:
๐Analysis summary:
The Nasdaq and the entire tech sector is about to finish a very strong year of 2025. Going into 2026, market structure remains totally obvious and is clearly showing massive upside potential. Every major dip, especially going into 2026, leads to a massive buying setup.
๐Levels to watch:
$25,000 and $21,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AAPL: The 30% Rule โ Why Appleโs Next True Low Likely at 200 USD๐ AAPL WEEKLY SNAPSHOT โ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
โจ Apple Inc. is entering the late phase of a multi-year corrective cycle
๐ Primary thesis: A ~30% correction is still unfolding, consistent with prior Apple macro drawdowns
๐๏ธ Macro backdrop: Dow Jones Industrial Average extended near psychological 50,000 โ late-cycle risk elevated
โณ Timing focus: 2025 distribution โ 2026 corrective low
๐ฏ Projected downside target: $200 ยฑ10 macro support + valuation reset
________________________________________
๐ Why the 30% Correction Matters Historical Fractal Logic
Apple has repeatedly respected ~30% drawdowns during secular bull markets โ not crashes, but controlled re-ratings:
โข ๐ 2021 โ 2022:
โข High โ Low โ -30%
โข Trigger: tightening cycle + growth multiple compression
โข Outcome: strong multi-quarter recovery
โข ๐ 2024 โ 2025:
โข High โ Low โ -30%
โข Trigger: AI-led over-extension + index concentration risk
โข Outcome: range repair, not trend resumption
โข ๐ Current Cycle (2025 โ 2026):
โข Structure suggests another proportional leg
โข Distribution at highs โ rolling lower highs โ trend exhaustion
โข Measured move from 286 โ ~200 aligns with historical symmetry
๐ Market logic: Apple doesnโt usually collapse โ it compresses.
________________________________________
๐งฑ Key Technical Zones Weekly / Monthly
โข ๐บ 286โ280: Macro ceiling / cycle high (distribution complete)
โข โ๏ธ 245โ235: Mid-range congestion (temporary reactions possible)
โข ๐จ 215โ200: High-probability terminal support zone
โข ๐จ Invalidation (bear thesis): Sustained acceptance above 286
________________________________________
๐ง Macro Confluence Why 2026 Matters
โข ๐ DJIA near historic extension โ mean reversion risk rising
โข ๐ฐ Passive flows crowded into mega-caps (AAPL = core holding)
โข ๐งฎ Valuation sensitivity at cycle peaks historically resolves via price, not time
โข ๐ฐ๏ธ Apple corrections often lag index tops, bottoming after broader sentiment breaks
________________________________________
๐ฏ Strategic Trade Framework
โข โ Avoid chasing long exposure at highs
โข ๐งโโ๏ธ Expect volatility + range expansion before clarity
โข ๐ Best long-term accumulation: only near 200 zone, not earlier
โข ๐งญ Tactical traders may short rallies below 280 with tight risk
โข ๐ฆ Post-2026: High-quality reset likely sets up next secular advance
________________________________________
๐ณ๏ธ AAPL Weekly Scenarios โ Levels Quiz
Which path do you see next?
๐
ฐ๏ธ Hold above 245 โ extended range before final breakdown
๐
ฑ๏ธ Break 235 โ acceleration toward 215โ200 macro support
๐
ฒ Flush to ~200 in 2026 โ generational accumulation window
๐
ณ Your level: comment the one price that changes your bias
NASDAQ is on the verge of collapse.Nasdaq (NDX) completed its 'Santa rally' on December 26 and since then it's been pulling back, breaking below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), despite today's early rise in the aftermath of Maduro's capture over the weekend.
Technically, it is repeating the Cycle Top formation of 2021. That was achieved under a Lower Highs trend-line, which as soon as the very first week of 2022, started a violent correction that extended well beyond the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), making a first stop on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, before a dead-cat-bounce kicked in.
Right now, the latest Lower High was that 'Santa rally' and since we've just started the first week of 2026, there are high probabilities that a new collapse will begin. Even the 1D RSI comes to confirm this, being very similar to that of late 2021.
If the market repeats the 2022 Bear Cycle, then we are looking at a first Low at 21000 (Fib 2.618) by March.
