Bitcoin - Channel no one talks about! (new Year's crash!)Bitcoin's price and development (code) are completely controlled by banks and government. They already have a roadmap on Bitcoin price, so they know what the price will be in 2030. Bitcoin technology is great for total control because all transactions are public. How to profit from that? First of all, you have to identify the big players on the chart and trade with them. They want to make as much money as possible on the way up, so that's why they cannot push the price to the upside in a straight line - they create a lot of traps and patterns on the chart.
When too many people are bullish, it's not worth it to them to send the price up, rather they push the price down in the short term and take all stop losses (your money is a stop loss). You are forced to sell, and guess who buys your order? Most likely the banks, because they love Bitcoin.
What we see on the chart is a blue descending parallel channel. This channel is the current pattern that we play on Bitcoin in this timeframe. Because the price is inside the channel and near the trendline resistance, we cannot be bullish at this point. What traders must understand is that we sell a resistance and buy a support, not the opposite. Currently the price is in a sell zone around 90k - 91k at the top of the channel. There is still an unfilled FVG at 91k - 92k that acts as a strong resistance. January is ticking on the door, and we know that statistically January is one of the most bearish months for Bitcoin. Currently I do not see any reason to be bullish, so I have to stay bearish at this point.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Parallel Channel
XAUUSD Maintains Support – Buyers Eye $4,560Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (Gold, 2H) based on the current chart structure. Gold continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a sustained bullish market structure. After a prolonged consolidation phase (range) on the left side of the chart, price successfully broke above resistance, signaling a shift in control from sellers to buyers. This breakout marked the beginning of the current impulsive bullish leg. Following the breakout, price accelerated higher and is now approaching the Seller / Resistance Zone around 4,500–4,510, where selling pressure has started to appear. The recent pullback is bringing price back toward the Buyer Zone near 4,430, which aligns with the previous breakout level and the midline/support of the ascending channel. This confluence makes the area a key demand zone to watch. Structurally, the pullback remains corrective, with price still holding above channel support and the broader bullish trend intact. My scenario: as long as Gold holds above the 4,430 Buyer Zone, the bullish structure remains valid. A strong reaction from this area could trigger another push toward the 4,560 (TP1) and potentially higher if a clean breakout occurs. A decisive breakdown below the buyer zone would signal a deeper correction. For now, buyers remain in control while price respects the ascending channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Hunting for liquidity ahead of growth. Focus on 4475FX:XAUUSD reached a new historic high of around $4,525. However, profit-taking is causing a correction, with the 4,475-4,470 range being the area of interest in the bull market.
The dollar is weakening, with the market anticipating two rate cuts in 2026. Geopolitical risks are supporting demand for safe-haven assets. Positive US GDP data for Q3 (+4.3%) did not support the dollar due to expectations of a slowdown in growth in Q4.
The dollar index has hit its lowest level since early October. Today, US jobless claims data will be released, which may increase volatility. The overall positive sentiment in the stock markets is holding back more active growth in gold.
The upward trend in gold continues. Any significant correction is likely to be seen as a buying opportunity, given the Fed's accommodative monetary policy and geopolitical uncertainty.
Resistance levels: 4500, 4525
Support levels: 4475, 4470, 4466, 4452
Focus on the current trading range of 4475-4525. A false breakdown of support could attract buyers waiting for favorable prices. I do not rule out a retest of 4452-4442 before growth (against the backdrop of aggressive profit-taking).
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD: Bullish Structure Holds Inside Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has confirmed a bullish structure after breaking out of the previous Downward Channel. This breakout shifted market control to buyers and initiated a steady move higher. Price is now trading within a well-defined Upward Channel, forming higher highs and higher lows, which supports the bullish trend.
Recently, EURUSD pulled back from the Resistance Zone near 1.1800 and found support around the 1.1750–1.1760 area. This zone aligns with the channel support and previous breakout structure, showing strong buyer interest. Current consolidation above support suggests continuation rather than reversal.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the Support Zone around 1.1750. The recent pullback looks corrective within the broader uptrend. I expect price to resume its upward move and push toward the upper boundary of the Upward Channel, 1.1840 - 1.1850 as the next key target.
