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Netflix - This chart is just wonderful!🚨Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is soon reversing higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, Netflix has been dropping about -45%. But looking at higher timeframe structure, all of this price behavior was totally expected. In fact, with the bullish all time high break and retest, Netflix is about reverse right here. 📝Levels to watch: $70 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by SwingTraderPhil
34
Earnings calendar: Walmart, DoorDash, Palo Alto and WBD in focusIt’s a busy week ahead on the earnings calendar, with several major names across retail, technology, industrials and media set to report. With multiple releases scheduled before the open and after the close, volatility around these windows could pick up. If you would like platform-specific symbol details or help prepare ahead of the releases, our team is here to assist. Here’s what to watch: Tuesday •Palo Alto Networks – after market close Wednesday •DoorDash – after market close Thursday •Walmart – before market open Friday •Warner Bros. Discovery – expected late week, timing to be confirmed. Warner Bros. Discovery is still at the centre of an active takeover battle. WBD has an agreement with Netflix valued at around US$82.7 billion. But Paramount Skydance has come in with a higher counteroffer, estimated at roughly US$108.4 billion. So far, WBD’s board appears to prefer the Netflix deal and has rejected eight approaches from Paramount, so far. However, activist shareholders are pushing the board to take the Paramount offer more seriously. Some analysts have suggested Paramount may increase its bid again.
NASDAQ:WBD
by BlackBull Markets
Three Reasons to Buy the Streaming Leader at a DiscountNetflix Inc. finds itself in an unusual position. The company remains the undisputed global leader in subscription streaming, commands nearly 325 million paid memberships, and continues to generate double-digit revenue growth. Yet its stock has been conspicuously out of favor. Over the past 12 months, Netflix shares have declined approximately 20%, a stark divergence from the S&P 500’s 14% gain during the same period. The stock currently trades roughly 39% below its 52-week high of $134.12, reflecting a pronounced valuation recalibration. This disconnect between operational excellence and share-price performance presents a compelling study for investors. While near-term concerns regarding content spending and a potential acquisition have weighed on sentiment, Netflix’s underlying competitive position, earnings trajectory, and emerging advertising business suggest that the current pullback may represent a transient dislocation rather than a structural deterioration. Below are three distinct reasons why Netflix merits consideration at current levels. 1. Technical Exhaustion: Netflix Enters Oversold Territory From a technical analysis perspective, Netflix has registered a statistically significant signal. The stock’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has descended to 26.8 , firmly penetrating the oversold threshold of 30.0. This metric, which measures the magnitude and velocity of recent price changes, indicates that selling pressure has become unusually intense and potentially exhausted. To contextualize this reading, Walt Disney—a traditional media peer also competing in streaming—currently exhibits a weekly RSI of 48.2 , firmly in neutral territory. The divergence suggests that Netflix has been subjected to disproportionately aggressive selling relative to both the broader market and its direct competitors. Oversold conditions do not guarantee immediate reversal; securities can remain undervalued or oversold for extended periods during periods of sustained pessimism. However, such extreme readings often precede stabilization or mean-reversion rallies, particularly when they occur in companies with intact fundamental profiles. For investors with a medium-term horizon, the current RSI implies that much of the negative sentiment regarding Netflix’s expense guidance and acquisition speculation may already be embedded in the stock price. The asymmetry between downside risk and potential upside appears increasingly favorable at these levels. 2. Earnings Resilience: Double-Digit Growth Amid Strategic Investment Netflix’s fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report, released January 20, demonstrated that the company’s fundamental engine remains robust. Revenue increased 17.6% year-over-year to $12.05 billion, modestly exceeding consensus expectations of $11.97 billion. Operating income expanded 30.1% to approximately $3.0 billion, while net income rose 29.4% to $2.4 billion. Earnings per share of $0.56 represented 30.2% growth and narrowly surpassed estimates of $0.55. These results were achieved despite persistent foreign exchange headwinds and a content slate that, while strong, lacked the once-in-a-generation phenomenon of a Squid Game or Wednesday. The beat was broad-based, reflecting subscriber growth, pricing power, and—increasingly—advertising