Did You Buy The Dip? Heres What we bought!Today the SPX had an incredible morning selloff - met with and even more incredible rally.
The markets were in turmoil today up until the bulls stepped in and made a red to green reversal.
Days like today often create the biggest portfolio gains when you can buy stock at depressed levels.
We accumulated 6 position longs today.
Massive technicals were tested and defended today.
NASDAQ 100 CFD
Nasdaq - The most important structure!๐ฐNasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) perfectly respects structure:
๐Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, the Nasdaq has been rallying an expected +50%. Still, until the Nasdaq will retest the upper channel resistance trendline, this rally won't be over. Therefore, we can still see a rally of another +10% in the very near future.
๐Levels to watch:
$25,000 and $30,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Nasdaq NAS100 Bulls Regain Control: What Iโm Watching Next๐ On the 4-hour NASDAQ chart, we can clearly see a break in structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish momentum entering the market. ๐ฉ The buyers are showing strength, and Iโll be looking to capitalize on this momentum โ but only if we see a confirmed break of the current swing high, followed by a retracement into the retest zone. ๐
However, patience is key. โณ Iโll only look to engage if todayโs New York session data release aligns with and supports the bullish bias. Fundamentals and technicals must work together before I take a position.
As mentioned in the video, if the anticipated price action fails to materialize, weโll simply abandon this setup and move on โ staying disciplined is crucial. ๐ซ
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
A signal for catching a bounce has emerged.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
SPY : Stay heavy on positionsSPY : Stay heavy on positions (2x leverage)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
A signal for catching a bounce has emerged.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold SPY(+QQQ) and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of SSO(+QLD) and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
โIntelโs Bullish Structure Building Power for a Breakout Move!โ๐ฅ INTC โIntel Corporationโ โ The Thiefโs Profit Playbook ๐ถ๏ธ๐ฐ (Swing/Day Trade Setup)
โ๏ธ Plan Overview โ Bullish Setup with Thief Precision
The Thief Strategy is in play here โ a smart layering entry method designed to steal optimal positions from impatient traders. ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ
Our mission: Load, Layer, Loot, and Leave with Profits.
๐ฏ Entry Plan (Layering Method)
Weโre layering multiple buy limits (thief-style) to catch value dips:
Buy Limit Layers: 35.00 ๐ต โ 36.00 ๐ต โ 37.00 ๐ต
(โ๏ธ You can expand your layers based on your risk tolerance and style โ thieves adapt fast.)
๐ก Why Layer? Because a pro thief never rushes a vault โ we break in step-by-step. This builds position strength while keeping entry efficiency.
๐ก๏ธ Stop Loss (Thiefโs Escape Hatch)
๐ Stop Loss @34.00
๐ฌ โDear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs) โ Iโm not recommending you set my SL. Youโre the boss of your vault. Manage your own risk, grab the bag, and disappear in profits like a shadow.โ ๐๐ผ
๐ Target Zone (Profit Extraction Level)
๐ฏ Main Target: @43.00
๐ Police Barricade @44.00 โ strong resistance zone + overbought region + potential bull trap.
๐ง Play it smart โ escape clean with gains at 43.00 before the blue lights flash. ๐จ
๐ฌ โDear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs) โ not recommending you follow my TP blindly. Make your own move, take your profit, and vanish like a ghost.โ ๐ป๐ธ
๐งฉ Technical Breakdown
Intel (INTC) forming a strong base accumulation near the $35โ37 range.
Volume Profile shows liquidity pockets aligning with the layering zones.
RSI hovering mid-levels โ room for upside before overbought conditions hit near $43โ44.
EMA Confluence: Price reclaiming short-term EMA โ early trend reversal signals in motion.
Fundamental Boost: Intelโs AI chip roadmap and cost-optimization headlines add bullish narrative momentum. โ๏ธ๐
๐ Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Market Sync)
๐ NASDAQ:NVDA โ Leader in AI semis; momentum correlation ~0.78 with INTC.
๐ NASDAQ:AMD โ Similar sector swing potential; can mirror INTC lag-moves.
๐ NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) โ Sector strength indicator. A breakout above resistance supports INTCโs upside.
๐ NASDAQ:QQQ / NASDAQ:NDX โ Tech-heavy indices; bullish bias strengthens chip sector sentiment.
๐งญ Correlation Tip: If NVDA or QQQ rallies strongly while INTC consolidates โ thatโs your thiefโs golden signal to layer your entries quietly before the breakout sparks. โก
โ๏ธ Risk Management Wisdom
Never go all-in; layer your risk like a pro.
