Gold Tests Key Reversal Zone – Bears on WatchGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) completed the move as I expected in my previous idea , both the down and up moves I expected.
Gold is currently moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the 5th microwaves of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to start correcting in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,593(First Target) .
Second Target: $3,583
Stop Loss(SL): $3,634
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Adobe - This triangle breaks now!🪄Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) just repeats patterns:
🔎Analysis summary:
Back in 2012 we witnessed a major triangle breakout on Adobe. The following bullrun ended in 2021 and Adobe has been consolidating ever since. But now, we are able to see a pattern repetition, with the same bullish triangle forming, which we saw about one decade ago.
📝Levels to watch:
$350, $500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently.
Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session.
After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions.
Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again.
The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
NQ (Nasdaq Futures) – Tuesday Setup 09/09/2025
🧠 Market Context
Weekly Bias: Buy-side liquidity above Friday’s and Monday’s highs remains intact → a natural draw for price.
Daily Bias: Price is consolidating near these highs, suggesting engineered liquidity.
Tuesday Profile (ICT concept): Often prints the high or low of the week. Expect a Judas Swing in the morning session before the real move develops.
🎯 Trading Idea
I expect New York Open (9:30–10:00 NY) to deliver a pump above Monday/Tuesday highs → running buy stops (BSL).
After this liquidity grab, look for rejection + Market Structure Shift (MSS) on 5m/15m charts.
That would confirm distribution and set up the short.
✅ Execution Plan
Wait for the Sweep:
Levels to watch: 23,890–23,910 (Friday & Monday highs).
Confirmation:
SMT divergence (ES fails to make new high while NQ takes it).
BOS/MSS on 5m → entry on FVG/OB retracement.
Targets:
TP1 → 23,800 (intra-day liquidity).
TP2 → 23,750 (Weekly Open level).
📌 Key Notes
If price continues bullish above 23,910 without rejection, invalidate the short idea → bias shifts to continuation higher (24,000+).
Otherwise, this is a textbook “Tuesday High of the Week” setup.
✍️ Summary:
I’m anticipating a Judas Swing to the upside at NY Open, taking buy-side liquidity, followed by a reversal into sell-side liquidity at 23,750.
Risk of Disruption is too high to ignore- Analyst estimates are too optimistic for NASDAQ:DUOL
- AI risk to disruption is very high for a language learning app like NASDAQ:DUOL
- Foundational multi-modal LLMs can easily do text to speech and vice versa
- Vibe coding is not a direct threat but it definitely helps those who know what they are doing. It can make android or IOS developer more productive that they could easily launch a free variant or undercut the pricing NASDAQ:DUOL charges.
- Even if we consider that analyst estimates for NASDAQ:DUOL would be met or beat.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027
EPS | 3.25 | 4.78 | 6.61
EPS% | 61.07% | 47.13% | 38.16%
Any company growing EPS > 50% deserves a forward p/e of 50. I would agree with it if there's no risk to disruption and there is a defendable moat. But giving benefit of doubt to analyst and bulls.
Fair stock value with forward p/e of 50
EPS | 3.25 | 4.78 | 6.61
Stock Price | $162.5 | $239 | $330
But if someone is willing to pay 100 times forward earning then you must be smoking some good pot.
EPS | 3.25 | 4.78 | 6.61
Stock Price | $325 | $478 | $661
OSCR gap closureOSCR has filled the daily gap and quickly met our nearly two price targets. I have taken lots of profits and converted my exposure to purely LEAP call spreads to preserve capital. I still believe we will see 22$ soon, and UNH pumping might also drag us up. A golden fib extension is around 25$, but my target for the year is $35.
GALAUSDT – History Repeats? Another Bounce from Key Support ZoneGALA is once again testing its long-term support zone, which has historically acted as a strong base for major rallies. Every time the price touched this level in the past, it triggered significant upward moves ranging from +250% to +550%.
- Support Zone: Price is currently sitting in a key weekly support zone, where previous rallies originated.
