TSM on the way to $380TSM is currently building it's support at $225 and gearing up for $380.
Good luck!
Nvidia
Nvidia Shares Maintain Bearish Bias Near $170Over the past three trading sessions, Nvidia’s shares have posted a sharp decline, accumulating losses of more than 3% in the short term. For now, the emerging selling bias around the stock remains in place, as the market fears a potential overheating of the artificial intelligence industry. Added to this is the anticipation of the company’s results on August 27, which may show difficulties in revenue, mainly due to concerns that sales in China have weakened in recent months amid the intensifying trade war. Earnings per share are expected to come in around $0.94, but uncertainty remains as to whether this figure can hold given possible performance challenges. As long as this uncertainty persists, selling pressure on the stock could remain in the short term.
Uptrend Channel at Risk
Recent sessions have shown a clear shift in the bullish outlook that Nvidia had been sustaining in prior weeks. A significant bearish correction has emerged, halting the advance of the short-term uptrend channel and leading to a breakdown of its lower boundary. As long as selling pressure continues, this previous channel may lose relevance and give way to a broader bearish scenario, provided the bearish bias remains dominant.
Technical Indicators
RSI: the RSI line has begun to show a downward slope, now approaching the neutral 50 level. If it breaks below this threshold, selling momentum could become dominant in the short term, paving the way for stronger bearish pressure on the chart in the upcoming sessions.
MACD: the MACD histogram is currently moving below the 0 line, reflecting that short-term moving averages have entered a sustained bearish territory. If the histogram continues to decline, selling pressure is likely to strengthen further in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$184 – Main Resistance: corresponds to the area of recent highs. A sustained recovery above this level could reactivate a bullish bias and bring back strength to the uptrend channel.
$173 – Near-Term Support: current congestion zone of recent weeks and the most immediate barrier. A sustained move below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias in the short term.
$162 – Crucial Support: aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A decisive break below this level would confirm a bearish structural shift, opening the door to a new selling trend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Nvidia - This is clearly not the end!📐Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will simply rally more:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, over the past couple of months, Nvidia has been rallying another +100%. But looking at the higher timeframe, this is still not the end of the unbelievable bullrun. Following the rising channel pattern, Nvidia can rally another +20% before we might see a potential retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
ALAB $304 After Consolidation Around $180 Resistance/SupportALAB had a big rise today into $180 resistance. This should be an area where a small pullback occurs or a further rise and then pullback into what will be $180 support. (Personally I'm leaning towards pullback above $180 rather than below)
Keep an eye on the major trendline as if ALAB gets too far away it will eventually want back to that trendline.
$304 is the next target. All Information Technology / Computer stocks are in the middle of the a big uptrend so this one has room to run.
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel.
I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock
Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history
Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors
There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section
Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company.
Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand
As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade.
When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory
Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively
That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future.
Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years.
I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here.
In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions
The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NVIDIA BITCOIN OVERLAPAnd so it appears NVIDIA is working to develop Bitcoin mining leading to a combination of both products winning this year. Nvidia continues to astonish in value and capital.
Nvidia: Extending the RallyThe bulls have maintained their momentum in Nvidia, effectively managing any interim pullbacks and allowing the stock to make further gains within the framework of green wave . We still see some additional upside potential at this stage before an interim correction of wave is likely. Well above support at $136.89, wave should then begin, pushing the stock even higher and completing the larger beige wave III. That said, we still see a 33% chance that NVDA has only recently marked the corrective top of beige wave alt.B and could soon fall below $136.89, setting a new correction low for blue wave alt.(IV) near the $86.62 level. Primarily, however, we believe wave (IV) has concluded.
NVIDIA Is the path to $200 that easy?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 07 market Low, being so aggressive that it has turned its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support since May 01.
The last 3 main Bullish Legs all rose by at least +20%. As long as the 1D RSI Support holds, we expect another such Leg, which would be enough for NVIDIA to reach the all important $200 psychological Target.
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AMD stock up over 20% off the lows- outperform NVidia?AMD is still cheap relative to its growth and still way down from all time highs.
Seeking alpha analysts expect 25-30% annual growth in earnings yearly. The stock is still in the low 20s PE. Stock can double and still be a good business worth owning for the long term and let compounding earnings work.
Low rsi and bollinger bands gave us the signal to buy, we bought with leverage, now we are in the shares unlevered.