Keep your SL tight but mind flexible.
Respect zones โ police donโt like thieves hanging around too long. ๐
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
๐ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade wisely โ stay stealthy. ๐ถ๏ธ
#INTC #Intel #StockMarket #SwingTrade #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntries #TechnicalAnalysis #NASDAQ #StocksToWatch #AIStocks #TradingViewCommunity #TradingViewEditorsPick #Semiconductors #NVDA #AMD #QQQ #ProfitPlaybook
Nasdaq Selloff Extends in Asia โ But How Bad Is It, Really?Asian markets saw a second wave of selling today, with Nasdaq futures falling around 1% during Asian trade. After fielding several emails from journalists asking โwhy,โ I canโt help but think this move may be more about technical repositioning after an extended run higher.
In this video, I walk through the monthly, weekly, and daily Nasdaq charts to share where I think we could go from here.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
NAS100 | Bearish Momentum Extends The Nasdaq 100 fell about 2.1% (~500 points) as projected, maintaining a bearish outlook while technology stocks continued to weigh on market sentiment.
Below 25,700: Bearish continuation towards 25,340 โ 25,230 โ 25,000.
Above 25,700: Short-term recovery towards 25,820 โ 26,170.
How to Trade NASDAQ NAS100 Retracements Into An Imbalance๐ NASDAQ NAS100 Analysis โ Watching for a Bullish Opportunity ๐
I'm currently focused on the Nasdaq NAS100. On the weekly timeframe, it remains in a strong bullish trend ๐น. Recently, however, we've seen a sharp and aggressive retracement. Given that the market was overextended, this pullback is healthy and expected, as price seeks to tap liquidity pools and rebalance โ๏ธ.
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, we can clearly identify a bullish imbalance ๐น. This area serves as my key point of interest for a potential move lower. The ideal scenario is for price to hold above the imbalance low and then break structure bullishly ๐ผ.
Key conditions for a high-probability long trade:
Price must not break below the imbalance low ๐ซโฌ๏ธ
Price must establish higher highs and higher lows to confirm bullish momentum ๐
If these conditions align, I will be looking for a long entry opportunity. โ ๏ธ Not financial advice โ this is purely market analysis for educational purposes.
NASDAQ Channel Up still stands buy needs a pull-back.Nasdaq (NDX) reached the top of its 5-month Channel Up and got rejected. It completed a +9.59% rise from the last 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bottom (Higher Low for the pattern), similar to the previous Bullish Leg.
The maximum a Bullish Leg has increased by inside this pattern is +10.87%. As a result, either now or just above it, the pattern would require a technical pull-back. The most usual buy signal is on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the most effective when the 4H RSI breaks below its oversold (30.00) barrier.
Our next Buy Zone is within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement range.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
QQQ Weekly Map 3โ7 Nov 2025Context
QQQ finished the week near the highs after a steady October climb. Buyers keep absorbing every shallow pullback. This week sits on two hinges. First, jobs and services data that nudge yields and implied vol. Second, a small cluster of tech earnings that can rotate leadership inside semis and handsets. The plan is simple. Let the market prove strength above the record band or let it pull back into patient demand. You will trade the reaction, not the forecast.
Chart setup
Use a one hour chart. Add 20 and 50 EMAs, a daily VWAP with bands, and the previous week high and low. Keep plots at global scope and turn lookahead off. Display VIX on a small separate pane for bias only.
Levels that matter
โข 637.01 is the record high and the top of the current band
โข 635 to 637 is the breakout ridge where wicks happen first and real holds happen later
โข 629 is the Friday close reference for gap work on Monday
โข 626 is last weekโs first shelf where buyers defended cleanly
โข 620 is a round shelf with memory from October
โข 612 is the mean reversion area that often aligns with short term moving averages
โข 597 is the bigger trend check where the intermediate crew steps in
How to read the week
Imagine a door at 637. When price opens that door and stays inside the new room for a while, trend traders have permission. If price knocks and gets rejected, range traders take the other side. If price steps down into 620 to 612 while volatility stays tame, that is where you seek bounces with tight risk. Your confirms are simple. VIX under the upper teens is friendly. Yields not jumping is friendly. If either flips, you slow down.
Three rules only
โข Rule 1. Momentum only above the ridge. If cash breaks and holds above 637 for at least thirty minutes, take a starter. First target 645, stretch 650. Invalidate on a clean loss and thirty minute close back inside 635.
