Long
Long
NVDA | Liquidity Swept, Trend Intact — Bulls Target The Highs!By analyzing the #NVDA (Nvidia) chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that price remains firmly within an uptrend. Every leg up has confirmed the trend with a fresh bullish BOS — and the most recent dip was nothing more than a liquidity grab designed to shake out weak hands before the next move higher.
📊 4H Timeframe
On the 4H, the structure is clearly bullish — a clean series of bullish BOS on the way up. The last bullish BOS established a Protected Low, and here's the key detail: price dipped below that low with a liquidity sweep , not a clean body close. That's the classic trap — it looks like a breakdown and convinces traders the trend has flipped, but because price only wicked through and never closed below, the bullish structure stays fully intact.
Since that sweep, price has pushed back up with strength and is now trading around $212.33 , right back at the first cluster of overhead liquidity. My expectation is a continuation higher to hunt the stacked buy-side liquidity (BSL) resting above at $213.98 , $221.72 , $231.71 , and ultimately $236.55 . The bullish thesis stays valid above the Protected Low at $194.78 , with deeper demand at the FVG and the Order Blocks below ( $181.01 – $185.66 and $164.42 – $169.68 ) if a deeper flush ever comes.
⏱️ 1H Timeframe
On the 1H, the immediate trigger comes into focus. Price is pressing against the Protected High — and a clean break of that level is the confirmation I want. On that break, the path opens up toward all the stacked buy-side liquidity levels above with high probability. Until then, the Protected High is the line that separates consolidation from the next impulsive leg.
🎯 The Bias
My base case is bullish continuation. The 4H uptrend is intact, the dip was a liquidity sweep rather than a genuine break, and price has already reclaimed with strength. The trigger is a 1H break of the Protected High, which opens the run toward the BSL pools overhead ($213.98 → $221.72 → $231.71 → $236.55). In my view, as long as NVDA holds above the Protected Low ($194.78), every dip remains a buying opportunity rather than a reversal — the sweep already did its job of trapping the late sellers.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop
The bullish structure lines up with a genuinely strong run of catalysts. Nvidia climbed roughly +3.5% today, leading a broad semiconductor resurgence as fresh data showed hyperscaler AI capex remaining robust — dispelling slowdown fears. The momentum is backed by real news flow: reports today that Nvidia is exploring a partnership with Mitsubishi Heavy for AI data-center cooling, a strategic tie-up with IREN for up to 5 gigawatts of AI infrastructure, and TSMC just posted record Q2 revenue on AI demand that shows no signs of slowing. Analyst sentiment stays firmly bullish, with an average target around $297 (highs up to $500) and Morgan Stanley telling investors to "jump on the bandwagon." That said, there are risks worth respecting: Nvidia just tightened its Asian buyer "white list" (halving some regional clients to curb China diversion), reported DOJ/FTC antitrust scrutiny lingers, and hyperscalers like Google are pushing their own custom TPUs. But with Q1 FY27 revenue up 85% YoY and an $80B buyback underway, the fundamental engine remains firmly intact — aligning with the bullish technical picture.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves. If this breakdown added value, drop a like 👍 and a comment 💬 to support the work — and share where you see Nvidia heading next! Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳 NVDA… How to Control This Stock for ONLY $35 - $65/Share?One of the biggest mistakes traders make is entering strong stocks emotionally instead of structurally.
And NVDA is a PERFECT example of that right now.
For weeks, we have been following this market from the All-Time High after the H4 chart gave us a clear BOS DOWN and return back to the H4 BOS Supply Source for the sell.
At that point, the expectation became:
➡️ pull back toward the Daily Demand Zone
➡️ and potentially even lower if that zone failed
That is EXACTLY what happened.
Now here’s where things get interesting…
Most people look at NVDA and say:
“I missed it.”
But using CFDs and proper market structure, that may not actually be true.
Right now NVDA is sitting around $195/share.
But based on the larger structure, we still have to consider the possibility that this market could fall toward:
➡️ $180–182 (Daily FVG)
OR potentially even:
➡️ the larger H4 BOS Demand Source around $170
So what does that mean?
It means if you are entering NVDA LONG TERM, you should not think like a gambler…
You should think like a risk manager.
Using CFD trading, the goal is not necessarily to BUY the full $195/share outright.
The goal is to control the position while understanding your TRUE risk range.
If NVDA is at $195…
and your “safe floor” based on the larger structure is around $160…
then your REAL risk range is approximately:
➡️ $35/share
Even with the extreme market failure scenario, your “extreme floor” based on the larger structure is around $160 (safe stop below that $170 zone)…
then your REAL risk range is approximately:
➡️ $65/share
That changes the conversation entirely.
