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NIO: Price can find supportNIO broke below $5, extending a ~30% slide over the past month. Pressure came after earnings showed a slight revenue miss and cautious delivery guidance — enough for bears to push the stock to new lows. But the chart isn’t all doom: → price is testing the lower boundary of the 2025 ascending channel → yesterday opened with a bullish gap, signaling buyers may be stepping in around the key $5 level If bulls manage to defend this zone, the trend could stabilize — with further direction depending on momentum for ONVO & Firefly heading into 2026.
NYSE:NIOLong
by supplyanddemandtrading
NIO Shares Drop Below $5NIO Shares Drop Below $5 As the chart shows, the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese manufacturer of “smart” electric vehicles, has fallen by roughly 30% over the past month and this week slipped below $5 for the first time since mid-August. Among the bearish drivers: → the latest quarterly report revealed gross revenue below analysts’ expectations ($3.06bn versus $3.11bn); → a cautious outlook for vehicle deliveries in the upcoming quarter. Market sentiment appears to have turned wary, given that: → the Chinese economy continues to show signs of slowing despite government stimulus; → NIO’s revenue prospects may remain constrained by intense competition from BYD, XPeng and Li Auto — a particularly concerning factor as NIO launches new models and sub-brands. Even so, the NIO share chart does offer some glimmers of optimism. Technical Analysis of NIO Shares Using the higher highs and higher lows of 2025, it is possible to outline an ascending channel (shown in blue). Within this structure: → the price is hovering near the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as support; → the RSI indicator is displaying a bullish divergence. Another encouraging signal lies in the recent price action: yesterday’s session opened with a bullish gap and ended higher, suggesting renewed buying interest emerging near the psychologically important $5 level. It is therefore plausible that the bulls may attempt to keep NIO shares within the channel and even resume the upward trend. Whether they succeed, however, will depend largely on sales performance — and on forecasts for 2026 — for the company’s new sub-brands, ONVO and Firefly. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:NIO
by FXOpen
1
NIO 1W - engine on or just market noise?Technically, NIO has broken out of a long downtrend and is holding above the key $7.4 support. On the weekly chart this looks like the first sign of a long-awaited reversal. Fundamentally, however, the story is still mixed. The company reported record October deliveries above 40 k units, up roughly 93% year-on-year - strong momentum that shows NIO is expanding its market share in China and entering a new growth phase. Still, free cash flow remains negative and profitability elusive due to heavy investments in battery-swap infrastructure and R&D. Overall, sales growth and improving brand position support a bullish outlook. As long as price holds above $7.0–7.5, targets at $16.3 and $24.4 remain realistic. A breakdown below $6.5 would invalidate the setup. Even electric dreams need a full charge - let’s see if this one can make it up the hill.
