Community ideas
Downtrend is likely to continueWe might see more consolidation with 1.16 and 1.17 range but evntually we are going down with this downtrend. EUR did reject from yearly R3 pivot twice already. R3 is usually the top and the global uptrend (technically its still in place) did slow down after that, we start to see more of flat action instead. Also last year we made the yearly top about same time in the autumn.
But what happens at 1.15 - I dont know. We either go back to 1.1750 (most likely, or even higher to 1.20 but next year already) or down to 1.1250. Further price action will shed light on that.
FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
EU is almost ready to go upHi traders,
Last week EU went down some more and made a correction up.
So next week we could see another downmove and after that more upside from the bullish Daily FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for price come into the bullish Daily FVG and reverse. After an impulse wave up and a correction down, look for a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame to trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BDL - Buy on DipHere’s the summary:
The chart identifies a completed A–B–C–D–E corrective pattern, forming a falling wedge (bullish structure).
The stock recently broke out from the wedge and seems to be forming Wave 2 of a new impulsive Wave 1–5 sequence.
The current price is around ₹1,544, with Wave 3 expected to lead a strong upside move.
The projected path shows a 5-wave impulse targeting approximately ₹2,500–₹2,550, labeled as “BDL Target 50%”.
The breakout level near ₹1,650 acts as a key support/resistance zone for confirmation of trend continuation.
Summary insight:
BDL has completed its corrective phase and is likely starting a new bullish impulsive rally. A sustained move above ₹1,650 could trigger a multi-wave rise toward ₹2,500+.
EVAA PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $9.40EVAA PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $9.40
Currently $9.40
Targeting $9.06 or Down
Stoploss $13
(Trading plan IF EVAA
go up to $10.20 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
(NZD/USD ) Chart Pattern..(NZD/USD ) the target point is clearly marked with a blue arrow labeled “Target Point.”
Looking closely:
The my target level appears to be around 0.57900 (approximately 0.5791).
The my chart shows this as an upward projection, so it looks like a bullish target from the current zone (around 0.5748).
✅ Summary:
Pair: NZD/USD
Target: ≈ 0.5790
Direction: Up (bullish move)
EURUSD WEEKLY PERSPECTIVE .EURUSD EXCHANGE RATE WEEKLY CLOSE @ 1.16258
EU10Y =2.625%
ECB RATE DETAILS
Deposit facility rate: 2.00%
Main refinancing operations (MRO) rate: 2.15%
Marginal lending facility rate: 2.40%
The head of the European Central Bank (ECB) is Christine Lagarde.
The upcoming ECB monetary policy meeting is scheduled for October 30, 2025, hosted by Banca d'Italia in Florence, Italy. The ECB will announce its interest rate decision on that day around 13:45 CET, followed by a press conference at 14:30 CET.
Market expectations heavily favor no change in rates at this meeting given recent ECB signals and the current economic outlook.
Christine Lagarde is expected to continue leading the ECB until the end of her term in late 2027, with discussions ongoing about her successor possibly being from Germany.
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA DETAILS
US10Y =4.003%
FEDERAL FUND RATE = 4.0%-4.25%
the current federal funds rate set by the Federal Reserve is in the range of 4.00% to 4.25%, following a 25 basis points rate cut in September 2025. This cut marked the first reduction in interest rates for 2025, prompted by signs of a weakening labor market despite inflation still being above the Fed's 2% target.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which directs U.S. monetary policy, projects two additional 25 basis point rate cuts for the remainder of 2025, most likely at the upcoming meeting on Wednesday 29th 2025 by 7:00pm
Federal Funds Rate
4.00% 4.25%
FOMC Statement
FOMC Press Conference
This outlook reflects precautions amid a moderated economic activity environment, slower job gains, and inflation concerns.
The head of the Federal Reserve is Jerome Powell, Powell continues to guide the Fed through complex economic conditions including inflation management and labor market monitoring.
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL= (EUR-USD) 2.15%-(4.0%-4.25%)=(-1.85%-2.1%) FAVOUR USD
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL=(EURO-USD )=(2.625%-4.003%)=1.378% FAVOUR USD
BUT EURO ECONOMIC OUTLOOK IS STABLE OFFSETTING BONDYIELD AND INTEREST.