Because structurally, that means a trader using CFDs and leverage could potentially control:
✔ 1 share of NVDA with roughly $65–100 risk. All you need is $100 in your account to hold this position vs. the $195 to buy one share of NVDA.
✔ 10 shares with roughly $650–1000 risk ($1,000 account needed)
✔ 100 shares with roughly $6,500–10,000 risk ($10,000 controls 100 shares vs. $19,500 of your capital tied up in the market)
✔ 1000 shares with roughly $65,000–100,000 risk (only $100K capital needed vs. $195K)
Now obviously…
this is NOT risk-free.
And this is NOT financial advice.
If the market collapses and NVDA loses the larger structure, the position can still fail.
But THIS is why understanding market structure matters.
Because instead of emotionally chasing NVDA at $230–235…
…the BOS structure warned us there was a high probability this market was coming back toward $200 or below.
That alone is already roughly:
➡️ a $35/share improvement in entry pricing
And if you are controlling larger CFD positions…
…that difference becomes MASSIVE.
This is why we study:
✔ BOS
✔ Supply & Demand
✔ Source Zones
✔ Market Structure
Not to gamble…
…but to position ourselves intelligently.
Trade what you SEE.
Not what you THINK.
Long 
Short 
NVIDIA (NVDA): Bullish continuation with new ATH—242, 263 & 290 We looked at NVDA gauging its bearish potential based on many classic signals and interpretations of the oscillators such as the MACD, RSI and STOCH. While I have much respect for these tools, they haven't worked so far on this type of asset.
When looking at the Cryptocurrency market, I tend to predict the bigger picture fairly easy. Not because of the candles or indicators but because I am looking at the market as a whole. When it comes to NVIDIA and other stocks, I am looking at them in isolation and this creates a huge disadvantage, it isn't enough.
Here I will give this stock another look but based on the candles, the trend and chart structure without any pre-conceived ideas. I will look at its current status & bullish potential.
—NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
This week is about to close and a wick challenged support just to recover. This results in a bullish signal based on candlestick reading. We have an uptrend and rising valuations.
The previous high and all-time high happened October 2025. The correction that followed was really small and this shows either a lack of interest from sellers, or buyers being present at support. Since there is no volume, I take it that sellers didn't show up.
The bullish resumption and higher high continues the long-term trend, an uptrend. We will follow the chart and the market until it changes. NVDA has been rising and will continue to do so based on the chart. One week red is not enough to go short.
Bearish potential failed to materialize, there is no follow through from sellers. There is no bullish potential but an actual bullish trend.
Targets can be found at 242, 263 followed by 290 as the main targets—a new all-time high.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste. Long 
Long 
NVDA: Macro-AI Convergence & The Sustainability Gap🌐 Macro Backdrop & Cross-Market Drivers (May 2026)
As of May 10, 2026, NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the centerpiece of global equity momentum, but the market environment is transitioning from pure AI euphoria toward execution-driven valuation scrutiny.
• The Monetary Headwind:
NVDA continues operating within a 3.5%–3.75% Fed funds rate environment. With inflation expectations remaining elevated, the "higher-for-longer" regime continues placing pressure on high-duration growth multiples.
• The Fed Transition Risk (May 15):
The upcoming Federal Reserve leadership transition introduces a significant macro uncertainty event for the technology sector. Historically, semiconductor equities experience aggressive multiple compression during periods of hawkish repricing and liquidity uncertainty.
• The AI Inference Pivot:
Although NVIDIA delivered record fiscal 2026 revenue of $215.9B (+65% YoY), institutional focus is now shifting from AI training demand toward long-term inference sustainability. Future growth depends heavily on whether hyperscaler AI infrastructure spending remains durable through the next expansion cycle.
---
📊 Structural Analysis & Volume Profile (1H)
The current structure reflects a highly aggressive markup phase beginning to show characteristics of exhaustion.
• Parabolic Trendline Risk:
Price is currently tracking an extremely steep trendline. Historically, moves with this level of vertical acceleration tend to represent emotional momentum expansion, short squeezes, or late-stage speculative participation rather than sustainable institutional accumulation.
• Immediate Momentum Support ($210.00):
This level acts as the first minor support shelf and psychological stabilization zone if momentum begins weakening.
• Strong Demand Zone ($200.00):
The lower blue-box region near $200 represents the primary institutional demand area and historical Point of Control (POC). Significant accumulation previously occurred here before the current expansion phase.
• The Sustainability Gap:
There is relatively thin volume participation between $200 and $215. If momentum breaks sharply, price could move rapidly through this low-liquidity vacuum until stronger institutional demand is rediscovered near the $200 base.
---
🎯 Strategic Conclusion
Current price action appears increasingly disconnected from the broader macro backdrop of May 2026.
