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Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces HurdlesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Hurdles Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $62.80. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - Crude oil prices failed to clear the $65.00 region and started a fresh decline. - There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $64.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD. WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to clear the $65.00 level and started a fresh decline below $64.50. There was a break below a major bullish trend line at $64.00, opening the doors for more losses. The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $61.56 swing low to the $64.85 high. XTI/USD even dipped below $63.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls are now active near $63.00. If there is a fresh increase, it could face a barrier near $63.70. The first major resistance is near $64.10. Any more gains might send the price toward $64.85 and call for a test of $65.50. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $62.80 support and the 61.8% Fib retracement. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $62.35. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $61.55. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $60.50. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
CL1! — Bearish: back inside the descending channel, watching theThesis (1h): Price had been sliding within a broad descending channel (grey). The counter-trend recovery shaped a rising channel (orange). Yesterday’s attempt to resume the advance from the lower orange boundary failed and turned into a bull trap; sellers pushed price back inside the grey channel. Bears confirmed control at the red line (resistance/retest). Map: Clear supply pressure after the failed bounce. While price stays below the red line, the base case is a drift toward the channel median (the “magnet”). A momentum extension could target the lower band later; not the main case yet. Invalidation: Sustained acceptance back above the red line and into the orange channel would neutralize the bearish read. Educational only. Not financial advice.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by supplyanddemandtrading
USOIL Bearish Reversal & Selling OpportunityUSOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Bearish Setup Analysis The chart shows a clear bearish structure with multiple confirmations: Trendline Rejection & Break: Price rejected from the upper rejection line and later broke the rising trendline, confirming bearish momentum. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Selling Zone: Price retested the imbalance zone (63.53–63.94), creating a strong selling opportunity. EMA Confluence: Both the 70 EMA and 200 EMA are above the price, acting as dynamic resistance, supporting bearish bias. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Breakdown of higher lows signals shift to bearish structure. Target: Downside continuation expected towards 61.65, the next liquidity and support zone. Stop Loss: Above 63.94 (selling zone invalidation). 📉 Strategy: Look for sell entries around 63.53–63.94 zone, with target at 61.65 and stop loss above 63.94.
TVC:USOILShort
by MR_JOHN144
WTI OIL technically more chances to test the 1D MA50. Buy.Last week (August 20, see chart below) we issued a bullish break-out signal on WTI Oil (USOIL) that reached our $65.60 Target within 3 days: This time we get a new buy signal, despite today's sharp pull-back. The -12.78% decline since the July 30 rejection, resembles the one since the October 08 2024 High. This rebounded to just above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to form a new Lower High and get rejected again. As a result, our immediate short-term Target is $66.30. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTILong
by TradingShot
USOIL Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 63.688. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 60.936 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