NYSE:NIOLong
by TotoshkaTrades
5
NIO - Post-Earnings Pullback to 0.618 Oversold ZoneNIO Accumulation After Earnings Pullback: 0.618 Retracement + DeM Oversold Signal NIO has pulled back into a critical accumulation zone following recent earnings, creating a textbook geometric retracement setup combined with oversold momentum indicators. This analysis breaks down why this pullback represents a structured portfolio addition opportunity rather than fundamental deterioration. 🎯 Setup Overview: Current Price Action: Pullback to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level Technical Confluence: DeMarker (DeM) indicator showing oversold conditions Context: Post-earnings profit-taking in established support zone Position Type: Portfolio addition / accumulation entry 📊 Technical Structure: 0.618 Retracement Zone: The golden ratio retracement level has historically marked the deepest pullback point before trend continuation in quality growth names. NIO's current price sits precisely at this mathematical level from the recent swing low to swing high. DeMarker Oversold Signal: The DeM indicator measures buying and selling pressure. Current readings show exhaustion of selling pressure, suggesting the pullback may be nearing completion. This technical oscillator complements the structural support from Fibonacci analysis. Post-Earnings Pattern: NIO reported solid earnings but experienced typical "sell the news" behavior. This creates opportunity: Fundamentals improved (earnings beat) Technical setup aligned (0.618 + oversold) Emotional selling exhausted (DeM signal) 📈 Why This Pullback Makes Sense: Earnings Were Positive: NIO delivered results that met or exceeded expectations, yet price pulled back due to profit-taking and sector rotation. This disconnect between fundamentals and price action creates entry opportunities. Structural Support: The 0.618 level isn't arbitrary—it represents the mathematical zone where buyers historically step in during corrections within uptrends. Price has shown respect for this level in prior pullbacks. Momentum Exhaustion: DeM oversold readings suggest sellers have pushed price to an extreme. Mean reversion probability increases when technical oscillators reach these zones combined with structural support. 🎯 Risk/Reward Framework: Entry Consideration: Current 0.618 retracement zone Invalidation Level: Below the 0.786 Fibonacci level (deeper support) First Target: Previous swing high (pre-earnings level) Extended Target: Fibonacci extension levels above prior highs Why Risk Is Defined: If price breaks below the 0.786 level, the pullback becomes deeper than typical healthy corrections. This provides a clear invalidation point for the bullish thesis. Why Reward Is Probable: Post-earnings pullbacks in growth stocks with improving fundamentals often reverse sharply once technical oversold conditions are resolved and profit-taking concludes. 🛡️ Portfolio Addition Strategy: Why "Portfolio Add" vs "Full Position": This isn't a "go all-in" signal. It's a strategic addition to existing holdings or a new position sized appropriately for a growth stock with inherent volatility. Position Sizing Approach: Smaller position size than blue-chip holdings (NIO carries more volatility) Scaled entry across the 0.618 zone (not lump sum) Risk limited to 1-2% of total portfolio capital Scaling Method: First entry at current 0.618 level Second entry if price tests 0.786 (deeper pullback) Reserve capital for final add if maximum pain occurs but structure holds 📊 Technical Indicators Confluence: Fibonacci Retracement: Mathematical zone showing where pullbacks historically find support in trending assets. DeMarker Oscillator: Momentum indicator showing exhaustion of selling pressure. When DeM reaches oversold territory at structural support, reversal probability increases. Volume Analysis: Recent selling volume shows signs of climax rather than acceleration—typical of profit-taking bottoms, not fundamental breakdowns. Support/Resistance: Previous resistance zones now acting as support, indicating role reversal that often precedes continuation moves. 🧠 Trader Psychology: The Post-Earnings Trap: Why Most Miss This: After good earnings, traders expect immediate upside. When price pulls back instead, they assume "something must be wrong" and avoid the stock entirely. The Reality: Earnings beats often trigger profit-taking as early holders exit and new buyers wait for "better prices." This creates the pullback that becomes the better price. Emotional vs Structural: Emotional view: "Earnings were good but price is falling—stay away" Structural view: "Earnings confirmed fundamentals, price at support—add position" Historical Pattern: Quality growth stocks frequently pull back 10-15% post-earnings before resuming uptrends. This isn't failure—it's opportunity for patient capital. 📈 Why EV Sector Context Matters: Sector Rotation: EV stocks experience waves of sector rotation as investors move between growth and value. Pullbacks during rotation create entry points before the next leg up. NIO's Position: As a leading Chinese EV manufacturer with improving fundamentals, NIO represents exposure to the electric vehicle transformation in the world's largest auto market. Risk Acknowledgment: Chinese equities carry geopolitical and regulatory risks. Position sizing must account for these additional variables beyond pure technical analysis. 