PLTR Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* PLTR is trading around 153.6, down nearly -2% after a sharp pullback from the 160 rejection zone.
* Price is consolidating sideways after defending the 152 support area.
* Trendline from earlier lows still holding, but momentum remains weak in the short term.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 154.3–156.1 → Near-term rejection zone.
* 160.0 → Major Gamma resistance + Call Wall.
* 162.5–167.5 → Upper resistance cluster with stacked Call Walls.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 152.3 → Key intraday support.
* 150.0 → HVL + strong Put Support.
* 145.0 → 140.0 → Secondary Put Walls (deeper cushion).
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Leaning mildly bullish, but with strong resistance near 160 Gamma Wall.
* IVR: 14.2, slightly elevated, meaning options are pricing moderate volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 160 = Heavy Call resistance cap.
* 150 = Strong Put support anchor.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bearish crossover active, momentum fading.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and attempting to turn upward → possible bounce setup if 152 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 152 holds):
* Bounce from 152–153 support, push through 154.3–156.1.
* Next upside targets: 160 test, then extension to 162.5–167.5 if squeeze develops.
Bearish Case (if 152 breaks):
* Breakdown below 152 brings price to 150 support.
* If 150 fails, extension to 145.0–140.0 Put Walls.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor entries near 152–153 support, targeting 156 → 160.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 156–160, stops above 161.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 150.0.
* Shorts → above 161.0.
Summary
PLTR is in a neutral-to-bearish short-term setup, holding just above 152 key support. If bulls can defend this zone, upside retest toward 156–160 Gamma Wall is possible. A failure under 152 shifts bias bearish, exposing 150–145 downside. Options flow shows capped upside at 160, but solid downside protection at 150.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.
Community ideas
EURUSD Attempts Final Breakout Ahead of 1.20Fed rate cut expectations for 2025 have nearly reached three cuts after Friday’s payrolls data. Despite political risks in France and negative pressure on JPY following Ishiba’s resignation, the dollar remains weak. The euro and yen together account for 71.2 percent of the dollar index.
EURUSD is about to break the trendline from the top. This could be interpreted as either a flag or a reverse head-and-shoulders formation. In either case, if the 1.17 support holds, the door to 1.20 is likely to open.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Gold Income or Bargain Entry?The Setup: A Pullback with a Plan
Gold has been riding a strong bullish wave, yet momentum indicators suggest it's time for a breather. RSI is now overbought, and if history repeats, we could see a healthy correction of up to 9.29%, in line with prior pullbacks. This projects price near 3255, where we also find a cluster of UnFilled Orders (UFOs) acting as a potentially relevant support. It’s a key price area where buyers may step in again.
Rather than try to perfectly time the correction or the bottom, we’re applying a more forgiving approach: selling a PUT far below current price—generating income while leaving room to be wrong by over 375 points.
This is not a hedge. This is a standalone income strategy that accepts risk but frames it intelligently using technical context and options structure.
The Strategy: Selling the 3250 PUT on GC
We're using a simple but powerful strategy—selling a naked PUT—which can generate income or result in ownership of Gold at a deep discount if price dips.
Underlying Asset: GCZ2025 – using Gold Futures Options (Nov 24 2025 Expiration)
Strategy: Sell 1x 3250 PUT
Premium Collected: 10.09 points ≈ $1,009
Breakeven Price: 3240
Max Profit: $1,009 (if Gold stays above 3250 until expiration)
Max Risk: Unlimited below breakeven
There are two possible outcomes here:
Gold stays above 3250 → we keep the full premium.
Gold drops below 3250 → we get assigned and become long GC at 3250. From there, we’re exposed to downside risk in Gold, with a breakeven at 3240.
The position benefits from time decay and stable to rising prices, but it does carry the full downside exposure of long Gold futures if the trade moves against us.
We want to be very clear here—this is a naked trade with undefined risk. That doesn’t make it reckless if done with sizing discipline and technical alignment, but it’s not a beginner-friendly strategy.
Gold Contract Specs
Understanding the size and risk of what you're trading is critical—especially with naked options.
✅ GC – Gold Futures (Full Size)
Symbol: GC
Contract Size: 100 troy ounces
Tick Size: 0.10 = $10
Point Value: 1 point = $100
Initial Margin (as of Sep 2025): ~$15,000 per contract (subject to change)
Underlying for the Option: GC Futures
✅ MGC – Micro Gold Futures
Symbol: MGC
Contract Size: 10 troy ounces
Tick Size: 0.10 = $1
Point Value: 1 point = $10
Initial Margin: ~$1,500 per contract (subject to change)
Why does this matter?
Because if GC collapses below 3250 and you're assigned long, you’ll be exposed to full-size futures. That’s $100 per point of movement. A 50-point drop? That's $5,000 in unrealized loss.