The EUR/USD exchange rate movement is influenced significantly by the interest rate differential and bond yield differential between the Eurozone (ECB) and the US (Fed), as well as the uncovered interest parity (UIP) theory.
Interest Rate Differential
The interest rate differential (IRD) between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank drives currency value shifts.
The Fed federal funds rate stands at 4.00%-4.25%, with an expectation of further cuts.
The ECB main refinancing rate is at 2.15%, having paused rate cuts.
This widening differential favors the USD in carry trade strategies since higher US rates attract capital seeking better returns, resulting in USD strength versus the EUR.
Bond Yield Differential
Similarly, bond yields between US Treasury and Eurozone bonds play a crucial role. US 10-year Treasury yields are generally higher than Eurozone 10-year Bund yields, reinforcing the USD's relative attractiveness. This yield gap reflects differing monetary policy stances and economic outlooks.
Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP)
UIP theory states that expected changes in exchange rates offset interest rate differentials to prevent arbitrage. In practice, if US interest rates remain higher, the USD should appreciate versus EUR to restore parity in forward-looking returns. However, market dynamics, geopolitical risks, and trade flows can cause deviations from UIP in the short to medium term.
CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE
the carry trade favor USD but any rate cut from the next FOMC MEETING WILL ERODE GAINS AND EURO STABLE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK BACKED MY MARKET STRUCTURE KEEP EURO BUY AS AN OPTION.
TRADE HISTORY IN CONTEXT.
EURUSD on weekly time frame descending trendline connecting Monday 29th 2018,monday 11 jan 2011 feb,and may 2011 finally came back in 2025 and rejected on the weekly descending trendline again at 1.18912 and we close the week on eurusd loss at 1.16258 rate in the fx window.
key demand at 1,4754 will be watched
key demand floor at (1.10275-1.10851)
the application of Fibonacci 50% retracement of that rally will be in the zone 1.10563 as a key buy zone should the federal reserve rate cut gets flip against euro.
#EURUSD #EU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR
PEGA - New 52-Week High, Next Stop All-Time High?PEGA - CURRENT PRICE : 66.27
PEGA has shown strong bullish momentum after breaking above its 52-week high resistance at USD 61.00. The breakout was followed by a successful retest, confirming strong buying interest and trend continuation.
RSI (45) remains steady above the 50 level, indicating a healthy and sustained uptrend with no signs of overbought pressure yet. Take note also that there is a rising support line - indicating demand is getting higher. If momentum continues, the stock has potential to retest its all-time high at around USD 74.40, representing strong upside potential. The stock’s immediate support lies at USD 57.66, aligning with the gap zone (rising window) formed earlier, which is expected to serve as a strong support area.
ENTRY PRICE : 64.00 - 67.00
FIRST TARGET : 74.30 (slightly below actual all time high resistance)
SECOND TARGET : 80.00
SUPPORT : 57.66
XAUUSD (Gold) seeking $4,000 region?As my H4 chart shows, gold did make a double top a few days ago and then crashed. You can give credit for this massive 3,800 points move to profit taking or economic uncertainty or any technical reason, maybe a combination but it really does not matter.
What does matter is that we now have a double or triple top indicating that we have more room to the down side. I am seeing a medium term bearish move followed by a consolidation and now it may be that we will get a breakout (to the down side) to give us a bearish continuation.
How far will we go? I have no idea but the round number 4,000 followed by 3,950 do make sense. If all this works out as I anticipate, it may be a good idea to close a partial position, move the stop to a level of small profit and then trail the price action.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
HEY NAZ, WHATS NEWS GONNA MAKE YOU DO?! NAZ Bias-Bearish(personally) HOWEVER-----
Let price show us the way. I believe that price will be looking for key levels to bounce around on before making its true climb or decline. The reason I am bearish this week is the belief that negative news is coming and a lack of pullbacks on daily/HTF charts. So sauce.... Im looking for price to come down and hit a fibs retracement at this FVG for a
GOOD BUY bounce! Around 25,428-25,394! First, setup; after that, the IPP (important price point) to look at will be how price interacts with 25,509-25,491. If it doesn't break above on a higher time frame, I believe we push LL to hit BIG FVG 25,214!! which i really want to buy from there but if it breaks above we can see a strong retest of SOB and HH's! Either way, WE GET PAID! Sitting on my hands until the price shows me where we're riding! GDluckThisWeek and happy hunting!