revenue. Looking forward, management has guided for 2026 revenue in the range of $50.7 billion to $51.7 billion , implying 12% to 14% year-over-year growth. More importantly, earnings per share is projected to increase by more than 23% in 2026, followed by an additional 20% growth in 2027. This earnings trajectory is supported by three structural drivers: Subscriber Engagement and Retention: Viewer engagement remains resilient, with users consuming 96 billion hours of content in the second half of 2025, a 2% increase year-over-year. In a mature streaming market, engagement has become a more reliable indicator of franchise health than gross subscriber additions. High engagement correlates with reduced churn and enhanced pricing flexibility. Pricing Power: Netflix has repeatedly demonstrated an ability to implement price increases in its mature markets without triggering significant cancellations. This pricing leverage is a function of deep content libraries, algorithmic personalization, and habitual viewer attachment. As competitors retreat from aggressive content spending, Netflix’s relative pricing power is likely to strengthen further. Margin Expansion: The company targets 31.5% operating margins in 2026, a 200-basis-point improvement from 2025 levels. Critically, content spend is growing more slowly than revenue, enabling operating leverage. This disciplined approach to cost management distinguishes Netflix from traditional media conglomerates that have struggled to rationalize their linear television cost bases while funding streaming operations. 3. Valuation Normalization: Growth at a Reasonable Price The pullback in Netflix’s share price has meaningfully improved its valuation profile. The stock currently trades at approximately 26.3 times forward earnings. While this multiple is not statistically cheap in absolute terms, it must be evaluated against the company’s earnings growth trajectory. For context, Netflix is forecast to deliver more than 23% EPS growth in 2026 and an additional 21% in 2027. This implies a price-to-earnings-growth (PEG) ratio substantially below 1.5, a threshold often used to identify reasonably valued growth companies. Relative to its historical valuation bands—which have frequently exceeded 40x earnings during periods of accelerated subscriber acquisition—the current multiple appears restrained. Furthermore, the valuation compression has occurred even as Netflix’s business model has become more durable. The advertising tier has evolved from an experimental initiative into a material revenue contributor, generating $1.5 billion in 2025 and on track to approximately double to $3.0 billion in 2026. Advertising carries higher margins than subscription revenue and diversifies Netflix’s monetization away from membership counts alone. Wedbush’s Advertising Thesis: Wedbush Securities has emerged as a prominent bullish voice, arguing that the market systematically undervalues Netflix’s long-term advertising addressable market. The firm expects ad revenue to at least double in 2026, with additional upside extending into 2027 and beyond. Wedbush contends that investors have become conditioned to near-flawless execution, rendering a quarter that merely “beat” rather than “significantly exceeded” expectations as superficially disappointing. This dynamic, the firm argues, has created an attractive entry point for investors willing to look beyond short-term expense fluctuations. 4. The Warner Bros. Discovery Overhang: Uncertainty, Not Catastrophe A contributing factor to Netflix’s recent underperformance has been speculation regarding a potential acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. Such a transaction would represent a fundamental departure from Netflix’s historical organic-growth strategy and raises legitimate questions regarding integration risk, balance sheet leverage, and cultural compatibility. However, it is essential to distinguish between transactional uncertainty and operational deterioration. The mere possibility of an acquisition—which remains unconfirmed and may ultimately not materialize—has exerted downward pressure on the stock. This dynamic creates asymmetric risk: if the transaction proceeds, management will have an opportunity to articulate the strategic rationale and financial parameters; if the transaction does not proceed, the overhang dissipates entirely. In either scenario, the core streaming business continues to generate substantial free cash flow. Free Cash Flow Dynamics: Netflix generated $1.9 billion in non-GAAP free cash flow in the fourth quarter, a 35.8% increase year-over-year. The company’s ability to fund its content slate, technology investments, and potential strategic initiatives from internally generated cash reduces dependence on capital markets and provides management with strategic optionality. 5. Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets The consensus analyst rating for Netflix stands at “Moderate Buy,” reflecting a generally constructive view tempered by valuation concerns and acquisition uncertainty. However, individual analyst assessments vary meaningfully. Tigress Financial’s Ivan Feinseth has maintained an optimistic stance, emphasizing Netflix’s competitive positioning and advertising upside. Conversely, more cautious voices have moderated their near-term expectations, contributing to the stock’s consolidation. The average analyst price target implies modest upside from current levels, though this aggregate metric masks considerable dispersion. Investors should note that downward earnings revisions have been relatively limited, suggesting that the recent stock decline is attributable to multiple compression rather than deteriorating fundamental expectations. 6. Technical Support Levels and Risk Management From a technical trading perspective, Netflix shares are approaching historically significant support zones. Analysts and institutional traders are monitoring the $60.00 and $50.00 levels as potential areas of demand accumulation. These levels represent prior consolidation ranges and institutional entry points. While technical levels are not predictive in isolation, they provide a framework for risk assessment. A sustained breach below $50.00 would challenge the constructive thesis and potentially signal a more profound shift in investor sentiment. Conversely, a stabilization in the low-to-mid $60s followed by a return to earnings-driven appreciation would validate the oversold thesis. Conclusion: Operational Excellence Meets Technical Opportunity Netflix presents an intriguing convergence of operational strength and technical weakness. The company continues to execute at a high level, gaining subscribers, expanding margins, and scaling its advertising business. Management’s 2026 guidance implies confidence in the underlying trajectory, even as the expense base moderates upward. The stock’s 20% annual decline and 39% retreat from peak levels have reset valuation expectations and pushed sentiment indicators to oversold extremes. While the Warner Bros. Discovery speculation introduces near-term uncertainty, it does not impair Netflix’s fundamental competitive position. The company remains the scale leader in global streaming, with pricing power, content efficiency, and advertising optionality that competitors struggle to replicate. For investors with a multi-year horizon, the current pullback offers an opportunity to acquire a high-quality compounder at a multiple that does not fully reflect its earnings growth potential. Netflix must now convert its operational consistency into sustained share-price appreciation—a transition that historically follows, rather than precedes, fundamental inflection points.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by KalaGhazi
Netflix - Finally approaching support!🎥Netlix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will soon reverse higher: 🔎Analysis summary: The recent -40% correction on Netflix was totally expected. But slowly, Netflix is approaching a major confluence of support at the previous all time high. If we see a final -15% drop, Netflix can then reverse towards the upside and head for new all time highs. 📝Levels to watch: $65 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by SwingTraderPhil
25
Easy Buy on Netflix - Breakout of Ascending Channel !Netflix is currently down almost 50% from its all time high in Nov 2021. Currently traded in an ascending channel since Oct 2022 and briefly broke out above with strong volume to close at 357.42 as of market close. Now we look for some profit taking and pullback to retest the top of the channel Buy zone is: 336 - 357 Take profit: 393 Now we have the 50 EMA crossing the 200 EMA, with the 100 EMA close behind. A cross of 100 EMA will signal stronger bullish momentum on Netflix stock, giving us more room for upside.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Gold_D_Roger
2
NFLX | Wave 4 Correction Playing Out – Wave 5 to 744–1kHey guys, quick real-talk update on Netflix. Right now we're smack in the middle of Wave 4. That recent drop to around $83 is classic Wave 4 behavior, it's shaking out the weak hands, creating exhaustion, and hunting for liquidity below recent lows. This isn't the end of the move; it's the healthy breather before the real fireworks. The main target zone for this Wave 4 low is still sitting between 47 and 36. That area lines up perfectly: 0.5 to 0.618 retracement of the whole Wave 3 leg Previous structural support from 2019–2020 consolidation High-volume nodes on the profile that love to act like magnets Time/proportion symmetry with earlier corrections Once we print a solid bottom in that 47–36 window (could be a quick flush lower first to take out stops, then reversal), Wave 5 should kick off hard. The upside extensions we watching are the 744–1k cluster: 2.618 Fib of Wave 4 projected from the low Alignment with the upper boundary of the long-term parabolic channel Final push to complete Wave 5 of the bigger supercycle If we start seeing strong reversal candles or a volume spike on the bounce near 47–36, that's the high-probability entry window for the Wave 5 ride. Quick Risk Note: Only thing that would kill this count short-term is a clean break and close way below 160 on big volume. That would flip us into a deeper ABC correction instead. But right now the structure still screams higher & primary count is bullish. Bottom Line: Sit tight through the chop, let Wave 4 do its job, then be ready for Wave 5 to deliver the 744–1k extension. This could be the blow-off leg we've been waiting for. If this makes sense to you, smash that boost, drop your own targets or questions in the comments, and hit follow, so you don't miss the live updates when we get closer to the reversal. Stay sharp out there – trade the structure, not the noise. — Fibcos #NFLX #Netflix #Stocks #ElliottWave #Wave4 #Wave5 #Supercycle #Fibonacci #StockMarket #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #Investing
