Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 remains range-bound at 23,751, trading under its VWAP of 24,029. RSI at 42 signals weaker momentum. Support at 23,455 is being tested while resistance is 24,604.
UK 100 remains bullish but has pulled back from recent highs down to its VWAP, trading at 9,224. RSI at 54 shows neutral-to-positive momentum. Support is 9,097, resistance is 9,347.
Wall Street continues in a bullish trend, consolidating below record highs, last at 45,487 above its VWAP of 45,243. RSI at 58 leans bullish. Support is 44,684, resistance 45,803.
Brent Crude is still in a choppy range, at 6,654 the price is hovering around its VWAP of 6,690. RSI at 47 reflects neutral momentum. Support stands at 6,492, resistance at 6,888.
Gold has surged higher, trading at new record highs, currently 3,612 above VWAP 3,570 and breaking out of its multi-month consolidation. RSI at 80 indicates strong bullish momentum. Support is 3,400, resistance 3,796.
EUR/USD is pushing towards recent highs and a possible triangle breakout, trading at 1.1726 around VWAP 1.1726. RSI at 56 suggests balanced-to-bullish momentum. Support is 1.1652, resistance 1.1796.
GBP/USD is still in an extended correction within a bullish trend, trading at 1.3510 near VWAP 1.3485. RSI at 53 signals steady momentum. Support is 1.3398, resistance is 1.3573.
USD/JPY stays range-bound at 147.71 stalling after a triangle breakout, now just above the VWAP at 147.12. RSI at 51 reflects a neutral outlook. Support is 146.53, resistance 148.66.
Community ideas
XAU/USD: "Gold Ascends Olympus: 3687 in Sight"
In the golden corridors of the market, price moves like poetry—measured, confident, yet ever delicate. Gold, the ancient keeper of value, has once again risen with purpose, carving a steady path through a well-defined "bullish channel", like a river flowing uphill.
The bulls, bold and unshaken, pressed onward, climbing higher with each candle’s breath. Supported by a strong base — a combined foundation of support (S1) — they carried the weight of momentum, fueled by conviction and chart whispers.
Now, we arrive at the present — a moment suspended between glory and caution. The price glides just above $3,636, entering what we call the "Zone in Focus". This is no ordinary zone — it is a trader’s tightrope, stretched between two poles:
* To the north: a shimmering target at $3,687.532, where dreams of continuation await.
* To the south: a shadowed guard line at $3,619.406, where hesitation may trigger retreat.
It is here the market speaks in riddles. Will the bulls surge one final time to crown a new local high? Or will they rest, allowing gravity to pull the price back into safer ground?
This, dear reader, is a Risky trade — not because it lacks potential, but because it asks for "Patience, Precision, and Respect" for market rhythm. One misstep in this zone could mean entering too late or exiting too early.
So the wise trader watches. Waits. Lets the price unfold its intention like a story yet unfinished.
Final Thought:
In trading, as in life, clarity comes not from rushing in, but from waiting for the moment that feels right. The chart is speaking — listen closely, and act with grace.
Educational Assistant to All.
Comments and Likes Shows Support always.
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to attract strong attention as marketsGold (XAU/USD) continues to attract strong attention as markets weigh both technical and macroeconomic factors.
From a technical perspective, price action remains influenced by key resistance and support levels, with traders closely watching potential breakout zones and momentum shifts. Current patterns suggest heightened volatility, which could provide trading opportunities for both short- and medium-term outlooks.
On the fundamental side, gold’s role as a safe-haven asset is supported by global economic uncertainty, central bank policies, and inflation dynamics. Investors continue to monitor U.S. interest rate decisions and geopolitical developments, which may further impact price direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #SafeHaven #Trading #Markets #Forex #MacroEconomics
"Gambling" on LVS this morning -- Long at 53.46,I was looking through my signals from last week this morning and I came across LVS. Now LVS isn't a lights out safe play, there is risk here and gambling is probably the right word to use in the title. However, good gambling, like good trading, is about pushing your chips to the middle of the table only when the odds favor you.
The signal actually came last week (as you can see from the final white arrow on the chart), but I wasn't ready to push my chips in then, so I let it go and kind of forgot about it for the rest of the week. But this morning, after 5 consecutive down days, which helps put the odds for a short term win in my favor, the risk/reward was good enough for me to ante up here.