• Risk Assessment:
Chasing parabolic expansion into a major macro event window creates unfavorable asymmetric risk, especially ahead of the Fed transition period.
• Execution Framework:
The higher-probability scenario remains a mean-reversion move toward the stronger institutional demand zone near $200.
• Confirmation Signal:
If price retraces into the $200 region during heightened volatility and buyers successfully defend the area with strong volume participation, it would establish a stronger structural foundation for continuation within the broader AI cycle.
---
Conclusion
Momentum remains powerful, but sustainability increasingly depends on macro liquidity stability and the durability of AI inference demand rather than speculative expansion alone.
Waiting for structural equilibrium at established volume nodes offers significantly stronger positioning than chasing vertical momentum late into expansion.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply disciplined risk management and macro-aware execution. Long 
Long
NVDA Bullish Setup | Structure, Momentum & Risk Defined🔥 NVDA Bullish Layered Accumulation Playbook (Swing Trade)
Asset:
NVDA – NVIDIA Corporation
NASDAQ Exchange | US Equities
🧭 Trade Thesis (Bullish Bias)
NVDA remains structurally strong within the broader AI, data-center, and semiconductor leadership cycle. Price action shows healthy pullback behavior within a dominant bullish trend, offering swing traders an opportunity to accumulate via layered entries instead of chasing breakouts.
This plan is designed using a layered limit-order approach (“thief-style accumulation”), allowing flexibility and improved average pricing during volatility.
🟢 Entry Strategy – Layered Accumulation (Thief Style)
Instead of a single entry, this plan uses multiple buy-limit layers to manage volatility and avoid emotional entries.
📌 Layered Buy Zones (example):
Buy Limit 1: $190.00
Buy Limit 2: $185.00
Buy Limit 3: $180.00
👉 Traders may add or adjust layers based on their own risk tolerance, timeframe, and volatility expectations.
👉 This structure allows participation from any price level, while improving cost basis if price dips.
🔴 Risk Management – Stop-Loss Zone
🛑 Protective Stop-Loss: $175.00
⚠️ Important Note (Risk Awareness):
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this stop-loss level is not mandatory. Risk management is a personal decision — manage size responsibly and secure profits according to your own trading plan.
🎯 Target Zone – Profit Protection Area
🚧 Target: $205.00
This level aligns with:
Prior strong resistance (police barricade zone)
Signs of potential overbought conditions
Possible liquidity traps near highs
📌 The plan is to escape with profits, not to predict tops. Partial profit-taking is encouraged as price approaches resistance.
⚠️ TP Reminder:
This take-profit level is guidance only. Traders are free to secure gains based on their own strategy and market conditions.
📊 Technical Context (Clean & TradingView-Friendly)
Bullish higher-timeframe structure intact
Pullback within trend = accumulation opportunity
Layered entries reduce timing risk
Resistance overhead justifies disciplined exits
🌍 Fundamental & Economic Factors Supporting NVDA
Fundamental Drivers:
NVIDIA remains a core leader in AI chips, data centers, and accelerated computing
Strong demand from cloud providers, AI infrastructure, and enterprise compute
Ongoing investment in next-gen GPUs and AI platforms
Macro & Economic Considerations:
US tech sector strength tied to AI capex cycles
Market sensitivity to interest-rate expectations and inflation data
Risk-on sentiment generally benefits high-growth semiconductor leaders
📌 Watch upcoming:
US CPI / PPI inflation data
Federal Reserve rate guidance
Earnings or forward-looking statements impacting AI demand expectations
🔗 Related Symbols to Watch (Correlation Check)
NASDAQ:SOXX / NASDAQ:SMH – Semiconductor ETFs (sector health confirmation)
NASDAQ:QQQ / NASDAQ:NDX – Nasdaq strength supports NVDA momentum
NASDAQ:AMD – Peer comparison and sentiment gauge
NASDAQ:MSFT / NASDAQ:GOOGL – AI infrastructure demand correlation
📈 Strength in these symbols often confirms bullish continuation in NVDA.
🧠 Master Trader Note (Correction & Guidance)
You’re not “wrong” in asking for layered entries at any price level — this is a valid accumulation methodology. The key improvement is clarity, structure, and risk framing, which ensures the idea remains educational, compliant, and professional rather than promotional or misleading.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly. NVIDIA (NVDA) — Overview March 9, 2026🟢 NVIDIA (NVDA) — Overview March 9, 2026
Entry price: $175
Related idea on TV 🔗
Yesterday there weren’t many interesting trading setups.
Against the backdrop of the conflict in Iran and the energy crisis with oil supply disruptions, energy sector stocks jumped nicely, but I would refrain from buying them for now.
The times when we followed the saying “Buy on highs, sell on lows” are long gone.