📅 Timeframe Expectations: Not a Day Trade: Post-earnings consolidations can take weeks to resolve. This is a position trade, not a scalp. Potential Catalysts: Delivery number announcements Sector momentum shifts back to growth names Technical resolution of oversold conditions Broader market stability Patience Required: The 0.618 level may be tested multiple times before resolving higher. Position sizing should accommodate short-term volatility without forced exits. ⚠️ Risk Considerations: Volatility: NIO exhibits higher volatility than large-cap U.S. equities. Daily swings of 5-10% are not uncommon. Position sizing must reflect this reality. Geopolitical Risk: Chinese stocks face regulatory uncertainty and U.S.-China relations risks. These macro factors can override technical setups. Sector Sentiment: If EV sector sentiment deteriorates broadly, individual stock structure may not hold. Monitor sector ETFs for confirmation. Support Breakdown: If price closes decisively below the 0.786 Fibonacci level, the pullback becomes deeper than healthy corrections typically allow. This invalidates the thesis and requires disciplined exit. 🏆 The Professional Approach to Growth Stocks: They Size Appropriately: Growth stocks get smaller position sizes than stable dividend payers. Volatility demands this discipline. They Buy Weakness in Strong Names: When fundamentals improve but price pulls back, professionals add. When fundamentals deteriorate but price rallies, they exit. They Use Technical Structure: The 0.618 level + DeM oversold isn't fortune-telling—it's identifying zones where probability tilts in favor of reversal based on historical patterns. They Accept Uncertainty: No one knows if the bottom is today, tomorrow, or next week. But at structural support with oversold readings after positive earnings, probability favors the long side with defined risk. 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Fundamentals + Technicals align: Earnings beat + 0.618 support + DeM oversold creates multi-factor confluence. ✅ Post-earnings pullback is normal: Good earnings don't guarantee immediate upside. Profit-taking creates entry opportunities. ✅ Portfolio addition, not speculation: This is sized as a growth allocation within a diversified portfolio, not a lottery ticket. ✅ Risk is defined: Below 0.786 invalidates the setup. No hoping, no averaging into a broken structure. ✅ Patience over prediction: The bottom may take days or weeks to form. Structure identifies the zone; time confirms the entry. ⚠️ Important Disclaimers: This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects a technical view based on Fibonacci retracement levels, momentum indicators, and post-earnings price behavior. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell NIO or any security. NIO operates in a volatile sector and jurisdiction with additional geopolitical risks. The 0.618 support level could fail, and the DeM indicator can remain oversold during extended downtrends. No technical pattern guarantees reversal. Chinese equities carry regulatory, political, and currency risks beyond typical equity investments. Position sizing must account for these additional risk factors. Earnings results do not guarantee future stock performance. Post-earnings pullbacks can extend beyond typical retracement levels during broader market weakness. Always conduct independent research, consider your risk tolerance, and consult with a financial professional. All investing involves risk of loss. ✨ Your Perspective: Are you watching NIO or other EV names at these levels? How do you approach post-earnings pullbacks in growth stocks? Share your thoughts in the comments. 📜 Buy structure. Size appropriately. Trade with discipline.
NYSE:NIOLong
by RB_T
2
Nio Inc. (NIO) Shows Early Signs of a Potential Trend ReversalA technical review of Nio Inc. (NIO) suggests the electric vehicle manufacturer may be in the early stages of a significant chart reversal. After a prolonged period of downward pressure or consolidation, the price action is beginning to exhibit classic characteristics of a potential bullish turnaround. Key indicators, which may include a break above a minor downtrend resistance line, stabilizing volume patterns, or emerging bullish candlestick formations, are contributing to this constructive outlook. Trading Strategy & Key Levels For traders considering a position based on this potential reversal setup, the current zone appears to offer a favorable risk-to-reward profile for entry. Entry & Stop-Loss: A strategic stop-loss order is recommended just below the recent swing low, placed at $5.50. This level acts as a critical invalidation point; a breach below it would likely negate the current reversal hypothesis and signal a resumption of the prior downtrend. Primary Profit Targets: The initial take-profit target is set at $6.00, a level that may have previously acted as resistance. The secondary and more ambitious target is at $6.40, which represents a more significant technical hurdle. Taking partial profits at the first target is a prudent strategy to manage risk. The Bullish Scenario: A Breakout to Higher Ground Should the bullish momentum continue to build and the price convincingly breaks above the $6.40 resistance level—particularly on high volume—it would signal a substantial shift in market structure and a confirmation of stronger bullish conviction. In this scenario, the next major resistance zone comes into focus around $7.50, representing a longer-term objective for the reversal pattern. Conclusion While the nascent reversal pattern in Nio is technically promising, it is not without risk. The setup suggests a potential long opportunity with a clearly defined invalidation point at $5.50. A disciplined approach, adhering to these key levels, is essential for navigating this speculative yet potentially rewarding trade setup.