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by fibcos
What’s Weighing on Netflix SharesNASDAQ:NFLX NASDAQ:WBD The Shadow of a Transformative Deal Over the past several months Netflix shares have declined more than 30% from their peak levels, a sharp correction for a company long considered untouchable in the streaming industry. The primary catalyst appears to be the rumored acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery for approximately 82.7 billion dollars, a transaction that would create an unprecedented giant in content creation and distribution while introducing substantial execution and financial risks that investors are clearly unwilling to ignore. Antitrust Headwinds and Political Impact Regulators on both sides of the Atlantic have adopted increasingly strict postures toward media consolidation. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission, Department of Justice, and the U.K. Competition and Markets Authority are expected to examine the deal with particular skepticism, given the combined entity’s projected 428 million subscribers and dominant position in premium streaming. Concerns center on reduced consumer choice, potential price increases, and the dangers of vertical integration that could limit rivals’ access to blockbuster films and series. The transaction has also taken on political dimensions, with public figures including president Trump weighing in and suggesting active involvement, further clouding the regulatory outlook. Lessons from History’s Costly Mergers Investor caution is reinforced by Warner’s troubled history of large-scale combinations. The merger of AOL and Time Warner in 2000 remains one of the most unsuccessful deals in history, resulting in tens of billions of dollars in shareholder value lost due to irreconcilable cultural and operational differences. More recently, AT&T’s 2018 acquisition of Time Warner for 85 billion dollars (109 billion including debt) saddled the buyer with unsustainable leverage, forcing an eventual spin-off and significant dividend cuts. These precedents have made markets acutely sensitive to the integration challenges Netflix would face. Immediate Pressures on the Stock Beyond the merger speculation, Netflix has delivered a series of disappointing updates. The company lowered its 2026 revenue growth forecast from 13% to roughly 11%, reflecting saturation in core markets. Operating margin guidance has also weakened due to rising content and marketing expenditures. A ten-for-one stock split conducted in November 2025, while technically neutral, coincided with the downtrend and encouraged profit-taking. One-off tax payments in Brazil added further short-term strain. With the fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report freshly released, attention now focuses on management’s commentary regarding the Warner deal structure and overall financial health. Competing Bids and the All-Cash Threat A late competing offer from Paramount and Skydance, reportedly valued at 108 billion dollars and structured as pure cash, has complicated negotiations. Should Netflix match the all-cash terms to remain competitive, its balance sheet would undergo dramatic change. Current net debt-to-EBITDA stands near half a turn; an all-cash acquisition could push the ratio to 5.4 times, jeopardizing the company’s investment-grade credit rating and triggering forced selling by institutions bound by debt-covenant restrictions. Debt Overhang and Operational Consequences Such leverage would almost certainly force the suspension of share repurchases that have run consistently for years. Free cash flow would be redirected almost entirely toward debt service, with interest expense potentially consuming up to a third of operating profit. Content budgets, the lifeblood of subscriber retention, could face severe cuts at precisely the moment the combined company needs to integrate disparate libraries and production pipelines. Several years of stagnation or deleveraging would likely follow before growth could resume. The Strategic Prize Warner Brings Despite the risks, Warner Bros. Discovery possesses assets that could justify the premium in the long run. HBO’s prestige catalog provides the kind of appointment viewing that notably lowers costumer churn. Major franchises also offer decades of derivative potential under new creative leadership. Most