We are, I think, at sort of an inflection point in the market overall. If things go south macro-wise, this could be a long, unpleasant trade. But, as Dec-Apr on the chart show, that doesn't mean money can't be made. Given that LVS has never produced a losing trade for me (the world will never run out of gamblers), I got in at a price around 3.5% below that last signal's break even level. What that suggests is that this should be a better than average return trade if I just hold to the recent signal's level. Again, after 5 straight down days, that puts me closer to seller exhaustion as well.
Nothing is guaranteed in the market, even when the history of LVS is 100% wins for me. But when you put the odds in your favor - in this case close to 100% both with a resilient system that pays even in declines, and using those sequential down days to my advantage, you tend to come out ahead. This is not an "all in" trade, however. There is dry powder available to take tactical advantage of any other signals if it does decline or the trade drags out - ALWAYS a good idea.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
"Gold Charging | Eyes on 3,636 & Beyond"GOLD 4H Analysis
Price broke above resistance and confirmed bullish momentum after the order break. Entry was taken at support with a clear target zone. Currently, price is moving inside a bullish channel and holding above combined supports (S1, S2, S3). As long as price stays above these supports, the bullish trend may continue toward the marked target around 3,636.481, with potential for new ATH establishment.
Gold near record highs on rate cut expectationsGold near record highs on rate cut expectations
Gold hovers close to $3,620, testing the upper boundary of its ascending channel. The recent rejection from this level signals a potential short-term pullback.
Soft U.S. labor data—sluggish job growth and the highest unemployment rate since 2021—has strengthened market bets on a 92% probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut this month. Additionally, tariff exemptions on gold and concerns over Fed independence continue to fuel safe-haven demand.
If the Fed confirms a cut, the U.S. dollar could weaken further, reinforcing gold’s bullish momentum. Below $3,580, a deeper correction toward $3,550 becomes likely. A breakout above $3,620 could open the door to $3,640 and possibly new record highs.
147.20 Holds Strong — Next Stop 150.00 on USD/JPY?🔎 Technical Outlook (USD/JPY – 4H)
The pair is currently trading around 147.78, consolidating within a broad range. The key observation is repeated rejections near 147.20 support, suggesting buyers are defending this zone. On the upside, 149.00–149.20 remains a strong resistance ceiling.
Momentum indicators (based on price action structure in your chart) show buyers stepping back in after a retracement. The bullish setup comes from the fact that price is rebounding off support, forming higher lows, and still holding above the mid-range of the consolidation channel.
________________________________________
📈 Bullish Trade Setup (USD/JPY – 4H)
• ✅ Entry Zone (Buy): 147.60 – 147.80 (current area, confirmation above 147.90 ideal)
• 🛑 Stop Loss: 147.20 (below recent swing low & defended support)
• 🎯 Take Profit 1: 148.70 – lock partial gains (book ~50%)
• 🎯 Take Profit 2: 149.20 – key resistance test, move stop to breakeven
• 🎯 Take Profit 3: 150.00 – extended bullish breakout potential, trail stop to 148.70
________________________________________
📊 Risk Handling & Trade Management
1. Risk no more than 1–2% per trade — USD/JPY can be volatile.
2. Partial Profit Booking: Secure profits at TP1 to reduce exposure while riding further upside.
3. Trailing Stop: After TP1, shift SL to entry. If TP2 is hit, trail stop tighter under 148.50 to lock profits while leaving room for 150.
4. Be mindful of U.S. economic releases this week (highlighted at bottom of chart), which can cause sharp spikes in JPY pairs.
________________________________________
⚖️ Summary
USD/JPY is showing strength from support, and as long as 147.20 holds, the bullish structure remains valid. A clean break above 149.20 could trigger momentum buying toward 150.00, making this a favorable R:R setup with disciplined management.
________________________________________
FETUSDT: Ascending Wedge Bottom_Ready to take another FlightFETUSDT
Monthly
Continuously moving within an Ascending Wedge.
On a monthly time frame, it is continuously forming HH, HL
Historically, 12 bars (approx. 1 year) correction is observed.
However, it takes a good flight after such correction.
Price is squeezing (and hence profit/loss too) respecting ascending wedge.
Good news! the correction bars have been completed, touching the bottom of ascending wedge.