โข Rule 2. Buy the dip into 620 to 612 only if volatility stays calm. Enter in the 620 to 612 pocket when VIX stays below your upper guardrail. Manage a first target 620 to 626 and trail. Invalidate on a decisive thirty minute close under 609 to 610.
โข Rule 3. Risk first below 597. If the week forces a daily close below 597, treat it as a trend health check. Reduce gross and net and wait for a reclaim before trying to be a hero.
Why this works
One instrument. One band at the highs. One pocket for mean reversion. You are not predicting the data. You are pricing the reaction at the lines the market already respects. Breakout failures happen and that is fine because your hold filter removes most traps. Dips fail too and that is fine because your volatility guardrail removes the worst ones.
Intraday guide
โข Morning plan. If we gap up into the ridge, let the first thrust exhaust and demand the hold. If we gap down toward 626, let the opening range print and only act after the first pullback.
โข Midday plan. If price is inside 629 to 635 around lunch, expect chop. Trades there are optional.
โข Afternoon plan. If the day is trending, trail behind a five minute reclaim of your entry line.
Risk and heat
Set maximum portfolio heat per idea at one half of one percent. Scale entries in thirds. Respect your stop even when it feels unfair. A string of small scratches is the tuition for the one clean runner that pays for the week.
Earnings and calendar awareness
AMD and Qualcomm after the close on Tuesday and Wednesday can swing semis and handsets. Shopify and Airbnb bookend consumer tone. The first week of the month carries ADP, services PMIs, ISM services, and payrolls. Do not guess the print. Trade the reaction at the levels on your chart. If VIX jumps before data, size down and wait for the dust to settle.
Cross checks
โข If the ten year sits near recent levels or drifts lower, multiples breathe and the 637 break has better odds
โข If VIX pins below the upper teens, dips are easier to buy
โข If one of these flips, you slow down and treat the day like a range
Reminder
Education and analytics only. No advice. No guarantees. Process beats prediction.
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?๐ฏ NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup ๐ฐ
๐ Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
๐ Technical Foundation
Bias: ๐ BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
๐ The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" ๐
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
๐ฏ Layer 1: 24,800
๐ฏ Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
๐ฏ Layer 3: 25,200
๐ฏ Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
โ ๏ธ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
๐ฏ Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
โ ๏ธ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! ๐ท
๐ Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
๐ SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
๐ NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
๐ NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
๐ NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
๐ NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
๐ NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
๐ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
๐ TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
โก Key Technical Points
โ
LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
โ
Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
โ
Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
โ
Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
โ
Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
โ ๏ธ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
๐ญ The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." ๐
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
๐ข Community Support
โจ If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious
The NASDAQ reversed from its all-time high and remains below 26,175, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
โก๏ธ Below 26,175: Bearish bias toward 25,890 โ 25,700 โ 25,340.
โก๏ธ Above 26,245: Bullish continuation toward 26,500 โ 26,850.
Pivot POINT: 26,175
Support: 25,890 ยท 25,700 ยท 25,340
Resistance: 26,500 ยท 26,850 ยท 27,000
USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,175, but a 1H close above 26,245 would confirm a bullish breakout toward higher targets.
Nasdaq Computer sector & Nasdaq nearing pullback areaNasdaq Computer (IXCO) Is nearing pullback territory (23,717 resistance). IXCO being the largest sector in Nasdaq (IXIC) means the composite index, now that it's over previous resistance, is also looking for a pullback into support (20,160).
It's possible IXCO will break resistance next year and if that happens whatever gains are made will be lost on an eventual drop back into support.
If you have call options on NVDA or other tech companies closing them when IXCO hits 23,717 is highly advisable. If it hits there around this January it could be 2 years before IXCO resumes the uptrend past 23,717. Calls will likely get destroyed during this time.
Another note is lots of tech IPOs are occurring this year with lofty valuations. When this IXCO pullback comes they are likely to get hit hard. It's a great opportunity to short or wait to buy up the ones you like when the pullback is over.
As always good luck and try your best to avoid getting into new tech related trades as this year ends. It's going to be a great idea to have cash ready next year.
OPEN: Time to Accumulate? Layer Entry Method Explained๐ฏ OPEN: The Heist is ON! ๐ ๐ฐ Strategic Swing Trade Setup
๐ Asset Overview
Ticker: OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc.)
