Will $Aradel Aradel Fractal Setup Repeat? Down -18% from ATHARADEL’s Fractal Setup — Will History Repeat?
Is Aradel ( NSENG:ARADEL ) moving in repeating fractals? — a pattern of strong rallies, quick pauses, sharp pullbacks, and steep recoveries. Each dip in this sequence has so far created the foundation for the next rally leg, showing how market psychology often mirrors itself on the chart. Current price: 710naira/share
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The First Fractal
The first major pattern appeared when price rallied from **₦520 → ₦689 (+29%)**, followed by a mild correction of about –13%.
That retracement found support around the moving average zone, after which the stock continued its steady climb — confirming strong buyer re-entry at lower levels.
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The Current Setup
This latest fractal looks even more aggressive.
Price surged from ₦580 → ₦869 (+49%) before pulling back sharply — already down roughly –18%.
Currently, the ₦710 zone is acting as a short-term support level.
If this area holds, it could mark the end of the correction and the start of the next bullish swing.
The Fractal Projection
If history rhymes once more, the next upward leg could target the **₦950–₦1,000** resistance range — a natural extension zone aligning with prior swing highs.
However, a decisive breakdown below **₦624** would invalidate the fractal and signal a deeper retracement phase, possibly toward the longer-term trend support.
Summary
* Current support: ₦710 (key pivot)
* Fractal invalidation: ₦624
* Next potential target: ₦950–₦1,000
* Trend bias: Bullish if ₦710 holds; neutral-to-bearish if ₦624 breaks.
Fractals don’t predict price — they simply hint where institutional interest and historical rhythm may align. #ARADEL #NGX #NigerianStocks #PriceAction #FractalPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingNigeria
Nigeria
$accesscorp Accesscorp Cup and handle pattern... bullish?This is the chart of NSENG:ACCESSCORP (Access Holdings PLC) on the weekly timeframe,
Current price: 28naira/share.
Price action is forming a cup-and-handle-like structure pattern.
* The recent move appears to be completing another **cup** formation, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern if confirmed with strong breakout volume.
* Price action is currently at neckline resistance roughly ₦28–₦29 (current level), meaning price is testing a critical breakout zone.
Key Levels to watch
Immediate Critical Resistance: ₦28 – ₦29.00 (current battle zone; a breakout here could open room for further upside).
First Target: ₦34.10 /share
Second Target: ₦40.25/share (potential measured move from fibbonacci).
Idea remains validated if this Support Zone remains respected ₦24.00 – ₦25.00 (mid-level pullback support).
#accesscorp idea is invalidated under 24naira/share
$Conoil Conoil price currently devalued - Over 45% Retracement!NSENG:CONOIL Conoil PLC is a leading downstream energy company in Nigeria, active in marketing refined petroleum products, lubricants and LPG. Latest data shows: Revenue (TTM) of ~ ₦286.2 billion, net income ~ ₦1.65 billion, P/E approximately 88.7×. The main risk: margins are under pressure, cost of sales rising, and recent performance has disappointed in short-term horizon. Conoil main strength: strong brand, wide distribution network, and established business in Nigeria’s energy sector.
After a strong parabolic rally, CONOIL is now in a corrective phase of about 45%. I’m preparing to accumulate gradually—not all at once—as price approaches long-term value areas.
The Plan:
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) slowly into weakness, targeting the 200 EMA as my final support zone. This approach reduces risk and smooths my entry cost over time.
Buy Zones:
₦230–₦200: Light entries (early DCA)
₦180–₦160: Moderate accumulation
₦160–₦145: Heavy accumulation (near 200 EMA)
Each tranche increases exposure as price nears fair value.
Why the 200 EMA?
The 200 EMA often acts as the “fair value” line—after strong trends, price tends to return here before establishing a new base. It’s where patient money usually steps back in.
Planned Targets After Reversal:
TP1 → ₦314: Retest of structural resistance
TP2/TP3 → ₦403 / ₦501: Full cycle recovery / momentum expansion. Once the trend turns, these are the resistance zones I’ll be watching.
Risk Management:
Idea invalidation if weekly candle closes below ₦145, that’s a break of structure. I’ll pause or sell off accumulation until price stabilises or forms a clear base.
