BITCOIN Is this the last rally of the Cycle??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has held its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) to perfection and closed last week in green for the first time after 3 straight red 1W candles.
As discussed in previous analyses, the 1W MA20 is critical to BTC's bullish trend as it is the trend-line that supported every final parabolic rally on its previous Cycles.
Even on the current Bull Cycle, it has been the first (and main) level of Support during the entirety of the 3-year Channel Up. The second one is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and was the ultimate Buy Signal on all three occasions it was hit (or approached), which coincided with a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement test.
Since the last contact the market had with both the 1W MA50 and 0.382 Fib (April 07 2025 Low), Bitcoin has been trading within the Channel's 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci range, which is the zone that has dominated the price action for most of the Bull Cycle. It broke below or above it 4 times, twice below it in the early stages of the Channel Up and as the Cycle's strength accelerated, twice above it to form Higher Highs.
Those Higher Highs have been the mid-Cycle 'Profit taking Zones' (red Triangles), where traders/ investors were encouraged to book quarterly profits and wait for a lower buy opportunity o the 1W MA50/ 0.382 Fib Support Cluster.
Once again, this is were we expect this upcoming final BTC rally to peak. Technically, even if we see a highly aggressive rise starting now, this Zone should be at $140k and above. Profit taking is a personal matter to each trader, depending on their risk tolerance and how low/ soon they entered the market, but this chart can serve as a reminder on their profit taking strategy.
So are you booking your profits soon for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #174👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Today the U.S. inflation data was released, so let’s see how it impacted the market.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
Earlier today, the PPI index came in favorably for the market, and Bitcoin responded with an upward move following the news.
🔔 Yesterday, however, we saw some unusual global events. Israel carried out a military strike in Qatar, and at the same time, Nepal’s government collapsed following a popular revolution.
✨ These developments were negative for risk assets like Bitcoin, and as a result, the price was rejected from its resistance zone.
✔️ That said, news like this usually impacts markets only temporarily. Today, Bitcoin once again found support at the trendline and pushed higher with strong volume back into the key zone.
📊 Volume has risen significantly, and with today’s bullish PPI release, the current candle is closing above the resistance area.
💥 At the same time, the RSI is breaking through the 64.92 level, which greatly increases the likelihood of Bitcoin starting its next bullish leg. So if you’re already holding a long position, it’s worth keeping it open—there are no clear signs of weakness in the trend yet, and the market still has room to move upward.
🧩 If you don’t have a position open, you can look for entries on lower timeframes once resistance breaks. However, keep in mind that I personally already opened my positions with earlier triggers, and any new triggers appearing today come with higher risk.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Avalanche (AVAX): Expecting Strong Breakout | 2 CME GapsBINGX:AVAXUSDT.P is pressing right against local resistance, where we’ve seen multiple rejections in the past weeks. This zone remains the key level to break before momentum can really pick up.
As long as buyers keep building pressure here, we’re watching closely for a clean breakout. A successful push through this resistance opens the path toward the bullish CME gaps sitting higher, with targets around $34 and $42.
Swallow Academy
Gold at Crossroads: Tensions Mount, PPI LoomsHello traders, it’s going to be a key session. Let’s unpack the story:
🌍 Geopolitical Shockwave Fuels Gold
An attack in Qatar today added another layer of tension to already fragile markets. Safe-haven demand spiked, driving Gold to a fresh ATH at 3674. Risk flows are now elevated, and traders are bracing for what comes next.
📊 Structural Map – Where We Stand
Gold is currently boxed in between two macro fortresses:
🔼 Upside Fortress: 3675–3700 supply wall, with higher resistance at 3715–3725.
🔽 Downside Fortress: Strong demand at 3595–3580, and the deeper HTF stronghold around 3555–3535.
⚔️ Intraday Battlefield
The short-term fight is locked between 3630 and 3650.
Holding above 3650 → opens the road back into 3700.
Losing 3630 → exposes Gold to a deeper dip toward 3595.
The broader bias remains bullish, but only if buyers defend 3630 with conviction.
