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EUR/CAD Trade IdeaPrice has pushed upward, breaking structure to the upside. However, this move left behind an imbalance (fair value gap), suggesting the market may look to correct before continuing higher. Plan: Wait for a retracement to fill the imbalance (correction). Look for bullish confirmations once the correction completes. Expectation: continuation to the upside after correction. Key things to watch: Where the imbalance sits (mark out the FVG zone). Price reaction as it corrects—look for bullish order blocks or rejection wicks. Structure holding above the most recent higher low.
Long
by yongalino
Gold on upswingTechnical analysis: As discussed on my previous commentary about fragile DX standard (right now it's few percents up) Gold is already giving new signs of Buying continuation (however it is important to keep Bullish underlying Medium-term trend on top of the importance list as well). Current Buying spike on Gold came as no surprise however Gold does not represent anymore (as it has been) sole hedge asset against Inflation, as current Trading week is projected to be Bearish for DX due NFP debacle (still without firm recovery and near Higher Low’s extension), hence Bullish and should be adding Buying pressure on Hourly 4 chart’s on Gold. Technically, I am certain also that Gold should Price in a Top here (temporary or not) since it is critically Overbought / if Support zone near Higher Low’s break and continuation of Technical Bearish perspective (once the Fundamental pressure is Priced in and digested by market where Price-action is expected to engage the correction). Taking all aspects in consideration and ignoring Technical necessity for a correction, I expect aggressive uptrend extension towards #3,700.80 psychological benchmark posing as an Higher High’s extension as well, if #3,652.80 - #3,662.80 Resistance zone gives away. If Support zone breaks however (#3,622.80 - #3,627.80), expect contact with #3,600.80 benchmark. My position: I am constantly using my dip Buying strategy and will continue Buying Gold from my key entry points (excellent Profits by now) Buying Gold from #3,630.80 many times throughout yesterday's session. #3,645.80 is keeping Gold away from touching #3,652.80 benchmark.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
#SKL/USDT#SKL The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout. There is a major support area in green at 0.02800, representing a strong support point. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.02970 First target: 0.03050 Second target: 0.03117 Third target: 0.03200 Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
NASDAQ NAS100 at a Crossroads: Riding Nvidias Surge with CautionThe immediate reaction to Nvidia's stellar earnings has been decidedly bullish, propelling the NASDAQ higher. We saw a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" event where the "news" was so powerful it triggered a "fear of missing out" (FOMO) rally with a healthy correction on Friday. In the next one to two weeks, the near-term bias is bullish, but with extreme caution. The market has received the fundamental "all-clear" it was waiting for from its most important company. However, the index is now technically overextended and sentiment is euphoric, making it vulnerable to a short-term pullback or consolidation. The primary trend, however, remains bullish IMO. 1. The Catalyst: Nvidia Earnings Nvidia didn't just beat expectations; it shattered them and raised future guidance, validating the entire AI investment thesis. Revenue & EPS: Significant beats on both the top and bottom lines. Guidance: Q2 revenue guidance of ~$28B was vastly higher than analyst estimates of ~$26.6B, demonstrating unprecedented demand for its Blackwell and Hopper architecture chips. Data Center: Revenue of $22.6B, up 427% year-over-year, is the core of the story. This shows that AI infrastructure spending is not slowing; it's accelerating. Stock Split: The announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split adds a psychological boost for retail investors, improving