Exchange: NASDAQ
Trade Type: Swing Trade
Bias: ๐ BULLISH
๐ญ The Master Plan: "Operation Real Estate Robbery"
Listen up, fellow wealth redistributors! ๐ Opendoor's chart is screaming opportunity louder than a house alarm at 3 AM. We're setting up a classic layered accumulation strategy (aka "The Thief's Multi-Pocket Approach") to maximize our position while managing risk like professionals.
๐ช Entry Strategy: The Layered Infiltration Method
Primary Approach: Multiple Limit Orders (Ladder Strategy)
Instead of going all-in at one price (rookie move ๐
), we're spreading our capital across strategic levels:
Recommended Entry Layers:
๐ฏ Layer 1: $6.50
๐ฏ Layer 2: $7.00
๐ฏ Layer 3: $7.50
๐ฏ Layer 4: $8.00
Flexibility Note: You can adjust the number of layers and position sizing based on your capital and risk appetite. Some traders prefer tighter layers ($0.25 increments), others go wider. Make it yours! ๐ช
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, current market price entry works too, but layering gives you better average cost basis on dips.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management: The Escape Hatch
Stop Loss: $6.00
โ ๏ธ Important Disclaimer: This SL level is based on technical structure, but YOU are the captain of your own ship. Adjust based on:
Your risk tolerance
Account size
Market volatility
Personal trading rules
Risk Management Tip: Never risk more than 1-2% of your total capital on a single trade. Set your position size accordingly!
๐ฏ Target: The Grand Exit
Primary Target: $10.00
At this level, we're expecting:
๐จ Strong resistance zone
๐ Potential overbought conditions
Possible bull trap area
๐ฐ Excellent risk-reward ratio
Scaling Out Strategy (Advanced Move):
Consider taking 30-50% profits at $9.00-$9.50
Trail stop-loss on remaining position
Lock in gains progressively
Remember: Nobody went broke taking profits! ๐ต If the market gives you money, take it. Don't get greedy waiting for the "perfect" exit.
๐ Related Assets to Watch
Keep these correlated symbols on your radar for confluence:
๐ $Z (Zillow Group) - Direct competitor in real estate tech, strong correlation with OPEN's price action
๐ BLACKBULL:RDFN (Redfin Corporation) - Another proptech player, moves in sympathy with sector sentiment
๐ NASDAQ:EXPI (eXp World Holdings) - Real estate brokerage, broader sector health indicator
๐ AMEX:IYR (iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF) - Overall real estate sector strength/weakness gauge
๐ AMEX:XHB (SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF) - Housing market sentiment indicator
Correlation Logic: When real estate tech and housing sectors show strength, OPEN typically benefits. Conversely, sector weakness can drag OPEN down regardless of individual fundamentals. Watch for divergencesโthey often signal important reversals! ๐
๐ Technical Synopsis
This setup combines:
โ
Strategic layered entries for optimal positioning
โ
Defined risk with clear stop-loss
โ
Realistic profit target with strong R:R ratio
โ
Sector correlation awareness
โ
Flexible execution for different trading styles
The swing trade timeframe gives this setup room to breathe and develop, perfect for traders who don't want to be glued to charts all day! โฐ
โก The Bottom Line
This isn't financial adviceโit's a strategic roadmap presented with personality! The "thief style" approach is all about:
๐ฏ Strategic positioning
๐ก๏ธ Risk management
๐ฐ Profit-taking discipline
๐ Having fun while trading
Trade smart. Trade safe. Trade YOUR plan.
โจ If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!
#OPEN #OpendoorTechnologies #SwingTrade #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RealEstateTech #PropTech #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingView #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingIdeas #SwingTrading #DayTrading
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
SPY : Stay heavy on positionsSPY : Stay heavy on positions (2x leverage)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold SPY(+QQQ) and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of SSO(+QLD) and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
NASDAQ Needs some sideways relief but remains bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) continues to extend the new Bullish Leg of its 5-month Channel Up, having turned the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its short-term Support, in line with both previous Bullish Legs.
We still expect at least a +9.59% rise, targeting 26300, to be completed before the pattern's new Higher High is priced but as the 4H RSI turned overbought (red circle), we expect the price to slow down a little, maybe seeking the 4H MA50 again as it happened in July.
In any event, the long-term trend remains bullish, until the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) breaks.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map โ Bullish Targets Ahead?๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ NDX/US100 โNASDAQ100โ Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) ๐
๐ Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade)
๐ฏ Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style):
Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are:
๐ข 24,300
๐ข 24,400
๐ข 24,500
๐ข 24,600
(Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style โ flexibility is key.)
๐ Protective Stop (Thief SL):
โ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan).
๐ฐ Target Area (Profit Zone):
๐ง 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap.