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US100 / NDX - Bullish setup for 2026. Look at this 12M yearly candle chart of NDX, Text book setup of bullish as per volume and PA. Max volume buyers for the year at bottom 20% of candle, they managed to close the candle as bullish big body hammer. So 2026 - Possible liquidity grab at FVG fill and head higher, so watch out for bigger stocks level NVDA near154, NFLX near 80 an tesla near 380... when all dots connect rocket should fire for huge run of 2026. We don't know where we will close for 2026 at the moment, but there will be good run for upside. Until this dots connect expect choppy action. BTC may also fill 75k level when these dots connect.
SELLside Liquidity got Cleaned Below...VANTAGE:NAS100 price is trading below the major supply band at 25,800 โ 26,000.
This zone is the origin of the last impulsive sell-off and remains unmitigated supply.
As long as price stays below 26,000, the higher-timeframe bias remains bearish ๐ผ
On H1, market structure confirms this bias:
โข Lower highs
โข Weak reactions from demand
โข Repeated failures below supply
The recent sell-off cleaned sell-side liquidity below 25,300, followed by a sharp reaction.
This move is not accumulation.
It is a liquidity grab followed by a corrective pullback.
๐ฆ Scalp
While the higher-timeframe bias remains bearish, a short-term scalp long ๐ฆ is possible only after a clear rejection from OG demand zones on lower timeframes.
โข Sell-side liquidity already taken
โข Execution strictly based on M15 / M5 / M3
Scalp activation criteria (OG Concept) on M15 / M5 / M3:
โข Price taps OG demand zone
โข Clear rejection from the OG zone (wick + displacement)
โข Momentum shift with follow-through
โข Failure to continue lower after the liquidity sweep
Scalp plan:
โข Long only after OG zone rejection is confirmed
โข Target: 25,480 โ 25,520 (โ 25,500 supply)
โข This move is reactional, not a trend reversal
๐ No OG rejection = no trade.
๐ด Primary Scenario
Main idea: SELL the pullback
โข Key supply zone: 25,480 โ 25,520
โข This zone aligns with:
โข H1 supply
โข Prior breakdown area
โข Premium pricing within the current range
Execution logic:
โข Price reaches supply
โข Momentum weakens
โข Rejection / failure to hold above the zone
โข Continuation to the downside
Targets:
โข 25,300 โ partial profit
โข 25,250 โ liquidity retest
โข 25,180 โ 25,200 โ extension
โ Invalidation
โข M15 close above 25,550
โข Acceptance above supply invalidates the short idea
๐ง Smart Money Logic (OG Concept)
โข Panic sell triggers liquidity
โข Sell-side gets cleaned
โข Price is pushed back into premium
โข Retail chases the bounce
โข Smart money distributes into supply
Two-phase play:
โข Reaction long โ into supply
โข Distribution short โ continuation dump
Bias remains sell-side while price trades below higher-timeframe supply.
NASDAQ doesnโt move randomly. It hunts liquidity.CAPITALCOM:US100 Price is currently trading inside a broken OG zone, after a clear distribution phase from the premium area.
Market structure remains bearish, with lower highs and weak upside reactions.
Short-term outlook (15M)
โข Price failed to hold above the broken OG zone
โข No strong bullish displacement or acceptance above resistance
โข Liquidity is still resting below current price
โข Expectation: continuation to the downside to sweep short-term liquidity
Mid-term outlook (1H)
โข Overall structure remains bearish
โข Previous OG zone acting as resistance
โข Unfilled liquidity remains below the range lows
โข As long as price stays below the broken zone, shorts remain valid
My expectation
I expect price to take the liquidity below and deliver a minimum 50-point drop from the current levels.
Any pullback into the broken OG zone can be considered a sell opportunity, as long as structure does not shift.
NASDAQ 100 INDEX: Trade on the Long-Side, Breakout Incoming.Hello There,
the NASDAQ 100 INDEX recently formed interesting formational structures which caught my attention. Following the underlying price-actions a trade signal on the long-side is generated. Important here is to wait for the breakout above the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulder formation.
__________________________________________________________________________________
REASON: Inverse head-and-shoulder formation, structural MA-bullishness, strong volume spikes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trade on the Long-Side Potential
ENTRY: 25600 - 25700
MINIMUM TARGET: 26200
EXPECTED TARGET RANGE: 26300 - 26500
MINIMUM STOP LOSS: 25200
__________________________________________________________________________________
In this manner, thank you for watching and happy new year!