Flight is ready to take an upside move.
Daily
Flag pattern,
current price range is forming a support zone.
Fundamentally, it has all the spices to justify the above analysis.
Enjoy the ride!
BankNifty levels - Sep 09, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NZDUSD: Testing the Falling Channel’s Upper TrendlineWill NZDUSD Respect the Upper Trendline of the Falling Channel?
NZDUSD is currently trading within a widening wedge pattern. Given the overall downtrend with a clear sequence of LHs and LLs, there’s potential for another bearish leg to unfold.
Price has now reached the upper boundary of the falling channel, which could trigger a move lower if bearish confirmation appears. I’ll be closely monitoring this area for signs of rejection and momentum to the downside.
My trading plan (upon confirmation):
Sell Zone: 0.59250 – 0.59355
Target: 0.58522
Invalidation: A decisive break above 0.59600
What’s your outlook on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments, and if you find this idea helpful, a boost would be much appreciated!
Chronex | EURJPY - Buy🚀 Yo Chronex — Bias for today is live!
🎯 100 % model-driven.
No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open
CHECKLIST
H4 Structure:
H4: Order flow:
H1 Structure:
H1 Order flow:
m15 Order flow:
Entry Model:
Context:
🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view)
- Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session.
- Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data.
- Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list.
- Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*.
📍 Today’s Playbook:
Risks
1. Do we have economic high impact news release?
2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones?
3. Has better zone above/below?
Verdict:
💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
Will it continue to soar next weekor will it rise and then fallThe bullish outlook for gold remains unchanged for next Monday. In a continuous upward trend, short-term pullbacks often serve to restore bullish momentum, while rapid, deep declines can actually provide momentum for a sustained upward move. Gold prices rebounded quickly after retreating to around 3573, further reinforcing market confidence in a stronger outlook. A key turning point for next Monday's trend lies at 3600, Friday's high. A break above this level will be the primary target for continued bullish activity. Key support lies below 3560, a previous top-bottom reversal level that has been initially tested and shown to be supportive. Therefore, the recommended strategy for future trading is to maintain a bullish outlook above 3560. Short-term short-term buying is recommended within this range, but the overall trend remains focused on buying on dips until this key support level is effectively broken.
GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25 📊
🔹 Weekly Bias:
Remains bullish, with last week’s candle closing strong above the Daily 50 EMA.
Rejection wick adds further confluence to upside continuation.
🔹 Daily Bias:
Current daily structure holds bullish after another close above the Daily 50 EMA.
🟢 Long Scenarios
High-probability longs from defined zones, with opportunities to buy from the lows.
Weekly 50 EMA retest: a potential long area later this week — even if the weekly candle looks bearish, the bias stays bullish due to last week’s strong close above the 50 EMA.
Points of Interest: previous weekly wick lows (wicks often get filled; once filled, expect continuation to the upside).
⚡ Immediate Long Setup (London open)
Early longs are tricky, but the confluence is strong:
Daily imbalance fill + Daily 50 EMA support
Gap above price (market tendency to rebalance)
Daily order block refined with LTF order blocks
If Asia opens at lows with Asia highs unfilled → strong confluence for a London session break of structure → long entry toward Asia highs and gap fill.
Targeting a quick 1:3 RRR with aggressive trade management.
🔴 Short Scenarios
Shorts are possible but require caution.
Daily candles remain above the 50 EMA (bullish bias).
Best short zones: around previously daily highs with high confluence areas.
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
Tips And Trick On How to Trade The Flag Pattern With Perfection!Hey Everyone, in this chart we have a very clear pattern FLAG on the 4H timeframe and on the 1h timeframe. this pattern consists of three sides:
1- the trend line side:
if this side is broken then we will have to wait for a nice retest and then enter our trade which will be in the opposite direction of the trendline ( in our EURUSD it will be a sell trade).
2- the resistance area:
it is a very strong area that pushes the price very hard to the downside, once this area is broken we can enter an easy buy trade directly or we can wait for a good confirmation and a nice retest for the area.