crucially for monetization, live sports rights to NHL, and MLB games represent content that drives advertising revenue and justifies sustained subscriptions even on lower-priced ad-supported tiers. Shifting Toward Advertising-Driven Growth Post-transaction, Netflix is widely expected to accelerate its pivot toward cheaper, advertisement-supported plans priced between seven and nine dollars. Management aims to migrate the majority of new subscribers to these tiers, where combined subscription and advertising revenue could exceed ten dollars per user-higher than the current ad-free average. Standard ad-free pricing is projected to rise into the 19 - 22$ range, aligning the combined service more closely with premium competitors while broadening overall reach. Critical Upcoming Milestones The Warner Bros. Discovery board is expected to make its final vendor selection between the Netflix and Paramount/Skydance proposals by April 2026. Formal antitrust reviews would commence in March and could extend 12 to 18 months, pushing any closing well into 2027. In the interim, every regulatory development and financing update will continue to drive elevated volatility in Netflix shares.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by juliakhandoshko
NFLX Above HVL (85) — Positive Gamma Fuels Upside ContinuationNFLX Trading Plan — Liquidity + Gamma Aligned Market Structure Context NFLX is holding above key price support (≈86) and above Gamma Flip / HVL at 85 Structure has transitioned from sell pressure → absorption → balance Price is now consolidating above high-liquidity demand, favoring upside continuation if support holds Gamma & Liquidity Read Gamma Condition: ✅ Positive (Call-Dominated Environment) Net GEX: Increasing intraday (+7.49M since 14:30) DEX: Expanding intraday (+62%), confirming dealer positioning is becoming more supportive Put/Call Ratio: 0.31 → strong call bias Top Volume Strikes: 86–90 (heavy call concentration) 👉 This creates a pin + magnet effect above 85, with dealers incentivized to defend dips and hedge upside. Key Levels to Trade 🔹 Support Zones Primary Support: 86.0–85.5 (price + structure support) Gamma Flip / HVL: 85.0 ⚠️ (line in the sand) Last Defense: 83.0–82.3 (put support / liquidity pocket) 🔺 Upside Targets Near-Term Magnet: 88.0 (0DTE call resistance) Extension Target: 90.0 (largest call OI + GEX expansion) Stretch Target: 95–100 zone (upper liquidity + call resistance) Trade Thesis 🟢 Bull Case (Primary) As long as price holds above 85, NFLX remains in positive gamma Dealers hedge calls → volatility compresses → price grinds higher Best longs come from: Pullbacks into 86–85.5 Acceptance above 88 for momentum continuation 🔴 Bear Case (Invalidation) A clean break and acceptance below 85 Gamma flips negative → volatility expansion risk Opens downside to 83 → 80 (put support zone) Execution Notes Favor pullback longs, not chase breakouts Expect slower, controlled upside (positive gamma environment) Size up only on confirmed support holds or acceptance above 88
NASDAQ:NFLX
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Netflix | NFLX | Long at $83.99Technical Analysis The stock price for Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX briefly touched the top of my selected historical simple moving average. This is often a strong area of support / resistance / algorithmic share accumulation. While economic / NASDAQ:WBD acquisition news may push the share price lower in the near-term, potentially closing the open price gap in the low $70's, NASDAQ:NFLX and YouTube dominate the streaming services. That's not going to change any time soon. The point is, it's a stock I am comfortable hanging on to. Health Debt-to-equity: 0.6x (healthy) Quick ratio / short-term debt: 1.2 (not bad, but slightly lower than ideal) Altman's Z-score / long-term debt / bankruptcy risk: 10+ (extremely low risk) Insiders Caution: nothing but selling Growth 62.8% earnings-per-share growth projected between 2026 ($3.17) and 2029 ($5.16) 34.2% revenue growth projected between 2026 ($51.2 billion) and 2029 ($68.7 billion) Action While there may be near-term weakness down near $70, I've entered a starter position at $83.99. The "perfect dip" would be down near $74 and then rising (another entry), but the price may test shaky hands - especially with the NASDAQ:WBD deal / news. Targets into 2029 $107.00 (+27.4%) $122.00 (+45.3%)
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by WorthlessViews