__________________________________________________________________________________
Breaking: Antelope Enterprise Holdings Limited (AEHL) Surge 90%The shares of Antelope Enterprise Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AEHL ) surge over 90%. The asset is set to breakout of a bullish symmetrical triangle. With the RSI at 50, this gives more room for NASDAQ:AEHL to capitalize on the bullish spike.
In recent news, Antelope Enterprise Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: AEHL), today announced that its board of directors has approved a change of the Companyโs fiscal year end from December 31 to September 30.
The Company plans to file a transition report on Form 20-F for the transition period of January 1, 2025 through September 30, 2025. The Companyโs 2026 fiscal year will begin on October 1, 2025 and end on September 30, 2026.
CEO Ms. Tingting Zhang, stated: โThis fiscal year change is intended to better align our reporting cycle with the Companyโs operational and financial planning needs. We remain committed to high standards of financial reporting, transparency, and compliance.โ
About AEHL
Antelope Enterprise Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides livestream e-commerce, and business management and information systems consulting services in the People's Republic of China and the United States. The company operates social media and various e-commerce platforms. It also provides business management consulting; information system technology consulting services, including the sales of software use rights for digital data deposit platforms and asset management systems.
Nasdaq 100 Index - Analysis & ProjectionBased on the current upward trajectory and the alignment of moving averages, the Nasdaq 100 Index is likely to continue its bullish trend in the near term, potentially testing the 26,000 level by mid-January 2026 if momentum persists. However, a pullback could occur if the RSI approaches overbought territory (above 70), possibly around the 25,800 resistance level. Long-term, the index may aim for 27,000 by mid-2026, assuming sustained economic growth and favorable market conditions, though external factors like interest rate changes or geopolitical events could introduce volatility.
NASDAQ Will this rejection lead to a bearish 2026 opening?Nasdaq (NDX) just got rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line that started after its October 30 All Time High (ATH). With the 4H RSI also rejected on its own Lower Highs trend-line and the 4H MACD forming a Bearish Cross already, we expect this to be the start of a new Bearish Leg, similar to the previous two that followed such Lower Highs rejections.
As a result, the most likely scenario as long as this trend-line remains intact, is for the index to approach the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) again. We expect it to hit at least 24800.
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NAS100 Shows Strong Bullish Structure After Pullback๐ NASDAQ100 (NAS100) | Bullish Swing Trade Opportunity ๐ฏ
Market Trade Opportunity Guide โ SMA Pullback Strategy
๐ฅ TRADE SETUP SUMMARY
Asset: NAS100/US100 (NASDAQ-100 Index)
Timeframe: Swing Trade
Strategy: Bullish Simple Moving Average (SMA) Pullback
Bias: ๐ข BULLISH CONFIRMED
๐ ENTRY POINTS
Flexible Entry Strategy:
โ
Any price level entry acceptable (DCA approach recommended)
โ
Optimal entry zones: SMA support pullback levels
โ
Consider scaling into positions on dips
โ
Volume confirmation at entry crucial for momentum
๐ STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
Primary SL Level: 25,200
โ ๏ธ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. Adjust your stop loss based on:
โ Your personal risk management strategy
โ Individual account risk tolerance
โ Position sizing preferences
โ Your trading experience & capital allocation
Your responsibility: Set SL that fits YOUR risk profile. Don't rely solely on suggested levels.
๐ฏ PROFIT TARGETS
Primary Target: 26,100
Key Resistance Factors:
๐ High voltage resistance zone
๐ Overbought conditions detected
โก Trap risk at elevated levels
๐ก Recommend: Take partial profits, don't go all-in
โ ๏ธ DISCLAIMER: TP level is reference only. Manage profits based on:
โ Your personal trading objectives
โ Risk/reward ratio preferences
โ Market momentum confirmation
โ Your own technical analysis
Exit Strategy: Capture gains systematically. Don't be greedyโtake money when available.