📅 Core PPI Ahead
Tomorrow’s Core PPI release could act as the spark that decides this standoff. If inflation surprises higher, USD strength may pressure Gold lower. If weaker, Gold could break higher and extend into uncharted territory.
🎯 What This Means
Gold is caught between supply and demand fortresses. With geopolitics and news in play, this is no ordinary consolidation.
💬 Do you expect Gold to push straight into 3700+, or will it reload lower before the rally continues?
👍 Drop a like if this gives you clarity.
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper maps and HTF breakdowns.
Together we sharpen the edge, one level at a time 🚀✨
Alibaba - Here we have the final bottom!🏮Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally created its bottom:
🔎Analysis summary:
As we are speaking, Alibaba finally managed to create a long term bottom formation. Specifically with the recent bullish break and retest, bulls are picking up momentum. We just have to see a break above the current key resistance level in the foreseeable future!
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AUD/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.903 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD | Euro Rejected, Eyeing 1.168 & 1.166 (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price started to drop as expected, correcting down to 1.168. After that move, demand stepped in, and now the pair is trading around 1.1716.
If the price manages to stay below 1.174, we could see another bearish move. The possible downside targets are 1.168 and 1.166. Key supply zones are 1.174–1.178 and 1.179–1.1810.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Bulls in Full ControlHi everyone, it’s Ken here!
XAUUSD is maintaining a strong uptrend, and based on my observation, the market is likely to continue moving toward the channel top marked on the chart.
The current zone plays a crucial role. It could act as a support level that allows price to bounce higher. However, if this zone breaks, a deeper corrective move may start to unfold.
While I lean toward the bullish scenario, actual price action will ultimately determine the next direction. A decisive break below the trendline would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the risk of a pause or even a short-term reversal.
This is only my personal view based on chart analysis, not financial advice.
Wishing you success!
AVAX is Winding Up for a Monster MoveAVAX has been trading inside a large wedge pattern, where price is getting squeezed between a key descending resistance line on the top and a key ascending support line on the bottom. Every touch on these trendlines has triggered strong reactions, showing how important they are for market participants.
Right now, AVAX is holding above its ascending support, which has acted as a solid foundation multiple times in the past. If price manages to push higher and break above the descending resistance, it could unlock strong upside momentum and shift sentiment more bullish. On the other hand, if it fails to sustain this support, we could see another retest of the lower zone before any major move.
Overall, the structure is tightening, and a big breakout looks closer with each passing week.
#PEACE
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THANKS
Two EURCAD Positions Trade Recap 10.09.25Two positions covered in this recap.
EUR / CAD -1%
EUR / CAD Re-Entry BE
Full explanation as to why I executed on these positions and how I maintained my mindset to allow me to get back into the second position after taking the loss. Something I have been working on the past month or so is maintaining the executional mindset after being taken out of a trade, and if it is still intact to actually get back in to the market.
Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
Bitcoin trading plan!BTC is still holding its current range, trading inside this fair value below the POC.
Key levels:
Resistance: $113k
Support: $110k
If price holds $110k through the weekend, another push toward 112.8k–113.1k is likely. A rejection and stall at that zone would be a strong signal for breakdown.
Gold continues to rise, setting new record highs.Gold continues to rise, setting new record highs. The market is currently consolidating, but the overall structure remains bullish. The rally has been supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and growing expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing.
However, the overbought conditions and potential profit-taking could limit further upside in the short term. At this stage, gold is consolidating, and the fundamental background remains stable. Since market-moving news is difficult to predict in advance, traders should closely watch technical levels.
Support Area Price may retest lower support zones before resuming its uptrend The next possible upside target is around 3675.
You any find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
DeGRAM | DOGEUSD above the $0.24 level📊 Technical Analysis
● DOGE/USD found a bottom at 0.2300, rebounding above support and confirming bullish accumulation.