โ
My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the โpolice barricadeโ ๐).
โ ๏ธ Note for Thief OGโs:
Iโm not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way.
๐ Key Catalysts & Correlation Map:
Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX โ if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker.
Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside.
Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar.
๐ Other Related Charts to Watch:
SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! โ Correlated US equity benchmark.
TVC:DXY โ Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves).
TVC:VIX โ Volatility indicator for risk sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD โ Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes.
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map โ created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ๐ธ
#NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
MSTR: Time to Short? Death Cross + Triangle Break Analysis๐ป MSTR "STRATEGY INC." - The Bear's Playground | Thief's Multi-Layer Setup ๐ฐ
๐ MARKET SNAPSHOT
Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (Strategy Inc. - formerly MicroStrategy)
Current Price: ~$291.23 (Oct 17, 2025)
Setup Type: Swing/Day Trade - Bearish Confirmation
Strategy Style: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Orders ๐ฏ
๐ THE SETUP - Why This Bearish Play Makes Sense
Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief's playbook! ๐ MSTR just gave us a beautiful bearish signal with a triangular moving average breakdown. Here's what the charts are screaming:
๐ฏ The "Thief" Entry Strategy - Layered Limit Orders
This isn't your typical "buy now" play. We're sneaking in like a thief in the night with MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT LAYERS:
Entry Zones (Layer Your Shorts):
Layer 1: $310 (First resistance retest)
Layer 2: $300 (Psychological level)
Layer 3: $290 (Current consolidation zone)
๐ก Pro Tip: Scale into your position! You can add MORE layers based on your risk tolerance (e.g., $305, $295, $285). The "Thief Method" is all about spreading your entries to catch the perfect price zones.
๐ RISK MANAGEMENT - The Thief's Insurance Policy
Stop Loss: $320 ๐จ
(This is the Thief's emergency exit - if price breaks above this, the bears lost control)
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT NOTE:
Dear Thief OG's (Original Gangsters), this is MY stop loss level based on MY analysis. You should set YOUR OWN stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Don't copy blindly - manage YOUR money, take YOUR profits (or losses) at YOUR own risk! This is YOUR trade, not mine. ๐ฏ
๐ฏ PROFIT TARGET - Where the Money's Hiding
Primary Target: $250 ๐
Why $250?
Strong historical support level
Oversold bounce zone (RSI typically rebounds here)
TRAP ALERT: Institutional buyers often accumulate at this level - be ready to ESCAPE with your profits before the bulls wake up! ๐๐ค
โ ๏ธ TAKE PROFIT NOTE:
Dear Thief OG's, $250 is MY target based on MY analysis. You can (and should) set YOUR own targets. If you're in profit at $270, $260, or even $280 - TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN! ๐ฐ No shame in banking profits early. Remember: pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. This is YOUR trade, YOUR risk, YOUR decision!
๐ RELATED ASSETS TO WATCH - The Correlation Game
MSTR doesn't trade in a vacuum! Keep your eyes on these correlated assets:
๐ Primary Correlation:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin): ~$108,625 (Oct 17, 2025) - MSTR holds 640,000+ BTC (3%+ of total supply!)
Correlation Strength: ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ ULTRA HIGH
Why It Matters: MSTR is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play. When BTC sneezes, MSTR catches a cold. Bitcoin's current bearish pressure directly impacts MSTR's valuation.
๐ Secondary Watchlist:
NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase): Crypto exchange - sentiment indicator
NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms): Bitcoin mining stock
NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital): Another BTC-related equity
NASDAQ:CLSK (CleanSpark): Bitcoin mining operations
Key Point: If Bitcoin breaks below $105K support, expect MSTR to accelerate downward. Conversely, if BTC rallies back above $115K, this bearish setup could invalidate. Watch Bitcoin like a hawk! ๐ฆ
๐ THE BIGGER PICTURE - Why MSTR Is Vulnerable Right Now
Bitcoin Pressure: BTC down -2.19% today, testing critical support levels
Institutional Caution: Recent S&P 500 rejection (not included in index) = credibility questions
Valuation Concerns: Trading at significant premium to NAV (Net Asset Value)
Technical Breakdown: Multiple MA crosses + trend reversal signals
Macro Headwinds: Risk-off sentiment in crypto markets (3-day consecutive decline)
๐ THE THIEF'S WISDOM - Final Thoughts
This setup combines:
โ
Technical confirmation (MA breakout)
โ
Layered entry strategy (better average price)
โ
Clear risk management (defined stop loss)
โ
Realistic profit targets (strong support zone)
โ
Correlated asset monitoring (BTC relationship)
Remember: The market doesn't care about your opinion. Respect the charts, manage your risk, and don't get greedy. The "Thief Method" is about stealing profits intelligently, not gambling recklessly! ๐ฐโ
๐ฌ TRADE SMART, NOT HARD!