๐ RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Analysis)
Major USD Pairs to Monitor:
EUR/USD ๐ถ โ Current: 1.1713 | Bias: ๐ต Bearish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Risk sentiment driver)
GBP/USD ๐ฌ๐ง โ Current: 1.3381 | Bias: ๐ต Bearish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Tech growth proxy)
USD/JPY ๐ฏ๐ต โ Current: 155.00 | Bias: ๐ข Bullish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Carry trade impact)
USD/CAD ๐จ๐ฆ โ Current: 1.38 | Bias: ๐ต Bearish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Risk-off correlation)
Correlation Insights:
Weaker USD = Better for tech stocks (positive NAS100). Stronger JPY carry = Risk-off mood (negative NAS100). Watch EUR/USD & GBP/USD for broader sentiment shiftsโthese are your early warning indicators for tech sector rotation.
๐ FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (December 2025)
Fed Monetary Policy ๐ฆ
โ
Latest Decision (December 10, 2025):
Rate cut: 25 basis points (0.25%)
New target range: 3.50%-3.75%
3rd consecutive rate cut in 2025
Divided vote: 9 for cuts, 3 dissenting
Market Implication: Powell signals "patience" on further cutsโlimited cuts expected in 2026 (only 1-2 projected). This is a headwind for aggressive tech rallies but supports intermediate tech strength.
Inflation Status ๐
PCE Inflation (September 2025): 2.8% (above 2% target)
Trend: Inflation moved UP since earlier 2025, remains "somewhat elevated"
Outlook: Expected to remain above 2% through 2026
Tariff Risk: Trump tariffs expected to push inflation higher in 2026
Market Implication: Persistent inflation limits Fed's ability to cut rates aggressively. Tech valuations face pressure from higher rates. Expect volatility from tariff-related inflation surprises.
Employment & Labor Market ๐ฅ
Job gains: Slowed significantly in 2025
Unemployment rate: Edged up through September (at 4.4%)
Fed assessment: "Downside risks to employment rose in recent months"
Tone: Labor market showing weakness, supporting rate cuts
Market Implication: Weaker jobs data = positive for equities (lower rates). But lack of October/November data due to govt shutdown creates uncertainty going into 2026.
Economic Growth ๐
GDP Growth (Fed projection 2026): 2.3% (raised from 2.0%)
Current pace: "Moderate expansion" of economic activity
Outlook: Modest growth expected, not recessionary
Market Implication: No recession expected. Growth supports equity rallies like NAS100, but tariffs could dampen 2026 growth trajectory.
Key Macro Risks for 2026 โ ๏ธ
Tariff Impact: Trump tariffs likely to increase inflation and reduce growth
Rate Uncertainty: Fed Chairman succession unclear; policy direction murky
Government Data Gaps: October/November data delayed; information asymmetry high
Market Expectations Divergence: Fed members divided on future rate path
Bond Yields: Higher yields = headwind for high-multiple tech stocks
๐
KEY UPCOMING EVENTS TO WATCH
January 2026: Fed Chair decision; delayed employment/inflation data releases
Q1 2026: Tariff implementation timeline clarity
2026 FOMC Meetings: Only 1-2 rate cuts priced vs. 3+ in 2025
๐ฏ TRADE BIAS CONCLUSION
Technical: ๐ข Bullish (SMA support confirmed)
Macro: ๐ก Cautious (Fed pause, tariff uncertainty)
Composite: ๐ข BUY dips toward 25,200 | Target 26,100 | Manage risk aggressively
๐ RISK DISCLAIMER
โ
All trading involves risk. No guarantees on outcomes.
โ
Past performance โ future results
โ
Use proper position sizing & risk management
โ
Trade with only capital you can afford to lose
โ
This is analysis, not financial advice
NASDAQ One final Santa push??Nasdaq (NDX) is rebounding today on its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), capitalizing on the short 6-day Channel Up that it's been trading in.
With a 1H MACD Bullish Cross confirming the start of the new Bullish Leg, we can expect at least a +2.11% rise (similar to the 1st Bullish Leg) on this one, targeting 25900, as part of the final 'Santa rally' push.
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NASDAQ NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe NAS100 is currently in a strong bullish trend ๐. Price has been pushing higher with momentum and is now trading into a key resistance zone. We could see a short-term pullback as traders lock in profits, but overall, the trend looks ready to continue โ๏ธ.
Keep an eye on any market-moving events later todayโthey could either accelerate the trend or trigger a deeper retracement. If the bullish momentum holds, a pullback might offer a good opportunity to join the trend for a continuation trade ๐ช.
