ISM PMI: Mapping Market Tops and Bottoms With USBCOIThis chart tracks the US ISM Manufacturing PMI (white line) against a long‑term mean (yellow) and two green envelope bands that frame extremes in the cycle. Historically, moves above the upper green band align with “market top” conditions and moves below the lower band align with “market bottom” conditions, giving a simple macro overlay for risk‑asset timing.
Community ideas
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Gold shot up today, the Fed cut rates a bit more. The current 4 hour chart is marked for where I would look for a continuation up or a rejection and a move down to take out any existing long postions. Let's see how the overnight sessions play out, as well as the daily candle. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Wednesday / Thursday :)
BMNR Breakout Play: Swing Up with Crypto MomentumInstrument: BMNR
Trade Type: Swing Call (BUY)
Strike Price: $38.00
Entry Range: $4.40 – $4.85 (current example: $4.62)
Target 1: $7.25 (≈65% gain)
Target 2: $9.50 (≈95% gain)
Stop Loss: $2.80 (≈40% risk from entry)
Expiry / Horizon: 16 days (to 2025-12-26)
Confidence: 75%
Conviction Level: Medium
Risk Level: Moderate – high implied volatility (~107%), crypto market correlated
Momentum / Technical: Breakout above $40, VWAP at $34.58, strong crypto sector tailwinds
Options / Flow: Put/Call ratio 1.08, neutral bias with unusual $44 put activity
News Sentiment: Very bullish – Bitcoin at $94,000, BMNR adding 138k ETH, crypto sector rally
Notes:
High implied volatility; manage position size carefully.
Monitor Bitcoin price as BMNR is highly correlated.
Consider scaling into position due to recent 19% intraday move.
$BTC - $DXY -$SPX - $NDX - $GOLD 11/12/2025 forecastWhile the past days saw a fairly moderate negative energy across an index at a time, things will now complicate. As we're looking for both CRYPTOCAP:BTC , TVC:GOLD and NASDAQ:NDX (the latter still waiting to properly discount the incoming negative days) to witness huge peaks of negative energy, at 3:49 am UTC and particularly at 7:50 am UTC being the hardest one, volatility will further increase as we get towards 12/12/2025.
BTC/USD - LongBTC/USD is in upward trend on daily timeframe. Following are crucial support and resistance levels.
Support 1 - 91500
Support 2 - 90720
Support 1 - 85440
Support 1 - 83680
Strong Resistance - 94115
Target 1 - 98126
Target 2 - 100607
Keep an eye on these levels. Breakout or Breakdown can happen on 94115. Strong green candle need to be closed above this level and shall sustain for a day or two.
Hoping to see crossing 100000 level before new year.
ondo spotONDOUSDT – Elliott Wave Setup (1D Timeframe)
ONDO is completing a corrective structure and showing signs of reversal from the b-wave (C) low, hinting at a potential start of a new impulsive move upward.
📈 Analysis Summary:
Structure: Complex corrective wave (A)-(B)-(C) forming a bottom near $0.63–$0.65
Wait for range reclaim before entry confirmation
Bullish target: 1.618 Fib extension = $3.0463
Stop-loss: Below recent swing low (~$0.53)
Risk-to-reward: Highly favorable upon breakout confirmation
⚠️ Note: Wait for price to reclaim and close above the range before confirming the long setup — otherwise, the structure could still be part of an extended correction.
Look for REJECTION with AUDUSDAUD/USD Daily Analysis
Pair: Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (AUD/USD)
Timeframe: 1 Day (1D)
Data Source: FXCM
Key Levels:
Open: 0.66406
High: 0.66859
Low: 0.66288
Close: 0.66763
Change: +0.00357 (+0.54%)
Analysis:
The AUD/USD closed higher today, up 0.54% to 0.66763. The pair demonstrated a bullish momentum, with price action climbing from a low of 0.66288 to a session high of 0.66859. This uptick could signal renewed buying interest in the pair, with the daily close above the opening suggesting a positive sentiment among traders.
What to Watch:
Resistance may be found near the recent high at 0.66859. A break above this level could push the AUD/USD towards further gains.
Support is situated near 0.66288. If the price reverses, this may be a key area to watch for a bounce.
Outlook:
Traders should look for confirmation of continuation or a reversal near today's high and low. Keep an eye on macroeconomic developments and U.S. dollar trends for further directional clues.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
XAUUSD PATHThe possibility that will occur with gold is a temporary surge caused by uncertainty or due to the liquidation of traders who use excessive leverage. We know that after this FOMC meeting, the direction of the US economy will become clear, although there are many other factors such as global tensions between China and Japan, which have recently caused uncertainty, Japan's interest rate hike, the unresolved conflict between Iran and Israel, and the unfinished peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia. However, looking at several catalysts for 2026, I believe gold prices have already been priced in. My analysis may be incorrect if gold manages to break through the $5,000 mark due to increased uncertainty. However, what is currently visible is that 2026-2027 will be a year of weakening and ranging prices for gold. Therefore, take advantage of this for short-term trading with proper money management so that you can beat the bookies.