Not Financial Advice!!
Technically managing Risk as a Nigeria Stock Market InvestorHow Low Can It Fall Before an Investment Decision?
Before entering a position, it's important to determine how much risk you're willing to accept. As an investor, ensure you are on the weekly timeframe
This approach helps to avoid significant losses while waiting for the right entry points based on technical and price action analysis.
Final Update on My Third Quarter Nigeria Stocks.. percentage up!Here's a summary and update on my third quarter 2025 Nigeria stock picks based on the price comparison from July to September 2025:
Q3 2025 Trading View: Nigerian Stock Picks Update
Strong Performers with Significant Gains:
- BUACEMENT: Up approximately 52%, maintaining strong momentum as a leader in the cement sector.
- ETRANZACT: Surged over 130%, showing explosive growth in the tech/payment sector partnership with FIRS.
- ELLAHLAKES: Rose by 73%, indicating a promising position in its market.
- MULTIVERSE: Grew nearly 59%, reflecting healthy gains in diversified technology.
- DANGSUGAR: Increased by about 28%, notable growth in the sugar segment.
- NB: Up nearly 19%, solid growth.
- DANGCEM: Cement sector share climbed by over 17%.
Moderate or Slight Decline:
- ARADEL: Grew by about 8.8%, steady but less pronounced growth.
- HMCALL: Slight decline of about 2.4%, stable but marginally down.
- TRANSPOWER: Minor decrease near 1.9%, holding relatively steady.
Overall Market Sentiment:
- Average gain across my nigerian stocks was 37.27% from July to September 2025, reflecting strong positive momentum through the third quarter.
- This aligns with the broader Nigerian stock market trends, where the NGX All-Share Index gained over 16% in July and sustained overall bullishness into Q3 2025 supported by growth in industrial goods, cement, and tech sectors.
- Investors continue to show confidence especially in infrastructure materials and tech/payment companies, sectors driving market capitalization growth.
Investor Takeaway:
- My Q3 2025 stock picks exhibit robust growth potential, particularly in cement, technology, and payment solutions sectors.
- Conservative performers like ARADEL provide portfolio stability, while high-growth stocks such as ETRANZACT and ELLAHLAKES offer significant upside..
See you in My Final Quarter Q4 Picks for the year 2025
Cheers!
$hmcall Hmcall Haldane Mccall Plc price at -40% DiscountNSENG:HMCALL Hmcall Haldane McCall operates in Nigerian real estate development and hospitality via subsidiaries Suru Homes and Suru Express Hotels.
Current price: 4.05 naira per share
hmcall Current price is -40% discount of previous all time high of 6.8naira per share. There is a likelihood that prices will stabilize around here as there is a double bottom formation in price action and Moneywave indication just turned upward from negative territory,
My buy zone: 4.05 - 4.72 (Not financial Advice)
Assuming a reversal in price.
Tp1 = 6.50naira per share and
Tp2 = 8.35naira per share (assuming bullish momentum is sustained)
#Hmcall Idea is invalidated under 4naira per share
Honeywell Flour Mills (NGX:HONYFLOUR) Technical OutlookHoneywell Flour Mills (NGX: HONYFLOUR) Technical Outlook
Honeywell’s stock on the NGX recently staged a strong rally after breaking through its long-standing resistance at ₦5, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of approximately ₦30.
However, the stock was unable to sustain momentum at that level and has since pulled back by about 25% from its peak, currently consolidating around a key support zone at ₦21.30.
From a technical perspective, there appears to be the formation of a head and shoulders pattern, though not immediately obvious.
If the current support level fails to hold, the price could potentially retrace towards the ₦18.50 zone (a minor support level) or possibly lower, as suggested by the chart structure.
For long-term positioning, I would be more comfortable initiating entries around the ₦15.40 zone, where the stock would be trading at a significant discount.
This level offers a more attractive risk-reward ratio for accumulation.
Follow me here on TradingView for more educative forecast
Please, like, share, comment your thoughts
Is $TRANSPOWER Transpower devalued or of no value? 25% retraced.NSENG:TRANSPOWER Transcorp Power is a gas-fired thermal generation company operating in Nigeria and internationally. It's the owner/operator of the Ughelli Power Plant, with an installed capacity of approximately 972 MW, capable of generating around 2,500 GWh annually. Founded in 2012 (as Transcorp Ughelli Power Ltd), it became publicly listed in early 2024. It's a subsidiary of Transnational Corporation of Nigeria Plc.
