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Parallel Channel

GOLD → Consolidation before continued growth. Trigger 3863FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3837.8 - 3863.7, preparing for its seventh consecutive week in positive territory. Despite a correction from a record high of $3897, the metal remains supported by a combination of the Fed's dovish policy and geopolitical risks. Key supporting factors: Expectations of Fed easing: Dovish sentiment continues to fuel interest in gold. Geopolitical tensions and tougher G7 sanctions against Russia. The ongoing shutdown is delaying the release of US data, increasing uncertainty. Important: If markets ignore the shutdown, gold may face a correction. US services data (ISM Services PMI) and Fed speeches: May adjust rate expectations. Resistance levels: 3863.7, 3900 Support levels: 3853, 3837, 3825 Focus on the current consolidation range of 3863 - 3837. Before attempting a breakout, a retest of support may form within the consolidation. The trend remains bullish, as does the sentiment at the moment. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
Euro will potentially Fall to 1.1680 After a Fake RallyHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market dynamic for the Euro has shifted from bullish to corrective after the price broke down from a prior upward channel. This structural change has led to the formation of a large downward pennant, a consolidation pattern that has been guiding the price of EURUSD lower. The market is currently trading near the resistance line of this pennant, with volatility compressing as it approaches the apex, signaling that a significant move is imminent. In my mind, an immediate breakout from this pennant could be a deceptive move designed to trap buyers. I expect that the price may initially break out to the upside and rally towards the major 1.1800-1.1780 seller zone. I think this rally will fail upon testing this significant area of historical resistance, creating a 'bull trap'. A confirmed and strong rejection from this seller zone would validate the overarching bearish scenario and likely trigger a sharp reversal to the downside. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 1.1680 level, representing a logical objective for the decline that would follow such a failed breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
5
BTCUSD Long: Path to 123000 After BreakoutHello, traders! The prior market structure for BTCUSD saw a significant reversal after the price broke out of a descending channel. This shifted control to buyers and led to a prolonged consolidation phase, with the price auction building a range between the demand zone 2 near 109700 and the supply zone around the 117000 level. Currently, this long period of balance has been resolved with a decisive breakout. A strong bullish initiative from the demand zone 2 has propelled BTCUSD above the 117000 supply level and out of the consolidation range. The market is now in a clear bullish expansion phase after breaking this key structural point. My scenario for the development of events is a classic breakout and retest. I expect the price to make a corrective pullback to test the former resistance at the 117000 - 118000 supply zone as new support. In my opinion, a successful bounce from this zone would confirm the breakout's validity and trigger the next impulsive wave higher. The take-profit is therefore set at 123000. Manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by heniitrading
5
BITCOIN → False breakout of the all-time high zoneBINANCE:BTCUSDT is rising amid the US government shutdown and testing the all-time high zone and resistance at 123.3K - 123.7K. A false breakout has formed and the market is moving into local consolidation. The price is reacting aggressively to the retest of the uptrend support. A rally is forming, and Bitcoin is testing the ATH zone. As part of the distribution (14% rally), the price reaches an important resistance zone, behind which lies a liquidity pool - 123.3K - 124.5K. However, the growth ends with a false breakout and subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone. To break through such a strong zone, the market needs significant consolidation, which is currently lacking, and the news that caused the price to grow so strongly has already partially exhausted its potential. Thus, the market may move into consolidation, correction to accumulate potential, or wait for the next bullish driver. Resistance levels: 123.3K, 123.7K, 124.5K Support levels: 119.2K, 117.8K I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 123.7 - 124.5, but technically, on Friday, the market began a sell-off (profit-taking), forming a sufficiently long shadow on the daily candlestick. In the medium term, I expect a correction to the local break-even and imbalance zone of 119K - 117K before another attempt at growth is made Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Gold can Start a Corrective Move After a Strong RallyHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The broader market context for Gold has been decidedly bullish since the price reversed and broke out from a prior descending channel. This structural shift established a new uptrend, which has since been neatly contained within a well-defined ascending channel, guiding the price action of XAU higher through a series of higher highs and higher lows. After breaking two key levels, the price has completed another full rotation and is now at a critical inflection point. Currently, the asset is trading very close to the resistance line of this ascending channel. My strategy is based on the expectation that the price will reach this line and then be rejected, initiating a corrective decline. I think that after such a strong run, a pull-back is a probable scenario. A confirmed reversal from this upper boundary would validate the short idea. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 3715 points. As noted, this is an intermediate target not located at a major support zone, designed to capture the initial phase of the anticipated downward correction. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