โก Key Points:
NAS100 trending bullish ๐
Approaching resistance, watch for pullback โ๏ธ
Potential continuation trade on strength ๐ฅ
Can PepsiCo Extend Higher Following This Technical Breakout?๐ ASSET OVERVIEW
Asset: NASDAQ:PEP โ PEPSICO, INC
Exchange: NASDAQ
Market Type: Stock
Trading Style: Swing Trade
๐ง TRADE THESIS (BULLISH BIAS)
NASDAQ:PEP has activated a bullish structure following a Triangular Moving Average (TMA) breakout, signaling a potential trend continuation phase.
Price action confirms:
Higher lows structure ๐
Momentum expansion after consolidation
Breakout supported by trend-following averages
This setup favors controlled accumulation, not chasing.
๐ฏ ENTRY PLAN โ STEALTH LAYERING STRATEGY
Instead of a single fixed entry, this plan uses a layered limit order approach to manage volatility and improve average price.
๐น Layered Buy Limits (Example):
150.00
148.00
147.00
146.00
๐ You may add or adjust layers based on personal risk management and market volatility.
๐ Entry can also be taken at any price level depending on confirmation and execution style.
This method helps:
Reduce emotional entries
Improve risk-adjusted positioning
Adapt to pullbacks without panic
๐ RISK MANAGEMENT (STOP-LOSS)
Protective Stop: 144.00
โ ๏ธ Risk management is always trader-dependent.
This stop is a reference level, not a mandatory rule.
Adjust based on:
Account size
Risk tolerance
Timeframe preference
๐ฏ PROFIT OBJECTIVE
Primary Target: 158.00
This zone aligns with:
Strong historical resistance
Overbought conditions
Potential liquidity trap area
๐ Partial profit booking is encouraged near resistance.
๐ Capital protection > maximum profit.
๐ ADDITIONAL CONFIRMATIONS TO WATCH
Volume expansion on continuation
Price holding above breakout structure
No aggressive bearish rejection near resistance
๐ RELATED SYMBOLS TO WATCH (CORRELATION CHECK)
NYSE:KO (Coca-Cola) โ Sector strength confirmation
AMEX:SPY โ Overall market risk sentiment
AMEX:XLP โ Consumer Staples sector momentum
๐ If AMEX:XLP & NYSE:KO remain strong, probability increases for NASDAQ:PEP follow-through.
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT NOTES
This is not financial advice
Market conditions can change rapidly
Always align execution with your personal trading plan
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
Disclaimer: This is a stealth-style trading strategy shared for educational and entertainment purposes only.
#PEP #PepsiCo #SwingTrading #NASDAQ #BullishBreakout
#LayeredEntry #TechnicalAnalysis #Stocks #TradingView
NASDAQ Time to correct hard until it reaches this level again.Exactly 6 months ago (June 20, see chart below), we posted the following analysis on Nasdaq (NDX), which helped us ride the rally following the April 07 2025 market low:
The reasoning behind this was that Nasdaq's low was on its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line), a key Support level which since 2009 and the start of the market's dominant multi-year Channel Up following the 2008 Housing Crisis, has offered 5 perfect long-term buy entries upon contact, only breaking once during the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
Now that the 3W RSI is displaying a Lower Highs Bearish Divergence (against the price's Higher Highs) that has been formed on another 3 prior Cycle Tops, we expect the market to start reversing soon for another cyclical correction. Technically another Bearish Leg for the dominant Channel Up.
Naturally, we expect it to reach at least the 3W MA50 again. Based on its trajectory, it is possible for contact to be made around 20500. Keep in mind again that absolute pricing isn't the important thing here, timing is. The most optimal time to buy based on this high accuracy model, is upon contact with the 3W MA50, regardless of the price it is at, so don't get fixed on 20500, but it is a fair projection based on the trend.
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MSTR: Time to Short? Death Cross + Triangle Break Analysis๐ป MSTR "STRATEGY INC." - The Bear's Playground | Thief's Multi-Layer Setup ๐ฐ
๐ MARKET SNAPSHOT
Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (Strategy Inc. - formerly MicroStrategy)
Current Price: ~$291.23 (Oct 17, 2025)
Setup Type: Swing/Day Trade - Bearish Confirmation
Strategy Style: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Orders ๐ฏ
๐ THE SETUP - Why This Bearish Play Makes Sense
Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief's playbook! ๐ MSTR just gave us a beautiful bearish signal with a triangular moving average breakdown. Here's what the charts are screaming:
๐ฏ The "Thief" Entry Strategy - Layered Limit Orders
This isn't your typical "buy now" play. We're sneaking in like a thief in the night with MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT LAYERS:
Entry Zones (Layer Your Shorts):
Layer 1: $310 (First resistance retest)
Layer 2: $300 (Psychological level)
Layer 3: $290 (Current consolidation zone)
๐ก Pro Tip: Scale into your position! You can add MORE layers based on your risk tolerance (e.g., $305, $295, $285). The "Thief Method" is all about spreading your entries to catch the perfect price zones.