A clean breakout and acceptance above 1.1800 would confirm trend continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. However, a sustained breakdown below 1.1750 would weaken the bullish setup and could lead to a deeper correction. For now, the structure favors buyers, with support holding and momentum aligned with the prevailing uptrend.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSDT: Buyers Defend 86K Support, Upside in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT has shifted its structure after breaking out of a prolonged Downward Channel, signaling a loss of bearish control and the start of a stabilization phase. Following the breakout, price entered a broad range, bounded by a clear Resistance Zone around 90,300 and a Support Zone near 86,000. This range reflects market indecision after the strong sell-off.
Currently, price has formed a triangle structure, with descending resistance and ascending support lines, indicating compression and preparation for a directional move. Recently, BTCUSDT tested the lower boundary of the range and successfully defended the Support Zone, followed by a breakout from the short-term structure, suggesting renewed buyer interest. Current price action shows consolidation above support, favoring a bullish continuation scenario.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario is bullish as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 86,000 support zone. The recent pullback appears corrective within the broader recovery structure. I expect price to continue higher toward the range high and resistance zone around 90,300.
Therefore, a clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for further upside expansion. However, a sustained breakdown below the support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and increase the risk of a deeper move lower. For now, structure and price behavior favor buyers while support remains intact.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD → Long squeeze support could strengthen the price to 4500FX:XAUUSD continues its aggressive rally. The price has reached a new high of 4497.5, leaving a small gap of $2.5 to 4500 (insurance against profit-taking???). A retest of support could renew interest in buying...
Statements by US Treasury Secretary Bentsen about a possible transition to inflation targeting (instead of a fixed target of 2%) undermine confidence in the Fed's long-term policy.
• The escalation of US sanctions against Venezuela (detention of tankers) and continued tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East are boosting demand for defensive assets.
Today, US GDP data for the third quarter and durable goods orders are expected. Speeches by Fed members may cause increased volatility amid low liquidity (end of the year).
The upward trend in gold continues, but in order to continue growing, the market may switch to liquidity hunting mode and form retests of support levels...
Resistance levels: 4497.5, 4500, 4510
Support levels: 4470, 4460, 4450
The 4470 zone is a liquidity pool; a retest or long squeeze could resume the rally. However, I do not rule out that, against the backdrop of the news, gold may test 4460 - 4450 before continuing to grow. In the current situation, all attention is focused on the range of 4470 - 4500.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Rejection from 4,420 Resistance - Pullback Toward 4,350Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, but the current price action signals a short-term corrective phase. After forming a strong upward impulse, gold established a well-defined upward channel, confirming buyer control. Price then broke above the previous consolidation range, which marked a continuation of bullish momentum.
Currently, XAUUSD pushed higher and reached the Resistance Zone around 4,410–4,420, a level that has historically acted as a strong supply area. At this zone, price showed clear rejection, with sellers stepping in aggressively and limiting further upside. This reaction suggests that supply is currently outweighing demand at these highs. As a result, price is now pulling back from resistance and moving toward the Support Zone around 4,350, which aligns with the previous breakout area and the lower boundary of the upward channel. This zone represents a key demand area where buyers have previously defended the trend. The recent breakout above this level followed by a retest further strengthens its importance.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains short-term bearish as long as XAUUSD stays below the 4,410–4,420 Resistance Zone and continues to show rejection from this area. I expect price to retrace toward the 4,350 Support Zone, where the next reaction will be crucial for determining continuation or deeper correction.