NYSE:NIOLong
by KalaGhazi
$NIO: The Key Levels to WatchNIO Inc. is a Chinese automotive technology company founded on November 28, 2014, and headquartered in Jiading. Its operations are centered on the electric vehicle market and a unique user-centric ecosystem. Core Products: Design and manufacture of electric vehicles, including the ES8 7-seater SUV and the high-performance EP9 supercar. Power Solutions: A comprehensive network of charging options, including home charging, public access, express valet services, mobile charging trucks, and its signature battery swapping technology. Additional Services: Value-added offerings such as service packages, battery payment plans, vehicle financing, and license plate registration assistance. Beyond its business as a comprehensive EV and power solutions company, NYSE:NIO 's stock ( NYSE:NIO ) is currently trading within a well-defined range. Here’s a tactical breakdown of the essential levels for your trading plan: The Ceiling (Resistance): $8.00 is the wall. Until this level is convincingly broken to the upside, the overall bias remains range-bound to bearish. Any approach to this level is a potential area for taking profits or for aggressive traders to consider short positions. The Floor (Support): $4.00 is the absolute floor. This is the level that must hold to prevent a significant downturn. Long positions become increasingly risky if the price starts to consolidate below $4.50. The Abyss (Danger Zone): If $4.00 breaks, prepare for a rapid move down to $3.00. This is the "Danger Zone," and a break here could lead to catastrophic losses. All bullish bets should be re-evaluated if this level is tested. The Buy Zones: Zone 1 (Cautious Accumulation): $5.00. Start scaling into long positions here, but keep size small. Zone 2 (High-Conviction Accumulation): $4.50. This is the prime zone to add to positions, as it offers a tighter stop-loss below the $4.00 support and a more favorable risk/reward setup.
NYSE:NIOLong
by KalaGhazi
2
NIO | China will Lead the EV BattleNIO, Inc. is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Bin Li and Li Hong Qin on November 28, 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
NYSE:NIOLong
by DivergenceSeeker
2
NIO — The Spark Before the Storm $10000⚡ NIO: The Spark Before the Storm — A New SuperCycle Is Born ⚡🚗 "The storm that started with Tesla is about to find its next wave." NIO just finished its deep correction of Wave 2 — and Wave 3 is ready to change everything. 🔥 🌩️ The Setup From hype to despair — that’s how every SuperCycle begins. After the 2021 peak, NIO collapsed into silence, grinding through a brutal 0.618 Fibonacci retrace. But markets don’t die in fear — they reset . And that reset is complete. Now, the chart shows what could be the first true SuperCycle ignition for NIO — the same point Tesla stood at a decade ago. 🌊 The Wave Map 1️⃣ Wave 1 (2019–2021) — The hype wave. EV mania, hope, and early adoption. 2️⃣ Wave 2 (2021–2025) — The cleansing wave. Fear, dilution, exhaustion. 3️⃣ Wave 3 (2025–2029) — The expansion wave. 🔥 Projected zone: $450 (1.618) 4️⃣ Wave 4 (2030–2032) — The reset. 5️⃣ Wave 5 (2032–2035) — The final mania. Every great company survives Wave 2… and dominates in Wave 3. 🧭 The Technical Pulse Major liquidity sweep below $8 → Smart Money re-entry. Break of Structure (BoS) confirmation above $10 = start of markup phase. Fair Value Gap (FVG) near $6–9 = accumulation zone. Fib geometry + historical rhythm = 3rd wave setup confirmed. Price is coiling under long-term resistance — the spring before expansion. ⚙️ Macro + Fundamentals EV market entering mass production maturity. NIO’s battery swap network gives it an unmatched recurring model. China’s stimulus & EV subsidies may reignite the sector. Market cap reset = asymmetric opportunity. This is where long-term conviction separates traders from investors. 🎯 Projection Timeline 📍 Wave 3 → ~$450 🔄 Wave 4 → $100–150 zone 🚀 Wave 5 → $10,000+ 💬 Final Take ⚡ NIO’s not dead — it’s recharging. When Wave 3 hits, disbelief turns to euphoria. 👇 Drop your take — is this the next EV breakout SuperCycle ? Follow for deep Elliott + Smart Money confluence setups. #NIO #EVRevolution #Wave3 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #FIBCOS #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #TradingView #StockMarket #MacroCycle #Investing #WaveTheory #ElectricVehicles