Target would be all time highs over the next 2-3 years.
NVDA NVIDIA Price Target by Year-EndNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a dominant force in the AI and semiconductor markets, with its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio currently at 19.37—a reasonable valuation considering its growth trajectory and market position.
NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI sector, particularly through its cutting-edge GPUs, has driven strong demand from data centers, cloud providers, and AI developers. The company’s recent product launches, including the Hopper and Blackwell architectures, have further solidified its competitive edge.
Despite recent market volatility, NVIDIA's consistent revenue growth and expanding profit margins support the bullish case. The current P/E of 19.37 reflects a balanced risk-reward profile, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued despite its impressive performance.
A price target of $145 by year-end reflects approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by sustained AI demand and growing market penetration. Investors should watch for quarterly earnings reports and updates on AI chip demand, as these will likely act as key catalysts for upward momentum.
NVDA Going to 194 Full AnalysisGood afternoon Traders
So looking at NVDA we have a strong monthly bullish trend
Micro though we see the following:
Bearish: If we break the lows of 180 expect to see 178 getting hit
Bullish: Break 184 highs then expect to see a punch up to 185 then small correction then a big up to 190's or we miss the correction and blow right through to the 190's
Happy Trading Folks
Trade Smarter Live Better
Kris
Centrus Energy (LEU) - NVIDIA of Energy? Beyond ThatCentrus Energy appears to be extremely stretched but is it? What appears to be a euphoric retail frenzy may be a simple mean reversion. Incredible opportunity. Feedback appreciated
Nvidia - This is clearly not the end!📐Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will confirm the breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past couple of months, Nvidia managed to rally about +100%, reaching top 1 of total market cap. Most of the time such bullish momentum just continues and new all time highs will follow. But in order for that to happen, Nvidia has to confirm the all time high breakout now.
📝Levels to watch:
$150
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
SwingTraderPhil
NASDAQ100 15MIN CHART FROM SMAS TO NEW LOWNasdaq100 at 10 and 15min chart touches the sma600 and the sma800 so as in many other cases before, odds are are more that it will fall from here to a new low
Broadcom Middle of Range RisksI like Broadcom if it gets down to $178. Right now it's still floating from the AAPL news. I wouldn't be inclined to sell here, but if looking to buy (like myself) I'd wait in hopes for $178.
Target (Potential Next Support) $302.
Good luck!
Wall Street takes off: 5 secret growth engines for #S&P500 Record closes for the indices on July 21 came from a powerful combo: a surge in #Google , a strong start to the earnings season, gains in #Apple (+0.6%), #Amazon (+1.4%), plus #Microsoft, #Meta Platforms, and #Nvidia . This momentum, coupled with market bets on imminent Fed rate cuts and hopes for a softening US-EU tariff conflict, pushed #S&P500 and #NQ100 to new all-time highs.
5 mega drivers that could keep #S&P500 and #NQ100 on the runway through 2025:
• AI capex and monetization: Top cloud providers are ramping up spending in computing clusters and generative AI solutions. The growing lineup of paid AI products (Google Gemini, Microsoft Copilot+ Apps, Amazon Bedrock) is starting to generate significant revenue, boosting profit estimates for the “Magnificent 7.”
• Fed policy easing: If inflation keeps drifting towards 2%, we may see the first rate cut of the cycle between July and September. Historically, every 25 bps drop in 10-year UST yields adds ~2% to the #NQ100 ’s valuation multiple.
• Record buybacks and dividends: #S&P500 companies hold $3.5 trillion in cash. After tax relief on repatriated foreign earnings earlier this year, several megacap boards approved accelerated buybacks — mechanically supporting stock prices.
• Easing tariff risks: Potential trade deals between the US and EU, and the US and Mexico, would remove the threat of 20–50% tariffs priced into valuations, unlocking CAPEX in manufacturing and semiconductors — sectors with a heavy #NQ100 weight.
• Resilient consumers and services: Unemployment remains near 4%, and household spending is growing 2–3% YoY. This supports e-commerce, streaming, and platform advertising — together making up ~40% of #NQ100 and ~28% of #S&P500 .