That’s where MGC becomes your best ally. Micro Gold futures offer a scalable way to hedge. If price begins moving down or breaks below the support zone, one could short MGC against the Short GC 3250 PUT to cap further losses or rebalance directional exposure with reduced size and margin impact.
The Technical Confluence: Where Structure Meets Strategy
The 3250 strike isn’t just a random number—it’s calculated. Historical RSI-based corrections in Gold have shown recent worse-case scenarios around 9.29%, and projecting that from recent highs lands us precisely near the 3255 zone. This level also aligns with a clear UFO support, where institutional buyers have likely left behind unfilled orders.
That confluence—statistical retracement, technical indicator, and order flow support—gives the 3250 strike an interesting probability structure. Selling a Put beneath it means we are placing our bet below the “floor” and getting paid while we wait.
If Gold never corrects that far, we profit.
If it does, we might get long near a historically meaningful level.
There’s no need to catch the top. There’s no need to nail the bottom.
Just structure the trade where the odds are already potentially skewed in your favor.
Trade Plan: Reward, Risk & Realism
This trade isn’t about precision entry or leveraged glory—it’s about risk-defined logic with a cash-flow twist. Here's the full breakdown:
🧠 Trade Parameters
Strategy: Sell 1x Gold Futures 3250 PUT Options
Premium Collected: 10.09 points = $1,009
Point Value (GC): $100/point
Breakeven Price: 3240 (3250 – 10)
Expiration: Nov 24, 2025
🟩 If Gold Stays Above 3250
You keep the full premium → $1,009 profit
🟥 If Gold Falls Below 3250
You may be assigned 1 GC contra<ct long at 3250
Unrealized losses begin below breakeven (3240)
Losses can be significant if Gold falls aggressively
⚠️ Reward-to-Risk?
Reward is capped at $1,009
Risk is unlimited below breakeven
The trade only makes sense if you're prepared to own Gold, or hedge dynamically via MGC or using any other technique
This isn’t a “set-and-forget” income play—it’s a calculated entry into a structured exposure with a fallback plan.
Risk Management: No Margin for Error
Selling naked options isn’t “free money.” It’s responsibility wrapped in premium. Here's what must be considered:
❗ Undefined Risk
When you sell a naked PUT, you're exposed to the full downside. If Gold drops $100 below your strike, that’s a $10,000 loss. Don’t sell naked options unless you’re ready—and capitalized—to buy the underlying or actively hedge it.
🔄 Use MGC to Hedge
If Gold breaks below 3250, using Micro Gold Futures (MGC) offers a surgical way to hedge risk without overleveraging. A simple short MGC can offset GC losses proportionally, depending on how aggressive the move becomes.
🧮 Precision Matters
Avoid entering trades too early or too large.
Place an “invalidation” point: if price violates the support zone with conviction, reduce or hedge exposure.
Never sell premium just because it’s “high”—sell where structure backs the trade.
📊 Discipline Trumps Direction
This strategy is valid only if risk is respected. The market doesn’t owe anyone consistency—but a structured, risk-controlled approach keeps you in the game long enough to see it.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
DXY Daily TF Consolidation Pending a Major BreakoutPrice has been ranging between a daily resistance and demand zone since the beginning of August. Another bounce in the demand zone this week will take price back to the resistance zone and if the resistance zone continues to hold then we short back to demand.
However, should resistance break, then the next target will be in daily supply. CPI should give us a better indication of should we get a break of this consolidation.
Personally I am leaning towards a bullish dollar for the short-term foreseeable future.
#BITCOIN - Weekly Price outlook #BITCOIN - Weekly Price outlook
Following my previous weekly outlook perfectly! 🔥
🔸Weekly/Daily: Neutral
🔸Monthly: Bullish trend
⚡️ Likely just a pause before a new ATH breakout!
Bullish as long as we hold $109,500–$110,000.#Alts market did exactly what we expected!
Key Levels:
🟢 Bullish above: $109,500–$110,000
🟡 Neutral zones: $110,000–$116,000 & $110,000–$107,000
🔴 Bearish: D1 close below $107,000 = open gap to $100,000 and possibly $94,000
Next targets:
$115,600–$116,000 resistance 🎯
A clean breakout above $116,000/$120,000 could fuel further gains (medium term).
⚠️ Bearish scenario:
Strong rejection at $116,000 or D1 close under $107,000.
(I don’t share all charts here.)
Bitcoin – Short-Term Trend OutlookBitcoin – Short-Term Trend Outlook
Good day Traders,
Bitcoin continues to demonstrate a constructive short-term uptrend, whilst remaining within a corrective structure on the medium-term timeframe.