The Stock is currently devalued by 25% (With an all time high of 386) and could be undervalued. Current price: ₦286.5.
The last few months are predominantly bearish), showing sustained weakness.
My buy zone for #transpower (₦264 – ₦301), suggesting potential accumulation interest around this region and could attract bargain hunters.
First Resistance / Take Profit (TP1): ₦375.3
→ A break above ₦301 with strong volume could see price retesting this level.
Major Resistance (TP2): ₦440.7
→ If bullish momentum continues, this is the next realistic upside target.
Invalidation for this NSENG:TRANSPOWER idea is under 260/per share
Third Quarter 2025 Nigerian share picks Update..26Percentage Up!Third Quarter Price Movement Analysis Report - 1st September 2025
1. Overview
The analysis highlights percentage changes for individual stocks, the average change, and the overall portfolio change assuming equal investment across all 10.
2. Individual Stock Performance
| Stock | Previous (₦) | Current (₦) | % Change |
| -------------- | ------------ | ----------- | ----------- |
| **ARADEL** | 514.5 | 512.2 | **−0.45%** |
| **BUACEMENT** | 100.0 | 151.8 | **+51.80%** |
| **DANGSUGAR** | 48.4 | 58.0 | **+19.83%** |
| **DANGCEM** | 440.0 | 520.2 | **+18.23%** |
| **ELLAHLAKES** | 7.1 | 13.45 | **+89.44%** |
| **ETRANZACT** | 7.25 | 10.85 | **+49.66%** |
| **HMCALL** | 4.2 | 4.28 | **+1.90%** |
| **MULTIVERSE** | 8.75 | 10.90 | **+24.57%** |
| **NB** | 59.0 | 70.20 | **+19.00%** |
| **TRANSPOWER** | 320.0 | 286.5 | **−10.47%** |
3. Top Gainers and Losers
Top Gainers:
ELLAHLAKES** (+89.44%) — Small-cap rally, nearly doubled in price.
BUACEMENT** (+51.80%) — Strong institutional demand.
ETRANZACT** (+49.66%) — Fintech sector showing renewed momentum.
Moderate Gainers:
DANGSUGAR (+19.83%), NB (+19.00%), MULTIVERSE (+24.57%), DANGCEM (+18.23%).
Flat/Minor Move:
HMCALL (+1.90%), ARADEL (−0.45%).
Top Loser:
TRANSPOWER (−10.47%) — noticeable decline, likely on profit-taking.
4. Averages vs Portfolio Performance
Average of individual % changes:** **+26.35%**
→ Indicates the “average stock” in the basket rose strongly, pulled higher by extreme gainers like Ellah Lakes and BUA Cement.
5. Key Insights
1. **Small caps drive volatility:** Ellah Lakes’ +89% jump skews the average, but has limited effect on overall portfolio returns due to low nominal price.
2. **Cement stocks strong:** Both Dangote Cement (+18%) and BUA Cement (+52%) reflect strong sector sentiment.
3. **Fintech momentum:** ETranzact’s +49% surge suggests renewed investor confidence in payment platforms.
4. **Blue chips steady:** Nigerian Breweries and Dangote Sugar both posted \~+20% gains, showing defensive strength.
5. **Weakness in Power sector:** Transcorp Power fell −10%, the only significant drag in the basket.
Here is the pullback for Cornerstone Here is the pullback for Cornerstone
The Nigerian insurance sector is seriously under a positive catalyst that is pushing insurance stocks
I am patiently waiting for a strong pullback for my long-term entries for a ride into 2026. This is because the breakout from the N5 zone was too vertical, and there was a need for a retest, technically speaking
Contrary to my previous buy entry of N3.5, I am ready to start buying at N5 per stock.
I hope to connect with you.
Please like, follow me, share and comment.