Therefore, A clean breakdown below the 4,350 Support Zone would confirm a deeper corrective move within the structure and could open the path toward lower demand levels along the channel support. However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and buyers may attempt another push toward the resistance highs. For now, the focus is on the corrective pullback, with 4,350 acting as the key level to watch.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD in Uptrend – Retest of Support Before Next PushHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a clear bullish environment after transitioning from a prolonged consolidation phase into an impulsive upward move. Earlier on the chart, price was moving inside a range, indicating balance between buyers and sellers. This range was eventually resolved to the upside, confirming a shift in market control. Currently, price is trading above the Support Level around the 1.1750 area, which also aligns with the Buyer Zone and the former range high. This zone is acting as a key demand area after the breakout. The recent pullback appears corrective, with price retesting support rather than showing impulsive selling pressure. As long as EURUSD holds above this support zone, the bullish structure remains intact. My scenario: if buyers continue to defend the 1.1750 Buyer Zone, EURUSD could resume its upward move toward the 1.1800 Resistance Level and potentially extend toward the 1.1820 TP1. A clean continuation above resistance would confirm further upside momentum. However, a breakdown below the support zone would signal a deeper correction and weaken the bullish setup. For now, the structure favors buyers while price respects support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
SILVER - Record High $72.70Executive Summary
Silver just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH of $72.70 on December 24, 2025, capping off a historic year that has seen the precious metal surge +148.54% YTD - outperforming gold's impressive +70% gain. Currently trading at $71.80, silver is riding a powerful ascending channel on the 4H timeframe with no signs of slowing down. Safe-haven demand, Fed rate cut expectations, inclusion on the U.S. critical minerals list, and rising industrial use have created a perfect storm for silver bulls.
BIAS: BULLISH - Strong Uptrend Intact
This is one of the most bullish setups I've seen. +148% YTD, record highs, ascending channel intact, and technicals screaming "BUY." The trend is your friend.
Current Market Context - December 24, 2025
Silver is having a historic year:
Current Price: $71.8050 (+0.50% on the day)
Day's Range: $70.2124 - $72.693
52-Week Range: $28.3390 - $72.693
ALL-TIME HIGH: $72.70 (hit today)
Technical Rating: BUY
Performance Metrics - ALL GREEN (HISTORIC):
1 Week: +12.68%
1 Month: +43.50%
3 Months: +63.61%
6 Months: +96.26%
YTD: +148.54%
1 Year: +142.28%
This is the best performing major asset of 2025. Silver has more than doubled from its 52-week low of $28.34.
THE BIG STORY - Silver Outshines Gold in Historic Rally
Record-Breaking Performance
Silver has surged more than 150% year-to-date, significantly outpacing gold's impressive 70%+ gain. This is gold's biggest annual gain since 1979, and silver is beating it handily.
Key milestones:
ALL-TIME HIGH: $72.70 (December 24, 2025)
Previous record broken multiple times this month
Up 143.56% from 52-week low of $28.94
Up 142.08% from 2025 low of $29.116 (April 4)
Month-to-date: +24.87%
Three consecutive winning sessions
Largest 3-day gain: +9.12% ($5.893)
Why Silver Is Outperforming Gold
Strong investment demand
Inclusion on U.S. critical minerals list
Rising industrial use (solar panels, electronics, EVs)
Tighter supply dynamics
Rotation from gold investment demand
Safe-haven appeal in uncertain times
FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS - The Perfect Storm
1. Safe-Haven Demand
Geopolitical tensions driving investors to precious metals
U.S. President Trump calling for regime change in Venezuela
Global uncertainty supporting haven assets
Investors flocking to tangible assets
2. Fed Rate Cut Expectations
Markets pricing in two rate cuts for 2026
Non-yielding assets like silver thrive in low-rate environments
Trump wants next Fed chairman to lower rates
Falling U.S. dollar supporting precious metals
Interest rates ticking lower
3. Industrial Demand Surge
Silver added to U.S. critical minerals list
Solar panel production driving demand
Electric vehicle growth increasing silver usage
Electronics and technology applications expanding
Industrial use creating structural demand
4. Supply Constraints
Tight mine supply globally
Limited new production coming online
Inventory drawdowns
Supply unable to keep pace with demand
5. Broader Precious Metals Rally
Gold broke above $4,500 for first time
Platinum up ~160% YTD
Palladium up ~100% YTD
Copper and base metals climbing
Entire commodities complex in bull mode
Expert Analysis
Fawad Razaqzada (City Index/FOREX.com):
"The lack of any bearish factors and strong momentum, all backed by solid fundamentals, which include continued central bank buying, a falling U.S. dollar and some level of haven demand" is supporting precious metals.
Societe Generale Analysts:
"The risk of a major drop in the gold price would seem largely linked to a slowing of outright gold buying, such as by emerging market central banks. Barring such an event, investor positions suggest that the extraordinary surge in gold prices is likely to continue."