Chart Structure
A double-bottom pattern has now completed and confirmed, providing a base for the current move.
From a broader perspective, price action may be shaping a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation, with the present wave contributing to its development. The pattern would be validated should price advance back towards the 117k region.
Elliott Wave Perspective
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, the current structure suggests that wave C remains incomplete, indicating scope for further upward movement.
MACD & Volume Analysis
MACD signals, supported by trading volume holding above the average line, highlight continued buying pressure, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Trading Considerations
Upside remains favoured.
The 111k level is highlighted as an attractive intraday buying zone. The probability of success increases if price rotates further into the rising trendline, aligning with the broader bullish structure.
Final Thoughts
Overall, the technical landscape continues to support a bullish bias for BTC in the short term. Close attention should be paid to reactions around the 111k level and along the rising trendline to refine entry timing. This analysis reflects my current view of the market, and traders are encouraged to compare with their own perspectives.
NZDUSD BUYNZDUSD has recently swept weekly liquidity and is showing signs of forming an AMD structure. With the USD outlook pointing towards potential weakness, this pair could be setting up for a bullish move.
Trading Plan:
Wait for a pullback into a key demand zone or an unmitigated FVG.
Look for confirmation on lower timeframes (CHoCH / BMS) before entering.
Potential targets: previous swing highs and untouched liquidity areas above.
Maintain proper risk management with a favorable RR (e.g., 1:3).
FTSE100 resistance retest at 9246The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9160 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9160 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9246 – initial resistance
9275 – psychological and structural level
9305 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9160 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9130 – minor support
9090 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9160. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Are the short sellers still trapped? An article to save you!We originally expected gold to at least retreat to the 3575-3560 area, so that our short orders could have a good profit, but today gold retreated to a minimum of 3579 and then began to rebound, and it is only a few dollars away from retreating to the ideal TP. Although I feel a little sorry about this, it does not mean that our short positions will be wiped out.
Gold is currently setting a new high and touching the upper Bollinger Band near 3611. Although the bullish momentum of gold is strong and dominant in the short term, the divergence of technical indicators shows a need for a correction. I am still optimistic about a gold pullback, so in the short term, VIP members and I have added short positions again and raised the average price to around 3593. This not only successfully relieves the pressure of short positions, but also allows us to realize significant returns if gold prices subsequently retreat below 3593.
In the trading market, especially in the recent uncertain market, a sound trading plan is like setting a precise course for a ship at sea. Every trade we make is based on our assessment of market trends and our own account's risk tolerance. Coupled with strict trading discipline, we can move forward steadily in volatile market conditions and minimize the possibility of unexpected losses. Hold your short positions; the market will reward us.
Palantir Technologies: Price Setup Shows Momentum Above Critical
Current Price: $153.11
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $158.50
- T2 = $165.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $150.00
- S2 = $147.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals reduce biases, highlight consensus-driven opportunities, and inform optimal entry and exit points for Palantir Technologies (PLTR).
**Key Insights:**
Palantir Technologies has demonstrated increasing demand for its software platforms, particularly in the government and defense sectors. Its unique position in handling large-scale data analytics gives it substantial competitive advantages. Moreover, its focus on artificial intelligence applications appeals to wider growth markets. Technical factors reveal a positive trend backed by rising institutional interest, as indicated by high trading volumes and reduced short interest metrics.
On the macroeconomic front, the potential expansion of defense budgets, coupled with Palantir’s deep integration into diversified industries, could push its valuation higher. A recent breakout of prior resistance levels suggests renewed bullishness. Traders have noted the strength in Palantir’s upward channel, which points to higher probabilities of sustained momentum toward near-term price targets.
**Recent Performance:**
Palantir's stock has gained over 15% in the past month, breaching critical resistance levels near $150 and holding firm above its 50-day moving average. Daily candlestick patterns have persistently indicated buying interest, with strong closes relative to opening prices. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains comfortably below overbought levels, suggesting room for further upside growth.
**Expert Analysis:**
Experts see Palantir’s growth story as one deeply tied to macro-level trends in cybersecurity, AI, and public-sector spending. Analysts noted that Palantir’s partnerships with Fortune 500 companies and governments provide stable, recurring revenue streams, which are attractive to long-term shareholders. Technical analysts agree that the confirmation above its prior resistance signals continuity in the upward momentum. Standard moving averages, including the 20-day and 50-day lines, converge favorably to support the bullish outlook.
**News Impact:**
Recent news regarding Palantir’s expanding collaborations in the healthcare and energy industries has further buoyed investor confidence. Furthermore, strong earnings results have shown growth in profitability, alleviating concerns over its prior valuation criticisms. Promising developments in AI software and international contracts also hint at significant catalysts for future price appreciation.