16
GOLD (XAU/USD): Waiting for BreakoutUpdate for ⚠️Gold: It has been observed that the market is currently trading within a significant ascending parallel channel on a 4-hour chart. Upon analyzing the hourly timeframe, a cup and handle formation has been identified, with a neckline situated between 3858 and 3864. It is anticipated that a trend-following movement may commence shortly. To validate this, it is advisable to await for a bullish breakout of the designated blue area. Confirmation would require an hourly candle to close above that level. Subsequently, the market is expected to rise to at least 3900. For the time being, it is recommended to exercise patience and await the breakout before proceeding.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by linofx1
5
Bitcoin may be Rejected from Channel ResistanceHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The established market structure for Bitcoin remains bullish, with the price action being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been in effect since the resolution of a prior consolidation, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The price of BTC has just completed another full upward rotation within this structure and is now positioned at a critical inflection point. Currently, the asset is directly testing the upper boundary of the upward channel 2, a level which forms a powerful confluence of resistance with the horizontal 117500 - 118200 seller zone. In my mind, the resistance of this channel is likely to hold, initiating a corrective phase. I expect a rejection from this area, leading to a downward move that will break the current support level at 115600. I think this decline will continue towards the channel's main support line. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 113250, which aligns with this dynamic support line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
16
XAUUSD: Rally will Continue inside Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, the market for Gold has been in a complex but strong uptrend. We've seen the price break out of an initial consolidation and push through multiple support levels, like the one at 3700, establishing a clear bullish market structure defined by an Upward Channel. Currently, after a strong rally, the price has entered a corrective phase. This pullback is guiding the price down towards the major ascending trend line, which has acted as the backbone for this entire upward move. This is a critical area to watch for a potential reaction. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is built on the idea that this correction is a healthy pullback within a larger uptrend. The major ascending trend line is a significant structural level, and I expect it to act as strong dynamic support, providing a logical place for buyers to re-enter the market. Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful defense of the trend line would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the next impulsive wave higher is 3945, which aligns with the resistance line of the upward channel. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
3
BNB Wave Analysis – 2 October 2025- BNB broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 1200.00 BNB cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 1077.00 (top of the previous impulse iii) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from June. The breakout of the resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (c) – which today broke the recent up channel from the start of September. Given the clear daily uptrend, BNB cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1200.00.
FXPRO:BNBUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
EURUSD Short: Continuation Within the Downward WedgeHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD was a bullish ascending channel, which failed and led to a breakdown. This reversal has established the current bearish market phase, which has taken the form of a downward wedge. This pattern has been guiding the price auction lower through a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming that seller initiative is dominant. Currently, the price action is consolidating within this wedge. Following a minor bounce, the market is showing signs of weakness and appears ready to continue the established downtrend, respecting the wedge's boundaries. My scenario for the development of events is a direct continuation of the decline within this wedge. I expect the price to complete another leg down from the current levels. The take-profit is therefore set directly at the 1.1615 level, targeting the demand zone which aligns with the lower support line of the pattern. Manage your risk!
Short
by heniitrading
17
XAU USD - keeps on giving in 2025Hello, it's been a while. I've been on working building my pile in XAG, XAU reserves. Now i am back, Gold is still giving a phenomenal return on printing up and right (meaning growth). I don't know where price structure will end, however it's a highly probable chance we will hit $4,000USD per oz, and continue to raise. Daily chart image shows my thought pattern and an opportunity I am waiting for price to revert to. I'm referring to the Daily price chart and key counts are in line with Wave counting and supply and demand curve trading levels based on fair value gap intervals of weekly trading sessions plotted to a daily chart at intervals of 60. Current wave - 3 of 5 in the Elliott wave count. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIV
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LupaCapital
1