Gold target: $5,000/oz by end-2026 (Societe Generale)
ADM Investor Services:
"With the dollar weakening, interest rates ticking lower, and the U.S. President calling for regime change in Venezuela the bull camp has a plethora of bullish themes."
Technical Structure Analysis
Price Action Overview - 4 Hour Timeframe
The chart shows a textbook bullish structure:
Ascending Channel Pattern:
Clear ascending channel established
Lower trendline (support) rising from ~$58 area
Upper trendline (resistance) at ~$73-74 area
Price respecting channel boundaries well
Midline (dashed) providing dynamic support/resistance
Higher highs and higher lows throughout
Recent Price Action:
Strong rally from channel bottom
Price currently near upper channel (~$71.80)
Recent pullback found support at midline
Recovery to new highs
Momentum remains strong
No signs of channel breakdown
Key Observations:
Price at all-time high territory
Channel intact and well-defined
Trend structure extremely bullish
Pullbacks being bought aggressively
Volume supporting the move
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
$72.693 - Day's high / immediate resistance
$72.70 - ALL-TIME HIGH
$73.00 - Psychological level
$74.00-$75.00 - Upper channel resistance
$80.00 - Extended bullish target
$100.00 - Major psychological target (analyst projections)
Support Levels:
$71.00 - Immediate support
$70.00 - Psychological support / recent breakout level
$68.00-$69.00 - Channel midline support
$65.00-$66.00 - Secondary support
$62.00-$63.00 - Channel bottom support
$58.00-$60.00 - Major support zone
Channel Analysis
Channel width: approximately $10-12
Channel slope: strongly bullish (steep angle)
Current position: Near upper channel
Midline: ~$68-69 area (dynamic support)
Channel bottom: ~$62-63 area (strong support)
Channel top: ~$73-74 area (resistance)
Moving Average Analysis
Price trading well above all major moving averages
All MAs sloping sharply upward
Golden cross patterns on multiple timeframes
MAs providing dynamic support on pullbacks
Trend structure extremely bullish
Technical Rating
The TradingView technical gauge shows "BUY" - confirming the bullish bias across multiple indicators.
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
BULLISH SCENARIO - Continuation to New Highs
Trigger Conditions:
Price breaks above $73.00 with volume
Channel breakout to upside
Gold continues rally toward $5,000
Fed signals more rate cuts
Dollar weakness continues
Price Targets if Bullish:
Target 1: $73.00-$74.00 - Upper channel
Target 2: $75.00-$76.00 - Channel breakout target
Target 3: $80.00 - Extended target
Moon Target: $100.00 (analyst projections for 2026)
Bullish Catalysts:
Record highs attracting momentum buyers
Gold rally continuing ($4,500+, targeting $5,000)
Fed rate cut expectations
Dollar weakness
Safe-haven demand (Venezuela, geopolitics)
Industrial demand (solar, EVs, electronics)
Critical minerals list inclusion
Supply constraints
Entire precious metals complex in bull mode
BEARISH SCENARIO - Pullback Within Channel
Trigger Conditions:
Rejection at upper channel ($73-74)
Profit-taking after massive rally
Dollar strength
Fed hawkish surprise
Risk-on rotation out of safe havens
Price Targets if Bearish:
Target 1: $70.00 - Psychological support
Target 2: $68.00-$69.00 - Channel midline
Target 3: $65.00-$66.00 - Secondary support
Extended: $62.00-$63.00 - Channel bottom
Bearish Risks:
Overbought conditions after +148% YTD
Near upper channel (potential rejection)
Profit-taking at record highs
Holiday thin volumes
Potential dollar bounce
Fed policy uncertainty
NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Consolidation Near Highs
Most likely short-term outcome:
Price consolidates between $70-$73
Digests recent gains
Builds base for next leg higher
Healthy consolidation after massive rally
Channel midline provides support
MY ASSESSMENT - BULLISH
The weight of evidence overwhelmingly favors bulls:
Bullish Factors (Dominant):
+148.54% YTD - Best performing major asset
ALL-TIME HIGH just hit ($72.70)
Ascending channel intact and well-defined
Technical rating: BUY
Outperforming gold significantly
Multiple fundamental drivers aligned
Safe-haven demand strong
Fed rate cuts expected
Industrial demand surging
Supply constraints
Entire precious metals complex bullish
No bearish factors visible (per analysts)
Bearish Factors (Minor):
Near upper channel (potential short-term resistance)
Overbought after massive rally
Holiday thin volumes
Profit-taking risk at record highs
My Stance: BULLISH - Buy Dips
This is one of the strongest trends in any market right now. +148% YTD with no signs of slowing. The fundamentals are aligned, the technicals are bullish, and the channel is intact. Don't fight this trend.