I hope my analysis is helpful to you.
Please leave your questions and comments.
I will try to respond to them.
Good luck
NFLX in BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at either of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $93.10
Target is upper channel around $105.00
Buying NASDAQ:NFXL for this trade
BUY OJBUY BUY OJ once price confirm!
If anyone likes useless long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the market, because the market is NOT a sure thing,
so it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
$HD Pushing Down Before Pulling Away?Yo Yo so, Home Depot was trending up Before crashing down slightly it rejected hard at the confirmation level of 1.272 before falling Aggressively through levels below. Price teased at the 0.272 before reversing back into the retracement/ entry zone @ the 0.382. I can only be Right or Righhhhh. No pressure. Breathe, never take on more than you can handle losing. Alerts Set, Happy Trading!
Waiting for an Impulse Ahead of the Fed Decision #USDJPYUSDJPY remains in a steady bullish structure and is holding near local highs amid a strong US dollar and the continued accommodative policy of the Bank of Japan. At the same time, the market is entering a waiting phase ahead of the key event of the week — the Federal Reserve decision, which is expected to sharply increase volatility.
The market is pricing in a 0.25% rate cut by the Fed, but the decisive factor for further direction will be the tone of the press conference. Comments on inflation, economic conditions, and the future path of monetary policy will shape the medium-term outlook.
Technically, the pair is consolidating below the resistance zone near recent highs, while maintaining a bullish structure above key moving averages. There is no sign of aggressive selling pressure at this stage.
Key logic
Before the Fed decision — a high probability of range-bound trading and false moves.
After the decision — a breakout from consolidation and the formation of a directional impulse.
The main focus is on the reaction at the upper boundary of the range and volume behavior
Scenarios
Bullish: breakout above local resistance and impulsive continuation higher after Fed signals.
Corrective: pullback toward the nearest support area while preserving the overall bullish structure.
Bearish scenario is only possible in case of a sharp shift in Fed rhetoric and a breakdown of the current structure.
USDJPY is at a decision point, and today’s Fed meeting will be the key trigger for the next directional move in the pair.
Stop Loss Killers Completed – Bullish Expansion Ahead?After three consecutive Stop-Loss Killers (SLK1, SLK2, SLK3), the market appears to have flushed out remaining buyers and collected liquidity below key lows. This structure often signals the end of a manipulation phase and the beginning of a potential bullish expansion.
With the FOMC rate-cut announcement expected this evening, the market now has both structural and fundamental conditions for an upside move. If the sweep was indeed the final liquidity grab, a rally toward the upper target zone may follow next.
McDonald’s: In the Trend ChannelMcDonald’s is entering another phase of consolidation, with no clear trend emerging for now. We’ve introduced a pink trend channel that closely tracks the development of the ongoing blue five-wave sequence. At this stage, price appears to be moving through wave (v) of this pattern, which should also complete the magenta wave . Afterward, the correction of wave is pending before the stock is expected to move into impulse wave . This next move should provide enough upward momentum to push price above the resistance at $326.32. However, if the stock decisively breaks below the support at $283.47, an alternative scenario may come into play. In that case, a pullback toward the low of the green wave alt. would be likely (probability: 35%).
SHIB fighting EMAHey guys, SHIB is setting up for a potential breakdown on the 1H timeframe, and the risk-reward is looking pretty clean for short positions right now.
Price is trading at $0.00000853, sandwiched between EMA20/50 resistance at $0.00000857-858 and the make-or-break EMA200 support at $0.00000852. The ADX reading of 56.0 confirms we're in a strong trending environment, and that trend is decidedly bearish. RSI at 30.8 is approaching oversold, but without bullish divergence and with volume running 77% below average, there's no conviction for a reversal yet.
The setup: short entries around $0.00000855 with a tight stop above $0.00000865 (invalidation if we reclaim the EMA cluster). First target sits at the Bollinger Band lower support at $0.00000844, with an extended target at $0.00000838 if the EMA200 breaks. That gives us roughly 1:2.5 risk-reward on the conservative target and 1:4+ if we get the full move. The MACD remains bearish, MFI shows weak money flow at 36.5, and the internal market state is reading choppy with only 17% directional confidence, but the sell signals are stacking up.
Key risk: if price reclaims $0.00000859 (BB middle band) with volume, this whole setup gets invalidated and we could see a squeeze back toward $0.00000874. But until that happens, the path of least resistance is down, especially with such weak participation on bounces.
How are you playing this move? Waiting for the EMA200 break or already positioned short?
NZDUSD - buy nowNZDUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and was struggling to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. NZDUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. BUY NZDUSD Now






