CLSK, nothing changed, $40+ incoming, 2x minNASDAQ:CLSK is low cap asset and is prone to large volatile swing like we are seeing but also gives way to opportunities.
Price is attempting to breakout the macro triangle upper boundary was rejected at first. Breaking above wave D at $24 is key to trigger the thrust I'm looking for towards $42 and $80 all time High Volume Node after that.
Price has momentum above the weekly pivot 200EMA but currently trapped in a High Volume Node where we expect price to stall before continuing upwards.
RSI can stay in overbought for months.
Participants are still afraid of this asset coming against them and its volatility, a reflection of the broader sentiment of FEAR in retail that is still persisting at all time high. Ridiculous bear market PTSD.
A recipe for MUCH higher. until market wide confidence takes hold.
Safe trading
#TON/USDT Consolidation Buy After Sell-Off#TON
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break it and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 2.12.
Entry price: 2.15.
First target: 2.16.
Second target: 2.18.
Third target: 2.21.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
The stop loss is below the support area in green.
When the first target is reached, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
ENSOUSDT Forming Bullish WaveENSOUSDT is currently displaying a strong bullish wave pattern, suggesting that the pair is entering an expansion phase after a consolidation period. This pattern often points to renewed market confidence and accumulation by traders anticipating a continuation of the upward trend. The structure of this wave formation indicates that buyers are gradually gaining control, pushing price action toward higher highs with solid market structure confirmation.
The volume levels remain consistently strong, signaling active participation from both retail and institutional investors. With an expected gain of 90% to 100%+, ENSOUSDT could be gearing up for a significant breakout in the near term. Such momentum setups often precede sharp rallies as liquidity and investor sentiment align, creating the perfect conditions for an upward surge. Traders watching this pair may find attractive opportunities to capitalize on the bullish momentum once confirmation signals align.
Investor interest in ENSO continues to grow as it demonstrates resilience and steady demand even during market corrections. The coin’s current technical outlook suggests that if it maintains this momentum, it could outperform other assets in the same sector. With improving volume dynamics, a bullish structure, and strong investor confidence, ENSOUSDT could be preparing for an impressive move to the upside.
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BNB/USDT 1H chart short-term📊 1. Trend structure
• We see an upward channel (black trend lines) - the price rebounds from the lower support line and gradually heads upwards.
• Currently, the rate oscillates in the middle zone of the channel - approx. 1,115 USDT.
• As long as the lower trend line (approx. USDT 1,090) holds, the bullish structure is intact.
⸻
🟩 2. Support and resistance zones
Support:
• 1,106 USDT → local intraday support (already tested several times).
• 1,090 USDT → stronger support + trend line.
• 1,056 USDT and 1,016 USDT → lower zones, in case of a stronger correction.
Resistance:
• 1,125 USDT → local resistance that is currently blocking the upward move.
• 1,148 USDT → another strong resistance, after breaking it, a test of 1,174 USDT (upper border of the channel) is possible.
⸻
📈 3. Indicator – Stochastic RSI
• Currently, the Stoch RSI lines are starting to bounce from bottom to top, after previously entering the oversold zone.
➡️ This is a short-term rebound signal, but not yet a strong buy signal - confirmation of the break through of the ~1,125 USDT level is needed.
⸻
⚙️ 4. Technical scenarios
Bullish:
• Maintaining 1,106–1,090 USDT and breaking above 1,125 USDT → target 1,148 → 1,174 USDT.
• The trend support at 1,090 USDT acts as a buying zone for swing traders.
Bearish:
• A break below 1,090 USDT will negate the channel structure → a possible drop to 1,056 USDT and then 1,016 USDT.
• The RSI will then likely enter a strong oversold zone.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Where Are We in the Cycle?Ticker: NVDA
Category: Market Structure / Elliott Wave Analysis
Author’s note: Educational analysis — not financial advice.