But right now NVIDIA stock looks quite attractive for buying
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌍 MACRO: WAR AND OIL
February 28, 2026 — the US and Israel launched Operation “Roaring Lion” against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. Today is day 10 of the conflict.
🔴 #Oil #Brent broke $100
🔴 Dow Jones is falling, S&P 500 under pressure
🔴 Iran has elected a new Supreme Leader — Mojtaba Khamenei
Energy shock — an external macro factor. It is pressuring the entire market, but does not change NVDA’s fundamentals.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 POSITION & NUMBERS
💰 Current price: ~ $179
Long entry: $174.97 and below (down to $171.5)
(expecting this within the week amid the energy crisis before the conference)
📈 Market capitalization: ~$4.32 trln
🏆 AI GPU market share: 92–94% (Q4 2025)
📅 52-week high: $212.19
📌 Financial forecasts
· FY2026 revenue: $215.9 bn (+65% y/y)
· Q1 FY2027 guidance: +77% y/y (~$78 bn)
· Revenue CAGR to FY2029: ~32–35%
· EPS CAGR to FY2029: ~37%
· Forward P/E (FY27): ~21.6x — cheap for such growth
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔬 GROWTH CATALYSTS
▸ Vera Rubin — shipments H2 2026, mass adoption by hyperscalers Q4 2026 – Q1 2027
▸ SK Hynix secured ~70% of HBM4 orders for Rubin — supply chain is secured
▸ HBM crisis: memory prices may rise 50% in Q1 2026. For NVDA this is upside, not risk
▸ Local AI inference — memory-bound, not compute-bound → NVDA architectural advantage
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🇨🇳 CHINA BACKGROUND: H200 + 25% TARIFF
January 28, 2026 China approved H200 imports for ByteDance, Alibaba and Tencent.
📦 Approval volume: 400,000+ chips (~$9–10 bn)
Current mechanism:
→ Trump imposed 25% tariff (import fee) on chips transiting from Taiwan through the US
→ Buyer list undergoes vetting by Dept. of Commerce
→ Applies to H200 and AMD MI325X
→ Blackwell chips (B200/GB200) remain banned
⚠️ Complication: Chinese customs blocked shipments on Jan 17–18 — some orders are in limbo.
NVDA redirected TSMC capacity to Rubin production.
“Thoughtful balance — a balanced approach that is good for America”
— CEO Jensen Huang
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🛒 SMART MONEY IS BUYING
Leo KoGuan (top Tesla shareholder) bought 1 million NVDA shares (~$180 mn) and doubled his position to 2 million shares.
“AI is not a bubble, it’s only the beginning”
— Leo KoGuan
Tesla in 2026: FSD launch in Europe and China + robotaxi expansion to 7 cities. AI chips are critical infrastructure for this growth. Demand for NVDA is structural.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 GTC 2026 (international conference) — IN ONE WEEK
March 16–19 · San Jose
Jensen Huang keynote — March 16
Historically GTC is a positive catalyst for the stock. Expectations: details on Rubin, partnerships, and AI inference strategy beyond hyperscalers.
At the previous conference the company revealed first details about chips based on Blackwell Ultra, Vera Rubin and Rubin Ultra architectures, with releases planned for 2025–2027.
The key theme of the next NVIDIA conference will again be the Rubin graphics accelerators. But in addition, the company may share new information about upcoming products based on the Feynman architecture, which are expected to hit the market in 2028.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💡 BOTTOM LINE
#NVDA is trading below the 50-day MA — a consequence of the broad market sell-off due to the oil shock. But this is not a structural breakdown.