WTI Edges Up On Big EIA Draw, Risk-on ToneFundamental approach: - Last week, USOIL was modestly higher amid risk-on sentiment and tighter supply signals after a larger‑than‑expected US crude draw. - Support came from the EIA’s reported six-million-barrel crude draw tied to lower imports and stronger exports, reinforcing a tightening balance even as Cushing stocks ticked up; broader sentiment also leaned on expectations of looser Fed policy aiding demand. - Gains were tempered by mixed macro cues, fading Eastern Europe risk headlines, choppy dollar moves, and cautious positioning ahead of the next API/EIA prints. - However, China's Sinopec last week reported a sharp profit drop, citing weak fuel consumption. The trend of subdued fuel demand is likely to continue as factors including lower consumer confidence, rising electric-vehicle adoption and improved fuel efficiency are reducing petroleum demand in China. - Into late week, USOIL could firm if US inventories show continued draws and risk tone improves, while any surprise builds or de‑escalation of supply risks may cap rallies; follow‑through from Fed‑cut pricing and geopolitics could potentially steer near‑term direction. Technical approach: - USOIL found support quickly after closing below the key level at 63.90. The price is retesting both EMAs and closed above the key level at 63.90, signaling a make-or-break situation. The market awaits a clear breakout to determine the short-term movement. - If USOIL closes above both EMAs and breaks the descending trendline, the price may continue to advance to retest the following resistance at 67.50. - On the contrary, closing below the support at 63.90 may prompt a further weakness to retest the next support at 60.00. PS: I shared a piece of the above ideas on The Wall Street Journal: www.wsj.com Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by DatTong
WTI Crude Awaits Breakout Amid Sanction RisksWTI Crude Oil – Overview Oil Holds Steady on Fed Cut Bets and Sanction Risks Oil prices are flat in early trade as markets weigh the likelihood of a U.S. Fed rate cut in September against potential disruptions to Russian crude flows. Brent trades at $67.18 (-0.1%), while WTI is steady at $63.64, following a 2.5% gain last week. Fading optimism over a Russia–Ukraine summit and renewed U.S. tariff threats against India add to volatility. Markets are closely watching the Aug. 27 deadline, when secondary U.S. tariffs against India for Russian oil purchases are expected to take effect. 🔹 Technical Outlook WTI is trading in bullish momentum as long as it holds above 63.47. Price is likely to consolidate between 63.47 – 64.72 until a breakout. ✅ Above 64.72: Bullish continuation toward 65.83 → 67.20. ⚠️ Below 63.47: Bias turns bearish, targeting 61.83. 🔹 Key Levels Support: 63.47 – 61.83 Resistance: 64.72 – 65.83 – 67.20 ✅ Summary: WTI crude remains range-bound but biased to the upside, supported by Fed cut expectations and geopolitical risks. A decisive break from the 63.47–64.72 range will set the next trend direction.
TVC:USOILLong
by SroshMayi
WTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks CollideWTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks Collide WTI crude hovered around $64 on August 25, steady after last week’s gains as traders balanced U.S. rate-cut expectations with geopolitical risks. The Fed is seen 85% likely to cut rates in September, boosting demand outlooks. Supply concerns persist after Washington threatened 50% tariffs on Indian imports over Russian oil purchases, while India signaled it will keep buying from Moscow. Stalled Russia-Ukraine talks and renewed attacks on energy infrastructure add to uncertainty.
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by ProfessorSingapore
WTI Crude Oil · M15 · 24-Aug — “Buy the Dip into EMA/Donchian”🟢 Bias: Intraday long after spike, buy the dip into Donchian + EMA support. Entry: $62.90 – $63.20 Stop-Loss: $61.95 Targets: TP1 $63.80 · TP2 $64.70 · TP3 $66.00 RRR (from $63.10): Risk $1.15 → TP3 +$2.90 = ~1:2.5 ✅ Why this works: Confluence: Donchian support ($62.91) + 200 EMA M15 ≈ $62.38 (white). Structure: Higher highs/lows since Aug-20; volume expands on pushes, compresses on pullbacks. HTF context: H4 pressing toward 200 EMA ≈ $64.7–$65.0 (key pivot). Execution: Look for a bullish rejection/engulfing inside the box + 8/21 EMA hold (orange/blue) above the 200 EMA (white). Risk: ≤ 1%. Move SL→BE after TP1. Trade Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High if retest holds and 8/21 maintain bullish structure) 🔒 Want more? The Prime version below adds: alternate short plan at $64.7–$65.0, management ladder, HL tight-stop variant (~4R), and a full execution checklist. Follow on Skool, link in profile! ⚠️ Trading involves risk. Manage exposure and trade responsibly. 💬 Thoughts on this setup?