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Buying Opportunity Ad revenue is booming Netflix’s advertising revenue more than doubled to ~$1.5B in 2025 and analysts expect it to double again in 2026 to ~$3B — driven by rapid growth in the lower-priced ad tier and new AI-powered ad formats. User base continues to expand The company just reported ~325 million paid subscribers, adding ~25M new members and showing continued global traction. Content library and growth potential expanding Netflix is diversifying into video podcasts, live events, and popular IP franchises, and it recently revised its offer for Warner Bros. Discovery’s studio & HBO Max assets — a strategic move that could significantly enlarge its content ecosystem if it closes. Short-term volatility weighing on the stock Q4 results beat revenue and EPS expectations, but shares pulled back due to weaker guidance for early 2026 and concerns about acquisition funding and slowing subscriber acceleration. Bottom line: strong underlying business momentum + near-term headline noise = potential swing entry on technical support. Technical Set-Up Price has reached a well-defined demand zone that has acted as support in the past RSI is deeply oversold, signaling sellers are exhausted The chart is showing an initial bounce from demand This is the kind of entry zone with asymmetric reward vs risk we look for. Buy zone: 86-87 Stop loss: Below 80.80 (daily close invalidates, tight stop loss equal to only 6% drop) Targets: TP1: 91.56 ( +6.3% ) TP2: 104.41 ( +21.23% ) TP3: 123.70 ( +43.50% )
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by FinanceProSignals
Paramount Skydance Corp | PSKY | Long at $11.53Bull Case Undervalued: Trading at a steep discount (P/S ~0.5x, P/B ~0.7x) compared to peers like Netflix $NASDAQ:NFLX. Turnaround: New management (post-Skydance merger) is driving $3B+ in cost savings, heavy investment in high-impact content (e.g., UFC deal, major talent signings), and revitalizing Paramount+ streaming growth. Mergers / Acquisitions: Ongoing bid for Warner Bros. Discovery NASDAQ:WBD could create massive synergies, scale in streaming, and unlock significant value if successful. Portfolio: Iconic brands (CBS, Paramount Pictures, Nickelodeon, etc.) plus Skydance's production firepower position it for box office/streaming wins and long-term cash flow recovery. Bear Case Debt: ~$15B in debt with high interest costs (though lowering) - risk of dilution. Streaming Losses: Paramount+ is still burning significant cash; subscriber growth has slowed, and profitability remains distant amid competition. Weak Box Office & Content Risks: Recent theatrical underperformance and uncertainty around major releases could delay recovery. Technical Analysis The stock is currently at the bottom of my selected historical simple moving average (see bands). This is often and area of consolidation, but there is a chance that the price dips below the current trading value ($8-$10 is a possibility) in the near-term before moving higher. Action Personally, I think the UFC deal is huge - especially the upcoming White Fight in June 2026. Paramount is introducing real-time programmatic ad sales for live sporting events and trying to reduce costs. With interest rates shifting and reducing the weight of the debt burden, this one may be a sleeper. But, near-term downside is a risk ($8-$10). Regardless, at $11.53, NASDAQ:PSKY is in a personal buy zone for a starter position. If the stock falls further to the predicted "lows", more entries will be made if the outlook stays bullish. Targets into 2029 $15.00 (+30.1%) $22.00 (+90.8%)
NASDAQ:PSKYLong
by WorthlessViews
NFLX (Netflix) Possible Buy OpportunityNetflix along with several other NASDAQ stocks have been taking good levels of corrections. I posted about Microsoft yesterday too. Netflix is running inside an ABCD pattern which can bring it down to the 50% retracement level around 75.66. However, this can only happen if the current support is broken and a bull trap is set. There are a few more levels which can be good levels to BUY or for Dollar Cost Averaging but they are not in the scope of this simple analysis as of now. Lets wait and watch and always this is not and advice but just an observation. Risk management is extremely important as always. Follow for more. Please support this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
NASDAQ:NFLX
by vikinsa
Netflix (NFLX) Shares Fall Despite Strong Earnings ReportNetflix (NFLX) Shares Fall Despite Strong Earnings Report Yesterday, Netflix (NFLX) released its quarterly results, which, albeit only slightly, exceeded Wall Street analysts’ expectations — both in terms of earnings per share (EPS) and gross revenue. Despite this, NFLX shares fell in after-hours trading to around the $82.50 level. Why Did NFLX Shares Fall? Bearish sentiment is being driven by the following factors (according to media reports): → Cautious guidance from management. Netflix expects revenue growth to slow to 11–13%, compared with 15–16% in 2025. → Subscriber growth dynamics. While total subscriber numbers increased to a record level of around 325 million, the pace of growth is slowing. By comparison, the company added roughly 23 million new users in 2025, versus 41 million in 2024. → M&A considerations. As we noted on 8 December, Netflix’s share price could be significantly affected by a potential acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. Such a large-scale deal carries risks related to increased debt and adds to uncertainty. Technical Analysis of the NFLX Chart In our earlier analysis of Netflix (NFLX) share price action, we identified both ascending and descending channels, noting that: → In October, the ascending channel was broken to the downside, with the breakout