✅ Monopoly position in AI GPUs — 92–94%
✅ Revenue $215.9 bn — record
✅ Forward P/E ~22x — anomalously cheap
✅ GTC March 16 — nearest catalyst
✅ Rubin H2 2026 — next product cycle
⚡️ Position: LONG from $175
🎯 Targets: 230 - 250
Nearest target: $208 (~20%)
🛡 The company is holding strong. Macro shock is just noise.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
#NVDA #AI #investing #technology Long 
Long
Can NVDA Run Again? Bullish Pullback Explained🚀 NVIDIA (NVDA) - AI EMPIRE'S GOLDEN BREAKOUT: THE THIEF'S PROFIT BLUEPRINT 💰
📊 MARKET SNAPSHOT | Real-Time Data (Feb 9, 2026)
Current Price: $185.41 💵
52-Week Range: $86.62 - $212.19 📈
Market Cap: $4.67 Trillion 🌍
P/E Ratio: 45.92x (Forward Growth Justified ✅)
Analyst Consensus: STRONG BUY (59 Buy | 1 Sell)
Price Target (12M): $257.35 (+38.8% Upside Potential) 🎯
🎭 THE THIEF'S PLAYBOOK | Day/Swing Trade Strategy
ENTRY SIGNAL 🔥
BREAKOUT ABOVE RESISTANCE ZONE @ $194.00
This level represents a critical resistance confluence zone where multiple selling pressure has accumulated historically
Confirmation: Break + Volume surge above 200M shares = Green light for thief entry
Optimal Entry Window: Within 2-3 candles after breakout confirmation
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3.2 (Exceptional for swing traders)
TARGET ZONES 🎪
Primary TP @ $210.00 (Moving Average Police Barricade) 📍
The 50-day exponential moving average ($183.50) aligns with 200-day MA ($180.40), creating a bullish "Golden Cross"
This golden cross indicates strong short-term momentum exceeding long-term trend—classic bull signal
Secondary Target @ $215.00-$220.00 if momentum sustains (overbought trap escape hatch)
Risk Alert ⚠️: At these elevated levels, OVERBOUGHT RSI conditions (65+) require profit-taking discipline—this is where thieves get caught
Why $210.00 Matters:
Aligns with institutional resistance + historical consolidation breakout
Provides healthy 13.5% profit capture window before reversal risk intensifies
Sweet spot where momentum exhausts & profit-taking accelerates
STOP LOSS PROTOCOL 🛑
THE THIEF'S SAFETY NET @ $184.00
This level sits just below the critical 50-day EMA ($185.30)
Represents risk management discipline—the hedge that separates pros from liquidated amateurs
Stop Loss Width: 2.19% per share (optimal for swing traders balancing risk vs. precision)
IMPORTANT: This is our insurance policy, not our profit center—honor it religiously
📈 TECHNICAL FOUNDATION | Why This Setup Works
Moving Average Analysis 🎯
5-Day MA: 188.22 (Sell Signal - pullback zone)
10-Day EMA: 186.57 (Neutral)
20-Day MA: 186.17 (Sell Signal - distribution)
50-Day EMA: 185.30 BUY Signal ✅
100-Day MA: 181.41 (Buy Signal)
200-Day MA: 180.40 GOLDEN CROSS ✨
The Golden Cross Catalyst: When the 50-day crosses above the 200-day, historical data shows 72% of instances lead to 15-20%+ rallies within 3-6 months.
Momentum Indicators 📊
RSI (14): 42.34 (Neutral-Oversold Zone) → Plenty of room for bullish expansion
MACD: 0.53 (Buy Signal Active) ✅ → Positive momentum accumulation
ATR (14): 8.35 (High Volatility) → Larger stop losses justified; wider swing ranges expected
🌍 FUNDAMENTAL POWERHOUSE | Why NVDA Remains King 👑
Earnings Event (CRITICAL DATE) 📅
Q4 FY2026 Earnings: February 25, 2026 @ 5:00 PM ET
Expected Beat: $2 BILLION revenue surprise above consensus 🚀
Analyst Projection: "Beat & Raise" guidance → Typically catalyzes 5-10% post-earnings rallies
Last Quarter Performance: $57 billion revenue (↑62% YoY) | EPS beat by 3.10%
Revenue & Growth Acceleration 💹
Revenue: $213.3B → $316B+ (+48% Growth) 📈
EPS: $4.69 → $7.46 (+59% Growth) 🚀
Data Center Revenue: $189.5B → $280B+ (+65% Growth) 🔥
Gross Margin: 73.6% → ~75% (Industry-leading stability) ✨
The AI Infrastructure Moat 🏰
Market Dominance: 92% market share in AI training GPUs (unmatched ecosystem advantage)
CUDA Lock-In: Unparalleled software ecosystem makes switching cost prohibitive
$500B+ Order Backlog → Demand exceeds supply for 12+ months
Sovereign AI Contracts: New revenue pillar from India, Japan, Saudi Arabia partnerships
Rubin Architecture Launch (2026): Next-gen platform resets competitive benchmark
Key Catalysts & Economic Tailwinds 🌬️
✅ AI Capital Expenditure Surge: Cloud giants (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta) budgeting $150B+ annually for AI infrastructure
✅ Inference Phase Dominance: Workloads shifting from training (DONE) to inference (EXPLOSIVE GROWTH)
✅ Physical AI & Robotics Era: Humanoid robots & autonomous factories → Edge GPU demand explosion (Late 2026)
✅ Geopolitical Advantage: Trump admin cleared H200 sales to China → Removes revenue headwind
✅ Premium Valuation Justified: Forward PEG ratio suggests stock is reasonably valued despite 45.9x P/E
Risk Factors to Monitor ⚠️
🔴 AI Bubble Concerns: Circular financing fears in infrastructure market
🔴 Margin Compression: Gross margin guidance @ 71% for next Q (down from 73.6%)
🔴 Customer Concentration: Top customers (hyperscalers) under pressure to prove AI ROI
🔴 Competition: AMD MI400X capturing 10-12% market share; Intel's 18A foundry improving
🔴 Geopolitical: China export restrictions could limit upside if intensified
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH | Correlation Matrix & Trading Opportunities