accessibility and reinforcing bullish sentiment. Analyst Interpretation: This wasn't just a quarterly report; it was a fundamental confirmation that the AI revolution has tangible, massive earnings power. It alleviated fears that the AI trade was a bubble. For the NASDAQ, which is market-cap weighted and heavily influenced by NVDA, this was rocket fuel. 2. Technical Analysis (One-Day Timeframe Post-Earnings) Price Action: The NASDAQ gapped up powerfully at the open, breaking cleanly above its previous consolidation range. This was a strong bullish signal. Volume: The rally was accompanied by massive volume, confirming broad institutional participation. This wasn't a low-volume grind; it was a conviction move. 3. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop Interest Rates: The market is currently pricing in a higher-for-longer stance from the Fed. However, recent economic data (PMIs, jobless claims) has shown slight signs of softening, which keeps hopes alive for a potential rate cut later in the year. A stable, non-accelerating rate environment is acceptable for tech stocks, especially those like Nvidia with explosive earnings growth that outweighs rate concerns. Geopolitics: While always a risk (U.S.-China tensions, elections), the market has largely shrugged off these concerns for now, choosing to focus on the stellar corporate fundamentals. Market Breadth: A key watch-out. The rally has been narrow, led primarily by the "Magnificent 7" (now perhaps the "Fab 1" - Nvidia). For the rally to be sustainable, we need to see broader participation from other sectors and smaller-cap stocks within the NASDAQ. 4. Likely Outcome for the Next 1-2 Weeks: Bullish with a Caveat Bullish Scenario (60% Probability): The momentum from Nvidia is likely to carry the NASDAQ higher in the very near term. We could see a continued "melt-up" towards 17,400-17,500 as underinvested funds are forced to chase performance and add equity exposure. Any dip will likely be shallow and bought aggressively, with the 17,000 level holding firm. Consolidation/Pullback Scenario (35% Probability): This is the most likely healthy outcome. After such a massive, emotion-driven surge, the market is likely to need a period of digestion. We could see the NASDAQ chop sideways for a week or two to work off the overbought conditions. This would reset the momentum indicators and allow the market to build a new base for the next leg higher. This is not a bearish signal; it is a strengthening signal. Bearish Reversal Scenario (5% Probability): A sharp reversal below the 17,000 support level and a fill of the earnings gap (~16,900) would be a significant warning. This would likely require a new, negative macro catalyst (e.g., unexpectedly hot inflation data, a major geopolitical escalation) that forcefully changes the interest rate narrative. Trading & Investment Implication For Bulls / Existing Longs: Hold positions. Consider taking partial profits on extreme strength, but avoid selling your entire position. The trend is your friend. Use any pullback to the 17,000 support as a potential buying opportunity. For New Entrants: Chasing the green spike is high-risk. Be patient. Wait for the inevitable pullback or period of consolidation to establish a position. The risk/reward is poor on the day after a massive gap up. For Bears: Fighting this tape is exceptionally dangerous. The fundamental news from NVDA is a game-changer for the index. Shorting based solely on overbought conditions is a quick path to losses. Final Analyst Call: The next week is likely bullish with high volatility, potentially extending gains. However, the following week is highly susceptible to a consolidation or pullback as the initial euphoria settles. The overall trajectory for the next two weeks is cautiously bullish, with the understanding that a 2-4% pullback is a normal and healthy part of a strong uptrend. The burden of proof is now on the bears to prove they can wrestle control back from a market that just received the best possible news from its most important constituent. Not financial advice, this is just my opinion.