๐ RISK MANAGEMENT - The Thief's Insurance Policy
Stop Loss: $320 ๐จ
(This is the Thief's emergency exit - if price breaks above this, the bears lost control)
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT NOTE:
Dear Thief OG's (Original Gangsters), this is MY stop loss level based on MY analysis. You should set YOUR OWN stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Don't copy blindly - manage YOUR money, take YOUR profits (or losses) at YOUR own risk! This is YOUR trade, not mine. ๐ฏ
๐ฏ PROFIT TARGET - Where the Money's Hiding
Primary Target: $250 ๐
Why $250?
Strong historical support level
Oversold bounce zone (RSI typically rebounds here)
TRAP ALERT: Institutional buyers often accumulate at this level - be ready to ESCAPE with your profits before the bulls wake up! ๐๐ค
โ ๏ธ TAKE PROFIT NOTE:
Dear Thief OG's, $250 is MY target based on MY analysis. You can (and should) set YOUR own targets. If you're in profit at $270, $260, or even $280 - TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN! ๐ฐ No shame in banking profits early. Remember: pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. This is YOUR trade, YOUR risk, YOUR decision!
๐ RELATED ASSETS TO WATCH - The Correlation Game
MSTR doesn't trade in a vacuum! Keep your eyes on these correlated assets:
๐ Primary Correlation:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin): ~$108,625 (Oct 17, 2025) - MSTR holds 640,000+ BTC (3%+ of total supply!)
Correlation Strength: ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ ULTRA HIGH
Why It Matters: MSTR is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play. When BTC sneezes, MSTR catches a cold. Bitcoin's current bearish pressure directly impacts MSTR's valuation.
๐ Secondary Watchlist:
NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase): Crypto exchange - sentiment indicator
NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms): Bitcoin mining stock
NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital): Another BTC-related equity
NASDAQ:CLSK (CleanSpark): Bitcoin mining operations
Key Point: If Bitcoin breaks below $105K support, expect MSTR to accelerate downward. Conversely, if BTC rallies back above $115K, this bearish setup could invalidate. Watch Bitcoin like a hawk! ๐ฆ
๐ THE BIGGER PICTURE - Why MSTR Is Vulnerable Right Now
Bitcoin Pressure: BTC down -2.19% today, testing critical support levels
Institutional Caution: Recent S&P 500 rejection (not included in index) = credibility questions
Valuation Concerns: Trading at significant premium to NAV (Net Asset Value)
Technical Breakdown: Multiple MA crosses + trend reversal signals
Macro Headwinds: Risk-off sentiment in crypto markets (3-day consecutive decline)
๐ THE THIEF'S WISDOM - Final Thoughts
This setup combines:
โ
Technical confirmation (MA breakout)
โ
Layered entry strategy (better average price)
โ
Clear risk management (defined stop loss)
โ
Realistic profit targets (strong support zone)
โ
Correlated asset monitoring (BTC relationship)
Remember: The market doesn't care about your opinion. Respect the charts, manage your risk, and don't get greedy. The "Thief Method" is about stealing profits intelligently, not gambling recklessly! ๐ฐโ
๐ฌ TRADE SMART, NOT HARD!
This is a BEARISH SETUP with defined entries, exits, and risk parameters. Whether you're swing trading or day trading, the key is DISCIPLINE. Stick to your plan, don't chase, and protect your capital.
Questions? Thoughts? Drop them below! ๐
Let's build a community of smart traders who help each other win! ๐ค
โจ If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!
#MSTR #Bitcoin #BTC #TradingView #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BearishSetup #ShortSetup #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ProfitTarget #StrategyInc #MicroStrategy #ThiefMethod #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #NASDAQ
OPEN: Time to Accumulate? Layer Entry Method Explained๐ฏ OPEN: The Heist is ON! ๐ ๐ฐ Strategic Swing Trade Setup
๐ Asset Overview
Ticker: OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc.)