This is a BEARISH SETUP with defined entries, exits, and risk parameters. Whether you're swing trading or day trading, the key is DISCIPLINE. Stick to your plan, don't chase, and protect your capital.
Questions? Thoughts? Drop them below! ๐
Let's build a community of smart traders who help each other win! ๐ค
โจ If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!
#MSTR #Bitcoin #BTC #TradingView #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BearishSetup #ShortSetup #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ProfitTarget #StrategyInc #MicroStrategy #ThiefMethod #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #NASDAQ
Can NQ1! Push Through $25K+ Resistance Zone?๐ฏ The Great NQ Heist: Layered Entry Strategy for E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures
๐ Market Overview
**Asset:** NQ1! (E-Mini NASDAQ-100 Futures)
**Strategy Type:** Swing/Day Trade - Wealth Accumulation Map
**Bias:** ๐ **BULLISH**
๐ญ The "Gentleman Thief" Layering Strategy
๐ฐ Entry Philosophy: Layer Like a Pro
This setup uses a **sophisticated layering approach** - think of it as strategically placing multiple limit orders to capture the best average entry. You're not going all-in at one price; you're building your position like a chess master.
๐ Suggested Layer Entry Zones:
- ๐ฏ Layer 1: **24,800**
- ๐ฏ Layer 2: **24,900**
- ๐ฏ Layer 3: **25,000**
- ๐ฏ Layer 4: **25,100**
Note: You can scale in at ANY price level using this layering method. Add more layers based on your position size and risk tolerance. The beauty of this strategy is flexibility - enter where the market gives you opportunity! ๐ช
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: **24,700**
โ ๏ธ **Important:** This is MY stop loss level based on technical structure. However, trading is a personal journey - YOU decide your own risk parameters. Protect your capital first, profits second. Your SL should align with YOUR risk tolerance and account size.
๐ฏ Profit Target
Target Zone: **25,600** ๐
This level represents a confluence of:
- ๐ช Strong resistance zone
- ๐ Overbought conditions
- Potential bull trap area
**Smart Exit Strategy:** As we approach this zone, consider scaling out of positions. Don't get greedy - take profits when the market offers them!
โ ๏ธ **Reminder:** This is MY target projection. You're the captain of your own ship - take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Trail stops, scale out, or hold for moon - your money, your rules! ๐
๐ Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated instruments
- SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ =F** - NASDAQ-100 Futures (spot reference)
- NASDAQ:QQQ - Invesco QQQ Trust (ETF equivalent)
- NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:GOOGL ** - Top NASDAQ-100 components
- NASDAQ:NDX - NASDAQ-100 Index (cash)
- CME_MINI:ES1! - E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (broader market correlation)
๐ Why these matter:** The NASDAQ-100 is tech-heavy, so major tech stocks drive NQ movement. Watch QQQ for retail sentiment and ES for overall risk appetite. When big tech moves, NQ follows! ๐ป
๐ Strategy Breakdown
This "layering" or "scaling-in" approach offers several advantages:
- โ
**Better average entry** - Dollar-cost averaging into position
- โ
**Reduced timing risk** - Not dependent on perfect entry
- โ
**Psychological comfort** - Builds confidence as position develops
- โ
**Flexibility** - Adapt to market conditions in real-time
๐ข Final Thoughts
The market rewards patience and discipline. This layered entry strategy is about working WITH the market, not against it. Whether you're a swing trader holding for days or a day trader scalping ticks, the principle remains: **Control your risk, let profits run.** ๐โโ๏ธ๐จ
โจ **If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!**
**โ ๏ธ DISCLAIMER:** This analysis represents a "gentleman thief" style layered trading strategy intended for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade with risk capital you can afford to lose. Make your own trading decisions based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and market analysis. ๐ญ๐
#NQ1 #NASDAQ100 #NASDAQFutures #EminiNQ #FuturesTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeringStrategy #ScalingIn #TradingSetup #FuturesMarket #TechFutures #NDX #QQQ #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #BullishSetup
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
Entering a risk-on, high-volatility zone.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.






