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
NVIDIA Stock Near Support, Bullish Trend AheadNVIDIA stock is currently trading in close proximity to a critical technical support level. This positioning comes within the context of a firmly established and ongoing bullish trend, characterized by a consistent pattern of forming higher highs and higher lows on its price chart. This sequential upward movement is a classic and powerful technical indicator, suggesting that buying pressure continues to outweigh selling pressure at each successive market cycle. The prevailing market sentiment and technical structure suggest that this upward momentum is likely to persist in the upcoming trading sessions. Based on this constructive chart pattern, analysts project a potential ascent towards a significant target on the higher side, with the market poised to challenge the $183.00 per share level. This represents a key resistance point that, if breached, could signify a continuation of the bullish phase. Conversely, on the lower side, the $164.00 price level is identified as a crucial support zone. This is the floor that bulls are expected to defend vigorously to maintain the current positive trajectory. A decisive break below this support could potentially invalidate the near-term bullish outlook, making it a essential level for risk management. Therefore, while the bias remains tilted towards the upside with a clear target in sight, the $164.00 support acts as a vital demarcation line for the trend's integrity.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Brillant_Capital
Breaking Free: How Bears Can Win Back in GoldAfter touching the trend line resistance area of 3640-3650, gold fell back as expected, showing a high "doji" in the hourly candle chart and signs of stagflation. It is expected to become a market turning point in the short term. The gold market may usher in a good correction in the short term due to this technical turning point. However, we need to note that as long as gold remains above 3580, the current situation is still a strong bullish pattern, so we must pay attention to the extent of the retracement. As gold continues to rise, the current short-term support is at 3620-3610, so I think it is necessary for gold to retrace its support in this area. Once gold is supported in this area, it may rebound again and retest the high area of 3640-3650. If gold falls below the short-term support area of 3620-3610, then gold will further retrace its steps to 3590-3580, which is the lifeline of bulls and the dividing line between bulls and bears. If gold falls below the 3590-3580 area during the backtest, the current gold bull advantage will no longer exist, and the bears will likely regain control of the situation. As most long funds take profits and the market experiences panic selling, gold will completely turn into a bearish trend and fall further. At present, I still hold short position in gold, and first aim at the short target area: 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the target area will be postponed to 3600-3590 area. I am currently holding my short position and have already realized some profits. I very much hope that gold will fall back to the target area as expected!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Potential bearish reversal?AUD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 97.26 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 97.90 Why we like it: There is a resistance level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 96.18 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Scenario 1 (Bullish continuation): If price breaks above 3,655 w1. Main Trend Gold is currently in a strong uptrend, shown by higher highs and higher lows, breaking through previous resistance levels. Price is now touching the descending resistance trendline (red) around 3,654 USD. 2. Support & Resistance Zones Nearest resistance: Red trendline zone around 3,650 – 3,655 USD, where profit-taking or pullbacks may occur. Key support: 3,450 – 3,460 USD (blue box, aligned with Fibonacci 0.5). Deeper supports: 3,411 USD (Fibo 0.382). 3,353 USD (Fibo 0.236). 3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels From the latest bullish leg: 0.786 → 3,570 USD → potential shallow pullback support. 0.618 → 3,504 USD → strong retracement support. 0.5 → 3,457 USD → aligns with the major support zone. 0.382 → 3,411 USD. 0.236 → 3,353 USD. 4. Price Scenarios Scenario 1 (Bullish continuation): If price breaks above 3,655 with strong momentum, it could aim for higher Fibonacci extension targets. Scenario 2 (Short-term correction): Price may reject at resistance and pull back toward 3,570 or deeper to 3,500 – 3,460 before continuing upward. Scenario 3 (Bearish breakdown): If price loses the 3,450 support zone, short-term bullish structure will weaken, opening room for 3,410 – 3,353. 5. Trading Plan Buy on dips (preferred): Look for long entries around 3,500 – 3,460, with stop-loss below 3,410. Short-term sell: Consider shorting near 3,650 – 3,655 (trendline resistance), targeting 3,570 – 3,500. 👉 In summary: The larger trend remains bullish, but price is testing a strong resistance zone, so a short-term correction is likely before the next leg up.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