3- the target side :
in most of the chart patterns these patterns gives you an indication of the amount of pips you are waiting for. the third side of the FLAG pattern is actually your target for the trade, try to take between 20 to 50 pips less than what is showed on this side.
so as a conclusion of the EURUSD analysis we are waiting for a good break to the trendline or the resistance area and then we can determine what our next step and if we will enter a buy or sell trade
SILVER H1 | Price signals a potential bearish dropBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 40.93, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 40.36, which is a pullback support.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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TOWNSUSDT Forming Bullish PennantTOWNSUSDT is currently forming a bullish pennant pattern, a continuation signal that often precedes a strong upward breakout. After a significant upward move, the price has consolidated within a tight range, creating the classic pennant structure. This setup suggests that buyers are regaining momentum and preparing for the next rally. With a projected gain of 90% to 100%+, this pair is gaining serious attention from traders looking for high-potential opportunities.
The trading volume around TOWNSUSDT remains strong, which further supports the bullish outlook. A good volume profile during consolidation phases typically indicates accumulation by larger investors. This healthy participation shows that market confidence is building, making the breakout scenario even more likely in the coming sessions.
Investor sentiment is leaning bullish as more participants show interest in this project. The technical setup aligns with the growing confidence, and with strong fundamentals backing the pair, TOWNS is positioning itself as a coin to watch. A breakout above the pennant resistance could trigger rapid price expansion, leading to the expected 90% to 100% rally.
In summary, TOWNSUSDT presents a promising technical setup with its bullish pennant pattern. Combined with strong volume and growing investor activity, the conditions are highly favorable for a sharp breakout. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on this pair as it approaches critical resistance levels that could unleash its next big move.
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NIFTY50.....Ready to rumble? Not yet....Hello Traders,
I couldn't let you go without an update for NIFTY50! Here it is!
The NIFTY50 reached a high during Thursday session at 24970 and before strongly reversed strong to the downside.
This was inline with my expectation, but it moves higher, as I anticipated. The move from the possible wave (ii), green, low look like a "three-up" and so I argue this was a corrective move up.
If so to come the next move should be down!
Chart analysis:
The low @24365 is the key level. If this level is undercut, the door would be open to lower levels, as I wrote in my latest analysis. One target range could be the "sky-blue" rectangle. As before. I am not clear with the structure of the move and I have labelled the count, but there is a lot of doubt about it!
Another idea is, that the low @24365 was the key low and the move that started that day, is part of waves (i), green and a deep diving wave (ii)) into the retracements, with a wave (iii) to follow! The move from the possible wave (ii), green, low @ 24407 looks like a "three-up", so it would be a corrective one. On the other hand, it is possible, that a "double"-waves 1 and 2 would be underway.
In this case, the index will be ready to "rumble", i.e. explode in the coming sessions!
As before. Seasonally, the time has not yet to come for a so called "Christmas-rally", it is simply too early!
So I guess, lower lows in the coming weeks would be too expected.
A "rate-cut" by the FED (Federal Reserve System) of course would stimulate the markets around the world. But keep in mind, that political stock markets have short legs, means it can be, that the market is on the way to price a rate cut, and then droop to the downside! But this, my friends, is only my personal point of view!
So, friends, you are prepared for the coming sessions.
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
$SNOW about to make a MASSIVE MOVEScenario A (Base Case)
Support bounce: Price held at ~$214.87, then nearly filled a gap.
Next leg up: Target $228.87—likely to gap-fill, wick, then reverse.
Retrace path: After that, expect another pullback to $214.87, then deeper fill down to $201.95—that’s a big move if triggered.
Scenario B (Bull Break)
Key breakout: If SNOW breaks above $228.87 decisively, look for continuation to $237.78, and potentially rally back into the $252 range.
Scenario C (No-Trade Zone)
If price just drifts sideways in chop—we sit out. Trading in no-man’s land gives poor risk/reward and gets you whipsawed.
Strategy
Base case (A): SNOW bounced at ~$214.87, filled up near $228.87, likely wick and fall. If that happens, look for re-entry shorts targeting $214.87 and deeper to $201.95.
Bullish flip (B): A clean break and hold above $228.87 opens pathway to $237.78 and potentially retest into the low $250s.
Chop (C): Sideways 30-minute to 1-hour movement? No edge—stay light, stay patient.
Why Each Move Matters
$214.87 = proven bounce zone, sets the stage.
$228.87 = gap-fill and area where momentum—or rejection—gives clue.
$201.95 = deep gap fill, big structural play if price falls fast.
$237.78 / $252s = next resistance cluster if bullish scenario runs.