The current highs of #S&P500 and #NQ100 aren’t a random spike — they result from strong corporate earnings, expectations of Fed cuts, and hopes of trade détente. If even some of these five drivers materialize, the indices have a strong chance to stay elevated and set new records by year-end. FreshForex analysts believe current prices could spark a new rally, with today’s market conditions offering plenty of entry points in both indices and stock CFDs.
Elliott Wave Sequence In NVDA Suggests Rally From SupportNvidia (NVDA) continues rally to new all-time highs from April-2025 low and reinforcing a robust bullish outlook. In daily, it ended 7 swings pullback at 86.62 low in 4.07.2025 low started from 1.07.2025 high. Above April-2025 low, it confirmed higher high bullish sequence & pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings should remain supported. Since April-2025 low, it favors rally in (3) of ((1)), while placed (1) at 115.44 high & (2) at 95.04 low in 4.21.2025. Above there, it placed 1 of (3) at 143.84 high, 2 as shallow connector at 132.93 low & 3 at 174.53 high. Wave (3) already extend beyond 2.0 Fibonacci extension of (1) & yet can see more upside. Within 1 of (3), it ended at ((i)) at 111.92 high, ((ii)) at 104.08 low, ((iii)) at 137.40 high, ((iv)) at 127.80 low & ((v)) at 143.84 high. Above 2 low, it placed ((i)) of 3 at 144 high, ((ii)) at 137.88 low, ((iii)) at 159.42 high, ((iv)) at 151.10 low & ((v)) at 174.53 high as 3 of (3).
It already reached the minimum area of 170.04 as inverse extension of connector. But it can see more upside as daily move showing highest momentum from April-2025 low. In 1-hour, above ((iv)) low, it placed (i) of ((v)) at 167.89 high in 5 swings, (ii) at 162.02 low, (iii) at 172.87 high, (iv) at 168.90 low & (v) of ((v)) at 174.53 high ended as 3. Currently, it favors pullback in 4 targeting into 170.13 - 168.11 area before rally in 5 or at least 3 swing bounce. Within 4, it ended ((a)) at 171.26 low, ((b)) at 173.38 high & favors lower in ((c)) of 4. It should find support in extreme area soon to turn higher for two more highs to finish ((1)). The next move in 5 of (3) can extend towards 175.9 or higher, while pullback stays above 168.11 low. The next two highs expect to come with momentum divergence to finish cycle from April-2025 low. Later it should see bigger pullback against April-2025 low in 3, 7 or 11 swings. But if it extends higher & erase momentum divergence, then it can see more upside.
NVIDIA: Stay heavy on positionsNVDA position size is adjusted in line with US market signals for underweight or overweight allocations. During panic phases, 2x leverage ETFs are on the table
Stay heavy on positions.
NVIDIA Robbery Plan: Bullish Swing Trade to Millions!🔥 NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Heist Blueprint: Unlock Bullish Profits with Thief Trading Style! 🚀💰
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Based on our proprietary Thief Trading Style, this plan targets NVIDIA (NVDA), currently riding a bullish wave fueled by strong fundamentals and technical setups. Follow the strategy outlined below to navigate the high-risk Red Zone—where overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals create opportunities for sharp traders. 💪 Stay alert, as bearish players may set traps at key levels! 🕵️♂️
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Go long with confidence! The market is primed for a bullish breakout. Enter at current prices or set buy limit orders near recent swing lows/highs on the 15-minute or 30-minute timeframe. 📅
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Place your stop loss (SL) below the recent swing low on the 30-minute timeframe (e.g., $162.00 for swing trades).
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Aim for $191.00 as the primary target, or exit early if momentum slows.
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Entry Zone: Market price or swing low – ideal for long positions. 📈
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Risky Red Zone: Overbought levels – watch for consolidation or reversal traps. ⚠️
💡 Why NVIDIA? The Bullish Case 📡
NVIDIA (NVDA) is powering through a bullish phase, driven by:
Fundamentals: Strong demand for AI, gaming, and data center chips. 📊
Macro Factors: Positive market sentiment and tech sector momentum. 🌍
COT Data (Latest Friday Update, UTC+1): Large speculators are increasing bullish positions, signaling confidence in NVDA’s upside (data sourced from reliable platforms). 📅
Geopolitical & News: Monitor upcoming earnings and industry developments for catalysts. 📰
Intermarket Analysis: Tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ are trending higher, supporting NVDA’s rally. 📈
For a deeper dive, check fundamental reports, COT data, and sentiment analysis to align your trades with the bigger picture. 🔍
⚠️ Trading Alert: Navigate News & Volatility 🗞️
News releases can spark sharp price swings. To protect your capital:
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Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Surges Above $170Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Surges Above $170
Yesterday, Nvidia’s (NVDA) share price rose by more than 4%, with the following developments:
→ It surpassed the psychological level of $170 per share;
→ Reached another all-time high;
→ Gained more than 9% since the beginning of the month.