Bullish bounce at key support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the swing high resistance. Pivot: 0.5913 1st Support: 0.5882 1st Resistance: 0.5984 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
9/9: Expect a Main Pullback Today, Likely to Drop Below 3600🌅 Good morning everyone! 🔹 Key Support Levels 30M : 3632 / 3615–3598 1H : 3626 / 3614–3588 2H : 3608–3590 / 3560 4H : 3613–3598 / 3681–3664 1D : 3564 / 3507–3498 🔹 Key Resistance Levels 3650–3670 🔹 Intraday Trading Strategy Sell on rallies, especially near 3650 and above Buy on pullbacks at support, focus on the 1H support zones Trade mainly in short-term swings, quick in and out, secure profits early Yesterday, gold pulled back to around 3577 before rebounding strongly. Currently, the 30M chart shows a bullish alignment. In the short term, watch 3650 as a key resistance. If broken, price may extend to 3658–3670. 🎯 Overall Outlook: Buy the dips, sell the highs. Focus on key support and resistance levels, avoid holding positions too long.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test | PULLBACK/CORRECTION PENDINGFOREXCOM:XAGUSD 📊 SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test ⚡ Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Silver rejected at 41.65 (key resistance). Buyers are active from 41.00–41.15, but a breakout above 41.65 is needed for further continuation. Market Overview The market is consolidating near resistance. A push above 41.65 could extend gains, but failure will drag price back to demand zones near 41.00 and below. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Target 1: 41.45 Target 2: 41.65 Target 3: 41.90 – 42.00 Stop Loss: Below 41.00 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Target 1: 41.15 Target 2: 41.00 Target 3: 40.52 Stop Loss: Above 41.65 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 41.65 Support 🟢: 41.15 – 41.00 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
TVC:SILVERLong
by PEAKALPHAFXMARKETS
Diversification in Practice: My Approach to MarketsThe big project for me at the moment is finding ways to diversify. Ray Dalio calls diversification the holy grail of investing, and I tend to agree. If you put the numbers in a volatility formula you will find that going from 1 investment to 8 ones with 20% correlation divides volatility by 2, and going from 1 to 20 with 5% correlation divides volatility by 3. So diversification could in theory double to triple risk-adjusted returns. To help visualise what this means: Starting with 10k and making 15% a year for 10 years results in having 40k; Starting with 10k and making 45% a year for 10 years results in having 410k. Of course in practice it is not realistic to expect to find that many profit sources with such low correlation. 💰 Asset classes I am focussing on Even though I am looking to diversify, I will, at least for the time being, only focus on Forex, commodities and a little bit indices. Forex and Commodities: They have their differences, FX retraces much more than commodities, but in many ways they are similar. They are great for speculating over a few weeks, something I personally favor. Indices: I rarely trade them, but I did spend a lot of time studying them, and feel comfortable trading them the same way I trade the EUR/USD or gold. The reasons for ignoring Bonds, cryptos and shares: - Cryptos and shares behave significantly differently, - The timeframes are different, - Stocks gap so much and anyway are highly correlated to the S&P500 - I do not think it would add much to my portfolio, volatility would be the same 💰 Improvements I have made to my diversification I was able to add some instruments and reduce my exposure to the USD from 33% to 25% on average. Keep in mind that over small periods exposure can go above the average as I get so many signals. I went through a period of 1-2 months where 50% of my activity was on the USD, with intraday swings wiping out weeks of progress (it can get close to target then do a 70% retrace to entry in a few hours). I improved my diversification but it is still not enough. The Euro still amounts to 22% of my activity, and the Yen 18%, everything else is below 12% which is acceptable. I added several east asian currencies to the watchlist. I had not thought of it but Yen, Yuan and SGD pairs are actually not that expensive, liquid, and trend just like the rest. I also increased exposure to commodities I already invest in, I added gold and silver quoted in currencies other than USD, as well as Brent Oil (on top of CL1! I have been trading for years). 💰 Other instruments I might consider later on I could look at extra commodities, ag ones I don't already trade, something like Lumber, Rice or Orange Juice; as well as metals traded on the London Metal Exchange, such as Nickel, Zinc, Aluminum and Lead. I do not think there is much more I can do with Forex, there is no point trading ultra exotic pairs such as PLN/CZK where the spread is going to be huge, and who knows what could go wrong. Other than those few examples I mentionned I do not have any other ideas. If I could reduce my expose to the USD to 20% that would be great. I do not think I can push it further than this. Do you think I am wrong to ignore some asset classes? Do you know about LME metals and think they are great/terrible? Please let me know dear colleagues.
Education
by MrRenev
CADJPY Technical & Order Flow Our analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Long
by Derry_Trades