Strategy:
Buy dips to channel midline ($68-69)
Buy dips to $70 psychological support
Target upper channel ($73-74) and beyond
Tight stops below channel support
Don't short this market
Respect the trend - it's massively bullish
Trade Framework
Scenario 1: Breakout Trade Above $73
Entry Conditions:
4H candle closes above $73.00
Volume confirmation
Gold holding above $4,500
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $73.00-$73.50 on confirmed breakout
Stop Loss: $71.00 below recent support
Target 1: $75.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1)
Target 2: $78.00-$80.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:2.5)
Target 3: $85.00+ (Extended)
Scenario 2: Buy the Dip at Channel Midline
Entry Conditions:
Price pulls back to $68-69 zone
Bullish rejection candle
Channel midline holds
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $68.00-$69.00 at channel midline
Stop Loss: $65.00 below secondary support
Target 1: $71.00-$72.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1)
Target 2: $73.00-$74.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1.5)
Target 3: $75.00+ (Extended)
Scenario 3: Buy at $70 Psychological Support
Entry Conditions:
Price tests $70.00 level
Bullish bounce
Volume spike on recovery
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $70.00-$70.50 at psychological support
Stop Loss: $68.00 below midline
Target 1: $72.00-$72.70 (ATH retest)
Target 2: $73.00-$74.00 (upper channel)
Target 3: $75.00+ (Extended)
Risk Management Guidelines
Position sizing: 2-3% max risk per trade
Respect the channel - it's your guide
Don't short this market
Buy dips, don't chase highs
Use channel levels for entries/exits
Scale out at targets
Move stop to breakeven after first target
Holiday volumes may be thin - use appropriate size
Invalidation Levels
Bullish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes below $62 (channel bottom)
Ascending channel breaks down
Gold crashes below $4,000
Dollar surges significantly
Fed signals no more rate cuts
Bearish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes above $75 (channel breakout)
New all-time highs with momentum
Gold breaks $5,000
Industrial demand accelerates further
Conclusion
Silver is having a historic year. With +148.54% YTD gains, it's the best performing major asset of 2025, significantly outpacing gold's impressive +70% rally. The precious metal just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH of $72.70 and shows no signs of slowing down.
The Numbers:
Current Price: $71.8050
ALL-TIME HIGH: $72.70
YTD Performance: +148.54%
1-Year Performance: +142.28%
52-Week Low: $28.34
Technical Rating: BUY
Key Levels:
$72.70 - ALL-TIME HIGH
$73.00-$74.00 - Upper channel resistance
$71.80 - Current price
$70.00 - Psychological support
$68.00-$69.00 - Channel midline
$62.00-$63.00 - Channel bottom (major support)
The Setup:
Silver is in a powerful ascending channel with all fundamentals aligned. Safe-haven demand, Fed rate cuts, industrial demand, and supply constraints have created the perfect storm. The technical rating is "BUY" and the trend is undeniably bullish.
Strategy:
Buy dips to $68-70 support zone
Target $73-74 (upper channel) and $75+
Stops below channel support
Don't fight this trend
Respect the channel
Analysts are targeting gold at $5,000 by end-2026. If silver continues to outperform, $100 silver is not out of the question.
XAUUSD Long: Demand Zone Holds, $4,540 in SightHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD based on the current chart structure. Gold previously completed a corrective phase after breaking above a descending resistance line, which marked a shift in market control from sellers to buyers. Following this breakout, price entered a consolidation Range, where the market absorbed supply and built a base before the next impulsive move higher. After leaving the range, XAUUSD accelerated into a strong bullish leg and formed an ascending channel, confirming sustained buying pressure. The breakout above the channel base was decisive, and price continued to print higher highs and higher lows. Recently, gold reached the Supply Zone around 4,500, where selling pressure appeared and caused a short-term rejection. This reaction pushed price back toward the Demand Zone near 4,430, which aligns with the channel support and previous breakout structure.