NYSE:NIOLong
by fibcos
7
NIO : predicts Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias)How AI predicts daily market moves...🚀📈 ⚡ NYSE:NIO predicts Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias) 📊 Current Market Status Price: $6.21 Data Quality: ✅ Good Timeframe: 1-Min K-Line (Intraday) 🎯 Intraday Price Predictions 30-Min → $6.22 (+0.24%) 2-Hr → $6.11 (-1.54%) End-of-Day → $6.17 (-0.65%) 📈 Extended Outlook Final Target: $6.17 (-0.65%) Predicted Volatility: 66.5% Range: $5.79 – $6.23 ⚖️ Trend Analysis Direction: BEARISH Confidence: 64% Bias: 🔻 Leaning downside with volatility expansion 🔑 Key Levels Support: $5.79 Resistance: $6.23 Range Size: 7.2% of price 🚨 Intraday Trade Signal Direction: SHORT Entry: $6.21 Target: $6.18 Stop: $6.30 Confidence: 64% Expected Move: -0.7% R/R: 0.34 : 1 Horizon: 390 min (day session)
NYSE:NIOShort
by quantsignals
1
NIO Share Price Shows Signs of StrengthNIO Share Price Shows Signs of Strength This week, the media highlighted that the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese smart electric vehicle manufacturer, fell after management announced a $1 billion share offering to raise capital. The funds are intended to finance projects such as the development of EV charging infrastructure. Indeed, on 10 September, a wide bearish gap appeared on the chart, but by 11 September (yesterday) the bulls had almost entirely recovered the decline. This indicates bullish strength, possibly supported by a solid fundamental backdrop, driven by: → the expansion of NIO’s model range (which now includes the budget ONVO brand as well as the premium Firefly series); → higher delivery volumes – in the latest reporting quarter the company delivered 72,056 vehicles, up 25.6% compared to the previous period. The NIO Inc. (NIO) price chart points to further bullish signals. Technical Analysis of NIO Stock Price movements are forming an ascending channel (shown in blue), with the following features: → The bulls managed to recover from the sharp decline 0→1, after which we observe the 1→6 sequence, typical of a bullish market, as each subsequent low and high is higher than the previous one. → Upward impulses are steep, while the subsequent pullbacks (which can be interpreted as a bullish flag pattern, shown in red) look like healthy corrections. → Key resistance levels are turning into support. This was the case with $4.40 and $5.30. The black arrow shows that the channel’s median line also acts as support – which led to the price moving above the psychological $6 level. From a bearish perspective, resistance may be provided by the upper boundary of the current correction zone. However, the third bullish flag could be broken (as were the previous two), which would open the way for NIO’s share price to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:NIO
by FXOpen
2
Is Alibaba entering a stage 2 breakout formation? This video depicts a pure technical summary of Alibaba on multiple different time frames. We will follow this video up with a fundamental view. Using previous cycles we believe Alibaba is poised for a 12-24 month explosive move. Baba looks o be entering the explosive stage 2 formation. Breaking out and defending monthly chart support...Baba looks great on all time frames. Many bullish patterns are triggering....Weekly bull flags / inverse head and shoulders. The minimum upside target if the bullflag completes is around 160 - 165. We have been long Baba since early July when it kissed the daily 200 MA.
