BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 53☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
❤️ I sincerely apologize to everyone in the channel — I’ve been down with a cold for several days. Now, let’s dive into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 In the 1-hour timeframe, after a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin broke below its ascending channel and moved toward the $121,000 support zone. From there, increased buying volume pushed the price upward, but it got rejected from the $123,600 resistance** and pulled back, creating a long trigger at that zone.
As it moved toward lower support levels, it formed a micro buyer zone between $119,640 and $120,884, where each time price enters this zone, Bitcoin experiences noticeable buying pressure.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after ranging below the 50 level, it’s now trying to break above it. The 50 level has become a **strong static resistance, while there’s swing support near 34.
If the RSI breaks out of these marked zones, it could trigger stronger volatility and expand both **short and long trading opportunities.
🕯 The size and volume of recent candles on the 1-hour chart show range-bound movement, weak momentum, and market indecision, forming a **multi-timeframe trading range** where the top and bottom boundaries act as trigger zones.
The **micro buyer zone is where buyers aggressively defend price through market orders, preventing further downside — a reversal candle forming inside this zone is a strong example of that.
▶️ **Today’s economic news related to U.S. monetary policy can impact the market significantly. Since Bitcoin is currently in a small trading range, upcoming volatility spikes from the news could provide short-term setups.
↗️ Risky Long Scenario:
Look for a breakout above the marked $121,754 zone, accompanied by an engulfing candle, **indecision signal, SMA-7 confirmation, and increasing volume in the direction of the breakout — especially if the news comes out risk-on (positive for markets).
📉 Very Risky Short Scenario:
If price breaks below the micro buyer zone and loses the swing RSI support near 33, Bitcoin could enter a deeper correction.
However, note that a drop in Bitcoin’s price often increases its attractiveness compared to other assets, so avoid rushing into shorts.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Parallel Channel
The LINK/USDT will probably go lower📉 Trend and Structure
The price is currently trading within a descending channel (yellow lines), which has been in place since late August.
The price attempted to break out of the channel at the top around $23.40, but buyers lacked strength – it was rejected at resistance and fell back below the downtrend line.
Currently, the price is just below the upper edge of the channel and below the 50/200 EMA, confirming that the medium-term trend remains downward.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support:
$21.40 – local support, which is currently being tested.
$20.80 – strong support from previous price reactions.
$19.68 – lower boundary of the channel, a very important level for bulls.
Resistance:
$22.20–$22.70 – zone of the 50/200 EMA and previous rejections.
USD 23.40 – the last local high and the point of the false breakout.
USD 24.90 and USD 25.50 – key breakout levels from the channel, paving the way to USD 27–28.
⚙️ Technical Indicators
MACD:
The MACD line has crossed the upside signal → sell signal.
The histogram has turned slightly negative, indicating a loss of upward momentum.
RSI (14):
Currently around 51, with a slight downward slope.
Neutral, but with a strong upside – a drop to around 40 is possible before the bulls attempt a rebound.
🧭 Scenarios
🔻 Bearish Scenario (more likely)
If the price remains below $22 and the channel is not broken, a further decline to $20.80 is possible, or even a test of the lower band of the channel at $19.70.
Confirmation will be a close of the 4-hour candle below $21.40.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (less likely at this time)
If the bulls reclaim $22.70–$23.00 and close the 4-hour candle above it, a breakout from the channel could occur.
The targets will then be $23.40, $24.90, and $25.50, respectively.
Increased volume and confirmation on the MACD (bullish cross) are required.
EURUSD 4H – Testing Strong Demand ZoneFX:EURUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Market remains in a downtrend channel, but price is now approaching a strong demand zone near 1.1570–1.1600.
The falling wedge structure suggests potential bullish reversal soon if liquidity sweeps the lows.
Mid-range resistance lies near 1.1658 and 1.1769.
Market Overview
EURUSD continues to respect its descending structure after rejection from the 1.1870 zone. However, buyers may soon step in as the pair nears a high-demand region, historically known for strong reversals. A clean reaction or double-bottom pattern could trigger a short-term bullish rally back toward mid-zone resistance.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Rejection from 1.1570 zone → 🎯 Target 1.1658 → 🎯 Target 1.1769 → 🎯 Extended 1.1870
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Break below 1.1570 → 🎯 Target 1.1500
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.1658 / 1.1769
Support 🟢: 1.1570 / 1.1500
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Gold Roadmap After Breaking $4,000 – What’s Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) continued its bullish momentum at the start of the week and even seems to have broken through the key psychological resistance at $4,000 .