Currently, price is pulling back in a controlled manner within the bullish channel. The rejection from supply looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting profit-taking instead of trend reversal. Buyers are expected to defend the demand area as long as the channel structure remains intact.
My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,430 Demand Zone, the bullish structure stays valid. A strong reaction from this area could lead to another push toward the 4,500 Supply Zone, with a potential continuation toward 4,540 if a clean breakout occurs. A decisive breakdown below demand would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper correction. For now, the bias remains bullish while price respects the ascending channel. Manage your risk!
SUIUSDT - Readiness for bearish distributionBINANCE:SUIUSDT is updating local lows after breaking through consolidation support. The market structure is weak (bearish), and the decline may continue...
Bitcoin is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle. It is within a downtrend. A breakout of support will trigger a bearish rally. If the flagship of the crypto market begins to fall, altcoins may fall even lower. For SUI, within the D1 timeframe, there is potential for a fall to 1.3148 - 1.1163.
SUIUSDT has a weak market structure: a downtrend, declining highs, updating local lows, breaking through consolidation support.
If the bears keep the price below 1.4154, the altcoin's decline may continue towards the liquidity zone at 1.326
Resistance levels: 1.4154, 1.457, 1.4977
Support levels: 1.326
Bulls are not yet ready to make an effort to change the trend. The market is under selling pressure. Keeping the price below 1.4154 after breaking through the level could trigger further sell-offs towards a double bottom...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Selena | XAUUSD - Highest Possiblities of Bullish ContinuationFOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
After rejecting from the upper channel resistance, XAUUSD pulled back into a confluence zone consisting of institutional demand and trend support. This corrective move appears corrective rather than distributive, indicating preparation for further upside continuation rather than reversal.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
As long as price holds above the institutional demand zone, bullish continuation remains favored.
🎯 Target 1:4550
🎯 Target 2:4600 Psychological resistance / Fib extension
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean breakdown and sustained close below trend support would invalidate the bullish bias and signal deeper correction.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: Psychological zone near highs
Support 🟢: Institutional demand + channel support
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
USDCAD - Price breakdown from consolidation. Distribution...FX:USDCAD breaks through consolidation support amid a global downtrend and weak DXY
The dollar index breaks through the local support area and enters a short zone, which may intensify the sell-off. The currency pair is consolidating below the previously broken level of 1.3737...
Technically and fundamentally, the dollar is weak, and against this backdrop, the Canadian dollar may strengthen. This could be reflected in a subsequent decline in the currency pair if bears keep the price below 1.3737
Resistance levels: 1.3737, 1.3756
Support levels: 1.370, 1.365, 1.360
If bears keep the price below the triangle support, namely below the 1.3745 - 1.3737 zone, then in the short and medium term, the currency pair may fall to the specified target.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT Long: Demand at 88K Could Fuel a Move to $92,700Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin recently completed a prolonged move lower within a well-defined descending channel, confirming strong bearish pressure during that phase. This bearish structure remained intact until price reached a key pivot low, where selling momentum clearly weakened. After the initial impulsive move higher, BTC tested the 92,700 Supply Zone, where temporary rejection occurred. This reaction resulted in several pullbacks toward the 88,000 Demand Zone, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Each pullback into this demand area was met with buying interest, indicating absorption rather than distribution.
Currently, price is stabilizing above the 88,000 Demand Zone, and the pullbacks remain corrective in nature. Multiple minor breakouts along the channel support further confirm that buyers continue to defend structure. The market is consolidating while maintaining bullish alignment.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 88,000 Demand Zone, the bullish structure remains intact. A strong reaction from this area could lead to another attempt toward the 92,700 Supply / Resistance Zone. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above 92,700 would open the door for further upside continuation within the ascending channel. Only a decisive breakdown below demand would invalidate the bullish scenario. For now, the bias remains bullish, with buyers in control while price respects the ascending channel. Manage your risk!
WAFI | Uptrend Channel Breakout & Retest Setup
Price has successfully broken out of its ascending channel with strong bullish momentum. Currently, price appears to be pulling back for a retest of the breakout area.