Third Quarter 2025 Nigerian share picks Update....Percentage Up!Here's a summary and update on the third quarter 2025 Nigeria stock picks based on the price comparison between July and August - 1month:
Q3 2025 Trading View: Nigerian Stock Picks Update
Strong Performers with Significant Gains:
BUACEMENT: Up 48%, showing strong momentum as a cement sector leader.
DANGSUGAR: Increased by nearly 37%, notable growth in the sugar sector.
ELLAHLAKES: Shares rose over 36%, a promising performer.
DANGCEM: Cement stock up about 20%, continuing solid growth.
ETRANZACT: Up 24%, showing steady improvement in the tech/payment sector.
MULTIVERSE: Grew by 24%, indicating healthy gains in diversified tech.
NB: +28.8%, good growth for the banking/finance sector.
Moderate or no Growth:
ARADEL: Small increase of about 1%, steady but minimal movement.
HMCALL: Stable with a minor 1.4% increase, remaining consistent.
TRANSPOWER: No price change, holding steady for now.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Average gain across all picks is approximately +22%, a strong positive trend overall.
Indicates a bullish sentiment on these carefully selected third-quarter stocks.
Opportunity exists to take advantage of higher momentum sectors like cement, sugar, and tech/payment companies.
Trading Takeaway:
The Q3 2025 picks demonstrate robust growth potential, especially in key sectors like construction materials and tech/payments. Conservative performers provide portfolio stability while high growth stocks offer upside. Continual monitoring for volume and market news is recommended to capitalize on gains and manage risks moving forward.
My View on Nigerian Breweries PLC (NB)My View on Nigerian Breweries PLC (NB).
This asset has made a significant ride up from its recent low, which broke the previous N45 resistance zone, and hit a new resistance zone around N56 before dropping a bit.
If the N45 support continues to hold strong, we might see this asset rally towards the ALMIGHTY resistance level around N68.
Looking at the chart, the 68 level marked yellow is a critical level for all investors.
Trade with care.
Please, if you found this helpful, kindly follow me, like, share my chart and let me know your thoughts on the comment session
TRANSCORP heading to N43 zone.TRANSCORP heading to N43 zone.
This is 3rd week of straight loss for this asset.
I am looking at a buy opportunity around N43 which happens to be a confluence of an ascending trendline and a horizontal support level.
If this is favoured by fundamentals, we should be targeting a RR of 1:4.5
Long term investors have no worry with SL
I am optimistic about the outlook for STANBIC stockI am optimistic about the outlook for STANBIC stock.
Currently, Stanbic IBTC Holdings (STANBIC) on the NGX is trading above a rising trendline that is providing solid support.
While I am bullish on the stock, I am awaiting a pullback to the N57 level to execute my two planned entries.
To manage risk, I will set my stop loss at the N51.25 level for both entries.
My first target price (TP1) is N68.6, aligning with the FIB61.8% retracement level. For my second target (TP2), I am setting my sights on the all-time high (ATH) zone, which is N83.
MRS Oil on NGX is dropping from ATHMRS Oil on NGX is dropping from ATH
This stock hit its ATH of N218 last month. Following this, the asset has started pulling back.
The question is: how far will it pull back?
TYPES OF CURRENCY PAIRSWhen trading Forex, it is essential to know about the different types of currency pairs, as some pairs are much riskier to trade than others, especially for those with minimal trading experience.
Major Currency Pairs
Before we discuss major currency pairs, we should first list the major currencies individually. The eight major currencies are:
US dollar (USD)
Euro (EUR)
British pound (GBP)
Japanese yen (JPY)
Swiss franc (CHF)
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Australian dollar (AUD)
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
As listed above, there are eight major currencies but there are only seven major pairs because a major pair includes the U.S. dollar. Major pairs are the most traded currency pairs on the forex market. They account for the highest average trade volume and have the most liquid markets, as well as the lowest risks and spreads offered by brokers. The seven major currency
pairs are:
EUR/USD – Euro / US dollar
GBP/USD – British Pound / US dollar
USD/JPY – US dollar / Japanese yen
AUD/USD – Australian dollar / US dollar
USD/CHF – US dollar / Swiss franc
USD/CAD – US dollar / Canadian dollar
NZD/USD – New Zealand dollar / US dollar
Note that AUD/USD and USD/CAD are sometimes also referred to as commodity currencies.