level around $117 acting as resistance, reinforcing the relevance of the descending trajectory. → In December, NFLX shares moved into the lower half of the descending channel, accompanied by rising volumes and accelerating downside momentum — a bearish signal — and settled below the psychological $100 level, which may now act as resistance. If NFLX trading opens today around $82.50, then: → the price will be below the lower boundary of the channel; → it will be close to key 2025 lows, which may provide support; → oscillators will indicate oversold conditions. Under these circumstances, a short-term rebound in NFLX shares is possible. However, it appears that more substantial catalysts are required to reverse the current sustained downtrend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by FXOpen
Netflix Stock Dives as Crowds Reach for the Remote: Binge Over?Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX investors who hit play heading into the earnings were expecting a feel-good episode. Instead, they got a cliffhanger — and not the good kind. Shares of the streaming giant are lower by about 5% pre-market Wednesday, even after the company posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings. So what happened? In short: margins. Or rather, the lack of excitement around them. Netflix reported a Q4 profit of 56 cents per share, edging past expectations , with revenue jumping nearly 18% year over year to $12.05 billion. Then Netflix dropped its 2026 margin guidance, and the mood changed fast. 💰 The Numbers On paper, the quarter looked solid. Net income climbed to $2.42 billion, up from $1.87 billion a year earlier. Revenue beat forecasts. Subscriber momentum held with 325 million paid users around the globe. Looking ahead, Netflix guided full-year 2026 revenue between $50.7 billion and $51.7 billion, comfortably around — and slightly above — Wall Street’s expectations. So far, so binge-worthy. But then came the fine print. Netflix expects an operating margin of 31.5%, below the 32.6% analysts had penciled in. In an environment where every basis point is treated like a plot twist, that was enough to send shares tumbling. 🎬 The Warner Deal Margins didn’t just slip on their own. Netflix said its outlook includes about $275 million in expenses tied to its planned acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery’s NASDAQ:WBD streaming and studios assets — a move that’s ambitious, expensive, and not without controversy. The deal carries a price tag of roughly $83 billion, valuing the Warner assets at about 25 times expected 2026 EBITDA. For comparison, Disney trades at around 11 times its expected EBITDA. Investors noticed the gap, apparently. Also, Paramount NASDAQ:PSKY is still trying to figure out how to grab the entire Warner Bros. studios. Netflix has also paused its share buybacks, choosing instead to conserve cash to fund the acquisition. That may make strategic sense, but buybacks are a favorite comfort blanket for shareholders — and taking it away rarely goes well. 📚 The Content Management made the strategic case clear. Warner’s library, development pipeline, and IP — plus HBO Max — would supercharge Netflix’s content offering and allow for more personalized and flexible subscription options. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos called the deal a “strategic accelerant,” insisting Netflix can pursue it while still delivering “healthy growth.” Still, investors aren’t just weighing the upside. There are real risks: A hostile bid from Paramount Skydance complicating the landscape Regulatory scrutiny that could delay or derail the transaction Integration challenges that could pressure margins further 📉 The Stock Markets don’t trade earnings only; they also trade expectations. And Netflix entered this report priced for near-perfection. Shares are now set to open around $82, a one-year bottom, and are lower by more than 35% from the $134 peak hit last June. That’s a brutal correction for a company that still dominates global streaming. But this is what happens when growth stocks promise expansion and efficiency at the same time. If one wobbles — even slightly — the reaction can be swift. 🛋️ A Buying Opportunity? Not everyone is reaching for the remote, though. Some analysts argue the pullback creates a chance to snap up shares at a relatively attractive valuation, especially for a company that continues to grow profits and cash flow — whether or not the Warner deal closes. Netflix still has scale, pricing power, and a global audience most media companies would happily trade their studios for. The question isn’t whether Netflix is broken. It’s whether investors are comfortable sitting through a more complicated chapter. The earnings season continues with Intel NASDAQ:INTC reporting tomorrow. A bunch of Magnificent Seven folks are slated for updates next week, including Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Meta NASDAQ:META , and Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . Off to you : Are you looking to snap it up? Or waiting for the dip of the dip? Share your views in the comments!