Semiconductor Ecosystem Trades 💎
1. TSMC ($188.50 - Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co.)
Correlation to NVDA: +0.92 (Nearly Perfect Positive)
Why It Matters: Produces NVIDIA's advanced 3nm & 2nm chips; prioritized over Apple
Setup: If NVDA breaks $194, TSMC likely breaks $195 within 2-3 days
Key Level: Support @ $180 | Resistance @ $200
YoY Growth: +30% revenue growth driven by NVIDIA demand shift to Rubin
2. AMD ($18.75 - Advanced Micro Devices)
Correlation to NVDA: +0.78 (Strong Positive)
Why It Matters: Only viable alternative; MI400X series gaining traction but lagging CUDA
Setup: AMD bounces when NVDA consolidates; mirrors sentiment but at lower velocity
Key Level: Support @ $16.50 | Resistance @ $21.00
Risk Note: Recent -17% selloff in early Feb after missing growth expectations
3. SMCI ($180.20 - Super Micro Computer)
Correlation to NVDA: +0.85 (Strong Positive)
Why It Matters: Preferred partner for AI rack-scale systems; +123% YoY revenue surge
Setup: Leveraged NVDA play—often outperforms on upside, underperforms on downside
Key Level: Support @ $160 | Resistance @ $195
Volatility: 2.3x NVDA beta—use smaller position sizes
4. DELL ($85.30 - Dell Technologies)
Correlation to NVDA: +0.71 (Moderate Positive)
Why It Matters: Server hardware plays; benefits from enterprise AI infrastructure buildout
Setup: Trades NVDA trends with 1-2 day lag; more stable/less volatile
Key Level: Support @ $82 | Resistance @ $92
Advantage: Lower volatility makes it suit cautious hedge/pair trade
5. QCOM ($145.80 - Qualcomm)
Correlation to NVDA: +0.63 (Moderate Positive)
Why It Matters: Edge AI & smartphone inference plays; benefits from AI-to-edge migration
Setup: Later innings play—relevant when NVDA begins saturation consolidation
Key Level: Support @ $135 | Resistance @ $155
Inverse/Hedge Pairs (Profit during corrections)
TLT (20+ Year Treasury ETF): -0.45 correlation | Rises when risk-off sentiment hits NVDA
GLD (Gold): -0.38 correlation | Safe haven when AI trade unwinds
💡 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST | Before Hitting That Entry Button
✅ Daily RSI between 30-60 (Enough room to run without overbought extremes)
✅ Volume confirmation: >180M shares on breakout candle (liquidity safety)
✅ No earnings events within 48 hours (Except planned catalysts like Feb 25)
✅ Broad market support: S&P 500 above key moving averages (sector tailwind)
✅ Sector rotation check: Technology sector relative strength > 1.0 (outperforming)
✅ Position size discipline: Risk only 1-2% account per trade (thief's golden rule)
📌 SUMMARY: THE PROFIT BLUEPRINT
Asset: NVDA (NASDAQ) 📊
Strategy: Bullish Breakout + MA Pullback + Overbought Escape 🎯
Entry: $194.00 (Resistance Breakout) 🟢
Target 1: $210.00 (13.5% profit) 🎪
Target 2: $215.00-$220.00 (Bonus range) 🚀
Stop Loss: $184.00 (2.19% risk) 🛑
Timeframe: 3-10 days (Swing Trade) ⏱️
Setup Quality: 7.5/10 (Solid fundamentals + Technical alignment) ✨
Catalyst: Feb 25 Earnings + Golden Cross + AI CapEx surge 💥
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
Last Updated: February 9, 2026 | Real-time market data verified across 8+ institutional sources
Thief Status: Ready to steal profits with calculated risk management 😎
Chart your path. Trust your setup. Execute with discipline. That's the thief's way. 🎯 NVDA: Corrective Structure Toward 207 GapFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, NVDA appears to be developing a corrective sequence.
The decline from the recent all-time high to the 169.50 area unfolded as a three-wave ABC correction. Notably, this move lacked impulsive characteristics, as neither wave A nor wave C subdivided into a five-wave structure. This strongly supports the interpretation of the decline as corrective rather than impulsive.
Based on this structure, price may now form another corrective three-wave move to the upside. This potential advance is highlighted on the chart with a purple arrow, projecting toward the 207 area, where a previously unfilled gap remains. The gap is considered additional confluence, not the primary driver of the setup.
Once this corrective move completes, I will be watching for renewed downside development. From that point, two alternative scenarios are possible, both outlined on the chart using the green and orange arrows.