● The breakout projects a move toward 0.2650, with the broader structure eyeing the 0.2865 resistance if momentum extends.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● DOGE gains support from increased transaction volumes and renewed retail engagement, while improving sentiment across altcoins underpins the bullish outlook.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 0.2300; targets 0.2650 → 0.2865. Invalidation on a close below 0.2270.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Wave is Coming?!
Quick update for Bitcoin.
Earlier, I already warned about a potential bullish accumulation
after a test of a demand zone.
The price is now testing an important supply cluster and we may
see a breakout of that today.
In case of a daily candle close above 113600, a bullish reversal
will be confirmed, and we will expect a growth at least to 116800.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD-The rally might just be getting startedAfter receiving several messages asking “what would be a good level to start thinking about selling gold after this amazing rally?”, I’ve decided to prepare a post focused on long-term investing, even though I'm more focused in the short term opportunities.
In the short term, it’s clear for everyone here on TradingView, gold has broken out of a textbook ascending triangle and is pushing into new all-time highs .
But… how far can this madness go!?!?
To answer, I’ve taken a long-term perspective, analyzing the monthly chart to give a broader view.
First of all, let me say that nobody knows exactly where gold will stop, and anyone who claims otherwise is lying. What I can do is highlight the levels that are more probable than others, based on technical patterns, Fibonacci extensions, and how gold has reacted to these in the past.
Gold has been one of the strongest long-term performers in financial history, and the monthly chart tells us that the story might be far from over.
In the past, a Cup & Handle pattern pushed prices nearly 3x the height of the formation.
Right now, gold is completing another massive Cup & Handle, and we’re already near the x1 target ($3,900).
The rally could extend to x2 ($7,200) or even x3 ($13,500) until 2030.
The timing also aligns: the impulse wave after the last correction lasted 146 months, and this new rally is following a very similar time structure. According to the chart, this cycle could realistically stretch until 2030. Of course, with volatility but probably with a strong trend year after year.
For long-term investors, this means:
Any deep correction = opportunity
Gold remains one of the best hedges against uncertainty
Patience could be rewarded with a historic move
I’m personally very bullish on gold’s long-term outlook, and I see this asset as a must-hold in a diversified portfolio. Corrections will come, but the structure suggests they’ll just be steps on the way higher. In the chart, you can also see a projection of the previous rally channel, Fibo time levels of the past correction being amazingly perfect and how it's realated with the current one, but it's not that important for the forecasted levels, so I don't want to overwhelm you :)
Furthermore, many countries have been shifting from sovereign debt to gold in their reserves, and this trend has been accelerating in recent years.
ETHUSDT – Sideways with Long-Term OpportunitiesCurrently, ETHUSDT is trading in a sideways range, fluctuating between key support and resistance levels. After facing resistance at 4,360 USD, the price has corrected and is now moving within the range of 4,170 USD – 4,360 USD. The market is lacking decisiveness and there are no strong signals to break these levels.
On the H4 chart, ETHUSDT remains below the downtrend line, indicating hesitation in breaking out. The price has not been able to surpass EMA34 and EMA89, reflecting uncertainty in the trend.
In this sideways market, the price could continue to fluctuate within the 4,170 USD support and 4,360 USD resistance. If a breakout occurs, ETHUSDT may target higher levels, especially if strong capital inflows continue.
Overall, the sideways trend still dominates. However, the market could change quickly if macroeconomic factors or shifts in monetary policy and major events come into play.
DOW JONES close to a Triangle break-out leading to 47500!Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since April 24. Following the August 21 Low, it entered a short-term Ascending Triangle pattern, looking identical to May - June, which also started after a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test.
That pattern was a re-Accumulation phase, which after breaking upwards pushed the price just below its 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
With also similar 4H RSI sequences, we expect a similar reaction upon a Triangle break-out, targeting 47500 (Fib 2.5 extension).
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NZDCAD: Short-Term Trading SetupNZDCAD: Short-Term Trading Setup
NZDCAD created a new price high indicating for a growth on the bullish momentum.
We are looking at for a short term bullish movement given that the trend is bullish since Friday.
The previous candles are all green and the breakuot should support further.
Key Targets:
0.8243
0.8260
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️