NASDAQ:NFLX
by TradingView
23
Could NFLX break to new ATH?Alright, kind of a crazy idea... but hear me out. I've been thinking NFLX has started a longer term corrective cycle and we'd see a small bounce from here, but after looking at some options flows, it made me question that idea. After relooking at the chart, it makes me think the stock could be much more bullish than I originally thought. We're extremely oversold on pretty much every timeframe, from the daily all the way to the 3W. On higher timeframes (2W-3W) , the chart actually still looks extremely bullish with the RSIs still at/above the parabolic levels. If we were to get a positive reaction to earnings, I can actually see one more leg higher to complete the final 5th wave of the move. The target would be around the $156-157 levels however I've marked off other possible resistance levels. If price can break $125, it would strengthen the idea. A close below $82 would invalidate it. Every post I see on NFLX is bearish, so I like this idea bc I don't think many people even see this as a possible outcome. Let's see.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by benjihyam
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: $NFLX) Set To Report Earnings TodayShares of Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) are gearing for a breaking amidst earnings report today. The share price is set to break from a bullish rectangle pattern eyeing the $150 resistant zone. Albeit down 0.06% in last recorded session, the stock is already up 0.66% as it gears for earnings results Tuesday, January 20, 2026, after market close. Financial Performance In 2024, Netflix's revenue was $39.00 billion, an increase of 15.65% compared to the previous year's $33.72 billion. Earnings were $8.71 billion, an increase of 61.09%. Return on equity (ROE) is 42.86% and return on invested capital (ROIC) is 32.46%. Analyst Summary According to 35 analysts, the average rating for NFLX stock is "Buy." The 12-month stock price target is $127.24, which is an increase of 44.59% from the latest price. About NFLX Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, and games across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by DEXWireNews
6
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you ahven`t sold the top on NFLX: nor bought the stock before the rally: With Netflix (NFLX) reporting Q4 2025 earnings today, January 20, 2026, the stock looks primed for a rebound—trading at $88.00, down 91% from its 2021 highs but showing signs of being oversold on the 14-day RSI at around 27 (below 30 threshold, signaling potential buying exhaustion). Consensus expects 17% revenue growth to $11.97B and 28% EPS jump to $0.55, with FY2025 sales up 15% and positive momentum from ads tier and subscriber gains. Adding fuel: Netflix's pending $82.7B acquisition of Warner Bros. (from Warner Bros. Discovery spin-off in Q3 2026) could supercharge content library and synergies, boosting long-term growth. Analyzing the options chain and chart patterns prior to earnings, I would consider a debit call spread: Buy the $110 strike call and sell the $130 strike call, with expiration August 21, 2026, for a net premium of approximately $2.61. If the position moves favorably post-earnings (e.g., RSI bounce and positive guidance), I'd scale out half for risk management. This is a bullish, defined-risk play on NFLX's recovery—DYODD, high volatility expected!
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TopgOptions
NFLX | IM HUNGRY FOR FUTURE TENDIESWill NASDAQ:NFLX keep taking the beat down? Who knows. Should we desperately buy up all the shares possible now? If we do, our futures selves in 2036 will probably be popping champagne and spraying it all over the place on a yacht. If the beat down continues, where can we look to pick up MOAR?! Is there a sweeter "please sir may I have another" buy zone? Looking at the chart, a reasonable Fire Sale range could be between $70ish and $90ish. That's flirting with 50%+ off the ATH highs (we've seen 75%+ gut punches before, remember 2022? Good times). SMALL Starter position initiated. Add in target range. Cry if we head lower than that but HODL. Look, I'm just tryna get some TENDIES 🍗🍗🍗. Hopefully my future self will send me a bucket of KFC from 2036. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by MonsterStockPicks
NFLX: Massive Head-Shoulder-Formation!Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about the Netflix stock (NFLX). Recently, I spotted major underlying factors that will be highly determining for the whole upcoming price action. The stock already dumped heavily bearishly towards the downside, almost declining over $150 B in market cap. Such a major pullback is in most cases not followed by an immediate market recovery. Most of the time, such a determining price action is likely to move on forward in the direction it came from. When looking at the chart, we can see that Netflix is about to complete this massive head-and-shoulders formation. The left shoulder as well as the head of the formation have already been completed. Netflix has this main descending trendline within the whole structure, which serves as a major resistance. Especially, when Netflix moves into this area again, it will highly likely be the origin of massive bearishness and a pullback towards the downside. This implies that the right shoulder of the whole formation will complete once Netflix pulls back from the descending resistance line towards the downside. Once this happens and Netflix breaks down below the neckline of the head-and-shoulders formation, this will be the origin of the whole bearish continuation setup as it is marked within my chart. This setup will be the perfect entry zone for a potential entry on the short side. Once the whole formation has been completed, the target area of 60 will be activated. Especially when there is a breakdown with high bearish volatility, this will be the origin of a massive bearish continuation. It will be interesting to watch how Netflix completes this whole formation and continues to reach the target zones. Once the targets are reached, there could be a continuation towards the downside if bearish volatility is high enough. There are also many fundamental factors that make Netflix a bearish stock. One of them is that Netflix as a company faces major critique because of its $72B Warner Bros. deal. Members of Congress call it an "antitrust nightmare". They also define it as a bad business move. Such actions are likely to attract more and more bearish volume moving into the market. As massive bearish deal structures are likely to increase such dynamics. With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming. We will watch out for the main market evolutions. Thank you very much for watching!
NASDAQ:NFLX
by VincePrince
18