📌 Key Levels:
Buying Zone: 215 – 220
Stop Loss: 209
Target: 240 & 248 (recent high)
The 215–220 zone aligns with previous resistance turned support and dynamic trendline confluence. RSI remains in bullish territory, suggesting the pullback is corrective rather than reversal.
📉 A daily close below 209 will invalidate this bullish setup.
📈 Breakout retests often offer high-probability continuation trades.
FATIMA - Technical outlook Price is trading within a well-defined ascending channel and reacting positively from a key horizontal support zone. Overall structure remains bullish with higher highs intact.
📌 Trade Levels:
Entry: CMP
Stop Loss: 142
Targets: 158 / 165–170
⚠️ RSI Bearish Divergence:
RSI has formed a lower high while price printed a higher high, indicating weakening momentum, not an immediate reversal.
As long as price stays above 142 and the channel structure holds, upside continuation toward targets is possible.
Break below 142 on daily close will invalidate the setup.
📊 Trend is your friend until it bends.
LLY | This Healthcare Co. Is a Great Pick | LONGEli Lilly & Co. engages in the discovery, development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceutical products. The firm's products consist of diabetes, oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and other products and therapies. The company was founded by Eli Lilly in May 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.
Fib Levels Decide the Next Move?On Friday, after price reached 4352, the market experienced a retracement to the 50% Fibonacci level. Price is currently trading around 4299.38, holding above key structural support.
Looking ahead to next week, a confirmed break and close above the 78.6% Fibonacci level would significantly increase the probability of trend continuation, with price likely advancing toward the upside targets marked on the chart.
Conversely, if price breaks below 78.6% with strong momentum, a deeper corrective move becomes likely. In that scenario, price could extend toward the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, with the 200% extension acting as a further downside target.
As always, traders should wait for confirmation through price action and volume before committing to positions.
Happy Trading
SpicyPips
Live trading on Amazon stock.Live trading on Amazon stock.
Price is at the bottom of its channel and sitting in a strong demand zone.
Follow proper risk and money management.
This is just my personal view, so please trade based on your own strategy and trading system.
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How to Trade Sideways Price Action on GOLD XAUUSD
Turn boring ranging market into your biggest advantage.
The truth is that consolidation trading can be even more profitable than trend following trading Gold XAUUSD.
In this article, I will teach you a simple consolidation strategy to day-trade sideways price action.
In order to trade a ranging market, first, you should learn to identify that correctly.
This simple rule will help you to identify that on Gold on any time frame. (for this strategy, we will look for a consolidation on a 4H time frame strictly )
Gold price should simply stop updating:
lower lows and lower highs (if the trend was previous bearish),
higher highs and higher lows (if the trend was previously bullish).
Examine a price action on Gold on a 4H time frame:
Trading in a bearish trend, we can easily identify 2 periods of consolidation.
The price temporarily started ranging, not managing to update lower lows in the first instance and lower lows and lower highs in the second one.
Such a market behavior is a clear indication of a sideways price action.
After you confirmed a consolidation on Gold, you will need to identify its boundaries .
Usually, the price will start respecting some horizontal support and resistance, forming a range.
I have underlined the boundaries of 2 ranges that we spotted.
Once you identified a sideways price action on Gold, with the absence of high impact fundamental news, such a price behavior will most likely continue .
The price will continue respecting the boundaries of the range, falling from its resistance and growing from its support.
You should patiently wait for a test of a support or resistance of the range first.
In our example, we see a test of a resistance.
We can expect that the price will drop from that.
But the problem is that the underlined resistance is quite wide and from such a perspective, we can not predict the exact level from where it will drop.
Multiple time frame analysis will help you to spot an accurate entry signal.
I suggest looking for a channel or a wedge on an hourly time frame.
The price formed a rising wedge on an hourly.
Your signal to sell will be a breakout and an hourly candle close below its support.
It will indicate a highly probable bearish movement to the support of the range.
After a confirmed violation of a trend line, open a sell position immediately or set a sell limit order on its retest.
Stop loss should be above the highs of the wedge/channel.
Take profit will be the upper boundary of a range's support.