Exchange: NASDAQ
Trade Type: Swing Trade
Bias: ๐ BULLISH
๐ญ The Master Plan: "Operation Real Estate Robbery"
Listen up, fellow wealth redistributors! ๐ Opendoor's chart is screaming opportunity louder than a house alarm at 3 AM. We're setting up a classic layered accumulation strategy (aka "The Thief's Multi-Pocket Approach") to maximize our position while managing risk like professionals.
๐ช Entry Strategy: The Layered Infiltration Method
Primary Approach: Multiple Limit Orders (Ladder Strategy)
Instead of going all-in at one price (rookie move ๐
), we're spreading our capital across strategic levels:
Recommended Entry Layers:
๐ฏ Layer 1: $6.50
๐ฏ Layer 2: $7.00
๐ฏ Layer 3: $7.50
๐ฏ Layer 4: $8.00
Flexibility Note: You can adjust the number of layers and position sizing based on your capital and risk appetite. Some traders prefer tighter layers ($0.25 increments), others go wider. Make it yours! ๐ช
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, current market price entry works too, but layering gives you better average cost basis on dips.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management: The Escape Hatch
Stop Loss: $6.00
โ ๏ธ Important Disclaimer: This SL level is based on technical structure, but YOU are the captain of your own ship. Adjust based on:
Your risk tolerance
Account size
Market volatility
Personal trading rules
Risk Management Tip: Never risk more than 1-2% of your total capital on a single trade. Set your position size accordingly!
๐ฏ Target: The Grand Exit
Primary Target: $10.00
At this level, we're expecting:
๐จ Strong resistance zone
๐ Potential overbought conditions
Possible bull trap area
๐ฐ Excellent risk-reward ratio
Scaling Out Strategy (Advanced Move):
Consider taking 30-50% profits at $9.00-$9.50
Trail stop-loss on remaining position
Lock in gains progressively
Remember: Nobody went broke taking profits! ๐ต If the market gives you money, take it. Don't get greedy waiting for the "perfect" exit.
๐ Related Assets to Watch
Keep these correlated symbols on your radar for confluence:
๐ $Z (Zillow Group) - Direct competitor in real estate tech, strong correlation with OPEN's price action
๐ BLACKBULL:RDFN (Redfin Corporation) - Another proptech player, moves in sympathy with sector sentiment
๐ NASDAQ:EXPI (eXp World Holdings) - Real estate brokerage, broader sector health indicator
๐ AMEX:IYR (iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF) - Overall real estate sector strength/weakness gauge
๐ AMEX:XHB (SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF) - Housing market sentiment indicator
Correlation Logic: When real estate tech and housing sectors show strength, OPEN typically benefits. Conversely, sector weakness can drag OPEN down regardless of individual fundamentals. Watch for divergencesโthey often signal important reversals! ๐
๐ Technical Synopsis
This setup combines:
โ
Strategic layered entries for optimal positioning
โ
Defined risk with clear stop-loss
โ
Realistic profit target with strong R:R ratio
โ
Sector correlation awareness
โ
Flexible execution for different trading styles
The swing trade timeframe gives this setup room to breathe and develop, perfect for traders who don't want to be glued to charts all day! โฐ
โก The Bottom Line
This isn't financial adviceโit's a strategic roadmap presented with personality! The "thief style" approach is all about:
๐ฏ Strategic positioning
๐ก๏ธ Risk management
๐ฐ Profit-taking discipline
๐ Having fun while trading
Trade smart. Trade safe. Trade YOUR plan.
โจ If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!
#OPEN #OpendoorTechnologies #SwingTrade #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RealEstateTech #PropTech #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingView #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingIdeas #SwingTrading #DayTrading
Nasdaq - The final blow-off top!โฐ๏ธNasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) can rally a final +25%:
๐Analysis summary:
Just this month, we witnessed quite some volatility on the Nasdaq with a correction of about -10%. However, bulls immediately stepped in and clearly pushed price higher. Since there is still bullish pressure, a final blow-off top rally in the near future is quite likely.
๐Levels to watch:
$25,000 and $30,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION






