GOLD → Consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD is correcting from 3895 and forming consolidation with a key support area at 3854, below which lies a huge pool of liquidity. A deep correction is unlikely due to ongoing risks. The suspension of NFP publication due to the shutdown and inflation creates uncertainty for Fed policy, as does weak employment data... However, the resumption of government work will allow the publication of data on unemployment claims and factory orders, so increased volatility in the markets is to be expected on Thursday/Friday... The correction in gold is a temporary pause. As long as US fiscal risks, labor market weakness, and geopolitical tensions remain, the uptrend will remain intact. The $3850 level is the nearest support. Resistance levels: 3871.6, 3895, 3900 Support levels: 3854.5, 3831.3 The most likely scenario at the moment is a long squeeze in the 3854.5 liquidity zone before continuing to rise beyond 3900... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GBPUSD | Retest of Broken Channel Reinforces Bear CaseDespite market hopes for multiple BoE rate cuts, the September meeting disappointed. The Bank held rates at 4% and slowed its QT pace — a signal of policy caution rather than hawkishness.  Two committee members pushed for cuts, but the broader tone emphasized sticky inflation — especially in services and food — keeping constraints on GBP strength. Technical Lens • Price has broken decisively below the ascending channel that had underpinned the recent GBPUSD rally. • The pair is now retesting the lower trendline of that channel from below, which is acting as resistance — a classic break-then-retest setup. • Momentum indicators (e.g. RSI) show room for further downside, with no signs yet of bullish divergence. • Should resistance hold on the retest, it would add weight to the view that the earlier upside leg is exhausted and that the next impulse is lower. Scenarios • If resistance holds (retest fails): The broken channel becomes a barrier. We lean toward a resumption of downside — targeting the ~1.3100 region as the next structural zone. • If buyers reclaim the channel (close back inside): A short-term bounce is possible, but the macro framework and internal momentum remain hostile to sustained GBP upside. Any rebound is likely capped by the same former channel boundary. Catalysts to Watch • UK inflation data (CPI, PPI, services inflation) — stickiness could delay dovish expectations. • BoE communication or minutes — changes in nuance could shift market expectations. • US / Dollar strength or weakness (as GBPUSD also reacts to broad USD moves). • Risk sentiment or spillovers from global macro shifts.
by AlchemyMarkets
XAUUSD Short: Targeting 3800 on a Corrective MoveHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been operating within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish trend. This structure has guided the price higher through a series of impulsive moves and pullbacks, with buyers maintaining the initiative throughout this phase. Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this channel. The price has rallied to directly test the channel's ascending supply line after a strong run-up. This is a key area where sellers are expected to emerge and challenge the prevailing bullish momentum. My scenario for the development of events is a short-term corrective move from these highs. I expect that sellers will defend the supply line and reject the price, initiating a downward rotation back towards the channel's support. A failure to break out higher would confirm a temporary correction is underway. The take-profit is therefore set at 3800, targeting the major demand zone. Manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
7
GOLD → Correction before growth and breakthrough of 3900...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new high of 3895. The dollar is recovering from its decline, and gold may form a correction. As prices rise, economic risks associated with NFP and the US government shutdown are increasing The suspension of NFP publication deprives the Fed and markets of a key benchmark for the labor market, increasing demand for defensive assets. The probability of a rate cut in October is estimated at 100%. Mixed JOLTS data (weak hiring) and fiscal risks are weighing on the USD, which in turn supports gold. Thus, the shutdown creates ideal conditions for gold to rise — uncertainty about Fed policy, a weaker dollar, and a flight to safety. Breaking through the $3900 level seems a likely scenario. Resistance levels: 3900, 3925 Support levels: 3871, 3854, 3831 A correction is forming after a small rally in the European session. Before continuing its growth, the market is entering a correction/consolidation phase. I have indicated the key support levels on the chart. If the bulls manage to keep the price above these zones, then we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
USDJPY - Range Floor + Trend Support = ConfluenceUSDJPY remains overall bullish within a rising channel, while price has been ranging between a lower demand band and the upper supply. We’re now dipping into the 146.0–146.7 support area, which aligns with the channel’s lower boundary — a classic confluence zone to hunt for longs. 🔑 Key levels Support: 146.0–146.7 (range floor + channel support) Resistance: 149.8–151.0 (range top / supply) 📊 Scenarios Bullish 📈 Look for a higher-low / bullish candle from 146s → path toward 149.8–151.0. Bearish 📉 Daily close below 146.0 would invalidate the setup and open a deeper pullback before buyers try again. Do you buy the retest into the 146s, or wait for momentum to kick in first? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
NZDCAD → A false breakthrough will trigger a decline FX:NZDCAD is forming a countertrend correction with the aim of retesting key resistance and the liquidity zone amid a global downtrend. A reaction to the support zone is forming. The price is recovering, but within the global downtrend. The countertrend movement may end in the resistance zone of 0.811 - 0.8125 The global trend is downward, but we are seeing a rebound within the retest of the channel support. There is a fairly large pool of liquidity ahead, which is capable of stopping the price from rising at a high speed. A false breakout of 0.811 - 0.8125 could trigger a decline. Resistance levels: 0.811 - 0.8125 Support levels: 0.8056, 0.8030 A false breakout, consolidation below the specified zone, and a price close below the level could trigger a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3