Let me first point out that when an asset reaches a new All-Time High (ATH) , Technical analysis tends to become less reliable since there’s no historical price data above that level. However, we still do our best to analyze the market using the available tools .
Currently, Gold is moving near the upper lines of ascending channels and within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective , it appears that gold is completing Wave 3 , given the strong momentum it has shown.
That said, Gold likely needs a correction before continuing its uptrend. This pullback could first test the Support lines(First Target) , and in the next stage, possibly reach around $3,963(Second Target) .
Stop Loss(SL): $4,109
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GBPJPY | Testing Channel Resistance at 208GBP/JPY has rallied sharply amid yen weakness and lingering BoE hawkishness. With Japan signalling continued fiscal support and the BoJ cautious about tightening, yen softness has persisted — but the move now looks stretched into a key technical zone.
Price has tagged the upper bound of an ascending channel that has guided price action since mid-2024. The 208.00–208.50 area aligns with channel resistance and an RSI near overbought territory, suggesting potential exhaustion before trend continuation.
Scenarios:
Scenario A: If 208.00 holds as resistance → potential pullback toward 200.50–198.00 support zone within the channel.
Scenario B: If price closes above 208.50 → breakout confirmation could open the path toward 212.00+ extension highs.
Catalysts:
UK data cooling could reinforce expectations of BoE rate cuts in early 2026, weighing on GBP.
Japanese fiscal expansion has so far pressured JPY, but any BoJ jawboning or intervention hints could strengthen yen and trigger a corrective leg.
Global risk sentiment: a pullback in equities or broader risk-off tone typically benefits JPY, adding confluence for a pause here.
BNB hit the ATH and now can dump to 1000$Previous channel resistance broke also retest complete so in result of breakout price can pump like previous channel height and it hit ATH exactly at that point which we expect.
and as we can see when the pump completed now we have reject and correction for a while is ahead also major support and available one is near 1050$ and it would be previous channel resistance which can be now new channel support after a valid retest.
if the support hold we can expect ATH 1500$ else we can expect 850$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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EUR/USD – Buyers Holding the Mid-Channel SupportHello guys!
EUR/USD is still moving inside a clean ascending channel on the 4H chart. Price just bounced off the 1.1690–1.1700 support zone, which also lines up with the channel’s midline; a pretty solid area for buyers to step in.
As long as this zone holds, the bias stays bullish. If momentum continues, I’m looking for a move toward the 1.1760–1.1780 area, which is the top of the channel.
If price slips back under 1.1680, then this idea gets invalidated, and we could see a deeper pullback toward 1.1620.
For now, structure is intact, buyers are defending key levels, and the path of least resistance is still up.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Nifty on the verge of a Trendline breakout. Nifty did a great job today by closing above a very important resistance of 25128. Now the major hurdle seems to be near the trendline which is near 25228. Once this range is crossed the next hurdles will be at 25306, 25431 and channel top near 25579. The supports for Nifty are at 25128. Mother line support near 25021 which is also a mid channel support. (Making this area a very strong support). Followed by 24965 (Father line support). If by chance father line support is broken we can see Nifty falling towards 24806 or even 24601 which is the channel bottom support. As of now the shadow of the candle seems to be positive (Green).
To know mover about Mother line, Father line, Mid channel support / resistance, Chanel top resistnace and channle bottom support, trend line support and resistance (To understand the role of Mother line and Father line) or to be able to draw resistances and supports based on historic peaks and valleys you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version and is rated 4.8/5. This book teaches you Techno-Funda investing. (Techno Funda investing means Knowing which are Fundamentally strong companies and investing / booking profits / staying invested in them based on Technical analysis). The book has some more unique features like rating a stock with the help of Happy Candles Number wherein you can give a stock marks out of 100 based on Techincal and Fundamental analysis you have learned by reading it. Thus you can know if the stock is currently investible or not based on the marks it scores out of 100. The book also covers various aspect of behavioural finance. Lot of people who have read the book consider it as a hand book to equity investing. Buy the book you will not be dissapointed as the book is reasonably priced. Search by the key words The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation and you will get it.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
EURCAD – Waiting for the Perfect ConfluenceEURCAD remains overall bullish while trading inside a rising channel.
At the moment, price is approaching the intersection of the channel’s lower trendline and the horizontal structure zone.
That’s where I’ll be watching closely for trend-following long setups, ideally a rejection or reversal confirmation around that confluence area.