Minor Currency Pairs
Minor currency pairs (also known as cross pairs or crosses) always include two major currencies but not the U.S. dollar. Crosses are not as popular and as highly traded as the major pairs. This means they can be riskier than a major pair and will attract wider spreads from brokers. Their liquidity can also be low at times, presenting a challenge for inexperienced traders in a thin volume environment. Here are a few examples of minor currency pairs:
EUR/GBP – Euro / British pound
EUR/JPY – Euro / Japanese yen
GBP/JPY – British pound / Japanese yen
AUD/NZD – Australian dollar / New Zealand dollar
NZD/JPY – New Zealand dollar / Japanese yen
GBP/CAD – British pound / Canadian dollar
Exotic Currency Pairs
Exotic currency pairs consist of a major currency paired with a currency from a developing and emerging nations as well as certain developed nations. These currency pairs trade in a far less liquid market compared to the majors and minors as they are traded less frequently. This causes their spreads to be much higher than those of the major and minor pairs. Here are a few examples of exotic currency pairs:
EUR/TRY – Euro / Turkish lira
USD/ZAR – US dollar / South African rand
AUD/MXN – Australian dollar / Mexican peso
USD/HKD – US dollar / Hong Kong dollar
NZD/THB – New Zealand dollar / Thai baht
CAD/NGN – Canadian dollar / Nigerian naira
Risks and Spreads
Major currency pairs have the most liquidity and as a result, attract lower spreads, whilst minor and exotic pairs are much riskier and attract wider spreads.
Liquidity & Volatility
Due to high liquidity in the major currency pairs market, they are consistent and predictable, whilst minor and exotic pairs can be volatile and extremely unpredictable at times.
Please also see images below for visual examples of the difference in price behaviour of the different pair types.
MAJOR PAIR & CROSS PAIR
MAJOR PAIR & EXOTIC PAIR
CROSS PAIR & EXOTIC PAIR
Which is the best currency type to trade for new traders? We will be a posting an educational article on this in the future delving into details regarding this question.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
A Possible 30% Increase by Caverton Nigeria Plc. Hi, This is analysis is purely based on technical analysis. Caverton does not have a very strong fundamental it might take quite some time to push up to our take profit area.
The analysis is based on the use of the following indicators
CCi and Rsi
caverton
A Possible 35% Increase by AfriprudHi, My Name is Victor.
This is the first time I decided to go public with my strategies. My strategies are not 100% efficient but they are sure to give you some returns for your investment.
This strategy is based on volume and price and movement. The major indicators used to arrive at this idea are purely technical though am aware that Africa Prudential PLC. (Afriprud) has a strong fundamental.
The key indicators used are CCi, RSI and MA 50, 100, 150.
The volume shows that at 6naira per share, Afriprud has a high volume of demand and this might also serve as our resistance level. for a while Afriprud has been on an uptrend and is currently taking a pull back inorder to continue this trend. Our CCI indicates that price has gone over bought and might likely reverse. The RSI indicates a weak trend hence a reversal is bound to occur.
Entry - 6naira
exit - 8.14
stop loss - 5.5
Gain - 35%
Risk/reward ratio; 4.24
NSE Daily TimeframeSNIPER STRATEGY
This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts
Although I have to say it can’t predict pullbacks, so I do not suggest this strategy for leverage trading.
It will not give you the whole wave like any other strategy out there but it will give you huge part of the wave.
The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work any timeframe above three minutes.
Start believing in this strategy because it will reward believers with huge profit.
There is a lot more about this strategy.
It can predict and also it can give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot.
I am developing it even more so stay tuned and start to follow me for more signals and forecasts.
USDNGN Long term analysis !Pattern Wedge on NGN, but take in mind that this
is monthly timeframe and of course long term
analysis. Based on technical indications NGN can
correct its trend against USD to 349.77 in next
5-6 months. Anyway price can gradually decline
to 360 before christmass holidays\
Terms and short forms!
T - Trendlines (T1,T2... etc.)
S - Supprt levels (S1,S2... etc.)
R - Resistance levels (R1,R2... etc.)
TP - Take Profit
SL - Stop Loss
F - Fibo Levels (F23,F61... etc.)
Check out my next stream "What is divergence, why it is important for trading?"
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