NYSE:BABALong
by Trading-Capital
4
Tesla, Nio, XPEV breakout ahead of NVdA earnings tomorrowTesla is breaking out of a daily chart wedge pattern. This pattern suggest a move to 400 could occur as long as the indices don't fall on NVDA earnings. If you look at how some of the China ADR EV companies have performed, Tesla could be well on its way to replicating a move. All eyes on NVDA earnings tomorrow. Heading into the print with a 58 PE and looking like it wants new highs. NVDA guidance will once again be crucial for the market. $46B revenue estimate is likely to be beat. We secured profits on the massive nuclear pop today. SMR calls printed over 100%
NYSE:SMRLong
by Trading-Capital
NIO Trendline Break PossibleGood evening traders, After NIO's rapid growth Pre-Covid, the company has failed to make a comeback. In my opinion this was due to its rapid growth and impulse move back in 2020. My rule with impulse moves is the market will tend to retrace 100% of its initial move. Following the fall of NIO for the past several years, it has clearly been bouncing from a descending trendline and so far it has touched 4 times. I expect NIO to continue to drop, the $3.00'ish price seems to be a good price to enter with a possibility of it reach the $1.00 area. I'm expecting a breakout soon followed by a retracement back to the trendline and bounce up until is reaches the $27 dollar area. This is just the technical aspect of this analysis. Hope this helps some of you with your investments. Don't forget to like and follow for more trading ideas & trading opportunities. Happy Trading!
NYSE:NIOLong
by DualScope_Strategies
3
TSLA New ATH incoming? Overview of primary catalysts.After trading between $346 and $365 intraday on May 27, Tesla shares closed at $362.89—up modestly despite broader market headwinds and lingering investor skepticism. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the primary catalysts shaping Tesla’s stock price (ranked 0–10): 1. Electric Vehicle Demand Growth Strength: 9/10 Global EV adoption remains the single largest driver of Tesla’s top line. Despite slowing sales in Europe and China, overall EV penetration continues to surge as consumers shift away from internal-combustion engines. 2. Launch of Affordable Model (Entry-Level EV) Strength: 8.5/10 Elon Musk has reiterated plans to unveil a sub-$25,000 EV in early 2025, targeting the mass market. Investors cheered a recent reaffirmation of focus on core products over peripheral projects. 3. Battery Cost Reductions & Margin Expansion Strength: 8/10 Tesla’s relentless drive to lower battery pack costs underpins both profitability and price competitiveness. Q4 cost of goods sold dipped below $35,000 per vehicle, even as margins softened amid mixed volumes. 4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Progress Strength: 7.5/10 Commercial robotaxi trials are slated to begin in Austin in June 2025, with a dedicated Cybercab in development. While regulatory and safety hurdles loom, the promise of recurring software subscription revenue could be transformative. 5. Competition from Other EV Manufacturers Strength: 7/10 Legacy automakers and startups alike are ramping up EV offerings. Tesla’s U.S. market share has declined in recent years, highlighting intensifying pressure in key regions. 6. U.S.–China Trade Policies & Tariffs Strength: 6.5/10 Fluctuating tariffs on Chinese EV imports have led to order suspensions and forecasting challenges. Trade-policy uncertainty remains a wild card given Tesla’s global supply chain. 7. Regulatory Incentives & Subsidies Strength: 6/10 U.S. federal tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act and similar programs in Europe and China support EV demand—and Tesla’s eligibility criteria will influence its market growth. 8. Commodity Price Volatility (Lithium, Nickel, Cobalt) Strength: 5.5/10 Raw material cost swings can erode margins. While long-term supply agreements help, spot shortages or price spikes remain risks. 