As long as this structure holds, the bulls remain in control, and we could see a continuation toward the upper bound of the channel.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets...
Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed.
As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons.
Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100
Support levels: 4001, 3986
Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → Change in local trend. Confirmation...FX:USDCHF confirms a change in the downtrend and is ready to move into a distribution phase amid growth in the dollar index.
The dollar is breaking through resistance and may continue its bullish correction within the global downtrend. Against this backdrop, the Swiss franc is losing ground...
The currency pair is forming a breakout of the local trend. The breakout of the resistance of the ascending triangle confirms bullish action. As part of the distribution, the price may test local highs.
Resistance levels: 0.8071, 0.8132
Support levels: 0.800
A consolidation of the price above 0.800 may form an intermediate bottom, which will provide support for the bulls before the next run.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets...
Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold.
Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100
Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986
Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared...
Best regards, R. Linda!
DOGEUSDT → Correction to 0.246. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P attempted to realize its potential after breaking out of the downward resistance. After updating the local maximum to 0.27, the price entered a phase of correction and consolidation...
Bitcoin slows down its growth after reaching the 125K zone. A correction may form in the altcoin markets due to the risk of profit-taking. For DOGE, there is a zone of interest at 0.2466
The price of DOGE has reached a strong resistance zone, where bears have increased pressure. A false breakout of 0.2653 - 0.2694 has formed. A sell-off is forming...
Resistance levels: 0.2653, 0.2694
Support levels: 0.2466, 0.2431, 0.2376
Against the backdrop of market correction, a downward rally associated with panic selling is forming. The support zone that is of interest to the market is 0.2466, and this zone is quite capable of stopping the decline. A false breakdown and holding the price above 0.246 - 0.243 may renew interest in growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
2-3% selloff incoming? Down to $651-655? Then BTD to $700+We've finally hit my target of $672 and while I still think we'll get downside after hitting this target, I don't think the sell will be as dramatic (yet).
I know everyone got bulled up after the price action today, but I think it's wise to be cautious here. Both the chart and the flows are telling me that we're likely to see a bearish move before we see more upside in markets.
I'm not looking for anything crazy, but I think 2-3% down to that $651-655 level is likely.
Then I think that will be a dip buying opportunity and that it's likely that many stocks (including SPY) can see new highs.
I've marked off new resistance levels should this idea play out.
Losing the support levels on the chart would be a caution for lower prices.
Novo Nordisk – 40-Year Supercycle Breakdown (Monthly)After nearly four decades inside a rising secular channel, Novo Nordisk broke below it for the first time ever in July 2025 . Since then, two consecutive monthly closes below the channel — coupled with two consecutive closes under the monthly EMA 100 (previously flawless support) — confirm a major structural shift .
The failure of bulls to reclaim either the EMA 100 or the channel underscores that bears are now firmly in control .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, price action since 1987 forms a clear completed 5-wave super-cycle , suggesting a larger-degree corrective phase is underway. A move toward ±$25 — aligning with the 23.6 % Fibonacci retracement of the entire advance — stands out as a primary downside target .
Even this level would represent only a shallow retracement of the full trend, implying that the current decline may still be in its early stages.
Very rare diamond patternThis very rare pattern usually indicates a change of trend. Is doing it in the weekly timeframe and setting up for a massive breakout of the descending channel. Also, oil is setting up an inverse HS and many of the big oil companies show bullish patterns. SL and TP are shown on the charts.
Good luck.
TSLA maybe retest support near 360$ but target is 700$Price is near channel resistance and red trendline sell pressure zone so we can expect short-term fall here like the red arrow but soon after that short-term fall we can expect heavy gain here like the green arrow on chart and targets like 600$ and more also if the red trendline break valid to the upside without that correction target can hit.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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NZDUSD | RBNZ’s Surprise 50bps Cut – Testing Channel SupportMacro Hook:
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand shocked markets with a 50bps rate cut, maintaining a dovish tone and signaling room for further easing. NZD/USD dropped over 1% following the announcement.
Technical Lens:
Price is now retesting descending channel support near 0.5750 after the sharp post-decision selloff. RSI shows oversold conditions, suggesting potential for a short-term pause if support holds.
Scenarios:
If 0.5750 holds → potential rebound toward 0.5900 resistance.
If 0.5750 breaks → opens room toward 0.5600 and extends the broader downtrend.
Catalysts:
Next RBNZ meeting in November (market now pricing another 25bps cut).
U.S. CPI and Fed commentary shaping USD direction.