76 pips of profit were made.
Using this strategy, we could easily predict a previous bullish movement from a support.
A bullish breakout of a resistance of the wedge provided a strong confirmation.
Entering on a retest of its broken resistance, be TP should have been based on the lower boundary of the range's resistance.
Stop loss should have lied below the lows of the wedge.
Consolidations may last for days, weeks and even months on Gold.
Not trading it, you will miss a lot of profitable opportunities.
This strategy will help you to trade a sideways ranging market easily.
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EURUSD Short: Head & Shoulders at Resistance - Target 1.1670Hello, traders! EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming sustained bearish pressure and controlled sell-side momentum. Price consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Multiple breakout attempts occurred within the channel, but each upside move was capped by the descending resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure. The market eventually reached a clear Pivot Point near the lower channel boundary, where selling pressure weakened and buyers briefly stepped in, producing a corrective rebound rather than a full trend reversal. Following this rebound, EURUSD pushed higher and managed to break above local resistance levels, leading to a short-term bullish expansion. However, this move lacked strong follow-through and transitioned into a distribution phase near the Supply Zone around 1.1760. At this area, price formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum and a return of sellers. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developed directly under resistance, confirming strong supply presence and rejection from higher prices.
Currently, price has broken below short-term structure and is pulling back from the supply zone, signaling the start of a corrective-to-bearish continuation move. The market is now rotating lower toward the Demand Zone around 1.1670, which aligns with a previous breakout level and acts as the nearest downside objective. This zone represents a key area where buyers may attempt a reaction, but overall structure still favors sellers.
My primary scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1760 Supply Zone and continues to show rejection from this area. The current pullback appears impulsive rather than corrective, favoring continuation toward the 1.1670 Demand Zone. A clean breakdown and acceptance below demand would confirm further downside continuation. Until then, this level remains the key decision point. Manage your risk!
BTCUSDT: Holds Demand - Retest of 90,300 Resistance LikelyHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT recently transitioned from a strong downward channel into a broader bullish recovery phase. After a prolonged bearish move, price formed a base near the channel low, where selling pressure weakened. This led to a breakout from the downward channel; however, the first move above resistance resulted in a fake breakout, indicating that sellers were still active at that level. Following this, Bitcoin found strong demand around the 87,000 Support Zone, where buyers stepped in aggressively. From this area, price began to form higher lows and successfully established an ascending (upward) channel, signaling a shift in short-term market structure toward bullish control. Within this upward channel, BTC experienced several clean breakouts above intermediate resistance levels, confirming improving momentum. The key horizontal level around 90,300 acted as a major resistance, where price was rejected multiple times. Despite these rejections, the market did not break down sharply, suggesting absorption of selling pressure rather than distribution.
Currently, BTCUSDT is pulling back toward the 87,000 Support Zone, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the upward channel. Price action here remains constructive, with consolidation rather than impulsive selling, indicating that the move lower is corrective.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as BTC holds above the 87,000 support. This zone is a key demand area, and a strong reaction from here could lead to another attempt toward the 90,300 Resistance and a continuation within the upward channel. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above the 90,300 level would open the door for further upside toward higher channel targets.
However, a failure to hold the 87,000 Support Zone would signal weakness and could trigger a deeper correction toward the lower channel boundary. For now, the market structure favors long positions, with support holding and resistance as the next upside objective.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Selena | XAUUSD – Thought On Year Closing December last 2 weeksFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
After a sharp rejection from all-time highs, Gold entered a corrective phase that remained controlled and trend-respecting. Buyers defended the lower parallel support multiple times, creating higher lows. The reclaim of previous rejection as support is a key structural shift, signaling that sellers are losing control. Current price behavior shows compression under psychological resistance, typically preceding an expansion.
This is trend continuation logic, not mean reversion.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Scenario 🚀
Condition: Hold above psychological demand + channel support
🎯 Target 1: 4,380
🎯 Target 2: 4,450
🎯 Target 3: 4,500 (psychological expansion)
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario 📉
Condition: 4H close below parallel support
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,380 – 4,450 – 4,500
Support 🟢: 4,280 – 4,180 – 3,925
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.






