9. Fed “Higher for Longer” Interest Rate Environment Strength: 5/10 Elevated real yields reduce the appeal of high-growth names like Tesla. A sustained hawkish stance from the Fed could continue to cap valuations, similar to how it weighs on non-yielding assets. 10. Corporate Governance & Elon Musk’s Public Profile Strength: 4/10 Musk’s high-profile engagements and occasional controversies can politicize the brand, prompting sentiment-driven stock swings. Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025) 🔸 EV demand growth: 9 🔸 Affordable Model launch: 8.5 🔸 Battery cost & margins: 8 🔸 Autonomy/robotaxi progress: 7.5 🔸 Competition: 7 🔸 Trade & tariffs: 6.5 🔸 Regulatory incentives: 6 🔸 Commodity costs: 5.5 🔸 Fed rates: 5 🔸 Musk profile: 4 Analyst Forecasts for 2025 | Analyst / Consensus | 12-Month Price Target | Rating | | --------------------------- | --------------------- | ------------ | | High | \$470.00 | – | | Median | \$306.00 | Hold/Neutral | | Low | \$115.00 | – | | Average (Consensus) | \$306.29 | Hold | | Dan Ives (Wedbush) | \$315 | Outperform | | Adam Jonas (Morgan Stanley) | \$430 | Overweight | * Consensus sees a range of \$115–\$470 with an average near \$306. * Dan Ives trimmed his target from \$550 to \$315, citing tariff risks and political headwinds. * Adam Jonas remains bullish with a \$430 target, viewing Tesla as an “embodied AI compounder” despite near-term brand challenges. Where to Next for Tesla? * Current price: \~\$362.89 * Key support levels: \$350 and \$340 * Next technical floor: \$330 * Upside triggers: Stronger-than-expected delivery volumes, breakthrough in full-self-driving (FSD) reliability, or renewed cost cuts. Tesla’s stock remains a balance between long-term disruptive potential and short-term execution risks. While EV adoption and autonomous ambitions underpin a compelling growth narrative, margin compression, competitive pressures, and macro uncertainties will dictate volatility in the months ahead.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
24
Is Nio’s ambition outpacing reality?Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio faces significant challenges despite strategic efforts like the recent launch of the Firefly brand. A successful and innovative company known for its battery swaps, Nio is now grappling with increasing domestic competition, slowing economic growth, and significant financial losses reflected in its low share price and market cap. The company’s path forward, and particularly its ambitious global expansion, increasingly appears fraught with external pressures and technological hurdles that threaten its long-term viability. Chief among these challenges is rising geopolitical risks. Rising trade tensions between major global powers, including potential tariffs from the US and Europe, directly threaten Nio’s access to the international market and its growth prospects. More critically, the unresolved situation regarding Taiwan poses a serious risk of conflict (a Chinese invasion of Taiwan) and subsequent international embargoes. Such a scenario could disrupt global supply chains, especially for critical components such as semiconductors essential for electric vehicles, and cripple Nio’s production and sales. Furthermore, Nio is in an expensive technological arms race, particularly in autonomous driving, competing with global leaders such as Tesla. While Nio uses a multi-sensor approach with LiDAR in its Navigate on Pilot Plus (NOP+) system, Tesla’s vision-only strategy and extensive data collection pose a formidable challenge. Both companies face obstacles, and with the complex task of perfecting autonomous technology in diverse environments, Nio must not only adapt to technological advances but also navigate complex regulatory landscapes and execute flawlessly to compete effectively and justify its significant investments in this space.
NYSE:NIOShort
by UDIS_View