Takeaway:
0.5750 is the key inflection zone — watch for confirmation if the channel base holds or gives way.
JUBLFOOD Strength at Support Indicates a Potential Rally AheadJUBLFOOD — Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
Monthly Timeframe:
JUBLFOOD is showing strong support on the EMA, with the first key support area positioned near the 580 level. This zone has historically acted as a major demand area, suggesting potential accumulation.
Weekly Timeframe:
The stock is currently trading near the 570–590 support zone, where the Supertrend indicator is also providing confirmation of support. Sustaining above this zone could trigger a potential reversal or upward momentum.
Daily Timeframe:
Both the quarterly and monthly pivot levels indicate strong support between 575–591, reinforcing this area as a crucial price base from a pivot-point perspective.
4-Hour Timeframe:
On the lower timeframe, JUBLFOOD is moving within a falling channel and forming a descending broadening wedge pattern near the 580 support zone. This structure suggests a possible bullish reversal if the price holds and breaks above the upper trendline.
if this level is sustain then we may see higher prices in stock.
thank you!!
EURUSD: Reversal from the Lows and Up MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price of EURUSD has shifted into a bearish phase after a prior Upward Channel failed and broke down. This reversal led to the formation of the current Downward Wedge, a pattern that has been guiding the price lower.
Currently, the price is at a critical decision point. After a complex series of moves, it is now testing the lower support line of the wedge, which aligns with the major Support at the 1.1615 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea of a 'fake breakdown' at this key support. I'm looking for the price to dip briefly below the wedge's support line into the Support zone to hunt for liquidity, and then quickly reverse.
A swift reclaim of the wedge's interior would be a powerful signal that sellers are exhausted and a bullish reversal is underway. This is the key confirmation I am waiting for.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this reclaim. A successful reversal would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is the Wedge Resistance Line at the 1.1670.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Short: Targeting 3870 on a Corrective MoveHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been moving within a clearly defined ascending channel, reflecting a persistent and well-structured bullish trend. This pattern has effectively guided the market upward, with buyers maintaining firm control and driving the price through several significant resistance levels, including 3375 and 3610. Such momentum highlights the continued dominance of bullish sentiment in recent sessions.
At the moment, the price is approaching a critical inflection point near the upper boundary of this channel. Following an aggressive rally, XAUUSD is now testing the channel’s ascending supply line, an area that often acts as a strong resistance zone. This is typically where selling pressure begins to surface, as traders look to capitalize on overextended bullish moves.
My short-term expectation is a corrective phase. I anticipate that the price may attempt a brief breakout above the channel’s resistance, forming a potential “fake breakout” trap for late buyers, before reversing lower. A confirmed rejection from this region would likely trigger a pullback toward the 3870 area, which aligns with prior structural support. Accordingly, I have placed my take-profit target at 3870. Manage your risk!
Gold can Start a Correction Towards 3855 SupportHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The broader market context for Gold has been decidedly bullish since the price reversed and broke out from a prior descending channel. This structural shift established a new uptrend, which has since been neatly contained within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action for XAU has been creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the asset is trading very close to the resistance line of this ascending channel, an area where sellers may re-emerge. My strategy is based on the expectation that the price will reach this line, be rejected, and then begin a corrective decline. I think after such a strong run, a pullback is a probable scenario. A confirmed reversal from this upper boundary would validate the short idea. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3855 current support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
ETHFIUSDT → Correction to support consolidation. Rally?BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is correcting after updating its local maximum to 1.9382. The breakout of the 1.6775 zone is an attempt to start distribution after a long consolidation. Will the bulls hold this zone?
Bitcoin is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. Against this backdrop, the entire cryptocurrency market is declining. However, the trend is bullish and the fundamental background is positive. The end of the correction may resume growth in the market.
ETHFI on the daily timeframe is trying to move into a distribution phase after 5-6 months of consolidation. The trend is upward, and after breaking through resistance, a correction to the liquidity zone of 1.6775 is forming. A false breakdown, a change in market imbalance, and consolidation above 1.6780 could increase buyer interest, which in turn could lead to growth.
Resistance levels: 1.8980, 1.9382
Support levels: 1.6775, 1.5343
The chart shows two key levels - 1.6775 and 1.5343. If the bulls hold their ground above the nearest level of 1.6775, this could lead to a rebound and growth, which in turn would confirm the continuation of the distribution phase. Otherwise, the market may test the POC zone at 1.5343, and liquidity capture may in turn trigger growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!






