🧠 Market Context
NVIDIA has been one of the strongest growth stories in the last market cycle. However, after such a powerful move, many traders are now asking: Where are we in the broader structure — and what could come next?
From a structural perspective, NVDA appears to have completed its third Elliott Wave, with the fourth wave currently in progress. This phase often reflects a period of consolidation, where the market digests previous gains before potentially starting the fifth wave.
📊 Elliott Wave Structure
Through the lens of Elliott Wave theory:
Wave 3 — likely completed after the parabolic advance that marked NVIDIA’s latest all-time highs.
Wave 4 — a corrective phase, potentially forming a sideways or slightly downward structure.
Wave 5 (ahead?) — may still occur, possibly extending above the upper boundary of the current price channel.
However, once the fifth wave completes, markets typically enter a longer consolidation or corrective phase — often retracing 50–60% of the total move from the highs.
⚙️ Volatility and Price Range
Currently, NVDA is trading within a broad channel, roughly between $100 and $400+.
Volatility remains elevated — which suggests that the sideways phase could persist for several months, or even longer.
Such behavior is common in late-cycle stages when large market participants distribute part of their holdings while retail interest remains high.
📈 Key Takeaways
The main impulsive move seems to have already played out.
The market may enter a range-bound or sideways phase, with local rallies still possible.
Correction risks are gradually increasing, especially if the fifth wave develops and fails to sustain new highs.
In short, this might not be the best time to chase — but rather to observe how price behaves within the current channel.
💬 Final Thoughts
This analysis is purely educational and reflects one possible scenario based on market structure.
No one can predict the exact timing or depth of the next move — the market always decides.
👉 What do you think?
Are we already in the correction phase, or is there still one more leg up left for NVDA?
Share your view in the comments below 👇
Eur possibly seeking Premiumsseeing a liquidity run closing last week on thurs & fri,
Fake Forex Forecaster will be expecting an OLHC for the week, pinging of that sibi on H4, or as high as that weekly csd going into NOV
take note
we still have an EQL on the daily tf as point of interest. with low of Sep taken out.
EURAUD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EURAUD is respecting the falling trendline, showing rejection from premium levels. Liquidity has been collected above the recent swing, suggesting smart money may aim for the downside to rebalance inefficiency toward the target zone. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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Ethereum VS. Russell 2000 Russell 2000 index and Ethereum charts follow a strikingly similar pattern.
Both assets peaked in November 2021 and then entered a prolonged correction. Interestingly, both formed major lows around April 2025.
The Russell 2000, just before breaking through the 2021 ATH resistance area, retested the demand zone, just as CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently doing.
This similarity suggests that Ethereum could be poised for a strong breakout, following in the footsteps of the Russell 2000.
History is sometimes more than just a coincidence…
#PYR/USDT — Critical Zone: Accumulation for Rebound or Breakdo#PYR
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.633, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.658
First target: 0.672
Second target: 0.692
Third target: 0.710
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
GBPJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 203.425.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 206.227 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
RIOT | MASSIVE Rally Incoming | LONGRiot Platforms, Inc. is a bitcoin mining company, which engages in the provision of special cryptocurrency mining computers. It invests in Verady, Coinsquare, and Tess. It operates through the Bitcoin Mining and Engineering segments. The Bitcoin Mining segment focuses on maximizing ability to successfully mine Bitcoin by growing hash rate. The Engineering segment designs and manufactures power distribution equipment and custom engineered electrical products that provides them the ability to vertically integrate many of the critical electrical components and engineering service. The company was founded on July 24, 2000 and is headquartered in Castle Rock, CO.
XAU/USD – 4H Bearish Pennant Formation Gold is currently consolidating within a bearish pennant on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting potential continuation to the downside. While a Fair Value Gap (FVG) above may invite a short-term liquidity grab toward 4225, the presence of a Gravestone Doji strengthens the bearish bias.
If price breaks below the pennant support, it could trigger a move toward the demand zone highlighted below.
⚠️ Be cautious of false breakouts and liquidity traps.
📍 Don’t forget to place your Stop-Loss.






