The bullish sentiment is driven by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s visit to China shortly after meeting with US President Trump. At the same time:
→ US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick stated that the planned resumption of sales of Nvidia H20 AI chips in China is part of the US negotiations on rare earth metals.
→ The head of Nvidia stated that he was assured licences would be granted very quickly, and that a large number of orders for H20 chip deliveries had already been received from Chinese companies.
Market participants are viewing the situation with strong optimism, and analysts are raising their valuations for NVDA shares:
→ Morningstar analysts raised their fair value estimate for Nvidia shares from $140 to $170.
→ Oppenheimer analysts increased their target price from $170 to $200.
Technical Analysis of the NVDA Chart
The price trajectory of NVDA shares fully reflects the exceptionally strong demand:
→ The price is moving within an ascending channel with a steep growth angle;
→ Since early May, the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has not fallen below the 50 level;
→ Yesterday’s trading session opened with a large bullish gap.
The chart also shows the formation of a stable bullish market structure (shown with a purple broken line), expressed through a sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
Given the above, it is difficult to imagine what might cause a sharp shift from positive to negative sentiment. If a correction begins (for example, with a test of the $160 level), traders should watch for signs of its completion — this could present an opportunity to join the emerging rally.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA - NVIDIA's 3-Drive Pattern target if it plays outThis is the weekly chart of NVDA.
We can clearly see a 3-Drives pattern forming.
If this pattern plays out, the centerline would be my target. Of course, it's still too early to short.
But I’ve got my hunting hat on and I'm watching for signals on the daily chart.
One would be a break of the slanted trendline—but there are a couple of other conditions that need to align as well.
Always ask yourself: What if?
HBARUSD has 3 bullish patterns stacked on top of eachotherThe inverse head and shoulders in the light blue, the light tan is the bull flag, and the pink is the double bottom. Currently price is above the Bullflag and the Inverse head and shoulders pattern. The bullflag also counts as a descending channel pattern as well. We just recently retested the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders as exact wick support which is a good sign. All 3 should provide eachother with the bullish confluence needed for them to be validated, but in addition to this technical bullishness we have some fundamental bullishness occurring just recently too as NVIDIA just announced their new Blackwell chips — claiming them to be the future backbone of AI infrastructure — which are integrating verifiable compute which has its fundamental trust layer built on Hedera. This also provides great bullish confluence and heightens the probability these 3 chart patterns will all be validated and reach their full targets. I will keep updating this post as they do so. *not financial advice*
NVIDIA ($NVDA) Elliott Wave Outlook: Larger Pullback on the HoriNvidia (NVDA) continues its remarkable ascent, consistently reaching new all-time highs and reinforcing a robust bullish outlook. The ongoing rally, which began from a significant low on April 7, 2025, remains structured as an impulsive wave pattern, indicative of strong upward momentum. However, despite the potential for further short-term gains, the cycle appears mature. This suggests a larger-degree pullback could be imminent. Investors should exercise caution when considering chasing this rally in shorter time frames, as the risk of a corrective move grows.
In the short term, the cycle initiated from the June 2 low is progressing as a lower-degree impulse. From this low, wave ((i)) peaked at $144, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) that concluded at $137.88. The stock then surged in wave ((iii)) to $159.42. The subsequent wave ((iv)) correction unfolded as a double-three structure, with wave (w) ending at $151.49, wave (x) at $154.98, and wave (y) completing at $151.10, finalizing wave ((iv)). Currently, Nvidia is advancing in wave ((v)), exhibiting a five-wave subdivision. Within this, wave (i) of ((v)) reached $160.98, with a minor pullback in wave (ii) concluding at $157.34. As long as the pivotal low at $142.01 holds, any near-term pullbacks are likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further upside potential. This technical setup underscores Nvidia’s strength but highlights the need for prudent risk management.