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by JudasSwingClub
USOIL Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 63.76 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 63.02 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
WTI Crude Oil Trading Analysis: June-August 2025 - 25-AugustWTI Crude Oil Trading Analysis: June-August 2025 Review & Week of August 25th Recommendations Analysis Date : August 23, 2025 Market : WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) Methodology : Dual Renko Chart System ($0.25/15min + $0.50/30min) Volume Profile : 3-Month Monthly Analysis (June-August 2025) Executive Summary Market Regime: Oil has completed a major corrective phase from $72 highs to $61 lows, establishing a clear bottoming pattern with strong institutional accumulation. Current setup presents high-probability bullish swing opportunity with excellent risk/reward characteristics. Current Status : Bullish reversal confirmed with multiple technical confluences at critical support zone. Recommended positioning for upside targets with systematic risk management protocols. 3-Month Market Structure Analysis (June-August 2025) Phase 1: Distribution & Breakdown (June-July) Price Action: $72 → $61 (-15% decline) June Peak: Heavy red volume distribution at $71-72 level indicated institutional selling July Decline: Clean Renko downtrend with sustained selling pressure Volume Profile: Minimal volume during decline, suggesting limited buying interest until $63-64 zone Phase 2: Accumulation & Reversal Setup (Late July-August) Price Action: $61 → $63.50 (+4% recovery) Institutional Buying: Massive green volume accumulation at $63-65 level Support Establishment: $62-63 zone showing strong buying interest Technical Reversal: DEMA crossover confirmed bullish momentum shift Volume Profile Key Levels (3-Month Analysis) Major Support Zones : $62-63: Primary institutional accumulation (heaviest green volume) $60-61: Secondary support with moderate green volume $58-59: Ultimate support level (limited historical volume) Resistance Zones: $66-67: First institutional resistance (mixed volume) $69-70: Major distribution zone (heavy red volume from June) $71-72: Ultimate resistance (peak selling pressure) Current Technical Analysis (August 23, 2025) Dual Chart Assessment $0.50 Chart (Structure Analysis): Trend: Clear bottoming pattern completed at $61 low Current Position: Testing above major institutional accumulation zone Volume Confirmation: Trading within heaviest 3-month green volume cluster Structure: Higher lows pattern emerging since $61 bottom $0.25 Chart (Execution Analysis): DEMA Status: Bullish crossover confirmed (Black above Red at $63.00) DMI/ADX: +DI gaining momentum, ADX rising through 25 level Donchian Position: Price above basis, testing toward upper band Recent Action: 3 consecutive green bricks confirming upward momentum Technical Confluences Supporting Bull Case Volume Profile: Massive institutional support at current levels DEMA Crossover: Clear trend reversal signal confirmed Momentum: DMI showing bullish shift with strengthening ADX Structure: Higher low pattern vs. $61 bottom Risk/Reward: Excellent positioning near major support zone Market Context & Macro Considerations Current Oil Market Dynamics Supply: OPEC+ spare capacity at 5.9 million b/d (bearish) Demand: China slowdown offset by US resilience (neutral) Inventories: Below 5-year average (bullish) Refining: Margins supporting crude demand (bullish) Federal Reserve Impact Policy Stance: Potential September rate cut (bullish for commodities) Dollar Weakness: Could support oil prices Inflation Expectations: Rising energy costs could influence policy Seasonal Factors Driving Season: Peak summer demand ending (bearish) Hurricane Season: Atlantic activity potential (bullish) Refinery Maintenance: September turnaround season (mixed) Conclusion & Strategic Outlook Near-Term Assessment (1-2 weeks): The current setup represents a high-probability swing trading opportunity with exceptional risk/reward characteristics. The combination of institutional volume support, technical reversal signals, and favorable market structure creates optimal conditions for bullish positioning. Medium-Term Outlook (1-3 months): Successful navigation through the $66-68 resistance zone could establish a broader recovery toward $70-72 levels. However, macroeconomic headwinds and seasonal factors require careful position management and profit-taking discipline. Risk Assessment: While the setup is compelling, traders must respect the institutional accumulation levels as ultimate support. Any violation of the $62 zone would invalidate the bullish thesis and require immediate position liquidation. Strategic Advantage: The dual Renko chart system provides both structural clarity and tactical precision, enabling confident position sizing and systematic risk management. The monthly volume profile offers institutional-level insight typically unavailable to retail traders. Document Classification: Trading Analysis & Recommendations Risk Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk of loss.
NYMEX:CL1!
by mxb1961