Historical Bounces:
+300% rally in late 2022
+590% rally in early 2024
+381% rally in mid-2024
+101% rally earlier in 2025
Current Setup: Price has returned to this zone again, with potential for another bounce targeting ~200% -400% upside if history repeats.
Cheers
Hexa
SOL - Solana +50% INCREASE Possible??SOL could be setting up for a big increase.
It's interesting to see how the price previously reacted around this resistance zone.
1️⃣ After a 100% increase, the price traded just around this zone for about 4 weeks when it dropped under, only to take another go at the zone 3 months later and get rejected again
2️⃣ second time increases by 63% in 3 weeks and the price shoots right through, after making a new high the chart went into a mini bearish cycle for a few weeks up until where we are now.
3️⃣ Price closes ABOVE key resistance zone, another high on the way in the next few weeks?
Capturing this zone is definitely bullish for Solana - now to see how far we can go but judging by previous increases, we could easily see a +50 if ETH increases as well.
BTC - The Head and Shoulders of the Year?Bitcoin is shaping one of the most powerful reversal patterns traders could ask for: the inverse head and shoulders. After holding the ascending channel’s lower bound and bouncing from the key structure zone, BTC is signaling that bulls may soon take over.
Here’s what stands out on the chart:
🟢 Bullish Channel: Price continues to respect the rising channel, maintaining its long-term bullish outlook.
🛡️ Structure Zone: The $110,000 – $113,000 region is acting as a crucial pivot, flipping from support to resistance.
🔄 Inverse Head and Shoulders: A textbook reversal setup is forming, with the neckline aligning perfectly with structure.
🚀 Bullish Breakout: A confirmed break above this neckline could trigger the next major impulse move, putting BTC back on track toward higher channel targets.
Bulls need a clean daily close above the neckline for full confirmation — until then, the setup is in play but not yet validated.
📌 Will this become the pattern of the year that propels Bitcoin to new highs?
This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your risk before entering any trade.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUDCAD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Gold→ Between Glory and CollapseGold has climbed without mercy, each retrace shallow, each rally sharper than the last.
Now the metal stands suspended between glory above 3700 and collapse into the 3579 support shelf.
Above, the 3687–3700 premium zone glows like bait. Breakouts here could unleash a frenzy, pulling in late buyers and forcing shorts into a brutal squeeze. But every step higher walks deeper into thin air, where reversals strike hardest.
Below, the 3579–3540 demand base waits patiently. It’s the foundation of this whole move — the line that must hold if bulls want to defend the uptrend. If price ever cuts back to this shelf, it won’t just test support; it will test conviction.
This is no ordinary range. It’s a battlefield stretched to extremes:
⚔️ Above 3700 → euphoria and chase.
⚔️ Below 3579 → panic and liquidation.
Gold doesn’t move aimlessly — it hunts. And right now, it’s hunting those who believe it can only go one way.
Gold is writing history between 3700 glory and 3579 collapse.
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CADJPY Technical & Order Flow Our analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
BTC Analysis (4H)Honestly, as you know, the market had been ranging for several days without much movement. On the chart, we had signs of a drop, but the drop didn’t happen, and instead the market dropped in a way that was shown.
The key level for Bitcoin is the 117K zone, where we may see a negative reaction. It is expected that Bitcoin will advance toward the red zone for now.
This market is a dangerous one, and it is necessary to avoid unnecessary trades.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
S&P500 Rising Wedge break-out imminent.Last week's (September 02, see chart below) buy signal on the S&P500 index (SPX) hit our 6530 Target, as the price reversed on its 4H MA200, which as we mentioned was the market's medium-term Support:
Right now the index is supported by its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is attempting to break above the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of a Rising Wedge similar to the one at the start of the 4-month Channel Up.
As you can see the symmetry between the two patterns is very high and the June break-out led to a +5.70% rise on the 2.5 Fibonacci extension before the next consolidation. A potential +5.70% rise from he recent 4H MA50 Low would now be at 6720 and that is our short-term Target.
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