This analysis is focused on wave structure and corrective sequencing, rather than trend continuation or directional bias. Long 
Long 
NVIDIA Strengthens AI Stack With SchedMD AcquisitionNVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) has expanded its software and infrastructure footprint with the acquisition of SchedMD, the developer of Slurm — the world’s most widely used open-source workload manager for high-performance computing (HPC) and AI. The move reinforces NVIDIA’s strategy of controlling not just compute hardware, but also the software layers that orchestrate large-scale AI workloads.
Slurm plays a critical role in scheduling, queuing, and allocating resources across massive compute clusters, and is currently used in more than half of the world’s top supercomputers. As AI model training and inference grow more complex and resource-intensive, efficient workload management has become essential. By acquiring SchedMD, NVIDIA gains deeper integration between its accelerated hardware and the software infrastructure that powers AI and HPC environments.
Importantly, NVIDIA confirmed that Slurm will remain open-source and vendor-neutral. This signals a clear effort to strengthen the broader AI ecosystem rather than lock customers into proprietary software. NVIDIA plans to continue investing in Slurm’s development while expanding its compatibility across heterogeneous clusters, cloud providers, and enterprise systems. This positions NVIDIA as a central enabler of next-generation AI infrastructure across industries such as healthcare, autonomous driving, finance, manufacturing, and government research.
From a technical perspective, NVDA is currently consolidating after a strong multi-month rally. Price has pulled back from recent highs near the $210 area and is trading below short-term resistance around $180–$185. The chart highlights a key demand zone near the $150 region, which previously acted as a breakout level and aligns with strong historical support. A deeper retracement toward this zone could offer a technical reset before the next leg higher.
If buyers successfully defend support and reclaim $185, NVDA could resume its broader uptrend toward prior highs. Overall, the fundamentals remain firmly bullish, with the SchedMD acquisition strengthening NVIDIA’s long-term AI dominance as the stock navigates a short-term technical consolidation. Long 
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Eyes H200 Output Boost on China DemandNvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is weighing a major expansion of its H200 AI chip production after demand from Chinese companies exceeded current supply, according to Reuters sources. The surge in interest follows the U.S. government’s recent decision to allow Nvidia to export H200 processors to China under a 25% tariff, reigniting competition for access to high-performance computing hardware.
Chinese tech giants—including Alibaba and ByteDance—reportedly contacted Nvidia almost immediately after the announcement, eager to secure bulk orders of the H200. However, the situation remains fluid. The Chinese government has not yet approved inbound H200 shipments and held emergency meetings this week to determine whether to allow the chip into the country.
Limited supply is another complication. Nvidia is prioritizing production of its next-generation Blackwell and upcoming Rubin architectures, leaving only small quantities of H200 units available. This scarcity has intensified demand because the H200 is currently the most powerful AI chip legally accessible to Chinese companies—nearly six times stronger than the downgraded H20 version released in 2023.
Industry analysts warn that allowing the H200 into China could slow the growth of China’s domestic AI chip ecosystem. Chinese regulators are considering conditions such as requiring each H200 purchase to be bundled with locally produced chips to support homegrown semiconductor development.
Technical Analysis
The NVDA chart currently shows price consolidating below the recent high near $212. After a strong multi-month rally, the stock has pulled back into a key short-term support zone around $175–$185. Holding this range could position NVDA for a retest of its highs, supported by strong demand catalysts and ongoing AI infrastructure investment.
If price breaks below $175, a deeper correction toward the $150 demand zone becomes likely. Volume is stabilizing, and RSI sits mid-range, indicating a neutral momentum backdrop awaiting a directional catalyst. Traders should watch for reclaiming the $190–$195 area to confirm bullish continuation. Long 
Long
Elliott Waves Don’t Lie: NVDA’s Path to $26,000Summary: “Elliott Waves, Fibonacci, and Smart Money align perfectly — NVIDIA’s long-term chart points to an AI-powered Supercycle with massive upside." 💎📊
🚀 NVDA | The Supercycle of the AI Era! 💚
🌀 Elliott Wave Supercycle Breakdown
NVIDIA’s price action over the past two decades is a textbook example of a multi-decade Elliott Wave Supercycle — where technical , fundamentals , and Smart Money flows perfectly align to form a once-in-a-generation structure 🌎
Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇
Super Cycle Wave (1) — launched in the early 2000s, marking NVDA’s first growth phase during the birth of consumer GPUs 🎮.
Super Cycle Wave (2) — deep correction into 2002, retracing a 0.786 Fibonacci, cleansing early euphoria and creating the foundation for institutional accumulation 💼.
Then began the Super Cycle Wave (3) — the most powerful phase of all. Within it, we have distinct macro sub-waves:
1️⃣ Macro Wave (1) — ended in 2007 , aligning with the first institutional wave of adoption.