**Trading Recommendation:**
A LONG position on Palantir Technologies at the current price of $153.11 reflects sustained upward momentum and strong fundamental and technical support. With clear targets of $158.50 and $165.00, traders can capitalize on short- and medium-term gains. Stop-loss levels are set at $150.00 and $147.00 to control downside risk. The stock appears poised for continued growth, supported by institutional demand, favorable news flow, and strong technical indicators.
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Trade time for spaceRecently, the Bitcoin market has been in an obvious sideways consolidation phase with significantly reduced trading activity. In terms of intraday price movements, the full-day price fluctuation range has basically remained around 3,000 points. The forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced, and there has been no clear directional breakthrough, with the price fluctuating repeatedly within the range. However, a key signal can be observed from the technical chart: despite the overall consolidation, the market's low points are gradually moving upward. This indicates that the downward support is slowly strengthening, and the embryonic form of a potential upward trend has emerged.
Based on the current market characteristics, it is recommended to continue adhering to the previously formulated trading strategy and there is no need to adjust the approach due to short-term fluctuations. For specific operations, you can wait for the price to retrace to the key support level, then build up long positions in batches and gradually, instead of pursuing a one-time full-position entry. Adopt the strategy of "exchanging time for space", hold the positions patiently, and wait for the market to complete the consolidation and accumulate momentum, then a clear rally will come, allowing you to seize the trending opportunity.
#Lucky Core Industries (LCI) – PSX Weekly AnalysisFundamental Outlook
Lucky Core Industries (formerly ICI Pakistan) is one of Pakistan’s largest conglomerates with diversified operations in soda ash, polyester, pharmaceuticals, animal health, and chemicals. The company benefits from strong domestic demand in industrial raw materials and consumer-linked segments. Its fundamentals are supported by:
Consistent revenue growth driven by diversified business streams.
Strong brand presence and a leading market share in soda ash.
Strategic backing from the Lucky Group, enhancing financial stability and expansion capacity.
Challenges include rising energy costs, PKR depreciation impacting imported raw materials, and interest rate pressure, though the company has historically navigated such cycles effectively.
Overall, LCI remains a resilient long-term play on Pakistan’s industrial and consumer demand growth.
📈 Technical Analysis
Pattern Observed: AB=CD harmonic pattern with Fibonacci retracement levels plotted.
Trend: Strong uptrend for the last 2.5 years, consistently printing higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
Recent Action: Price is undergoing a corrective retracement after peaking near Rs. 396, currently holding at the 0.5 Fibonacci golden level (~Rs. 321). If pressure continues, next support lies near Rs. 305 (Fib 0.618).
Buying Strategy: Suggested accumulation near Fib 0.5–0.6 zones (321–305) with SIP (systematic investment plan) approach.
Targets:
TP1: Rs. 364
TP2: Rs. 400
Stop Loss: Rs. 247.92 (below last structural support).
RSI: Currently around 50, suggesting neutral momentum after a corrective phase, leaving room for an upward move if buyers step in.
Combined Outlook
From a fundamental perspective, LCI remains a strong long-term industrial and consumer cyclical stock, with diversified revenue streams shielding it from sector-specific shocks.
From a technical perspective, the stock is in a healthy retracement within a long-term uptrend. Accumulating around the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with clear upside potential towards 364–400+ if momentum resumes.
✅ Conclusion: Lucky Core Industries remains a buy-on-dips candidate. Investors with a medium-to-long horizon can accumulate systematically at current retracement levels, while short-term traders may aim for 364–400 targets. Sustained momentum could carry the stock beyond Rs. 400 in the coming quarters.
EURUSD H4I think the euro to dollar can start its main growth this week given the data from late Friday... I believe if it corrects to the specified level, it can be a good entry point with 1% of capital and yield a good profit from it.
Holding above the highlighted level could fuel further upside toward higher targets.
USOIL LOCAL SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is going up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 63.00$
And as OIL is in the downtrend
I am locally bearish biased
So I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 62.20$
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
XRP Breakout ImminentOver the past 2.5 months, XRP has been in a healthy retracement from its all-time highs, forming what I see as a bullish structure:
• ✅ Double Bottom confirmed on the daily 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
• ✅ I entered my long position near the 0.618 level on the second bounce and have been accumulating throughout this consolidation
• ✅ Structure is forming a falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern
• ✅ On the 4H timeframe, we are approaching a golden cross, adding further confluence for bullish momentum
As long as XRP holds the 0.618 Fib, I’ll continue to accumulate. A breakout from this wedge could open the door to higher targets, with key resistance levels at the 0.382 (≈2.88) and major resistance at 3.00+.
⸻
💭 My take: This chart setup looks like controlled consolidation before the next leg up. Patience and holding the 618 are key.