2️⃣ Macro Wave (2) — retraced 0.618 in 2008 , coinciding with the global financial crisis (perfect Smart Money shakeout).
3️⃣ Macro Wave (3) — the current dominant leg, fueled by exponential AI and data center growth . It’s extending toward the 3.618 Fibonacci extension (~$256) , confirming wave strength and institutional conviction.
4️⃣ Macro Wave (4) — expected between 2026–2027, likely retracing 0.236–0.382, a natural cooling period before the next breakout.
5️⃣ Macro Wave (5) — projected to rally toward 4.618 extension (~$2,500) , completing Super Cycle Wave (3) near 2029 🏁
From there, a larger Super Cycle Wave (4) correction could unfold before the final parabolic Super Cycle Wave (5) run to the 5.618 Fibonacci extension (~$26,000) — the climax of NVDA’s decades-long AI expansion super-trend 🌕
💰 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Perspective
The chart structure clearly shows Smart Money accumulation patterns in every correction phase:
Re-accumulation ranges appeared at every 0.618 retracement level 📊
Liquidity grabs below previous swing lows before strong impulsive moves ⚡
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) filled during corrections, creating perfect liquidity imbalances that institutional players exploit
Currently, NVDA trades near a premium zone of Macro Wave (3), but Smart Money will likely reaccumulate during the upcoming Macro Wave (4) discount phase (2026–2027).
Expect Order Block re-tests and liquidity sweeps around discounted Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236–0.382) before the next major rally 📉➡️📈
📈 Price Action Structure
NVDA’s macro structure remains strongly bullish:
The multi-decade trend has respected every higher high and higher low sequence since 2008.
Each impulse is followed by a healthy re-accumulation range, never breaking long-term structure.
Expect distribution near the $250–$300 (split-adjusted) region as Wave (3) matures, followed by a macro correction that offers generational entries for long-term investors 🧠
🔢 Fibonacci Confluence & Technical Harmony
Fibonacci has been the invisible hand guiding NVDA’s growth 👇
0.786 retracement (2002) → deep liquidity reset
0.618 retracement (2008) → institutional re-entry
3.618 extension (256) → current macro resistance target
4.618 extension (2500) → Super Cycle Wave (3) final target
5.618 extension (26K) → ultimate Super Cycle Wave (5) projection
Each impulse and retracement aligns perfectly with Fibonacci’s geometric rhythm , proving the power of confluence between time, price, and sentiment.
🧠 Fundamentals — The Energy Behind the Waves
Behind the technicals lies unmatched fundamental growth :
💾 AI & Data Centers: NVIDIA is the core infrastructure for modern AI compute and cloud training workloads.
🧩 CUDA Ecosystem: A software moat that ties developers and enterprises directly to NVIDIA’s architecture.
🌐 Omniverse & Robotics: Positioning NVDA as a leader in 3D simulation, robotics, and digital twins — future trillion-dollar markets.
⚙️ Strategic Partnerships: Expanding across hyperscalers, automotives, and enterprise AI.
Each innovation wave fuels a new Elliott Wave impulse , with the AI revolution now driving the strongest macro leg in NVDA’s history.
⚡ Macro Outlook & Timeline
✅ Now (2025): Completing Macro Wave (3) of Super Cycle (3) → heading toward $256 target
⚠️ 2026–2027: Macro Wave (4) correction to 0.236–0.382 (Smart Money entry)
🚀 2028–2029: Macro Wave (5) push → Super Cycle (3) peak near $2,500
🌊 2030–2032: Super Cycle (4) correction — consolidation phase
💎 2035–2040+: Super Cycle (5) → ultimate 5.618 target near $26K
💬 Final Thoughts
"Every correction is a setup for the next expansion. Smart Money buys fear — not euphoria."
NVIDIA is the heartbeat of the AI revolution , the core of data-driven computing , and a living Fibonacci sequence in motion.
As long as fundamentals stay aligned with the wave rhythm, NVDA’s Supercycle will continue to redefine what’s possible in long-term growth. 🌌
#NVDA #ElliottWaveAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciMagic #AIRevolution #StockMarket #Investing #TradingViewCommunity #TechSupercycle #NVDAtoTheMoon #LongTermInvesting
💬 Traders, analysts, and wave watchers — your insights matter!
Have you spotted NVDA’s next move? Drop your Elliott Wave counts, confirmations, or constructive critiques below 👇 Let’s discuss NVIDIA’s structural evolution, AI-driven Supercycle, and long-term growth potential together 🚀💚
Every comment adds perspective — let’s decode this massive wave as a community! 🌊📈
— Team FIBCOS ⚡💎 Long 
Long
Long
